Global warming is causing rising global temperatures and changes in weather patterns. The Philippines is already experiencing impacts like more frequent extreme weather events and warmer temperatures that are damaging coral reefs. Continued warming is projected to further raise sea levels and increase risks like severe typhoons, flooding, droughts, and loss of agriculture and fisheries. Without action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, climate change poses a major threat to the environment, economy, and people of the Philippines.
2. Our precious planet
Saving the environment could be this
century’s biggest challenge
Source: Time Magazine, 1997
PAGASA/DOST
3. What is global warming?
Global warming refers to the increase in the earth’s mean
temperature as a result of enhanced greenhouse effect.
collective picture of a warming world
Strong temperature
increase since 1975
(unprecedented)
global average air
temperature increased
by 0.74°C from 1906
to 2005
4. What are the manifestations/signals of global warming in the
local scale?
• In the Philippines, there are already trends of
increasing number of hot days and warm nights, but
decreasing number of cold days and cool nights. Both
maximum and minimum temperatures are generally
getting warmer.
• Other extreme weather/climate events like intense rains
have been seen to be more frequent.
5. What are the manifestations/signals of global warming in
the local scale?
A substantial amount of coral reefs in the
country have been found to have been affected
by bleaching during events of warmer sea
surface temperatures.
Bleaching of the coral reefs is associated with
the loss of symbiotic algae and/or their
pigments, and the death of the corals if the
warming of the sea surface temperatures are
prolonged.
6. • Even the rainforests of the seas –
the coral reefs, are taking the brunt
of the warming atmosphere
• Some 30% of coral reefs are already
irreparably damaged (mainly due to
rising sea surface temperatures)
7. Did you know that . . .
Global warming could lead to freakish weather
patterns such as unexpected drought, typhoons, and
sudden snowstorms.
Early springs, melting ice and rising sea levels have all
been blamed on climate change.
8. What is happening???
• IPCC Fourth Assessment Report Findings
– Global average surface temperature increased by 0.74°C (1960-2005)
which is higher than the Third Assessment Report (TAR) of 0.6°C
(1901-2000)
– Global average sea level rose due to increase in the global average
surface temperature at an average rate of 1.8 mm per year over 1961
to 2003 or a total of 0.17m for the 21st century
– The increasing concentration of Green House Gases in the
atmosphere caused by human activities will further trigger a
continuing increase of global temperature or global warming.
9. RAPID INCREASE IN EMISSION OF GREENHOUSE
GASSES LARGELY CONTRIBUTED TO GLOBAL WARMING
• Carbon Dioxide has increased by 30%
• Methane has increased by 145%
• Nitrous Oxide has increased by 15%
INCREASE in 200
Years
20th Century Global Warming
1990’s = Warmest Decade
1998 = Warmest Year Since 1861
10. What is climate change?
Climate change is a “change in climate
which is attributed directly to human activity
that alters the composition of the global
atmosphere and which is in addition to natural
climate variability observed over comparable
time periods.”
- (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change [UNFCCC])
11. To be able to understand
climate change is to
understand first the concept
of the
‘greenhouse effect’.
12.
13. So what are the greenhouse gases?
• Carbon dioxide
• Methane
• Nitrous Oxide
• Ozone
• Water Vapor
These are naturally found in the atmosphere and they
trap heat close to the Earth’s surface. But by burning
of fossil fuels to sustain our modern lifestyle, we
increase their levels very fast.
14. Importance of the Greenhouse Gases (GHGs)
These are the naturally occurring gases that
keep the Earth comfortably warm enough for
plants and animals to live in at an average
temperature of 15oC.
Produced by natural processes:
a. water cycle
b. growth and death of plants and animals
c. decaying of wood and other biodegradable
materials
d. volcanic activities
16. Human activities
can also cause climate change.
Scientists now agree that most of the
global warming today have been caused
by human activities.
