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Sustainable Development of
         Vietnam
 Problems and Suggestions

    Dr Ulas Basar Gezgin
 E-mail: ulasbasar@gmail.com
Annual GDP Growth (%)




  Source: Google Public Data, 2011a.
                               sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                         2
                                            Dr.Gezgin
Share of Exports in GDP




  Source: Google Public Data, 2011b.
                               sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                         3
                                            Dr.Gezgin
Imports (% of GDP)




  Source: Google Public Data, 2011c.
                               sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                         4
                                            Dr.Gezgin
Vietnam’s Export Items
•   Crude oil
•   Textiles and garment
•   Rice
•   Coffee
•   Rubber
•   Coal
•   Aquaculture
•   Forest products
•   Fruits

                    sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                              5
                                 Dr.Gezgin
Vietnam’s Import Items
•   Petroleum products
•   Steel
•   Fertilizer
•   Electronics
•   Machinery and equipment




                  sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                            6
                               Dr.Gezgin
High-Technology Exports
            (% of Manufactured Exports)




  Source: Google Public Data, 2011d.
                               sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                         7
                                            Dr.Gezgin
GNI per Capita PPP (*)




    (*) Current international $

  Source: Google Public Data, 2011g.
                                  sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                            8
                                               Dr.Gezgin
Vietnam Population Pyramid




Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.41.
                              sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                                       9
                                           Dr.Gezgin
Children per Woman in Vietnam




Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.54.
                              sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                                       10
                                           Dr.Gezgin
Gender Data, 2009 (%)




Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.42.
                              sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                                       11
                                           Dr.Gezgin
Fertility in Urban vs. Rural Areas




Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.55.
                              sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                                       12
                                           Dr.Gezgin
Labor Force Distribution Across Sectors




  Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.108.
                              sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                                          13
                                           Dr.Gezgin
Labor Force Distribution Across Jobs and Gender (%)




  Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.109.
                              sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                                          14
                                           Dr.Gezgin
Living Conditions (%)




  Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.128.
                              sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                                          15
                                           Dr.Gezgin
Household Amenities (%)- 2009




  Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.131.
                              sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                                          16
                                           Dr.Gezgin
Number of Internet Users




     Kr’s pop: 49 m; Vn’s pop: 86 m


  Source: Google Public Data, 2011e.
                                sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                          17
                                             Dr.Gezgin
Mobile Phone Subscription per 100 People




  Source: Google Public Data, 2011f.
                               sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                         18
                                            Dr.Gezgin
Urbanization in Vietnam
•   2009: Total population: 86 million.
•   49.4% males, 50.6% females.
•   An increase of 9.5 million people in 10 years (1999-2009).
•   Fertility rate is declining.
•   1999-2009: The average annual growth rate of the urban
    population: 3.4%
•   The average annual growth rate of the rural population was
    only 0.4%.
•   2 cities with more than 3 million people in Vietnam:
•   Ho Chi Minh City (7.163 million people),
•   Ha Noi City (6.452 million people) (GSO, 2009).


                       sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                    19
                                    Dr.Gezgin
Urbanization Data




  Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.85, p.86.
                               sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                                         20
                                            Dr.Gezgin
Vietnam Urban Migration Map




Source: Central Population and Housingdevelopment-Vietnam- Committee, 2009, p.83.
                               sustainable Census Steering
1/27/2011                                                                           21
                                        Dr.Gezgin
Climate Change in Ho Chi Minh City
• HCMC’s average elevation: 19 meters.
• Lack of information.
• Southern HCMC: Lowland.
• 1 meter sea level rise: About 500 factories and
  16 industrial zones will be under water (VNN,
  2010a).
• 2011-2015: HCMC needs 1 billion USD to cope
  with climate change This will mostly be spent
  for research (VNN, 2010a).
                  sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                            22
                               Dr.Gezgin
Climate Change in Mekong Delta
• Strategic importance for Vietnam as a whole:
• “grows 50 per cent of Viet Nam's rice; 70 per cent of its
  fruits and provides 90 per cent of rice exports”
• 2020: “38% of the delta can be under water for 6-8
  months”.
• “The sea could inundate 90 per cent of the delta with
  about 8.5 million local residents driven from their
  homes”.
• “One of the world's three deltas most vulnerable to
  climate with 93 per cent of the 840-kilometre coast
  below sea level” (VNN, 2010g).
                     sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                 23
                                  Dr.Gezgin
Environmental Violations
                in Vietnam in 2010
•   43% higher in number compared to 2009.
•   More than 6,500 violations.
•   88 of them involves lawsuits.
•   1/5 involves discharged untreated water and hazardous gas.
•   1/5 involves illegal exploitation of natural resources and mines
•   (eg bauxite mining)
•   Secret underground pipes to discharge wastewater to the rivers is
    common.
•   Only 1/5 of hospitals has a proper waste treatment system.
•   Garbage dumps are full.
•   Import of industrial waste including radioactive waste!
•   Vague laws and lack of enforcement (VNN, 2011a).
•   443,245 violations of the forestry law (1998-2005) (VNN, 2010k).

