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Web 2.0 Weekly
                                                                                                                 “DST Cashing Up”
                                                                                                                                          July 20, 2010

                                                                                                                 David Shore, CFA, MBA 416.860.6784
                                                                                                                       dshore@mackieresearch.com
                                                                                                                    Damian Wojcichowsky, CFA 416.860.7652

                            This report has been created by Analysts that are employed by Mackie Research Capital Corporation, a Canadian Investment Dealer.
                                                                For further disclosures, please see last page of this report.
                                                                                 www.mackieresearch.com


Copyright © 2000-2010, Mackie Research Capital Corporation, All rights reserved                                                                 www.mackieresearch.com
Key Developments (past week)
    Deals (M&A, Finance) – Major DST Financing
     Naspers, a South African media and print conglomerate, invested $388 mm in Digital
     Sky Technologies, the Russian digital media holding company with significant stakes in
     Facebook, Groupon, Mail.ru, and Zynga.
     The next biggest raise of the week was Australian enterprise software developer,
     Atlassian, receiving $60 mm in Series A funds from Accel Partners.
     Social Commerce continues to garner attention – this week BlueSwarm ($0.8 mm angel
     round) and Shopkick ($15 mm Series B round) raised money.
     Another $31 mm in venture funds found their way to Advertising-related start-ups,
     including Israel-based Adsmarket ($17 mm), as well as a pair of India-based companies
     – Komli Media ($6 mm) and InMobi ($8 mm).
    Financial Results/Guidance/Partnerships/Product
     Score Media (TSX:SCR, BUY, FTM price target: $1.25), Canadian sports
     entertainment media concern and developer of the popular Score Mobile application for
     iPhone, BlackBerry, and Android, reported strong Q3/F10 results, including total revenue
     of $12.0 million (+10.8% Y/Y, +20.4% Q/Q, MRCC estimate: $11.5 million), EBITDA of
     $2.0 million (+16.6% Y/Y, +79.1% Q/Q, MRCC: $1.8 million), EBITDA margin of 17.0%
     (MRCC: 16.0%), and EPS of $0.01 – inline with our $0.01 estimate.
2                                                                            www.mackieresearch.com
Chart of the Week: DST Continues to Cash Up
       800.0
                                                   DST has raised almost $700
       700.0   688.0                              mm this year as it continues
                                                  to make large investments in
                                                      Web 2.0 companies
       600.0


       500.0


       400.0


       300.0
                              247.0

       200.0
                                       135.0

       100.0                                      60.0         50.0         50.0    44.0           40.0            38.5          35.0

         0.0
               Technologies



                               Zynga




                                                                                    LivingSocial
                                        Groupon




                                                   Atlassian




                                                                                                                                   Gilt Groupe
                                                               Glam Media




                                                                                                    Tremor Media




                                                                                                                   Squarespace
                                                                             Qiyi
                Digital Sky




3                                                                                                                                www.mackieresearch.com
Public Company Data




4                         www.mackieresearch.com
Aggregate Public Data

     Web 2.0 Public Companies   Total      Median    Max           Min
    # Companies                   102          -         -           -
    Market Cap (US$ mm)         81,684.2     56.0   32,832.1        0.0
    Revenue (US$ mm)            28,443.7     47.9    6,736.1        0.0
    1 Year revenue growth                   1.9%    8961.6%     -100.0%
    EBITDA as % of revenue          -       8.3%     63.1%       -99.5%
    Net cash (US$ mm)           17,042.9     2.8     6,535.8      -670.8
    TEV/Revenue                     -        1.9x     43.5x        0.1x
    TEV/EBITDA                      -        8.3x     48.9x        0.3x
    P/E                             -       15.0x     94.5x        0.0x
    Relative to 52 week high               -42.2%     -1.6%      -93.3%



     Source: CapitalIQ




5                                                          www.mackieresearch.com
6
                                                                      0
                                                                                      5
                                                                                                    10
                                                                                                                   15
                                                                                                                               20
                                                                                                                                         25
                                                                                                                                                        30
                                                          Gaming




