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Web 2.0 Weekly
                                     “Apple+Siri=Mobile Search Madness”
                                                                                                                                                      May 4, 2010

                                                                                                                           David Shore, CFA, MBA 416.860.6784
                                                                                                                                 dshore@mackieresearch.com
                                                                                                                               Damian Wojcichowsky, CFA 416.860.7652

  This report has been created by Analysts that are employed by Mackie Research Capital Corporation, a Canadian Investment Dealer. For further disclosures, please see last page of this report.
                                                                                 www.mackieresearch.com


Copyright © 2000-2010, Mackie Research Capital Corporation, All rights reserved                                                                             www.mackieresearch.com
Key Developments (past week)
    Deals (M&A, Finance) – Apple Delves into Content, DST at It Again
     Siri (mobile personal assistant app developer) was acquired by Apple for a rumoured
     $225 mm – initiating a flurry of prognosticating over what this means for Apple –
     potentially building a mobile search business around its market leading mobile devices?
     DST, the Russian diversified Web and telecom concern, acquired instant messaging
     company, ICQ, for $187.5 mm.
     Tremor Media (online Hollywood media source) raised $40 mm in late-stage financing.
     Crowdsourced retail competitor to Groupon, LivingSocial, raised $14 mm – this
     following on the heels of Groupon’s $135 mm injection from DST.

    Financial Results/Guidance
     Open Text Corp. (NasdaqGS:OTEX) reported Q3/F10 revenue of $212.8 mm (vs.
     $192.0 mm in Q3/F09) and Adjusted EPS of $0.70 (vs. consensus: $0.74 and Q3/F09 of
     $0.59). Management noted its comfort with current Q4/F10 consensus estimates, which
     pegs Q4/F10 revenue expectations at $246-$278 mm.
     Sohu.com (NasdaqGS:SOHU) reported Q1/F10 revenue of $129.5 mm vs. $115.7 mm
     a year ago (+12% Y/Y), with $0.86/share non-GAAP EPS compared with $1.13/share in
     the same period last year.
2                                                                            www.mackieresearch.com
Public Company Data




3                         www.mackieresearch.com
Aggregate Public Data

     Web 2.0 Public Companies   Total      Median    Max           Min
    # Companies                    99          -        -            -
    Market Cap (US$ mm)         83,388.0     78.4   38,745.0        1.4
    Revenue (US$ mm)            22,599.1     60.2    3,057.7        0.0
    1 Year revenue growth                   4.2%    857.0%       -91.4%
    EBITDA as % of revenue         -        13.4%    67.7%       -75.0%
    Net cash (US$ mm)           8,523.1      1.8     1,754.4      -732.7
    TEV/Revenue                    -         2.0x     46.4x        0.0x
    TEV/EBITDA                     -         9.0x     49.6x        0.1x
    P/E                            -        17.4x     96.9x        0.0x
    Relative to 52 week high               -32.7%     1.9%       -98.5%




     Source: CapitalIQ




4                                                          www.mackieresearch.com
5
                                                                      0
                                                                                      5
                                                                                                        10
                                                                                                                       15
                                                                                                                                   20
                                                                                                                                             25
                                                                                                                                                            30
                                                          Gaming




                                                                                                                                                       27
                                                Social Networking




                                                                                                                             16
                                                            Media




                                                                                                             10


                                                                                                   7
                                                        Diversified




                                                                                               6
                                                        Marketing




                                                                                           5
                                                           Mobile




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                  3
                                                     Infrastructure




                                                                                  3
                                                      SMS/Voice




                                                                                  3
                                                       Enterprise




                                                                                  3
                                                       Advertising




                                                                              2
                                                    Internet Retail




                                                                              2
                                                     Virtual World
                                                                                                                                                                 By Sector




                                                                              2
                                                            Dating




                                                                              2
                                                            Music




                                                                          1
                                             Vertical Communities




                                                                          1
                                                     Collaboration




                                                                          1
                                                      Podcasting




                                                                          1
                                                         Learning




                                                                          1
                                                              Video




                                                                          1
                                                           Search




                                                                          1
                                                         Payment


                                                                          1
                                                Financial Services
                                                                                                                                                                              Public Company Distribution




                                                                0
                                                                          5
                                                                                      10
                                                                                                   15
                                                                                                                  20
                                                                                                                        25
                                                                                                                                  30
                                                                                                                                        35
                                                                                                                                                  40
                                                                                                                                                            45




