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FPA
      &                                                      Financial Planning and Analysis                                    AFP—Your Daily Resource
                                                                                                                                                    Spring 2011


                                                       Cost Uncertainty
s




     Welcome to the spring edition of FP&A
     newsletter. Since the Winter 2010 issue
     we’ve been quite busy. We held two
     financial planning and analysis webinars          Ira Apfel
     and one seminar, and I was privileged             With a record $2 trillion in cash and short-term liquid assets on hand, U.S. businesses are
     enough to host a number of roundtables            poised to expand but they are unsure about which initiatives to fund. Furthermore, U.S. firms
     in Chicago, Houston and Nashville.
                                                       lack confidence in the accuracy of the cost of capital projections that underpin their decisions.
     These events were wonderful opportuni-
                                                          Those are two of the findings in the first Cost of Capital Survey by the Association of Financial
     ties for FP&A professionals to discuss,
                                                       Professionals. Fully 55 percent of respondents believe their cost of capital estimates are off by
     face to face, the critical issues confront-
     ing their organizations and profession.
                                                       more than 50 basis points (see Figure 1), while only 17 percent believe their estimates are ac-
        Just last week, we released Current            curate within 25 basis points. Little wonder, then, that only 15 percent of businesses surveyed
     Trends in Estimating and Applying the             communicate their weighted average cost of capital estimates company-wide (see Figure 2).
     Cost of Capital, a first-of-its-kind study.          AFP conducted the Cost of Capital Survey in October 2010 and received answers from 309
     This research provides unique insight             chief financial officers, treasurers, vice presidents-finance and assistant treasurers. Their answers
     into how companies around the country
                                                       Figure 1: Perceived Accuracy of Cost of Capital Estimates (Percent Distribution)
     are modeling and forecasting their cost
     of capital. I believe these findings will                                                            Under $1 Billion Over $1 Billion Privately Publicly
                                                                                                   All      Revenue          Revenue         Held    Traded
     be quite eye-opening to the profes-
     sion—and portions of the study can be                0 bps—Estimate accurately
                                                          reflect actual cost of capital          2%              2%                2%        2%       1%
     found in this issue.
        We have a number of webinars and                  Within +/- 25 bps                       15              20                12         17       14
     seminars planned for you, and we will
                                                          Within +/- 50 bps                       28              33                27         27       31
     host more lunch roundtables around the
     U.S. and, for the first time, in Canada.             Within +/- 75 bps                        7               9                 7         10         5
     Plus, we are building a full FP&A track—             Within +/- 100 bps                      38              30                41         37       39
     10 educational sessions in all—
                                                          Greater than +/- 100 bps                10               6                11         7        10
     at AFP’s Annual Conference in Boston,
                                                       Source: AFP Cost of Capital Survey.
     November 6-9. This Annual Confer-
     ence is a fantastic opportunity to learn,
                                                       Figure 2: Internal Visibility of Organizations’ Cost of Capital Estimate (Percent Distribution)
     network, and interact with over 5,000
     finance professionals.                                                                               Under $1 Billion Over $1 Billion Privately Publicly
                                                                                                   All      Revenue          Revenue         Held    Traded
        I greatly appreciate the support and
     encouragement from the members of                    The cost of capital is
                                                          communicated companywide                15%            11%               18%        15%      16%
     the FP&A community. Please continue
     sending me your ideas and articles                   The cost of capital is communicated
     so we can continue to support one                    on a need-to-know basis          85                     89                82         85         84
     another in our drive for personal and             Source: AFP Cost of Capital Survey.
     professional excellence.
                                                       revealed that calculating the cost of capital today is an art, not a science. There was little consensus
     Brian Kalish                                      about cost of capital practices; instead, respondents typically deployed a plurality of techniques.
     bkalish@afponline.org
                                                       Good and bad news
                                                         The vast majority of companies do practice some form of cost of capital estimations. Fully 79
Not an AFP Member? Join today.                         percent of companies, including 91 percent with annual revenues greater than $1 billion, use
www.AFPonline.org/Join
                                                                                                                                   Continued on page 2

   www.AFPonline.org                       Copyright © 2010 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved                                  Page 1
Cost Uncertainity from page 1
                                                                                       A Corporate’s Perspective on Cost of Capital
discounted cash flow tech-
                                                                                       So how do treasury and finance professionals determine their cost of
niques. (One wonders what
                                                                                       capital? FP&A asked one executive, Mark W. Scott, CTP, Manager,
the remaining 9 percent with
                                         2011 AFP                                      Treasury, Corporate Finance for Verizon, for his insights.
annual revenues greater than             Current Trends in Estimating
                                         and Applying the Cost of Capital
                                           Report of Survey Results
$1 billion do.)                                                                        FP&A: Why did you undertake this survey?
   There is less consistency, however, in how organizations                            Mark Scott: We thought that this was an important study to do because
estimate cash flows and determine the weighted average cost                            it provides treasury finance professionals and academics with valuable
of capital at which those cash flows are discounted.                                   benchmarking information about how and when the CAPM is currently
   Five years is the most common period over which orga-                               being used by practitioners, and which inputs they populate the model
nizations explicitly forecast the cash flows associated with a                         with. This is particularly pertinent when considering that one of the
project—a span cited by 46 percent of survey respondents.                              most critical issues owing the recent financial turmoil concerns asset
More than one-third of organizations forecast explicit cash                            prices, and the capital asset pricing model is one of the most widely
flows for the first 10 years of a project.                                             used valuation models.
   There is great diversity in how organizations determine                             FP&A: Looking at the results, what surprised you?
the value of cash flows for the remaining life of a project, i.e.,                     Scott: I’m surprised that this study even occurred, considering the
terminal value. Only 46 percent use the perpetuity growth                              confidential nature of the information, the number of responses, and the
model, while 27 percent develop an explicit cash flow fore-                            broad array of the firms they represent.
cast for the entire life of a project. Fully 72 percent develop
                                                                                       FP&A: For many of the questions, there seems to be little consen-
multiple cash flow scenarios representing the expected out-
                                                                                       sus. How surprising did you find that and why?
come as well as best and worst-case outcomes, which are then                           Scott: Not surprising at all. It is no secret that applying the CAPM is as
discounted. A significant share of organizations (28 percent)                          much an art as financial science. However, two thoughts readily come
uses only a single cash flow scenario.                                                 to mind when thinking about the number of variations that are associ-
   There is even greater diversity among organizations in                              ated with the CAPM.
the methods they use when estimating the weighted aver-                                   First, despite the differences in model inputs, many of the final WACC
age cost of capital. In estimating the cost of equity, nearly                          estimates will still manage to fall within a reasonably close grouping.
nine of 10 organizations use the, which calculates the cost                            This occurs precisely because of the wide variety of inputs and inter-
of equity using a risk-free rate, beta factor, and a market                            pretations of the model.
risk premium, each of which introduces significant variabil-                              One practitioner might use the 1-year Treasury as their risk-free rate,
ity. While nearly half of organizations (46 percent) use the                           while others may use the 10 or 30-year. However, the practitioner using
10-year Treasury note to estimate the risk-free rate,                                  the 1-year Treasury may also be using the higher Ibbotson long-term
16 percent use the 90-day Treasury bill, five-year Treasury                            market risk premium, while the others use a more recent lower valued risk
(12 percent), and even the 30-year Treasury bond. Given                                premium. So while there may be a significant disparity among the inputs
that the historical spread between 90-day Treasury bills                               that does not necessarily result in significant discrepancy in results.
and 30-year Treasury bonds is approximately 3 percent,                                    The other thought is that the lack of consensus in CAPM interpreta-
this wide variation in choices for the risk-free rate will have                        tion actually supports healthy and efficient markets. It has been said
dramatic effects on project valuation.                                                 that a seller of stock sells with the belief that the value of that security is
   There is also little consistency in the methods organiza-                           about to decline, to a buyer with an equal conviction that the stock will
tions use to estimate the cost of debt. More than                                      go up. How can that be when the same information about the stock’s
                                                                                       underlying company and markets are available to both? It is because
one-third use either the current rate on their existing debt
                                                                                       the buyer and seller interpret that same information differently. The
(37 percent) or the forecasted rate for newly issued debt
                                                                                       same is true for the CAPM.
(34 percent). More than one in five reduces the volatility
of the cost of debt by using an average rate on outstanding                            FP&A: Was there any practice that you had never heard of before?
debt over some period of time. Results from the survey are                             Anything you will adopt?
more consistent for the tax rates that organizations apply                             Scott: While the survey provides fertile terrain for debate and further re-
to calculate the after-tax cost of debt. Fully 64 percent use                          search, in general, it appears that responses follow academic theory—
their effective tax rate, but 29 percent use the marginal tax                          albeit, the wide range of responses indicates different interpretations of
rate, and 7 percent use a target tax rate. s                                           the theories. s



