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Innovation to improve               21st

 century education for all

       Prof. Dr. Dirk Van Damme
       Head of the Centre for Educational
       Research and Innovation - OECD
2
3
1.
INTRODUCTORY COMMENTS

                        4
“Education is only the image and reflection
of society. It imitates and reproduces the
latter…it does not create it”
Emile Durkheim



            “Education is a social process. Education is
            growth. Education is not a preparation for
                             life; education is life itself”
                                            John Dewey




                                                               5
Time, continuity, change

• Durkheim – and ‘reproduction theories’ after
  him – sees education as a kind of ‘condensation’
  of a society’s history, social structure etc., thus
  following social change
   – ‘slowness’ in terms of time-lag between social
     change and educational change
   – ‘slowness’ in terms of individual biography and
     the prolonged impact of education on one’s life




                                                        6
Time, continuity, change

• John Dewey – and progressive educators in his
  footsteps (Paulo Freire) – see education as a
  potential driver of social change by stressing the
  transformative capacities of education
  – Enhancing the capacity of critical analysis and
    reflection to overcome historical legacies
  – Guiding individuals and communities to pockets
    of change in society (e.g. science) which drive
    transformative change



                                                       7
Time, continuity, change

• The transformative capacity of education has a
  lot to do with the capacity of educational systems
  themselves to change
  – So, analysing innovation in education helps to
    understand the capacity of education to drive
    innovation in society at large
• This becomes extremely relevant today as
  change is accelerating and several ‘change
  agents’ perceive education as ‘out-of-tune’ with
  the pace, direction and contents of change

                                                     8
2.
EDUCATION IN THE 21ST C:
‘MORE OF THE SAME’?
                           9
20th century education: expansion

• Following the emergence of popular education in
  the 18th and 19th C, modern institutionalised and
  professionalised education systems have
  consolidated and expanded in the 20th C
  – Connected to economic, political and social
    transformations: global capitalism, democracy,
    social mobility and meritocracy
  – From elitist to universalist ambitions
  – Globalisation and convergence
  – Standardisation

                                                     10
%




                     0
                         5
                             10
                                  15
                                       20
                                            25
                                                 30
                                                           40
                                                                45
                                                                     50




                                                      35
         Canada
   United States
   New Zealand
         Estonia
         Finland
        Australia
         Norway
        Sweden
    Netherlands
     Switzerland
                                                                          2000's




United Kingdom
       Denmark
           Japan
       Germany
         Iceland
                                                                          1990's




        Belgium
 OECD average
    Luxembourg
  EU19 average
          Ireland
                                                                          1980's




          France
            Spain
        Hungary
        Slovenia
         Greece
                                                                          1970's




          Austria
          Poland
           Korea
                                                                                                  groups 25-34 years, 35-44 years, 45-54 years and 55-64 years (2007)




Slovak Republic
Czech Republic
             Italy
                                                                                                                                                                                             Growth in university-level qualifications




         Mexico
            Chile
            Brazil
                                                                                   Approximated by the percentage of the population that has attained tertiary-type A education in the age




          Turkey
        Portugal
Where are we now?
• Enormous expansion and massification: the
  ‘educational revolution’
   – In 55-64y olds population: 39 million tertiary qualified
   – In 25-34y olds population: 81 million tertiary qualified
• Shifting balances in global talent pool
   – US: from 35.8% to 20.5% between two generations
   – China: from 6.9% to 18.3%




                                                           12
Where are we now?

• Universalist ambitions have not (yet) been fully
  fulfilled
  – Still huge gaps in access, participation and
    achievement
  – Equity: huge impact of social background on
    educational outcomes
  – Standardisation: huge quality variation in
    comparable levels of qualification
  – Lifelong learning: unproductive concentration of
    educational investment in early phase of life-
    course
                                                       13
Where are we now?

• While at the same time the impact of education
  on economic and social outcomes has reached
  unprecedented levels
  – Increasing impact on earnings distribution and
    labour market participation
  – Increasing impact on social risks and social
    outcomes
• This tension between increasing social relevance
  and difficulties in delivering constitute a huge
  risk for educational systems
  – Alternatives already appearing
                                                     14
%
                                                                                 %




                        0
                            5
                                10
                                     15
                                          20
                                               25
                                                    30
                                                             35
                                                                  40
                                                                       45
                                                                            50
            Portugal
              Spain
             Iceland
                Italy
            Norway
        Luxembourg
     United Kingdom
     OECD average
             Greece
            Belgium
        Netherlands
             Estonia
                                                                                 Born abroad




             France
           Germany
            Hungary
             Austria
             Ireland
       United States
              Israel
                                                                                 Born in the country




