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Q4 2011 | RETAIL




GREATER COLUMBUS REGION

RETAIL TRENDS REPORT




                                                                    Slow Growth Continues
                                                                    COLUMBUS REGION OVERVIEW
                                                                    The Columbus retail market finished the fourth quarter of 2011 with moderate positive absorption of
                                                                    108,000 square feet. This is the seventh consecutive quarter of positive absorption beginning in the
                                                                    second quarter of 2010. Difficulty getting financing is creating pressure for tenants, but retailers also
                                                                    seem to be in a wait-and-see mode as they consider further news about the economy’s direction. In
                                                                    economic data recently released, many factors are helping to illustrate the direction of the economy.
                                                                    For example, the U.S. economy added 200,000 jobs in December according to the jobs report.
MARKET INDICATORS                                                   Another example is The Conference Board’s analysis of leading economic indicators which showed
                                                                    a 0.4 percent growth that suggests the economy will grow for the next three to six months.
                                           Q4                Q1

                                           2011             2012*
                                                                    FORECASTS AND REFLECTIONS
                                                                    •	 Theretail vacancy rate has steadily decreased                               million and the 100,000-square-foot lifestyle
                  VACANCY
                                                                      through leasing as well as expansion of                                      center at 4305 West Dublin Granville Road for
    NET ABSORPTION                                                    product, dipping 20 basis points from the third                              $6.1 million.
                                                                      quarter 2011 to 11.0 percent.                                              •	 Inconstruction news, a number of smaller
           CONSTRUCTION                                      —
                                                                    •	 A number of larger retail outlets were                                      locations are underway including IHOP and
            RENTAL RATES                   —                          transferred this quarter including the                                       Hills Market. Construction continues for the
                                                                      443,000-square-foot power center 1299                                        40,000-square-foot New Market Mall and the
           *Projected change to following quarter
                                                                      Polaris Parkway for $80 million. Other                                       27,000-square-foot Earth Fare organic
                                                                      transfers include the 120,000-square-foot strip                              grocery in Polaris.
                                                                      center 55 Meadow Park Avenue for $19.5

                                                                                                                                                                                    RENTAL RATES
STEADILY UPWARD                                                     VACANCY RATE OVER COMPLETIONS AND ABSORPTIONS
Asking Rates
                                                                                                                                                                                    The average asking
                                                                                                    1,200,000                                                  14%                  rental rates increased in
  $16.00                                                                                                                                                                            strip and neighborhood
                                                                                                    1,000,000
                                                                                                                                                               12%                  but      decreased      in
                                                                     Completions and Absorptions




  $14.00                                                                                             800,000
                                                                                                                                                                                    community.         Asking
  $12.00                                                                                             600,000                                                   10%                  rates     for    different
                                                                                                                                                                     Vacancy Rate




                                                                                                     400,000                                                   8%                   property types continue
  $10.00
                                                                                                     200,000                                                                        to show the disparate
   $8.00                                                                                                   ‐                                                   6%                   value to tenants and the
                                                                                                                2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q                        financial situations of
                                                                                                    (200,000)                                                  4%
   $6.00
                                                                                                                08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11                        larger landlords who are
            1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q                                         (400,000)                                                                       able to wait out the
            08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11                                                                                                    2%
                                                                                                    (600,000)                                                                       appropriate tenants.
                    Strip   Neighborhood        Community
                                                                                                    (800,000)                                                  0%

                                                                                                                Completions      Absorption     Vacancy Rate




www.colliers.com/columbus
RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q4 2011 | RETAIL | GREATER COLUMBUS REGION


