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PATHWAYS TO SUSTAINABLE
     DEVELOPMENT:

Co-optimizing Economic Welfare,
 Employment, and Environment

 Nicholas A. Ashford, PhD, JD
   Professor of Technology & Policy
  Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Extraction
    industries
                                                Consumer
Manufacturing
                                                Consumption
   Agriculture
Transportation                                  Commercial
       Energy                                   Consumption
      Services
                                                Government
      Housing
                                                Consumption
          ICT       PROBLEMS
                    Inadequate Goods & Services
                    Toxic Pollution
                    Climate Disruption
                    Resource Depletion
                    Biodiversity/Ecosystem Integrity
                    Environmental Injustice
                    Employment/Purchasing Power
                    Economic Inequity
                         SOLUTIONS
             Education & Human Resource Development
                         Industry Initiatives
                Government Intervention/Regulation
                      Stakeholder Involvement
                Financing Sustainable Development
MAJOR SYSTEMIC PROBLEMS
Fragmentation of the knowledge base
Inequality of access to economic & political power
Tendency towards ‘Gerontocracy’
» technological and political ‘lock-in’
» usually, but not always, accompanied by concentration of
  economic wealth and political power
Market imperfections -- prices don’t reflect real costs
of goods and services
Limitations of perfectly-working markets
» Disparate time horizons - costs now, benefits later
» Delay in recognizing problems (Limits to Growth)
» Inappropriate production & consumption patterns
Failure to engage individuals in the society to realize
their human potential ~ social exclusion
Corruption
Factor Endowments
   Land
   Material Resources (natural and physical capital)
   Energy
   Labor capable of performing physical labor
   Know-how (intellectual human capital)
   [innovation systems][1]
   Built capital (bridges, roads, rail systems, ports, dams ~ infrastructure)
   Information and Communication Technology (ICT)
   (Health and Environment)[2]
   Structural capital (knowledge and productive routines held by
   organizations)
   Networks and Outsiders (linking organizations, people, and entrepreneurs)
   Social capital (knowledge held by consumers and citizens)

1] Universities, research institutions, technology and knowledge transfer
    agencies, human resource development institutions.
[2] Good human health (both physical and mental) and an unpolluted and
    preserved environment (what could be called ‘environmental capital’) are
    increasingly regarded as essential for maintaining the productiveness of
    human and natural/physical capital.
Economic Welfare, Employment,
     and the Environment

Are all affected by both technological
innovation and globalized trade

Are in a fragile balance

Are inter-related and need to be addressed
together in a coherent and mutually
reinforcing way
Environment




                          Technological
                             change &
                           globalization
                              (trade)



             Work                                                     Economy



                                         Copyright © 2006 by Nicholas A. Ashford.




Technological change and globalization (trade) as drivers of
 change within and between three operationally-important
               dimensions of sustainability
The Importance of Work
         and the Workplace
Work is combined with physical and natural capital to
produce goods & services.
The workplace is the place where comparative advantag
is exchanged - i.e., a marketplace.
Work is the main means of distributing wealth and
creating purchasing power.
Work provides a means of engagement in the society.
The workplace provides an important social environment
and mechanism for enhancing self esteem.
Industrial & economic policy, trade policy, and
environmental policy have important consequences for
employment and OH&S
Improving labor Productivity
increase worker skills
» increase labor productiveness
» rewards to workers are increased

use/develop better hardware, software, and
manufacturing systems
» increase capital productiveness
» workers’ share of profits are decreased

