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Web 2.0 Weekly
                                                            “Big Acquisitions, Little Financing”
                                                                                                                                          July 8, 2010

                                                                                                                 David Shore, CFA, MBA 416.860.6784
                                                                                                                       dshore@mackieresearch.com
                                                                                                                    Damian Wojcichowsky, CFA 416.860.7652

                            This report has been created by Analysts that are employed by Mackie Research Capital Corporation, a Canadian Investment Dealer.
                                                                For further disclosures, please see last page of this report.
                                                                                 www.mackieresearch.com


Copyright © 2000-2010, Mackie Research Capital Corporation, All rights reserved                                                                 www.mackieresearch.com
Key Developments (past week)
    Deals (M&A, Finance) – Big Acquisitions, Little Financing
      Google, acquired ITA Software, search provider for the travel industry for $700 mm.
      infoGROUP, provider of business and consumer databases for sales leads, mailing
      lists, direct marketing, database marketing, e-mail marketing, and marketing research
      solutions, was taken private for $645 mm by CCMP Capital Advisers.
      GroupSpaces, a provider of web-based tools for sports clubs, university societies,
      organizations, and groups of friends or coworkers, raised $1.3 mm.
      Domain based online advertising services provider, OCTANE360, was acquired by
      Local.com for $10.9 mm.
    Financial Results/Guidance/Partnerships/Product
      Points International Ltd. (TSX:PTS) announced that it has formed a partnership with
      The Mileage Company. The new partnership means that Airmiles UK members can now
      purchase miles for themselves or gift Airmiles to other members.
      RealNetworks Inc. (NasdaqGS:RNWK) is once again scaling back its operations and
      announced a restructuring of its operations which includes layoffs of 85 employees. The
      layoffs include a 25% reduction in its executive ranks and the reorganization seeks to
      streamline its technology and media services divisions. The company is now down to
      1,365 employees from 1,700, with roughly 65 layoffs coming out of the Seattle office.
2                                                                              www.mackieresearch.com
Public Company Data




3                         www.mackieresearch.com
Aggregate Public Data

     Web 2.0 Public Companies   Total      Median    Max           Min
    # Companies                   103          -         -           -
    Market Cap (US$ mm)         74,460.8     67.2   30,629.6        1.2
    Revenue (US$ mm)            23,139.7     56.0    3,057.7        0.0
    1 Year revenue growth                   2.5%    8961.6%     -100.0%
    EBITDA as % of revenue         -        11.3%    63.1%       -99.5%
    Net cash (US$ mm)           9,273.3      3.3     1,841.1      -670.8
    TEV/Revenue                    -         1.9x     47.4x        0.1x
    TEV/EBITDA                     -         8.5x     45.6x        0.5x
    P/E                            -        15.3x     90.4x        0.0x
    Relative to 52 week high               -42.9%     -4.1%      -95.6%



     Source: CapitalIQ




4                                                          www.mackieresearch.com
5
                                                                      0
                                                                                          5
                                                                                                       10
                                                                                                                      15
                                                                                                                                     20
                                                                                                                                               25
                                                                                                                                                              30
                                                          Gaming




                                                                                                                                                         28
                                                Social Networking




                                                                                                                                18
                                                            Media




                                                                                                            10
                                                                                                       9
                                                        Diversified




                                                                                              5
                                                           Mobile




                                                                                              5
                                                        Marketing




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                      3
                                                     Infrastructure




                                                                                      3
                                                      SMS/Voice




                                                                                      3
                                                       Enterprise




                                                                                      3
                                                       Advertising




                                                                                  2
                                                    Internet Retail




                                                                                  2
                                                     Virtual World
                                                                                                                                                                   By Sector




                                                                                  2
                                                            Dating




                                                                                  2
                                                            Music




                                                                              1
                                             Vertical Communities




                                                                              1
                                                           Search




                                                                              1
                                                      Podcasting




                                                                              1
                                                         Learning




                                                                              1
                                                              Video




                                                                              1
                                                     Collaboration




                                                                              1
                                                         Payment


                                                                              1
                                                Financial Services
                                                                                                                                                                                Public Company Distribution