Page 2                                              Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved                     Spring 2011
Developing Capital Structure Strategy
David Mallicoat, MBA, CMA, CFM                                                                                       FPA
                                                                                                                       &
One of FP&A’s primary functions is to facili-        balance sheet and in cash flow related to financ-                 Published by the Association for
                                                                                                                       Financial Professionals, Inc.
tate the strategic planning process and help         ing activities. Before assumptions related to
management develop goals, objectives and             financing activities can be developed, it is neces-               Editor
strategies for the organization. Typically, the      sary to first deal with anticipated levels of cash                Ira Apfel
lion’s share of attention during this process is     flow from operating and investing activities.
                                                                                                                       Director, Finance Practice
devoted to operating strategy development.           Clearly, whether external financing is required                   Brian Kalish
While this allocation is appropriate, a compre-      or excess cash is available depends largely on
hensive strategic plan should also include a         operating and capital spending assumptions.                       President and CEO
                                                                                                                       James A. Kaitz
well articulated capital structure strategy.         From a modeling perspective, it is generally
    Capital structure strategy should have           advisable to reflect returns on planned capital                   Managing Director, Communications
two main objectives: align with the operat-          investment at levels consistent with economic                     Elizabeth Johns
ing strategy; and maximize total shareholder         value creation; that is, at or above the weighted                 Publications Specialist
returns (TSR). Too much leverage can lead            average cost of capital (WACC). An updated                        Amy Cooley
to credit default and insolvency while too           WACC analysis should, therefore, also be in-
                                                                                                                       Advertising
little may result in sub-optimal shareholder         cluded in the strategic planning process.                         Advertise in FP&A to reach out to
value creation. Key components of the capital                                                                          decision makers seeking new FP&A
                                                     Optimal debt levels                                               technology. To reserve space
structure strategy include:                                                                                            today, contact the AFP Sales Team
                                                        At the heart of capital structure strategy is
    •	 Capital	spending	and	expected	returns                                                                           at 301.961.8833.
                                                     a fundamental question: how much debt is
    •	 Optimal	debt	levels
                                                     too much, and how much is too little? Hold-
    •	 Liquidity	and	cash	balances                                                                                     Subscriptions
                                                     ing operating cash flows constant, enterprise
    •	 Interest	rate	risk	management                                                                                   www.AFPonline.org/newsletters
                                                     value is maximized where the after-tax WACC
    •	 Dividend	policy                                                                                                 Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Profession-
                                                     is minimized (figure 1). In a world where                         als, Inc. Copying and redistributing prohibited without
    •	 Share	repurchases	and	share-based	                                                                              permission of the publisher. This information is provided
                                                     interest (and lease) payments are tax deduct-                     with the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in
       compensation.                                                                                                   rendering legal, accounting or other professional services.
                                                     ible, the WACC benefits from each marginal                        If legal or other expert assistance is required, the services
                                                                                                                       of a competent professional person should be sought.
Capital spending and expected returns                dollar of debt capital up to the point at which
   Capital structure assumptions are reflected       elevated default risk premiums are mani-                          Association for Financial
                                                                                                                       Professionals
in the “three statement model” primarily on the                                  Continued on page 4                   4520 East-West Highway
                                                                                                                       Suite 750
                                                                                                                       Bethesda, MD 20814
Figure 1: Optimal Capital Structure
                                                                                                                       Phone: 301.907.2862
                                                                                                                       Website: www.AFPonline.org
                                                                                                                       Email: AFP@AFPonline.org
                                                                                                                       Blog: http://blogs.afponline.org/FPA
                                                                                                                       Twitter: http://twitter.com/afponline
                                                                                                                       LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/
                                                                                                                       companies/association-for-financial-
                                                                                                                       professionals


                                                                                                                        AFP’s FP&A resources are available
                                                                                                                        at www.AFPonline.org/FPA




                                        Debt/Total Assets


www.AFPonline.org                        Copyright © 2010 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved                                                 Page 3
Developing Capital Structure Strategy continued
fested. The precise amount of leverage that          Interest rate risk management                                  shareholders is by repurchasing shares.
represents is difficult to know, but, one thing         If the firm anticipates including debt                      Share repurchase programs have become an
is certain: operating cash flow is anything but      in the capital structure, interest rates and                   important way for firms to enhance share-
constant. One approach to estimating an ideal        expense must be projected. This exercise                       holder returns by driving EPS accretion
debt level is to model minimum acceptable            calls into question the firm’s strategy for                    through reduced share counts. Using an EPS
debt metrics (e.g., debt covenant cushions)          interest rate risk management, which ideally                   accretion framework, share repurchases are
under downside or worst-case scenarios. This         includes developing targets for fixed versus                   almost always favorable to debt reduction as
approach helps the firm balance default risk         floating rate exposure. There are many                         a use of cash. There are a number of impor-
with the opportunity costs of over-weighting         diverging views on interest rate risk manage-                  tant considerations in the share repurchase
equity in the capital structure mix.                 ment. Some CFOs and boards of directors,                       analysis, including issues related to share
   It is also important to consider sources of       may place a premium on certainty and seek                      price. If management is agnostic about share
debt capital. For instance, diversifying sources     to minimize floating rate exposure. Others                     price when repurchasing shares, it risks the
of debt capital with a mixture of bank debt          may adopt a more balanced approach to                          potential perception of over-paying. How-
and corporate bonds, as well as staggering           hedging interest rate risk.                                    ever, if the firm adopts a more opportunistic
debt maturities, may help reduce refinanc-                                                                          approach, a lack of buybacks may signal the
ing risks should shocks occur in the credit          Dividend policy                                                market that management believes shares are
markets at inopportune times.                           In practice, dividend policy should be                      over-valued.
                                                     considered within the context of an overall                       Inextricably linked to the share repur-
Liquidity and cash balances                          investor strategy. It is important to consider                 chase strategy, is the firm’s strategy for share-
   It is important to consider the adequacy          how current and prospective investors view                     based compensation. On one hand, the firm
of available liquidity in the planning process.      and value dividends. For instance, some                        dilutes the current shareholder base in order
Analysis should be developed to determine            funds/portfolio managers may exclude non-                      to better align the interests of employees
peak working capital requirements based on           dividend paying companies from consider-                       and owners. On the other, the firm uses a
a variety of scenarios. Liquidity requirements,      ation while others may prefer the company                      portion of its excess cash to simply offset the
however, should be balanced against the              to reinvest its cash. Competitive yield                        dilutive effects of share-based compensation.
prospect of holding excessive cash balances          comparisons and expected growth rates are                      It is important in the capital structure strat-
idly on the balance sheet. Modeling the accu-        also important factors to consider.                            egy development process to ensure these
mulation of cash on the balance sheet implies                                                                       programs are philosophically aligned. s
the lack of a comprehensive capital structure        Share repurchases and share-based
strategy (unless earmarked for some specific         compensation                                                   David Mallicoat is Manager, FP&A at Cracker
purpose such as an acquisition).                       Another way of returning capital to                          Barrel Old Country Store




                                               Current Trends in Estimating and
                                               Applying the Cost of Capital
                                               Report of Survey Results

                                                   More than 300 financial planning and analysis professionals provide
                                                   insight into practices currently being used in the profession to
                                                   deploy corporate capital.


     2011 AFP                    g                            Visit www.AFPonline.org/FPA to read this unique survey.
                  ds in Estimatin
     Current Treng the Cost of Capital
     and Applyin Results
                y rve
      Report of Su




Page 4                                   Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved                             Spring 2011
Metrics Matters                                                                             individual metrics through all levels of the organization, while
                                                                                            other companies may establish a handful of key metrics that
                                                                                            drive the right collective behavior through the company.
David P Mann
       .                                                                                3. Balance simplicity vs. perfection. Lean toward metrics that
The traditional role of financial planning and analysis (FP&A) is to                        can be readily understood and communicated easily vs. the
establish plans that ensure investments align with strategy to maxi-                        “perfect” metric that is difficult to grasp.
mize return on investment (ROI). However, FP&A increasingly is                          4. Be data-driven. While you may be able to dream up many
relied on to play a strategic role in driving business operations.                          interesting metrics, the metric has no value if you cannot get
   Why the transformation?                                                                  data to track the metric.
   Organizations increasingly recognize that FP&A brings a                              5. Start with a baseline. When using metrics and setting tar-
holistic and unbiased view of the business, and is highly vested                            gets, always start with a baseline, whether through historical
to ensure operations are smart and efficient to drive financial                             trends or external benchmarking. This will give you a better
performance. FP&A also is in the unique position to bring a                                 sense for patterns and proposed targets.
metric-centric view of the entire business that, if designed cor-                       6. Communicate. Metrics should be communicated consis-
rectly, can ensure an organization is on track with its goals.                              tently, in various forums and with regularity.
   Metrics are a key component of successful operations. There                          7. Look to the future. Take a long-term view in managing
are three primary advantages for using metrics:                                             metrics. Small blips up or down are fine, as long as the trend
   1. Accountability. In a nutshell, metrics don’t lie. Metrics                             moves in the right direction.
      force accountability to the agreed-upon goal. It is a much                        8. Consider costs. When appropriate, it is valuable to factor
      better approach than allowing people to “spin” how they                               cost into a metric. We have a large customer support team
      talk about their respective areas.                                                    at Constant Contact and, being a customer-centric company,
   2. Empowerment. It may seem counterintuitive, but if met-                                we focus on answering the phones quickly when custom-
      rics are used appropriately, then they will serve to support                          ers call with questions. One way the management team can
      an entrepreneurial culture, one that empowers people to                               ensure we answer the phones quickly is by overstaffing the
      make their own decisions. With well-defined metrics, there                            organization. To manage this, we monitor the cost per call
      is no need to micromanage. The goals are clear and people                             and look at the longer-term trend.
      know how they will ultimately be measured, so they are                            9. Don’t forget the customer. When feasible, incorporate
      more willing to try new or creative approaches to solve a                             customer satisfaction as one of the metrics. In the example
      problem, and also to take risks and move quickly.                                     above, the customer support team can influence the cost per
   3. Front Lines. By establishing a smart, collaborative ap-                               call by hiring less experienced folks with lower salaries who
      proach for using metrics, FP&A teams move to the front                                may or may not be meeting the needs of the customer call-
      lines and become key business partners in the organiza-                               ing in for support. That is why it is important for us to also
      tion—consulting, collaborating and driving better and                                 measure customer satisfaction, to ensure we are doing right
      smarter decisions.                                                                    by our customers.
   Now that you understand the goals of a sound metrics-driven                          10. Tie in compensation. It may be tricky to find the right
finance strategy, here are 10 strategies for making metrics work                            structure, but I have found that when you tie compensa-
within a company:                                                                           tion to metrics, things get done. Always involve key stake-
 1. Align with strategy. The first place any company should                                 holders in the formulation of metrics to ensure you have
      begin is by establishing a long-term vision and strategy and                          understanding and buy-in. Just imagine how you would
      short-term goals that are aligned with the strategy. Once                             feel if someone established a metric for you to achieve your
      these plans are crystallized, a set of complementary metrics                          bonus, one that you didn’t feel you could influence, and the
      can be designed that align with this framework.                                       company fell short of the metric. s
 2. Be flexible in the use of metrics. Just like people, all
      companies are different. There are numerous approaches                           David P Mann is Director of Finance and Assistant Treasurer for Constant Con-
                                                                                               .
      to using metrics and you need to find a solution that works                      tact. David has more than 15 years experience in FP&A, treasury, M&A, and
      well for your company. Some companies may choose to drive                        investment banking. Reach David at dmann@constantcontact.com.


