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Lesson From Euro For East-Asian Common Currency Presentation on  Seminar On East-Asian Economic Community
Overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Background & Precedent to Euro ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Subsequent vital Steps to Churchill ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Previous & Further Development ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Continuing Effort  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Inflation for the six plus Denmark, Ireland and the UK, 1970-79
The EMS and ERM ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Crisis of ERM, 1992  ->1993 its collapse  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ERM between 1979-1990 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mulhearn, C.  et al,  2008: “The Euro. Its Origin, Development and Prospects”
Amendment provoking Upgrade ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Amendment provoking Upgrade ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Further Amendment provoking  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Unemployment for EU, US, UK and three European States Mulhearn, C.  et al,  2008: “The Euro. Its Origin, Development and Prospects” There was decline trend in Italy but a cyclical trend in Germany, France and EU but all ended lower in 2007 compared to 1999
This is a further unemployment rate per period in the European areas for 2005, since 1960.
Unemployment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
RER, based on unit labor costs
Real Effective ER after 1999  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Greece, Ireland, … Euro Crisis  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Greece, Ireland, … Euro Crisis…  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The consequences of the two cases ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
After the euro introduction, the divergent of PDB/cap within the euro-zone countries rises from 1999 to 2007. Most of the countries have a decline in growth rate within the period 1999-2007 compared to 1992-1999 0.64 0.51 0.50 CV 16,363 0.021 13,845.51 0.025 11,673.51 Spain: 11,454 0.009 10,654.17 0.025 8,973.39 Portugal: 26,845 0.016 23,635.60 0.025 19,870.90 Netherlands 56,358 0.034 43,267.25 0.031 34,951.47 Luxembourg 20,017 0.009 18,611.55 0.014 16,886.46 Italy: 32,568 0.042 23,449.11 0.073 14,342.66 Ireland: 14,962 0.051 10,079.00 0.015 9,102.41 Greece: 25,249 0.015 22,428.94 0.012 20,566.25 Germany: 23,636 0.010 21,776.43 0.015 19,592.96 France: 28,498 0.032 22,233.53 0.031 17,937.84 Finland: 25,030 0.017 21,836.90 0.018 19,339.20 Belgium: 26,664 0.016 23,436.61 0.019 20,529.90 Austria: 2007 Growth % 1999 Growth % 1992 Country GDP/CAP in constant prices 2000 USD Euro-Zone
Important Traits of Euro Area ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
The Lessons ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lesson from The Fed in USA ,[object Object],[object Object]
Second Part: The Lesson From Euro-Zone For East-Asia  Presentation on  Seminar On East-Asian Economic Community
History to the East-Asian Economic Cooperation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Precursor to the Regional Financial Cooperation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Chiang Mai Initiatives (CMI) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1.38 1.31 1.37 CV 499 0.080 270.158 0.035 211.824 Cambodia: 451 0.045 318.055 0.040 241.18 Laos: 300 -0.021 356.689 -0.005 368.654 East Timor: 617 0.064 376.588 0.060 250.603 Vietnam: 654 -0.006 684.203 0.012 630.325 Papua New Guinea: 1,038 0.038 772.626 0.016 691.613 Indonesia: 1,864 0.098 881.852 0.092 475.931 China: 1,202 0.029 957.719 0.014 870.706 Philippines: 2,592 0.038 1,925.38 0.022 1,657.62 Thailand: 5,018 0.039 3,689.87 0.036 2,881.58 Malaysia: 15,158 0.052 10,117.21 0.043 7,521.76 Korea, South: 18,150 0.044 12,890.47 -0.014 14,204.85 Brunei: 31,118 0.048 21,322.16 0.045 15,675.22 Singapore 34,041 0.049 23,179.32 0.014 21,041.39 Hong Kong: 40,707 0.017 35,664.16 0.005 34,535.46 Japan: 2007 Grwth/yr 1999 Grwth/yr 1992 Countries GDP/CAP in constant prices 2000 USD East Asia
East Asian Economic Performances since 1999 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Financial needs for infrastructure provision is immense ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
[object Object]
Theoretical Arguments ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Local Currency ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ADB  (2010): Emerging East Asia A Regional Economic Update
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
IMF Classification of Exchange Rate Regime
 
 
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Euro lesson for east asian currency

  • 1. Lesson From Euro For East-Asian Common Currency Presentation on Seminar On East-Asian Economic Community
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Inflation for the six plus Denmark, Ireland and the UK, 1970-79
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. Unemployment for EU, US, UK and three European States Mulhearn, C. et al, 2008: “The Euro. Its Origin, Development and Prospects” There was decline trend in Italy but a cyclical trend in Germany, France and EU but all ended lower in 2007 compared to 1999
  • 15. This is a further unemployment rate per period in the European areas for 2005, since 1960.