better matching of labor with natural/physical capital,
and with information & communication systems
» increase joint labor and capital productiveness
» rewards are increased for both owners and workers
» human-centered knowledge-based work has the potential, if
  designed properly
Theoretical implications of decreasing labor conten
     for employment and for the environment
     Lower costs of goods and services
     Lower prices
     Increased demand and sale of goods and services
     » in the original industry/market
     » in new markets (influenced by increases in disposable
       income and producer-created demand)
     Are more workers hired than displaced?
     » It depends on whether growth in production outstrips
       (capital) productiveness growth
     May require or stimulate a continual throughput
     economy with increasing consumption
     » => adverse effects on environmental sustainability
Strategic Interventions
Change Production & Service Systems (meet needs in a new wa
    – Dematerialization, energy-efficiency, new energy sources, pollution/waste
      prevention
    – Shift to re-manufacturing & product services (e,g, photocopy machines, cars)
    – System changes, e.g., in manufacturing, transportation, housing, agriculture
    – Tax/regulate pollution and energy use
    – Remove ‘head taxes’ from labor, e.g., health care, unemployment insurance
    – Change labor/capital mix from manufacturing to services      utilize higher skills
      and labor inputs
    – Reward and incentivize innovation
Change Demand
    – Education, use of counter-advertising & regulating commercial advertising
    – Constrain consumption by using tax policy
Change Finance System
    – Banking, lending, and mortgage regulation
    – Tobin tax on currency speculation
Education and Human Resource Development (supply & demand
    – Affecting political and purchasing choices/upskill workers
Create meaningful, rewarding, and safe jobs (not by trickle-down)
I
                                      Toxic Pollution
                                     Climate Change
                                   Ecosystem Disruption
                                    Resource Depletion


                 VI              Environment                           II
   ● Increased environmental                                 ● Development & environment
   footprint from the need to                                      (industrialization)
   increase employment &                                     ● Investment & environment
   industrial throughput
                                                             ● Trade & environment

● Environmental/energy                                                ● Regulation of Health, Safety &
                                      Technological
improvements create or                                                 Environment Affects the Economy
                                        change &
change the nature of                                                  and Growth.
                                      globalization
employment.


● Skills
                 Work                                             Economy
● Wages                         ● Changing international
● Purchasing Power                                                ● Improvements in competitiveness,
                                division of labor
● Job Security                                                    productiveness, and the use of physical,
● Health and Safety                                               natural, & human capital
                                ● Changes in the nature of
● Job Satisfaction                                                ● Economic changes (arising from labor
                                work
● Number of Jobs                                                  replacement & capital relocation
                                                                  ● Financing growth and development
          V                                  IV                                  III
Roles of Government                                                        Roles of Corporations
                      Continuum                                                                 Continuum
      Minimal State/        Rawlsian Government                                 Profit Maximization     Corporate Social and
      Utilitarianism        Government acts as                                  Capitalist (laissez     Environmental
      Capitalist (laissez   trustee for stakeholders;                           faire) approach         Responsibility (CSER)
      faire) approach to    Interventionist approach                                                    Sustainable
      policy and markets    to policy and markets            Citizen &                                  Industrialization
                                                               NGO
                                                             Concerns



                                                                                               Shareholders’
                                                        Roles of Consumers
                                                             Continuum
                                                                                               Concerns
                                            ‘Value’ Consumers        Green Consumers
                                            Purchasing based         Purchasing based upon
                                            upon the price and       the environmental and
                                            perceived value of       social impacts of
                                            products and services    products and services




ifferent Operating Postures that might be adopted by Government, Corporations,
 Consumers in the Context of Citizen, NGO, & Shareholder Scrutiny
TECHNOLOGY-BASED STRATEGIES FOR IMPROVING
                  PRODUCTIVENESS, EMPLOYMENT, and
                 HEALTH, SAFETY, & THE ENVIRONMENT
    SHIFT ATTENTION FROM PROBLEMS TO SOLUTIONS
     » Technology Options Analysis vs.Technology/Risk Assessment

    DESIGN AND IMPLEMENT COMPREHENSIVE TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGES
     » to improve productiveness, employment and health, safety, and the environment

●   EXPAND THE SCOPE OF INNOVATION AND THE DIMENSIONS OF THE ’DESIGN SPACE’
    - ‘design space’ refers to the dimensions along which the designers of technical/social
    systems concern themselves
    - expanding the available socio-technical design space includes simultaneous consideratio
    of the determinants of competitiveness, environment, and employment
    - distinguish between ‘sustaining (incremental) innovation’ and ‘disrupting (radical)
    innovation’
    - the needed major product, process, product services, and system transformations may be
    beyond those that the dominant industries and firms are capable of developing easily, at lea
    by themselves
●   ADDRESS ALL DIMENSIONS OF INNOVATION:
        - technological, organizational, institutional, and social factors

