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Office
PrOPerty Market Overview
iNDia
QUarterLy UPDate | JaNUary | 2012




Accelerating success.
4Q 2011 | THE KNOWLEDGE


REsEARCh & fORECAsT REpORT
sYDNEY CENTRAl BusINEss DIsTRICT

RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT
INDIA OFFICE MARkET




                                                  MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
                                                                                                                   ECONOMIC INDICATORs
                                                  •	As per the latest Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
                                                    projections GDP growth rate was 6.9% for 4Q                                                                                      Gross Domestic product at factor cost
                                                    2011. The estimates by various agencies                   10.00%
                                                                                                                   9.00%
                                                    project the growth rate within a range of 7.0                  8.00%

                                                    to 8.0% for 2011-2012, suggesting a                            7.00%
                                                                                                                   6.00%
                                                    moderation in the economic growth.                             5.00%
                                                                                                                   4.00%
                                                                                                                   3.00%
                                                  •	Provisional Wholesale Price Index as reported                  2.00%

                                                    by Ministry of Finance was 9.34% for                           1.00%
                                                                                                                   0.00%
                                                    December 2011. This quarter there was a




                                                                                                                                      Jan - Mar 09


                                                                                                                                                                  Apr - Jun 09


                                                                                                                                                                                            Jul - Sep 09


                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Oct - Dec 09


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jan - Mar 10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Apr - Jun 10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jul - Sep 10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Oct - Dec 10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Jan - Mar 11


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Apr - Jun 11


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Jul - Sep 11
 ECONOMIC BAROMETER                                 slight decrease in primary inflation due to the
                                                    decrease in food inflation which stood at
                             Dec-10     Dec-11
                                                    -3.36%.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  fDI in Real Estate
                                                                                                              16,000
             REPO RATE       6.25%      8.50%
                                                  •	In 4Q 2011, RBI refrained from increasing                 14,000


                                                    repo rates. It further stated that there will
                                                                                                              12,000
    REVERSE REPO RATE        5.25%      7.50%                                                                 10,000
                                                    likely not be any increase to the policy rates,                8,000

                      CRR    6.00%      6.00%       provided inflation moderates as is expected.                   6,000

                                                    The repo rate is currently 8.5%.                               4,000
                                                                                                       INR Crore




              INFLATION      9.47%      9.34%                                                                      2,000

                                                                                                                      0
                                                  •	The Department of Industrial Policy and
                                                                                                                                                2005 - 06




                                                                                                                                                                                          2006 - 07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2007 - 08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2008 - 09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2009 - 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2010 - 11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               April - Oct 2011
   TREASURy BOND RATE        7.19%      8.39%
                                                    Promotion (DIPP) recorded FDI inflow for the
 FIxED DEPOSIT (= 1yEAR)     8.50%      9.25%       period April to October, 2011 in Housing &
                                                    Real Estate at INR 2,130 crores; which is
     FOREIGN ExCHANGE                               2/3rd in volume as compared to years 2008-                      130                                                                                      BsE sensex & Realty Index

                 INR - USD   45.02      54.96       09 and 2009-10. The Housing and                                 120


              INR- EURO      59.12      71.52
                                                    Construction contribution to the total FDI has                   110

                                                    also reduced to 2.31% compared to 7% in the                     100

                                                    previous financial year.                                         90


                                                                                                                     80
RETuRN ON AlTERNATIVE INVEsTMENTs                 •	In 4Q 2011, Indian Rupee (INR) depriciated                       70
                                                    further by approximately 10% against the US
                                                                                                                             1-Aug-11
                                                                                                                             7-Aug-11
                                                                                                                           13-Aug-11
                                                                                                                           19-Aug-11
                                                                                                                           25-Aug-11
                                                                                                                           31-Aug-11
                                                                                                                             6-Sep-11
                                                                                                                           12-Sep-11
                                                                                                                           18-Sep-11
                                                                                                                           24-Sep-11
                                                                                                                           30-Sep-11
                                                                                                                             6-Oct-11
                                                                                                                            12-Oct-11
                                                                                                                            18-Oct-11
                                                                                                                           24-Oct-11
                                                                                                                           30-Oct-11
                                                                                                                             5-Nov-11
                                                                                                                            11-Nov-11
                                                                                                                            17-Nov-11
                                                                                                                           23-Nov-11
                                                                                                                           29-Nov-11
                                                                                                                             5-Dec-11
                                                                                                                            11-Dec-11
                                                                                                                            17-Dec-11
                                                                                                                           23-Dec-11
                                                                                                                           29-Dec-11