17. Human activities that lead to the increase in
concentration of greenhouse gases (GHGs) include:
Worldwide deforestation
Increasing industrial
activity
Motor vehicle emission
Waste management
practices
Intensive agriculture
18. Methane - Decomposition of Garbage and Agricultural Waste
Materials, Leaks in Coal Mining and Natural Gas Production
Accounts for 20% of additional greenhouse effects
19. KLIMA
Waste as a source of GHG emissions
• Decaying solid waste in landfills emits
methane
20. KLIMA
Waste as a source of GHG emissions
Decomposing waste in water can also
emit methane
21. Nitrous Oxide:
• Bacterial Breakdown of Nitrogen in Soils and Oceans
• Use of Nitrogen Fertilizer and Pesticides in Agriculture
• Biomass Burning
• Combustion Process Vehicles
• Acid Production
22. CARBON DIOXIDE - Burning of Fossil Fuels
(Oil, Coal) by Powerplants, Industries and
Vehicles
23. How do greenhouse gases influence
climate change?
The higher the
concentration of
greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere particularly
carbon dioxide, the
stronger the greenhouse
effect.
24. Increase in the concentration of greenhouse
gases (GHGs)
as a result of
human activities
[Enhanced greenhouse effect]
Increase in global surface temperature
Climate Change
Sea Level Rise
Extreme changes in weather patterns
29. CO2 Concentration in Ice Core Samples and
Projections for Next 100 Years
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
Years Before Present
(B.P. -- 1950)
CO2Concentration(ppmv)
Vostok Record
IPCC IS92a Scenario
Law Dome Record
Mauna Loa Record
Current
(2001)
Projected
(2100)
0100,000200,000300,000400,000
CO2Concentration(ppmv)
(BP 1950)
Projected (2100)
Current (2001)
Scientific evidences:
For 420,000 years the CO2 concentration in the
atmosphere has remained within tight bounds
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2001
30. KLIMA
150 100 50 0
Thousands of Years ago
Temperaturechange(oC)
Carbondioxide(ppmv)
Atmospheric CO2 Concentration and Temperature
Change
31. Source: National Geographic Magazine (2004)
PAGASA/DOST
RISE IN TEMPERATURE
• Accelerate melting of
glacier
• Increase in sea level
• Shrinking of sea ice
33. Sea level rise
3D modeling and visualization tools are used for vulnerability
assessment, exact location and quantification of areas which are
susceptible to floods due to rise in sea level.
Study area: Northern part of Navotas, Metro Manila
34. • ACCELERATE MELTING OF GLACIERS
Increase of Sea Level
Inundation/ Flooding of Low
Lying Areas and Small
Islands
42. Typhoon Ondoy with
international name of Ketsana:
• Entered the Philippines
September 26, 2009
• Dumped 344 mm. or 13.4
inches of rainfall in just six
hours equivalent to a months
worth of rainfall in the country
• 377 dead
• 308 injured
• 37 missing
43.
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47. Children, women and the elderly are the
most vulnerable during times of natural
calamities
48. Typhoon Pepeng (International
Name:Parma) Last October 9, 2009with
maximum sustained winds of 130 kph and
gustiness of 160 kph wrecked havoc in
Pangasinan, Tarlac, Benguet Province, Ilocos
Region, Baguio, Mountain Province and
Cordillera Region.
• Official death toll: 198 people and 46
missing
• Typhoon Pepeng dumped one of the
heaviest rains recorded, heavier than
the rain water dumped by Typhoon
Ondoy
• Caused landslides, destroyed
infrastructures and wide spread flooding
throughout Northern Luzon.
49.
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53. Floodwaters caused by rains brought by Typhoon Parma submerge houses in Carmen, Pangasinan,
northern Philippines in this photo released by the Philippine Coast Guard October 9, 2009. A week of
relentless rains in the northern Philippines have put dozens of towns and villages under water, with more
than 100 people drowned or killed by landslides, officials said on Friday.
54. Residents are stranded on a roof as floodwaters caused by rains brought by Typhoon Parma submerge
houses in Carmen, Pangasinan, northern Philippines in this photo released by the Philippine Coast Guard
October 9, 2009. A week of relentless rains in the northern Philippines have put dozens of towns and villages
under water, with more than 100 people drowned or killed by landslides, officials said on Friday.
55. People mill around a shopping mall to retrieve washed away goods after it was flooded in the town of
Rosales, Pangasinan province north of Manila on October 9, 2009. The death toll from two weeks of
unprecedented storms across the northern Philippines soared past 540 on October after landslides
consumed homes and neck-deep floods inundated towns.
