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Human–Machine Coevolution
How to Thrive in an Era of Accelerating Technological Change
David Orban
   CEO, Dotsub

 http://dotsub.com

   @davidorban
    @dotsub
1.   Change
2.   Examples
3.   Principles
4.   Q&A
Questions

1. Who is an Entrepreneur?
2. Who is a Manager?
3. Who is a Creative (Designer, Engineer)?
0. My Story
klearchos
RDECOM
µµ
ensh
online video translation
Michael Smolens, Founder & Chairman, Dotsub
“If an image is worth a thousand words, how much is a video worth?”
1. Change
William Gibson
The future is already here. It is just not evenly distributed yet
Acceleration
Ray Kurzweil
Pyramids




           archer10
Feudalism




            dicktay2000
Industrial Age




                 sludgeulper
Network Age




              jurvetson
Technology is Key
Intel
Geordie Rose
If computers could learn, grow and evolve the same way humans can,
               the world would be a much better place
Interaction Design
Prometheus
Internet of Everything
Google
A Granular World

IPv4        ≈   10 9


IPv6       ≈    10 38


Atoms      ≈    10 80
Network Evolution
Generation        Isotropy       Access

   Web              data        knowledge

 Web 2.0         applications     social

 Spimes            sensors        world
Necessary Autonomy
   Platform        Orders of magnitude

      PCs                 ≈ 108

Mobiles ~ Humans          ≈   10 9



    Spimes                > 1012
joyseyshowaa
Changing Dialog
              Generation                            Bandwidth                         M2M Index

             Industrial apps                             Kb/s                            1%

             Realtime Web                               Mb/s                            10%

           Spime Networks                                Gb/s                           99%+


M2M index: M2M/M2H, communications among machine in proportion to those with humans
Leandro Agrò
Every object must be smart
Network Society
Photovoltaics - Ecat?
3D hydroponics - Plantlab




                            plantlab
3D Printing - Makerbot




                         makerbot
P2P Currency - Bitcoin




                         sylvar
familymwr
2. Examples
Kay Koplovitz, Founder USA Networks
   “A billion people to have their own voice to contribute
to the dialog of the 21st Century, that is very empowering!”
Exponential Trends


Global communications
Machine intelligence
Social Networks
Online video
Mobile
Current
90% of Global Traffic by 2015




Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2010-2015
Complex Picture
  Monetization       Sponsorship              Advertising              Licensing         Subscription


    Global
  Distribution          Web                   Mobile                       Tablet             Satellite


Industry Vertical      A                      B                        C                D                 ...


    Content
   Discovery                Social Networks                                  Search Engines


                                                                              Social
  Technology        HTML5       Javascript   RESTful API    Location                        3D            ...
                                                                              Graph
Video Discovery
“shield of red shadows”
Video Discovery
次に何が起こるかなんてさっぱりわからない
                 I have no idea what will happen next
Viral Geographies

                Explosive spreading
               in Czech, and French
               for a video in German




   Czech                     French
7% English
  4% Slovenian                5% Slovak



                              10% German
24% Czech

                                 9% Dutch




             38% French
Reaching of Full Potential
Vertical Partnership
A Publicis Healthcare Communications Group company
Roberto Ascione, President, Razorfish Healthware
             “When you deal with health related content,
     the ability of the user to trust the source is very important”
"hygiene sanitation hand washing breast feeding"
Industry Partnership
Marc Osofsky, SVP of Marketing, Lionbridge
     “Companies are struggling to language enable their video assets.
Our partnership with Dotsub really helps solve that challenge for our clients.”
Stanford University AI Course
Start of the Stanford AI Class
A Plethora of Devices
Future
Robert Etches
“In 5 years there will be no translators, just machine translation
  post editors on one hand, and transcreationists on the other”
Facebook doesn’t like nipples!
Semantics




       http://techcrunch.com/2013/01/03/facebook-flexible-sentences-open-graph/
Machine
            Visual       Audio        Text      Emotions   …
Learning


             Face        Speech
 Input     detection   Recognition
                                     Scening    Empathy    ?



                        Text To
Output     Avatars
                        Speech
                                     Synopsis   Emoting    ?
m e
 S o
3. Principles
Searching
Solution Search Space
                       1



                       2
Depth of Exploration




                       3




                       …



                       ∞
                           A     B         C        …   ∞

                                       Topic Area
Depth First Search Strategy
                       1



                       2
Depth of Exploration




                       3




                       4



                       5
                           A       B          C        …     ∞

                                          Topic Area
Breadth First Search Strategy
                       1



                       2
Depth of Exploration




                       3




                       …



                       ∞
                           A        B          C        D      E

                                           Topic Area
David Gelb
Winning strategy – Jiro Ono
                               Michelin 3-star restaurateur in Tokyo, protagonist of the documentary “Jiro Dreams of Sushi”


                       1



                       2
Depth of Exploration




                                                                 sushi!
                       3




                       …



                       ∞
                           A                   B                            C                            …                    ∞

                                                                      Topic Area
cosimoorban
Winning strategy – Richard Saul Wurman
                                Architect, designer, author of over 80 books, coined “Information architecture”, and created TED

                        1



                        2
Depth of Exploration




                        3




                        …


                                                            design!
                        ∞
                            A                     B                            C                            …                      ∞

                                                                         Topic Area
Trying
The Privilege of Failure

                          “The formula for success?
                          Double your rate of failure.”
                           Thomas J. Watson, IBM




“The Internet multiplied a thousandfold our failure rate,
      without increasing the cost of our success”
                    Cory Doctorow
Innovating
Inventing
Questions             Ignorance




            Answers
Competitiveness                Invention!




                  Innovation
Adapting
Adopting
Answers

1. Everybody!
2. Everybody!
3. Everybody!
Apple
davidorban.com
 @davidorban

  @dotsub
 @gala_global
  #galaconf
4. Q&A
Human-Machine Coevolution

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Human-Machine Coevolution