    REQUISITES FOR CHANGE: Willingness, Opportunity/Motivation, & Capacity/Capability

    INTEGRATION, NOT MERELY COORDINATION, OF EFFORTS IS ESSENTIAL

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Pathways to Sustainable Development; Co-optimizing Economic Welfare, Employment and Environment

  • 1. PATHWAYS TO SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT: Co-optimizing Economic Welfare, Employment, and Environment Nicholas A. Ashford, PhD, JD Professor of Technology & Policy Massachusetts Institute of Technology
  • 2. Extraction industries Consumer Manufacturing Consumption Agriculture Transportation Commercial Energy Consumption Services Government Housing Consumption ICT PROBLEMS Inadequate Goods & Services Toxic Pollution Climate Disruption Resource Depletion Biodiversity/Ecosystem Integrity Environmental Injustice Employment/Purchasing Power Economic Inequity SOLUTIONS Education & Human Resource Development Industry Initiatives Government Intervention/Regulation Stakeholder Involvement Financing Sustainable Development
  • 3. MAJOR SYSTEMIC PROBLEMS Fragmentation of the knowledge base Inequality of access to economic & political power Tendency towards ‘Gerontocracy’ » technological and political ‘lock-in’ » usually, but not always, accompanied by concentration of economic wealth and political power Market imperfections -- prices don’t reflect real costs of goods and services Limitations of perfectly-working markets » Disparate time horizons - costs now, benefits later » Delay in recognizing problems (Limits to Growth) » Inappropriate production & consumption patterns Failure to engage individuals in the society to realize their human potential ~ social exclusion Corruption
  • 4. Factor Endowments Land Material Resources (natural and physical capital) Energy Labor capable of performing physical labor Know-how (intellectual human capital) [innovation systems][1] Built capital (bridges, roads, rail systems, ports, dams ~ infrastructure) Information and Communication Technology (ICT) (Health and Environment)[2] Structural capital (knowledge and productive routines held by organizations) Networks and Outsiders (linking organizations, people, and entrepreneurs) Social capital (knowledge held by consumers and citizens) 1] Universities, research institutions, technology and knowledge transfer agencies, human resource development institutions. [2] Good human health (both physical and mental) and an unpolluted and preserved environment (what could be called ‘environmental capital’) are increasingly regarded as essential for maintaining the productiveness of human and natural/physical capital.
  • 5. Economic Welfare, Employment, and the Environment Are all affected by both technological innovation and globalized trade Are in a fragile balance Are inter-related and need to be addressed together in a coherent and mutually reinforcing way
  • 6. Environment Technological change & globalization (trade) Work Economy Copyright © 2006 by Nicholas A. Ashford. Technological change and globalization (trade) as drivers of change within and between three operationally-important dimensions of sustainability
  • 7. The Importance of Work and the Workplace Work is combined with physical and natural capital to produce goods & services. The workplace is the place where comparative advantag is exchanged - i.e., a marketplace. Work is the main means of distributing wealth and creating purchasing power. Work provides a means of engagement in the society. The workplace provides an important social environment and mechanism for enhancing self esteem. Industrial & economic policy, trade policy, and environmental policy have important consequences for employment and OH&S
  • 8. Improving labor Productivity increase worker skills » increase labor productiveness » rewards to workers are increased use/develop better hardware, software, and manufacturing systems » increase capital productiveness » workers’ share of profits are decreased better matching of labor with natural/physical capital, and with information & communication systems » increase joint labor and capital productiveness » rewards are increased for both owners and workers » human-centered knowledge-based work has the potential, if designed properly
