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2012 | office


GLOBAL office


2013 OUTLOOK



                                                         GLOBAL OFFICE MARKETS SHOW
                                                         STABILITY IN THE FACE OF HEADWINDS
                                                         The global economy has seen recent headwinds from the smoldering eurozone debt crisis, slowing growth in
 GLOBAL CAPITALIZATION RATES /
 PRIMe YIELDS: 10 Lowest cities
                                                         China’s economy and the forecasted American fiscal cliff. Yet our overall global view of office real estate is
                                                         moderately positive. While many large occupiers have taken a wait-and-see attitude toward the global economy,
                              CBD CAP RATE (%)           others are leasing up much-needed space to accommodate expanding operations. Quality office buildings in
 MARKET
 (Ranked by               JUNE         DEC      JUNE     major global cities are seeing consistent demand from both occupiers and investors.
 June 2012)               2012         2011     2011
 Taipei                    2.50         2.60    2.80     •	 ●U.S.
                                                                is showing gradually lowering vacancy rates. Canada’s office market continues to perform well
 Hong Kong                 2.67         2.94    3.22      and is seeing notable development activity in major markets. Office absorption has been largely driven
 Vienna                    3.50         3.50    3.50      by Intellectual Capital, Energy and Education (ICEE) sectors.
 Singapore                 3.90         4.20    4.30     •	 Mexico
                                                                 and Brazil report slightly higher vacancies, due to a combination of speculative construction and
 London - West End         4.00         4.00    4.00      slackening economic growth. Yet São Paulo still boasts the ultra-low vacancy rate of 3.3%.
 Zurich                    4.00         4.10    4.10
                                                         •	 Average
                                                                  Central Business District (CBD) office rents remained broadly unchanged across key EMEA
 Geneva                    4.25         4.25    4.00
                                                          markets, but this has been a result of limited supply more than increased demand. Business confidence
 Beijing                   4.31        4.32     5.93
                                                          across Europe is firmly negative, which does not bode well for the next year of activity.
 Paris                     4.50         4.50    4.50
                                                         •	 China’s
                                                                 slowing growth has dampened office demand in some Asian markets. Beijing’s office market
 Munich                    4.50         4.50    4.50
 Tokyo                     4.50         4.50    4.60      remains healthy, but appeared lackluster when compared to an extremely active 2011.

 GLOBAL OFFICE OCCUPANCY COSTS:                           Top Three Markets by Region: June 2012 Cap Rate (%)
 TOP 10 CITIES

                                                                      Asia Pacific                        0.0   1.0   2.0   3.0     4.0      5.0      6.0   7.0   8.0   9.0     10.0    11.0
                 CLASS A / NET RENT (USD/SF/YR)
                                                                      EMEA                      Taipei                      2.50
 MARKET
 (Ranked by               JUNE         DEC      JUNE                                        Hong Kong                        2.67
 June 2012)               2012         2011     2011                  North America
                                                                                               Vienna                               3.50
 Hong Kong                166.70       178.34   185.91                Latin America
                                                                                             Singapore                                3.90
 London – West End        125.65       120.31   124.50
                                                                                                Zurich                                 4.00
 Tokyo*                   106.01       110.17   104.91
                                                                                     London - West End                                 4.00
 Rio de Janeiro            90.40        93.05    85.70
                                                                    New York, NY - Midtown Manhattan                                          4.70
 Paris                     87.50        87.23    97.73
                                                                                         Vancouver, BC                                        4.75
 Moscow                    83.58        75.78    64.64
 London – City             76.18        75.29    77.97    New York, NY - Midtown South Manhattan                                               4.90

 Perth                     75.77        73.85    74.74                                    Buenos Aires                                                                        9.00

 Geneva                    63.70        65.31    72.83                                     Mexico City                                                                        9.00

 São Paulo                 63.50        63.43    71.42                                   Rio de Janeiro                                                                                10.25

*Tokyo rents listed are gross rents.



www.colliers.com
trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL


GLOBAL 2013 FORECAST:                                                                                           Office Demand Outlook Arrows
•	 Expect only modest improvement in North American office vacancy rates over
   the next two years, with the exception of a few strong ICEE markets.
•	 Central
        and Eastern Europe are feeling the effects of economic stagnation.                                                                           Office demand to remain stable
 Greater certainty in the eurozone is still some ways away, although a
 continued improvement in activity is expected by mid-2013.
•	 Rents
       in UK regional markets should remain stable due to the lack of Grade A                                                                        Office demand to increase
 space. Most markets will reach a ‘tipping point’ by mid-2013 at which time
 further rental growth is expected.
•	 The
     outlook for the Beijing office property market, especially in the Class A                                                                       Office demand to decrease
 sector, should continue to be positive; with investment market in the office
 property sector to also remain strong.

> UNITED STATES OFFICE DEMAND DRIVEN BY TECH, ENERGY                                                             However, the fate of the office vacancy rate does not merely depend upon an
Intellectual Capital, Energy and Education (ICEE) markets continue to generate a                                 increase in office workers; new construction also plays a role in the calculation.
disproportionate share of office absorption in the US, and nine of the 10 US                                     As a result, the 2012 vacancy rate’s drop below 15% is not likely to be bettered
markets with the highest Q2 absorption have strong ICEE industries, led by                                       by a 14% vacancy rate in 2013. Look for only modest improvement in office
Houston, Oklahoma City and Boston. The average vacancy rate was 140 basis                                        vacancy rates over the next two years.
points lower in ICEE-dominated markets.
                                                                                                                 > RESOURCES SUPPORTING CANADIAN DEMAND, BOND RATES
For the first time in nearly five years, in Q1 2012, the US office vacancy rate                                  DRIVING INVESTMENT Observers expect continued slow and steady
dropped below 15%. The rate continued to decline by 13 basis points to 14.29%                                    economic performance, with no exceptional wins or losses on the radar for
in Q2. New supply is delivered to the market at approximately the same pace as                                   Canada. The divide between the east and west is firmly entrenched, with the
the trailing five-quarter average. With 38.4 million square feet of new construction                             energy and mining sectors driving stronger results in Alberta, Saskatchewan
still underway, additions to supply will impede improvement in occupancy or                                      and British Columbia. Ontario and Quebec will post more moderate growth, as
rental rates over the next four to eight quarters.                                                               the economy in the United States gradually improves, exports gather speed and
                                                                                                                 the manufacturing sector recovers.
United States: 2013 Outlook
CBD office buildings are outperforming the suburbs as companies consolidate                                      Canada: 2013 Outlook
operations into the central core of Metropolitan Service Areas (MSAs), and this                                  Economic growth will be impacted by a retraction of government stimulus
trend will continue in 2013. Large spaces are in stronger demand as a result of                                  spending and weakening consumer activity as household debt curtails retail
this consolidation. As in 2012, landlords will be able to increase rents for large                               sales growth. The fundamentals of all major office markets continue to be very
space users at lease renewal.                                                                                    solid, with the national vacancy rate under 6%. Demand for office space will be
                                                                                                                 muted in the east, while resource-oriented western markets continue to be hot.
Professional and business service employment accounted for approximately
one-third of the monthly job growth in 2012, averaging 150,000 per month.                                        As a result, 2012 should end with a steady performance, with a further pick-up in


                                                                                                                                                        Top 10 Office Markets with the Most SPACE

    Victoria
                 6%
                    4.75%
                     $34.53
                               Vancouver

                                           5.5%
                                           $41.92
                                                    Calgary
                                                                                                                                                        Under Construction (Square Feet)
                $21.64
                     6.2%
                    $20.61
                               Seattle                                                                                                                    MARKET                      JUNE 2012
                                                                                                                Montreal

                                                                                                                  6.5%
                                                                                                                 $22.80
                                                                                                                                                          São Paulo                   14,641,067


                                                                                                                                                        Tokyo                        11,325,147
                                                                                                                             6%
                                                                                                     New York-     4.7%
                                                                                                                                     Boston
                                                                                                                            $25.63
                                                                                                      Midtown     $35.80


                                                                                  6.5%
                                                                                 $16.85
                                                                                                     New York-
                                                                                                     Downtown
                                                                                                                   5%
                                                                                                                  $23.14
                                                                                                                            4.9%
                                                                                                                           $25.87
                                                                                                                                      New York-
                                                                                                                                     Midtown South
                                                                                                                                                          Beijing                      9,827,581
       5.6%
      $24.71                                                  6.5%               Chicago
                                                                                                                                                          Jakarta                      9,228,884
               San Francisco                                  $13.71                                                      Average Class A
                                                              Denver
                                                                                                                          Net Rents and                   Mexico City                  8,481,452
                                                                                                                          Cap Rates – June 2012

                                                                                                                                                          Rio de Janeiro               7,661,260
                                                                                            7.8%
                                                                                                                               $100 or more

                                                                                           $11.49                                                         Shanghai                     5,480,466
                                                                                           Atlanta
                                                                                                                               $50 to $100

                                                                                                                                                          New York, NY -
                                                                                                                               $25 to $50
                                                                                                                                                          Downtown Manhattan
                                                                                                                                                                                      5,200,000
                                                                        0%
                                                                        $36.8                                                  less than $25
                                                                                                                                                          Panama City                  4,226,862
                                                                       Houston
                                                                                                                                N/A

                                                                                                                                                          Singapore                    3,896,532
Rents are US$/SF/YR.

p. 2 | Colliers International
trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL


growth commencing in 2013. The investment market will continue to be very active
while bond rates remain low and investors turn to real estate as a safe yield-
producing investment. Key risks on the Canadian radar are the fragile condition of
Europe, the U.S. Fiscal Cliff and slowing growth in resource-hungry emerging
economies.

> MEXICO’S ECONOMIC GROWTH DRIVES OFFICE DEMAND AND
                                                                                                       9%
                                                                                                       $31.20

                                                                                                 Mexico City
CONSTRUCTION Mexico City saw the construction of more than 2.1 million
square feet of office space in the first half of 2012, which has pushed up overall
vacancy rates. 893,405 square feet were absorbed in the first quarter of 2012 and
more than 1.9 million square feet in the second.

This 100% increase in market activity is to some extent due to the addition of
buildings with pre-leased space to the inventory. It is worth noting that even with
increased inventory, average rental rates did not show significant fluctuations and
remained relatively stable.
                                                                                         Average Class A Net Rents
Mexico: 2013 Outlook                                                                     and Cap Rates – June 2012
The Mexican economy will continue to advance at a steady pace, with employment
and wages showing slight increases and a GDP growth rate that is expected to
reach 3.7% by the end of 2012, and continue this trajectory in 2013. The recently
elected Institutional Revolutionary Party presidential candidate Enrique Peña Nieto
                                                                                                $100 or more
                                                                                                                                                                      10.25%
                                                                                                                                                                       $90.40


will push for some energy and labor reforms, however the initiatives of the new
administration should not significantly shift Mexico’s growth trajectory.
                                                                                                $50 to $100
                                                                                                                                                                   Rio de Janeiro


                                                                                         
> SÃO PAULO BOASTS LOW VACANCY, ALTHOUGH ABSORPTION HAS
MODERATED Brazil’s dynamic economy of recent years has contributed to a new              
                                                                                                 $25 to $50


                                                                                                 less than $25
                                                                                                                                                     9%
                                                                                                                                                     $34.21

                                                                                                                                                 Buenos Aires
global perception of Brazil as a hub for investment and capital. The cities of Rio de
                                                                                                 N/A
Janeiro and São Paulo have a combined Class A office inventory of more than 26
million square feet and Rio de Janeiro has no room for new buildings in its
downtown. The average vacancy across both cities is 6.8%. Rio de Janeiro’s
vacancy is 10.4% while São Paulo’s is only 3.3%.

Brazil: 2013 Outlook
Despite low vacancy rates, there has been some moderation in office demand. The
average asking lease prices decreased by 0.7% from Q1 to Q2 2012 in São Paulo
and Rio de Janeiro. Net absorption in Q2 was the lowest it has been since the third
quarter of 2009. Therefore, we predict slackening demand and limited supply will
                                                                                        Rental rate changes are calculated using period US$ exchange rates and may reflect
provide only a slight increase in occupancy and rental rates through 2013.              fluctuations in currency exchanges. Rents are US$/SF/YR.