                                                                           CONSTRUCTION                                                underway at New Market Mall (7588-7674 New
                  Delaware County
                                                                           Currently, there are a few projects under                   Market Center Way). Organic grocer, Earth Fare,
  Union
  County                                                                   development that are smaller than we have seen              continues   with    construction     of   their
                               North /                                     in the past few quarters with larger retailers              27,000-square-foot space in Polaris.
                                                Licking
            Northwest
                               Northeast
                                                County                     such as Rave Theaters and Kohl’s. Liberty
                                                                           Crossing, a roughly 30,000-square-foot                      MARKET ACTIVITY
                                                                           community center is underway at 4020-4060                   Market Activity Volume is the sum of the
Madison                 CBD                                                Powell Road. No future tenants have been listed.            absolute value of each absorption change in the
County
                               Southeast                                   Shoppes at Westerville Road on the south-west               market and it tells us a little more about what
           Southwest
                                                                           corner of Innis Road and Westerville Road is a              exactly happened to the market behind the
                                              Fairfield
                                              County                       15,000-square-foot convenience/strip center                 absorption number. The Market Activity Volume
             Pickaway County                                               currently under construction. No future tenants             was slightly more than 160,000 square feet.
                                                                           have been listed.                                           The fourth quarter of 2011 was the slowest
The Columbus retail market includes 11
                                                                                                                                       quarter since third quarter 2006, as measured
suburban submarkets and the Central                                        The future site of Hills Market is an 11,000-square-        by total market volume.
Business District. A total inventory of 55                                 foot general/street retail in the central market at
million square feet of space with only 1                                   95 North Grant Avenue. IHOP is setting up shop              The typical tenant in the market currently is
million of that space in the CBD.                                          at 5500 Renner Road. The 10,000-square-foot                 quick serve restaurants and casual dining.
                                                                           space will be a stand-alone restaurant space.               Smaller, well-located shop space seems to be in
                                                                           648-656 Grandview Avenue is a 10,000-square-                high demand as well. Nervous tenants and
                                                                           foot convenience/strip center currently under               availability of money from the lenders has
                                                                           construction in the central market. No word on              prevented deals from closing.
                                                                           future tenants. 40,000 square feet is still




  UPDATE       New Supply, Absorption and Vacancy Rates

  SALES ACTIVITY

  PROPERTY ADDRESS                  SALES DATE            SALE PRICE      SIZE SF     GRANTOR                  GRANTEE                   PRICE / SF               TYPE                    SUBMARKET
  1299 Polaris Parkway              December              $80,000,000     443,165     Glimcher Realty Trust    DDR                       $180.52                  Power Center            Northeast
  55 Meadow Park Avenue             October               $19,510,000     120,000     Worthington 1 LLC        Cole RE Investments       $162.58                  Strip                   North
                                                                                                                                                                                          Delaware
                                                                                                                                                                                          County
  4305 W Dublin Granville           December              $6,125,000      103,000     Fifth Third Bank         Mr Tsarr Owner LLC        $59.47                   Lifestyle               Northwest
  Road                                                                                                                                                            Center
  3599 Park Mill Run Drive          December              $5,504,000      127,058     Cadle Company            A&C Ventures Inc          $43.32                   Super                   Northwest
  4675 Karl Road                    November              $721,000        58,994      Chesrown Norman L TR     KM 22 Investments LLC     $12.22                   Automotive              Northeast


  8139 East Broad Street            December              $2,120,000      4,092       One Reynoldsburg Co.     CK Broad LLC              $518.08                  Stand-alone             -



  LEASE ACTIVITY

  PROPERTY ADDRESS                                LEASE SF              TOTAL SIZE         LESSEE                          ASKING PRICE            TYPE                       SUBMARKET
  1821 Henderson Road                            33,000                 160,702           Show & Sell Merchandise         -                        Community                  Northwest
  104 Vine Street                                10,000                 10,000            -                               $12.00                   Restaurant                 Central
  5504 Livingston Avenue                         9,000                  46,362            Bingo hall                      $4.67                    Strip                      Southeast

  1004 Memorial Drive                            7,355                  7,355             Grover Motor Sales              $7.34                    Automotive                 Fairfield
  5091 Main Street                               7,320                  45,395            Payless Furniture               -                        Strip                      Southeast
  5796 Karl Road                                 6,350                  6,350             --                              $7.95                    Restaurant                 Northwest
  2831 Olentangy River Road                      6,000                  130,600           Sunspot Tanning                 $14.00                   Anchored Strip             Northwest
  3703 Broad Street                              5,250                  489,617           -                               $12.00                   Power Center               Southeast
  5091 Main Street                               5,100                  45,395            Everything Goes                 $13.50                   Strip                      Southeast
  695 Hill Road                                  4,104                  4,104             -                               $14.62                   Freestanding               Fairfield
  471 Morrison Road                              4,000                  16,069            -                               $13.00                   Strip                      Northeast