            Canada
           Australia
             Finland
         Switzerland
                                                                                                                   no upper secondary qualification (2007)




            Sweden
     Slovak Republic
            Slovenia
             Poland
     Czech Republic
15
                                                                                                       Proportion of 20-24 year-olds who are not in education and have
100
                                             120
                                                   140
                                                         160
                                                               180
                                                                     200
                                                                           220
                                                                                 240
                                                                                       260




                        40
                             60
                                  80
              Brazil
           Hungary
       United States
     Czech Republic
           Portugal
 Slovak Republic
             Poland
                                                                                             Below upper secondary education




        Luxembourg
              Israel
             Austria
            Canada
             France
                Italy
           Germany
            Finland
                                                                                             Tertiary-type B education




              Korea
     OECD average
             Ireland
             Turkey
            Belgium
     United Kingdom
        Netherlands
        Switzerland
              Spain
                                                                                                                                                Index for males, upper secondary=100, 25-64y olds (2008)




            Sweden
           Australia
              Japan
           Denmark
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Relative earnings by qualification




       New Zealand
                                                                                             Tertiary-type A and advanced research programmes




            Norway
16
Low skills and economic outcomes
Increased likelihood (16-65 year olds)
  Increased likelihood of failure (16-65 year olds)
3.5
                                                                In lowest two quintiles of
                                                                personal income
3.0


                                                                Unemployed
2.5



2.0
                                                                Received social assistance
                                                                in last year
1.5


                                                                Did not receive investment
1.0                                                             income in last year
         0             1           2           3           4
             Number of of skills domains with low performance
               Number skills domains with low performance
                Number of skills domains with low performance




                                                                                             17
150
                                  200
                                        250
                                              300
                                                    350
                                                          Skill score
     Not completed school

         Upper secondary

               University




     Not completed school

         Upper secondary

               University




     Not completed school

         Upper secondary

               University
                                                                                                                                                 The skills value of qualifications
                                                                        Interquartile range in skill distribution by educational qualification




18
Lifelong de-skilling
Skill score
305

295
                                                      Factoring in
                                                    population ageing
285

275

265

255

245

235

225
      15            25             35              45             55            65

              No adjustment                  Age
              Adjusted for immigrant status and education
              Adjusted for immigrant status, education and reading engagement

                                                                                 19
But also vast macro-efficiency problems

 • Despite huge increase in expenditure for
   education, very limited rise in outcomes over the
   past 10 to 15 years
 • Problems in quantity and quality of the teaching
   work force
 • Governance reform (school
   autonomy, decentralisation) have not fully produced
   expected results and have counterproductive effects




                                                     20
Is expansion the only answer?

• Most development goals in education
  (MDGs, European Commission 2020, etc.) are
  still purely quantitative targets, aiming at further
  expansion of education systems
• But will ‘more of the same’ be a sufficient answer
  to address the needs and tackle the increasing
  challenges in delivering and efficiency?
   – “has the concern for equity and access driven
     progressive educators into conservatism?”
• Or will innovation be truly part of the response?

                                                      21
3.
INNOVATION DRIVER: NEW
SKILLS DEMANDS
                         22
CERI’s Innovation Strategy project

• The main driver for innovation in education
  does not come from within education, but from
  the external changing skills demand
• Research questions:
  – Do innovation-driven economies require more
    and better educated populations?
  – What qualifications do innovative businesses
    need?
  – What individual skills should education systems
    foster?

                                                      23
Changing skill demand

                                                               Economy-wide measures of routine and non-routine task input (US)
Mean task input as percentiles of the 1960 task distribution




                                                                                                                   Routine manual
                                                               65

                                                               60                                                  Nonroutine manual

                                                               55
                                                                                                                   Routine cognitive
                                                               50

                                                               45                                                  Nonroutine analytic

                                                               40
                                                                                                                   Nonroutine interactive
                                                                1960       1970        1980          1990   2000

                                                                    Source: Levy and Murnane, 2005

                                                                                                                                    24
Working in creative jobs
Increase in creativity-oriented jobs (Canada, 1901-2006)




                                                           25
Employment structure in selected countries in 1980




           Source: Michael et al.               26
Employment structure in selected countries in 2004




                                                27
             Source: Michael et al.
Skills supply hampering innovation
         (odds ratios: innovative vs. non-innovative (ref))
   Lack of finance from sources outside your enterprise                                                 1.39

                              Lack of qualified personnel                                              1.37

 Lack of funds within your enterprise or enterprise group                                             1.29

                                Innovation costs too high                                       1.18

                          Lack of information on markets                                       1.14

  Difficulty in finding cooperation partners for innovation                              1.05