www.AFPonline.org                       Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved                                   Page 5
Navigating the BI Selection Process
Michael Merrill

This article is the second of a series. Read the first here.
Understanding that the three major Business          cross-department repository of BI expertise                       because they typically understand the
Intelligence (BI) players, Oracle, SAP and           and experience is essential to the long-term                      challenges of the business users and the
IBM, have comparable solutions, it is now            success of a company’s BI solution. Skills                        technical limitations faced by the tech-
time to choose a solution for your company.          and functions incorporated into this body                         nology group. Members of this group can
                                                                                                                       be pulled from the Business Intelligence
Many companies have multiple BI solutions that have been                                                               Competency Center discussed above.
developed within silos across the organization with no ability                                                         Information Technology Specialists -
to share information across departments.                                                                               Giving information technology specialists
                                                                                                                       a voice in the selection process will ensure
Create a foundation for success                      might include BI project assessment and                           that the BI solution provider does not
   Start by surveying your company for exist-        feasibility, BI design and development, proj-                     over-promise the abilities of the product.
ing BI solutions so that you can build on what       ect management expertise, integration and                         It also allows the IT group the ability to
is working for your organization. This may           data cleansing resources, support staff, and                      make sure they have the infrastructure and
seem like an obvious step, but many compa-           a library of business best practices.                             staff in house to support the new software
nies have multiple BI solutions that have been                                                                         product(s). Members of this group can be
developed within silos across the organization       Product selection team                                            pulled from the Business Intelligence Com-
with no ability to share information across de-         When choosing the BI products, it is impor-                    petency Center discussed above.
partments. For example, if your company uses         tant to put together the correct selection team.
Oracle Financials and bases all custom applica-      The team needs to be comprised of executives,                  Product demo
tions on Oracle databases with an army of PL/        business users, power users and information                      It is important for your organization to
SQL developers on staff, then Oracle Business        technology professionals. Without the support                  be an active driver of the product demo
Intelligence Enterprise Edition (OBIEE) would        and buy-in of any of these groups, even the                    process rather than a passive participant. Be
be a natural fit.                                    best software products being implemented                       prepared to provide the software company
   Also, this type of organization-wide              with the best plans will fail.                                 a detailed list of business requirements
assessment can be the foundation for the                Executives - The executives have their                      and functionality essential to the solution
creation of a Business Intelligence Compe-              eyes on the direction of the company and                    implementation.	During	the	demo	keep	
tency Center. An Aberdeen Group October                 will monitor the ROI of the BI imple-                       these things in mind:
2010 study suggests that a Business Intel-              mentation. They need to know if the                           •	 Does	the	demonstrated	functionality	
ligence Competency Center that serves as a              solution wins more customers, makes the                          meet the current business need(s)?
                                                        company more efficient, or reduces the                        •	 Which	product(s)	are	being	shown,	
                                                        total cost of ownership.                                         but more importantly which
                                                                                                                         product(s) are needed?
                                                        Business Users - The business users
                                                                                                                      •	 What	will	it	take	to	implement	the	
                                                        will use the BI solution on a daily basis,
                                                                                                                         product?
                                                        so they need to feel that it makes their
                                                                                                                      •	 Does	the	product	support	an	ability	
                                                        job easier or offers more functionality.
                                                                                                                         to share information across organiza-
                                                        Typically, they are the ones affected the
                                                                                                                         tional silos?
                                                        most after the implementation, so their
                                                                                                                      •	 Don’t	be	afraid	to	ask	detailed	questions
                                                        opinion should carry the most weight.
                                                                                                                      •	 Don’t	get	side	tracked	by	the	“bells	
                                                        Power Users - Power users are a great                            and whistles”
                                                        group to have in the selection process                                                 Continued on page 7


Page 6                                   Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved                             Spring 2011
Navigating the BI Selection Process continued
   Creating a product scorecard for the se-             •	 effort	to	configure	appropriate	security                 Solution negotiation
lection team to fill out will help ensure that          •	 existence	of	extensions	or	enhance-                         After the BI solution of choice has
the	entire	team’s	voice	is	heard.	Develop-                 ments to augment the out-of-the-box                      survived the selection team and POC, it
ing a good scorecard can be tricky; most                   pre-built solution.                                      is time to negotiate acquiring the appro-
effective ones keep the measuring range                 The same Aberdeen Group study found                         priate product(s). Every BI company has
simple (scale of 1 to 4), limit the number of        that firms using pre-built dashboards said that                “street” prices for their products, but very
measurements to 15 key factors or less, and          36 percent of the key performance indica-                      few companies pay that price. The typical
allow for comments. After the demos are              tors associated with strategy are represented in               software discount is from 20-40 percent.
completed get the selection team together            their dashboards. By comparison, 48 percent of                 Don’t	forget	to	inquire	about	other	contract	
and review the scorecards.                           strategic KPIs are present in dashboards or orga-              concessions that can be offered by the BI
                                                     nizations that pursue a custom built approach.                 companies. BI deals often include services
A word about out-of-the-box,                                                                                        at a discount. However, it is important to
pre-built solutions                                  Proof-of-concept                                               seek multiple client references in your field
   It can be very easy during a product                 Once the selection committee has nar-                       to ensure that the services offered are what
demo to be swept away by out-of-the-box,             rowed the field to the product believed                        you expect.
pre-built solutions. The Aberdeen Group              to be the best fit, it is time to contact that                    When looking at the final BI solution
October 2010 study found that respondents            company for a proof-of-concept (POC).                          package, pay close attention to the mainte-
who used pre-built dashboard solutions               The typical POC takes a couple days to two                     nance. Make sure your team understands
were able to deploy their first dashboard            weeks. Most companies will allow your or-                      how much annually the company will
project in 60 percent of the time required           ganization 30-60 days to evaluate the POC.                     need to continue to spend to protect the
by organizations that were building custom              The POC is the best and last chance to                      BI investment. Maintenance is based on
dashboard solutions. However, the study is           make sure the product will meet the business                   the software sold, so if the deal includes
quick to point out that “there is still work         needs. Run the POC like a mini-project.                        software and services, be sure to have the
to be done to complete the implementation            Develop	specific	goals	to	be	achieved	by	the	                  software discounted as deeply as possible,
before the go-live date. When assessing pre-         POC. Hold a kick-off meeting to make sure                      and pay more for the services. The timing
built solutions, consider the following:             everybody knows what products are going                        of the deal is also very important. End of
   •	 effort	to	integrate	your	source	data	into	     to be used and who has what responsibili-                      quarter or end of fiscal year deals can give
      these pre-built solutions                      ties. Make sure the business users get enough                  your company more leverage. s
   •	 effort	to	map	and	tailor	the	pre-built	        hands on experience with the product. Wrap
      solution to your specific business needs       up the POC with a presentation that shows                      Michael Merrill is a partner with Elire. Reach
      and business processes                         how the product(s) will be used.                               him at michael.merrill@elire.com.




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www.AFPonline.org                        Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved                                Page 7
3 Budgeting Challenges—and 6 Solutions
Jenny Okonkwo, MBA