P. 2      | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q4 2011 | RETAIL | GREATER COLUMBUS REGION


UPDATE      Market Comparisons

RETAIL MARKET
                                                                                 Net Absorption                    Construction                 Asking Rental Rates
SUBMARKET                        Total SF     Vacant SF   Vacancy %   Current Quarter     Year-to-date   Current          Completions       Neighborhood      Power
CBD                              986,975      5,810       0.6         17,108               46,293        21,000           -                 -                 -
FAIRFIELD                        3,418,174    447,642     13.1        (6,700)              (2,875)       -                -                 $10.06            -
LICKING                          3,250,240    329,901     10.2        -                    (7,097)       -                -                 $8.97             -
MADISON                          443,304      9,285       2.1         -                    (4,000)       -                -                 $10.00            -
NORTH DELAWARE                   1,780,118    246,230     13.8        45,640               52,635        -                -                 $11.08             $22.50
NORTHEAST                        15,437,110   1,013,801   6.6         50,409               107,925       15,000           -                 $13.27             $10.00
NORTHWEST                        13,017,379   1,101,967   8.5         58,487               39,454        107,000          -                 $12.12             $20.00
PICKAWAY                         694,724      17,582      2.5         -                    (6,615)       -                -                 $8.50             -
SOUTHEAST                        9,459,758    1,291,195   13.6        (41,132)             72,483        -                -                 $7.98              $19.50
SOUTHWEST                        6,905,523    1,682,354   24.4        (16,623)             155,051       -                -                 $8.57              $7.53
UNION                            1,157,257    46,752      4.0         900                  (175)         -                -                 -                  $18.00
TOTALS                           56,550,562   6,192,519   11.0        108,089              453,079       143,000          -                 $10.48             $12.50

                                                                                 Net Absorption                    Construction                 Asking Rental Rates
PROPERTY TYPE                    Total SF     Vacant SF   Vacancy %   Current Quarter     Year-to-date   Current          Completions
COMMUNITY                        8,999,075    1,121,862   12.5        (2,554)              56,382        30,000           -                 $12.69
FREE-STANDING                    7,990,369    582,426     7.3         (33,146)             (13,178)      58,000           -                 $7.02
NEIGHBORHOOD                     17,397,813   2,390,797   13.7        106,908              89,819        -                -                 $10.52
OTHER                            27,000       4,610       17.1        -                    4,010         -                -                 -
OUTLET                           184,000      -           0.0         -                    -             -                -                 -
POWER                            5,272,202    286,627     5.4         -                    167,293       -                -                 $12.50
REGIONAL                         3,828,626    456,714     11.9        (17,552)             79,801        40,000           -                 $9.54
SPECIALTY                        250,000      -           0.0         17,108               37,938        -                -                 -
STRIP                            5,448,505    700,128     12.8        37,325               26,669        15,000           -                 $11.63
SUPER REGIONAL                   6,530,997    648,155     9.9         -                    -             -                -                 -
URBAN                            621,975      1,200       0.2         -                    4,345         -                -                 -
TOTALS                           56,550,562   6,192,519   11.0        108,089              453,079       142,000          -                 $10.70



QUARTERLY COMPARISON AND TOTALS
                                                                                 Net Absorption                    Construction                     Asking Rental Rates
QUARTER, YEAR                    Total SF     Vacant SF   Vacancy %   Current Quarter Year-to-date       Current              Completions   Neighborhood          Power
Q3, 2011                         56,491,260   6,300,608   11.2        118,454             344,990         67,000              109,000       $12.05                $10.35
Q2, 2011                         56,392,260   6,425,462   11.4        30,507              226,536        109,000              240,000       $11.43                $18.31
Q1, 2011                         55,896,613   6,439,929   11.5        195,989             195,989        336,000              255,647       $11.46                $17.89
Q4, 2010                         56,019,350   6,663,024   11.9        57,808              274,518        541,647              110,000       $11.05                $12.50


                                                                                                                               MINIMUM WAGE

                                                                                                                               The minimum wage will be increased
                                                                                                                               across Ohio by $.30 to $7.70 effective
                                                                                                                               January 1, 2012. The minimum wage
                                                                                                                               for tipped employees will climb 15
                                                                                                                               cents to $3.85 an hour. The rise is a
                                                                                                                               part of a scheduled increase tied to
                                                                                                                               consumer prices.




