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Mobile TV Project
    Business Case
Mobile Telecommunication Market
                 Trends
•   The fast track growth of the market is already over:
     – Diminishing margins
     – Price war
     – New competitors
     – MVNOs.


•   New services
     – Demand for new services is driven by decrease in Mobile Operator profits
       as well as growing expectations of the customers.


•   Smartphones
     – Smartphones are more & more popular in Poland creating a new mass
       market platform for innovative services.
Smartphones in the network
•   Smartphones are the targeted medium in Mobile TV business case.
•   Smartphones are more & more popular handsets in Poland: in 2009 almost 1 million of
    smartphones was sold in Poland.
•   25% handsets sold in 2009 in Poland were smartphones.

                                          Smartphones Forecast



        9 000 000

        8 000 000

        7 000 000

        6 000 000

        5 000 000                  3 590 147

        4 000 000

        3 000 000

        2 000 000

        1 000 000

               0
                    2008   2009   2010         2011        2012   2013   2014   2015
Value chain



   Content Provider          Service Provider      GSM / 3G Network

                                                     • Connect End Users
• Create & deliver content   • Provides services
                                                   • Provides Data Service
                                                       • Billing services
Business Case - Assumptions
•   Market Potential for Mobile TV services was assumed as 50% of number of active smartphones users.
•   Service Provider will sign agreement with P4 - PLAY.
•   Service Provider market share in 2015 will reach 10% of target market.

•   Price for services will amount to 5,9 € (net = 25 PLN/gross) monthly subscription fee.

•   Direct costs will cover:
     – Revenue share for Mobile Operator = 30% of revenues
     – Content costs of 2€ per month per user
     – Application maintenance – 50.000 € yearly

•   G&A costs consist of Salaries & Levies (7 FTE in 2015), Office costs & Others

•   Promotion costs for Stalker was assumed at the level of 150.000 € in first year and 100.000€ annually in
    further years.

•   CAPEX covers Purchase of Application License, Integration costs, Purchase of servers and streaming
    serves.

•   Technical assumptions: service will be delivered over IP Protocol using streaming servers and Video
    storage of Service Provider.
Business Case - Results
   6 000 000

   5 000 000

   4 000 000

   3 000 000

   2 000 000

   1 000 000

           0

   -1 000 000
                2010   2011        2012            2013        2014        2015
 Revenues (€)                     693 335        1 586 732   3 630 231   5 638 846
 EBITDA                           -444 962        18 257     638 447     1 247 633
 NCF                              -737 149         8 882     607 979     1 225 758

                         Revenues (€)   EBITDA     NCF




We expect positive EBIDA & Cash Flows in 2013.
Business Case – Operator’s
               Benefits
Intangible benefits:


• Innovative   service not offered by other Mobile Operators in Poland

• Possibility to distinguish from competitors

• Increase in smartphones sales

• Marketing gains.
Thank you

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Flevy.com - Mobile TV in Poland Business Case

  • 1. Mobile TV Project Business Case
  • 2. Mobile Telecommunication Market Trends • The fast track growth of the market is already over: – Diminishing margins – Price war – New competitors – MVNOs. • New services – Demand for new services is driven by decrease in Mobile Operator profits as well as growing expectations of the customers. • Smartphones – Smartphones are more & more popular in Poland creating a new mass market platform for innovative services.
  • 3. Smartphones in the network • Smartphones are the targeted medium in Mobile TV business case. • Smartphones are more & more popular handsets in Poland: in 2009 almost 1 million of smartphones was sold in Poland. • 25% handsets sold in 2009 in Poland were smartphones. Smartphones Forecast 9 000 000 8 000 000 7 000 000 6 000 000 5 000 000 3 590 147 4 000 000 3 000 000 2 000 000 1 000 000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
  • 4. Value chain Content Provider Service Provider GSM / 3G Network • Connect End Users • Create & deliver content • Provides services • Provides Data Service • Billing services
  • 5. Business Case - Assumptions • Market Potential for Mobile TV services was assumed as 50% of number of active smartphones users. • Service Provider will sign agreement with P4 - PLAY. • Service Provider market share in 2015 will reach 10% of target market. • Price for services will amount to 5,9 € (net = 25 PLN/gross) monthly subscription fee. • Direct costs will cover: – Revenue share for Mobile Operator = 30% of revenues – Content costs of 2€ per month per user – Application maintenance – 50.000 € yearly • G&A costs consist of Salaries & Levies (7 FTE in 2015), Office costs & Others • Promotion costs for Stalker was assumed at the level of 150.000 € in first year and 100.000€ annually in further years. • CAPEX covers Purchase of Application License, Integration costs, Purchase of servers and streaming serves. • Technical assumptions: service will be delivered over IP Protocol using streaming servers and Video storage of Service Provider.
  • 6. Business Case - Results 6 000 000 5 000 000 4 000 000 3 000 000 2 000 000 1 000 000 0 -1 000 000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Revenues (€) 693 335 1 586 732 3 630 231 5 638 846 EBITDA -444 962 18 257 638 447 1 247 633 NCF -737 149 8 882 607 979 1 225 758 Revenues (€) EBITDA NCF We expect positive EBIDA & Cash Flows in 2013.
  • 7. Business Case – Operator’s Benefits Intangible benefits: • Innovative service not offered by other Mobile Operators in Poland • Possibility to distinguish from competitors • Increase in smartphones sales • Marketing gains.