                                              United States


                                                    Canada


                                                      China


                                                South Korea


                                                      Japan


                                                     Taiwan


                                                   Germany


                                                   Australia


                                             United Kingdom


                                                 Hong Kong


                                                     Poland


                                                     Russia
                                                                                                                                                                 By Country




                                                     Finland


                                                    Sweden


                                                   Malaysia


                                                       India


                                                        Italy


                                                Switzerland


                                                      Israel
www.mackieresearch.com
Valuation Dashboard – 1 Week
                     Market Cap                         EV/Revenue

                             Flat                        Flat
                             12%                         3%




                                    Rising
                                     24%     Falling                        Rising
                                              46%                            51%

           Falling
            64%



                     EV/EBITDA                              P/E

                      Flat                                  Flat
                      2%                                    0%



                                              Falling
                                               41%
        Falling                     Rising
         47%                         51%
                                                                             Rising
                                                                              59%




6                                                                    www.mackieresearch.com
7
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Multiple (x)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   0.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   4.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              4.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5.0x




                                                                 # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/4/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/11/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/18/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Median EV/Revenue




                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/31/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/14/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/23/2009




                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       2/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           recovering, but




                                                                                                                                                                                                       2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          below LT Average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Revenue multiples




                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/3/2010
                                                                           383738394039403940424344444645444647484949485253545858585963636362636367676767706969647170707471747476787777777979808280




www.mackieresearch.com
8
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Multiple (x )




                                                                 # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             15. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      20. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                25. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/4/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/11/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/18/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Median EV/EBITDA




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/31/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/14/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/30/2009



                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                below LT average




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                remain depressed




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               EV/EBITDA multiples




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/3/2010
                                                                 20 19 21 22 23 23 22 22 22 24 23 25 23 24 24 26 27 27 26 25 25 26 28 29 28 31 32 33 35 37 37 37 38 37 39 40 37 37 37 41 40 40 40 42 41 42 42 42 43 43 46 48 48 50 50 50 50 49 48 47




www.mackieresearch.com
9
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Multiple (x )




                                                                                                                                                                               # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  15. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             20. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      25. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              30. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Median P/E

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/4/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/11/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/18/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/31/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/14/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/30/2009



                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               below LT average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               P/E multiples also




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/3/2010
                                                                 17 19 19 18 18 19 18 19 18 20 20 19 18 19 19 20 21 22 25 24 24 25 26 27 26 29 30 30 28 32 31 30 34 35 37 37 36 37 37 37 39 36 37 37 38 36 36 35 31 31 31 33 33 34 33 33 34 33 32 34




www.mackieresearch.com
10
                                                                      -
                                                                                5.0
                                                                                               10.0
                                                                                                             15.0
                                                                                                                            20.0
                                                                                                                                          25.0




                            # Companies 2
                                                    Infrastructure




                            3
                                                      SMS/Voice




                            7
                                               Social Networking




                            1
                                            Vertical Communities




                            2
                                                           Music




                            5
                                                       Diversified




                            1
                                                         Learning




                            4
                                                           Mobile




                            6
                                                       Marketing

                                                          Gaming




                            21
                            1
                                                          Search




                            1
                                                      Podcasting
                                                                                                                                                 EV/Revenue




                            9
                                                           Media




                            3
                                                      Advertising




                            1
                                                    Collaboration




                            1
                                                            Video




                            2
                                                   Internet Retail




                            3
                                                       Enterprise




                            2
                                                           Dating




                            1
                                               Financial Services




                            1
                                                    Virtual World


                                                                  -
                                                                          5.0
                                                                                 10.0
                                                                                        15.0
                                                                                                      20.0
                                                                                                              25.0
                                                                                                                     30.0
                                                                                                                                   35.0
                                                                                                                                          40.0
                                                                                                                                                              Average Valuation – By Sector




                         # Companies
                            2
                                                       Mobile
                            2




                                                   Enterprise
                            5




                                                    Diversified
                            6




                                                        Media
                            2




                                                Internet Retail



                                                      Gaming
                            14
                            5




                                            Social Networking
                            1




                                                 Collaboration
                                                                                                                                                 EV/EBITDA