                    Dec-10     Dec-11   YoY %
                                                    Dollar to close at INRs 54.40 to 1.00 USD on
                                        Change
                                                    29th December 2011. The INR also weakened            * Rebase to 100
                                                                                                        Note: As of 1st August 2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           BSE Sensex                                                                                     Realty Index



         GOLD       20,496     28,041   36.81%      against the Euro dropping by approximately
                                                    5% to close the quarter at INRs INR 70.99 to                     115
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Exchange Rates

        SILVER      45,346     51,168   12.84%      1.00 Euro.                                                       110


  EQUITy (BSE                                                                                                       105

                                                  •	Qualified Foreign Investor (QFIs) can now
      SENSEx)       20,389     15,836   -22.33%                                                                     100
                                                    directly invest in the Indian Equity Market. The
                                                                                                                     95
  REALTy INDEx       2,856     1,497    -47.57%     investment limit has been aggregated to 5 and
                                                    10% for individual and QFIs of their paid up
                                                                                                                     90



                                                    capital of the Indian company that they                          85
                                                                                                                           1-Aug-11
                                                                                                                                      7-Aug-11
                                                                                                                                                     13-Aug-11
                                                                                                                                                                 19-Aug-11
                                                                                                                                                                             25-Aug-11
                                                                                                                                                                                         6-Sep-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12-Sep-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  18-Sep-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              24-Sep-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          30-Sep-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      6-Oct-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  12-Oct-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              18-Oct-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             24-Oct-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         30-Oct-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      5-Nov-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 11-Nov-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             17-Nov-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         23-Nov-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     29-Nov-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 5-Dec-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            11-Dec-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        17-Dec-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     23-Dec-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     29-Dec-11




                                                    establish in India.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       US$                                                                                                Euro
                                                                                                         * Rebase to 100
                                                                                                         Note: As of 1st August 2011




                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Source: Colliers International India Research




www.colliers.com
THE KNOWLEDGE | 4Q 2011 | Office | MUMbai


                                                                                                                                                                                                                    MuMBAI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    •	During 4Q 2011, more than 10.5 million sq ft of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      grade “A” office space was available for Most                                                                                Navi Mumbai 7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Goregoan / JVLR 8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                kalina 1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      of this available stock was concentrated in                                                                                    Powai 5%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Andheri, Lower Parel and Thane in the form                                         Worli / Prabhadevi 1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Thane / LBS 21%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      of IT / ITeS office space.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Malad 5%



                                                                                                                                                                                                                    •	No major new projects / phases of projects
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           CBD 1%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                      were completed this quarter in Mumbai.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Increased cost of construction due to high                                               Lower Parel 22%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      inflation and interest rates has delayed the                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Andheri East 24%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                      delivery of many under construction projects                                                                                                                            BkC 5%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      by a few quarters. No new projects were
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      launched during 4Q 2011.

MUMBAI                                                                                                                                                                                                              •	Demand for commercial properties was
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4Q 2011 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE’B’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      restrained as occupiers were cautious about                            RENTAl VAluEs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      committing to occupy real estate space, due to
CITY OffICE BAROMETER                                                                                                                                                                                                 the uncertainty in the economic scenario.                                         300

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Transaction volumes thus decreased.                                               250

                                                                                                                 3Q 2011                                                  4Q 2011                                                                                                                       200

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    •	In a recent transaction, HDIL was reported to




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            INR Per Sq ft Per Month
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        150

                                                           VACANCY                                                                                                                                                    have sold a 15.5-acre land parcel located at                                      100

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Turbhe.
                                         ABsORpTION                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      50


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    •	Rental values for grade ‘A’ office space



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  CBD

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Andheri East
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               BkC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Lower Parel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Malad

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Navi Mumbai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Powai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Worli/Prabhdevi

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Goregaon / JVLR

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           kalina
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Thane / LBS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Andheri East (IT)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Lower Parel (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Malad (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Navi Mumbai (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Powai (IT)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Goregaon / JVLR (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Thane / LBS (IT)
                                CONsTRuCTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      remained stable in almost all the SBD
                                  RENTAl VAluE                                                                                                                                                                        locations. However, CBD and few peripheral
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      markets such as Navi Mumbai, Thane and                                                                                                                      Grade A                                                                    Grade B


                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Goregaon observed marginal downward
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      pressures on rentals in the range of 2 to 5%.

             GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE                                                                                                                                                                         •	Going forward rental values are expected to                            pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      remain under pressure due to prevailing
                          245
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      economic sentiment and lesser demand.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        420
                                                                                                                                                                                   Forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        370
                          210
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    •	The State Government has hiked the ready                                          320
                          175
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      reckoner rates by 5 to 25% in various areas                                       270
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              INR per Sq ft per Month




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        220
                          140
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      with effect from 1 Jan 2012.                                                       170

                          105                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            120
INR per Sq ft per Month




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         70
                          70
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              1Q2008
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    3Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3Q2011
                          35                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            4Q2011

                           0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     CBD                                                         Andheri East                                                                Malad                                                                           BkC
                                                                                      3Q2009




                                                                                                                                   4Q2010
                                         2Q2008


                                                           4Q2008


                                                                             2Q2009


                                                                                               4Q2009




                                                                                                                                                                                         2Q2012


                                                                                                                                                                                                           4Q2012
                                                  3Q2008




                                                                                                                                                                                                  3Q2012
                                                                                                                 2Q2010
                                1Q2008




                                                                    1Q2009




                                                                                                                          3Q2010




                                                                                                                                                     2Q2011




                                                                                                                                                                                1Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                       4Q2011
                                                                                                                                                              3Q2011
                                                                                                        1Q2010




                                                                                                                                            1Q2011




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Lower Parel                                                 Navi Mumbai                                                                 Powai                                                                           Worli /
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Prabhadevi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Goregaon                                                     kalina                                                                     Thane / LBS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 / JVLR




                          MARKET TRANsACTIONs
                          CLIENT                                                                                                                                                           BUILDING NAME                                AREA                     LOCATION                                                                                                                                               TRANSACTION TyPE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        (SQ. FT.)

                          Dow Chemical                                                                                                                                                     Godrej IT Park                               55,000                   Vikhroli                                                                                                                                               Lease

                          E Clinical Works                                                                                                                                                 Boomerang                                    75,000                   Andheri                                                                                                                                                Lease

                          Franklin Templeton                                                                                                                                               India Bulls Financial Centre                 40,000                   Lower Parel                                                                                                                                            Lease

                          L’Oreal India                                                                                                                                                    Mighty Majestic                              80,000                   Chembur                                                                                                                                                Lease

                          Vodafone                                                                                                                                                         One India Bull                               50,000                   Lower Parel                                                                                                                                            Lease




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Source: Colliers International India Research



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          COllIERs INTERNATIONAl |                                                                                                                                                                                               p. 3
THE KNOWLEDGE | 4Q 2011 | Office | DeLhi


                                                                                                                                                                                                       DElhI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs

                                                                                                                                                                                                       •	In 4Q 2011 approximately 1.2 million sq. ft.
                                                                                                                                                                                                         of grade ‘A’ office space was available for                                                                                            Connaught Place 2%

                                                                                                                                                                                                         sale/lease. Most of this available stock was                                                                                                                                                     Nehru Place 10%


                                                                                                                                                                                                         concentrated in suburban business districts
                                                                                                                                                                                                         such as Jasola and Saket.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Saket 29%


                                                                                                                                                                                                       •	A mixed use project in CBD, “Capitol Point”
                                                                                                                                                                                                         developed by DLF Ltd was completed this
                                                                                                                                                                                                         quarter, adding about 0.07 million sq ft                                                                                                                                                                          Jasola 59%

                                                                                                                                                                                                         of grade ‘A’ office space to Delhi’s total
                                                                                                                                                                                                         inventory.

                                                                                                                                                                                                       •	In this quarter the National Buildings
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Construction Corporation Ltd (NBCC) launched
DELHI                                                                                                                                                                                                    a commercial project “NBCC Plaza” at Okhla,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4Q 2011 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE’B’
                                                                                                                                                                                                         and Parsavnath Group started construction of                        RENTAl VAluEs
                                                                                                                                                                                                         a commercial grade ‘A’ project in Connaught
CITY OffICE BAROMETER                                                                                                                                                                                    Place along kasturba Gandhi Marg.                                                400

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          350

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          300
                                                                                                       3Q 2011                                                 4Q 2011                                 •	Amid global and domestic economic                                                250
                                                                                                                                                                                                         uncertainties, moderate demand was observed                                      200
                                                       VACANCY                                                                                                                                           in all of the micro-markets. A minor correction




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              INR per Sq Ft per Month
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          150

                                                                                                                                                                                                         in the range of 1 to 2% was observed in rental                                   100
                                        ABsORpTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                         values of grade ‘A’ office space across all of                                    50


                                CONsTRuCTION                                                                                                                                                             the micro-markets.                                                                0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Nehru Place