56. Rescuers search for possible survivors after a landslide caused by rains brought by Typhoon Parma in Baguio City, north of
Manila October 9, 2009. A week of relentless rains in the northern Philippines have put dozens of towns and villages under
water, with more than 100 people drowned or killed by landslides, officials said on Friday.
57. Iron sheet roofing lie on the ground after being damaged by strong winds during Typhoon Parma in Cagayan Valley, northern
Philippines in this October 3, 2009 video grab. Typhoon Parma slammed into the northeastern tip of the Philippines on Saturday,
tearing roofs off houses and uprooting trees, but there were no immediate reports of casualties
58. Inundated vehicles by floodwaters brought on by typhoon Parma are seen on a
highway in Rosales Pangasinan north of Manila October 9, 2009. A week of
relentless rains in the northern Philippines have put dozens of towns and villages
under water, with more than 100 people drowned or killed by landslides, officials
said on Friday.
59. Occurrences of droughts have
become more widespread
throughout the entire world due to
global warming
• As the earth’s surface
temperature increases due to
global warming, moisture
evaporation have become more
intense causing the soil to
become much much drier
leading eventually to drought.
60. The Philippines has not
been spared of the
weather-related
disturbances and
disasters. The past
typhoons have been
unusually heavy and
have brought devastation
to our country and our
people.
61. Landslides in Benguet Province during the onslaught of typhoon pepenr. Rescuers dig up the
10 persons who were reportedly buried alive after their houses collapsed at the height of
typhoon ‘Pepeng’ on Friday. But the retrieval operation was stopped due to the extent of
damage in the area. (Photo by RIZALDY COMANDA)
62. Landslide caused by Typhoon Lupit in Cordillera
Autonomous Region on October 21, 2009
64. HEALTH RISKS:
• VARIABILITY IN TEMPERATURE > HEATWAVES &EXTREME COLD
FRONTS
• HIGH RISK FOR THE OLD, THE SICK, CHILDREN AND THE POOR
• ECOSYSTEMS ARE DESTROYED
65. Climate-related health risks
• Direct impacts through cold or heat stress
• Indirect impacts through communicable
and non-communicable diseases
(particularly coronary and respiratory)
67. Climate-related health risks
–Link between atmospheric air quality,
airborne particulate matter, aggravated
cardiac and respiratory diseases
(bronchitis, asthma and emphysema)
and various forms of heart disease.
(Connor, 2007)
68. VARIABILITY IN TEMPERATURE
• DISRUPT CYCLE OF
PLANTING AND HARVESTING
• DISRUPTS FEEDING HABITS,
MIGRATION AND
REPRODUCTIVE PATTERN OF
ANIMALS
• DEVASTATIONS FROM EL
NINO AND LA NINA
LOW PRODUCTIVITY AND
FOOD SHORTAGE
LOSS OF INCOME OF
POOR FARMERS AND
FISHERMEN
70. • Typhoons and Floods
The Philippines is located in the typhoon belt. An
average of 20 typhoons visit the country every year
and incidents of flooding are higher in the country
than anywhere else.
Source: PAGASA
74. Impacts: Water resources
• Decreased/increased water availability
(soil erosion)
• Increased drought risk (including land
degradation)
• Poor quality of water (algal blooms, etc.)