                            1




                                            Financial Services
                            3




                                                    Marketing
                            1




                                                       Dating
                            1




                                                   Advertising



                                                  Vertical
                            0




                                                Communities
www.mackieresearch.com
11
                                                                                                   0. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                        5. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      15. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       20. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 25. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         30. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 35. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         40. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         45. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              50. 0
                                                                                C yberplex Inc .
                                                                                     As k net AG
                                                                                 Ngi G roup Inc.
                                                          J umbuck E ntertainment L imited




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                T ree.C om, Inc .
                                                                           R ealNetwork s Inc .
                                                                             G ameO n C o L td.
                                                                 O penwav e S ys tems Inc.
                                                        U nis erv e C ommunic ations C orp.
                                                                         Ac toz S oft C o. , L td.
                                                                                G igaMedia L td.
                                                                                G lu Mobile, Inc.
                                                         Northgate T ec hnologies L imited
                                                                                     DADA S pA
                                                                                       AO L, Inc.
                                                                   P oints International L td.
                                                                        IAC /InterAc tiveC orp.




                                                                                                          0.10.10.3 0.40.40.40.4 0.50.50.50.50.6 0.70.70.70.70.80.8
                                                                           Internet G roup S A
                                                                                      C DC C orp.
                                                         T he New Y ork T imes C ompany
                                                                           U nited O nline, Inc.
                                                                         T heS treet. com, Inc.
                                                                 C ornerWorld C orporation
                                                                         AQ Interac tive, Inc .
                                                         O AO R B C Information S y s tems
                                                                              infoG R O UP , Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      EV/Revenue Ranking




                                                                               H anbitS oft, Inc.
                                                G amania Digital E ntertainment C o. , L td.
                                             Hutchis on T elec ommunications H ong K ong
                                                                              Y D O nline C orp.
                                                                       S park Network s , Inc .
                                                                 NetDragon WebS oft, Inc .
                                                                                Y nk K orea Inc.
                                                                                                                               0.80.90.90.91.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7



                                                                               V alueC lick , Inc .
                                                                                                                                                                                           1.8




                                                                                S hutterfly, Inc .
                                                                            UO MO Media, Inc
                                                                             S core Media Inc .
                                                                      S NAP Interactiv e, Inc.
                                                                                        XING AG
                                                                        P NI Digital Media Inc.
                                                                                         V elti P lc
                                                            Modern T imes G roup Mtg AB
                                                                      NeuL ion Incorporated
                                                           O riented Media G roup B erhad
                                                                                 S ohu. c om Inc .
                                                                                    Webz en Inc.
                                                      G ungH o O nline E ntertainment, Inc.
                                                                            Myriad G roup AG
                                                                             O pen T ex t C orp.
                                                                                                                                                              2.02.0 2.12.22.2 2.32.32.42.4 2.52.6 2.72.72.7




                                                       F rogs ter Interactiv e P ictures AG
                                                                                 is eemedia Inc .
                                                         Wiz z ard S oftware C orporation
                                                             NE O WIZ G ames C orporation
                                                            S K C ommunications C o. , L td.
                                                                                                                                                                                                            3.0 3.23.2 3.43.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4.0




                                                                                     T aleo C orp.
                                                                  Lingo Media C orporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  revenue multiple at 46.4x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 SpectrumDNA has highest




                                                                DigitalP os t Interac tive, Inc .
                                                                     C hangy ou.c om L imited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4.9 5.0 5.1 5.4




                                                             K ings oft C orporation L imited
                                                              Acc eleriz e New Media, Inc .
                                                                      WebMediaB rands Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     5.6 5.7 5.7




                                                                         Unilava C orporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     6.3




                                                                                         Mix i, Inc .
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   7.5




                                                                                       G ree, Inc .
                                                                  F luid Mus ic C anada, Inc .
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9.1




                                                                 H U G HE S T elematic s , Inc.
                                                                           T rans G aming, Inc .
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               11.211.5




                                                             C hines e G amer International
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          13.6




                                                                  B eyond C ommerce, Inc .
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             14.3




                                                                               G eoS entric O yj
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                15.4




                                                                         MO K O .mobi L imited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       18.2




                                                                                         P aid Inc .
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          19.2




                                                                      T encent H oldings L td.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  23.3




                                                                             B right T hings plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         27.8