  • 16.
  • 17. RER, based on unit labor costs
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. After the euro introduction, the divergent of PDB/cap within the euro-zone countries rises from 1999 to 2007. Most of the countries have a decline in growth rate within the period 1999-2007 compared to 1992-1999 0.64 0.51 0.50 CV 16,363 0.021 13,845.51 0.025 11,673.51 Spain: 11,454 0.009 10,654.17 0.025 8,973.39 Portugal: 26,845 0.016 23,635.60 0.025 19,870.90 Netherlands 56,358 0.034 43,267.25 0.031 34,951.47 Luxembourg 20,017 0.009 18,611.55 0.014 16,886.46 Italy: 32,568 0.042 23,449.11 0.073 14,342.66 Ireland: 14,962 0.051 10,079.00 0.015 9,102.41 Greece: 25,249 0.015 22,428.94 0.012 20,566.25 Germany: 23,636 0.010 21,776.43 0.015 19,592.96 France: 28,498 0.032 22,233.53 0.031 17,937.84 Finland: 25,030 0.017 21,836.90 0.018 19,339.20 Belgium: 26,664 0.016 23,436.61 0.019 20,529.90 Austria: 2007 Growth % 1999 Growth % 1992 Country GDP/CAP in constant prices 2000 USD Euro-Zone
  • 23.
  • 24.  
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. Second Part: The Lesson From Euro-Zone For East-Asia Presentation on Seminar On East-Asian Economic Community
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31. 1.38 1.31 1.37 CV 499 0.080 270.158 0.035 211.824 Cambodia: 451 0.045 318.055 0.040 241.18 Laos: 300 -0.021 356.689 -0.005 368.654 East Timor: 617 0.064 376.588 0.060 250.603 Vietnam: 654 -0.006 684.203 0.012 630.325 Papua New Guinea: 1,038 0.038 772.626 0.016 691.613 Indonesia: 1,864 0.098 881.852 0.092 475.931 China: 1,202 0.029 957.719 0.014 870.706 Philippines: 2,592 0.038 1,925.38 0.022 1,657.62 Thailand: 5,018 0.039 3,689.87 0.036 2,881.58 Malaysia: 15,158 0.052 10,117.21 0.043 7,521.76 Korea, South: 18,150 0.044 12,890.47 -0.014 14,204.85 Brunei: 31,118 0.048 21,322.16 0.045 15,675.22 Singapore 34,041 0.049 23,179.32 0.014 21,041.39 Hong Kong: 40,707 0.017 35,664.16 0.005 34,535.46 Japan: 2007 Grwth/yr 1999 Grwth/yr 1992 Countries GDP/CAP in constant prices 2000 USD East Asia
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.  
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38. ADB (2010): Emerging East Asia A Regional Economic Update
  • 39.  
  • 40.  
  • 41.  
  • 42.  
  • 43.  
  • 44.  
  • 45.  
  • 46.  
  • 47.  
  • 48.  
  • 49.  
  • 50.  
  • 51. IMF Classification of Exchange Rate Regime
  • 52.  
  • 53.  
  • 54.