                          sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                               24
                                       Dr.Gezgin
Rivers Polluted
              by Industrial Wastewater
•   Long An Province (Mekong)
•   A tributary of Dong Nai River
•   14 of 23 industrial parks of the province has no waste treatment system.
•   “Treatment systems are costly.”
•   They discharge 400-500 tonnes of solid waste and 50,000-70,000 cubic
    meters of effluents.
•   Not only industrial pollution, but also household and agricultural
    pollution:
•   Fertilizers and insecticides
•   River as dump site of household waste
•   Also waste coming from HCMC, Tay Ninh and Dong Nai.
•   An industrial solid waste treatment plant is planned to be built (VNN,
    2011b).
•   3.7 million tonnes of solid waste goes to Mekong delta annually (VNN,
    2010i).

                             sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                                      25
                                          Dr.Gezgin
Pollution in Dong Nai River
• 586 km long.
• A basin of 36,000 square kilometers.
• Runs through 11 provinces of Dak Lak, Dak Nong, Lam Dong, Ninh
  Thuan, Binh Thuan, Ba Ria - Vung Tau, Binh Duong, Binh Phuoc,
  Dong Nai, Long An and Tay Ninh, and HCM City
• Agricultural pollution: Fertilizers, herbicides, pesticides.
• Medical Waste: 35% of medical waste goes into Dong Nai without
  treatment.
• 35 of 97 industrial parks on Dong Nai basin has no wastewater
  treatment system.
• Urban household pollution
• Sand exploiation is damaging the riverbed (VNN, 2010d; 2010e).



                        sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                          26
                                     Dr.Gezgin
E-waste in Vietnam
•   Especially, fridges, computers and mobile phones.
•   High toxic content. Dangerous for human nervous system.
•   6 times more e-waste in 2020 compared to 2010 in Vn.
•   2007: “More than 742,000 televisions, 217,000 computers
    and 2.8 million mobile phones were discarded”
•   Collected by informal scrap collectors manually (no
    protection)
•   Trieu Khuc Village, Thanh Tri District, Hanoi and
•   Phan Boi Village in Di Su Commune, Hung Yen Province:
•   E-waste recycling villages
•   (contaminated soil with toxics;
•   high levels of water and air pollution ) (Chi, 2010).
                       sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                     27
                                    Dr.Gezgin
Other Waste Management Problems
• Overloaded landfills.
• Water seepage from the landfills.
• Contamination of groundwater.




                 sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                           28
                              Dr.Gezgin
Problems of Water Management
•   Urban flooding.
•   Sinking (soil subsidence).
•   Groundwater depletion.
•   Saltwater intrusion.




                    sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                              29
                                 Dr.Gezgin
Social Sustainability
•   GDP growth (2010): 6.78% (GSO)
•   CPI: 11.75% (Dec 2009-2010)
•   Food and housing inflation.
•   Poverty rate is declining.
•   Rural-urban gap.
•   Income inequality is rising.
•   Gender imbalance at birth.
•   Youth unemployment.
•   Crime rates.

                   sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                             30
                                Dr.Gezgin
Loss of Green Areas
• Deforestation.
• Loss of urban green areas due to construction
  pressures.




                 sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                           31
                              Dr.Gezgin
Unsustainable Energy Use
• Electric consumption is up.
• 13.7% increase annually; double the GDP growth rate;
  electric consumption per person doubled in last 5 years.
• It is costly for industries to switch to updated systems that
  are energy-efficient (VNN, 2010j).
• Industrial use and household use.
• Air cons vs. ventilation-friendly vernacular architecture.
• Increasing use of oil (motorbikes).
• Oil dependency.
• Power shortage in dry season (insufficient amount of water,
  energy imports).