                                                                          S pectrumDNA, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     46.4




www.mackieresearch.com
12
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                                                                                                                                                             10.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                20.0
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               40.0
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                         Source: CapitalIQ
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                                                                                                                                                   5. 9 6. 0 6. 6 6. 8 7.0 7. 2
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                                                                    G amania Digital E ntertainment C o., L td.
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                                                                            U nis erve C ommunic ations C orp.
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                                                                                         P NI Digital Media Inc.
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                                                                                                                                                                                                            9. 0 9.1 9. 7 9.8




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                                                                                                                                                                                                                              11.1 12. 0




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                                                                                               S hutterfly , Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   12.6 12.9 12. 9 13.0 13. 7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Myriad Group leads the




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                                                                                    O penwave S y s tems Inc .
                                                                           F rogs ter Interactive P ic tures AG
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     17. 5 18. 5




                                                                                                       Mix i, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               20. 9




                                                                                C hines e G amer International
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       25. 2




                                                                                                   T aleo C orp.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                29.6




                                                                                          T heS treet.c om, Inc .
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                                                                                       T enc ent H oldings L td.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      45.5




                                                                                            My riad G roup AG
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              49. 6




www.mackieresearch.com
                         Excluding EV/EBITDA > 100x
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Web 2.0 Weekly - May 4, 2010