                       Lack of information on technology                                1.00

          Markets dominated by established enterprises                           0.98

     Uncertain demand for innovative goods or services                           0.97



            No need to innovate due to prior innovations            0.44

No need to innovate because no demand for innovations 0.35

                                                              0.3          0.6             1.2

                                                                                                               28
                                   Source: OECD, based on CIS data
Which tertiary education studies lead to active
             participation in innovation?
           Innovator      work in innov. comp.       Not in innovative organisation
100.0%

 90.0%

 80.0%

 70.0%

 60.0%

 50.0%

 40.0%

 30.0%

 20.0%

 10.0%

  0.0%




                                                                                      29
             Source: OECD, based on REFLEX and HEGESCO data
Critical skills for the most innovative jobs
                   (tertiary-educated workers)
                                Likelihood (odds ratios) of reporting the following job requirements: people
                                            in the most innovative jobs vs. least innovative jobs

  come with news ideas/solutions                                                                          2.97
            acquire new knowledge                                                                  2.44
      willingness to question ideas                                                              2.34
         alertness to opportunities                                                        2.24
         present ideas in audience                                                        2.18
                  analytical thinking                                                    2.15
           master of your own field                                                     2.11
                coordinate activities                                               2.05
write and speak a foreign language                                                 2.02
       use computers and internet                                                 2.00
          make your meaning clear                                                 1.99
                 use time efficiently                                             1.98
       mobilize capacities of others                                             1.97
     work productively with others                                               1.95
       write reports or documents                                                1.94
            perform under pressure                                        1.81
         knowledge of other fields                                       1.76
                           negociate                                    1.76
               assert your authority                            1.56

                                        0.90                           1.80                                      3.60

                                                                                                                        30
                         Source: OECD, based on REFLEX and HEGESCO data
Skills for Innovation

• Foundation skills (literacy, numeracy…) are
  key to access lifelong learning
• Which individual skills for innovation are key?
  – Subject-based skills (know-what and know-
    how)
  – Skills in thinking and creativity (critical
    thinking, imagination, curiosity...)
  – Behavioural and social skills (self-
    confidence, energy, passion, leadership, collabora
    tion, communication...)

                                                     31
Skills for Innovation
What individual competences should people acquire to
   contribute to innovation as producers and users?

                        Subject-based
                            skills
                       (know-what and know-
                              how)


 Behavioural and                       Skills in thinking
   social skills                        and creativity
           (Self-
                                       (Critical thinking, ability
confidence, energy, persev
                                                to make
erance, passion, leadership
                                      connections, imagination,
, collaboration, communic
                                              curiosity,...)
           ation)

                                                                     32
21st Century Skills

                           •Creativity and innovation
Ways of thinking           •Critical thinking, problem solving
                           •Learning to learn, meta-cognition
                           •Communication
Ways of working
                           •Collaboration (teamwork)
                           •Information literacy
Tools of working
                           •ICT literacy
                           •Citizenship – local and global
Living in the world        •Life and career
                           •Personal, social responsibility

     Source: Microsoft-Intel-Cisco ATC21S project

                                                                 33
A challenging situation

• Early 21st C education systems are especially
  good in delivering routine-based skills which can
  easily be taught in standardised ways but also
  easily digitised and automated
• But are not yet well prepared to equip learners
  with the flexible, creative, innovative and
  collaborative skills sets which they will need in
  21st C economies and societies




                                                  34
4.
ARE EDUCATION SYSTEMS
INNOVATION-FRIENDLY?
                        35
Innovation in education
• Education generally is a low innovation-intensive
  sector
   – Especially low in product/services and
     tools/instruments/methods innovation
• Available evidence does not show a knowledge
  dynamics between ‘grey’ and ‘green’ knowledge typical
  for knowledge-intensive and innovative sectors
   – New teachers do not have different pedagogical beliefs
     than more experienced teachers
• Innovation is not rewarded in professional appraisal
  systems
   – Three out of four teachers reporting not to be rewarded
     for innovation
                                                         36
Product/service innovation




                                      37
                         Source: Paul (2007)
Process/tools/instruments innovation




                                           38
                              Source: Paul (2007)
Are new teachers innovators?
                                   Constructivist beliefs - Experienced teachers                                                                                 Constructivist beliefs - New teachers
                                   Direct transmission beliefs - Experienced teachers                                                                            Direct transmission beliefs - New teachers
                 0.5
Ipsative means




                 0.0




                 -0.5




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Italy
                                                                                                                                                       Hungary
                                                                                                      Denmark
                                                                                    Estonia
                        Austria*



                                             Turkey*




                                                                                                                                                                                                                Spain



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Portugal
                                                                                              Malta



                                                                                                                Norway




                                                                                                                                                                                             Poland*
                                                                                                                                 Ireland*