                       sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                     32
                                    Dr.Gezgin
Internationalized Green Crimes
• “Environmental police seized two tonnes of
  South African elephant tusks in co-operation
  with Interpol in May and 17 containers of
  electronic waste transported from Hong Kong
  to Viet Nam in August” (VNN, 2010f).
• Wildlife trade



                 sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                           33
                              Dr.Gezgin
Traffic Congestion
• More motorbikes?
• More cars?!
• Vietnam & HCMC: Highest motorbike per
  capita in the world.




                sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                          34
                             Dr.Gezgin
What Can Be Done?

                 sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                           35
                              Dr.Gezgin
Solar Power Pilot Project
• Schneider Electric Viet Nam
• Quang Binh Province (Central Vietnam)
• A mountain village in Thuong Trach Commune,
  in Bo Trach District.
• Cost: USD 160,000.
• Serves 150 villagers (VNN, 2010c).
• Replicable?
• How much saved?

                   sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                             36
                                Dr.Gezgin
Nuclear Energy Plans for Vietnam
• Two nuclear power plants approved (at Ninh Thuan).
  Will start in 2014, to be completed in 2020.
• High construction costs (US$ 12 billion).
• Low operation and maintenance costs.
• Low carbon production compared to other options.
• No independent regulatory agency.
• Lack of skilled labor (VNN, 2011c).
• Nuclear waste?
• Security?


                   sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                              37
                                Dr.Gezgin
Energy Projects
• Song La Hydro-power Plant.
• Started on 7 January 2011.
• The biggest hydro-power plant in Southeast Asia.
• Many other hydro-power plants and thermal power plants
• (33 power plants under construction in Vietnam as of Dec 2010).
• Wind power plant projects.
• Promotion of solar energy.
• A small number of biomass plants, biogas plants, and rice husk
  plants.
• Dung Quat Oil Refinery (Quang Nai Province): First oil refinery in
  Vietnam. Started in 2009. Cost: US$ 3 billion.
• Annual Processing Capacity: 6.5 million tonnes of crude oil.
• Produced 7.2 million tonnes of products since 2009 (VNN, 2011e;
  2010l).
                         sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                              38
                                      Dr.Gezgin
International Cooperation for Forest
                 Protection
• Vietnam-Germany Biodiversity Project.
• USD 3.96 million.
• The Agriculture and Rural Development
  Ministry and GTZ.
• Protection of biodiversity in the forests.
• Cooperation between the Agriculture and
  Rural Development Ministries of Vietnam and
  South Korea.
                sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                          39
                             Dr.Gezgin
The Vietnamese – Netherlands Strategic
            Partnership Agreement (SPA) on Water
• “the plan to develop the delta region;
• co-operation between Rotterdam and HCM
  City;
• exchange of knowledge; and
• the Vietnamese – Netherlands water forum”
• “for mitigating sea-level rise” (VNN, 2010h).



                        sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                  40
                                     Dr.Gezgin
Sustainable Tourism Project
• EU grant (11 million Euros) for
  `environmentally and socially responsible’
  tourism in Vietnam.
• Will be spent mostly for training of tourism
  officials and employees in the next 5 years
  (VNN, 2011d).



                    sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                              41
                                 Dr.Gezgin
Green Buildings
•   Use of green energy?
•   Embodied energy?
•   A more efficient ventilation system?
•   Energy-saving devices?




                   sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                             42
                                Dr.Gezgin
Recycling of Industrial Wastewater
• As a solution to water scarcity and pollution.
• A pilot project by the HCM City University of
  Technology (HCMUT), Thailand-based Asian
  Institute of Technology (AIT) and the Institute
  National des Sciences Appliques (INSA) in
  France (VNN, 2010b).



                  sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                            43
                               Dr.Gezgin
Public Transportation Projects
• Bullet train project (Ho Chi Minh City-Hanoi).
• Metro lines in HCMC.
• (+)s & (-)s of motorbikes.