Annual budgets are ideally based upon an agreed-upon business                           3. Ownership and accountability
strategy. Group/head office management set subsequent targets                              Ideally, companies should strive for shared ownership and
around revenue, profit, operating expenses and headcount, using                         accountability of the business plan between finance and the rest
a set of assumptions. This leads to a business plan, from which                         of the organization. Finance has an active business partnering
the company budget for the coming year will be created. This all                        role to play in bringing potential risks and issues to the attention
sounds very straightforward, so what are some of the practical chal-                    of senior management. They can also be process owners in the
lenges that affect the budget cycle?                                                    task of flexing original budgets to reflect changes in the business
                                                                                        environment. A widely held opinion is that sales are responsible
 1. Agreeing a set of assumptions                                                       for achieving revenue targets; equally, finance has a role to play in
   I once worked for a prominent consumer electronics firm that                         monitoring company expenses, in line with sales trends, high-
changed the sales organization structure every year. It was auto-                       lighting any potential risks to meeting bottom line profit targets.
matic to ask “What will the new company structure be?” before                              Based on the above, here are some tips to improve the budget-
calculating the numbers. The challenge would then be how best to                        ing process:
break out the previous years numbers to provide sensible budget                            •	 Collectively	agree	a	set	of	budget	assumptions	in	advance
versus actual comparatives.                                                                •	 Identify	and	engage	all	potential	stakeholders
   When I worked for a food manufacturer, my key challenge was                             •	 Identify	and	document	key	interdependencies,	risks	and	issues
agreeing to suitable standards for certain products that were subject to                   •	 Agree	whether	to	centralize	or	decentralize	the	process	of	
wide price fluctuations. This was particularly challenging in the wake                        building the numbers
of unforeseen events, such as droughts or sudden freezes.                                  •	 Agree	to	role	boundaries	between	finance	and	budget	holders
   Competitive action within a sector often has a highly visible                           •	 Share	accountability	and	ownership.	
effect on company performance. Beer, in particular, may often be                           It is important to recognize that in most instances, budgeting
subject to brand switching as customers react to limited time pro-                      is an iterative process, and can go through several rounds prior to
motions. Competitive activity, outside specific periods, may often                      being approved.
be difficult to predict in advance.                                                        Once a company budget has been established, it needs to be
                                                                                        brought to life via a continuous performance review process. The
2. Non-involvement of budget stakeholders                                               frequency of business performance reviews vary within companies
   Company culture often dictates whether the budget is an annual                       (monthly, quarterly, etc). These reviews form the basis for produc-
chore left exclusively to the finance department, or whether it is                      ing a forecast, based on an actual versus budget comparison for a
viewed as a company-wide process with active engagement at all                          particular timeframe and flexing the original numbers for unfore-
levels. In environments where the process is centralized within                         seen changes, budgeting errors and risks.
finance, it becomes virtually impossible to implement an ongo-                             There should also be time set aside for an in-depth review of
ing business review process. The operative term is “these are not                       the past budget process, identifying lessons learned and ways to
my numbers.” Performance target setting processes are adversely                         improve the process for future cycles. This may involve a review of
impacted and accountability is unclear.                                                 the systems and tools used as well as gathering feedback from those
  Treating the budget process as a finance exercise also results in                     involved in the process. s
key business interdependencies and risks being overlooked. In my
experience, what has worked best is a situation where the business                      Toronto-based Jenny Okonkwo, MBA, (CIMA Associate Member, UK),
builds their own budgets within group guidelines, with review,                          is finance manager for Transform Consulting. Email: okonkwoj@gmail.
coaching and assistance from finance throughout the process.                            com. Web: http://ca.linkedin.com/in/jennyokonkwo.



Page 8                                   Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved                      Spring 2011
Collaboration Counts
Thomas W. Smith, CMA, MBA

 Most experts are clear in their beliefs about the          “The Gymnast”
 importance of traditional financial skill sets as          Be flexible, balanced, and precise. Flexibility in approach is critical. Balance financial
 imperatives for entry into the FP&A ranks.                 and business priorities. Be precise when it counts. Know that constant precision can
 But what are the keys to advanced FP&A                     wear on others.
 success? Cross-functional collaboration and
 other soft skills.                                         “The Tailor”
    Business leaders tend to value financial                Work the seams. Find loose change in the pockets of opportunity that even
 professionals who understand the business and              the best business processes and change efforts leave. Be on the lookout for seam
 contribute to operational success. Meanwhile,              dwellers that need help.
 finance leaders, faced with unique pressures
 and influences, have different views about how             “The Ambassador”
 business support activities stack up in priority           Build rapport and trust. Span the boundaries between Finance and other company units.
 against closing the books, updating rolling                  Be the broker for solutions that engender organizational stability and forge process
 forecasts, and building budgets. Largely a                 improvement.
 matter of differing perceptions and compet-
                                                            “The Interpreter”
 ing priorities, it is exactly within this gap—of
                                                            Remove the language barrier. Recognize that colleagues may see even the most basic
 who thinks what is important—where FP&A
                                                            financial terminology as a foreign language. Assemble a vocabulary and desk-side
 is squarely caught in the middle. Somewhat
                                                            manner that works.
 paradoxically, this is also a golden road of op-
 portunity for FP&A.
                                                            “The Educator”
    FP&A professionals need collaborative and
                                                            Simplify and clarify. Help others to understand financial concepts and initiatives.
 other soft skills to constantly reconcile this ap-
                                                            Invest in the power of financial education across the business. Make it easy for others
 parent dichotomy and to seize the opportunity.
                                                            to support FP&A.
 Moving beyond our traditional accounting and
 finance skill sets is developmentally essential, as
                                                            “The Individualizer”
 we look to improve ourselves and to help oth-
                                                            Adapt to differences among colleagues. Recognize the diversity of skills and talents
 ers who look to us for leadership and mentor-
                                                            that exists in an organization. Modify approach and style to achieve the best results.
 ing. This is not to suggest in any way, shape, or
 form that functional excellence be cast aside or           “The Integrator”
 that technical knowledge, financial models, and            Put the pieces together. Create a mosaic by assembling the seemingly disparate perspec-
 analytical methods be replaced with glad-hand-             tives and information that we encounter. Embrace the opportunity to unify.
 ing, back-slapping, and an aversion to heavy
 lifting. As financial professionals, we cannot             “The Raconteur”
 and should not forsake the very skills that got            Tell the FP&A story. Be the soundtrack. Inject personality and enthusiasm. Be inter-
 us to where we are.                                        esting. Focus on a few overarching themes. Create a story that encourages others to
    Rather than representing a single set of abso-          want to work with us. s
 lutes, the list that follows is intended to evoke
 imagery and be an illustrative look at a very              Thomas W. Smith is Director, FP&A, Home Systems Division, Legrand North America. Reach
 important topic.                                           him at Thomas.Smith@Legrand.us.




www.AFPonline.org                       Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved                     Page 9
How to Get What You Want When You Want It
Kristin Castille, CTP

For FP&A professionals to succeed, they must work with multiple                       information. By knowing why you need the data, they can better
departments to gather information used in their financial and business                allocate their time and resources to the request. For example,
analysis. The quality and timeliness of the work is paramount as the                  if you just need rough numbers for a back-of-the-envelope
analysis is relied upon by the senior leadership team including the                   calculation, communicating this might save needless hours as
President,	Chief	Financial	Officer	and	the	Board	of	Directors.	                       someone attempts to gather exact numbers to the penny. To the
  Data	and	information	are	required	from	numerous	departments.	                       contrary, when the information is being used for a public filing
For example, data may include the specific business volume from                       or board report, you will gain buy-in as your source will share in
the commercial team, or tax and depreciation estimates from the                       the excitement and importance of this work.
accounting department. Information includes the commercial
                                                                                      4. Recognize language differences.
outlook and reason for volume and price fluctuations from prior
                                                                                         While you know exactly what you want, your finance lan-
periods or strategic initiatives from the executive team.
                                                                                      guage might have a different meaning to a non-finance profes-
  It is the responsibility of the FP&A team to verify the inputs.
                                                                                      sional. For example, something that is considered an expense
Here are a few pointers to help achieve this goal:
                                                                                      by the commercial team may not be an expense that hits the
1. Communicate clear and specific deadlines.                                          income statement. Even though cash is going out the door, it
  Information requests should be accompanied by an exact date                         could instead be classified as inventory and only impact the
and time. Avoid using the phrase ASAPas there is no agreed upon                       balance sheet. So exercise caution and ask plenty of questions to
meaning. While one person could interpret this to mean in the                         make sure everyone is on the same page when you’re trying to
next five minutes, someone else could understand this to be in                        get that income statement forecast right.
the next five days. By providing a deadline, you are better able to
                                                                                      5. Build personal relationships.
ensure your own deadlines will be met.
                                                                                         People prefer to say “yes” to individuals they know and like. It
2. Be detailed in your requests.                                                      may	not	take	a	PhD	to	figure	this	out,	but	one	did:	According	to	
   You know exactly what you’re trying to do with the informa-                        Robert Cialdini, Professor Emeritus of Psychology and Marketing
tion, but others aren’t mind readers. Tell them exactly what you’re                   at Arizona State University and author of “Influence,” compliance
looking for. For example, asking the VP of Sales for “2010 vol-                       with requests is more likely to be achieved if people are familiar
umes” is too vague. Asking the following is much more helpful:                        with and have positive feelings towards the person making the
“Could you please provide me with volume by product line for                          request. So take the time to get to know your colleagues, and
2010 broken out by month, which ties to the summary number?”                          instead of eating at your desk, invite them out to lunch.
This eliminates precious time wasted                                                                                  All the technical knowledge and
with needless back-and-forth as you                                                                                spreadsheet wizardry will not do
attempt to get exactly what you want.                                                                              you a lick of good if you can’t get
   An even more fool-proof method is                                                                               accurate information in a timely
providing an Excel template in which                                                                               manner from your coworkers. Fol-
the cells to be populated are high-                                                                                lowing these five steps will put you
lighted. This visual guide will often                                                                              on a path to success in meeting your
prove easier than verbal instructions.                                                                             deadlines and endless reporting
                                                                                                                   requirements. s
3. Take a collaborative
   approach.                                                                                                                Kristin Castille, CTP, is Manager of
  Share the reason for the request                                                                                          Financial Planning & Analysis for
with your coworker providing the                                                                                            SPT Inc.