São Paolo Skyline

p. 3 | Colliers International
trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL


> LOW CONFIDENCE FOR EMEA BUSINESSES, BUT
BRIGHT SPOTS PERSIST The first half of 2012 was                        Average Class A Net Rents
dominated by economic stagnation across Europe. The
eurozone contracted by 0.2% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 12
and re-entered technical recession in Q3 12 with a 0.1% q/q
                                                                       and Cap Rates – June 2012
                                                                                                                                                                        4.75%
                                                                                                                                                                         $61.74
                                                                                                                                                                                  Stockholm


contraction. Central and Eastern Europe are feeling the                     $100 or more

effects. Positive indicators for H1 12 in Germany and France
have given way to more sobering numbers with                                $50 to $100                                                                   5%
                                                                                                                                                           $20.56
                                                                                                                                                                    Copenhagen

manufacturing and service purchasing manager indices
suggesting a further period of economic uncertainty and
                                                                            $25 to $50                                                         4.7%
                                                                                                                                                 $31.05
                                                                                                                                                                5%

stagnation. Both economies expanded by a modest 0.2% q/q
in Q3 12 and this was not enough to counter balance
                                                                            less than $25                          4%
                                                                                                                   $125.65

                                                                                                                  London
                                                                                                                                              Hamburg          $26.81

                                                                                                                                                              Berlin

contractions in the eurozone periphery                                       N/A
                                                                                                                             4.5%



                                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                             $87.50                        4.5%          3.5%
                                                                                                                                               4%         $38.81         $26.11
EMEA: 2013 Outlook                                                                                                           Paris

                                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                              $47.04
                                                                                                                                      4.25%            Munich           Vienna
Average CBD office rents remain broadly unchanged across                                                                        $63.70 Zurich
key EMEA markets; in most cases this has been the result of
                                                                                                                               Geneva
limited supply, rather than robust demand. A 13% y/y drop in
the volume of investment transactions was recorded across
Europe in the first part of 2012. Despite sagging business
confidence across EMEA, Q3 12 transaction levels saw a Rental rate changes are calculated using period US$ exchange rates and may reflect
                                                                fluctuations in currency exchanges Rents are US$/SF/YR.
modest rise, although the increase is lagging better results in
across AsiaPac and the Americas. Greater certainty in the eurozone is still some            United Kingdom: 2013 Outlook
ways away, although a continued improvement in activity is expected by mid-2013.            Rents in UK regional markets should remain stable due to the lack of Grade A space.
                                                                                             Speculative construction has been absent from these markets since 2008 and this
> UNITED KINGDOM STILL SEEN AS SAFE ENVIRONMENT FOR REAL                                     trend is projected to continue. Most markets will reach a ‘tipping point’ by mid-2013
ESTATE INVESTMENT Despite the fact that the UK economy saw a surge in Q3                     at which time further rental growth is expected. Rents in Central London will also
12, the economy will finish the year on a weaker note. Nevertheless, relative political      come under upward pressure with the West End market set to see new historical
and economic stability continues to augment the perception of Britain as a ‘safe             highs for prime rents.
haven’ for direct investment in real estate. As a eurozone outsider, the UK has
benefited, attracting strong capital flows not only from eurozone countries, but also        > SUSTAINED DEMAND IN GERMAN OFFICE MARKET After a mild
from North America, Asia, and the Middle East. Prime office yields are stable at             contraction in Q4 11, the German economy bounced back with GDP growth in Q1 12
around 4% in London’s West End and between 5% and 5.25% in the City.                         reaching 0.5% q/q. Since then the growth rate has tapered off to 0.2% q/q in Q3 12.
                                                                                             The exposure of German banks to the Spanish property market remains a worrying
London remains the top European office investment market with a 20%+ y/y                     factor, but export growth is also a worry as world trade has slowed.
increase in sales volume in H1 12. The vacancy rate in Central London was stable
between H2 11 and H2 12 at 6.9%. Several UK markets have seen disappointing                  Take-up in the six main German office markets stood at approximately 13.9 million
take-up levels so far in 2012, although London’s West End has seen an increase in            square feet in the first half of 2012, which represents a 9% y/y decline. Nevertheless,
pre-leasing activity and rents are still climbing.                                           the overall vacancy rate fell from 9.7% in H1 11 to 8.4% in 2012. Demand from




Helsinki at dusk

p. 4 | Colliers International
trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL


professional services firms has been steady and may explain some of the notable
rental increases; there have been sustained lettings of higher-priced space in
central locations. The two most expensive locations for office investment remain
Hamburg with prime yields of 4.7% and Munich at 4.5%. These low yields are a
result of high demand for a limited amount of new supply. Investors remain focused
on these markets due to continued good turnover figures, but also these market
have a degree of safe haven status as leading markets in what is perceived as the
most stable member of the eurozone.

Germany: 2013 Outlook
Considering the economic environment, the German office leasing market has held
up well and will remain stable in 2013. Underlying leasing demand, together with
current rental contract negotiations, suggest some modest growth in take-up
volumes. Investors will continue to look for opportunities across the German
markets and prices are expected to remain stable.

> FRENCH OFFICE MARKET IN STATE OF EQUILIBRIUM, YET FEARS
REMAIN Against an unsettled economic backdrop, the core sectors of France’s
commercial real estate market have proven resilient. While supply and demand
appear to be in equilibrium, fears of new imbalances are linked to expectations of
further economic deterioration.

Take-up of office space in Île-de-France has held up well and stood at over 10
million square feet in the first half of 2012. This number was down only slightly
year-over-year. Transactions involving small units maintained pace, but leasing
transactions for medium-sized suites are down significantly. The supply of new and
second-generation office space (available within a year) declined by 11% in the past
six months. Rental rates have stabilized in high-quality buildings. However, a
correction in rental values for lower-quality, second-generation space in the future
may develop.

Commercial property commitments in France in the first half of 2012 represented a
year-over-year increase of 18%. Transactional evidence suggests no significant
change in office yields which, on the best properties, range from 4.5 to 5.5% in the
Paris CBD. Paris is also seeing safe haven investment due to its status as an
important international financial node.
                                                                                       London, England

France: 2013 Outlook
The trend of shrinking office space availability is expected to be reversed as a       current political instability is also a factor. However, the majority of eastern European
number of new construction projects complete in 2013. Despite increased supply,        countries are expected to post positive GDP growth in 2012; the regional economy
the market is expected to remain stable, provided no unforeseen economic setbacks      as a whole is expected to grow by 2.7%. Poland, Russia and Turkey, alongside
occur. International investors will continue to track Paris for new opportunities.     dynamic economies such as Latvia, are helping drive growth in the region.

> INVESTOR DEMAND KEEPS OFFICE YIELDS LOW IN CORE NORDIC                               In line with a decline in economic conditions, office space demand contracted by
MARKETS The Nordic growth rates (2013 GDP forecasts range from 1.4% to 2.1%)           24% compared to leasing activity in 2011. Almost all markets were below the
are relatively strong when seen against core European markets. AAA credit ratings      demand levels seen in the second half of 2011, with the exceptions of Warsaw,
for Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden have supported the perception that             Prague and Zagreb. Nevertheless, rents have remained stable across the region,
Nordic markets are safe destinations for capital.                                      with a notable 10.3% increase recorded in Moscow. The volume of investment
                                                                                       transactions also fell in comparison to the same period of 2011, mainly as a result of
Office investors have shown great appetite for property in primary locations,          reduced debt finance availability. This has kept transactions focused on the larger,
pushing up the yield spread between primary and secondary Nordic markets. The          more liquid Polish and Russian markets.
number of investment transactions has been increasing. Denmark and Sweden in
particular have seen a higher volume of cross-border transactions.                     CEE: 2013 Outlook
                                                                                       We expect the transaction trend focusing investment on larger, more liquid markets
                                                                                       (mentioned above) will continue over the next 12 months. We also expect to see
Nordics: 2013 Outlook
                                                                                       subdued activity from both demand and supply in the near term, with continued
A modest increase in investment activity is expected in 2013, particularly
                                                                                       divergence in activity by geography. Market uncertainty combined with restricted
concentrated in primary Nordic markets and from international investors; a shift in
                                                                                       construction finance availability will continue to constrain new supply. This should
preference among tenants to cost-effective, modern and green office buildings is
                                                                                       keep vacancy rates at current levels in most markets.
also likely. Leasing markets will remain stable.

> CEE SEES LOWER OFFICE DEMAND DESPITE POSITIVE ECONOMY                                > SOUTHERN EUROPE’S RENTS STILL FALLING; MIDDLE EAST
Although, the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) region is showing more economic         HAMPERED BY OVERSUPPLY There was further weakening in the headline-
growth than Western Europe, the region is vulnerable to Western European               grabbing markets of Southern Europe. Athens saw a 7.1% decrease in asking rents
economic performance. This has been very apparent in Hungary and the Czech             and Madrid recorded a 2.1% fall. Vienna saw a slight increase in CBD rental levels
Republic whose economies both contracted over the first half of 2012. Both             in the first half of 2012, while the rents in the Benelux markets recorded no changes.
countries are very dependent on trade with the western European core, although         Geneva saw a marginal fall in rents. A decrease in rents is expected in Swiss


p. 5 | Colliers International
trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL



 Major Office Markets with the Largest Period Change in Rent                                                                                   “ The unresolved European
                                                                                                                                                 debt crisis and slowing
                       QUOTED              UNITS OF                TIME                  JUNE                 DEC
   MARKET             CURRENCY           MEASUREMENT              PERIOD                  2012                2011       CHANGE                  economic growth in China
                                                                                                                                                 have eroded Hong Kong’s
   Jakarta                IDR                   SM                 Month         242,192.00           174,249.00              39.0%
   Bogotá                 USD                   SM                 Month                 33.00              27.40             20.4%
                                                                                                                                                 economic growth prospects.
   Calgary, AB            CAD                   SF                  Year                 42.62              36.00             18.4%              Inflationary pressure
   Chicago, IL            USD                    SF                 Year                 16.85               14.50              16.2%            from the third round of
   Denver, CO             USD                    SF                 Year                  13.71              12.19              12.5%            US quantitative easing is
   Moscow                 USD                   SM                 Month                 75.00              68.00               10.3%
                                                                                                                                                 expected to push up real
   Stuttgart              EUR                   SM                 Month                  19.00              17.50              8.6%
   São Paulo              BRL                   SM                 Month                 114.50            106.00               8.0%
                                                                                                                                                 estate values, where the
   Buenos Aires           USD                   SM                 Month                 30.70              28.60                7.3%            local currency is pegged to
   Beijing                CNY                   SM                 Month                 336.11            313.69                7.1%            the US dollar.”
* - Change in rent as measured in local currency, unit of measurement and time period.

markets, due to poor demand levels; the strength of the local currency is impacting               headquarters and Danone Group’s securing of 76,435 square feet at Kerry Parkside.
business activity substantially. Switzerland and Austria also saw significant declines
in office investment activity in comparison to the first half of 2011.                            Average gross yields in Shanghai’s Class A office sector declined to 5.8% during the
                                                                                                  third quarter, a decrease of 10 basis points from the previous quarter.
Southern Europe: 2013 Outlook
Further falls in rental levels are expected. With low occupational demand and                     Shanghai: 2013 Outlook
creeping investment volumes, prime office yields will continue to soften further in               The limited number of recent land transactions indicate that developers still remain
Athens, Milan, Madrid and Rome. The largest increase in 2012 was recorded in                      cautious about making land acquisitions for further commercial development.
Lisbon, at 50 basis points.
                                                                                                  > BEIJING OFFICE MARKET SEES NARROWING AVAILABILITY Despite
Across the Middle East, political and economic uncertainty continues to translate                 weak economic performance in many developed economies, Beijing, as the capital
into poor performance in local real estate markets, with low demand from both                     of China, will continue to attract overseas and domestic enterprises as they establish
tenants and investors. A further weakening of the Cairo market was noticeable, as                 or expand their offices. Beijing’s overall office property market was stable in the first
well as major declines in rents in the main office markets of UAE and Saudi Arabia,               half of 2012. The disequilibrium between supply and demand remained unchanged
where significant oversupply was the cause.                                                       as new completion was limited, leading to a continued narrowing availability across
                                                                                                  the board.
> OFFICE DEMAND FROM FINANCIAL AND MAINLAND COMPANIES IN
HONG KONG The unresolved European debt crisis and slowing economic growth
in China have eroded Hong Kong’s economic growth prospects. Inflationary pressure                                                                     4.32%
from the third round of US quantitative easing is expected to push up real estate                                                                     $58.94
                                                                                                                                                                                     4.5%
values, where the local currency is pegged to the US dollar.                                                                                         Beijing                        $106.01

                                                                                                                                                                                    Tokyo
Office rents showed signs of stabilization in 3Q 2012 due largely to the solid demand                                                                           2.5%
from a range of medium-sized financial companies and the support of mainland                                                                        2.67%      $27.64

enterprises. Leasing demand was soft in the city’s Class A office market. Overall net                                                              $166.70
                                                                                                                                                               Taipei
absorption fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to 386,000 square feet in 3Q 2012.                                                                        Hong Kong



Hong Kong: 2013 Outlook
Due to the limited supply of Class A office buildings for lease, the vacancy rate on                                                  3.9%
Hong Kong Island will remain low in 2013, with the exception of Central/ Admiralty,                                                  $63.35

where falling demand for top-tier office premises is anticipated to cause the vacancy                                              Singapore
rate to edge up further. Overall, the average vacancy rate will settle around its                   Average Class A Net Rents
                                                                                                    and Cap Rates – June 2012
historical average of 5% by the end of 2012.