                                                                0
                                                                          5
                                                                                      10
                                                                                                  15
                                                                                                        20
                                                                                                                 25
                                                                                                                           30
                                                                                                                                     35
                                                                                                                                          40
                                                                                                                                                    45
                                                                                                                                                              50




                                              United States


                                                    Canada


                                                      China


                                                South Korea


                                                      Japan


                                                     Taiwan


                                                 Hong Kong


                                                   Germany


                                                     Poland


                                                   Australia


                                             United Kingdom
                                                                                                                                                                   By Country




                                                        Italy


                                                     Finland


                                                    Sweden


                                                       India


                                                     Russia


                                                   Malaysia


                                                Switzerland
www.mackieresearch.com
Valuation Dashboard – 1 Week
                   Market Cap                       EV/Revenue
                        Flat
                        12%                                       Flat
                                                                  1%


                                 Rising   Falling
                                  27%      64%
                                                                         Rising
                                                                          35%
         Falling
          61%



                   EV/EBITDA                           P/E

                     Flat                              Flat
                     0%                                0%

                                Rising
                                 35%
                                                                          Rising
                                                                           44%
                                          Falling
                                           56%
        Falling
         65%



6                                                                www.mackieresearch.com
7
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Multiple (x)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   0.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   4.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            4.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     5.0x




                                                                 # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/11/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/18/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Median EV/Revenue




                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/31/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/9/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/18/2010




                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       2/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       average




                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     well below LT




                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   down slightly, still
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Revenue multiples




                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/3/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/10/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/17/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/24/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/31/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/7/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/14/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/21/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/28/2010
                                                                           373839404040404042444545464646474850515150545556616161626666666565667070707073727167707271767477767979797978807981838283




www.mackieresearch.com
8
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Multiple (x )




                                                                 # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  15. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             20. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      25. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    30. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/18/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Median EV/EBITDA




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/31/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/16/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/1/2010



                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/3/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/10/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               EV/EBITDA multiples down,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               depressed below LT average




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/17/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/24/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/31/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/7/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/14/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/21/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/28/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/5/2010
                                                                 18 20 21 22 22 21 21 21 23 22 25 22 23 23 25 26 26 25 24 24 25 27 28 29 32 34 34 36 39 37 38 39 38 40 41 38 38 38 42 41 40 42 41 41 42 43 44 44 44 47 49 48 50 51 51 49 50 48 47 49




www.mackieresearch.com
9
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Multiple (x )




                                                                                                                                                                               # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             15. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             20. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      25. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               30. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           35. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/18/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Median P/E

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/31/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/16/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/1/2010



                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         and below LT average




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        P/E multiples also down




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/3/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/10/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/17/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/24/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/31/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/7/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/14/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/21/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/28/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/5/2010
                                                                 19 19 18 18 19 18 19 18 20 20 20 18 19 19 19 20 21 24 23 23 24 25 27 26 30 31 32 31 33 32 34 36 37 39 39 38 39 39 40 41 38 39 39 40 37 37 35 33 33 32 35 35 36 35 35 37 35 32 34 33




www.mackieresearch.com
10
                                                                  -
                                                                            2.0
                                                                                               4.0
                                                                                                               6.0
                                                                                                                     8.0
                                                                                                                           10.0
                                                                                                                                    12.0
                                                                                                                                              14.0
                                                                                                                                                     16.0




                         # Companies 2
                                                 Infrastructure


                                                                                                                                              13.4




                         1
                                                 Virtual World


                                                                                                                                       11.9




                         7
                                                    Diversified



                                                                                                                              9.9




                         1
                                                     Learning

                                                                                                                           9.4




                         8
                                            Social Networking




                                                                                                              5.3




                         4
                                                       Mobile



                                                                                                             5.0




                         2
                                                        Music

                                                                                                       4.4




                         4
                                                    Marketing                                          4.3




                         1
                                         Vertical Communities
                                                                                                 3.7