                  sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                            44
                               Dr.Gezgin
References
•   Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee (2009). The 2009 Population and Housing Census. http://www.gso.gov.vn/default_en.aspx?tabid=617
•   Chi, N.K. (2010). Toxic waste poses environmental threat. Vietnam News, 24 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/207028/Toxic-waste-poses-environmental-threat.html
•   Google Public Data (2011a). GDP growth (annual %).
    http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=vi#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM&tdim=true&hl=vi&dl=vi
•   Google Public Data (2011b). Exports of goods and services (% of GDP).
    http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=eng#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ne_exp_gnfs_zs&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM:CHN:USA:DEU:AUS&tdim=true&hl=vi
    &dl=eng
•   Google Public Data (2011c). Imports of goods and services (% of GDP).
    http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=eng#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ne_imp_gnfs_zs&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM:CHN:USA:DEU:AUS&tdim=true&hl=vi
    &dl=eng
•   Google Public Data (2011d). High-technology exports (% of manufactured exports).
    http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=eng#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=tx_val_tech_mf_zs&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM:KOR&hl=vi&dl=eng
•   Google Public Data (2011e). Internet users.
    http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=eng#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=it_net_user&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM:KOR&hl=vi&dl=eng
•   Google Public Data (2011f). Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people).
    http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=eng#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=it_cel_sets_p2&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM:KOR:AUS:CHN&hl=vi&dl=eng
•   Google Public Data (2011g). GNI per capita PPP (current international $).
    http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=eng#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gnp_pcap_pp_cd&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM:CHN&tdim=true&hl=vi&dl=eng
•   GSO (2009). The 2009 Vietnam Population and Housing Census. http://www.gso.gov.vn/default_en.aspx?tabid=599&ItemID=9788
•   VNN (2011a). Environmental violations soar 43%. Vietnam News, 10 January 2011. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/207480/Environmental-violations-soar-43.html
•   VNN (2011b). Long An's waters suffer from factory waste. Vietnam News, 13 January 2011. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/207599/Long-Ans-waters-suffer-from-factory-waste.html
•   VNN (2011c). Nuclear future poses challenges. Vietnam News, 19 January 2011. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Industries/207769/Nuclear-future-poses-challenges.html
•   VNN (2011d). EU gives $15m to develop sustainable tourism. Vietnam News, 15 January 2011. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Industries/207665/EU-gives-15m-to-develop-sustainable-tourism.html
•   VNN (2011e). PM opens Dung Quat refinery. Vietnam News, 7 January 2011. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Industries/207403/PM-opens-Dung-Quat-refinery.html
•   VNN (2010a). Need for climate-change data. Vietnam News, 30 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Social-Isssues/207214/Need-for-climate-change-data.html
•   VNN (2010b). Nation joins pilot scheme to recycle industrial wastewater. Vietnam News, 22 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/206958/Nation-joins-pilot-scheme-to-recycle-industrial-wastewater.html
•   VNN (2010c). Solar power to be generated in Quang Binh. Vietnam News, 15 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/206692/Solar-power-to-be-generated-in-Quang-Binh.html
•   VNN (2010d). Pollution threatens Dong Nai River's future. Vietnam News, 14 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/206677/Pollution-threatens-Dong-Nai-Rivers-future.html
•   VNN (2010e). Pollution a growing threat to Dong Nai River. Vietnam News, 2 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/206267/Pollution-a-growing-threat-to-Dong-Nai-River-.html
•   VNN (2010f). Joint effort sought on ‘green' crimes. Vietnam News, 25 November 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/206036/Joint-effort-sought-on-%E2%80%98green-crimes.html
•   VNN (2010g). Delta to face long period of flooding. Vietnam News, 17 November 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/205771/Delta-to-face-long-period-of-flooding.html
•   VNN (2010h). Dutch aid Mekong Delta climate battle. Vietnam News, 12 November 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/205642/Dutch-aid-Mekong-Delta-climate-battle.html
•   VNN (2010i). Delta struggles with waste as landfills keep on overflowing. Vietnam News, 11 November 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/205595/Delta-struggles-with-waste-as-landfills-keep-on-overflowing-.html
•   VNN (2010j). Power plans help save energy. Vietnam News, 16 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Industries/206739/Power-plans-help-save-energy.html
•   VNN (2010k). Central floods spark call for dam review. Vietnam News, 15 November 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Industries/205701/Central-floods-spark-call-for-dam-review.html
•   VNN (2010l). Oil refinery confirms nation's vision. Vietnam News, 12 November 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Industries/205628/Oil-refinery-confirms-nations-vision-.html
•   Coverpage Photo Credit: http://www.woodland.ie/insights_sfm.htm




