The Megatrend of M2M - a View of the Year 2018
M2M is poised to become the biggest technology trend in the history of mankind. Tomorrow M2M will change your business, help you live longer, and probably save your life too. Who will be able to take advantage of the technology in the future? How can you position yourself to take advantage of the M2M Megatrend? Those questions, and many more will be answered in this keynote talk. The session will be interactive, so bring your mobile devices!
4. People
Business Technology
Life Sciences
W
ork/Life Shift
Acceleration
Youth
Unemployed
Education
Re-Engineering
Global
Mobility
Free
Agency
End of
Retirement
Emerging Models
Outrageous
Outsourcing
Marketing
Megatrend
Innovation
Imperative
Speed & Size
Cloud
Computing
Robots
Rise
Coworking &
Collaboration
Mobile
Madness
Internet of
Things
Big Data
12. Reviewing All Predictions in Wired:
A. Most Predictions Were Wrong
B. Most Predictions Were Right
C. All Predictions Were Right, and
Time Estimates Were Too Long
33. People
Business Technology
Life Sciences
W
ork/Life Shift
Acceleration
Youth
Unemployed
Education
Re-Engineering
Global
Mobility
Free
Agency
End of
Retirement
Emerging Models
Outrageous
Outsourcing
Marketing
Megatrend
Innovation
Imperative
Speed & Size
Cloud
Computing
Robots
Rise
Coworking &
Collaboration
Mobile
Madness
Security
Scare
Big Data
35. How Big is Mobile Today?
7B People in the World
36. How Big is Mobile Today?
7B People in the World
6.8B Mobile Subscribers
37. How Big is Mobile Today?
7B People in the World
6.8B Mobile Subscribers
1.5B 3G/LTE Subscribers
38. 20
40
60
80
100
120
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Subscribers(MM)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
8
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
First 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates
~65MM+ netbooks have shipped in first 11 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch + iPad
Launched 6/07
~120MM+
~32MM
~9MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~27MM
Apple iPhone + iTouch + iPad Ramp –
The Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen Before
39. 20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Subscribers(MM)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
7
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
First 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates
~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did –
Apple Leading Charge
380M
40. 20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Subscribers(MM)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
7
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
First 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates
~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did –
Apple Leading Charge
380M
41. 20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Subscribers(MM)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
7
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
First 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates
~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did –
Apple Leading Charge
468M
72. People
Business Technology
Life Sciences
W
ork/Life Shift
Acceleration
Youth
Unemployed
Education
Re-Engineering
Global
Mobility
Free
Agency
End of
Retirement
Emerging Models
Outrageous
Outsourcing
Marketing
Megatrend
Innovation
Imperative
Speed & Size
Cloud
Computing
Robots
Rise
Coworking &
Collaboration
Mobile
Madness
Internet of
Things
Big Data