                         1
                                                       Search
                                                                                               3.6




                                                      Gaming




                         21
                                                                                           3.3




                         3
                                                  SMS/Voice
                                                                                           3.2
                                                                                                                                                            Average EV/Revenue – by Sector




                         1
                                                  Podcasting
                                                                                         2.8




                         1
                                                 Collaboration
                                                                                    2.4




                         3
                                                   Advertising
                                                                                   2.2




                         9


                                                        Media
                                                                                   2.2




                         2




                                                Internet Retail
                                                                              1.9




                         3




                                                   Enterprise
                                                                             1.6




                         1




                                                        Video
                                                                            1.5




                         2




                                                       Dating
                                                                            1.3




                         1




                                            Financial Services
                                                                      0.3




www.mackieresearch.com
Average EV/EBITDA – by Sector

          50.0
                    45.6
          45.0


          40.0                           38.5


          35.0


          30.0


          25.0


          20.0                                     17.7
                                                            15.8
          15.0
                                                                          11.5     11.3           11.2                10.9
          10.0                                                                                                                          8.9     8.7
                                                                                                                                                                6.8

           5.0


           -
                                                                                    Diversified
                    Financial Services




                                                                                                                      Internet Retail
                                          Search




                                                   Mobile




                                                             Enterprise




                                                                          Gaming




                                                                                                  Social Networking




                                                                                                                                        Media




                                                                                                                                                Collaboration




                                                                                                                                                                Marketing
      # Companies       1                  1        3          2          14          5               6                  2               6         1              2




11                                                                                                                                                              www.mackieresearch.com
Average P/E – by Sector

          100.0


           90.0          87.8


           80.0


           70.0


           60.0
                                        53.6

           50.0


           40.0                                        37.9
                                                                      33.8

           30.0                                                                     26.2

                                                                                                18.9
           20.0
                                                                                                             15.3
                                                                                                                         12.9    12.5

           10.0


            -
                    Internet Retail   Enterprise   Collaboration   Diversified     Social     Marketing   Advertising   Gaming   Media
                                                                                 Networking

                          2               3             1              9            18           5            3          28       10
      # Companies




12                                                                                                                                 www.mackieresearch.com
13
                                                                                                    0.0
                                                                                                                                                                             5.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             10.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                15.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             20.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           25.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         30.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                35.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       40.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              45.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      50.0
                                                                        NeXplore C orporation




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     47




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    26
                                                                            S pectrumDNA, Inc.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  25
                                                                                   S oc ialG O P L C




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        16
                                                                        T enc ent Holdings Ltd.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       15
                                                                                 G eoS entric O yj




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               13
                                                                                          P aid Inc.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           12
                                                                                Worlds . com Inc.
                                                                                        G ree, Inc.
                                                                    B ey ond C ommerc e, Inc.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    11 11 10
                                                                           MO K O .mobi Limited
                                                                    Lingo Media C orporation




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  9 9
                                                               C hines e G amer International
                                                                             T rans G aming, Inc.
                                                                  DigitalP os t Interac tiv e, Inc.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8 7 7
                                                                    F luid Mus ic C anada, Inc.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              7
                                                                                   Dena C o. Ltd.
                                                                   H U G HE S T elematics , Inc .




                                                                                                                                                                                                                          5 5
                                                                Acc eleriz e New Media, Inc .
                                                                                          Mix i, Inc.