75. Impacts: Water resources
• Increased water demand
• Domestic water supply problems
• Impact on power generation
77. Impacts: Agriculture (forestry)
• Increased outbreaks of pests and
diseases
• Increased risk of forest fires
• Increased shift of species
78. Impacts: Human society
and national economy
• Disruption of settlements and attendant
needs of humans
• Potential for increased migration
• Pressures on urban infrastructures
• Reduced GDP
79. – Birds species in the United Kingdom are
laying eggs nine days earlier, while others
have fled north or to higher altitudes (cooler
climes)
Hundreds of animals and plants are responding to
climate change by jumping their biological clocks
80. Climate change Impact to animal species
Shrinking sea ice
– May induce decline of Krill
population and could result in
less food supply to seabirds,
whales, seals
PAGASA/DOST
82. • Warming trend nighttime temperature and cloud cover
• 2/3 of 110 known species of harlequins (frogs) have vanished
• Subtle change ideal for chytrid disease that kills the frogs
(fungus flourish in wet season turning lethal at 17°C to 25°C
• Disease was the bullet that killed frogs but CLIMATE was the
trigger
Source: The Bulletin with Newsweek, Oct. 2006
Climate change Impact to animal species
83. Trouble beyond tropics
• Certain species migrating further north of
their habitat
– ex: Edith’s checkerspot
84. • CONCERN OVERCLIMATE CHANGE MANIFESTEDTHE PAST
30 YEARS
• 1ST WORLD CLIMATE CONFERENCE IN 1979:
• EXPLORED RELATION BETWEEN CLIMATE CHANGE AND
HUMAN ACTIVITIES
• GOVERNMENTS CAUTIONED AGAINST ACTIVITIES
AFFECTING CLIMATE CHANGE
85. • INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE (IPCC) ESTABLISHED
BY UNITED NATIONS IN 1988:
• PROVIDE SCIENTIFIC PROOF OF CLIMATE CHANGE
• ASSESS ECONOMIC, SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
• FORMULATE RESPONSE STRATEGIES
1990 – IPCC SCIENTIFCALLY CONFIRMED EXISTENCE OF CLIMATE
CHANGE
86. • UNITED NATIONS FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE
(UNFCCC) SIGNED BY 154 HEADS OF STATES/REPRESENTATIVES IN RIO DE
JANEIRO IN 1992:
• ENTERED INTO FORCE IN MARCH 1994
• AGREEMENT TO STABILIZE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
• DEVELOPED COUNTRIES COMMITTED TO REDUCE THEIR GREENHOUSE
GAS EMISSIONS TO 1990 LEVEL BY YEAR 2000.
• MANDATED ALL MEMBERS TO HAVE INVENTORY OF GREENHOUSE GAS
EMISSIONS AND DEVELOP STRATEGIES/PROGRAMS TO ADAPT TO AND
MITIGATE EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
87. KYOTO PROTOCOL ADOPTED BY
10,000 DELEGATES IN KYOTO, JAPAN
-- ENTERED INTO FORCE In FEBRUARY 2004
PRESENTLY, 169 COUNTRIES HAVE RATIFIED THE
PROTOCOL
-- PROVIDE FOR CLEARER AND BIGGER TARGET OF
5% REDUCTION IN GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS BY
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES BY 2012
-- NO REDUCTION REQUIREMENT FOR DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES
88. • Provided flexibility to developed countries
in meeting their emission reductions.
• Established the Clean Development
Mechanism or CDM,
• Allows Developed Countries to Offset their
Greenhouse Gas Emission by buying
Equivalent amount from projects intended
to absorb Greenhouse Gasses
• Majority of Projects are in Developing
Countries
89. Carbon trading benefits the
developed countries by helping them
comply with the emission reductions
without affecting their domestic
production levels and, at the same
time, benefit the developing
countries in terms of investments in
CDM projects, promote the use of
cleaner technologies in energy and
industry and provide jobs and
income to communities undertaking
the projects.
513 PROJECTS REGISTERED WITH CDM EXECUTIVE BOARD TO
GENERATE 740 MILLION TONS OF CARBON DIOXIDE EQUIVALENT
90. THE COPENHAGEN ACCORD
This is an appeal made by France and
Ethiopia, representing Africa to the United
Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCC) to adopt an ambitious
agreement on December 18, 2009 limiting
the increase of temperature to 2 degrees
celsius above pre-industrial levels as
recommended by the International Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) and ensuing that
vulnerable countries will receive adequate
financing to face the challenge.
The agreement will be applicable immediately
and will be translated into legal international
agreement by 2010.
President Sarkozy and Mr Zenawi, Prime Minister of Ethiopia
91. France and Ethiopia, representing Africa call for:
1. The halving of global emission by 2050 compared to the
1990 level.
a. Developed countries reduce their carbon dioxide
emission by 80% by 2050 and adopt coherent and
comparable mid-term objectives.
b. Advanced developing countries adopt ambitious low
carbon growth plans and actions aimed at yielding a
significant deviation of carbon dioxide emission compared
to “business as usual” scenarios and the recommendations
made by the IPCC.
