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Social media and revolution

    Or, what is the difference
    between Iran and Egypt?
Malcolm Gladwell
        • Author of “Tipping
          Point” and other
          bestselling books
        • Argued in New Yorker
          that social media do not
          foment revolutions
        • Wrote that Twitter and
          Facebook can’t
          substitute for real life
Hierarchies versus networks
• Real social activism, like
  Woolworth’s sit-in,
  requires “strong ties”
• Low-commitment
  causes, like Darfur,
  depend on “weak ties”
• When there is danger,
  leadership and personal
  commitment are key
Twitter non-revolutions
            • Moldova had a “Twitter
              revolution” without
              Twitter accounts
            • Most Iranian “activists”
              tweeted in English
              rather than Farsi
            • “Slacktivism”: Social
              media work when they
              don’t demand too much
Clay Shirky
      • Author of “Here Comes
        Everybody” and other
        bestselling books
      • Argued in Foreign
        Affairs that social media
        can foster social change
      • Wrote that Twitter and
        Facebook supplement
        real-life activism
A potent organizing tool
• Texting led a million
  people to demonstrate
  against Joseph Estrada
• “Twitter revolution” in
  Moldova fueled ouster
  of Communist Party
• Boston Globe’s exposé
  of sex-abuse scandal
  rocked Catholic Church
It’s complicated
        • Some attempts at social
          change will succeed
          and some will fail
        • A repressive regime can
          use social media as
          effectively as activists
        • Evgeny Morozov
          criticizes cyperutopians
          in “Net Delusion”
Egypt’s Facebook revolution
• Google executive Wael
  Ghonim helped spark
  a revolution
• “Hey @Gladwell,
  #Jan25 proved you
  wrong. Revolution can
  be a #Facebook event
  that is liked, shared &
  tweeted.”
Regime turns off Internet
Unexpected consequences
            • Social media can be
              used to provoke and to
              spark retaliation
            • Would “Innocence of
              the Muslims” be made
              without social media?
            • Rioters were neither
              reformists nor
              government oppressors
The Gandhi rule
        • Peaceful revolution only
          works when opponent
          has a conscience
        • Authoritarianism is
          more benign than
          totalitarianism
        • Mubarak was not
          Ahmadinejad — or
          Bashir al-Assad of Syria
Questions for journalists
             • How can we use social
               media to tell story of
               what is happening?
             • How can we, like
               @acarvin (left), tell
               truth from fiction?
             • How can we see social
               media as a tool, not
               as a miracle or a fraud?

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Social Media and Revolution

  • 1. Social media and revolution Or, what is the difference between Iran and Egypt?
  • 2. Malcolm Gladwell • Author of “Tipping Point” and other bestselling books • Argued in New Yorker that social media do not foment revolutions • Wrote that Twitter and Facebook can’t substitute for real life
  • 3. Hierarchies versus networks • Real social activism, like Woolworth’s sit-in, requires “strong ties” • Low-commitment causes, like Darfur, depend on “weak ties” • When there is danger, leadership and personal commitment are key
  • 4. Twitter non-revolutions • Moldova had a “Twitter revolution” without Twitter accounts • Most Iranian “activists” tweeted in English rather than Farsi • “Slacktivism”: Social media work when they don’t demand too much
  • 5. Clay Shirky • Author of “Here Comes Everybody” and other bestselling books • Argued in Foreign Affairs that social media can foster social change • Wrote that Twitter and Facebook supplement real-life activism
  • 6. A potent organizing tool • Texting led a million people to demonstrate against Joseph Estrada • “Twitter revolution” in Moldova fueled ouster of Communist Party • Boston Globe’s exposé of sex-abuse scandal rocked Catholic Church
  • 7. It’s complicated • Some attempts at social change will succeed and some will fail • A repressive regime can use social media as effectively as activists • Evgeny Morozov criticizes cyperutopians in “Net Delusion”
  • 8. Egypt’s Facebook revolution • Google executive Wael Ghonim helped spark a revolution • “Hey @Gladwell, #Jan25 proved you wrong. Revolution can be a #Facebook event that is liked, shared & tweeted.”
  • 9. Regime turns off Internet
  • 10. Unexpected consequences • Social media can be used to provoke and to spark retaliation • Would “Innocence of the Muslims” be made without social media? • Rioters were neither reformists nor government oppressors
  • 11. The Gandhi rule • Peaceful revolution only works when opponent has a conscience • Authoritarianism is more benign than totalitarianism • Mubarak was not Ahmadinejad — or Bashir al-Assad of Syria
  • 12. Questions for journalists • How can we use social media to tell story of what is happening? • How can we, like @acarvin (left), tell truth from fiction? • How can we see social media as a tool, not as a miracle or a fraud?