                                                                                                                                        COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |           P. 3
RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q4 2011 | RETAIL | GREATER COLUMBUS REGION


CBD                                                 retailers is less fierce than higher populated
The Central Business District (CBD) had positive    areas of Columbus. Marginal vacancy changes
absorption of more than 17,000 square feet.         occurred in Union county.                               512 offices in
Leases included Big Mama’s Playhouse and US
Hair at the South Campus Gateway.                   FUNDAMENTALS
                                                                                                            61 countries on
                                                    Three sources are instructive for retail consumer       6 continents
NORTH                                               activity: the consumer confidence index; a
The north submarkets include Northwest,             weekly poll conducted by Gallup; the Beige Book         United States: 125
                                                    produced by the Federal Reserve Bank semi-              Canada: 38
Northeast, and North Delaware. In North
                                                                                                            Latin America: 18
Delaware Do It Best Hardware and Carquest           quarterly.                                              Asia Pacific: 214
took 43,000 square feet at Big Walnut Plaza.                                                                EMEA: 117
                                                    The consumer confidence index is produced by
                                                                                                           •	$1.5   billion in annual revenue
In the Northwest, Show & Sell Merchandise took      The Conference Board and is a survey of how
                                                    confident consumers are in the current economic        •	978.6 million square feet under
33,000 square feet in two suites at Arlington
                                                                                                            management
Square (1821 Henderson Road). Worthington           conditions by their spending and saving habits.
                                                    In January, the index was 61.1, increasing by          •	Over 12,500 professionals
Square (64 Wilson Bridge Road) showed heavy
activity occurred at with more than 26,000          roughly 15.7 basis points from 45.4 in September,
square feet of positive absorption. Two tenants     the end of third quarter. In December, the index        GREATER COLUMBUS REGION
expanded and there were four new tenants:           had a year-high peak of 64.8. As a guide, the           Richard B. Schuen SIOR CCIM
Learning Expressions, Bill’s Buckeye Stuff,         index was 112.5 in July 2007, six months before         CEO | Principal | Columbus
                                                                                                            8800 Lyra Drive
Worthington Craft Guild and Simply Baby ‘n Me.      beginning of the recession.
                                                                                                            Suite #150
Sunspot Tanning also took 6,000 square feet at                                                              Columbus, Ohio, 43240
University City Shopping Center, 2831 Olentangy     Gallup’s consumer spending measure tracks the           TEL +1 614 410 5612
River Road.                                         average dollar amount Americans report
                                                    spending or charging on a daily basis, not
In the Northeast, there was more than 50,000        counting the purchase of a home, motor vehicle,         Leslie Hobbs
                                                                                                            Marketing and Research Manager
square feet of positive absorption. Roses Variety   or normal household bills. Over the three month
                                                                                                            8800 Lyra Drive
Wholesale leased more than 23,000 square feet       period between October and December the 14-             Suite #150
of Granville Center, 1481 Dublin Granville Road.    day rolling average rose slightly from $63 to $64       Columbus, Ohio, 43240
Parties on the Square Hall leased 10,600 square     with a high of $81 on December 23. The high             TEL +1 614 410 5640
feet at Columbus Square, 5727 Emporium Drive.       mark of the 3-day rolling average was also on
Other tenants taking space across the Northeast     “black friday”, November 28, at $103. There was
were Salon Lofts, Westerville Carryout, Exertion    very little variation over the three month period       Jonathan Badgley
                                                                                                            Research Analyst
Training and Eden Pure.                             as reported retail sales did not grow substantially.
                                                                                                            175 South Third Street
                                                                                                            Suite # 285
SOUTH                                               The Cleveland Federal Reserve reports on                Columbus, Ohio 43201
The southern submarkets are Southeast and           consumer spending twice a quarter in the Beige          TEL +1 614 437 4495
Southwest. In the Southeast, Barrel 44 leased       Book. The data for these reports comes from
more than 9,000 square feet in the Bexley           qualitative surveys of retailers in the fourth
Square, 2212 Main Street, and a bingo hall          district, which includes Columbus. In January,
leased 9,000 square feet at 5504-5532 East          the reserve bank reported that retailers indicated
Livingston Avenue.                                  sales were stable or slightly higher relative to
                                                    October sales. Electronics and home furnishings         This document/email has been prepared by Colliers
                                                                                                            International for advertising purposes. Colliers
EAST                                                were better than expected while consumers held          International statistics and data are audited annually and
                                                    back from purchasing cold-weather related               may result in revisions to previously reported quarterly
The eastern submarkets are Licking and Fairfield                                                            and final year-end figures. Sources include Columbus
                                                    items. Retailers expressed caution about 2012
Counties. There were no substantial changes in                                                              Dispatch, Business First, Xceligent, Wall Street Journal,
                                                    given the fragility of household balance sheets.        Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic
these submarkets this quarter.                                                                              Analysis, Gallup and the Cleveland Federal Reserve.
                                                    Inventories were categorized as good except for
                                                    apparel items which are higher than desired.
WEST
                                                    Any outlays planned for 2012 will mainly be for
The western submarkets include Union and            technology enhancements and remodeling.
Madison Counties. Low population in these           Other than seasonal hiring, employment changed
submarkets means that competition between           very little.