                                                                                                          5 4
                                                                      C hangy ou.c om L imited
                                                                        WebMediaB rands Inc
                                                              S K C ommunic ations C o., Ltd.
                                                         F rogs ter Interactive P ictures AG




                                                                                                              4 4 4 3
                                                                                      T aleo C orp.
                                                                                    Motricity, Inc.
                                                           Wiz z ard S oftware C orporation
                                                               K ings oft C orporation L imited
                                                                                  is eemedia Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             EV/Revenue Ranking




                                                                                                                      3 3 3 2 2
                                                                               O pen T ex t C orp.
                                                                                         eP ro Ltd.
                                                              Modern T imes G roup Mtg AB
                                                               NE O WIZ G ames C orporation
                                                                                         XING AG
                                                                                  S ohu. com Inc.
                                                                               S core Media Inc.
                                                                                           V elti P lc
                                                                                  S hutterfly , Inc .
                                                                              UO MO Media, Inc
                                                                          P NI Digital Media Inc.
                                                      G ungHo O nline E ntertainment, Inc.
                                                                              My riad G roup AG
                                                                                 V alueC lic k , Inc.
                                                   P latforma Mediowa P oint G roup S .A.
                                                                                 HanbitS oft, Inc .
                                                                           Unilava C orporation
                                                                                     Webz en Inc .
                                                                        NeuLion Incorporated
                                                                                Y D O nline C orp.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                NeXplore has highest
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               revenue multiple at 47x




                                                                                                                                2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1




                                                 G amania Digital E ntertainment C o. , L td.
                                                                         S park Network s , Inc.
                             Hutc his on T elec ommunic ations Hong K ong H oldings L td.
                                                                        S NAP Interac tiv e, Inc.
                                                                                 Y nk K orea Inc .
                                                             O riented Media G roup B erhad
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www.mackieresearch.com
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions
Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions

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Little Financing Fuels Big Web 2.0 Acquisitions