                                                                                                                                                   28
                                                Social Networking




                                                                                                                         17
                                                            Media




                                                                                                         10
                                                                                                    9
                                                        Diversified




                                                                                           5
                                                           Mobile




                                                                                           5
                                                        Marketing




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                  3
                                                     Infrastructure




                                                                                  3
                                                      SMS/Voice




                                                                                  3
                                                       Enterprise




                                                                                  3
                                                       Advertising




                                                                              2
                                                    Internet Retail




                                                                              2
                                                     Virtual World
                                                                                                                                                             By Sector




                                                                              2
                                                            Dating




                                                                              2
                                                            Music




                                                                          1
                                             Vertical Communities




                                                                          1
                                                           Search




                                                                          1
                                                      Podcasting




                                                                          1
                                                         Learning




                                                                          1
                                                              Video




                                                                          1
                                                     Collaboration




                                                                          1
                                                         Payment


                                                                          1
                                                Financial Services
                                                                                                                                                                          Public Company Distribution




                                                                0
                                                                          5
                                                                                      10
                                                                                               15
                                                                                                              20
                                                                                                                    25
                                                                                                                              30
                                                                                                                                    35
                                                                                                                                              40
                                                                                                                                                        45




                                              United States


                                                    Canada


                                                      China


                                                South Korea


                                                      Japan


                                                     Taiwan


                                                 Hong Kong


                                                   Germany


                                                     Poland


                                                   Australia


                                             United Kingdom
                                                                                                                                                             By Country




                                                        Italy


                                                     Finland


                                                    Sweden


                                                       India


                                                     Russia


                                                   Malaysia


                                                Switzerland
www.mackieresearch.com
Valuation Dashboard – 1 Week
                     Market Cap                        EV/Revenue

                   Flat
                   9%                                                Flat
                                                                     2%
                                             Falling
                                              51%
                                    Rising
                                     43%



         Falling
          48%                                                           Rising
                                                                         47%


                    EV/EBITDA                             P/E

                            Flat                        Flat
                            2%                          3%

        Falling
         42%
                                             Falling
                                              38%

                                                                            Rising
                                                                             59%
                                   Rising
                                    56%


7                                                                   www.mackieresearch.com
8
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Multiple (x)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   0.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   4.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            4.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     5.0x




                                                                 # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/31/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Median EV/Revenue




                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/30/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/8/2010




                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                       2/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       average




                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     well below LT




                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/3/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/10/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   down slightly, still
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Revenue multiples




                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/17/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/24/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/31/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/7/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/14/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/21/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/28/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/19/2010
                                                                           373939394040394242444546464646474951515150535656606161646666676464656971717274716770727370767578788179807878808084818484




www.mackieresearch.com
9
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Multiple (x )




                                                                 # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  15. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             20. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      25. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         30. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/31/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Median EV/EBITDA




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/30/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/15/2010



                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    below LT average




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/3/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/10/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/17/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               slightly, but still depressed




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/24/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               EV/EBITDA multiples up-tick




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/31/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/7/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/14/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/21/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/28/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/19/2010
                                                                 19 21 21 22 22 21 21 22 23 22 21 23 23 25 25 25 25 25 24 25 26 28 31 29 32 34 35 37 40 38 39 37 39 40 39 38 38 41 42 41 41 41 41 41 43 43 45 44 44 50 49 48 49 50 50 48 49 47 49 49




www.mackieresearch.com
10
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Multiple (x )




                                                                                                                                                                               # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             15. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           20. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      25. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               30. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         35. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               40. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Median P/E

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/31/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/30/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/15/2010



                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 average




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            and still below LT




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/3/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/10/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        P/E multiples also tick up




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/17/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/24/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/31/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/7/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/14/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/21/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/28/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/19/2010
                                                                 20 19 18 18 18 19 19 19 20 19 18 19 19 18 19 20 23 24 24 24 25 26 26 26 30 31 32 30 33 33 34 34 37 38 38 38 38 39 40 41 39 39 39 37 36 37 34 33 32 35 35 35 35 35 35 36 36 32 33 33




www.mackieresearch.com
11
                                                                  -
                                                                                   5.0
                                                                                                     10.0
                                                                                                            15.0
                                                                                                                   20.0
                                                                                                                          25.0
                                                                                                                                 30.0
                                                                                                                                          35.0