                                                                                                                      Accelerating success.


www.colliers.com/columbus

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Q4 2011 - Columbus Retail

  • 1. Q4 2011 | RETAIL GREATER COLUMBUS REGION RETAIL TRENDS REPORT Slow Growth Continues COLUMBUS REGION OVERVIEW The Columbus retail market finished the fourth quarter of 2011 with moderate positive absorption of 108,000 square feet. This is the seventh consecutive quarter of positive absorption beginning in the second quarter of 2010. Difficulty getting financing is creating pressure for tenants, but retailers also seem to be in a wait-and-see mode as they consider further news about the economy’s direction. In economic data recently released, many factors are helping to illustrate the direction of the economy. For example, the U.S. economy added 200,000 jobs in December according to the jobs report. MARKET INDICATORS Another example is The Conference Board’s analysis of leading economic indicators which showed a 0.4 percent growth that suggests the economy will grow for the next three to six months. Q4 Q1 2011 2012* FORECASTS AND REFLECTIONS • Theretail vacancy rate has steadily decreased million and the 100,000-square-foot lifestyle VACANCY through leasing as well as expansion of center at 4305 West Dublin Granville Road for NET ABSORPTION product, dipping 20 basis points from the third $6.1 million. quarter 2011 to 11.0 percent. • Inconstruction news, a number of smaller CONSTRUCTION — • A number of larger retail outlets were locations are underway including IHOP and RENTAL RATES — transferred this quarter including the Hills Market. Construction continues for the 443,000-square-foot power center 1299 40,000-square-foot New Market Mall and the *Projected change to following quarter Polaris Parkway for $80 million. Other 27,000-square-foot Earth Fare organic transfers include the 120,000-square-foot strip grocery in Polaris. center 55 Meadow Park Avenue for $19.5 RENTAL RATES STEADILY UPWARD VACANCY RATE OVER COMPLETIONS AND ABSORPTIONS Asking Rates The average asking  1,200,000 14% rental rates increased in  $16.00 strip and neighborhood  1,000,000 12% but decreased in Completions and Absorptions  $14.00  800,000 community. Asking  $12.00  600,000 10% rates for different Vacancy Rate  400,000 8% property types continue  $10.00  200,000 to show the disparate  $8.00  ‐ 6% value to tenants and the 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q financial situations of  (200,000) 4%  $6.00 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 larger landlords who are 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q  (400,000) able to wait out the 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 2%  (600,000) appropriate tenants. Strip Neighborhood Community  (800,000) 0% Completions Absorption Vacancy Rate www.colliers.com/columbus
  • 2. RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q4 2011 | RETAIL | GREATER COLUMBUS REGION CONSTRUCTION underway at New Market Mall (7588-7674 New Delaware County Currently, there are a few projects under Market Center Way). Organic grocer, Earth Fare, Union County development that are smaller than we have seen continues with construction of their North / in the past few quarters with larger retailers 27,000-square-foot space in Polaris. Licking Northwest Northeast County such as Rave Theaters and Kohl’s. Liberty Crossing, a roughly 30,000-square-foot MARKET ACTIVITY community center is underway at 4020-4060 Market Activity Volume is the sum of the Madison CBD Powell Road. No