Page 10                                Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved                               Spring 2011
Managing Liquidity in Tough Times
Rod Hewlett, CTP

Managing capital costs and capital structure          ture cash flows (financial capital), right-sized               access to affordable capital. What types of
is complicated, even in the best of economic          physical capital, structural capital (processes,               tools exist within treasury to do this type
times. Yet, the ability to access cash for capi-      procedures, culture, customer relationships,                   of planning?
tal investments is not a mystery and can be           supply chain, and reputation—as some have                         It is fundamental that all forms of capital
managed—even in challenging times. Three              suggested, structural capital is the knowl-                    available to an organization receive effec-
critical planning steps that can help mitigate        edge that resides in the organization when                     tive capital budgeting—all investments
cost of capital problems include:                     the employees leave at night), access to intel-                should mitigate risk and enhance organi-
   •	 Understanding	the	near	and	mid-term	            lectual capital, and well honed and aligned                    zational cash flow. Essentially, this form
      external economic environment                   human capital. Smart investors want to see                     of holistic capital budgeting is part of a
   •	 Tying	a	comprehensive	enterprise	risk	          the risk mitigation strategies.                                thoughtful risk management strategy. Trea-
      management strategy to capital planning
   •	 Focusing		on	markets	and	cash	flow.
                                                        It is fundamental that all forms of capital available to
   In February 2010, Richard Fisher, Presi-
dent	of	the	Dallas	Fed,	shared	that	the	Dallas	         an organization receive effective capital budgeting—
Fed pegged Federal unfunded liabilities at              all investments should mitigate risk and enhance
$104 trillion, growing at $2-3 trillion per
year. Federal debt has climbed north of $14             organizational cash flow.
trillion. All told, debt in the United States
is now over $50 trillion. In short, there is             Enterprise risk management tracks all                       sury must become adept at integrating ex-
tremendous pressure on capital markets and            major risks that can impact the organization                   ternal market cues into capital and liquidity
there will be pressure for a protracted period.       and uses an integrated, and systematic, ap-                    planning. Enterprise risk management must
Large government, consumer, and business              proach to share or mitigate risks. Good risk                   be considered as a holistic management
borrowing will create real competition for            strategies also include scanning strategies                    tool that links markets to cash flow. Risk
precious capital investments. At the same             to identify and adapt to the “black swan.”                     management is more than insurance and
time, commodity prices continue to climb              Ultimately, a solid risk management plan                       netting activities. One has to look no further
and the value of the U.S. dollar is under             mitigates risk that affects the price of cash,                 than talent acquisition, management, and
tremendous pressure. Even with growth in              or the cost of capital.                                        retention in a knowledge-based business to
consumer and investment demand, there are                All organizations face the hard reality                     understand that employee benefits and the
serious challenges—many of the fixes to the           that their missions require cash—and that                      regulatory environment are important risk
debt issues will diminish consumer demand.            also includes access to future cash. Good                      areas. If a knowledge-based business cannot
So, businesses that want to maintain access           organizations manage liquidity holistically.                   attract knowledge talent, their access to and
to capital need a very clean balance sheet,           They plan for current cash, future access to                   cost of capital will become prohibitive.
an effective value proposition for good and           cash, and use this cash to shape the organi-                      The treasury group is the critical orga-
bad times, and a risk strategy that convinces         zation to meet the market. Good businesses                     nizational player in liquidity management.
capital markets that your organization has a          manage and make mid-course corrections                         Risks shapes value and value governs access
serious handle on risks.                              to manage to cash. Without cash, great                         to capital and cost of capital, which impacts
   Smart companies have a comprehensive               ideas die and capital is employed ineffec-                     liquidity. Twenty-first century economics has
risk management strategy that links opera-            tively and eventually evaporates. Under-                       creating an expanded role for treasury. s
tional and strategic plans to markets and             standing the organization value proposition
ultimately the value creating capital of the          through market-capital-risk-cash flow                          Rod Hewlett, DA, CFM, CTP is Dean, College
                                                                                                                                                  ,
organization. Capital includes current and fu-        links is the critical element to ensure ready                  of Business, Bellevue University.


www.AFPonline.org                         Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved                                Page 11

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How Companies Estimate Cost of Capital