With the external uncertainties and tightening of mortgage lending criteria,                                    $100 or more
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Brisbane
investment sentiment in the office market weakened during 3Q 2012. The average
yield of Hong Kong Class A offices compressed 20 basis points to 3.1% in July 2012.                             $50 to $100                                                                             7.5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                       $58.94
The decrease in Class A office yield reflected the strong demand for Class A offices
                                                                                                                $25 to $50
by investors.                                                                                                                                                                                            6.9%
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Sydney
                                                                                                                                                                                                        $60.85
                                                                                                                                                                                   7.5%
                                                                                                                less than $25                                           Adelaide
                                                                                                                                                                                   $36.13            7.32%
> NEW OFFICE CONSTRUCTION AND PRELEASING ACTIVITY IN                                                                                                                                        7.06%    $34.42
                                                                                                                                                                                            $47.35
SHANGHAI The average rental rate for Class A office space in Shanghai continues                                 Market with gross-rent data only                                                              Canberra
                                                                                                                                                                                       Melbourne
to grow. Citywide, vacancy increased to 9.5% due to the launch of five new projects
in the downtown area, including the high-profile L’Avenue and SOHO Century
Avenue. A number of high-profile leases were signed, including Adidas’ 187,293                    Rental rate changes are calculated using period US$ exchange rates and may reflect
square feet in Shanghai International Commerce Center for their new China                         fluctuations in currency exchanges. Rents are US$/SF/YR.



p. 6 | Colliers International
trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL


Although demand from both multinationals and domestic enterprises was firm, the           Over 1.7 million square feet of new office space entered Seoul’s office market in the
leasing market in the first half of 2012 appeared lackluster when compared to the         first half of 2012, with the completion of the K Twin Tower in the Central Business
extremely active year of 2011. The average net effective rent continued to climb, but     District and three buildings in the Gangnam Business District (GBD). New supply is
the growth momentum softened, associated with declining transaction volume. The           expected to continue to edge up in the CBD and YBD.
office property investment market was also active, evidenced by several transactions
concluded during the review period.                                                       The vacancy rate for offices in Seoul fell 0.76% in the first half of 2012 to 6.97%.
                                                                                          There was almost no vacancy in the area’s Class A+ office buildings, which had an
Beijing: 2013 Outlook                                                                     average vacancy rate of 0.11%. The average rent for an office in Seoul in the first
The outlook for the Beijing office property market, especially in the Class A sector,     half of 2012 increased by 4.46% over the previous period. The net absorption in
should continue to be positive. However, negotiations between landlords and               Seoul’s office market during 2Q 2012 increased remarkably from the previous
tenants could become more elastic in the near term. The investment market in the          quarter to nearly 1.6 million square feet.
office property sector of Beijing will remain active.
                                                                                          Seoul: 2013 Outlook
> TOKYO OFFICE USERS TAKE ADVANTAGE OF OVERSUPPLY The                                     Low supply, increased rental rates and a slight decrease in vacancy point to
Tokyo Class A office market continues to experience frequent tenant relocations as        moderate improvement in the Seoul market in 2013. However, new supply will keep
occupiers take advantage of an oversupply by upgrading the quality of their office        strong gains in rent or occupancy in check.
space while reducing overall rents. Office development has been concentrated in
three central wards of Tokyo, with 2012 marking the second-biggest year for new           > SINGAPORE CLASS A CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT RENTS TO
office construction since 2003.                                                           FALL The global economic environment has weighed down Singapore’s office
Office properties in Tokyo’s central business districts and major cities are enjoying     leasing activity, pushing average Class A gross rents in the CBD down by 5.4%. This
the greatest interest from institutional investors, with more than 80% of investment      represented a reversal of the rental growth trend that had been steadily gaining
capital focused in the central six wards of Tokyo, according to data from RCA. More       steam since the office market bottomed out in the end of 2009.
than half of the total transaction volume in Japan is made up of office property sales.
Tokyo ranked fourth globally in volume of office property transactions valued over        Singapore: 2013 Outlook
$10 million per asset in the past 12 months.                                              Lowered office rents will improve Singapore’s competitive edge as a regional hub
                                                                                          for business. Overall CBD office space vacancy rates inched down from 12.8% in
Tokyo: 2013 Outlook                                                                       December 2011 to 12.6% in June 2012. There is a threat of an impending supply
Higher vacancy rates have accompanied the new supply from 2012, however                   overhang. In addition to the steady lineup of new office buildings that will be
vacancy should begin to decline again soon. Class A rents are stabilizing, with some      completed over the next four years, a substantial amount of secondary space could
properties showing rental rate increases. Although average rents will decline             be returned to the market upon lease expiration as existing tenants move to new
slightly through the end of 2012, we project they will begin to increase moderately       premises. CBD Class A office rents are expected to continue decline through 2013.
in late 2013.
                                                                                          > SLOWING ECONOMY REINS IN INDIAN OFFICE DEMAND India’s
> SEOUL SEES DROPPING VACANCY DESPITE NEW OFFICE                                          economic growth has slowed, a result of uncertainties in domestic policy, the
CONSTRUCTION A number of Class A office buildings have come online in Seoul               cumulative impact of monetary tightening and slackening of external demand.
in the last year in both the Central Business District (CBD) and Yeouido Business         Rental rates for Class A office space in Mumbai will remain stable across most
District (YBD) . This construction came on the heels of the successful launch of the      submarkets. In Delhi, Class A rents increased by 2% to 7% over the previous quarter
International Finance Centre(IFC) in the Yeouido Business District’s (YBD) first          in popular locations such as Connaught Place and Nehru Place, while 4% to 10%
Class A office building in 2011.                                                          drops were seen in Jasola and Saket.




Yokohama Skyline

p. 7 | Colliers International
trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL


While construction activities remained moderate in Mumbai in Q2 2012, Dehli saw         allocations to direct property. This means that the demand for prime assets is going
fast-paced activity in a newly developed area near Delhi Airport named Aerocity.        to become more competitive in 2013. However, the outlook for rental growth is more
Two projects located at Aerocity, Aria Signature Office and IBIS Commercial Tower,      limited. It is likely we will see some growth in Brisbane and Perth CBD rents, while
developed by JW Marriot and IBIS Hotel respectively, added approximately 200,000        Melbourne and Sydney CBD rents remain flat in 2013.
square feet of Class A space to the market.
                                                                                        > NEW EARTHQUAKE POLICIES IN NEW ZEALAND HIT CBD OFFICE
India: 2013 Outlook                                                                     The implementation of earthquake-prone buildings policies has had a profound
Going forward, the rental values for Class A office space are expected to remain        effect on the New Zealand CBD office market over the last 12 months. The process
stable in almost all Delhi and Mumbai submarkets.                                       of obtaining an engineering evaluation while maintaining insurance has been an
                                                                                        expensive exercise for institutions and private owners. Wellington has been hit the
> FOREIGN INVESTORS ACCOUNT FOR HALF OF AUSTRALIAN                                      hardest.
PROPERTY PURCHASES The Australian economy continues to show signs of
strength, with GDP growth of 3.7% recorded in the first nine months of 2012. This       Leasing activity at the top end of the market has remained firm in Wellington as a
relatively strong growth is no doubt a contributor to strong foreign interest in        result of the growing number of office tenants looking to move away from buildings
Australian property, with offshore purchasers now accounting for around a half of       perceived to be earthquake-prone, and this has helped keep prime rentals buoyant.
all purchases in 2012.                                                                  However, the Auckland CBD office market has been the stronger performer of the
                                                                                        two cities. Prime CBD office space remains tight in buildings around the CBD.
Although economic growth is strong, the two-speed nature of Australia’s economy
means that some office markets are performing far better than others from a tenant      New Zealand: 2013 Outlook
demand perspective. In particular, office markets in the resource-rich states of        The economic climate in New Zealand remains muted over the next few years and
Western Australia and Queensland are showing stronger rental growth than the            the complexity surrounding the Wellington office market hinders any chance of
larger economies of Victoria and New South Wales. However, investment patterns          seeing sustained rental growth in the next few years. Less fortunate are owners of
are not following leasing demand. Demand for office assets is higher in Sydney and      the older Class C or even B buildings who face a nasty cocktail of decreasing value
Melbourne CBDs, even though these cities are both seeing a decline in rents.            and demand, along with increasing insurance costs. Auckland is more resilient,
                                                                                        supported by job growth prospects and likely economic growth. Landlords of better-
Australia: 2013 Outlook                                                                 quality buildings in both Auckland and Wellington can anticipate an increase in rental
There is a strong outlook for investment in Australian office markets. Although         in the next 12 months.
foreign purchasers are dominating at present, local Australian REITS have now
recapitalized and Australian pension funds have also expressed interest in increasing




Brisbane, New Zealand


p. 8 | Colliers International
trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL



 local measure / currency cbd rents

                                                                                          cbd rent               cbd rent us
                                                  MEASURE                              local currency          dollars/sq ft/yr
                                                                                                                           Average   cbd cap
                                                                      exchange       AVERAGE       AVERAGE     Average     class a      rate
                                                  quoted     TIME     rate (USD)     class a        class a    class a      Gross     / prime
 MARKET              COUNTRY              unit   currency   PERIOD   JUNE 30, 2012   net rent     gross rent   net rent      rent    yield (%)

 asia pacific
 Adelaide            Australia            SM      AUD        Year           0.98        380.00       485.00        36.13     46.11       7.50
 Brisbane            Australia            SM      AUD        Year           0.98        620.00       750.00        58.94     71.30       7.50
 Canberra            Australia            SM      AUD        Year           0.98        362.00       440.00        34.42     41.83       7.32
 Melbourne           Australia            SM      AUD        Year           0.98        498.00       617.00        47.35     58.66       7.06
 Perth               Australia            SM      AUD        Year           0.98        797.00       956.00        75.77     90.89       8.00
 Sydney              Australia            SM      AUD        Year           0.98        640.00       776.00        60.85     73.78       6.90
 Beijing             China                SM      CNY       Month           6.36        336.11       366.11       58.94      64.20       4.31
 Chengdu             China                SM       CNY      Month           6.36        145.28       164.33        25.48     28.82       7.60
 Hong Kong           China                SF       HKD      Month           7.76        107.76       125.14       166.70    193.58       2.67
 Shanghai            China                SM       CNY      Month           6.36        307.00       261.00        45.77     53.81       4.50
 Jakarta             Indonesia            SM       IDR      Month        9,385.00    242,192.00   299,588.00       28.76     35.58       8.10
 Tokyo               Japan                SM       JPY       Year          79.82                   91,113.00                106.01       4.50
 Auckland            New Zealand          SM       NZD       Year           1.25        334.00       466.00        24.86     34.69       8.40
 Wellington          New Zealand          SM       NZD       Year           1.25        343.00       442.00        25.53     32.90       8.19
 Makati City         Philippines          SM       PHP      Month          41.82        895.00                     23.85                 9.00
 Singapore           Singapore            SF      SGD       Month           1.27           6.68         8.45       63.35     80.13       3.90
 Seoul               South Korea          SM      KRW       Month        1,141.15     64,575.00    23,896.00       63.06     23.34       6.00
 Taipei              Taiwan               SM      TWD       Month          29.80        739.00       887.00        27.64     33.17       2.50
 Bangkok             Thailand             SM       THB      Month          31.55        680.00       725.00        24.02     25.61       8.30
 EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA (EMEA)
 Tirana              Albania              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         15.50                     21.87                14.00
 Vienna              Austria              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         18.50                     26.11                 3.50
 Antwerp             Belgium              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         10.40                     14.68                 7.00
 Brussels            Belgium              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         15.00                     21.17                 6.00
 Sofia*              Bulgaria             SM       EUR      Month           0.79           9.00                    12.70                 9.00
 Zagreb*             Croatia              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         12.50                     17.64                 9.00
 Prague*             Czech Republic       SM       EUR      Month           0.79         15.50                     21.87                 6.50
 Copenhagen          Denmark              SM       DKK      Month           5.87        108.30                     20.56                 5.00
 Cairo               Egypt                SM      USD       Month           1.00         21.75                     24.24                 9.00
 Tallinn             Estonia              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         13.40                     18.91                 7.50
 Bordeaux            France               SM       EUR      Month           0.79         13.50                     19.05                 6.50
 Lyon                France               SM       EUR      Month           0.79         18.80                     26.53                 6.00
 Marseille           France               SM       EUR      Month           0.79         15.90                     22.44                 6.15
 Paris               France               SM       EUR      Month           0.79         62.00                     87.50                 4.50
 Berlin              Germany              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         19.00                     26.81                 5.00
 Düsseldorf          Germany              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         23.00                     32.46                 5.20
 Frankfurt           Germany              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         30.00                     42.34                 5.20
 Hamburg             Germany              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         22.00                     31.05                 4.70
 Munich              Germany              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         27.50                     38.81                 4.50
 Stuttgart           Germany              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         19.00                     26.81                 5.40
 Athens*             Greece               SM       EUR      Month           0.79         13.00                     18.35                 7.75
 Budapest*           Hungary              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         12.50                     17.64                 7.75
 Dublin              Ireland              SM       EUR      Month           0.79         20.00                     28.23                 7.50
 Milan               Italy                SM      EUR       Month           0.79         40.00                     56.45                 5.50
 Rome                Italy                SM       EUR      Month           0.79         29.00                     40.93                 5.85

