2. Detailed Methodology
2
• The survey was conducted by the public opinion and market research company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup
Organization on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The field work was carried out by Rating Group
Ukraine.
• Data was collected throughout Ukraine April 3–12, 2014, through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ home.
Due to Russia’s occupation of the peninsula, resident’s of Crimea were unable to be included in this poll.
• The sample consisted of 1,200 permanent residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. It is
representative for the general population by age, gender, education, region and size of the settlement.
• Multistage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday respondent’s selection
procedures.
• Stage one: 25 official administrative regions of Ukraine were defined (24 regions of Ukraine and Kyiv).
All regions of Ukraine were surveyed except Crimea.
• Stage two: selection of the settlements - towns and villages. Towns were grouped into subtypes according
to the size:
• City more than one million residents
• City 500,000-999,000 residents
• City 100,000-499,000 residents
• City 50,000-99,000 residents
• City to 50,000 residents
• Village
• Settlements were selected at random. The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional
to the share of population living in a particular type of the settlement in each region.
• Stage three: primary sampling units were described.
•
• The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.8 percent.
• Response rate was 65 percent.
• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
• The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development.
4. Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation
to send its army into Ukraine under the pretext of protecting Russian-
speaking citizens?
4
7%
4%
6%
5%
9%
12%
72%
73%
6%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
5. 5
2%
5%
8%
1%
1%
8%
11%
5%
10%
14%
17%
92%
84%
61%
52%
2%
2%
12%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation
to send its army into Ukraine under the pretext of protecting Russian-
speaking citizens?
6. Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation
to send its army into Ukraine under the pretext of protecting Russian-
speaking citizens?
6
By age and gender
4%
3%
4%
4%
4%
5%
6%
6%
4%
14%
11%
12%
11%
13%
71%
74%
73%
73%
73%
4%
7%
7%
6%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
18-29
30-49
50+
Male
Female
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
6%
7. Do you support the decision of the Russian Federation
to send its army into Ukraine under the pretext of protecting Russian-
speaking citizens?
7
2%
9%
3%
10%
10%
16%
82%
52%
3%
13%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Ukrainian-
speaking citizens
Russian-speaking
citizens
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
8. Is it necessary for the Russian military to come into eastern and/or southern
Ukraine to protect the Russian speakers and ethnic Russians?
8
3%
4%
12%
76%
5%
Definitely yes
Rather yes
Rather no
Definitely no
Don't know/Refused
to answer
9. Is it necessary for the Russian military to come into eastern and/or southern
Ukraine to protect the Russian speakers and ethnic Russians?
9
1%
2%
7%
1%
3%
10%
7%
7%
13%
21%
91%
88%
73%
52%
1%
3%
9%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
10. Is it necessary for the Russian military to come into eastern and/or southern
Ukraine to protect the Russian speakers and ethnic Russians?
10
1%
8%
2%
8%
9%
19%
85%
54%
3%
11%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Ukrainian-speaking citizens
Russian-speaking citizens
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
11. How do you evaluate Russia’s actions in Crimea?
In your opinion, are they aimed at…
11
54%
17%
13%
5%
4%
1%
6%
55%
15%
9%
7%
4%
3%
7%
Invasion and occupation of independent Ukraine
Threat to new Ukrainian political leaders
Protection of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine
Response to the new Crimea leaders asking for
help
Protection of Russian military base in Sevastopol
Other
Don't know/Refused to answer
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
March 2014
April 2014
13. In you opinion, should Ukraine… ?
13
64%
66%
10%
7%
14%
17%
1%
2%
1%
1%
10%
7%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
Remain a unitary country Remain a unitary country, but without Crimea
Become a federal country Be divided into several countries
Other Difficult to answer/No answer
14. In you opinion, should Ukraine… ?
14
89%
77%
58%
40%
4%
11%
3%
9%
4%
5%
26%
35%
2%
3%
2%
7%
9%
8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Remain a unitary country Remain a unitary country, but without Crimea
Become a federal country Be divided into several countries
Other Difficult to answer/No answer
2%
5%
15. Do you support the idea of replacing oblast and rayon
state administration with executive committees
which would be appointed by the oblast and rayon councils?