  • 1. FPA & Financial Planning and Analysis AFP—Your Daily Resource Spring 2011 Cost Uncertainty s Welcome to the spring edition of FP&A newsletter. Since the Winter 2010 issue we’ve been quite busy. We held two financial planning and analysis webinars Ira Apfel and one seminar, and I was privileged With a record $2 trillion in cash and short-term liquid assets on hand, U.S. businesses are enough to host a number of roundtables poised to expand but they are unsure about which initiatives to fund. Furthermore, U.S. firms in Chicago, Houston and Nashville. lack confidence in the accuracy of the cost of capital projections that underpin their decisions. These events were wonderful opportuni- Those are two of the findings in the first Cost of Capital Survey by the Association of Financial ties for FP&A professionals to discuss, Professionals. Fully 55 percent of respondents believe their cost of capital estimates are off by face to face, the critical issues confront- ing their organizations and profession. more than 50 basis points (see Figure 1), while only 17 percent believe their estimates are ac- Just last week, we released Current curate within 25 basis points. Little wonder, then, that only 15 percent of businesses surveyed Trends in Estimating and Applying the communicate their weighted average cost of capital estimates company-wide (see Figure 2). Cost of Capital, a first-of-its-kind study. AFP conducted the Cost of Capital Survey in October 2010 and received answers from 309 This research provides unique insight chief financial officers, treasurers, vice presidents-finance and assistant treasurers. Their answers into how companies around the country Figure 1: Perceived Accuracy of Cost of Capital Estimates (Percent Distribution) are modeling and forecasting their cost of capital. I believe these findings will Under $1 Billion Over $1 Billion Privately Publicly All Revenue Revenue Held Traded be quite eye-opening to the profes- sion—and portions of the study can be 0 bps—Estimate accurately reflect actual cost of capital 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% found in this issue. We have a number of webinars and Within +/- 25 bps 15 20 12 17 14 seminars planned for you, and we will Within +/- 50 bps 28 33 27 27 31 host more lunch roundtables around the U.S. and, for the first time, in Canada. Within +/- 75 bps 7 9 7 10 5 Plus, we are building a full FP&A track— Within +/- 100 bps 38 30 41 37 39 10 educational sessions in all— Greater than +/- 100 bps 10 6 11 7 10 at AFP’s Annual Conference in Boston, Source: AFP Cost of Capital Survey. November 6-9. This Annual Confer- ence is a fantastic opportunity to learn, Figure 2: Internal Visibility of Organizations’ Cost of Capital Estimate (Percent Distribution) network, and interact with over 5,000 finance professionals. Under $1 Billion Over $1 Billion Privately Publicly All Revenue Revenue Held Traded I greatly appreciate the support and encouragement from the members of The cost of capital is communicated companywide 15% 11% 18% 15% 16% the FP&A community. Please continue sending me your ideas and articles The cost of capital is communicated so we can continue to support one on a need-to-know basis 85 89 82 85 84 another in our drive for personal and Source: AFP Cost of Capital Survey. professional excellence. revealed that calculating the cost of capital today is an art, not a science. There was little consensus Brian Kalish about cost of capital practices; instead, respondents typically deployed a plurality of techniques. bkalish@afponline.org Good and bad news The vast majority of companies do practice some form of cost of capital estimations. Fully 79 Not an AFP Member? Join today. percent of companies, including 91 percent with annual revenues greater than $1 billion, use www.AFPonline.org/Join Continued on page 2 www.AFPonline.org Copyright © 2010 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved Page 1
  • 2. Cost Uncertainity from page 1 A Corporate’s Perspective on Cost of Capital discounted cash flow tech- So how do treasury and finance professionals determine their cost of niques. (One wonders what capital? FP&A asked one executive, Mark W. Scott, CTP, Manager, the remaining 9 percent with 2011 AFP Treasury, Corporate Finance for Verizon, for his insights. annual revenues greater than Current Trends in Estimating and Applying the Cost of Capital Report of Survey Results $1 billion do.) FP&A: Why did you undertake this survey? There is less consistency, however, in how organizations Mark Scott: We thought that this was an important study to do because estimate cash flows and determine the weighted average cost it provides treasury finance professionals and academics with valuable of capital at which those cash flows are discounted. benchmarking information about how and when the CAPM is currently Five years is the most common period over which orga- being used by practitioners, and which inputs they populate the model nizations explicitly forecast the cash flows associated with a with. This is particularly pertinent when considering that one of the project—a span cited by 46 percent of survey respondents. most critical issues owing the recent financial turmoil concerns asset More than one-third of organizations forecast explicit cash prices, and the capital asset pricing model is one of the most widely flows for the first 10 years of a project. used valuation models. There is great diversity in how organizations determine FP&A: Looking at the results, what surprised you? the value of cash flows for the remaining life of a project, i.e., Scott: I’m surprised that this study even occurred, considering the terminal value. Only 46 percent use the perpetuity growth confidential nature of the information, the number of responses, and the model, while 27 percent develop an explicit cash flow fore- broad array of the firms they represent. cast for the entire life of a project. Fully 72 percent develop FP&A: For many of the questions, there seems to be little consen- multiple cash flow scenarios representing the expected out- sus. How surprising did you find that and why? come as well as best and worst-case outcomes, which are then Scott: Not surprising at all. It is no secret that applying the CAPM is as discounted. A significant share of organizations (28 percent) much an art as financial science. However, two thoughts readily come uses only a single cash flow scenario. to mind when thinking about the number of variations that are associ- There is even greater diversity among organizations in ated with the CAPM. the methods they use when estimating the weighted aver- First, despite the differences in model inputs, many of the final WACC age cost of capital. In estimating the cost of equity, nearly estimates will still manage to fall within a reasonably close grouping. nine of 10 organizations use the, which calculates the cost This occurs precisely because of the wide variety of inputs and inter- of equity using a risk-free rate, beta factor, and a market pretations of the model. risk premium, each of which introduces significant variabil- One practitioner might use the 1-year Treasury as their risk-free rate, ity. While nearly half of organizations (46 percent) use the while others may use the 10 or 30-year. However, the practitioner using 10-year Treasury note to estimate the risk-free rate, the 1-year Treasury may also be using the higher Ibbotson long-term 16 percent use the 90-day Treasury bill, five-year Treasury market risk premium, while the others use a more recent lower valued risk (12 percent), and even the 30-year Treasury bond. Given premium. So while there may be a significant disparity among the inputs that the historical spread between 90-day Treasury bills that does not necessarily result in significant discrepancy in results. and 30-year Treasury bonds is approximately 3 percent, The other thought is that the lack of consensus in CAPM interpreta- this wide variation in choices for the risk-free rate will have tion actually supports healthy and efficient markets. It has been said dramatic effects on project valuation. that a seller of stock sells with the belief that the value of that security is There is also little consistency in the methods organiza- about to decline, to a buyer with an equal conviction that the stock will tions use to estimate the cost of debt. More than go up. How can that be when the same information about the stock’s underlying company and markets are available to both? It is because one-third use either the current rate on their existing debt the buyer and seller interpret that same information differently. The (37 percent) or the forecasted rate for newly issued debt same is true for the CAPM. (34 percent). More than one in five reduces the volatility of the cost of debt by using an average rate on outstanding FP&A: Was there any practice that you had never heard of before? debt over some period of time. Results from the survey are Anything you will adopt? more consistent for the tax rates that organizations apply Scott: While the survey provides fertile terrain for debate and further re- to calculate the after-tax cost of debt. Fully 64 percent use search, in general, it appears that responses follow academic theory— their effective tax rate, but 29 percent use the marginal tax albeit, the wide range of responses indicates different interpretations of rate, and 7 percent use a target tax rate. s the theories. s Page 2 Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved Spring 2011
  • 3. Developing Capital Structure Strategy David Mallicoat, MBA, CMA, CFM FPA & One of FP&A’s primary functions is to facili- balance sheet and in cash flow related to financ- Published by the Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. tate the strategic planning process and help ing activities. Before assumptions related to management develop goals, objectives and financing activities can be developed, it is neces- Editor strategies for the organization. Typically, the sary to first deal with anticipated levels of cash Ira Apfel lion’s share of attention during this process is flow from operating and investing activities. Director, Finance Practice devoted to operating strategy development. Clearly, whether external financing is required Brian Kalish While this allocation is appropriate, a compre- or excess cash is available depends largely on hensive strategic plan should also include a operating and capital spending assumptions. President and CEO James A. Kaitz well articulated capital structure strategy. From a modeling perspective, it is generally Capital structure strategy should have advisable to reflect returns on planned capital Managing Director, Communications two main objectives: align with the operat- investment at levels consistent with economic Elizabeth Johns ing strategy; and maximize total shareholder value creation; that is, at or above the weighted Publications Specialist returns (TSR). Too much leverage can lead average cost of capital (WACC). An updated Amy Cooley to credit default and insolvency while too WACC analysis should, therefore, also be in- Advertising little may result in sub-optimal shareholder cluded in the strategic planning process. Advertise in FP&A to reach out to value creation. Key components of the capital decision makers seeking new FP&A Optimal debt levels technology. To reserve space structure strategy include: today, contact the AFP Sales Team At the heart of capital structure strategy is • Capital spending and expected returns at 301.961.8833. a fundamental question: how much debt is • Optimal debt levels too much, and how much is too little? Hold- • Liquidity and cash balances Subscriptions ing operating cash flows constant, enterprise • Interest rate risk management www.AFPonline.org/newsletters value is maximized where the after-tax WACC • Dividend policy Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Profession- is minimized (figure 1). In a world where als, Inc. Copying and redistributing prohibited without • Share repurchases and share-based permission of the publisher. This information is provided interest (and lease) payments are tax deduct- with the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in compensation. rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. ible, the WACC benefits from each marginal If legal or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional person should be sought. Capital spending and expected returns dollar of debt capital up to the point at which Capital structure assumptions are reflected elevated default risk premiums are mani- Association for Financial Professionals in the “three statement model” primarily on the Continued on page 4 4520 East-West Highway Suite 750 Bethesda, MD 20814 Figure 1: Optimal Capital Structure Phone: 301.907.2862 Website: www.AFPonline.org Email: AFP@AFPonline.org Blog: http://blogs.afponline.org/FPA Twitter: http://twitter.com/afponline LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/ companies/association-for-financial- professionals AFP’s FP&A resources are available at www.AFPonline.org/FPA Debt/Total Assets www.AFPonline.org Copyright © 2010 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved Page 3
  • 4. Developing Capital Structure Strategy continued fested. The precise amount of leverage that Interest rate risk management shareholders is by repurchasing shares. represents is difficult to know, but, one thing If the firm anticipates including debt Share repurchase programs have become an is certain: operating cash flow is anything but in the capital structure, interest rates and important way for firms to enhance share- constant. One approach to estimating an ideal expense must be projected. This exercise holder returns by driving EPS accretion debt level is to model minimum acceptable calls into question the firm’s strategy for through reduced share counts. Using an EPS debt metrics (e.g., debt covenant cushions) interest rate risk management, which ideally accretion framework, share repurchases are under downside or worst-case scenarios. This includes developing targets for fixed versus almost always favorable to debt reduction as approach helps the firm balance default risk floating rate exposure. There are many a use of cash. There are a number of impor- with the opportunity costs of over-weighting diverging views on interest rate risk manage- tant considerations in the share repurchase equity in the capital structure mix. ment. Some CFOs and boards of directors, analysis, including issues related to share It is also important to consider sources of may place a premium on certainty and seek price. If management is agnostic about share debt capital. For instance, diversifying sources to minimize floating rate exposure. Others price when repurchasing shares, it risks the of debt capital with a mixture of bank debt may adopt a more balanced approach to potential perception of over-paying. How- and corporate bonds, as well as staggering hedging interest rate risk. ever, if the firm adopts a more opportunistic debt maturities, may help reduce refinanc- approach, a lack of buybacks may signal the ing risks should shocks occur in the credit Dividend policy market that management believes shares are markets at inopportune times. In practice, dividend policy should be over-valued. considered within the context of an overall Inextricably linked to the share repur- Liquidity and cash balances investor strategy. It is important to consider chase strategy, is the firm’s strategy for share- It is important to consider the adequacy how current and prospective investors view based compensation. On one hand, the firm of available liquidity in the planning process. and value dividends. For instance, some dilutes the current shareholder base in order Analysis should be developed to determine funds/portfolio managers may exclude non- to better align the interests of employees peak working capital requirements based on dividend paying companies from consider- and owners. On the other, the firm uses a a variety of scenarios. Liquidity requirements, ation while others may prefer the company portion of its excess cash to simply offset the however, should be balanced against the to reinvest its cash. Competitive yield dilutive effects of share-based compensation. prospect of holding excessive cash balances comparisons and expected growth rates are It is important in the capital structure strat- idly on the balance sheet. Modeling the accu- also important factors to consider. egy development process to ensure these mulation of cash on the balance sheet implies programs are philosophically aligned. s the lack of a comprehensive capital structure Share repurchases and share-based strategy (unless earmarked for some specific compensation David Mallicoat is Manager, FP&A at Cracker purpose such as an acquisition). Another way of returning capital to Barrel Old Country Store Current Trends in Estimating and Applying the Cost of Capital Report of Survey Results More than 300 financial planning and analysis professionals provide insight into practices currently being used in the profession to deploy corporate capital. 2011 AFP g Visit www.AFPonline.org/FPA to read this unique survey. ds in Estimatin Current Treng the Cost of Capital and Applyin Results y rve Report of Su Page 4 Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved Spring 2011