                                                                                                                                                                                                       Brazil



                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Lithuania
                                   Iceland




                                                                                                                                            Slovenia
                                                       Australia




                                                                                                                         Korea




                                                                                                                                                                  Slovak Republic




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Bulgaria
                                                                                                                                                                                    Mexico




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Malaysia
                                                                   Belgium (Fl.)*




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     39
%




                       0
                           10
                                20
                                     30
                                          40
                                               50
                                                    60
      Belgium (Fl.)
           Norway
            Ireland
                                                         their teaching



          Australia
          Denmark
              Spain
             Korea
            Austria
              Malta
           Iceland
          Portugal
              Brazil
           Estonia
     TALIS Average
          Lithuania
            Turkey
          Slovenia
            Mexico
          Hungary
                                                                                                                                                                Rewarding innovation




            Slovak…
               Italy
            Poland
          Bulgaria
                                                         Teachers who would receive increased monetary or non-monetary rewards if they are more innovative in




          %




          Malaysia
40
Research as a motor for innovation?




                                  41
Research as a motor for innovation?




                                      42
350
                                   400
                                                     550
                                                           600




                       300
                                         450
                                               500
            Finland
     Liechtenstein
      New Zealand
              Japan
            Canada
         Germany
              Korea
       Netherlands
          Hungary
            Ireland
       Switzerland
           Belgium
          Australia
            Austria
                                                                 Frequent use




           Sweden
             Greece
             Poland
              Spain
            Croatia
      Macao-China
          Lithuania
               Italy
          Slovenia
  Slovak Republic
                                                                 Moderate use




   Czech Republic
            Norway
              Latvia
            Iceland
           Portugal
         Denmark
Russian Federation
               Chile
             Turkey
                                                                                   student performance on PISA science scale
                                                                                  Frequency of use of computers at school and




          Uruguay
                                                                 Rare or no use




           Bulgaria
          Thailand
             Serbia
             Jordan
         Colombia
43




              Qatar
                                                                                                                                Technology as a motor for innovation?
5.
INNOVATIVE PEDAGOGIES

                        44
Conceptual model




                   45
Learning research




                    46
Transversal conclusions
To promote learning, environments should:
• Make learning central, encourage engagement, and be
  where learners come to understand themselves as learners
• Ensure that learning is social and often collaborative
• Be highly attuned to learners’ motivations and the
  importance of emotions
• Be acutely sensitive to individual differences including in
  prior knowledge
• Be demanding for each learner but without excessive
  overload
• Use assessments consistent with its aims, with strong
  emphasis on formative feedback
• Promote horizontal connectedness across activities and
  subjects, in-and out-of-school
                                                            47
Expressed in educational terms…
These ‘principles’ mean that learning environments should be:
• Learner-centred: highly focused on learning but not as an
  alternative to the key role for teachers
• Structured and well-designed: needs careful design and high
  professionalism alongside inquiry & autonomous learning
• Profoundly personalised: acutely sensitive to individual and
  group differences and offering tailored feedback
• Inclusive: such sensitivity to individual and group differences
  means they are fundamentally inclusive
• Social: learning is effective in group settings, when learners
  collaborate, and when there is a connection to community.


                                                                   48
Cognitive outcomes versus interest
                       Science scores and interest in science are not always fostered simultaneously
                            640
                                        LOW SCORE                                                                              HIGH SCORE
                                        HIGH INTEREST                                                                        HIGH INTEREST
                            620
                                         IDN
                                                MEX
                            600
                                        BRA                   CHL
                            580
Interest in science score




                                                                                   PRT
                            560
                                                                                 GRC
                            540                         TUR               RUS          ESP                      HKG
                                                                      ITA
                                                                                       FRA      MAC
                            520                                             SVK                    DEU
                                                                                      HUN
                                                                    ISR           LUX   AUT    SVN JPN
                            500                                                   POL BEL CHE      EST
                                                                                       CZE
                                                                                                 KOR
                            480                                                      USA    IRL
                                                                            NOR                      CAN
                                                                              ISL          GBR AUS
                            460                                                DNK                  NZL
                                        LOW SCORE                                                                     FIN       HIGH SCORE
                                                                                   SWE
                                        LOW INTEREST                                              NLD                         LOW INTEREST
                            440
                                  380    400     420      440       460          480     500      520     540         560   580   600    620
                                                                                PISA 2006 Science score                                 49
More supportive teaching?
                        PISA 2009   PISA 2000   Change 2000-2009
             100                                                   18

             90                                                    16




                                                                        Percentage points change 2000-2009
             80                                                    14

             70                                                    12

             60                                                    10
Percentage




             50                                                    8

             40                                                    6

             30                                                    4

             20                                                    2

             10                                                    0

               0                                                   -2




                                                                       50
Ipsative means




                                              0.0
                                                      0.5
                                                              1.0
                                                                    1.5
                                                                          2.0




                        -1.5
                               -1.0
                                      -0.5
           Denmark

             Norway

             Iceland

           Malaysia

              Turkey

             Poland
                                                                                Structuring teaching practices




             Mexico

               Brazil

             Austria

            Australia

              Korea

     Slovak Republic

             Estonia

               Spain

            Slovenia
                                                                                Student-oriented teaching practices




        Belgium (Fl.)