15
23%
25%
9%
14%
29%
Fully support
Rather support
Rather don't support
Totally don't support
Don't know/Refused
to answer
16. In your opinion, what should be the status of Crimea?
16
50%
42%
13%
20%
13%
13%
8%
8%
5%
4%
1%
1%
2%
9%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
Autonomous republic within Ukraine Crimean-Tatar autonomous republic within Ukraine
Should become part of Russia Become an oblast of Ukraine
Should become an independent state Should become part of Turkey
Other Don't know/Refused to answer
18. Are you going to vote in the presidential
election to be held on May 25, 2014?
18
48%
55%
31%
29%
4%
2%
12%
10%
5%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
19. Are you going to vote in the presidential
election to be held on May 25, 2014?
19
74%
58%
29%
47%
17%
34%
33%
32%
1%
3%
4%
5%
5%
25%
13%
4%
2%
10%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
20. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential
election to be held on May 25, 2014?
20
29%
13%
6%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
1%
1%
3%
3%
11%
12%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Petro Poroshenko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Serhiy Tihipko
Mykhaylo Dobkin
Oleh Lyashko
Petro Symonenko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Olha Bohomolets
Oleh Tyahnybok
Dmytro Yarosh
Nataliya Korolevska
Other
Against all
I would not vote
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
All respondents; First choice
21. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential
election to be held on May 25, 2014?
21
34%
15%
7%
6%
5%
5%
3%
3%
3%
2%
1%
3%
3%
11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Petro Poroshenko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Serhiy Tihipko
Mykhaylo Dobkin
Oleh Lyashko
Petro Symonenko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Olha Bohomolets
Oleh Tyahnybok
Dmytro Yarosh
Nataliya Korolevska
Other
Against all
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
Likely voters, n=1,005; First choice
22. Who are you going to vote for in the presidential
election to be held on May 25, 2014?
22
15%
7%
7%
5%
4%
4%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
3%
8%
13%
26%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Petro Poroshenko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Serhiy Tihipko
Oleh Lyashko
Olha Bohomolets
Mykhaylo Dobkin
Oleh Tyahnybok
Petro Symonenko
Dmytro Yarosh
Nataliya Korolevska
Yuriy Boyko
Other
Against all
I would not vote
Difficult to answer/Don’t know
All respondents, Second choice
23. If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, for whom would you vote?
23
41% 15% 21% 12% 11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Petro Poroshenko Yuliya Tymoshenko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
24. If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, for whom would you vote?
24
51% 12% 14% 12% 10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Petro Poroshenko Mykhaylo Dobkin Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
25. If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, for whom would you vote?
25
50% 13% 14% 12% 11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Petro Poroshenko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
26. If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, for whom would you vote?
26
31% 17% 26% 13% 13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Yuliya Tymoshenko Serhiy Tihipko Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
27. If the following candidates are in the second round of the
presidential election, for whom would you vote?
27
33% 12% 28% 14% 13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Yuliya Tymoshenko Mykhaylo Dobkin Against both I would not vote Difficult to answer/Don’t know
28. In your opinion, will Russia attempt to disrupt or discredit the
upcoming presidential election in Ukraine?
28
37%
27%
13%
12%
11%
Definitely yes
Rather yes
Rather no
Definitely no
Don't know/Refused
to answer
29. In your opinion, will the next presidential election be…?
29
2%
4%
7%
11%
17%
20%
34%
38%
39%
35%
27%
22%
26%
22%
15%
16%
16%
19%
17%
13%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
Absolutely free and fair Rather free and fair Rather not free and fair
Absolutely not free and fair Don't know/Refused to answer
31. Do you approve or disapprove of the job acting
President Oleksandr Turchynov is doing?
31
9%
11%
33%
35%
20%
19%
27%
24%
11%
11%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
32. Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Cabinet of Ministers
of Ukraine under Prime Minister Yatsenyuk is doing?
32
12%
16%
34%
36%
17%
16%
27%
24%
9%
8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
33. Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Parliament of Ukraine is doing?
