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Air pollution and WEather-related health
impacts: methodological Study Of Multi-
           pollutant Exposures
               (AWESOME)


     London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
          St George’s, University of London
              University College London
               University of Edinburgh
               University of Strathclyde
AIM

“To examine the interaction of pollutant mixtures and
weather on health and health inequalities, now and in the
context of future air quality and climate policies, through
epidemiological studies based on the development, testing
and application of multi-pollutant data that are
disaggregated in time and space.”
OBJECTIVES

(1) Model the atmosphere
(2) Test
(3) Model indoor environment
(4) Do epidemiology
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
(5) Examine air quality and climate policies
(6) Examine socio-economic impacts, environmental justice
(7) Develop and apply MCDA framework
(8) Study the process of evidence generation and use
WP1. (Edin)                                WP6. (Edin)
5 x 5 km of pollutants                     Quantify se variations
and weather, 2000-10                       and policy impacts




WP2. (Edin)                                                     WP7. (LSHTM)
Performance testing                                             Develop, apply and
of grid data                                                    test MCDA
                         WP4. (LSHTM/SG)
                         Epidemiological
                         analysis.

WP3. (UCL)
Combine with models                                          WP5. (Edin)
of indoor environ.                                           Impact of AQ and
                                                             climate policies



                               PhD. (LSHTM)
                               Knowledge
                               generation and use
Scientific contributions

•   Pollutant mixes + weather
•   Pollutant sources
•   Indoor environment as modifier
•   Analytical methods – incl. use of AP model data in epi research
•   Socio-economic impacts
•   Use of MCDA
•   Tests of policies & scenarios
•   Knowledge generation and use
Epidemiology

• Simulation and other methods for assessing use of
  modelled vs measured air pollution data
• Indoor environment (as effect modifier): link to
  housing models – then link to geographical data
• Pollutant sources and mixtures...
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
• Health impacts studies
WP3 Modelling indoor environment exposure
WP3 aims

• To examine the contribution of the indoor
  environment as a modifier of exposure to
  outdoor pollutants and weather;
• in order to provide an integrated
  assessment of the associated health risks.
                                                                  building fabric
                                                                                         O3
                                                                                NOx
1. Air pollution and                     temperature
                                                                                      PM2.5
     meteorology
     • measurements
     • spatio-temporal models
2.   Models of building performance
     (temperature, indoor pollutants):                 occupant
     Effect modification                               exposure
3. Time-space epidemiological models
4. Decision analysis                                                       • mortality
5. Health impact models                                                    • morbidity
WP3 Modelling indoor environment exposure
Impact of occupant behaviour on overheating
Journal paper: Mavrogianni A., Davies M., Taylor J., Oikonomou E., Biddulph P., Wilkinson P., Das P. and
Jones B., 2013. The impact of occupancy patterns, occupant-controlled ventilation and shading on indoor
overheating risk in domestic environments. To be submitted.
WP3 Modelling indoor environment exposure
WP3 output

A tool able to map the
relative contribution of the
building fabric on the
modification of exposure to
outdoor air temperature
and pollution.
WP6 Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA)

• A quantitative method to support policy makers compare
  policy options across a number of criteria under uncertainty
• Integrates research evidence with the relative importance
  of the criteria to rank the policy options in terms of their
  overall performance across all criteria
• It tests the sensitivity of the performance of the options to
  uncertainty in the evidence and differences in opinions on
  the relative importance of the criteria
MCDA Framework

                 Scores
                 Comparison of
                 performance of options




                 Weights
                 Relative importance of the
                 criteria (stakeholders)


                 Evidence
                 Models or expert
                 opinion
Plan for next 6-12 months

• Initial epidemiological analyses
• Further development and application of models of the
  indoor environment
• Stakeholder input relating to:
   -- policy priorities
   -- the development of the MCDA framework

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1. awesome

  • 1. Air pollution and WEather-related health impacts: methodological Study Of Multi- pollutant Exposures (AWESOME) London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine St George’s, University of London University College London University of Edinburgh University of Strathclyde
  • 2. AIM “To examine the interaction of pollutant mixtures and weather on health and health inequalities, now and in the context of future air quality and climate policies, through epidemiological studies based on the development, testing and application of multi-pollutant data that are disaggregated in time and space.”
  • 3. OBJECTIVES (1) Model the atmosphere (2) Test (3) Model indoor environment (4) Do epidemiology ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- (5) Examine air quality and climate policies (6) Examine socio-economic impacts, environmental justice (7) Develop and apply MCDA framework (8) Study the process of evidence generation and use
  • 4. WP1. (Edin) WP6. (Edin) 5 x 5 km of pollutants Quantify se variations and weather, 2000-10 and policy impacts WP2. (Edin) WP7. (LSHTM) Performance testing Develop, apply and of grid data test MCDA WP4. (LSHTM/SG) Epidemiological analysis. WP3. (UCL) Combine with models WP5. (Edin) of indoor environ. Impact of AQ and climate policies PhD. (LSHTM) Knowledge generation and use
  • 5. Scientific contributions • Pollutant mixes + weather • Pollutant sources • Indoor environment as modifier • Analytical methods – incl. use of AP model data in epi research • Socio-economic impacts • Use of MCDA • Tests of policies & scenarios • Knowledge generation and use
  • 6. Epidemiology • Simulation and other methods for assessing use of modelled vs measured air pollution data • Indoor environment (as effect modifier): link to housing models – then link to geographical data • Pollutant sources and mixtures... -------------------------------------------------------------------------- • Health impacts studies
  • 7. WP3 Modelling indoor environment exposure WP3 aims • To examine the contribution of the indoor environment as a modifier of exposure to outdoor pollutants and weather; • in order to provide an integrated assessment of the associated health risks. building fabric O3 NOx 1. Air pollution and temperature PM2.5 meteorology • measurements • spatio-temporal models 2. Models of building performance (temperature, indoor pollutants): occupant Effect modification exposure 3. Time-space epidemiological models 4. Decision analysis • mortality 5. Health impact models • morbidity
  • 8. WP3 Modelling indoor environment exposure Impact of occupant behaviour on overheating Journal paper: Mavrogianni A., Davies M., Taylor J., Oikonomou E., Biddulph P., Wilkinson P., Das P. and Jones B., 2013. The impact of occupancy patterns, occupant-controlled ventilation and shading on indoor overheating risk in domestic environments. To be submitted.
  • 9. WP3 Modelling indoor environment exposure WP3 output A tool able to map the relative contribution of the building fabric on the modification of exposure to outdoor air temperature and pollution.
  • 10. WP6 Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) • A quantitative method to support policy makers compare policy options across a number of criteria under uncertainty • Integrates research evidence with the relative importance of the criteria to rank the policy options in terms of their overall performance across all criteria • It tests the sensitivity of the performance of the options to uncertainty in the evidence and differences in opinions on the relative importance of the criteria
  • 11. MCDA Framework Scores Comparison of performance of options Weights Relative importance of the criteria (stakeholders) Evidence Models or expert opinion
  • 12. Plan for next 6-12 months • Initial epidemiological analyses • Further development and application of models of the indoor environment • Stakeholder input relating to: -- policy priorities -- the development of the MCDA framework