           Lithuania

            Portugal

                Italy

            Bulgaria

               Malta

            Hungary

             Ireland
51
                                                                                                                      More innovative teaching practices?
                                                                                Enhanced teaching activities
Pedagogies for innovation skills

              Science score                 Interest in Science Topics
  0.3                                 0.3

0.25                                0.25
                                               20
  0.2                                 0.2

 0.15                                0.15

  0.1                                 0.1

0.05              8                                          3       6
          4                         0.05
                         1                     0
   0                                   0
         -1       -2     -2                           -2     -1      -1
-0.05
                                    -0.05

 -0.1                         -10
                                     -0.1
-0.15
                                    -0.15




                                                                          52
Pedagogies for innovation skills

         Science Enjoyment                Science Self-Efficacy
  0.3                               0.3

0.25     26                       0.25

  0.2                               0.2

 0.15                              0.15   15

                     11
  0.1                               0.1

                                                  4      5        4
0.05                              0.05
               1
         0           0
   0                         2       0
               -1            -3
-0.05                             -0.05

 -0.1                              -0.1

-0.15                             -0.15




                                                                      53
6.
UNDERSTANDING
EDUCATIONAL INNOVATION
                         54
Further work

• CERI publications on skills for innovation and
  innovation in education in 2012-13
• CERI publication on innovative learning
  environments: analysis of innovative cases
• CERI/NSF publication on learning research and
  implications for innovation in education
• Analytical work on innovative teaching practices
  in science and math
• Etc.


                                                 55
Innovation for 21st C education

• Many of the emerging and developing countries
  focus exclusively on traditional cognitive
  learning outcomes
• How to integrate 21st skills and innovative
  pedagogies into the educational development
  agenda?
• An ecology of innovation will require visionary
  leadership, better research evidence, more
  knowledge-intensive professionalisation, strong
  communities of practice and open institutions

                                                    56
Thank you !

dirk.vandamme@oecd.org
 www.oecd.org/edu/ceri




                         57

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Innovation to improve 21st c education for all penn, 19 march 2012