33
2%
6%
6%
10%
11%
33%
33%
35%
30%
24%
24%
45%
50%
26%
26%
9%
7%
11%
11%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove Don't know/Refused to answer
34. How would you evaluate the efforts of the new authorities
in Ukraine to secure the territorial integrity of Ukraine?
34
14%
29%
27%
23%
7% They do everything
that can be done
They do part of what
can be done
They do very little of
what can be done
Total inactivity
Difficult to answer/No
answer
35. What is your opinion about each of these
members of the Ukrainian government?
35
53%
47%
38%
30%
26%
26%
23%
19%
19%
18%
16%
13%
40%
43%
41%
51%
23%
30%
23%
20%
21%
22%
18%
18%
1%
1%
8%
5%
36%
27%
37%
44%
45%
44%
51%
56%
6%
9%
13%
14%
15%
17%
17%
17%
15%
16%
14%
13%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk
Acting President Oleksandr Turchynov
Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council
Andriy Parubiy
Minister of Internal Affairs Arsen Avakov
Acting Minister of Foreign Affairs Andriy Deshchytsia
First Deputy Prime Minister Vitaliy Yarema
Acting Minister of Defense Mykhaylo Koval
Minister of Healthcare Oleh Musiy
Deputy Prime Minister Volodymyr Hroisman
Minister of Economic Development Pavlo Sheremeta
Minister of Education and Science Serhiy Kvit
Deputy Prime Minister Oleksandr Sych
Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard the name Don't know/No answer
36. What is your opinion about each of these
Ukrainian politicians and civic activists?
36
63%
60%
50%
50%
40%
34%
32%
30%
25%
19%
15%
12%
9%
7%
4%
30%
21%
32%
45%
51%
59%
26%
65%
59%
73%
75%
82%
16%
14%
92%
1%
6%
6%
1%
30%
3%
3%
66%
71%
6%
13%
12%
5%
8%
7%
12%
5%
13%
8%
7%
6%
9%
8%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Petro Poroshenko
Olha Bohomolets
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Vitaliy Klychko
Yuriy Lutsenko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Lesya Orobets
Oleh Tyahnybok
Dmytro Yarosh
Serhiy Tihipko
Mykhaylo Dobkin
Petro Symonenko
Vasyl Hatsko
Hanna Hopko
Viktor Yanukovych
Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard the name Don't know/No answer
38. If Ukraine was able to enter only one
international economic union, should it be with…?
38
42%
36%
37%
32%
40%
42%
41%
52%
53%
40%
43%
41%
42%
37%
37%
36%
27%
24%
3%
4%
5%
6%
5%
5%
9%
6%
10%
15%
17%
17%
20%
18%
16%
14%
14%
13%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
November
2011
March 2012
May 2012
August 2012
May 2013
September
2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan Other Don't know/No answer
39. If Ukraine was able to enter only one
international economic union, should it be with…?
39
82%
69%
28%
27%
2%
10%
32%
53%
3%
9%
19%
10%
12%
12%
21%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan Other Don't know/No answer
40. If a referendum was held today on Ukraine joining
the European Union, how would you vote?
40
53%
54%
28%
31%
8%
7%
11%
8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
Would vote for Ukraine to join the European Union Would vote against Ukraine joining the European Union
Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
41. 41
83%
70%
28%
27%
10%
17%
37%
59%
2%
4%
20%
8%
5%
9%
15%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Would vote for Ukraine to join the European Union Would vote against Ukraine joining the European Union
Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
If Ukraine was able to enter only one
international economic union, should it be with…?
42. If a referendum was held today on Ukraine joining the Customs Union with
Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, how would you vote?
42
28%
24%
51%
57%
15%
9%
6%
10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March
2014
April 2014
Would vote for Ukraine to join the Customs Union Would vote against Ukraine joining the Customs Union
Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
43. If a referendum was held today on Ukraine joining the Customs Union with
Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, how would you vote?
43
4%
9%
31%
53%
82%
75%
35%
29%
7%
7%
16%
8%
7%
9%
18%
9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
West
Center
South
East
Would vote for Ukraine to join the Customs Union Would vote against Ukraine joining the Customs Union
Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer
45. Do you think that early parliamentary elections
should be carried out in the near future?