                         # Companies 1
                                                 Virtual World
                                                                                                                                        33.0




                         2
                                                 Infrastructure




                                                                                                            13.4




                         9
                                            Social Networking




                                                                                                      9.2




                         7
                                                    Diversified




                                                                                                     9.0




                         1
                                                     Learning




                                                                                               7.6




                         4
                                                       Mobile




                                                                                         4.9




                         2
                                                        Music




                                                                                     4.3




                         1
                                                       Search



                                                                                    4.0
                                                      Gaming




                         21
                                                                                   3.7




                         5
                                                    Marketing
                                                                                   3.4




                         3
                                                  SMS/Voice
                                                                                  3.3




                         1
                                         Vertical Communities
                                                                                  3.3
                                                                                                                                                 Average EV/Revenue – by Sector




                         1
                                                  Podcasting
                                                                              2.8




                         1
                                                 Collaboration
                                                                              2.5




                         9
                                                        Media
                                                                             2.3




                         3


                                                   Advertising
                                                                             2.3




                         2




                                                Internet Retail
                                                                            1.9




                         3




                                                   Enterprise
                                                                            1.8




                         1




                                                        Video
                                                                        1.5




                         2




                                                       Dating
                                                                        1.3




                         1




                                            Financial Services
                                                                      0.4




www.mackieresearch.com
Average EV/EBITDA – by Sector

          45.0
                    41.3

          40.0


          35.0


          30.0


          25.0


          20.0                18.3
                                       16.4

          15.0
                                                     12.7      12.2
                                                                              10.8              10.1
                                                                                                                     9.2             9.0
          10.0
                                                                                                                                             6.9         6.6

           5.0                                                                                                                                                    4.0


           -
                                                                Diversified




                                                                                                                                                                  Advertising
                                                                              Internet Retail
                     Search




                              Mobile




                                        Enterprise




                                                      Gaming




                                                                                                 Social Networking




                                                                                                                     Collaboration




                                                                                                                                     Media




                                                                                                                                             Marketing




                                                                                                                                                         Dating
      # Companies     1        3          2          13           5              2                  6                   1             6        2          1         1




12                                                                                                                                                                www.mackieresearch.com
Average P/E – by Sector

          100.0


           90.0      87.6


           80.0


           70.0


           60.0                  56.5


           50.0

                                                40.3
           40.0                                                35.9


           30.0
                                                                             23.3
                                                                                         19.2
           20.0
                                                                                                      14.3        13.1    13.0

           10.0                                                                                                                       7.3


            -
                    Internet   Enterprise   Collaboration   Diversified     Social     Marketing   Advertising   Gaming   Media   Virtual World
                     Retail                                               Networking

                       2           3             1              9            17           5            3           28      10          2
      # Companies




13                                                                                                                                      www.mackieresearch.com
14
                                                                                   0.0
                                                                                                                                                                           5.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 10.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                15.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    20.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           25.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               30.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            35.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           40.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  45.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         50.0


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  43
                             Ac credited Members H olding C orporation




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      36
                                                               Worlds .c om Inc .




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       26
                                                           S pec trumDNA, Inc .
                                                                  S ocialG O P LC




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  25




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               17
                                                       T encent H oldings L td.
                                                          MO K O . mobi L imited




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       15 15
                                                                G eoS entric O y j




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           12
                                                                         P aid Inc .




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          11
                                                   B ey ond C ommerce, Inc .
                                                   L ingo Media C orporation
                                              C hines e G amer International




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  9 9 9
                                                                       G ree, Inc .




                                                                                                                                                                                                                             7
                                                 DigitalP os t Interactive, Inc .




                                                                                                                                                                                                                             7
                                                   Mood Media C orporation
                                                                  Dena C o. L td.
                                                            T rans G aming, Inc .