                                                                                           sustainable development-Vietnam-
1/27/2011                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          45
                                                                                                        Dr.Gezgin
Sustainable Development of
         Vietnam
 Problems and Suggestions

    Dr Ulas Basar Gezgin
 E-mail: ulasbasar@gmail.com

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Sustainable development of_vietnam_ulas_basar_gezgin

  • 1. Sustainable Development of Vietnam Problems and Suggestions Dr Ulas Basar Gezgin E-mail: ulasbasar@gmail.com
  • 2. Annual GDP Growth (%) Source: Google Public Data, 2011a. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 2 Dr.Gezgin
  • 3. Share of Exports in GDP Source: Google Public Data, 2011b. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 3 Dr.Gezgin
  • 4. Imports (% of GDP) Source: Google Public Data, 2011c. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 4 Dr.Gezgin
  • 5. Vietnam’s Export Items • Crude oil • Textiles and garment • Rice • Coffee • Rubber • Coal • Aquaculture • Forest products • Fruits sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 5 Dr.Gezgin
  • 6. Vietnam’s Import Items • Petroleum products • Steel • Fertilizer • Electronics • Machinery and equipment sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 6 Dr.Gezgin
  • 7. High-Technology Exports (% of Manufactured Exports) Source: Google Public Data, 2011d. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 7 Dr.Gezgin
  • 8. GNI per Capita PPP (*) (*) Current international $ Source: Google Public Data, 2011g. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 8 Dr.Gezgin
  • 9. Vietnam Population Pyramid Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.41. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 9 Dr.Gezgin
  • 10. Children per Woman in Vietnam Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.54. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 10 Dr.Gezgin
  • 11. Gender Data, 2009 (%) Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.42. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 11 Dr.Gezgin
  • 12. Fertility in Urban vs. Rural Areas Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.55. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 12 Dr.Gezgin
  • 13. Labor Force Distribution Across Sectors Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.108. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 13 Dr.Gezgin
  • 14. Labor Force Distribution Across Jobs and Gender (%) Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.109. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 14 Dr.Gezgin
  • 15. Living Conditions (%) Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.128. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 15 Dr.Gezgin
  • 16. Household Amenities (%)- 2009 Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.131. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 16 Dr.Gezgin
  • 17. Number of Internet Users Kr’s pop: 49 m; Vn’s pop: 86 m Source: Google Public Data, 2011e. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 17 Dr.Gezgin
  • 18. Mobile Phone Subscription per 100 People Source: Google Public Data, 2011f. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 18 Dr.Gezgin
  • 19. Urbanization in Vietnam • 2009: Total population: 86 million. • 49.4% males, 50.6% females. • An increase of 9.5 million people in 10 years (1999-2009). • Fertility rate is declining. • 1999-2009: The average annual growth rate of the urban population: 3.4% • The average annual growth rate of the rural population was only 0.4%. • 2 cities with more than 3 million people in Vietnam: • Ho Chi Minh City (7.163 million people), • Ha Noi City (6.452 million people) (GSO, 2009). sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 19 Dr.Gezgin
  • 20. Urbanization Data Source: Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee, 2009, p.85, p.86. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 20 Dr.Gezgin
  • 21. Vietnam Urban Migration Map Source: Central Population and Housingdevelopment-Vietnam- Committee, 2009, p.83. sustainable Census Steering 1/27/2011 21 Dr.Gezgin
  • 22. Climate Change in Ho Chi Minh City • HCMC’s average elevation: 19 meters. • Lack of information. • Southern HCMC: Lowland. • 1 meter sea level rise: About 500 factories and 16 industrial zones will be under water (VNN, 2010a). • 2011-2015: HCMC needs 1 billion USD to cope with climate change This will mostly be spent for research (VNN, 2010a). sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 22 Dr.Gezgin