  • 1. Web 2.0 Weekly “Apple+Siri=Mobile Search Madness” May 4, 2010 David Shore, CFA, MBA 416.860.6784 dshore@mackieresearch.com Damian Wojcichowsky, CFA 416.860.7652 This report has been created by Analysts that are employed by Mackie Research Capital Corporation, a Canadian Investment Dealer. For further disclosures, please see last page of this report. www.mackieresearch.com Copyright © 2000-2010, Mackie Research Capital Corporation, All rights reserved www.mackieresearch.com
  • 2. Key Developments (past week) Deals (M&A, Finance) – Apple Delves into Content, DST at It Again Siri (mobile personal assistant app developer) was acquired by Apple for a rumoured $225 mm – initiating a flurry of prognosticating over what this means for Apple – potentially building a mobile search business around its market leading mobile devices? DST, the Russian diversified Web and telecom concern, acquired instant messaging company, ICQ, for $187.5 mm. Tremor Media (online Hollywood media source) raised $40 mm in late-stage financing. Crowdsourced retail competitor to Groupon, LivingSocial, raised $14 mm – this following on the heels of Groupon’s $135 mm injection from DST. Financial Results/Guidance Open Text Corp. (NasdaqGS:OTEX) reported Q3/F10 revenue of $212.8 mm (vs. $192.0 mm in Q3/F09) and Adjusted EPS of $0.70 (vs. consensus: $0.74 and Q3/F09 of $0.59). Management noted its comfort with current Q4/F10 consensus estimates, which pegs Q4/F10 revenue expectations at $246-$278 mm. Sohu.com (NasdaqGS:SOHU) reported Q1/F10 revenue of $129.5 mm vs. $115.7 mm a year ago (+12% Y/Y), with $0.86/share non-GAAP EPS compared with $1.13/share in the same period last year. 2 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 3. Public Company Data 3 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 4. Aggregate Public Data Web 2.0 Public Companies Total Median Max Min # Companies 99 - - - Market Cap (US$ mm) 83,388.0 78.4 38,745.0 1.4 Revenue (US$ mm) 22,599.1 60.2 3,057.7 0.0 1 Year revenue growth 4.2% 857.0% -91.4% EBITDA as % of revenue - 13.4% 67.7% -75.0% Net cash (US$ mm) 8,523.1 1.8 1,754.4 -732.7 TEV/Revenue - 2.0x 46.4x 0.0x TEV/EBITDA - 9.0x 49.6x 0.1x P/E - 17.4x 96.9x 0.0x Relative to 52 week high -32.7% 1.9% -98.5% Source: CapitalIQ 4 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 5. 5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Gaming 27 Social Networking 16 Media 10 7 Diversified 6 Marketing 5 Mobile Source: CapitalIQ 3 Infrastructure 3 SMS/Voice 3 Enterprise 3 Advertising 2 Internet Retail 2 Virtual World By Sector 2 Dating 2 Music 1 Vertical Communities 1 Collaboration 1 Podcasting 1 Learning 1 Video 1 Search 1 Payment 1 Financial Services Public Company Distribution 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 United States Canada China South Korea Japan Taiwan Germany Australia United Kingdom Hong Kong Poland Russia By Country Finland Sweden Malaysia India Italy Switzerland Israel www.mackieresearch.com
  • 6. Valuation Dashboard – 1 Week Market Cap EV/Revenue Flat Flat 12% 3% Rising 24% Falling Rising 46% 51% Falling 64% EV/EBITDA P/E Flat Flat 2% 0% Falling 41% Falling Rising 47% 51% Rising 59% 6 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 7. 7 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x) 0.0x 0.5x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x 2.5x 3.0x 3.5x 4.0x 4.5x 5.0x # companies 3/16/2009 3/23/2009 3/30/2009 4/6/2009 4/13/2009 4/20/2009 4/27/2009 5/4/2009 5/11/2009 5/18/2009 5/25/2009 6/1/2009 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 Median EV/Revenue 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 8/31/2009 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 Median 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 11/16/2009 11/23/2009 Long-term average 11/30/2009 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 2/8/2010 2/15/2010 recovering, but 2/22/2010 below LT Average Revenue multiples 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 4/26/2010 5/3/2010 383738394039403940424344444645444647484949485253545858585963636362636367676767706969647170707471747476787777777979808280 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 8. 8 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x ) # companies 0. 0x 5. 0x 10. 0x 15. 0x 20. 0x 25. 0x 3/16/2009 3/23/2009 3/30/2009 4/6/2009 4/13/2009 4/20/2009 4/27/2009 5/4/2009 5/11/2009 5/18/2009 5/25/2009 6/1/2009 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 Median EV/EBITDA 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 8/31/2009 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 Median 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 11/16/2009 11/23/2009 11/30/2009 Long-term average 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 2/8/2010 below LT average 2/15/2010 remain depressed 2/22/2010 EV/EBITDA multiples 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 4/26/2010 5/3/2010 20 19 21 22 23 23 22 22 22 24 23 25 23 24 24 26 27 27 26 25 25 26 28 29 28 31 32 33 35 37 37 37 38 37 39 40 37 37 37 41 40 40 40 42 41 42 42 42 43 43 46 48 48 50 50 50 50 49 48 47 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 9. 