 Riga                Latvia               SM      EUR       Month           0.79         12.00                     16.94                 8.00
 Vilnius             Lithuania            SM      EUR       Month           0.79         13.50                     19.05                 8.50

 Amsterdam           Netherlands          SM      EUR       Month           0.79         17.80                     25.12                 6.65

* Rents reflect combined A and B Class.

p. 9 | Colliers International
trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL



 local measure / currency cbd rents

                                                                                             cbd rent               cbd rent us
                                                   MEASURE                                local currency          dollars/sq ft/yr
                                                                                                                             Average   cbd cap
                                                                        exchange        AVERAGE       AVERAGE     Average    class a      rate
                                                    quoted     TIME     rate (USD)      class a        class a    class a     Gross     / prime
 MARKET              COUNTRY                unit   currency   PERIOD   JUNE 30, 2012    net rent     gross rent   net rent     rent    yield (%)

 EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA (EMEA) continued

 Oslo                Norway                 SM       NOK       Year           5.96        3,250.00                   50.65                 5.50

 Warsaw*             Poland                 SM       EUR      Month           0.79          22.20                    31.33                 6.50

 Lisbon              Portugal               SM       EUR      Month           0.79          15.21                    21.47                 8.00
 Bucharest*          Romania                SM       EUR      Month           0.79          15.00                    21.17                 8.00

 Moscow*             Russia                 SM       USD      Month           1.00          75.00                    83.58                 9.50

 Saint Petersburg    Russia                 SM       USD      Month           1.00          33.00                    36.78                10.00

 Jeddah              Saudi Arabia           SM       SAR       Year           3.75         934.00                    23.13

 Riyadh              Saudi Arabia           SM       SAR       Year           3.75        1,130.00                   27.99                10.00
 Belgrade*           Serbia                 SM       EUR      Month           0.79          15.50                    21.87                 9.00

 Bratislava*         Slovakia               SM       EUR      Month           0.79          11.00                    15.52                 7.50

 Madrid              Spain                  SM       EUR      Month           0.79          23.50                    33.17                 5.90

 Stockholm           Sweden                 SM       SEK       Year           6.92        4,600.00                   61.74                 4.75

 Geneva              Switzerland            SM       CHF      Month           0.95          54.17                    63.70                 4.25

 Zurich              Switzerland            SM       CHF      Month           0.95          40.00                    47.04                 4.00
 Istanbul            Turkey                 SM       USD      Month           1.00          28.67                    31.95                 7.00

 Kyiv*               Ukraine                SM       USD      Month           1.00          23.00                    25.63                12.00

 Abu Dhabi           United Arab Emirates   SM       USD      Month           1.00          30.46                    33.95

 Dubai               United Arab Emirates   SM       USD      Month           1.00          32.90                    36.67                10.00

 Belfast             United Kingdom         SF       GBP       Year           0.64          12.50                    19.63                 6.25

 Birmingham          United Kingdom         SF       GBP       Year           0.64          21.00                    32.98                 6.00
 Bristol             United Kingdom         SF       GBP       Year           0.64          24.00                    37.70                 6.25

 Edinburgh           United Kingdom         SF       GBP       Year           0.64          21.00                    32.98                 6.00

 Glasgow             United Kingdom         SF       GBP       Year           0.64          23.00                    36.12                 6.00
 London – City       United Kingdom         SF       GBP       Year           0.64          48.50                    76.18                 5.25
 London – West End   United Kingdom         SF       GBP       Year           0.64          80.00                   125.65                 4.00

 Manchester          United Kingdom         SF       GBP       Year           0.64          22.00                    34.55                 6.00

 LATIN AMERICA

 Buenos Aires        Argentina              SM       USD      Month           1.00          30.70       35.75        34.21     39.84       9.00

 Rio de Janeiro      Brazil                 SM       BRL      Month           2.01         163.00      186.50        90.40    103.43      10.25

 São Paulo           Brazil                 SM       BRL      Month           2.01         114.50      137.00        63.50     75.98      10.25

 Bogotá              Colombia               SM       USD      Month           1.00          33.00       36.20        36.78     40.34       8.25

 San José            Costa Rica             SM       USD      Month           1.00          17.75       19.48        19.78     21.71      10.76

 Mexico City         Mexico                 SM       USD      Month           1.00          28.00       31.00        31.20     34.55       9.00

 Panama City         Panama                 SM       USD       Year           1.00          20.00       24.00         1.86      2.23       9.50

 Lima                Peru                   SM       USD      Month           1.00          20.00       20.60        22.29     22.96      12.50

 north AMERICA
 Calgary, AB         Canada                 SF       CAD       Year           1.02          42.62       62.00        41.92     60.98       5.50
 Edmonton, AB        Canada                 SF       CAD       Year           1.02          23.20       41.44        22.82     40.76

* Rents reflect combined A and B Class.	

p. 10 | Colliers International
trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL



 local measure / currency cbd rents
                                                                                       cbd rent              cbd rent us
                                              MEASURE                               local currency         dollars/sq ft/yr
                                                                                                                                cbd cap
                                                                                                                      average     rate
                                                                   exchange       AVERAGE      AVERAGE     average    class a   / prime
                                               quoted     TIME     rate (usd)     class a       class a    class a     gross     yield
 MARKET                COUNTRY         unit   currency   PERIOD   JUNE 30, 2012   net rent    gross rent   net rent     rent       (%)
 Guelph, ON            Canada          SF       CAD       Year           1.02         11.47       23.10       11.28     22.72    7.25
 Halifax, NS           Canada          SF       CAD       Year           1.02         17.03       32.36       16.75     31.83

 Montréal, QC          Canada          SF       CAD       Year           1.02         23.18       42.00       22.80     41.31    6.50
 Ottawa, ON            Canada          SF       CAD       Year           1.02         26.79       49.30       26.35     48.49    6.95
 Regina, SK            Canada          SF       CAD       Year           1.02         24.70       40.40       24.30     39.74    7.00
 Saskatoon, SK         Canada          SF       CAD       Year           1.02         25.00       38.00       24.59     37.38    7.00
 Toronto, ON           Canada          SF       CAD       Year           1.02         29.20       58.40       28.63     57.25

 Vancouver, BC         Canada          SF       CAD       Year           1.02         35.10       55.00       34.53     54.10    4.75
 Victoria, BC          Canada          SF       CAD       Year           1.02         22.00       36.00       21.64     35.41    6.00
 Waterloo Region, ON   Canada          SF       CAD       Year           1.02         13.65       25.28       13.43     24.87    7.25
 Atlanta, GA           United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         11.49       22.99       11.49     22.99    7.80
 Bakersfield, CA       United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00          9.31       17.40        9.31     17.40

 Baltimore, MD         United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         12.22       23.22       12.22     23.22

 Birmingham, AL        United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         20.92       20.92       20.92     20.92

 Boise, ID             United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         14.71       20.71       14.71     20.71

 Boston, MA            United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         25.63       45.63       25.63     45.63    6.00
 Charleston, SC        United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         20.09       30.09       20.09     30.09    8.00
 Charlotte, NC         United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         23.80       23.80       23.80     23.80

 Chicago, IL           United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         16.85       37.35       16.85     37.35    6.50
 Cincinnati, OH        United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         13.72       23.22       13.72     23.22    9.75
 Cleveland, OH         United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         22.00       22.00       22.00     22.00

 Columbia, SC          United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         19.39       19.39       19.39     19.39

 Columbus, OH          United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         11.23       19.89       11.23     19.89

 Dallas/Fort Worth,    United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         15.00       25.00       15.00     25.00
 TX
 Denver, CO            United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         13.71       29.56       13.71     29.56    6.50

 Detroit, MI           United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         23.63       23.63       23.63     23.63   12.00

 Fresno, CA            United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         15.90       24.00       15.90     24.00    9.00
 Ft. Lauderdale-       United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         17.58       31.08       17.58     31.08
 Broward, FL
 Grand Rapids, MI      United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         11.38       19.33       11.38     19.33    9.25
 Hartford, CT          United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         10.40       22.90       10.40     22.90

 Honolulu, HI          United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         18.48       35.16       18.48     35.16

 Houston, TX           United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         36.80       36.80       36.80     36.80

 Indianapolis, IN      United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         11.55       19.05       11.55     19.05    8.00
 Jacksonville, FL      United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00          9.54       19.44        9.54     19.44

 Kansas City, MO       United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         11.04       19.04       11.04     19.04

 Las Vegas, NV         United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         19.84       30.84       19.84     30.84
 Little Rock, AR       United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00          8.89       15.59        8.89     15.59    9.50
 Los Angeles, CA       United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         20.36       36.36       20.36     36.36    6.90
 Louisville, KY        United States   SF       USD       Year           1.00         19.06       19.06       19.06     19.06




p. 11 | Colliers International
trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL



 local measure / currency cbd rents
                                                                                              cbd rent              cbd rent us
                                                       MEASURE                             local currency         dollars/sq ft/yr
                                                                                                                                        cbd cap
                                                                                                                             average      rate
                                                                            exchange     AVERAGE      AVERAGE     average    class a    / prime
                                                        quoted     time     rate (usd) class a net     class a    class a     gross      yield
 MARKET                         COUNTRY         unit   currency   period   JUNE 30, 2012   rent      gross rent   net rent     rent        (%)

 NORTH AMERICA continued
 Memphis, TN                    United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00          8.26       16.71       8.26       16.71
 Miami-Dade, FL                 United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         24.73       40.23      24.73       40.23
 Milwaukee, WI                  United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00          8.57       19.60       8.57       19.60
 Minneapolis, MN                United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00          5.48       15.25       5.48       15.25
 Nashville, TN                  United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         21.77       21.77      21.77       21.77     6.50
 New York, NY - Downtown        United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         23.14        47.62     23.14       47.62     5.00
 Manhattan

 New York, NY - Midtown         United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         35.80        70.34     35.80       70.34     4.70
 Manhattan

 New York, NY - Midtown South   United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         25.87        47.26      25.87      47.26     4.90
 Manhattan

 Oakland, CA                    United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         17.80        31.80      17.80      31.80     7.50

 Oklahoma City, OK              United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         17.78        17.78      17.78      17.78

 Omaha, NE                      United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         10.88        19.88      10.88      19.88

 Orlando, FL                    United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         13.23        24.23      13.23      24.23     8.50
 Philadelphia, PA               United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         14.86        26.50      14.86      26.50     8.00
 Phoenix, AZ                    United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         10.70        23.70      10.70      23.70

 Pittsburgh, PA                 United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         11.86        22.61      11.86      22.61     8.26

 Portland, OR                   United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         14.74        24.74      14.74      24.74

 Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill,
                                United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         23.41        23.41      23.41      23.41
 NC

 Reno, NV                       United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         21.73        21.73     21.73       21.73

 Sacramento, CA                 United States   SF       USD       Year         1.00         25.39        32.64      25.39      32.64

 San Diego, CA                  United States    SF      USD       Year         1.00         13.82        28.68      13.82      28.68

 San Francisco, CA              United States    SF      USD       Year         1.00         24.71        44.81     24.71       44.81     5.60
 San Jose - Silicon Valley      United States    SF      USD      Year          1.00         16.61       33.11      16.61       33.11
 Savannah, GA                   United States    SF      USD      Year          1.00         12.15       19.15      12.15       19.15     9.50
 Seattle/Puget Sound, WA        United States    SF      USD      Year          1.00         20.61       30.63      20.61       30.63     6.20
 St. Louis, MO                  United States    SF      USD      Year          1.00          6.97       17.47       6.97       17.47     9.75
 St. Paul, MN                   United States    SF      USD      Year          1.00          4.08       13.17       4.08       13.17
 Stamford, CT                   United States    SF      USD      Year          1.00         25.34       38.84      25.34       38.84     8.00
 Stockton, CA                   United States    SF      USD      Year          1.00         16.88       20.64      16.88       20.64     8.50
 Tampa Bay, FL                  United States    SF      USD      Year          1.00         14.15       23.15      14.15       23.15     8.00
 Walnut Creek/Pleasanton, CA    United States    SF      USD      Year          1.00         27.60       27.60      27.60       27.60     8.00
 Washington DC                  United States    SF      USD      Year          1.00         31.19       53.19      31.19       53.19     5.75
 West Palm Beach/Palm Beach
 County, FL
                                United States    SF      USD      Year          1.00         22.25       37.25      22.25       37.25     8.50

 White Plains, NY               United States    SF      USD      Year          1.00         18.26       32.06      18.26       32.06     8.00




p. 12 | Colliers International
trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL

Glossary

Class A Gross Rent – The average rent quoted per       Quoted Currency – The currency quoted locally in
square foot per annum for Class A office building      all lease transactions. Not necessarily national         522 offices in
within the CBD plus additional costs such as
property taxes, service charges or operating
                                                       currency. (Note: Chile utilizes Unidad de Fomento,
                                                       which equals USD 24.30)
                                                                                                                62 countries on
expenses.                                              Time Period – The standard way in which leases           6 continents
Class A Net Rent – The average rent quoted per         are quoted. Usually on a per month or per year
                                                                                                                United States: 147
square foot per annum for a Class A office building    basis.
                                                                                                                Canada: 37
within the CBD.                                        Existing Inventory – Existing office floor space         Latin America: 19
                                                       (Classes A, B and C) within each city’s CBD (central     EMEA: 118
Class A (Prime) Buildings – Most prestigious
                                                                                                                Asia Pacific: 201
building competing for premier office users with       business district).
rents above average for the area. Buildings have                                                               •	$1.8   billion in annual revenue
                                                       Under Construction – The total office floor space
high quality standard for finishes, state-of-the-art   (Classes A, B and C) within each city’s CBD (central        billion square feet under
                                                                                                               •	1.25

systems, exceptional accessibility and a definite                                                               management
                                                       business district) which is under construction, but
market presence.                                       not yet completed, giving an indication of the          •	More   than 12,300 professionals
Characterized by: Prime central locations; first-      development pipeline for each market. This includes
class tenant improvements; on-site parking; state      both available and pre-let floor space.                 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
of the art elevators and HVAC systems; concrete        Unit – The normal convention locally in which area      601 Union Street, Suite 4800
and steel construction; contemporary design and        is measured. Usually on a per square foot or per        Seattle, WA 98101
architecture; high quality of upkeep and               square meter basis.                                     tel +1 206 695 4200
maintenance; ability to command a premium rent
                                                       Vacancy Rate (%) – The percentage of the inventory
within the relevant market. The Class A building
                                                       (total completed office floor space, Classes A, B and   regional authors/contributors
designation implies that the size of the building is
                                                       C, within the CBD) which is unoccupied.
“significant” in accordance with the market.                                                                   James Cook (U.S.)
                                                                                                               Jeff Simonson (U.S.)
                                                                                                               KC Conway (U.S.)
                                                                                                               Cliff Plank (U.S.)
GLOBAL RESEARCH CONTACTS                                                                                       Flavio Gómez Aranzubia (Mexico)
                                                                                                               Zuzanna Baranowska (EMEA)
> Americas                                             > ASIA PACIFIC                                          Mark Charlton (U.K.)
                                                                                                               Dr. Walter Boettcher (U.K)
James Cook                                             Simon Lo                                                Yumiko Yasada (Japan)
USA                                                    Asia                                                    Simon Lo (Asia)
james.cook@colliers.com                                simon.lo@colliers.com                                   Nerida Conisbee (Austrialia)
                                                                                                               Ian MacCulloch (Canada)
KC Conway                                              Nerida Conisbee                                         Alan McMahon (New Zealand)
USA                                                    Australia/New Zealand                                   Chia Siew-Chuin (Singapore)
kc.conway@colliers.com                                 nerida.conisbee@colliers.com                            Arthur Yim (Hong Kong)
                                                                                                               Damian Harrington (CEE)
                                                                                                               Carlby Xie (North China)
> Europe, Middle East and Africa                       Amit Oberoi
                                                       India                                                   Lauren Chlebowski | Global Brand Designer
Mark Charlton                                          amit.oberoi@colliers.com
United Kingdom
mark.charlton@colliers.com
                                                       Yumiko Yasuda
Bruno Berretta                                         Japan                                                   Copyright © 2012 Colliers International.
EMEA                                                   yumiko.yasuda@colliers.com                              The information contained herein has been obtained
bruno.berretta@colliers.com                                                                                    from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable
                                                                                                               effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot
Damian Harrington                                                                                              guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any
                                                                                                               inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their
Eastern Europe                                                                                                 professional advisors prior to acting on any of the
damian.harrington@colliers.com                                                                                 material contained in this report.




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Colliers Global Office Report