  • 23. Climate Change in Mekong Delta • Strategic importance for Vietnam as a whole: • “grows 50 per cent of Viet Nam's rice; 70 per cent of its fruits and provides 90 per cent of rice exports” • 2020: “38% of the delta can be under water for 6-8 months”. • “The sea could inundate 90 per cent of the delta with about 8.5 million local residents driven from their homes”. • “One of the world's three deltas most vulnerable to climate with 93 per cent of the 840-kilometre coast below sea level” (VNN, 2010g). sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 23 Dr.Gezgin
  • 24. Environmental Violations in Vietnam in 2010 • 43% higher in number compared to 2009. • More than 6,500 violations. • 88 of them involves lawsuits. • 1/5 involves discharged untreated water and hazardous gas. • 1/5 involves illegal exploitation of natural resources and mines • (eg bauxite mining) • Secret underground pipes to discharge wastewater to the rivers is common. • Only 1/5 of hospitals has a proper waste treatment system. • Garbage dumps are full. • Import of industrial waste including radioactive waste! • Vague laws and lack of enforcement (VNN, 2011a). • 443,245 violations of the forestry law (1998-2005) (VNN, 2010k). sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 24 Dr.Gezgin
  • 25. Rivers Polluted by Industrial Wastewater • Long An Province (Mekong) • A tributary of Dong Nai River • 14 of 23 industrial parks of the province has no waste treatment system. • “Treatment systems are costly.” • They discharge 400-500 tonnes of solid waste and 50,000-70,000 cubic meters of effluents. • Not only industrial pollution, but also household and agricultural pollution: • Fertilizers and insecticides • River as dump site of household waste • Also waste coming from HCMC, Tay Ninh and Dong Nai. • An industrial solid waste treatment plant is planned to be built (VNN, 2011b). • 3.7 million tonnes of solid waste goes to Mekong delta annually (VNN, 2010i). sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 25 Dr.Gezgin
  • 26. Pollution in Dong Nai River • 586 km long. • A basin of 36,000 square kilometers. • Runs through 11 provinces of Dak Lak, Dak Nong, Lam Dong, Ninh Thuan, Binh Thuan, Ba Ria - Vung Tau, Binh Duong, Binh Phuoc, Dong Nai, Long An and Tay Ninh, and HCM City • Agricultural pollution: Fertilizers, herbicides, pesticides. • Medical Waste: 35% of medical waste goes into Dong Nai without treatment. • 35 of 97 industrial parks on Dong Nai basin has no wastewater treatment system. • Urban household pollution • Sand exploiation is damaging the riverbed (VNN, 2010d; 2010e). sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 26 Dr.Gezgin
  • 27. E-waste in Vietnam • Especially, fridges, computers and mobile phones. • High toxic content. Dangerous for human nervous system. • 6 times more e-waste in 2020 compared to 2010 in Vn. • 2007: “More than 742,000 televisions, 217,000 computers and 2.8 million mobile phones were discarded” • Collected by informal scrap collectors manually (no protection) • Trieu Khuc Village, Thanh Tri District, Hanoi and • Phan Boi Village in Di Su Commune, Hung Yen Province: • E-waste recycling villages • (contaminated soil with toxics; • high levels of water and air pollution ) (Chi, 2010). sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 27 Dr.Gezgin
  • 28. Other Waste Management Problems • Overloaded landfills. • Water seepage from the landfills. • Contamination of groundwater. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 28 Dr.Gezgin
  • 29. Problems of Water Management • Urban flooding. • Sinking (soil subsidence). • Groundwater depletion. • Saltwater intrusion. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 29 Dr.Gezgin
  • 30. Social Sustainability • GDP growth (2010): 6.78% (GSO) • CPI: 11.75% (Dec 2009-2010) • Food and housing inflation. • Poverty rate is declining. • Rural-urban gap. • Income inequality is rising. • Gender imbalance at birth. • Youth unemployment. • Crime rates. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 30 Dr.Gezgin
  • 31. Loss of Green Areas • Deforestation. • Loss of urban green areas due to construction pressures. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 31 Dr.Gezgin
  • 32. Unsustainable Energy Use • Electric consumption is up. • 13.7% increase annually; double the GDP growth rate; electric consumption per person doubled in last 5 years. • It is costly for industries to switch to updated systems that are energy-efficient (VNN, 2010j). • Industrial use and household use. • Air cons vs. ventilation-friendly vernacular architecture. • Increasing use of oil (motorbikes). • Oil dependency. • Power shortage in dry season (insufficient amount of water, energy imports). sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 32 Dr.Gezgin
  • 33. Internationalized Green Crimes • “Environmental police seized two tonnes of South African elephant tusks in co-operation with Interpol in May and 17 containers of electronic waste transported from Hong Kong to Viet Nam in August” (VNN, 2010f). • Wildlife trade sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 33 Dr.Gezgin