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   6 6 5
                                               Ac celeriz e New Media, Inc.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5
                                                  HU G H E S T elematic s , Inc .
                                        F rogs ter Interac tiv e P ic tures AG
                                                      C hangyou. com Limited
                                                                        Mix i, Inc.




                                                                                         4 4 4 4
                                             S K C ommunications C o., L td.
                                                                     T aleo C orp.
                                              K ings oft C orporation Limited
                                                       WebMediaB rands Inc




                                                                                                 4 3 3 3
                                                                   Motric ity , Inc .
                                                                 is eemedia Inc .
                                          Wiz z ard S oftware C orporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                EV/Revenue Ranking




                                                                                                         3 3 3
                                                              O pen T ex t C orp.
                                                                        eP ro L td.
                                             Modern T imes G roup Mtg AB
                                                                H anbitS oft, Inc.
                                                                        XING AG
                                              NE O WIZ G ames C orporation
                                                                 S ohu.c om Inc .
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www.mackieresearch.com
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"
Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"

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Web 2.0 Weekly - July 20, 2010: "DST Cashing Up"

  • 1. Web 2.0 Weekly “DST Cashing Up” July 20, 2010 David Shore, CFA, MBA 416.860.6784 dshore@mackieresearch.com Damian Wojcichowsky, CFA 416.860.7652 This report has been created by Analysts that are employed by Mackie Research Capital Corporation, a Canadian Investment Dealer. For further disclosures, please see last page of this report. www.mackieresearch.com Copyright © 2000-2010, Mackie Research Capital Corporation, All rights reserved www.mackieresearch.com
  • 2. Key Developments (past week) Deals (M&A, Finance) – Major DST Financing Naspers, a South African media and print conglomerate, invested $388 mm in Digital Sky Technologies, the Russian digital media holding company with significant stakes in Facebook, Groupon, Mail.ru, and Zynga. The next biggest raise of the week was Australian enterprise software developer, Atlassian, receiving $60 mm in Series A funds from Accel Partners. Social Commerce continues to garner attention – this week BlueSwarm ($0.8 mm angel round) and Shopkick ($15 mm Series B round) raised money. Another $31 mm in venture funds found their way to Advertising-related start-ups, including Israel-based Adsmarket ($17 mm), as well as a pair of India-based companies – Komli Media ($6 mm) and InMobi ($8 mm). Financial Results/Guidance/Partnerships/Product Score Media (TSX:SCR, BUY, FTM price target: $1.25), Canadian sports entertainment media concern and developer of the popular Score Mobile application for iPhone, BlackBerry, and Android, reported strong Q3/F10 results, including total revenue of $12.0 million (+10.8% Y/Y, +20.4% Q/Q, MRCC estimate: $11.5 million), EBITDA of $2.0 million (+16.6% Y/Y, +79.1% Q/Q, MRCC: $1.8 million), EBITDA margin of 17.0% (MRCC: 16.0%), and EPS of $0.01 – inline with our $0.01 estimate. 