92. 2. Full transparency of commitments taken by
developed countries and of the actions adopted
by developing countries.
3. The adoption of a fast start fund of $10 Billion
per year covering the next 3 years, 2010, 2011,
2012. It will be dedicated to adaption and
mitigation actions including the fight against
deforestation.
4. A strong commitment on long term public
financing based on developing countries’ needs
beyond 2012.
5. The establishment of a World Environment
Organization that will ensure the environment’s
sustainable development and the fight against
climate change.
93. The Philippines is a signatory and have ratified both the
United Nations Convention on Climate Change and the Kyoto
Protocol
•Bio-Fuels Programs
•Ethanol
•Jethropa (Initial 375,000 Hectares
Allocated for Production)
•CoCo-Diesel
•Compressed Natural Gas
Signed Memorandum of
Understanding, with
Chinese investor
94. R. A NO. 9637 – BIOFUEL ACT
MANDATORY MIXING IN THE FOLLOWING AMOUNT:
• 1% BIODIESEL IN PETRODIESEL AND 5% ETHANOL IN
GASOLINE FOR THE FIRST 4 YEARS AND IT WILL BE
INCREASED TO:
• 2% BIODIESEL IN PETRODIESEL AND 1O% ETHANOL IN
GASOLINE AFTER 4 YEARS.
95. CAMPAIGN AGAINST VIOLATORS OF ENVIRONMENTAL STANDARDS
• CAMPAIGN VS. SMOKE BELCHERS: 28,517 VEHICLES TESTED IN EDSA
(2007):
a. 6,058 VEHICLES OR 21% PASSED
b. 22,459 VEHICLES OR 79% FAILED
• CAMPAIGN VS. POLLUTING INDUSTRIES:
a. 6,690 INSPECTIONS/SAMPLING CONDUCTED:
b. 532 NOTICES OF VIOLATION ISSUED
PUBLIC UTILITY DRIVERS ASSISTED IN ACQUIRING
NEW/CLEANER ENGINES AND VEHICLES
97. • SHIFT IN ENERGY MIX FROM FOSSIL FUELS (OIL AND COAL)
TO RENEWABLE SOURCES (WATER, WIND, NATURAL GAS,
GEOTHERMAL)
• PRESENT MIX: FOSSIL FUELS- 58.4% AND RENEWABLE
SOURCES- 41.6%
• TARGET: FOSSIL FUELS – 49.2% AND RENEWABLE
SOURCES- 50.8% BY 2014.
98. • 8 Project from Philippines Accepted by U.N. and Qualified as
CDM Projects. Will Prevent Emission of About 253,919 tons of
carbon dioxide equivalent per year. Most are waste to Energy
Projects.
• Philippines Ranks 8th in the World in terms of Number of CDM
Projects Accepted by U.N.
• 32 CDM Project submitted to DENR, these are waste to
energy, renewable energy (wind, geothermal and hydro)
Cogeneration and Composting Project
99. • Reforested 85,235 Hectares in 2006
• Planted 845,656 Seedlings during
one-day Launching of Green
Philippines Highways
• More Ambitious Target starting 2007
a. Generate 20 Million Seedlings
b. Implement Green Philippines
Program
100. YOU CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE
• MINIMIZE/DISPENSE WITH ACTIVITIES THAT USE GREENHOUSE GASSES
(E.G., CONSERVE USE OF ELECTRICITY)
• MORE EFFICIENT PRODUCTION PROCESS FOR BUSINESS USING FUELS.
GOOD FOR THE ENVIRONMENT AND GOOD FOR PROFITS.
• DEVELOP CDM PROJECTS FOR CARBON TRADING
• LIMIT USE OF CAR AND ENSURE GOOD RUNNING CONDITION.
• JOIN THE GREEN PHILIPPINES PROGRAM.
• USE ALTERNATIVE FUELS(BIODIESEL,BIOMASS,ETC.)
106. “We can then be sure that we can
bequeath to our children our EARTH in
much better shape than when we
inherited it”
“Let it be known that this is our only
EARTH”
“It is our future and our children’s
future”
“IT IS OUR CHOICE”