  • 1. Innovation to improve 21st century education for all Prof. Dr. Dirk Van Damme Head of the Centre for Educational Research and Innovation - OECD
  • 2. 2
  • 3. 3
  • 5. “Education is only the image and reflection of society. It imitates and reproduces the latter…it does not create it” Emile Durkheim “Education is a social process. Education is growth. Education is not a preparation for life; education is life itself” John Dewey 5
  • 6. Time, continuity, change • Durkheim – and ‘reproduction theories’ after him – sees education as a kind of ‘condensation’ of a society’s history, social structure etc., thus following social change – ‘slowness’ in terms of time-lag between social change and educational change – ‘slowness’ in terms of individual biography and the prolonged impact of education on one’s life 6
  • 7. Time, continuity, change • John Dewey – and progressive educators in his footsteps (Paulo Freire) – see education as a potential driver of social change by stressing the transformative capacities of education – Enhancing the capacity of critical analysis and reflection to overcome historical legacies – Guiding individuals and communities to pockets of change in society (e.g. science) which drive transformative change 7
  • 8. Time, continuity, change • The transformative capacity of education has a lot to do with the capacity of educational systems themselves to change – So, analysing innovation in education helps to understand the capacity of education to drive innovation in society at large • This becomes extremely relevant today as change is accelerating and several ‘change agents’ perceive education as ‘out-of-tune’ with the pace, direction and contents of change 8
  • 9. 2. EDUCATION IN THE 21ST C: ‘MORE OF THE SAME’? 9
  • 10. 20th century education: expansion • Following the emergence of popular education in the 18th and 19th C, modern institutionalised and professionalised education systems have consolidated and expanded in the 20th C – Connected to economic, political and social transformations: global capitalism, democracy, social mobility and meritocracy – From elitist to universalist ambitions – Globalisation and convergence – Standardisation 10
  • 11. % 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 40 45 50 35 Canada United States New Zealand Estonia Finland Australia Norway Sweden Netherlands Switzerland 2000's United Kingdom Denmark Japan Germany Iceland 1990's Belgium OECD average Luxembourg EU19 average Ireland 1980's France Spain Hungary Slovenia Greece 1970's Austria Poland Korea groups 25-34 years, 35-44 years, 45-54 years and 55-64 years (2007) Slovak Republic Czech Republic Italy Growth in university-level qualifications Mexico Chile Brazil Approximated by the percentage of the population that has attained tertiary-type A education in the age Turkey Portugal
  • 12. Where are we now? • Enormous expansion and massification: the ‘educational revolution’ – In 55-64y olds population: 39 million tertiary qualified – In 25-34y olds population: 81 million tertiary qualified • Shifting balances in global talent pool – US: from 35.8% to 20.5% between two generations – China: from 6.9% to 18.3% 12
  • 13. Where are we now? • Universalist ambitions have not (yet) been fully fulfilled – Still huge gaps in access, participation and achievement – Equity: huge impact of social background on educational outcomes – Standardisation: huge quality variation in comparable levels of qualification – Lifelong learning: unproductive concentration of educational investment in early phase of life- course 13
  • 14. Where are we now? • While at the same time the impact of education on economic and social outcomes has reached unprecedented levels – Increasing impact on earnings distribution and labour market participation – Increasing impact on social risks and social outcomes • This tension between increasing social relevance and difficulties in delivering constitute a huge risk for educational systems – Alternatives already appearing 14
  • 15. % % 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Portugal Spain Iceland Italy Norway Luxembourg United Kingdom OECD average Greece Belgium Netherlands Estonia Born abroad France Germany Hungary Austria Ireland United States Israel Born in the country Canada Australia Finland Switzerland no upper secondary qualification (2007) Sweden Slovak Republic Slovenia Poland Czech Republic 15 Proportion of 20-24 year-olds who are not in education and have
  • 16. 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 40 60 80 Brazil Hungary United States Czech Republic Portugal Slovak Republic Poland Below upper secondary education Luxembourg Israel Austria Canada France Italy Germany Finland Tertiary-type B education Korea OECD average Ireland Turkey Belgium United Kingdom Netherlands Switzerland Spain Index for males, upper secondary=100, 25-64y olds (2008) Sweden Australia Japan Denmark Relative earnings by qualification New Zealand Tertiary-type A and advanced research programmes Norway 16
  • 17. Low skills and economic outcomes Increased likelihood (16-65 year olds) Increased likelihood of failure (16-65 year olds) 3.5 In lowest two quintiles of personal income 3.0 Unemployed 2.5 2.0 Received social assistance in last year 1.5 Did not receive investment 1.0 income in last year 0 1 2 3 4 Number of of skills domains with low performance Number skills domains with low performance Number of skills domains with low performance 17
  • 18. 150 200 250 300 350 Skill score Not completed school Upper secondary University Not completed school Upper secondary University Not completed school Upper secondary University The skills value of qualifications Interquartile range in skill distribution by educational qualification 18
  • 19. Lifelong de-skilling Skill score 305 295 Factoring in population ageing 285 275 265 255 245 235 225 15 25 35 45 55 65 No adjustment Age Adjusted for immigrant status and education Adjusted for immigrant status, education and reading engagement 19