2 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 3. Chart of the Week: DST Continues to Cash Up 800.0 DST has raised almost $700 700.0 688.0 mm this year as it continues to make large investments in Web 2.0 companies 600.0 500.0 400.0 300.0 247.0 200.0 135.0 100.0 60.0 50.0 50.0 44.0 40.0 38.5 35.0 0.0 Technologies Zynga LivingSocial Groupon Atlassian Gilt Groupe Glam Media Tremor Media Squarespace Qiyi Digital Sky 3 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 4. Public Company Data 4 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 5. Aggregate Public Data Web 2.0 Public Companies Total Median Max Min # Companies 102 - - - Market Cap (US$ mm) 81,684.2 56.0 32,832.1 0.0 Revenue (US$ mm) 28,443.7 47.9 6,736.1 0.0 1 Year revenue growth 1.9% 8961.6% -100.0% EBITDA as % of revenue - 8.3% 63.1% -99.5% Net cash (US$ mm) 17,042.9 2.8 6,535.8 -670.8 TEV/Revenue - 1.9x 43.5x 0.1x TEV/EBITDA - 8.3x 48.9x 0.3x P/E - 15.0x 94.5x 0.0x Relative to 52 week high -42.2% -1.6% -93.3% Source: CapitalIQ 5 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 6. 6 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Gaming 28 Social Networking 17 Media 10 9 Diversified 5 Mobile 5 Marketing Source: CapitalIQ 3 Infrastructure 3 SMS/Voice 3 Enterprise 3 Advertising 2 Internet Retail 2 Virtual World By Sector 2 Dating 2 Music 1 Vertical Communities 1 Search 1 Podcasting 1 Learning 1 Video 1 Collaboration 1 Payment 1 Financial Services Public Company Distribution 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 United States Canada China South Korea Japan Taiwan Hong Kong Germany Poland Australia United Kingdom By Country Italy Finland Sweden India Russia Malaysia Switzerland www.mackieresearch.com
  • 7. Valuation Dashboard – 1 Week Market Cap EV/Revenue Flat 9% Flat 2% Falling 51% Rising 43% Falling 48% Rising 47% EV/EBITDA P/E Flat Flat 2% 3% Falling 42% Falling 38% Rising 59% Rising 56% 7 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 8. 8 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x) 0.0x 0.5x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x 2.5x 3.0x 3.5x 4.0x 4.5x 5.0x # companies 6/1/2009 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 8/31/2009 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 Median EV/Revenue 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 11/16/2009 11/23/2009 11/30/2009 Median 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 2/8/2010 Long-term average 2/15/2010 2/22/2010 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 4/12/2010 average 4/19/2010 4/26/2010 well below LT 5/3/2010 5/10/2010 down slightly, still Revenue multiples 5/17/2010 5/24/2010 5/31/2010 6/7/2010 6/14/2010 6/21/2010 6/28/2010 7/5/2010 7/12/2010 7/19/2010 373939394040394242444546464646474951515150535656606161646666676464656971717274716770727370767578788179807878808084818484 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 9. 9 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x ) # companies 0. 0x 5. 0x 10. 0x 15. 0x 20. 0x 25. 0x 30. 0x 6/1/2009 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 8/31/2009 Median EV/EBITDA 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 11/16/2009 11/23/2009 11/30/2009 Median 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 2/8/2010 2/15/2010 Long-term average 2/22/2010 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 4/26/2010 below LT average 5/3/2010 5/10/2010 5/17/2010 slightly, but still depressed 5/24/2010 EV/EBITDA multiples up-tick 5/31/2010 6/7/2010 6/14/2010 6/21/2010 6/28/2010 7/5/2010 7/12/2010 7/19/2010 19 21 21 22 22 21 21 22 23 22 21 23 23 25 25 25 25 25 24 25 26 28 31 29 32 34 35 37 40 38 39 37 39 40 39 38 38 41 42 41 41 41 41 41 43 43 45 44 44 50 49 48 49 50 50 48 49 47 49 49 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 10. 10 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x ) # companies 0. 0x 5. 0x 10. 0x 15. 0x 20. 0x 25. 0x 30. 0x 35. 0x 40. 