future tenants have been listed. absolute value of each absorption change in the County Southeast Shoppes at Westerville Road on the south-west market and it tells us a little more about what Southwest corner of Innis Road and Westerville Road is a exactly happened to the market behind the Fairfield County 15,000-square-foot convenience/strip center absorption number. The Market Activity Volume Pickaway County currently under construction. No future tenants was slightly more than 160,000 square feet. have been listed. The fourth quarter of 2011 was the slowest The Columbus retail market includes 11 quarter since third quarter 2006, as measured suburban submarkets and the Central The future site of Hills Market is an 11,000-square- by total market volume. Business District. A total inventory of 55 foot general/street retail in the central market at million square feet of space with only 1 95 North Grant Avenue. IHOP is setting up shop The typical tenant in the market currently is million of that space in the CBD. at 5500 Renner Road. The 10,000-square-foot quick serve restaurants and casual dining. space will be a stand-alone restaurant space. Smaller, well-located shop space seems to be in 648-656 Grandview Avenue is a 10,000-square- high demand as well. Nervous tenants and foot convenience/strip center currently under availability of money from the lenders has construction in the central market. No word on prevented deals from closing. future tenants. 40,000 square feet is still UPDATE New Supply, Absorption and Vacancy Rates SALES ACTIVITY PROPERTY ADDRESS SALES DATE SALE PRICE SIZE SF GRANTOR GRANTEE PRICE / SF TYPE SUBMARKET 1299 Polaris Parkway December $80,000,000 443,165 Glimcher Realty Trust DDR $180.52 Power Center Northeast 55 Meadow Park Avenue October $19,510,000 120,000 Worthington 1 LLC Cole RE Investments $162.58 Strip North Delaware County 4305 W Dublin Granville December $6,125,000 103,000 Fifth Third Bank Mr Tsarr Owner LLC $59.47 Lifestyle Northwest Road Center 3599 Park Mill Run Drive December $5,504,000 127,058 Cadle Company A&C Ventures Inc $43.32 Super Northwest 4675 Karl Road November $721,000 58,994 Chesrown Norman L TR KM 22 Investments LLC $12.22 Automotive Northeast 8139 East Broad Street December $2,120,000 4,092 One Reynoldsburg Co. CK Broad LLC $518.08 Stand-alone - LEASE ACTIVITY PROPERTY ADDRESS LEASE SF TOTAL SIZE LESSEE ASKING PRICE TYPE SUBMARKET 1821 Henderson Road 33,000 160,702 Show & Sell Merchandise - Community Northwest 104 Vine Street 10,000 10,000 - $12.00 Restaurant Central 5504 Livingston Avenue 9,000 46,362 Bingo hall $4.67 Strip Southeast 1004 Memorial Drive 7,355 7,355 Grover Motor Sales $7.34 Automotive Fairfield 5091 Main Street 7,320 45,395 Payless Furniture - Strip Southeast 5796 Karl Road 6,350 6,350 -- $7.95 Restaurant Northwest 2831 Olentangy River Road 6,000 130,600 Sunspot Tanning $14.00 Anchored Strip Northwest 3703 Broad Street 5,250 489,617 - $12.00 Power Center Southeast 5091 Main Street 5,100 45,395 Everything Goes $13.50 Strip Southeast 695 Hill Road 4,104 4,104 - $14.62 Freestanding Fairfield 471 Morrison Road 4,000 16,069 - $13.00 Strip Northeast P. 2 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 3. RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q4 2011 | RETAIL | GREATER COLUMBUS REGION UPDATE Market Comparisons RETAIL MARKET Net Absorption Construction Asking Rental Rates SUBMARKET Total SF Vacant SF Vacancy % Current Quarter Year-to-date Current Completions Neighborhood Power CBD 986,975 5,810 0.6 17,108 46,293 21,000 - - - FAIRFIELD 3,418,174 447,642 13.1 (6,700) (2,875) - - $10.06 - LICKING 