  • 1. Web 2.0 Weekly “Big Acquisitions, Little Financing” July 8, 2010 David Shore, CFA, MBA 416.860.6784 dshore@mackieresearch.com Damian Wojcichowsky, CFA 416.860.7652 This report has been created by Analysts that are employed by Mackie Research Capital Corporation, a Canadian Investment Dealer. For further disclosures, please see last page of this report. www.mackieresearch.com Copyright © 2000-2010, Mackie Research Capital Corporation, All rights reserved www.mackieresearch.com
  • 2. Key Developments (past week) Deals (M&A, Finance) – Big Acquisitions, Little Financing Google, acquired ITA Software, search provider for the travel industry for $700 mm. infoGROUP, provider of business and consumer databases for sales leads, mailing lists, direct marketing, database marketing, e-mail marketing, and marketing research solutions, was taken private for $645 mm by CCMP Capital Advisers. GroupSpaces, a provider of web-based tools for sports clubs, university societies, organizations, and groups of friends or coworkers, raised $1.3 mm. Domain based online advertising services provider, OCTANE360, was acquired by Local.com for $10.9 mm. Financial Results/Guidance/Partnerships/Product Points International Ltd. (TSX:PTS) announced that it has formed a partnership with The Mileage Company. The new partnership means that Airmiles UK members can now purchase miles for themselves or gift Airmiles to other members. RealNetworks Inc. (NasdaqGS:RNWK) is once again scaling back its operations and announced a restructuring of its operations which includes layoffs of 85 employees. The layoffs include a 25% reduction in its executive ranks and the reorganization seeks to streamline its technology and media services divisions. The company is now down to 1,365 employees from 1,700, with roughly 65 layoffs coming out of the Seattle office. 2 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 3. Public Company Data 3 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 4. Aggregate Public Data Web 2.0 Public Companies Total Median Max Min # Companies 103 - - - Market Cap (US$ mm) 74,460.8 67.2 30,629.6 1.2 Revenue (US$ mm) 23,139.7 56.0 3,057.7 0.0 1 Year revenue growth 2.5% 8961.6% -100.0% EBITDA as % of revenue - 11.3% 63.1% -99.5% Net cash (US$ mm) 9,273.3 3.3 1,841.1 -670.8 TEV/Revenue - 1.9x 47.4x 0.1x TEV/EBITDA - 8.5x 45.6x 0.5x P/E - 15.3x 90.4x 0.0x Relative to 52 week high -42.9% -4.1% -95.6% Source: CapitalIQ 4 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 5. 5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Gaming 28 Social Networking 18 Media 10 9 Diversified 5 Mobile 5 Marketing Source: CapitalIQ 3 Infrastructure 3 SMS/Voice 3 Enterprise 3 Advertising 2 Internet Retail 2 Virtual World By Sector 2 Dating 2 Music 1 Vertical Communities 1 Search 1 Podcasting 1 Learning 1 Video 1 Collaboration 1 Payment 1 Financial Services Public Company Distribution 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 United States Canada China South Korea Japan Taiwan Hong Kong Germany Poland Australia United Kingdom By Country Italy Finland Sweden India Russia Malaysia Switzerland www.mackieresearch.com
  • 6. Valuation Dashboard – 1 Week Market Cap EV/Revenue Flat 12% Flat 1% Rising Falling 27% 64% Rising 35% Falling 61% EV/EBITDA P/E Flat Flat 0% 0% Rising 35% Rising 44% Falling 56% Falling 65% 6 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 7. 7 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x) 0.0x 0.5x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x 2.5x 3.0x 3.5x 4.0x 4.5x 5.0x # companies 5/11/2009 5/18/2009 5/25/2009 6/1/2009 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 Median EV/Revenue 8/31/2009 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 Median 11/16/2009 11/23/2009 11/30/2009 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 Long-term average 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 2/8/2010 2/15/2010 2/22/2010 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 average 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 well below LT 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 down slightly, still Revenue multiples 4/26/2010 5/3/2010 5/10/2010 5/17/2010 5/24/2010 5/31/2010 6/7/2010 6/14/2010 6/21/2010 6/28/2010 373839404040404042444545464646474850515150545556616161626666666565667070707073727167707271767477767979797978807981838283 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 8. 8 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x ) # companies 0. 0x 5. 0x 10. 0x 15. 0x 20. 0x 25. 0x 30. 