0x 6/1/2009 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 Median P/E 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 8/31/2009 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 11/16/2009 11/23/2009 11/30/2009 Median 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 2/8/2010 2/15/2010 Long-term average 2/22/2010 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 3/29/2010 average 4/5/2010 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 and still below LT 4/26/2010 5/3/2010 5/10/2010 P/E multiples also tick up 5/17/2010 5/24/2010 5/31/2010 6/7/2010 6/14/2010 6/21/2010 6/28/2010 7/5/2010 7/12/2010 7/19/2010 20 19 18 18 18 19 19 19 20 19 18 19 19 18 19 20 23 24 24 24 25 26 26 26 30 31 32 30 33 33 34 34 37 38 38 38 38 39 40 41 39 39 39 37 36 37 34 33 32 35 35 35 35 35 35 36 36 32 33 33 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 11. 11 - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 # Companies 1 Virtual World 33.0 2 Infrastructure 13.4 9 Social Networking 9.2 7 Diversified 9.0 1 Learning 7.6 4 Mobile 4.9 2 Music 4.3 1 Search 4.0 Gaming 21 3.7 5 Marketing 3.4 3 SMS/Voice 3.3 1 Vertical Communities 3.3 Average EV/Revenue – by Sector 1 Podcasting 2.8 1 Collaboration 2.5 9 Media 2.3 3 Advertising 2.3 2 Internet Retail 1.9 3 Enterprise 1.8 1 Video 1.5 2 Dating 1.3 1 Financial Services 0.4 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 12. Average EV/EBITDA – by Sector 45.0 41.3 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 18.3 16.4 15.0 12.7 12.2 10.8 10.1 9.2 9.0 10.0 6.9 6.6 5.0 4.0 - Diversified Advertising Internet Retail Search Mobile Enterprise Gaming Social Networking Collaboration Media Marketing Dating # Companies 1 3 2 13 5 2 6 1 6 2 1 1 12 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 13. Average P/E – by Sector 100.0 90.0 87.6 80.0 70.0 60.0 56.5 50.0 40.3 40.0 35.9 30.0 23.3 19.2 20.0 14.3 13.1 13.0 10.0 7.3 - Internet Enterprise Collaboration Diversified Social Marketing Advertising Gaming Media Virtual World Retail Networking 2 3 1 9 17 5 3 28 10 2 # Companies 13 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 14. 14 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 43 Ac credited Members H olding C orporation Source: CapitalIQ 36 Worlds .c om Inc . 26 S pec trumDNA, Inc . S ocialG O P LC 25 17 T encent H oldings L td. MO K O . mobi L imited 15 15 G eoS entric O y j 12 P aid Inc . 11 B ey ond C ommerce, Inc . L ingo Media C orporation C hines e G amer International 9 9 9 G ree, Inc . 7 DigitalP os t Interactive, Inc . 7 Mood Media C orporation Dena C o. L td. T rans G aming, Inc . 6 6 5 Ac celeriz e New Media, Inc. 5 HU G H E S T elematic s , Inc . F rogs ter Interac tiv e P ic tures AG C hangyou. com Limited Mix i, Inc. 4 4 4 4 S K C ommunications C o., L td. T aleo C orp. K ings oft C orporation Limited WebMediaB rands Inc 4 3 3 3 Motric ity , Inc . is eemedia Inc . Wiz z ard S oftware C orporation EV/Revenue Ranking 3 3 3 O pen T ex t C orp. eP ro L td. Modern T imes G roup Mtg AB H anbitS oft, Inc. XING AG NE O WIZ G ames C orporation S ohu.c om Inc . S core Media Inc. U O MO Media, Inc V elti P lc S hutterfly, Inc. P NI Digital Media Inc . V alueC lick , Inc . G ungH o O nline E ntertainment, Inc . P latforma Mediowa P oint G roup S . A. 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Myriad G roup AG NeuL ion Inc orporated Webz en Inc. G amania Digital E ntertainment C o., L td. Accredited Members Hutc his on T elec ommunic ations Hong revenue multiple at 43x Y D O nline C orp. Holding Co. has highest S park Network s , Inc . U nilav a C orporation 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 S NAP Interactive, Inc . Y nk K orea Inc. NetDragon WebS oft, Inc. AQ Interactive, Inc . P oints International L td. Internet G roup S A O AO R B C Information S ys tems O riented Media G roup B erhad T he New Y ork T imes C ompany IAC /InterAc tiv eC orp. DADA S pA Northgate T echnologies Limited T heS treet. com, Inc . U nited O nline, Inc . Unis erve C ommunic ations C orp. AO L, Inc. C DC C orp. G lu Mobile, Inc . 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 G igaMedia L td. T ree. C om, Inc . Actoz S oft C o., Ltd. C y berplex Inc. O penwav e S y s tems Inc. R ealNetwork s Inc . J umbuc k E ntertainment L imited G ameO n C o L td. As k net AG Look S mart, L td. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 DigitalT own, Inc. www.mackieresearch.com