  • 34. Traffic Congestion • More motorbikes? • More cars?! • Vietnam & HCMC: Highest motorbike per capita in the world. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 34 Dr.Gezgin
  • 35. What Can Be Done? sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 35 Dr.Gezgin
  • 36. Solar Power Pilot Project • Schneider Electric Viet Nam • Quang Binh Province (Central Vietnam) • A mountain village in Thuong Trach Commune, in Bo Trach District. • Cost: USD 160,000. • Serves 150 villagers (VNN, 2010c). • Replicable? • How much saved? sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 36 Dr.Gezgin
  • 37. Nuclear Energy Plans for Vietnam • Two nuclear power plants approved (at Ninh Thuan). Will start in 2014, to be completed in 2020. • High construction costs (US$ 12 billion). • Low operation and maintenance costs. • Low carbon production compared to other options. • No independent regulatory agency. • Lack of skilled labor (VNN, 2011c). • Nuclear waste? • Security? sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 37 Dr.Gezgin
  • 38. Energy Projects • Song La Hydro-power Plant. • Started on 7 January 2011. • The biggest hydro-power plant in Southeast Asia. • Many other hydro-power plants and thermal power plants • (33 power plants under construction in Vietnam as of Dec 2010). • Wind power plant projects. • Promotion of solar energy. • A small number of biomass plants, biogas plants, and rice husk plants. • Dung Quat Oil Refinery (Quang Nai Province): First oil refinery in Vietnam. Started in 2009. Cost: US$ 3 billion. • Annual Processing Capacity: 6.5 million tonnes of crude oil. • Produced 7.2 million tonnes of products since 2009 (VNN, 2011e; 2010l). sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 38 Dr.Gezgin
  • 39. International Cooperation for Forest Protection • Vietnam-Germany Biodiversity Project. • USD 3.96 million. • The Agriculture and Rural Development Ministry and GTZ. • Protection of biodiversity in the forests. • Cooperation between the Agriculture and Rural Development Ministries of Vietnam and South Korea. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 39 Dr.Gezgin
  • 40. The Vietnamese – Netherlands Strategic Partnership Agreement (SPA) on Water • “the plan to develop the delta region; • co-operation between Rotterdam and HCM City; • exchange of knowledge; and • the Vietnamese – Netherlands water forum” • “for mitigating sea-level rise” (VNN, 2010h). sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 40 Dr.Gezgin
  • 41. Sustainable Tourism Project • EU grant (11 million Euros) for `environmentally and socially responsible’ tourism in Vietnam. • Will be spent mostly for training of tourism officials and employees in the next 5 years (VNN, 2011d). sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 41 Dr.Gezgin
  • 42. Green Buildings • Use of green energy? • Embodied energy? • A more efficient ventilation system? • Energy-saving devices? sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 42 Dr.Gezgin
  • 43. Recycling of Industrial Wastewater • As a solution to water scarcity and pollution. • A pilot project by the HCM City University of Technology (HCMUT), Thailand-based Asian Institute of Technology (AIT) and the Institute National des Sciences Appliques (INSA) in France (VNN, 2010b). sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 43 Dr.Gezgin
  • 44. Public Transportation Projects • Bullet train project (Ho Chi Minh City-Hanoi). • Metro lines in HCMC. • (+)s & (-)s of motorbikes. sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 44 Dr.Gezgin
  • 45. References • Central Population and Housing Census Steering Committee (2009). The 2009 Population and Housing Census. http://www.gso.gov.vn/default_en.aspx?tabid=617 • Chi, N.K. (2010). Toxic waste poses environmental threat. Vietnam News, 24 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/207028/Toxic-waste-poses-environmental-threat.html • Google Public Data (2011a). GDP growth (annual %). http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=vi#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM&tdim=true&hl=vi&dl=vi • Google Public Data (2011b). Exports of goods and services (% of GDP). http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=eng#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ne_exp_gnfs_zs&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM:CHN:USA:DEU:AUS&tdim=true&hl=vi &dl=eng • Google Public Data (2011c). Imports of goods and services (% of GDP). http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=eng#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ne_imp_gnfs_zs&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM:CHN:USA:DEU:AUS&tdim=true&hl=vi &dl=eng • Google Public Data (2011d). High-technology exports (% of manufactured exports). http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=eng#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=tx_val_tech_mf_zs&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM:KOR&hl=vi&dl=eng • Google Public Data (2011e). Internet users. http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=eng#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=it_net_user&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM:KOR&hl=vi&dl=eng • Google Public Data (2011f). Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people). http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=eng#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=it_cel_sets_p2&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM:KOR:AUS:CHN&hl=vi&dl=eng • Google Public Data (2011g). GNI per capita PPP (current international $). http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_kd_zg&hl=vi&dl=eng#ctype=l&strail=false&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gnp_pcap_pp_cd&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=country&idim=country:VNM:CHN&tdim=true&hl=vi&dl=eng • GSO (2009). The 2009 Vietnam Population and Housing Census. http://www.gso.gov.vn/default_en.aspx?tabid=599&ItemID=9788 • VNN (2011a). Environmental violations soar 43%. Vietnam News, 10 January 2011. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/207480/Environmental-violations-soar-43.html • VNN (2011b). Long An's waters suffer from factory waste. Vietnam News, 13 January 2011. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/207599/Long-Ans-waters-suffer-from-factory-waste.html • VNN (2011c). Nuclear future poses challenges. Vietnam News, 19 January 2011. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Industries/207769/Nuclear-future-poses-challenges.html • VNN (2011d). EU gives $15m to develop sustainable tourism. Vietnam News, 15 January 2011. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Industries/207665/EU-gives-15m-to-develop-sustainable-tourism.html • VNN (2011e). PM opens Dung Quat refinery. Vietnam News, 7 January 2011. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Industries/207403/PM-opens-Dung-Quat-refinery.html • VNN (2010a). Need for climate-change data. Vietnam News, 30 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Social-Isssues/207214/Need-for-climate-change-data.html • VNN (2010b). Nation joins pilot scheme to recycle industrial wastewater. Vietnam News, 22 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/206958/Nation-joins-pilot-scheme-to-recycle-industrial-wastewater.html • VNN (2010c). Solar power to be generated in Quang Binh. Vietnam News, 15 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/206692/Solar-power-to-be-generated-in-Quang-Binh.html • VNN (2010d). Pollution threatens Dong Nai River's future. Vietnam News, 14 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/206677/Pollution-threatens-Dong-Nai-Rivers-future.html • VNN (2010e). Pollution a growing threat to Dong Nai River. Vietnam News, 2 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/206267/Pollution-a-growing-threat-to-Dong-Nai-River-.html • VNN (2010f). Joint effort sought on ‘green' crimes. Vietnam News, 25 November 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/206036/Joint-effort-sought-on-%E2%80%98green-crimes.html • VNN (2010g). Delta to face long period of flooding. Vietnam News, 17 November 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/205771/Delta-to-face-long-period-of-flooding.html • VNN (2010h). Dutch aid Mekong Delta climate battle. Vietnam News, 12 November 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/205642/Dutch-aid-Mekong-Delta-climate-battle.html • VNN (2010i). Delta struggles with waste as landfills keep on overflowing. Vietnam News, 11 November 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Environment/205595/Delta-struggles-with-waste-as-landfills-keep-on-overflowing-.html • VNN (2010j). Power plans help save energy. Vietnam News, 16 December 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Industries/206739/Power-plans-help-save-energy.html • VNN (2010k). Central floods spark call for dam review. Vietnam News, 15 November 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Industries/205701/Central-floods-spark-call-for-dam-review.html • VNN (2010l). Oil refinery confirms nation's vision. Vietnam News, 12 November 2010. http://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/Industries/205628/Oil-refinery-confirms-nations-vision-.html • Coverpage Photo Credit: http://www.woodland.ie/insights_sfm.htm sustainable development-Vietnam- 1/27/2011 45 Dr.Gezgin
  • 46. Sustainable Development of Vietnam Problems and Suggestions Dr Ulas Basar Gezgin E-mail: ulasbasar@gmail.com