  • 1. 2012 | office GLOBAL office 2013 OUTLOOK GLOBAL OFFICE MARKETS SHOW STABILITY IN THE FACE OF HEADWINDS The global economy has seen recent headwinds from the smoldering eurozone debt crisis, slowing growth in GLOBAL CAPITALIZATION RATES / PRIMe YIELDS: 10 Lowest cities China’s economy and the forecasted American fiscal cliff. Yet our overall global view of office real estate is moderately positive. While many large occupiers have taken a wait-and-see attitude toward the global economy, CBD CAP RATE (%) others are leasing up much-needed space to accommodate expanding operations. Quality office buildings in MARKET (Ranked by JUNE DEC JUNE major global cities are seeing consistent demand from both occupiers and investors. June 2012) 2012 2011 2011 Taipei 2.50 2.60 2.80 • ●U.S. is showing gradually lowering vacancy rates. Canada’s office market continues to perform well Hong Kong 2.67 2.94 3.22 and is seeing notable development activity in major markets. Office absorption has been largely driven Vienna 3.50 3.50 3.50 by Intellectual Capital, Energy and Education (ICEE) sectors. Singapore 3.90 4.20 4.30 • Mexico and Brazil report slightly higher vacancies, due to a combination of speculative construction and London - West End 4.00 4.00 4.00 slackening economic growth. Yet São Paulo still boasts the ultra-low vacancy rate of 3.3%. Zurich 4.00 4.10 4.10 • Average Central Business District (CBD) office rents remained broadly unchanged across key EMEA Geneva 4.25 4.25 4.00 markets, but this has been a result of limited supply more than increased demand. Business confidence Beijing 4.31 4.32 5.93 across Europe is firmly negative, which does not bode well for the next year of activity. Paris 4.50 4.50 4.50 • China’s slowing growth has dampened office demand in some Asian markets. Beijing’s office market Munich 4.50 4.50 4.50 Tokyo 4.50 4.50 4.60 remains healthy, but appeared lackluster when compared to an extremely active 2011. GLOBAL OFFICE OCCUPANCY COSTS: Top Three Markets by Region: June 2012 Cap Rate (%) TOP 10 CITIES Asia Pacific 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 CLASS A / NET RENT (USD/SF/YR) EMEA Taipei 2.50 MARKET (Ranked by JUNE DEC JUNE Hong Kong 2.67 June 2012) 2012 2011 2011 North America Vienna 3.50 Hong Kong 166.70 178.34 185.91 Latin America Singapore 3.90 London – West End 125.65 120.31 124.50 Zurich 4.00 Tokyo* 106.01 110.17 104.91 London - West End 4.00 Rio de Janeiro 90.40 93.05 85.70 New York, NY - Midtown Manhattan 4.70 Paris 87.50 87.23 97.73 Vancouver, BC 4.75 Moscow 83.58 75.78 64.64 London – City 76.18 75.29 77.97 New York, NY - Midtown South Manhattan 4.90 Perth 75.77 73.85 74.74 Buenos Aires 9.00 Geneva 63.70 65.31 72.83 Mexico City 9.00 São Paulo 63.50 63.43 71.42 Rio de Janeiro 10.25 *Tokyo rents listed are gross rents. www.colliers.com
  • 2. trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL GLOBAL 2013 FORECAST: Office Demand Outlook Arrows • Expect only modest improvement in North American office vacancy rates over the next two years, with the exception of a few strong ICEE markets. • Central and Eastern Europe are feeling the effects of economic stagnation. Office demand to remain stable Greater certainty in the eurozone is still some ways away, although a continued improvement in activity is expected by mid-2013. • Rents in UK regional markets should remain stable due to the lack of Grade A Office demand to increase space. Most markets will reach a ‘tipping point’ by mid-2013 at which time further rental growth is expected. • The outlook for the Beijing office property market, especially in the Class A Office demand to decrease sector, should continue to be positive; with investment market in the office property sector to also remain strong. > UNITED STATES OFFICE DEMAND DRIVEN BY TECH, ENERGY However, the fate of the office vacancy rate does not merely depend upon an Intellectual Capital, Energy and Education (ICEE) markets continue to generate a increase in office workers; new construction also plays a role in the calculation. disproportionate share of office absorption in the US, and nine of the 10 US As a result, the 2012 vacancy rate’s drop below 15% is not likely to be bettered markets with the highest Q2 absorption have strong ICEE industries, led by by a 14% vacancy rate in 2013. Look for only modest improvement in office Houston, Oklahoma City and Boston. The average vacancy rate was 140 basis vacancy rates over the next two years. points lower in ICEE-dominated markets. > RESOURCES SUPPORTING CANADIAN DEMAND, BOND RATES For the first time in nearly five years, in Q1 2012, the US office vacancy rate DRIVING INVESTMENT Observers expect continued slow and steady dropped below 15%. The rate continued to decline by 13 basis points to 14.29% economic performance, with no exceptional wins or losses on the radar for in Q2. New supply is delivered to the market at approximately the same pace as Canada. The divide between the east and west is firmly entrenched, with the the trailing five-quarter average. With 38.4 million square feet of new construction energy and mining sectors driving stronger results in Alberta, Saskatchewan still underway, additions to supply will impede improvement in occupancy or and British Columbia. Ontario and Quebec will post more moderate growth, as rental rates over the next four to eight quarters. the economy in the United States gradually improves, exports gather speed and the manufacturing sector recovers. United States: 2013 Outlook CBD office buildings are outperforming the suburbs as companies consolidate Canada: 2013 Outlook operations into the central core of Metropolitan Service Areas (MSAs), and this Economic growth will be impacted by a retraction of government stimulus trend will continue in 2013. Large spaces are in stronger demand as a result of spending and weakening consumer activity as household debt curtails retail this consolidation. As in 2012, landlords will be able to increase rents for large sales growth. The fundamentals of all major office markets continue to be very space users at lease renewal. solid, with the national vacancy rate under 6%. Demand for office space will be muted in the east, while resource-oriented western markets continue to be hot. Professional and business service employment accounted for approximately one-third of the monthly job growth in 2012, averaging 150,000 per month. As a result, 2012 should end with a steady performance, with a further pick-up in Top 10 Office Markets with the Most SPACE Victoria 6%  4.75% $34.53 Vancouver 5.5% $41.92 Calgary Under Construction (Square Feet) $21.64 6.2% $20.61 Seattle MARKET JUNE 2012 Montreal 6.5% $22.80 São Paulo 14,641,067  Tokyo 11,325,147 6% New York- 4.7% Boston $25.63 Midtown $35.80 6.5% $16.85 New York- Downtown  5% $23.14 4.9% $25.87 New York- Midtown South Beijing 9,827,581 5.6% $24.71 6.5% Chicago Jakarta 9,228,884 San Francisco $13.71 Average Class A Denver Net Rents and Mexico City 8,481,452 Cap Rates – June 2012 Rio de Janeiro 7,661,260 7.8%  $100 or more $11.49 Shanghai 5,480,466 Atlanta  $50 to $100 New York, NY -  $25 to $50 Downtown Manhattan 5,200,000  0% $36.8  less than $25 Panama City 4,226,862 Houston N/A Singapore 3,896,532 Rents are US$/SF/YR. p. 2 | Colliers International
  • 3. trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL growth commencing in 2013. The investment market will continue to be very active while bond rates remain low and investors turn to real estate as a safe yield- producing investment. Key risks on the Canadian radar are the fragile condition of Europe, the U.S. Fiscal Cliff and slowing growth in resource-hungry emerging economies. > MEXICO’S ECONOMIC GROWTH DRIVES OFFICE DEMAND AND  9% $31.20 Mexico City CONSTRUCTION Mexico City saw the construction of more than 2.1 million square feet of office space in the first half of 2012, which has pushed up overall vacancy rates. 893,405 square feet were absorbed in the first quarter of 2012 and more than 1.9 million square feet in the second. This 100% increase in market activity is to some extent due to the addition of buildings with pre-leased space to the inventory. It is worth noting that even with increased inventory, average rental rates did not show significant fluctuations and remained relatively stable. Average Class A Net Rents Mexico: 2013 Outlook and Cap Rates – June 2012 The Mexican economy will continue to advance at a steady pace, with employment and wages showing slight increases and a GDP growth rate that is expected to reach 3.7% by the end of 2012, and continue this trajectory in 2013. The recently elected Institutional Revolutionary Party presidential candidate Enrique Peña Nieto  $100 or more 10.25% $90.40 will push for some energy and labor reforms, however the initiatives of the new administration should not significantly shift Mexico’s growth trajectory.  $50 to $100 Rio de Janeiro  > SÃO PAULO BOASTS LOW VACANCY, ALTHOUGH ABSORPTION HAS MODERATED Brazil’s dynamic economy of recent years has contributed to a new  $25 to $50 less than $25  9% $34.21 Buenos Aires global perception of Brazil as a hub for investment and capital. The cities of Rio de N/A Janeiro and São Paulo have a combined Class A office inventory of more than 26 million square feet and Rio de Janeiro has no room for new buildings in its downtown. The average vacancy across both cities is 6.8%. Rio de Janeiro’s vacancy is 10.4% while São Paulo’s is only 3.3%. Brazil: 2013 Outlook Despite low vacancy rates, there has been some moderation in office demand. The average asking lease prices decreased by 0.7% from Q1 to Q2 2012 in São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro. Net absorption in Q2 was the lowest it has been since the third quarter of 2009. Therefore, we predict slackening demand and limited supply will Rental rate changes are calculated using period US$ exchange rates and may reflect provide only a slight increase in occupancy and rental rates through 2013. fluctuations in currency exchanges. Rents are US$/SF/YR. São Paolo Skyline p. 3 | Colliers International
  • 4. trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL > LOW CONFIDENCE FOR EMEA BUSINESSES, BUT BRIGHT SPOTS PERSIST The first half of 2012 was Average Class A Net Rents dominated by economic stagnation across Europe. The eurozone contracted by 0.2% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 12 and re-entered technical recession in Q3 12 with a 0.1% q/q and Cap Rates – June 2012 4.75% $61.74 Stockholm contraction. Central and Eastern Europe are feeling the  $100 or more effects. Positive indicators for H1 12 in Germany and France have given way to more sobering numbers with  $50 to $100  5% $20.56 Copenhagen manufacturing and service purchasing manager indices suggesting a further period of economic uncertainty and  $25 to $50  4.7% $31.05 5% stagnation. Both economies expanded by a modest 0.2% q/q in Q3 12 and this was not enough to counter balance  less than $25  4% $125.65 London Hamburg $26.81 Berlin contractions in the eurozone periphery N/A  4.5%   $87.50 4.5% 3.5% 4% $38.81 $26.11 EMEA: 2013 Outlook Paris  $47.04 4.25% Munich Vienna Average CBD office rents remain broadly unchanged across $63.70 Zurich key EMEA markets; in most cases this has been the result of Geneva limited supply, rather than robust demand. A 13% y/y drop in the volume of investment transactions was recorded across Europe in the first part of 2012. Despite sagging business confidence across EMEA, Q3 12 transaction levels saw a Rental rate changes are calculated using period US$ exchange rates and may reflect fluctuations in currency exchanges Rents are US$/SF/YR. modest rise, although the increase is lagging better results in across AsiaPac and the Americas. Greater certainty in the eurozone is still some United Kingdom: 2013 Outlook ways away, although a continued improvement in activity is expected by mid-2013. Rents in UK regional markets should remain stable due to the lack of Grade A space. Speculative construction has been absent from these markets since 2008 and this > UNITED KINGDOM STILL SEEN AS SAFE ENVIRONMENT FOR REAL trend is projected to continue. Most markets will reach a ‘tipping point’ by mid-2013 ESTATE INVESTMENT Despite the fact that the UK economy saw a surge in Q3 at which time further rental growth is expected. Rents in Central London will also 12, the economy will finish the year on a weaker note. Nevertheless, relative political come under upward pressure with the West End market set to see new historical and economic stability continues to augment the perception of Britain as a ‘safe highs for prime rents. haven’ for direct investment in real estate. As a eurozone outsider, the UK has benefited, attracting strong capital flows not only from eurozone countries, but also > SUSTAINED DEMAND IN GERMAN OFFICE MARKET After a mild from North America, Asia, and the Middle East. Prime office yields are stable at contraction in Q4 11, the German economy bounced back with GDP growth in Q1 12 around 4% in London’s West End and between 5% and 5.25% in the City. reaching 0.5% q/q. Since then the growth rate has tapered off to 0.2% q/q in Q3 12. The exposure of German banks to the Spanish property market remains a worrying London remains the top European office investment market with a 20%+ y/y factor, but export growth is also a worry as world trade has slowed. increase in sales volume in H1 12. The vacancy rate in Central London was stable between H2 11 and H2 12 at 6.9%. Several UK markets have seen disappointing Take-up in the six main German office markets stood at approximately 13.9 million take-up levels so far in 2012, although London’s West End has seen an increase in square feet in the first half of 2012, which represents a 9% y/y decline. Nevertheless, pre-leasing activity and rents are still climbing. the overall vacancy rate fell from 9.7% in H1 11 to 8.4% in 2012. Demand from Helsinki at dusk p. 4 | Colliers International