3,250,240 329,901 10.2 - (7,097) - - $8.97 - MADISON 443,304 9,285 2.1 - (4,000) - - $10.00 - NORTH DELAWARE 1,780,118 246,230 13.8 45,640 52,635 - - $11.08 $22.50 NORTHEAST 15,437,110 1,013,801 6.6 50,409 107,925 15,000 - $13.27 $10.00 NORTHWEST 13,017,379 1,101,967 8.5 58,487 39,454 107,000 - $12.12 $20.00 PICKAWAY 694,724 17,582 2.5 - (6,615) - - $8.50 - SOUTHEAST 9,459,758 1,291,195 13.6 (41,132) 72,483 - - $7.98 $19.50 SOUTHWEST 6,905,523 1,682,354 24.4 (16,623) 155,051 - - $8.57 $7.53 UNION 1,157,257 46,752 4.0 900 (175) - - - $18.00 TOTALS 56,550,562 6,192,519 11.0 108,089 453,079 143,000 - $10.48 $12.50 Net Absorption Construction Asking Rental Rates PROPERTY TYPE Total SF Vacant SF Vacancy % Current Quarter Year-to-date Current Completions COMMUNITY 8,999,075 1,121,862 12.5 (2,554) 56,382 30,000 - $12.69 FREE-STANDING 7,990,369 582,426 7.3 (33,146) (13,178) 58,000 - $7.02 NEIGHBORHOOD 17,397,813 2,390,797 13.7 106,908 89,819 - - $10.52 OTHER 27,000 4,610 17.1 - 4,010 - - - OUTLET 184,000 - 0.0 - - - - - POWER 5,272,202 286,627 5.4 - 167,293 - - $12.50 REGIONAL 3,828,626 456,714 11.9 (17,552) 79,801 40,000 - $9.54 SPECIALTY 250,000 - 0.0 17,108 37,938 - - - STRIP 5,448,505 700,128 12.8 37,325 26,669 15,000 - $11.63 SUPER REGIONAL 6,530,997 648,155 9.9 - - - - - URBAN 621,975 1,200 0.2 - 4,345 - - - TOTALS 56,550,562 6,192,519 11.0 108,089 453,079 142,000 - $10.70 QUARTERLY COMPARISON AND TOTALS Net Absorption Construction Asking Rental Rates QUARTER, YEAR Total SF Vacant SF Vacancy % Current Quarter Year-to-date Current Completions Neighborhood Power Q3, 2011 56,491,260 6,300,608 11.2 118,454 344,990 67,000 109,000 $12.05 $10.35 Q2, 2011 56,392,260 6,425,462 11.4 30,507 226,536 109,000 240,000 $11.43 $18.31 Q1, 2011 55,896,613 6,439,929 11.5 195,989 195,989 336,000 255,647 $11.46 $17.89 Q4, 2010 56,019,350 6,663,024 11.9 57,808 274,518 541,647 110,000 $11.05 $12.50 MINIMUM WAGE The minimum wage will be increased across Ohio by $.30 to $7.70 effective January 1, 2012. The minimum wage for tipped employees will climb 15 cents to $3.85 an hour. The rise is a part of a scheduled increase tied to consumer prices. COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 3
  • 4. RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q4 2011 | RETAIL | GREATER COLUMBUS REGION CBD retailers is less fierce than higher populated The Central Business District (CBD) had positive areas of Columbus. Marginal vacancy changes absorption of more than 17,000 square feet. occurred in Union county. 512 offices in Leases included Big Mama’s Playhouse and US Hair at the South Campus Gateway. FUNDAMENTALS 61 countries on Three sources are instructive for retail consumer 6 continents NORTH activity: the consumer confidence index; a The north submarkets include Northwest, weekly poll conducted by Gallup; the Beige Book United States: 125 produced by the Federal Reserve Bank semi- Canada: 38 Northeast, and North Delaware. In North Latin America: 18 Delaware Do It Best Hardware and Carquest quarterly. Asia Pacific: 214 took 43,000 square feet at Big Walnut Plaza. EMEA: 117 The consumer confidence index is produced by • $1.5 billion in annual revenue In the Northwest, Show & Sell Merchandise took The Conference Board and is a survey of how confident consumers are in the current economic • 978.6 million square feet under 33,000 square feet in two suites at Arlington management Square (1821 Henderson Road). Worthington conditions by their spending and saving habits. In January, the index was 61.1, increasing by • Over 12,500 professionals Square (64 Wilson Bridge Road) showed heavy activity occurred at with