  • 5. Metrics Matters individual metrics through all levels of the organization, while other companies may establish a handful of key metrics that drive the right collective behavior through the company. David P Mann . 3. Balance simplicity vs. perfection. Lean toward metrics that The traditional role of financial planning and analysis (FP&A) is to can be readily understood and communicated easily vs. the establish plans that ensure investments align with strategy to maxi- “perfect” metric that is difficult to grasp. mize return on investment (ROI). However, FP&A increasingly is 4. Be data-driven. While you may be able to dream up many relied on to play a strategic role in driving business operations. interesting metrics, the metric has no value if you cannot get Why the transformation? data to track the metric. Organizations increasingly recognize that FP&A brings a 5. Start with a baseline. When using metrics and setting tar- holistic and unbiased view of the business, and is highly vested gets, always start with a baseline, whether through historical to ensure operations are smart and efficient to drive financial trends or external benchmarking. This will give you a better performance. FP&A also is in the unique position to bring a sense for patterns and proposed targets. metric-centric view of the entire business that, if designed cor- 6. Communicate. Metrics should be communicated consis- rectly, can ensure an organization is on track with its goals. tently, in various forums and with regularity. Metrics are a key component of successful operations. There 7. Look to the future. Take a long-term view in managing are three primary advantages for using metrics: metrics. Small blips up or down are fine, as long as the trend 1. Accountability. In a nutshell, metrics don’t lie. Metrics moves in the right direction. force accountability to the agreed-upon goal. It is a much 8. Consider costs. When appropriate, it is valuable to factor better approach than allowing people to “spin” how they cost into a metric. We have a large customer support team talk about their respective areas. at Constant Contact and, being a customer-centric company, 2. Empowerment. It may seem counterintuitive, but if met- we focus on answering the phones quickly when custom- rics are used appropriately, then they will serve to support ers call with questions. One way the management team can an entrepreneurial culture, one that empowers people to ensure we answer the phones quickly is by overstaffing the make their own decisions. With well-defined metrics, there organization. To manage this, we monitor the cost per call is no need to micromanage. The goals are clear and people and look at the longer-term trend. know how they will ultimately be measured, so they are 9. Don’t forget the customer. When feasible, incorporate more willing to try new or creative approaches to solve a customer satisfaction as one of the metrics. In the example problem, and also to take risks and move quickly. above, the customer support team can influence the cost per 3. Front Lines. By establishing a smart, collaborative ap- call by hiring less experienced folks with lower salaries who proach for using metrics, FP&A teams move to the front may or may not be meeting the needs of the customer call- lines and become key business partners in the organiza- ing in for support. That is why it is important for us to also tion—consulting, collaborating and driving better and measure customer satisfaction, to ensure we are doing right smarter decisions. by our customers. Now that you understand the goals of a sound metrics-driven 10. Tie in compensation. It may be tricky to find the right finance strategy, here are 10 strategies for making metrics work structure, but I have found that when you tie compensa- within a company: tion to metrics, things get done. Always involve key stake- 1. Align with strategy. The first place any company should holders in the formulation of metrics to ensure you have begin is by establishing a long-term vision and strategy and understanding and buy-in. Just imagine how you would short-term goals that are aligned with the strategy. Once feel if someone established a metric for you to achieve your these plans are crystallized, a set of complementary metrics bonus, one that you didn’t feel you could influence, and the can be designed that align with this framework. company fell short of the metric. s 2. Be flexible in the use of metrics. Just like people, all companies are different. There are numerous approaches David P Mann is Director of Finance and Assistant Treasurer for Constant Con- . to using metrics and you need to find a solution that works tact. David has more than 15 years experience in FP&A, treasury, M&A, and well for your company. Some companies may choose to drive investment banking. Reach David at dmann@constantcontact.com. www.AFPonline.org Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved Page 5
  • 6. Navigating the BI Selection Process Michael Merrill This article is the second of a series. Read the first here. Understanding that the three major Business cross-department repository of BI expertise because they typically understand the Intelligence (BI) players, Oracle, SAP and and experience is essential to the long-term challenges of the business users and the IBM, have comparable solutions, it is now success of a company’s BI solution. Skills technical limitations faced by the tech- time to choose a solution for your company. and functions incorporated into this body nology group. Members of this group can be pulled from the Business Intelligence Many companies have multiple BI solutions that have been Competency Center discussed above. developed within silos across the organization with no ability Information Technology Specialists - to share information across departments. Giving information technology specialists a voice in the selection process will ensure Create a foundation for success might include BI project assessment and that the BI solution provider does not Start by surveying your company for exist- feasibility, BI design and development, proj- over-promise the abilities of the product. ing BI solutions so that you can build on what ect management expertise, integration and It also allows the IT group the ability to is working for your organization. This may data cleansing resources, support staff, and make sure they have the infrastructure and seem like an obvious step, but many compa- a library of business best practices. staff in house to support the new software nies have multiple BI solutions that have been product(s). Members of this group can be developed within silos across the organization Product selection team pulled from the Business Intelligence Com- with no ability to share information across de- When choosing the BI products, it is impor- petency Center discussed above. partments. For example, if your company uses tant to put together the correct selection team. Oracle Financials and bases all custom applica- The team needs to be comprised of executives, Product demo tions on Oracle databases with an army of PL/ business users, power users and information It is important for your organization to SQL developers on staff, then Oracle Business technology professionals. Without the support be an active driver of the product demo Intelligence Enterprise Edition (OBIEE) would and buy-in of any of these groups, even the process rather than a passive participant. Be be a natural fit. best software products being implemented prepared to provide the software company Also, this type of organization-wide with the best plans will fail. a detailed list of business requirements assessment can be the foundation for the Executives - The executives have their and functionality essential to the solution creation of a Business Intelligence Compe- eyes on the direction of the company and implementation. During the demo keep tency Center. An Aberdeen Group October will monitor the ROI of the BI imple- these things in mind: 2010 study suggests that a Business Intel- mentation. They need to know if the • Does the demonstrated functionality ligence Competency Center that serves as a solution wins more customers, makes the meet the current business need(s)? company more efficient, or reduces the • Which product(s) are being shown, total cost of ownership. but more importantly which product(s) are needed? Business Users - The business users • What will it take to implement the will use the BI solution on a daily basis, product? so they need to feel that it makes their • Does the product support an ability job easier or offers more functionality. to share information across organiza- Typically, they are the ones affected the tional silos? most after the implementation, so their • Don’t be afraid to ask detailed questions opinion should carry the most weight. • Don’t get side tracked by the “bells Power Users - Power users are a great and whistles” group to have in the selection process Continued on page 7 Page 6 Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved Spring 2011
  • 7. Navigating the BI Selection Process continued Creating a product scorecard for the se- • effort to configure appropriate security Solution negotiation lection team to fill out will help ensure that • existence of extensions or enhance- After the BI solution of choice has the entire team’s voice is heard. Develop- ments to augment the out-of-the-box survived the selection team and POC, it ing a good scorecard can be tricky; most pre-built solution. is time to negotiate acquiring the appro- effective ones keep the measuring range The same Aberdeen Group study found priate product(s). Every BI company has simple (scale of 1 to 4), limit the number of that firms using pre-built dashboards said that “street” prices for their products, but very measurements to 15 key factors or less, and 36 percent of the key performance indica- few companies pay that price. The typical allow for comments. After the demos are tors associated with strategy are represented in software discount is from 20-40 percent. completed get the selection team together their dashboards. By comparison, 48 percent of Don’t forget to inquire about other contract and review the scorecards. strategic KPIs are present in dashboards or orga- concessions that can be offered by the BI nizations that pursue a custom built approach. companies. BI deals often include services A word about out-of-the-box, at a discount. However, it is important to pre-built solutions Proof-of-concept seek multiple client references in your field It can be very easy during a product Once the selection committee has nar- to ensure that the services offered are what demo to be swept away by out-of-the-box, rowed the field to the product believed you expect. pre-built solutions. The Aberdeen Group to be the best fit, it is time to contact that When looking at the final BI solution October 2010 study found that respondents company for a proof-of-concept (POC). package, pay close attention to the mainte- who used pre-built dashboard solutions The typical POC takes a couple days to two nance. Make sure your team understands were able to deploy their first dashboard weeks. Most companies will allow your or- how much annually the company will project in 60 percent of the time required ganization 30-60 days to evaluate the POC. need to continue to spend to protect the by organizations that were building custom The POC is the best and last chance to BI investment. Maintenance is based on dashboard solutions. However, the study is make sure the product will meet the business the software sold, so if the deal includes quick to point out that “there is still work needs. Run the POC like a mini-project. software and services, be sure to have the to be done to complete the implementation Develop specific goals to be achieved by the software discounted as deeply as possible, before the go-live date. When assessing pre- POC. Hold a kick-off meeting to make sure and pay more for the services. The timing built solutions, consider the following: everybody knows what products are going of the deal is also very important. End of • effort to integrate your source data into to be used and who has what responsibili- quarter or end of fiscal year deals can give these pre-built solutions ties. Make sure the business users get enough your company more leverage. s • effort to map and tailor the pre-built hands on experience with the product. Wrap solution to your specific business needs up the POC with a presentation that shows Michael Merrill is a partner with Elire. Reach and business processes how the product(s) will be used. him at michael.merrill@elire.com. AFP Global ® Corporate Treasurers Forum EXCHANGING REAL IDEAS FOR May 18-20, 2011 | The Ritz Carlton Chicago REAL RESULTS Experience interactive roundtables, facilitated by highly-distinguished Exclusive Sponsor: treasury and finance colleagues. Exclusively for executive-level corporate practitioners. Register early to save $300. Visit www.AFPonline.org/Global www.AFPonline.org Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved Page 7