9 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x ) # companies 0. 0x 5. 0x 10. 0x 15. 0x 20. 0x 25. 0x 30. 0x 3/16/2009 3/23/2009 3/30/2009 Median P/E 4/6/2009 4/13/2009 4/20/2009 4/27/2009 5/4/2009 5/11/2009 5/18/2009 5/25/2009 6/1/2009 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 8/31/2009 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 Median 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 11/16/2009 11/23/2009 11/30/2009 Long-term average 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 2/8/2010 2/15/2010 2/22/2010 below LT average P/E multiples also 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 4/26/2010 5/3/2010 17 19 19 18 18 19 18 19 18 20 20 19 18 19 19 20 21 22 25 24 24 25 26 27 26 29 30 30 28 32 31 30 34 35 37 37 36 37 37 37 39 36 37 37 38 36 36 35 31 31 31 33 33 34 33 33 34 33 32 34 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 10. 10 - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 # Companies 2 Infrastructure 3 SMS/Voice 7 Social Networking 1 Vertical Communities 2 Music 5 Diversified 1 Learning 4 Mobile 6 Marketing Gaming 21 1 Search 1 Podcasting EV/Revenue 9 Media 3 Advertising 1 Collaboration 1 Video 2 Internet Retail 3 Enterprise 2 Dating 1 Financial Services 1 Virtual World - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 Average Valuation – By Sector # Companies 2 Mobile 2 Enterprise 5 Diversified 6 Media 2 Internet Retail Gaming 14 5 Social Networking 1 Collaboration EV/EBITDA 1 Financial Services 3 Marketing 1 Dating 1 Advertising Vertical 0 Communities www.mackieresearch.com
  • 11. 11 0. 0 5. 0 10. 0 15. 0 20. 0 25. 0 30. 0 35. 0 40. 0 45. 0 50. 0 C yberplex Inc . As k net AG Ngi G roup Inc. J umbuck E ntertainment L imited Source: CapitalIQ T ree.C om, Inc . R ealNetwork s Inc . G ameO n C o L td. O penwav e S ys tems Inc. U nis erv e C ommunic ations C orp. Ac toz S oft C o. , L td. G igaMedia L td. G lu Mobile, Inc. Northgate T ec hnologies L imited DADA S pA AO L, Inc. P oints International L td. IAC /InterAc tiveC orp. 0.10.10.3 0.40.40.40.4 0.50.50.50.50.6 0.70.70.70.70.80.8 Internet G roup S A C DC C orp. T he New Y ork T imes C ompany U nited O nline, Inc. T heS treet. com, Inc. C ornerWorld C orporation AQ Interac tive, Inc . O AO R B C Information S y s tems infoG R O UP , Inc. EV/Revenue Ranking H anbitS oft, Inc. G amania Digital E ntertainment C o. , L td. Hutchis on T elec ommunications H ong K ong Y D O nline C orp. S park Network s , Inc . NetDragon WebS oft, Inc . Y nk K orea Inc. 0.80.90.90.91.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 V alueC lick , Inc . 1.8 S hutterfly, Inc . UO MO Media, Inc S core Media Inc . S NAP Interactiv e, Inc. XING AG P NI Digital Media Inc. V elti P lc Modern T imes G roup Mtg AB NeuL ion Incorporated O riented Media G roup B erhad S ohu. c om Inc . Webz en Inc. G ungH o O nline E ntertainment, Inc. Myriad G roup AG O pen T ex t C orp. 2.02.0 2.12.22.2 2.32.32.42.4 2.52.6 2.72.72.7 F rogs ter Interactiv e P ictures AG is eemedia Inc . Wiz z ard S oftware C orporation NE O WIZ G ames C orporation S K C ommunications C o. , L td. 3.0 3.23.2 3.43.4 4.0 T aleo C orp. Lingo Media C orporation revenue multiple at 46.4x SpectrumDNA has highest DigitalP os t Interac tive, Inc . C hangy ou.c om L imited 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.4 K ings oft C orporation L imited Acc eleriz e New Media, Inc . WebMediaB rands Inc 5.6 5.7 5.7 Unilava C orporation 6.3 Mix i, Inc . 7.5 G ree, Inc . F luid Mus ic C anada, Inc . 9.1 H U G HE S T elematic s , Inc. T rans G aming, Inc . 11.211.5 C hines e G amer International 13.6 B eyond C ommerce, Inc . 14.3 G eoS entric O yj 15.4 MO K O .mobi L imited 18.2 P aid Inc . 19.2 T encent H oldings L td. 23.3 B right T hings plc 27.8 S pectrumDNA, Inc. 46.4 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 12. 12 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 G ameO n C o L td. AO L , Inc . Source: CapitalIQ Ac toz S oft C o., L td. 1. 9 2.2 2. 4 United O nline, Inc . T he New Y ork T imes C ompany H utc his on T elec ommunications H ong K ong H oldings 4.5 5. 3 5.6 L td. V alueC lic k , Inc. S ohu.c om Inc. DADA S pA Y D O nline C orp. S park Network s , Inc. C DC C orp. 5. 9 6. 0 6. 6 6. 8 7.0 7. 2 infoG R O U P , Inc . EV/EBITDA Ranking G amania Digital E ntertainment C o., L td. C hangy ou.c om L imited XING AG NetDragon WebS oft, Inc. U nis erve C ommunic ations C orp. 7.5 7. 9 8.1 8. 1 8. 1 8. 9 P NI Digital Media Inc. T ree. C om, Inc. O pen T ex t C orp. IAC /InterAc tiveC orp. 9. 0 9.1 9. 7 9.8 V elti P lc G ungH o O nline E ntertainment, Inc . 11.1 12. 0 NE O WIZ G ames C orporation S c ore Media Inc. K ings oft C orporation L imited G ree, Inc. group at 49.6x S hutterfly , Inc. 12.6 12.9 12. 9 13.0 13. 7 Myriad Group leads the H anbitS oft, Inc . 14.5 Y nk K orea Inc . Modern T imes G roup Mtg AB 15. 9 16.6 O penwave S y s tems Inc . F rogs ter Interactive P ic tures AG 17. 5 18. 5 Mix i, Inc. 20. 9 C hines e G amer International 25. 2 T aleo C orp. 29.6 T heS treet.c om, Inc . 32. 4 T enc ent H oldings L td. 45.5 My riad G roup AG 49. 6 www.mackieresearch.com Excluding EV/EBITDA > 100x