  • 20. But also vast macro-efficiency problems • Despite huge increase in expenditure for education, very limited rise in outcomes over the past 10 to 15 years • Problems in quantity and quality of the teaching work force • Governance reform (school autonomy, decentralisation) have not fully produced expected results and have counterproductive effects 20
  • 21. Is expansion the only answer? • Most development goals in education (MDGs, European Commission 2020, etc.) are still purely quantitative targets, aiming at further expansion of education systems • But will ‘more of the same’ be a sufficient answer to address the needs and tackle the increasing challenges in delivering and efficiency? – “has the concern for equity and access driven progressive educators into conservatism?” • Or will innovation be truly part of the response? 21
  • 23. CERI’s Innovation Strategy project • The main driver for innovation in education does not come from within education, but from the external changing skills demand • Research questions: – Do innovation-driven economies require more and better educated populations? – What qualifications do innovative businesses need? – What individual skills should education systems foster? 23
  • 24. Changing skill demand Economy-wide measures of routine and non-routine task input (US) Mean task input as percentiles of the 1960 task distribution Routine manual 65 60 Nonroutine manual 55 Routine cognitive 50 45 Nonroutine analytic 40 Nonroutine interactive 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Source: Levy and Murnane, 2005 24
  • 25. Working in creative jobs Increase in creativity-oriented jobs (Canada, 1901-2006) 25
  • 26. Employment structure in selected countries in 1980 Source: Michael et al. 26
  • 27. Employment structure in selected countries in 2004 27 Source: Michael et al.
  • 28. Skills supply hampering innovation (odds ratios: innovative vs. non-innovative (ref)) Lack of finance from sources outside your enterprise 1.39 Lack of qualified personnel 1.37 Lack of funds within your enterprise or enterprise group 1.29 Innovation costs too high 1.18 Lack of information on markets 1.14 Difficulty in finding cooperation partners for innovation 1.05 Lack of information on technology 1.00 Markets dominated by established enterprises 0.98 Uncertain demand for innovative goods or services 0.97 No need to innovate due to prior innovations 0.44 No need to innovate because no demand for innovations 0.35 0.3 0.6 1.2 28 Source: OECD, based on CIS data
  • 29. Which tertiary education studies lead to active participation in innovation? Innovator work in innov. comp. Not in innovative organisation 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 29 Source: OECD, based on REFLEX and HEGESCO data
  • 30. Critical skills for the most innovative jobs (tertiary-educated workers) Likelihood (odds ratios) of reporting the following job requirements: people in the most innovative jobs vs. least innovative jobs come with news ideas/solutions 2.97 acquire new knowledge 2.44 willingness to question ideas 2.34 alertness to opportunities 2.24 present ideas in audience 2.18 analytical thinking 2.15 master of your own field 2.11 coordinate activities 2.05 write and speak a foreign language 2.02 use computers and internet 2.00 make your meaning clear 1.99 use time efficiently 1.98 mobilize capacities of others 1.97 work productively with others 1.95 write reports or documents 1.94 perform under pressure 1.81 knowledge of other fields 1.76 negociate 1.76 assert your authority 1.56 0.90 1.80 3.60 30 Source: OECD, based on REFLEX and HEGESCO data
  • 31. Skills for Innovation • Foundation skills (literacy, numeracy…) are key to access lifelong learning • Which individual skills for innovation are key? – Subject-based skills (know-what and know- how) – Skills in thinking and creativity (critical thinking, imagination, curiosity...) – Behavioural and social skills (self- confidence, energy, passion, leadership, collabora tion, communication...) 31
  • 32. Skills for Innovation What individual competences should people acquire to contribute to innovation as producers and users? Subject-based skills (know-what and know- how) Behavioural and Skills in thinking social skills and creativity (Self- (Critical thinking, ability confidence, energy, persev to make erance, passion, leadership connections, imagination, , collaboration, communic curiosity,...) ation) 32
  • 33. 21st Century Skills •Creativity and innovation Ways of thinking •Critical thinking, problem solving •Learning to learn, meta-cognition •Communication Ways of working •Collaboration (teamwork) •Information literacy Tools of working •ICT literacy •Citizenship – local and global Living in the world •Life and career •Personal, social responsibility Source: Microsoft-Intel-Cisco ATC21S project 33
  • 34. A challenging situation • Early 21st C education systems are especially good in delivering routine-based skills which can easily be taught in standardised ways but also easily digitised and automated • But are not yet well prepared to equip learners with the flexible, creative, innovative and collaborative skills sets which they will need in 21st C economies and societies 34
  • 36. Innovation in education • Education generally is a low innovation-intensive sector – Especially low in product/services and tools/instruments/methods innovation • Available evidence does not show a knowledge dynamics between ‘grey’ and ‘green’ knowledge typical for knowledge-intensive and innovative sectors – New teachers do not have different pedagogical beliefs than more experienced teachers • Innovation is not rewarded in professional appraisal systems – Three out of four teachers reporting not to be rewarded for innovation 36
  • 37. Product/service innovation 37 Source: Paul (2007)