  • 8. 3 Budgeting Challenges—and 6 Solutions Jenny Okonkwo, MBA Annual budgets are ideally based upon an agreed-upon business 3. Ownership and accountability strategy. Group/head office management set subsequent targets Ideally, companies should strive for shared ownership and around revenue, profit, operating expenses and headcount, using accountability of the business plan between finance and the rest a set of assumptions. This leads to a business plan, from which of the organization. Finance has an active business partnering the company budget for the coming year will be created. This all role to play in bringing potential risks and issues to the attention sounds very straightforward, so what are some of the practical chal- of senior management. They can also be process owners in the lenges that affect the budget cycle? task of flexing original budgets to reflect changes in the business environment. A widely held opinion is that sales are responsible 1. Agreeing a set of assumptions for achieving revenue targets; equally, finance has a role to play in I once worked for a prominent consumer electronics firm that monitoring company expenses, in line with sales trends, high- changed the sales organization structure every year. It was auto- lighting any potential risks to meeting bottom line profit targets. matic to ask “What will the new company structure be?” before Based on the above, here are some tips to improve the budget- calculating the numbers. The challenge would then be how best to ing process: break out the previous years numbers to provide sensible budget • Collectively agree a set of budget assumptions in advance versus actual comparatives. • Identify and engage all potential stakeholders When I worked for a food manufacturer, my key challenge was • Identify and document key interdependencies, risks and issues agreeing to suitable standards for certain products that were subject to • Agree whether to centralize or decentralize the process of wide price fluctuations. This was particularly challenging in the wake building the numbers of unforeseen events, such as droughts or sudden freezes. • Agree to role boundaries between finance and budget holders Competitive action within a sector often has a highly visible • Share accountability and ownership. effect on company performance. Beer, in particular, may often be It is important to recognize that in most instances, budgeting subject to brand switching as customers react to limited time pro- is an iterative process, and can go through several rounds prior to motions. Competitive activity, outside specific periods, may often being approved. be difficult to predict in advance. Once a company budget has been established, it needs to be brought to life via a continuous performance review process. The 2. Non-involvement of budget stakeholders frequency of business performance reviews vary within companies Company culture often dictates whether the budget is an annual (monthly, quarterly, etc). These reviews form the basis for produc- chore left exclusively to the finance department, or whether it is ing a forecast, based on an actual versus budget comparison for a viewed as a company-wide process with active engagement at all particular timeframe and flexing the original numbers for unfore- levels. In environments where the process is centralized within seen changes, budgeting errors and risks. finance, it becomes virtually impossible to implement an ongo- There should also be time set aside for an in-depth review of ing business review process. The operative term is “these are not the past budget process, identifying lessons learned and ways to my numbers.” Performance target setting processes are adversely improve the process for future cycles. This may involve a review of impacted and accountability is unclear. the systems and tools used as well as gathering feedback from those Treating the budget process as a finance exercise also results in involved in the process. s key business interdependencies and risks being overlooked. In my experience, what has worked best is a situation where the business Toronto-based Jenny Okonkwo, MBA, (CIMA Associate Member, UK), builds their own budgets within group guidelines, with review, is finance manager for Transform Consulting. Email: okonkwoj@gmail. coaching and assistance from finance throughout the process. com. Web: http://ca.linkedin.com/in/jennyokonkwo. Page 8 Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved Spring 2011
  • 9. Collaboration Counts Thomas W. Smith, CMA, MBA Most experts are clear in their beliefs about the “The Gymnast” importance of traditional financial skill sets as Be flexible, balanced, and precise. Flexibility in approach is critical. Balance financial imperatives for entry into the FP&A ranks. and business priorities. Be precise when it counts. Know that constant precision can But what are the keys to advanced FP&A wear on others. success? Cross-functional collaboration and other soft skills. “The Tailor” Business leaders tend to value financial Work the seams. Find loose change in the pockets of opportunity that even professionals who understand the business and the best business processes and change efforts leave. Be on the lookout for seam contribute to operational success. Meanwhile, dwellers that need help. finance leaders, faced with unique pressures and influences, have different views about how “The Ambassador” business support activities stack up in priority Build rapport and trust. Span the boundaries between Finance and other company units. against closing the books, updating rolling Be the broker for solutions that engender organizational stability and forge process forecasts, and building budgets. Largely a improvement. matter of differing perceptions and compet- “The Interpreter” ing priorities, it is exactly within this gap—of Remove the language barrier. Recognize that colleagues may see even the most basic who thinks what is important—where FP&A financial terminology as a foreign language. Assemble a vocabulary and desk-side is squarely caught in the middle. Somewhat manner that works. paradoxically, this is also a golden road of op- portunity for FP&A. “The Educator” FP&A professionals need collaborative and Simplify and clarify. Help others to understand financial concepts and initiatives. other soft skills to constantly reconcile this ap- Invest in the power of financial education across the business. Make it easy for others parent dichotomy and to seize the opportunity. to support FP&A. Moving beyond our traditional accounting and finance skill sets is developmentally essential, as “The Individualizer” we look to improve ourselves and to help oth- Adapt to differences among colleagues. Recognize the diversity of skills and talents ers who look to us for leadership and mentor- that exists in an organization. Modify approach and style to achieve the best results. ing. This is not to suggest in any way, shape, or form that functional excellence be cast aside or “The Integrator” that technical knowledge, financial models, and Put the pieces together. Create a mosaic by assembling the seemingly disparate perspec- analytical methods be replaced with glad-hand- tives and information that we encounter. Embrace the opportunity to unify. ing, back-slapping, and an aversion to heavy lifting. As financial professionals, we cannot “The Raconteur” and should not forsake the very skills that got Tell the FP&A story. Be the soundtrack. Inject personality and enthusiasm. Be inter- us to where we are. esting. Focus on a few overarching themes. Create a story that encourages others to Rather than representing a single set of abso- want to work with us. s lutes, the list that follows is intended to evoke imagery and be an illustrative look at a very Thomas W. Smith is Director, FP&A, Home Systems Division, Legrand North America. Reach important topic. him at Thomas.Smith@Legrand.us. www.AFPonline.org Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved Page 9
  • 10. How to Get What You Want When You Want It Kristin Castille, CTP For FP&A professionals to succeed, they must work with multiple information. By knowing why you need the data, they can better departments to gather information used in their financial and business allocate their time and resources to the request. For example, analysis. The quality and timeliness of the work is paramount as the if you just need rough numbers for a back-of-the-envelope analysis is relied upon by the senior leadership team including the calculation, communicating this might save needless hours as President, Chief Financial Officer and the Board of Directors. someone attempts to gather exact numbers to the penny. To the Data and information are required from numerous departments. contrary, when the information is being used for a public filing For example, data may include the specific business volume from or board report, you will gain buy-in as your source will share in the commercial team, or tax and depreciation estimates from the the excitement and importance of this work. accounting department. Information includes the commercial 4. Recognize language differences. outlook and reason for volume and price fluctuations from prior While you know exactly what you want, your finance lan- periods or strategic initiatives from the executive team. guage might have a different meaning to a non-finance profes- It is the responsibility of the FP&A team to verify the inputs. sional. For example, something that is considered an expense Here are a few pointers to help achieve this goal: by the commercial team may not be an expense that hits the 1. Communicate clear and specific deadlines. income statement. Even though cash is going out the door, it Information requests should be accompanied by an exact date could instead be classified as inventory and only impact the and time. Avoid using the phrase ASAPas there is no agreed upon balance sheet. So exercise caution and ask plenty of questions to meaning. While one person could interpret this to mean in the make sure everyone is on the same page when you’re trying to next five minutes, someone else could understand this to be in get that income statement forecast right. the next five days. By providing a deadline, you are better able to 5. Build personal relationships. ensure your own deadlines will be met. People prefer to say “yes” to individuals they know and like. It 2. Be detailed in your requests. may not take a PhD to figure this out, but one did: According to You know exactly what you’re trying to do with the informa- Robert Cialdini, Professor Emeritus of Psychology and Marketing tion, but others aren’t mind readers. Tell them exactly what you’re at Arizona State University and author of “Influence,” compliance looking for. For example, asking the VP of Sales for “2010 vol- with requests is more likely to be achieved if people are familiar umes” is too vague. Asking the following is much more helpful: with and have positive feelings towards the person making the “Could you please provide me with volume by product line for request. So take the time to get to know your colleagues, and 2010 broken out by month, which ties to the summary number?” instead of eating at your desk, invite them out to lunch. This eliminates precious time wasted All the technical knowledge and with needless back-and-forth as you spreadsheet wizardry will not do attempt to get exactly what you want. you a lick of good if you can’t get An even more fool-proof method is accurate information in a timely providing an Excel template in which manner from your coworkers. Fol- the cells to be populated are high- lowing these five steps will put you lighted. This visual guide will often on a path to success in meeting your prove easier than verbal instructions. deadlines and endless reporting requirements. s 3. Take a collaborative approach. Kristin Castille, CTP, is Manager of Share the reason for the request Financial Planning & Analysis for with your coworker providing the SPT Inc. Page 10 Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved Spring 2011
  • 11. Managing Liquidity in Tough Times Rod Hewlett, CTP Managing capital costs and capital structure ture cash flows (financial capital), right-sized access to affordable capital. What types of is complicated, even in the best of economic physical capital, structural capital (processes, tools exist within treasury to do this type times. Yet, the ability to access cash for capi- procedures, culture, customer relationships, of planning? tal investments is not a mystery and can be supply chain, and reputation—as some have It is fundamental that all forms of capital managed—even in challenging times. Three suggested, structural capital is the knowl- available to an organization receive effec- critical planning steps that can help mitigate edge that resides in the organization when tive capital budgeting—all investments cost of capital problems include: the employees leave at night), access to intel- should mitigate risk and enhance organi- • Understanding the near and mid-term lectual capital, and well honed and aligned zational cash flow. Essentially, this form external economic environment human capital. Smart investors want to see of holistic capital budgeting is part of a • Tying a comprehensive enterprise risk the risk mitigation strategies. thoughtful risk management strategy. Trea- management strategy to capital planning • Focusing on markets and cash flow. It is fundamental that all forms of capital available to In February 2010, Richard Fisher, Presi- dent of the Dallas Fed, shared that the Dallas an organization receive effective capital budgeting— Fed pegged Federal unfunded liabilities at all investments should mitigate risk and enhance $104 trillion, growing at $2-3 trillion per year. Federal debt has climbed north of $14 organizational cash flow. trillion. All told, debt in the United States is now over $50 trillion. In short, there is Enterprise risk management tracks all sury must become adept at integrating ex- tremendous pressure on capital markets and major risks that can impact the organization ternal market cues into capital and liquidity there will be pressure for a protracted period. and uses an integrated, and systematic, ap- planning. Enterprise risk management must Large government, consumer, and business proach to share or mitigate risks. Good risk be considered as a holistic management borrowing will create real competition for strategies also include scanning strategies tool that links markets to cash flow. Risk precious capital investments. At the same to identify and adapt to the “black swan.” management is more than insurance and time, commodity prices continue to climb Ultimately, a solid risk management plan netting activities. One has to look no further and the value of the U.S. dollar is under mitigates risk that affects the price of cash, than talent acquisition, management, and tremendous pressure. Even with growth in or the cost of capital. retention in a knowledge-based business to consumer and investment demand, there are All organizations face the hard reality understand that employee benefits and the serious challenges—many of the fixes to the that their missions require cash—and that regulatory environment are important risk debt issues will diminish consumer demand. also includes access to future cash. Good areas. If a knowledge-based business cannot So, businesses that want to maintain access organizations manage liquidity holistically. attract knowledge talent, their access to and to capital need a very clean balance sheet, They plan for current cash, future access to cost of capital will become prohibitive. an effective value proposition for good and cash, and use this cash to shape the organi- The treasury group is the critical orga- bad times, and a risk strategy that convinces zation to meet the market. Good businesses nizational player in liquidity management. capital markets that your organization has a manage and make mid-course corrections Risks shapes value and value governs access serious handle on risks. to manage to cash. Without cash, great to capital and cost of capital, which impacts Smart companies have a comprehensive ideas die and capital is employed ineffec- liquidity. Twenty-first century economics has risk management strategy that links opera- tively and eventually evaporates. Under- creating an expanded role for treasury. s tional and strategic plans to markets and standing the organization value proposition ultimately the value creating capital of the through market-capital-risk-cash flow Rod Hewlett, DA, CFM, CTP is Dean, College , organization. Capital includes current and fu- links is the critical element to ensure ready of Business, Bellevue University. www.AFPonline.org Copyright © 2011 Association for Financial Professionals, Inc. All Rights Reserved Page 11