  • 9. Theoretical implications of decreasing labor conten for employment and for the environment Lower costs of goods and services Lower prices Increased demand and sale of goods and services » in the original industry/market » in new markets (influenced by increases in disposable income and producer-created demand) Are more workers hired than displaced? » It depends on whether growth in production outstrips (capital) productiveness growth May require or stimulate a continual throughput economy with increasing consumption » => adverse effects on environmental sustainability
  • 10. Strategic Interventions Change Production & Service Systems (meet needs in a new wa – Dematerialization, energy-efficiency, new energy sources, pollution/waste prevention – Shift to re-manufacturing & product services (e,g, photocopy machines, cars) – System changes, e.g., in manufacturing, transportation, housing, agriculture – Tax/regulate pollution and energy use – Remove ‘head taxes’ from labor, e.g., health care, unemployment insurance – Change labor/capital mix from manufacturing to services utilize higher skills and labor inputs – Reward and incentivize innovation Change Demand – Education, use of counter-advertising & regulating commercial advertising – Constrain consumption by using tax policy Change Finance System – Banking, lending, and mortgage regulation – Tobin tax on currency speculation Education and Human Resource Development (supply & demand – Affecting political and purchasing choices/upskill workers Create meaningful, rewarding, and safe jobs (not by trickle-down)
  • 11. I Toxic Pollution Climate Change Ecosystem Disruption Resource Depletion VI Environment II ● Increased environmental ● Development & environment footprint from the need to (industrialization) increase employment & ● Investment & environment industrial throughput ● Trade & environment ● Environmental/energy ● Regulation of Health, Safety & Technological improvements create or Environment Affects the Economy change & change the nature of and Growth. globalization employment. ● Skills Work Economy ● Wages ● Changing international ● Purchasing Power ● Improvements in competitiveness, division of labor ● Job Security productiveness, and the use of physical, ● Health and Safety natural, & human capital ● Changes in the nature of ● Job Satisfaction ● Economic changes (arising from labor work ● Number of Jobs replacement & capital relocation ● Financing growth and development V IV III
  • 12. Roles of Government Roles of Corporations Continuum Continuum Minimal State/ Rawlsian Government Profit Maximization Corporate Social and Utilitarianism Government acts as Capitalist (laissez Environmental Capitalist (laissez trustee for stakeholders; faire) approach Responsibility (CSER) faire) approach to Interventionist approach Sustainable policy and markets to policy and markets Citizen & Industrialization NGO Concerns Shareholders’ Roles of Consumers Continuum Concerns ‘Value’ Consumers Green Consumers Purchasing based Purchasing based upon upon the price and the environmental and perceived value of social impacts of products and services products and services ifferent Operating Postures that might be adopted by Government, Corporations, Consumers in the Context of Citizen, NGO, & Shareholder Scrutiny
  • 13. TECHNOLOGY-BASED STRATEGIES FOR IMPROVING PRODUCTIVENESS, EMPLOYMENT, and HEALTH, SAFETY, & THE ENVIRONMENT SHIFT ATTENTION FROM PROBLEMS TO SOLUTIONS » Technology Options Analysis vs.Technology/Risk Assessment DESIGN AND IMPLEMENT COMPREHENSIVE TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGES » to improve productiveness, employment and health, safety, and the environment ● EXPAND THE SCOPE OF INNOVATION AND THE DIMENSIONS OF THE ’DESIGN SPACE’ - ‘design space’ refers to the dimensions along which the designers of technical/social systems concern themselves - expanding the available socio-technical design space includes simultaneous consideratio of the determinants of competitiveness, environment, and employment - distinguish between ‘sustaining (incremental) innovation’ and ‘disrupting (radical) innovation’ - the needed major product, process, product services, and system transformations may be beyond those that the dominant industries and firms are capable of developing easily, at lea by themselves ● ADDRESS ALL DIMENSIONS OF INNOVATION: - technological, organizational, institutional, and social factors REQUISITES FOR CHANGE: Willingness, Opportunity/Motivation, & Capacity/Capability INTEGRATION, NOT MERELY COORDINATION, OF EFFORTS IS ESSENTIAL