  • 38. Process/tools/instruments innovation 38 Source: Paul (2007)
  • 39. Are new teachers innovators? Constructivist beliefs - Experienced teachers Constructivist beliefs - New teachers Direct transmission beliefs - Experienced teachers Direct transmission beliefs - New teachers 0.5 Ipsative means 0.0 -0.5 Italy Hungary Denmark Estonia Austria* Turkey* Spain Portugal Malta Norway Poland* Ireland* Brazil Lithuania Iceland Slovenia Australia Korea Slovak Republic Bulgaria Mexico Malaysia Belgium (Fl.)* 39
  • 40. % 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Belgium (Fl.) Norway Ireland their teaching Australia Denmark Spain Korea Austria Malta Iceland Portugal Brazil Estonia TALIS Average Lithuania Turkey Slovenia Mexico Hungary Rewarding innovation Slovak… Italy Poland Bulgaria Teachers who would receive increased monetary or non-monetary rewards if they are more innovative in % Malaysia 40
  • 41. Research as a motor for innovation? 41
  • 42. Research as a motor for innovation? 42
  • 43. 350 400 550 600 300 450 500 Finland Liechtenstein New Zealand Japan Canada Germany Korea Netherlands Hungary Ireland Switzerland Belgium Australia Austria Frequent use Sweden Greece Poland Spain Croatia Macao-China Lithuania Italy Slovenia Slovak Republic Moderate use Czech Republic Norway Latvia Iceland Portugal Denmark Russian Federation Chile Turkey student performance on PISA science scale Frequency of use of computers at school and Uruguay Rare or no use Bulgaria Thailand Serbia Jordan Colombia 43 Qatar Technology as a motor for innovation?
  • 47. Transversal conclusions To promote learning, environments should: • Make learning central, encourage engagement, and be where learners come to understand themselves as learners • Ensure that learning is social and often collaborative • Be highly attuned to learners’ motivations and the importance of emotions • Be acutely sensitive to individual differences including in prior knowledge • Be demanding for each learner but without excessive overload • Use assessments consistent with its aims, with strong emphasis on formative feedback • Promote horizontal connectedness across activities and subjects, in-and out-of-school 47
  • 48. Expressed in educational terms… These ‘principles’ mean that learning environments should be: • Learner-centred: highly focused on learning but not as an alternative to the key role for teachers • Structured and well-designed: needs careful design and high professionalism alongside inquiry & autonomous learning • Profoundly personalised: acutely sensitive to individual and group differences and offering tailored feedback • Inclusive: such sensitivity to individual and group differences means they are fundamentally inclusive • Social: learning is effective in group settings, when learners collaborate, and when there is a connection to community. 48
  • 49. Cognitive outcomes versus interest Science scores and interest in science are not always fostered simultaneously 640 LOW SCORE HIGH SCORE HIGH INTEREST HIGH INTEREST 620 IDN MEX 600 BRA CHL 580 Interest in science score PRT 560 GRC 540 TUR RUS ESP HKG ITA FRA MAC 520 SVK DEU HUN ISR LUX AUT SVN JPN 500 POL BEL CHE EST CZE KOR 480 USA IRL NOR CAN ISL GBR AUS 460 DNK NZL LOW SCORE FIN HIGH SCORE SWE LOW INTEREST NLD LOW INTEREST 440 380 400 420 440 460 480 500 520 540 560 580 600 620 PISA 2006 Science score 49
  • 50. More supportive teaching? PISA 2009 PISA 2000 Change 2000-2009 100 18 90 16 Percentage points change 2000-2009 80 14 70 12 60 10 Percentage 50 8 40 6 30 4 20 2 10 0 0 -2 50
  • 51. Ipsative means 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 Denmark Norway Iceland Malaysia Turkey Poland Structuring teaching practices Mexico Brazil Austria Australia Korea Slovak Republic Estonia Spain Slovenia Student-oriented teaching practices Belgium (Fl.) Lithuania Portugal Italy Bulgaria Malta Hungary Ireland 51 More innovative teaching practices? Enhanced teaching activities
  • 52. Pedagogies for innovation skills Science score Interest in Science Topics 0.3 0.3 0.25 0.25 20 0.2 0.2 0.15 0.15 0.1 0.1 0.05 8 3 6 4 0.05 1 0 0 0 -1 -2 -2 -2 -1 -1 -0.05 -0.05 -0.1 -10 -0.1 -0.15 -0.15 52
  • 53. Pedagogies for innovation skills Science Enjoyment Science Self-Efficacy 0.3 0.3 0.25 26 0.25 0.2 0.2 0.15 0.15 15 11 0.1 0.1 4 5 4 0.05 0.05 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -3 -0.05 -0.05 -0.1 -0.1 -0.15 -0.15 53
  • 55. Further work • CERI publications on skills for innovation and innovation in education in 2012-13 • CERI publication on innovative learning environments: analysis of innovative cases • CERI/NSF publication on learning research and implications for innovation in education • Analytical work on innovative teaching practices in science and math • Etc. 55
  • 56. Innovation for 21st C education • Many of the emerging and developing countries focus exclusively on traditional cognitive learning outcomes • How to integrate 21st skills and innovative pedagogies into the educational development agenda? • An ecology of innovation will require visionary leadership, better research evidence, more knowledge-intensive professionalisation, strong communities of practice and open institutions 56
  • 57. Thank you ! dirk.vandamme@oecd.org www.oecd.org/edu/ceri 57

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Country mean for the OECD countries for which information was available. Austria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, Slovak Republic and the United States.In 2008, share of public investment to research and development in health sector (7.6%) was more than 6 times higher that the share of public investment in educational research and development (1.2%).From qualitative standpoint, educational research needs:More precise findings and evaluationsCapacity building in empirical researchBetter connection between research and practice