45
2%
27%
37%
10%
11%
35%
31%
35%
30%
12%
12%
45%
50%
12%
9%
9%
7%
14%
11%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
46. If early parliamentary elections were announced today, would you vote?
46
33%
34%
41%
42%
49%
36%
34%
35%
33%
32%
8%
7%
8%
5%
4%
19%
20%
10%
12%
11%
4%
5%
6%
8%
4%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no Don't know/Refused to answer
47. If parliamentary elections were held today,
which political party would you vote for?
47
16%
15%
9%
8%
5%
5%
4%
1%
1%
4%
13%
20%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Solidarnist (P. Poroshenko)
Batkivshchyna (Y. Tymoshenko)
Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform
(UDAR) (V. Klychko)
Party of Regions
Svoboda (O. Tyahnybok)
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko (O. Lyashko)
Communist Party (P. Symonenko)
Pravyi Sector (D. Yarosh)
Ukraine-Forward! (N. Korolevska)
Other
I would not vote
Don't know/Refused to answer
48. In your opinion, will the next parliamentary elections be…?
48
4%
7%
10%
20%
33%
37%
36%
26%
22%
22%
16%
16%
18%
18%
15%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
Absolutely free and fair Rather free and fair Rather not free and fair
Absolutely not free and fair Don't know/Refused to answer
50. Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right
direction or wrong direction?
50
13% 13% 14%
24%
15% 15%
18%
30% 34%
71% 73%
66%
58%
69% 67%
64%
52% 48%
16%
14%
20%
18%
16%
18%
17% 18%
18%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
November
2011
March
2012
May
2012
August
2012
May
2013
September
2013
February
2014
March
2014
April
2014
Right direction Wrong direction Don't know, no answer
51. Over the last 12 months, the financial situation of your household has…
51
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
6%
6%
9%
14%
8%
9%
8%
3%
4%
37%
39%
45%
37%
46%
41%
44%
46%
37%
36%
34%
30%
27%
30%
30%
31%
29%
34%
18%
18%
13%
15%
14%
17%
14%
18%
22%
2%
2%
3%
5%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
November 2011
March 2012
May 2012
August 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same
Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer
52. In the next 12 months, do you expect the economic situation in Ukraine will…
52
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
7%
8%
13%
17%
8%
12%
9%
11%
10%
30%
32%
35%
31%
38%
27%
20%
16%
13%
32%
32%
26%
24%
29%
29%
31%
26%
26%
17%
15%
11%
11%
12%
17%
28%
35%
43%
13%
12%
14%
16%
12%
13%
12%
11%
7%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
November 2011
March 2012
May 2012
August 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same
Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/No answer
54. How do you perceive the level of support for Ukraine from the
following countries during the Crimea crisis?
54
51%
49%
45%
44%
42%
37%
29%
30%
34%
35%
33%
37%
12%
13%
14%
13%
14%
13%
8%
8%
8%
8%
11%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Poland
European
Union
United States
Germany
Lithuania
Canada
Supportive Neutral Not supportive Don't know/Refused to answer
56. Demographics
45%
55%
22%
35%
44%
69%
30%
1%
32%
36%
32%
24%
1%
20%
1%
31%
4%
9%
7%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Male
Female
18-29 years
30-49 years
50 years and older
Ukrainian
Russian
Other
Secondary or lower
Vocational
Higher
Blue collar
Farmer
White collar
Higher or medium executive
Retired (not working)
Student
Housewife
Unemployed
Other
GENDERAGE
LANGUAGE
SPOKENAT
HOMEEDUCATIONOCCUPATION
56
57. Demographics
57
78%
7%
3%
1%
11%
41%
57%
1%
1%
13%
8%
18%
8%
22%
31%
22%
30%
19%
29%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Orthodox
Greek Catholic
Other
Atheist
Believe in God but don't belong to any religion
Bad
Average
Good
No answer
City with more than 1 million
City with 500-999 thousand
City with 100-499 thousand
City with 50-99 thousand
Up to 50 thousand
Rural area
West
Center
South
East
RELIGION
SITUATIONOF
FAMILYSETTLEMENTTYPEREGIONS