more than 26,000 roughly 15.7 basis points from 45.4 in September, square feet of positive absorption. Two tenants the end of third quarter. In December, the index GREATER COLUMBUS REGION expanded and there were four new tenants: had a year-high peak of 64.8. As a guide, the Richard B. Schuen SIOR CCIM Learning Expressions, Bill’s Buckeye Stuff, index was 112.5 in July 2007, six months before CEO | Principal | Columbus 8800 Lyra Drive Worthington Craft Guild and Simply Baby ‘n Me. beginning of the recession. Suite #150 Sunspot Tanning also took 6,000 square feet at Columbus, Ohio, 43240 University City Shopping Center, 2831 Olentangy Gallup’s consumer spending measure tracks the TEL +1 614 410 5612 River Road. average dollar amount Americans report spending or charging on a daily basis, not In the Northeast, there was more than 50,000 counting the purchase of a home, motor vehicle, Leslie Hobbs Marketing and Research Manager square feet of positive absorption. Roses Variety or normal household bills. Over the three month 8800 Lyra Drive Wholesale leased more than 23,000 square feet period between October and December the 14- Suite #150 of Granville Center, 1481 Dublin Granville Road. day rolling average rose slightly from $63 to $64 Columbus, Ohio, 43240 Parties on the Square Hall leased 10,600 square with a high of $81 on December 23. The high TEL +1 614 410 5640 feet at Columbus Square, 5727 Emporium Drive. mark of the 3-day rolling average was also on Other tenants taking space across the Northeast “black friday”, November 28, at $103. There was were Salon Lofts, Westerville Carryout, Exertion very little variation over the three month period Jonathan Badgley Research Analyst Training and Eden Pure. as reported retail sales did not grow substantially. 175 South Third Street Suite # 285 SOUTH The Cleveland Federal Reserve reports on Columbus, Ohio 43201 The southern submarkets are Southeast and consumer spending twice a quarter in the Beige TEL +1 614 437 4495 Southwest. In the Southeast, Barrel 44 leased Book. The data for these reports comes from more than 9,000 square feet in the Bexley qualitative surveys of retailers in the fourth Square, 2212 Main Street, and a bingo hall district, which includes Columbus. In January, leased 9,000 square feet at 5504-5532 East the reserve bank reported that retailers indicated Livingston Avenue. sales were stable or slightly higher relative to October sales. Electronics and home furnishings This document/email has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising purposes. Colliers EAST were better than expected while consumers held International statistics and data are audited annually and back from purchasing cold-weather related may result in revisions to previously reported quarterly The eastern submarkets are Licking and Fairfield and final year-end figures. Sources include Columbus items. Retailers expressed caution about 2012 Counties. There were no substantial changes in Dispatch, Business First, Xceligent, Wall Street Journal, given the fragility of household balance sheets. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic these submarkets this quarter. Analysis, Gallup and the Cleveland Federal Reserve. Inventories were categorized as good except for apparel items which are higher than desired. WEST Any outlays planned for 2012 will mainly be for The western submarkets include Union and technology enhancements and remodeling. Madison Counties. Low population in these Other than seasonal hiring, employment changed submarkets means that competition between very little. Accelerating success. www.colliers.com/columbus