  • 5. trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL professional services firms has been steady and may explain some of the notable rental increases; there have been sustained lettings of higher-priced space in central locations. The two most expensive locations for office investment remain Hamburg with prime yields of 4.7% and Munich at 4.5%. These low yields are a result of high demand for a limited amount of new supply. Investors remain focused on these markets due to continued good turnover figures, but also these market have a degree of safe haven status as leading markets in what is perceived as the most stable member of the eurozone. Germany: 2013 Outlook Considering the economic environment, the German office leasing market has held up well and will remain stable in 2013. Underlying leasing demand, together with current rental contract negotiations, suggest some modest growth in take-up volumes. Investors will continue to look for opportunities across the German markets and prices are expected to remain stable. > FRENCH OFFICE MARKET IN STATE OF EQUILIBRIUM, YET FEARS REMAIN Against an unsettled economic backdrop, the core sectors of France’s commercial real estate market have proven resilient. While supply and demand appear to be in equilibrium, fears of new imbalances are linked to expectations of further economic deterioration. Take-up of office space in Île-de-France has held up well and stood at over 10 million square feet in the first half of 2012. This number was down only slightly year-over-year. Transactions involving small units maintained pace, but leasing transactions for medium-sized suites are down significantly. The supply of new and second-generation office space (available within a year) declined by 11% in the past six months. Rental rates have stabilized in high-quality buildings. However, a correction in rental values for lower-quality, second-generation space in the future may develop. Commercial property commitments in France in the first half of 2012 represented a year-over-year increase of 18%. Transactional evidence suggests no significant change in office yields which, on the best properties, range from 4.5 to 5.5% in the Paris CBD. Paris is also seeing safe haven investment due to its status as an important international financial node. London, England France: 2013 Outlook The trend of shrinking office space availability is expected to be reversed as a current political instability is also a factor. However, the majority of eastern European number of new construction projects complete in 2013. Despite increased supply, countries are expected to post positive GDP growth in 2012; the regional economy the market is expected to remain stable, provided no unforeseen economic setbacks as a whole is expected to grow by 2.7%. Poland, Russia and Turkey, alongside occur. International investors will continue to track Paris for new opportunities. dynamic economies such as Latvia, are helping drive growth in the region. > INVESTOR DEMAND KEEPS OFFICE YIELDS LOW IN CORE NORDIC In line with a decline in economic conditions, office space demand contracted by MARKETS The Nordic growth rates (2013 GDP forecasts range from 1.4% to 2.1%) 24% compared to leasing activity in 2011. Almost all markets were below the are relatively strong when seen against core European markets. AAA credit ratings demand levels seen in the second half of 2011, with the exceptions of Warsaw, for Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden have supported the perception that Prague and Zagreb. Nevertheless, rents have remained stable across the region, Nordic markets are safe destinations for capital. with a notable 10.3% increase recorded in Moscow. The volume of investment transactions also fell in comparison to the same period of 2011, mainly as a result of Office investors have shown great appetite for property in primary locations, reduced debt finance availability. This has kept transactions focused on the larger, pushing up the yield spread between primary and secondary Nordic markets. The more liquid Polish and Russian markets. number of investment transactions has been increasing. Denmark and Sweden in particular have seen a higher volume of cross-border transactions. CEE: 2013 Outlook We expect the transaction trend focusing investment on larger, more liquid markets (mentioned above) will continue over the next 12 months. We also expect to see Nordics: 2013 Outlook subdued activity from both demand and supply in the near term, with continued A modest increase in investment activity is expected in 2013, particularly divergence in activity by geography. Market uncertainty combined with restricted concentrated in primary Nordic markets and from international investors; a shift in construction finance availability will continue to constrain new supply. This should preference among tenants to cost-effective, modern and green office buildings is keep vacancy rates at current levels in most markets. also likely. Leasing markets will remain stable. > CEE SEES LOWER OFFICE DEMAND DESPITE POSITIVE ECONOMY > SOUTHERN EUROPE’S RENTS STILL FALLING; MIDDLE EAST Although, the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) region is showing more economic HAMPERED BY OVERSUPPLY There was further weakening in the headline- growth than Western Europe, the region is vulnerable to Western European grabbing markets of Southern Europe. Athens saw a 7.1% decrease in asking rents economic performance. This has been very apparent in Hungary and the Czech and Madrid recorded a 2.1% fall. Vienna saw a slight increase in CBD rental levels Republic whose economies both contracted over the first half of 2012. Both in the first half of 2012, while the rents in the Benelux markets recorded no changes. countries are very dependent on trade with the western European core, although Geneva saw a marginal fall in rents. A decrease in rents is expected in Swiss p. 5 | Colliers International
  • 6. trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL Major Office Markets with the Largest Period Change in Rent “ The unresolved European debt crisis and slowing QUOTED UNITS OF TIME JUNE DEC MARKET CURRENCY MEASUREMENT PERIOD 2012 2011 CHANGE economic growth in China have eroded Hong Kong’s Jakarta IDR SM Month 242,192.00 174,249.00 39.0% Bogotá USD SM Month 33.00 27.40 20.4% economic growth prospects. Calgary, AB CAD SF Year 42.62 36.00 18.4% Inflationary pressure Chicago, IL USD SF Year 16.85 14.50 16.2% from the third round of Denver, CO USD SF Year 13.71 12.19 12.5% US quantitative easing is Moscow USD SM Month 75.00 68.00 10.3% expected to push up real Stuttgart EUR SM Month 19.00 17.50 8.6% São Paulo BRL SM Month 114.50 106.00 8.0% estate values, where the Buenos Aires USD SM Month 30.70 28.60 7.3% local currency is pegged to Beijing CNY SM Month 336.11 313.69 7.1% the US dollar.” * - Change in rent as measured in local currency, unit of measurement and time period. markets, due to poor demand levels; the strength of the local currency is impacting headquarters and Danone Group’s securing of 76,435 square feet at Kerry Parkside. business activity substantially. Switzerland and Austria also saw significant declines in office investment activity in comparison to the first half of 2011. Average gross yields in Shanghai’s Class A office sector declined to 5.8% during the third quarter, a decrease of 10 basis points from the previous quarter. Southern Europe: 2013 Outlook Further falls in rental levels are expected. With low occupational demand and Shanghai: 2013 Outlook creeping investment volumes, prime office yields will continue to soften further in The limited number of recent land transactions indicate that developers still remain Athens, Milan, Madrid and Rome. The largest increase in 2012 was recorded in cautious about making land acquisitions for further commercial development. Lisbon, at 50 basis points. > BEIJING OFFICE MARKET SEES NARROWING AVAILABILITY Despite Across the Middle East, political and economic uncertainty continues to translate weak economic performance in many developed economies, Beijing, as the capital into poor performance in local real estate markets, with low demand from both of China, will continue to attract overseas and domestic enterprises as they establish tenants and investors. A further weakening of the Cairo market was noticeable, as or expand their offices. Beijing’s overall office property market was stable in the first well as major declines in rents in the main office markets of UAE and Saudi Arabia, half of 2012. The disequilibrium between supply and demand remained unchanged where significant oversupply was the cause. as new completion was limited, leading to a continued narrowing availability across the board. > OFFICE DEMAND FROM FINANCIAL AND MAINLAND COMPANIES IN HONG KONG The unresolved European debt crisis and slowing economic growth in China have eroded Hong Kong’s economic growth prospects. Inflationary pressure 4.32% from the third round of US quantitative easing is expected to push up real estate $58.94 4.5% values, where the local currency is pegged to the US dollar. Beijing $106.01 Tokyo Office rents showed signs of stabilization in 3Q 2012 due largely to the solid demand 2.5% from a range of medium-sized financial companies and the support of mainland 2.67% $27.64 enterprises. Leasing demand was soft in the city’s Class A office market. Overall net $166.70 Taipei absorption fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to 386,000 square feet in 3Q 2012. Hong Kong Hong Kong: 2013 Outlook Due to the limited supply of Class A office buildings for lease, the vacancy rate on 3.9% Hong Kong Island will remain low in 2013, with the exception of Central/ Admiralty, $63.35 where falling demand for top-tier office premises is anticipated to cause the vacancy Singapore rate to edge up further. Overall, the average vacancy rate will settle around its Average Class A Net Rents and Cap Rates – June 2012 historical average of 5% by the end of 2012. With the external uncertainties and tightening of mortgage lending criteria, $100 or more Brisbane investment sentiment in the office market weakened during 3Q 2012. The average yield of Hong Kong Class A offices compressed 20 basis points to 3.1% in July 2012. $50 to $100 7.5% $58.94 The decrease in Class A office yield reflected the strong demand for Class A offices $25 to $50 by investors. 6.9% Sydney $60.85 7.5% less than $25 Adelaide $36.13 7.32% > NEW OFFICE CONSTRUCTION AND PRELEASING ACTIVITY IN 7.06% $34.42 $47.35 SHANGHAI The average rental rate for Class A office space in Shanghai continues Market with gross-rent data only Canberra Melbourne to grow. Citywide, vacancy increased to 9.5% due to the launch of five new projects in the downtown area, including the high-profile L’Avenue and SOHO Century Avenue. A number of high-profile leases were signed, including Adidas’ 187,293 Rental rate changes are calculated using period US$ exchange rates and may reflect square feet in Shanghai International Commerce Center for their new China fluctuations in currency exchanges. Rents are US$/SF/YR. p. 6 | Colliers International
  • 7. trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL Although demand from both multinationals and domestic enterprises was firm, the Over 1.7 million square feet of new office space entered Seoul’s office market in the leasing market in the first half of 2012 appeared lackluster when compared to the first half of 2012, with the completion of the K Twin Tower in the Central Business extremely active year of 2011. The average net effective rent continued to climb, but District and three buildings in the Gangnam Business District (GBD). New supply is the growth momentum softened, associated with declining transaction volume. The expected to continue to edge up in the CBD and YBD. office property investment market was also active, evidenced by several transactions concluded during the review period. The vacancy rate for offices in Seoul fell 0.76% in the first half of 2012 to 6.97%. There was almost no vacancy in the area’s Class A+ office buildings, which had an Beijing: 2013 Outlook average vacancy rate of 0.11%. The average rent for an office in Seoul in the first The outlook for the Beijing office property market, especially in the Class A sector, half of 2012 increased by 4.46% over the previous period. The net absorption in should continue to be positive. However, negotiations between landlords and Seoul’s office market during 2Q 2012 increased remarkably from the previous tenants could become more elastic in the near term. The investment market in the quarter to nearly 1.6 million square feet. office property sector of Beijing will remain active. Seoul: 2013 Outlook > TOKYO OFFICE USERS TAKE ADVANTAGE OF OVERSUPPLY The Low supply, increased rental rates and a slight decrease in vacancy point to Tokyo Class A office market continues to experience frequent tenant relocations as moderate improvement in the Seoul market in 2013. However, new supply will keep occupiers take advantage of an oversupply by upgrading the quality of their office strong gains in rent or occupancy in check. space while reducing overall rents. Office development has been concentrated in three central wards of Tokyo, with 2012 marking the second-biggest year for new > SINGAPORE CLASS A CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT RENTS TO office construction since 2003. FALL The global economic environment has weighed down Singapore’s office Office properties in Tokyo’s central business districts and major cities are enjoying leasing activity, pushing average Class A gross rents in the CBD down by 5.4%. This the greatest interest from institutional investors, with more than 80% of investment represented a reversal of the rental growth trend that had been steadily gaining capital focused in the central six wards of Tokyo, according to data from RCA. More steam since the office market bottomed out in the end of 2009. than half of the total transaction volume in Japan is made up of office property sales. Tokyo ranked fourth globally in volume of office property transactions valued over Singapore: 2013 Outlook $10 million per asset in the past 12 months. Lowered office rents will improve Singapore’s competitive edge as a regional hub for business. Overall CBD office space vacancy rates inched down from 12.8% in Tokyo: 2013 Outlook December 2011 to 12.6% in June 2012. There is a threat of an impending supply Higher vacancy rates have accompanied the new supply from 2012, however overhang. In addition to the steady lineup of new office buildings that will be vacancy should begin to decline again soon. Class A rents are stabilizing, with some completed over the next four years, a substantial amount of secondary space could properties showing rental rate increases. Although average rents will decline be returned to the market upon lease expiration as existing tenants move to new slightly through the end of 2012, we project they will begin to increase moderately premises. CBD Class A office rents are expected to continue decline through 2013. in late 2013. > SLOWING ECONOMY REINS IN INDIAN OFFICE DEMAND India’s > SEOUL SEES DROPPING VACANCY DESPITE NEW OFFICE economic growth has slowed, a result of uncertainties in domestic policy, the CONSTRUCTION A number of Class A office buildings have come online in Seoul cumulative impact of monetary tightening and slackening of external demand. in the last year in both the Central Business District (CBD) and Yeouido Business Rental rates for Class A office space in Mumbai will remain stable across most District (YBD) . This construction came on the heels of the successful launch of the submarkets. In Delhi, Class A rents increased by 2% to 7% over the previous quarter International Finance Centre(IFC) in the Yeouido Business District’s (YBD) first in popular locations such as Connaught Place and Nehru Place, while 4% to 10% Class A office building in 2011. drops were seen in Jasola and Saket. Yokohama Skyline p. 7 | Colliers International
  • 8. trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL While construction activities remained moderate in Mumbai in Q2 2012, Dehli saw allocations to direct property. This means that the demand for prime assets is going fast-paced activity in a newly developed area near Delhi Airport named Aerocity. to become more competitive in 2013. However, the outlook for rental growth is more Two projects located at Aerocity, Aria Signature Office and IBIS Commercial Tower, limited. It is likely we will see some growth in Brisbane and Perth CBD rents, while developed by JW Marriot and IBIS Hotel respectively, added approximately 200,000 Melbourne and Sydney CBD rents remain flat in 2013. square feet of Class A space to the market. > NEW EARTHQUAKE POLICIES IN NEW ZEALAND HIT CBD OFFICE India: 2013 Outlook The implementation of earthquake-prone buildings policies has had a profound Going forward, the rental values for Class A office space are expected to remain effect on the New Zealand CBD office market over the last 12 months. The process stable in almost all Delhi and Mumbai submarkets. of obtaining an engineering evaluation while maintaining insurance has been an expensive exercise for institutions and private owners. Wellington has been hit the > FOREIGN INVESTORS ACCOUNT FOR HALF OF AUSTRALIAN hardest. PROPERTY PURCHASES The Australian economy continues to show signs of strength, with GDP growth of 3.7% recorded in the first nine months of 2012. This Leasing activity at the top end of the market has remained firm in Wellington as a relatively strong growth is no doubt a contributor to strong foreign interest in result of the growing number of office tenants looking to move away from buildings Australian property, with offshore purchasers now accounting for around a half of perceived to be earthquake-prone, and this has helped keep prime rentals buoyant. all purchases in 2012. However, the Auckland CBD office market has been the stronger performer of the two cities. Prime CBD office space remains tight in buildings around the CBD. Although economic growth is strong, the two-speed nature of Australia’s economy means that some office markets are performing far better than others from a tenant New Zealand: 2013 Outlook demand perspective. In particular, office markets in the resource-rich states of The economic climate in New Zealand remains muted over the next few years and Western Australia and Queensland are showing stronger rental growth than the the complexity surrounding the Wellington office market hinders any chance of larger economies of Victoria and New South Wales. However, investment patterns seeing sustained rental growth in the next few years. Less fortunate are owners of are not following leasing demand. Demand for office assets is higher in Sydney and the older Class C or even B buildings who face a nasty cocktail of decreasing value Melbourne CBDs, even though these cities are both seeing a decline in rents. and demand, along with increasing insurance costs. Auckland is more resilient, supported by job growth prospects and likely economic growth. Landlords of better- Australia: 2013 Outlook quality buildings in both Auckland and Wellington can anticipate an increase in rental There is a strong outlook for investment in Australian office markets. Although in the next 12 months. foreign purchasers are dominating at present, local Australian REITS have now recapitalized and Australian pension funds have also expressed interest in increasing Brisbane, New Zealand p. 8 | Colliers International