0x 5/18/2009 5/25/2009 6/1/2009 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 Median EV/EBITDA 8/24/2009 8/31/2009 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 11/16/2009 Median 11/23/2009 11/30/2009 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 Long-term average 2/8/2010 2/15/2010 2/22/2010 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 4/26/2010 5/3/2010 5/10/2010 EV/EBITDA multiples down, depressed below LT average 5/17/2010 5/24/2010 5/31/2010 6/7/2010 6/14/2010 6/21/2010 6/28/2010 7/5/2010 18 20 21 22 22 21 21 21 23 22 25 22 23 23 25 26 26 25 24 24 25 27 28 29 32 34 34 36 39 37 38 39 38 40 41 38 38 38 42 41 40 42 41 41 42 43 44 44 44 47 49 48 50 51 51 49 50 48 47 49 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 9. 9 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x ) # companies 0. 0x 5. 0x 10. 0x 15. 0x 20. 0x 25. 0x 30. 0x 35. 0x 5/18/2009 5/25/2009 6/1/2009 Median P/E 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 8/31/2009 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 11/16/2009 Median 11/23/2009 11/30/2009 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 Long-term average 2/8/2010 2/15/2010 2/22/2010 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 and below LT average 4/26/2010 P/E multiples also down 5/3/2010 5/10/2010 5/17/2010 5/24/2010 5/31/2010 6/7/2010 6/14/2010 6/21/2010 6/28/2010 7/5/2010 19 19 18 18 19 18 19 18 20 20 20 18 19 19 19 20 21 24 23 23 24 25 27 26 30 31 32 31 33 32 34 36 37 39 39 38 39 39 40 41 38 39 39 40 37 37 35 33 33 32 35 35 36 35 35 37 35 32 34 33 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 10. 10 - 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 # Companies 2 Infrastructure 13.4 1 Virtual World 11.9 7 Diversified 9.9 1 Learning 9.4 8 Social Networking 5.3 4 Mobile 5.0 2 Music 4.4 4 Marketing 4.3 1 Vertical Communities 3.7 1 Search 3.6 Gaming 21 3.3 3 SMS/Voice 3.2 Average EV/Revenue – by Sector 1 Podcasting 2.8 1 Collaboration 2.4 3 Advertising 2.2 9 Media 2.2 2 Internet Retail 1.9 3 Enterprise 1.6 1 Video 1.5 2 Dating 1.3 1 Financial Services 0.3 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 11. Average EV/EBITDA – by Sector 50.0 45.6 45.0 40.0 38.5 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 17.7 15.8 15.0 11.5 11.3 11.2 10.9 10.0 8.9 8.7 6.8 5.0 - Diversified Financial Services Internet Retail Search Mobile Enterprise Gaming Social Networking Media Collaboration Marketing # Companies 1 1 3 2 14 5 6 2 6 1 2 11 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 12. Average P/E – by Sector 100.0 90.0 87.8 80.0 70.0 60.0 53.6 50.0 40.0 37.9 33.8 30.0 26.2 18.9 20.0 15.3 12.9 12.5 10.0 - Internet Retail Enterprise Collaboration Diversified Social Marketing Advertising Gaming Media Networking 2 3 1 9 18 5 3 28 10 # Companies 12 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 13. 13 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 NeXplore C orporation 47 Source: CapitalIQ 26 S pectrumDNA, Inc. 25 S oc ialG O P L C 16 T enc ent Holdings Ltd. 15 G eoS entric O yj 13 P aid Inc. 12 Worlds . com Inc. G ree, Inc. B ey ond C ommerc e, Inc. 11 11 10 MO K O .mobi Limited Lingo Media C orporation 9 9 C hines e G amer International T rans G aming, Inc. DigitalP os t Interac tiv e, Inc. 8 7 7 F luid Mus ic C anada, Inc. 7 Dena C o. Ltd. H U G HE S T elematics , Inc . 5 5 Acc eleriz e New Media, Inc . Mix i, Inc. 5 4 C hangy ou.c om L imited WebMediaB rands Inc S K C ommunic ations C o., Ltd. F rogs ter Interactive P ictures AG 4 4 4 3 T aleo C orp. Motricity, Inc. Wiz z ard S oftware C orporation K ings oft C orporation L imited is eemedia Inc. EV/Revenue Ranking 3 3 3 2 2 O pen T ex t C orp. eP ro Ltd. Modern T imes G roup Mtg AB NE O WIZ G ames C orporation XING AG S ohu. com Inc. S core Media Inc. V elti P lc S hutterfly , Inc . UO MO Media, Inc P NI Digital Media Inc. G ungHo O nline E ntertainment, Inc. My riad G roup AG V alueC lic k , Inc. P latforma Mediowa P oint G roup S .A. HanbitS oft, Inc . Unilava C orporation Webz en Inc . NeuLion Incorporated Y D O nline C orp. NeXplore has highest revenue multiple at 47x 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 G amania Digital E ntertainment C o. , L td. S park Network s , Inc. Hutc his on T elec ommunic ations Hong K ong H oldings L td. S NAP Interac tiv e, Inc. Y nk K orea Inc . O riented Media G roup B erhad NetDragon WebS oft, Inc. AQ Interac tiv e, Inc. Internet G roup S A O AO R B C Information S y s tems P oints International Ltd. T he New Y ork T imes C ompany T heS treet.c om, Inc. Northgate T ec hnologies L imited U nis erv e C ommunications C orp. DADA S pA IAC /InterActiveC orp. U nited O nline, Inc. C DC C orp. AO L, Inc . G igaMedia Ltd. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 G lu Mobile, Inc. C yberplex Inc. T ree.C om, Inc. Ac toz S oft C o., L td. O penwav e S y s tems Inc . G ameO n C o Ltd. J umbuck E ntertainment Limited R ealNetwork s Inc. As k net AG Y ippy , Inc . 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Mobile Data C orp. www.mackieresearch.com