  • 9. trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL local measure / currency cbd rents cbd rent cbd rent us MEASURE local currency dollars/sq ft/yr Average cbd cap exchange AVERAGE AVERAGE Average class a rate quoted TIME rate (USD) class a class a class a Gross / prime MARKET COUNTRY unit currency PERIOD JUNE 30, 2012 net rent gross rent net rent rent yield (%) asia pacific Adelaide Australia SM AUD Year 0.98 380.00 485.00 36.13 46.11 7.50 Brisbane Australia SM AUD Year 0.98 620.00 750.00 58.94 71.30 7.50 Canberra Australia SM AUD Year 0.98 362.00 440.00 34.42 41.83 7.32 Melbourne Australia SM AUD Year 0.98 498.00 617.00 47.35 58.66 7.06 Perth Australia SM AUD Year 0.98 797.00 956.00 75.77 90.89 8.00 Sydney Australia SM AUD Year 0.98 640.00 776.00 60.85 73.78 6.90 Beijing China SM CNY Month 6.36 336.11 366.11 58.94 64.20 4.31 Chengdu China SM CNY Month 6.36 145.28 164.33 25.48 28.82 7.60 Hong Kong China SF HKD Month 7.76 107.76 125.14 166.70 193.58 2.67 Shanghai China SM CNY Month 6.36 307.00 261.00 45.77 53.81 4.50 Jakarta Indonesia SM IDR Month 9,385.00 242,192.00 299,588.00 28.76 35.58 8.10 Tokyo Japan SM JPY Year 79.82 91,113.00 106.01 4.50 Auckland New Zealand SM NZD Year 1.25 334.00 466.00 24.86 34.69 8.40 Wellington New Zealand SM NZD Year 1.25 343.00 442.00 25.53 32.90 8.19 Makati City Philippines SM PHP Month 41.82 895.00 23.85 9.00 Singapore Singapore SF SGD Month 1.27 6.68 8.45 63.35 80.13 3.90 Seoul South Korea SM KRW Month 1,141.15 64,575.00 23,896.00 63.06 23.34 6.00 Taipei Taiwan SM TWD Month 29.80 739.00 887.00 27.64 33.17 2.50 Bangkok Thailand SM THB Month 31.55 680.00 725.00 24.02 25.61 8.30 EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA (EMEA) Tirana Albania SM EUR Month 0.79 15.50 21.87 14.00 Vienna Austria SM EUR Month 0.79 18.50 26.11 3.50 Antwerp Belgium SM EUR Month 0.79 10.40 14.68 7.00 Brussels Belgium SM EUR Month 0.79 15.00 21.17 6.00 Sofia* Bulgaria SM EUR Month 0.79 9.00 12.70 9.00 Zagreb* Croatia SM EUR Month 0.79 12.50 17.64 9.00 Prague* Czech Republic SM EUR Month 0.79 15.50 21.87 6.50 Copenhagen Denmark SM DKK Month 5.87 108.30 20.56 5.00 Cairo Egypt SM USD Month 1.00 21.75 24.24 9.00 Tallinn Estonia SM EUR Month 0.79 13.40 18.91 7.50 Bordeaux France SM EUR Month 0.79 13.50 19.05 6.50 Lyon France SM EUR Month 0.79 18.80 26.53 6.00 Marseille France SM EUR Month 0.79 15.90 22.44 6.15 Paris France SM EUR Month 0.79 62.00 87.50 4.50 Berlin Germany SM EUR Month 0.79 19.00 26.81 5.00 Düsseldorf Germany SM EUR Month 0.79 23.00 32.46 5.20 Frankfurt Germany SM EUR Month 0.79 30.00 42.34 5.20 Hamburg Germany SM EUR Month 0.79 22.00 31.05 4.70 Munich Germany SM EUR Month 0.79 27.50 38.81 4.50 Stuttgart Germany SM EUR Month 0.79 19.00 26.81 5.40 Athens* Greece SM EUR Month 0.79 13.00 18.35 7.75 Budapest* Hungary SM EUR Month 0.79 12.50 17.64 7.75 Dublin Ireland SM EUR Month 0.79 20.00 28.23 7.50 Milan Italy SM EUR Month 0.79 40.00 56.45 5.50 Rome Italy SM EUR Month 0.79 29.00 40.93 5.85 Riga Latvia SM EUR Month 0.79 12.00 16.94 8.00 Vilnius Lithuania SM EUR Month 0.79 13.50 19.05 8.50 Amsterdam Netherlands SM EUR Month 0.79 17.80 25.12 6.65 * Rents reflect combined A and B Class. p. 9 | Colliers International
  • 10. trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL local measure / currency cbd rents cbd rent cbd rent us MEASURE local currency dollars/sq ft/yr Average cbd cap exchange AVERAGE AVERAGE Average class a rate quoted TIME rate (USD) class a class a class a Gross / prime MARKET COUNTRY unit currency PERIOD JUNE 30, 2012 net rent gross rent net rent rent yield (%) EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA (EMEA) continued Oslo Norway SM NOK Year 5.96 3,250.00 50.65 5.50 Warsaw* Poland SM EUR Month 0.79 22.20 31.33 6.50 Lisbon Portugal SM EUR Month 0.79 15.21 21.47 8.00 Bucharest* Romania SM EUR Month 0.79 15.00 21.17 8.00 Moscow* Russia SM USD Month 1.00 75.00 83.58 9.50 Saint Petersburg Russia SM USD Month 1.00 33.00 36.78 10.00 Jeddah Saudi Arabia SM SAR Year 3.75 934.00 23.13 Riyadh Saudi Arabia SM SAR Year 3.75 1,130.00 27.99 10.00 Belgrade* Serbia SM EUR Month 0.79 15.50 21.87 9.00 Bratislava* Slovakia SM EUR Month 0.79 11.00 15.52 7.50 Madrid Spain SM EUR Month 0.79 23.50 33.17 5.90 Stockholm Sweden SM SEK Year 6.92 4,600.00 61.74 4.75 Geneva Switzerland SM CHF Month 0.95 54.17 63.70 4.25 Zurich Switzerland SM CHF Month 0.95 40.00 47.04 4.00 Istanbul Turkey SM USD Month 1.00 28.67 31.95 7.00 Kyiv* Ukraine SM USD Month 1.00 23.00 25.63 12.00 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates SM USD Month 1.00 30.46 33.95 Dubai United Arab Emirates SM USD Month 1.00 32.90 36.67 10.00 Belfast United Kingdom SF GBP Year 0.64 12.50 19.63 6.25 Birmingham United Kingdom SF GBP Year 0.64 21.00 32.98 6.00 Bristol United Kingdom SF GBP Year 0.64 24.00 37.70 6.25 Edinburgh United Kingdom SF GBP Year 0.64 21.00 32.98 6.00 Glasgow United Kingdom SF GBP Year 0.64 23.00 36.12 6.00 London – City United Kingdom SF GBP Year 0.64 48.50 76.18 5.25 London – West End United Kingdom SF GBP Year 0.64 80.00 125.65 4.00 Manchester United Kingdom SF GBP Year 0.64 22.00 34.55 6.00 LATIN AMERICA Buenos Aires Argentina SM USD Month 1.00 30.70 35.75 34.21 39.84 9.00 Rio de Janeiro Brazil SM BRL Month 2.01 163.00 186.50 90.40 103.43 10.25 São Paulo Brazil SM BRL Month 2.01 114.50 137.00 63.50 75.98 10.25 Bogotá Colombia SM USD Month 1.00 33.00 36.20 36.78 40.34 8.25 San José Costa Rica SM USD Month 1.00 17.75 19.48 19.78 21.71 10.76 Mexico City Mexico SM USD Month 1.00 28.00 31.00 31.20 34.55 9.00 Panama City Panama SM USD Year 1.00 20.00 24.00 1.86 2.23 9.50 Lima Peru SM USD Month 1.00 20.00 20.60 22.29 22.96 12.50 north AMERICA Calgary, AB Canada SF CAD Year 1.02 42.62 62.00 41.92 60.98 5.50 Edmonton, AB Canada SF CAD Year 1.02 23.20 41.44 22.82 40.76 * Rents reflect combined A and B Class. p. 10 | Colliers International
  • 11. trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL local measure / currency cbd rents cbd rent cbd rent us MEASURE local currency dollars/sq ft/yr cbd cap average rate exchange AVERAGE AVERAGE average class a / prime quoted TIME rate (usd) class a class a class a gross yield MARKET COUNTRY unit currency PERIOD JUNE 30, 2012 net rent gross rent net rent rent (%) Guelph, ON Canada SF CAD Year 1.02 11.47 23.10 11.28 22.72 7.25 Halifax, NS Canada SF CAD Year 1.02 17.03 32.36 16.75 31.83 Montréal, QC Canada SF CAD Year 1.02 23.18 42.00 22.80 41.31 6.50 Ottawa, ON Canada SF CAD Year 1.02 26.79 49.30 26.35 48.49 6.95 Regina, SK Canada SF CAD Year 1.02 24.70 40.40 24.30 39.74 7.00 Saskatoon, SK Canada SF CAD Year 1.02 25.00 38.00 24.59 37.38 7.00 Toronto, ON Canada SF CAD Year 1.02 29.20 58.40 28.63 57.25 Vancouver, BC Canada SF CAD Year 1.02 35.10 55.00 34.53 54.10 4.75 Victoria, BC Canada SF CAD Year 1.02 22.00 36.00 21.64 35.41 6.00 Waterloo Region, ON Canada SF CAD Year 1.02 13.65 25.28 13.43 24.87 7.25 Atlanta, GA United States SF USD Year 1.00 11.49 22.99 11.49 22.99 7.80 Bakersfield, CA United States SF USD Year 1.00 9.31 17.40 9.31 17.40 Baltimore, MD United States SF USD Year 1.00 12.22 23.22 12.22 23.22 Birmingham, AL United States SF USD Year 1.00 20.92 20.92 20.92 20.92 Boise, ID United States SF USD Year 1.00 14.71 20.71 14.71 20.71 Boston, MA United States SF USD Year 1.00 25.63 45.63 25.63 45.63 6.00 Charleston, SC United States SF USD Year 1.00 20.09 30.09 20.09 30.09 8.00 Charlotte, NC United States SF USD Year 1.00 23.80 23.80 23.80 23.80 Chicago, IL United States SF USD Year 1.00 16.85 37.35 16.85 37.35 6.50 Cincinnati, OH United States SF USD Year 1.00 13.72 23.22 13.72 23.22 9.75 Cleveland, OH United States SF USD Year 1.00 22.00 22.00 22.00 22.00 Columbia, SC United States SF USD Year 1.00 19.39 19.39 19.39 19.39 Columbus, OH United States SF USD Year 1.00 11.23 19.89 11.23 19.89 Dallas/Fort Worth, United States SF USD Year 1.00 15.00 25.00 15.00 25.00 TX Denver, CO United States SF USD Year 1.00 13.71 29.56 13.71 29.56 6.50 Detroit, MI United States SF USD Year 1.00 23.63 23.63 23.63 23.63 12.00 Fresno, CA United States SF USD Year 1.00 15.90 24.00 15.90 24.00 9.00 Ft. Lauderdale- United States SF USD Year 1.00 17.58 31.08 17.58 31.08 Broward, FL Grand Rapids, MI United States SF USD Year 1.00 11.38 19.33 11.38 19.33 9.25 Hartford, CT United States SF USD Year 1.00 10.40 22.90 10.40 22.90 Honolulu, HI United States SF USD Year 1.00 18.48 35.16 18.48 35.16 Houston, TX United States SF USD Year 1.00 36.80 36.80 36.80 36.80 Indianapolis, IN United States SF USD Year 1.00 11.55 19.05 11.55 19.05 8.00 Jacksonville, FL United States SF USD Year 1.00 9.54 19.44 9.54 19.44 Kansas City, MO United States SF USD Year 1.00 11.04 19.04 11.04 19.04 Las Vegas, NV United States SF USD Year 1.00 19.84 30.84 19.84 30.84 Little Rock, AR United States SF USD Year 1.00 8.89 15.59 8.89 15.59 9.50 Los Angeles, CA United States SF USD Year 1.00 20.36 36.36 20.36 36.36 6.90 Louisville, KY United States SF USD Year 1.00 19.06 19.06 19.06 19.06 p. 11 | Colliers International
  • 12. trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL local measure / currency cbd rents cbd rent cbd rent us MEASURE local currency dollars/sq ft/yr cbd cap average rate exchange AVERAGE AVERAGE average class a / prime quoted time rate (usd) class a net class a class a gross yield MARKET COUNTRY unit currency period JUNE 30, 2012 rent gross rent net rent rent (%) NORTH AMERICA continued Memphis, TN United States SF USD Year 1.00 8.26 16.71 8.26 16.71 Miami-Dade, FL United States SF USD Year 1.00 24.73 40.23 24.73 40.23 Milwaukee, WI United States SF USD Year 1.00 8.57 19.60 8.57 19.60 Minneapolis, MN United States SF USD Year 1.00 5.48 15.25 5.48 15.25 Nashville, TN United States SF USD Year 1.00 21.77 21.77 21.77 21.77 6.50 New York, NY - Downtown United States SF USD Year 1.00 23.14 47.62 23.14 47.62 5.00 Manhattan New York, NY - Midtown United States SF USD Year 1.00 35.80 70.34 35.80 70.34 4.70 Manhattan New York, NY - Midtown South United States SF USD Year 1.00 25.87 47.26 25.87 47.26 4.90 Manhattan Oakland, CA United States SF USD Year 1.00 17.80 31.80 17.80 31.80 7.50 Oklahoma City, OK United States SF USD Year 1.00 17.78 17.78 17.78 17.78 Omaha, NE United States SF USD Year 1.00 10.88 19.88 10.88 19.88 Orlando, FL United States SF USD Year 1.00 13.23 24.23 13.23 24.23 8.50 Philadelphia, PA United States SF USD Year 1.00 14.86 26.50 14.86 26.50 8.00 Phoenix, AZ United States SF USD Year 1.00 10.70 23.70 10.70 23.70 Pittsburgh, PA United States SF USD Year 1.00 11.86 22.61 11.86 22.61 8.26 Portland, OR United States SF USD Year 1.00 14.74 24.74 14.74 24.74 Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, United States SF USD Year 1.00 23.41 23.41 23.41 23.41 NC Reno, NV United States SF USD Year 1.00 21.73 21.73 21.73 21.73 Sacramento, CA United States SF USD Year 1.00 25.39 32.64 25.39 32.64 San Diego, CA United States SF USD Year 1.00 13.82 28.68 13.82 28.68 San Francisco, CA United States SF USD Year 1.00 24.71 44.81 24.71 44.81 5.60 San Jose - Silicon Valley United States SF USD Year 1.00 16.61 33.11 16.61 33.11 Savannah, GA United States SF USD Year 1.00 12.15 19.15 12.15 19.15 9.50 Seattle/Puget Sound, WA United States SF USD Year 1.00 20.61 30.63 20.61 30.63 6.20 St. Louis, MO United States SF USD Year 1.00 6.97 17.47 6.97 17.47 9.75 St. Paul, MN United States SF USD Year 1.00 4.08 13.17 4.08 13.17 Stamford, CT United States SF USD Year 1.00 25.34 38.84 25.34 38.84 8.00 Stockton, CA United States SF USD Year 1.00 16.88 20.64 16.88 20.64 8.50 Tampa Bay, FL United States SF USD Year 1.00 14.15 23.15 14.15 23.15 8.00 Walnut Creek/Pleasanton, CA United States SF USD Year 1.00 27.60 27.60 27.60 27.60 8.00 Washington DC United States SF USD Year 1.00 31.19 53.19 31.19 53.19 5.75 West Palm Beach/Palm Beach County, FL United States SF USD Year 1.00 22.25 37.25 22.25 37.25 8.50 White Plains, NY United States SF USD Year 1.00 18.26 32.06 18.26 32.06 8.00 p. 12 | Colliers International
  • 13. trends and forecast | 2012 | office | GLOBAL Glossary Class A Gross Rent – The average rent quoted per Quoted Currency – The currency quoted locally in square foot per annum for Class A office building all lease transactions. Not necessarily national 522 offices in within the CBD plus additional costs such as property taxes, service charges or operating currency. (Note: Chile utilizes Unidad de Fomento, which equals USD 24.30) 62 countries on expenses. Time Period – The standard way in which leases 6 continents Class A Net Rent – The average rent quoted per are quoted. Usually on a per month or per year United States: 147 square foot per annum for a Class A office building basis. Canada: 37 within the CBD. Existing Inventory – Existing office floor space Latin America: 19 (Classes A, B and C) within each city’s CBD (central EMEA: 118 Class A (Prime) Buildings – Most prestigious Asia Pacific: 201 building competing for premier office users with business district). rents above average for the area. Buildings have • $1.8 billion in annual revenue Under Construction – The total office floor space high quality standard for finishes, state-of-the-art (Classes A, B and C) within each city’s CBD (central billion square feet under • 1.25 systems, exceptional accessibility and a definite management business district) which is under construction, but market presence. not yet completed, giving an indication of the • More than 12,300 professionals Characterized by: Prime central locations; first- development pipeline for each market. This includes class tenant improvements; on-site parking; state both available and pre-let floor space. COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL of the art elevators and HVAC systems; concrete Unit – The normal convention locally in which area 601 Union Street, Suite 4800 and steel construction; contemporary design and is measured. Usually on a per square foot or per Seattle, WA 98101 architecture; high quality of upkeep and square meter basis. tel +1 206 695 4200 maintenance; ability to command a premium rent Vacancy Rate (%) – The percentage of the inventory within the relevant market. The Class A building (total completed office floor space, Classes A, B and regional authors/contributors designation implies that the size of the building is C, within the CBD) which is unoccupied. “significant” in accordance with the market. James Cook (U.S.) Jeff Simonson (U.S.) KC Conway (U.S.) Cliff Plank (U.S.) GLOBAL RESEARCH CONTACTS Flavio Gómez Aranzubia (Mexico) Zuzanna Baranowska (EMEA) > Americas > ASIA PACIFIC Mark Charlton (U.K.) Dr. Walter Boettcher (U.K) James Cook Simon Lo Yumiko Yasada (Japan) USA Asia Simon Lo (Asia) james.cook@colliers.com simon.lo@colliers.com Nerida Conisbee (Austrialia) Ian MacCulloch (Canada) KC Conway Nerida Conisbee Alan McMahon (New Zealand) USA Australia/New Zealand Chia Siew-Chuin (Singapore) kc.conway@colliers.com nerida.conisbee@colliers.com Arthur Yim (Hong Kong) Damian Harrington (CEE) Carlby Xie (North China) > Europe, Middle East and Africa Amit Oberoi India Lauren Chlebowski | Global Brand Designer Mark Charlton amit.oberoi@colliers.com United Kingdom mark.charlton@colliers.com Yumiko Yasuda Bruno Berretta Japan Copyright © 2012 Colliers International. EMEA yumiko.yasuda@colliers.com The information contained herein has been obtained bruno.berretta@colliers.com from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot Damian Harrington guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their Eastern Europe professional advisors prior to acting on any of the damian.harrington@colliers.com material contained in this report. Accelerating success. www.colliers.com