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Jasola




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Saket
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Netaji Subhash
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Place
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Connaught
                                 RENTAl VAluE                                                                                                                                                          •	Looking forward, demand is likely to witness
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Grade A                                         Grade B
                                                                                                                                                                                                         moderate growth, however, owing to limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                         grade ‘A’ supply the rentals are expected to
                                                                                                                                                                                                         remain largely stable across all the micro
                                                                                                                                                                                                         markets.
                 GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE                                                                                                                                                                                                                              pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND
                                                                                                                                                                                                       •	The Delhi cabinet has hiked the circle rates
                          280
                                                                                                                                                                                                         for the second time this year. The rates has                                     450


                          245
                                                                                                                                                                      Forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                         been revised from 100 to 250% in areas                                           400


                          210
                                                                                                                                                                                                         falling under various categories. Earlier this                                   350


                                                                                                                                                                                                         year in February 2011, the circle rates were
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          300
                          175
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          250

                          140                                                                                                                                                                            increased upto 100%. The increase in circle                                      200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                INR per Sq ft per Month




                          105                                                                                                                                                                            rates resulted in very limited activity in resale                                150
INR per Sq ft per Month




                           70                                                                                                                                                                            commercial markets as the margins went                                           100


                           35                                                                                                                                                                            down significantly due to higher capital gain                                     50

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            0
                                                                                                                                                                                                         tax and stamp duty.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           4Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 4Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            4Q2011


                           0
                                                                                                                                                                                              4Q2012
                                     3Q2008

                                              4Q2008

                                                       1Q2009

                                                                2Q2009

                                                                         3Q2009

                                                                                  4Q2009

                                                                                           1Q2010

                                                                                                    2Q2010

                                                                                                             3Q2010
                                                                                                                      4Q2010
                                                                                                                               1Q2011
                                                                                                                                        2Q2011
                                                                                                                                                 3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                          4Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                   1Q2012

                                                                                                                                                                            2Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                     3Q2012
                            2Q2008




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Nehru Place                                    Jasola                                          Cannaught                                  Saket
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        place
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Netaji Subhash




                          MARKET TRANsACTIONs
                          CLIENT                                                                                                                                              BUILDING NAME                                 AREA                     LOCATION                                                                                                        TRANSACTION TyPE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            (SQ. FT.)

                          Birla Sun Life                                                                                                                                      Aggarwal Tower                                10,000                   Rajendra Place                                                                                                  Lease

                          HRD                                                                                                                                                 Vijaya Building                               24,000                   Connaught Place                                                                                                 Lease

                          L&T                                                                                                                                                 DCM Building                                  19,000                   Connaught Place                                                                                                 Lease

                          Red Hat                                                                                                                                             Copia                                         8,000                    Jasola                                                                                                          Lease

                          Wipro                                                                                                                                               Mohan Cooperative                             60,000                   Mohan Cooperative                                                                                               Lease




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Source: Colliers International India Research



p. 4                                 | COllIERs INTERNATIONAl
Office property market overview jan 2012
Office property market overview jan 2012
Office property market overview jan 2012
Office property market overview jan 2012
Office property market overview jan 2012
Office property market overview jan 2012
Office property market overview jan 2012
Office property market overview jan 2012

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Office property market overview jan 2012

  • 1. Office PrOPerty Market Overview iNDia QUarterLy UPDate | JaNUary | 2012 Accelerating success.
  • 2. 4Q 2011 | THE KNOWLEDGE REsEARCh & fORECAsT REpORT sYDNEY CENTRAl BusINEss DIsTRICT RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT INDIA OFFICE MARkET MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW ECONOMIC INDICATORs • As per the latest Reserve Bank of India (RBI) projections GDP growth rate was 6.9% for 4Q Gross Domestic product at factor cost 2011. The estimates by various agencies 10.00% 9.00% project the growth rate within a range of 7.0 8.00% to 8.0% for 2011-2012, suggesting a 7.00% 6.00% moderation in the economic growth. 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% • Provisional Wholesale Price Index as reported 2.00% by Ministry of Finance was 9.34% for 1.00% 0.00% December 2011. This quarter there was a Jan - Mar 09 Apr - Jun 09 Jul - Sep 09 Oct - Dec 09 Jan - Mar 10 Apr - Jun 10 Jul - Sep 10 Oct - Dec 10 Jan - Mar 11 Apr - Jun 11 Jul - Sep 11 ECONOMIC BAROMETER slight decrease in primary inflation due to the decrease in food inflation which stood at Dec-10 Dec-11 -3.36%. fDI in Real Estate 16,000 REPO RATE 6.25% 8.50% • In 4Q 2011, RBI refrained from increasing 14,000 repo rates. It further stated that there will 12,000 REVERSE REPO RATE 5.25% 7.50% 10,000 likely not be any increase to the policy rates, 8,000 CRR 6.00% 6.00% provided inflation moderates as is expected. 6,000 The repo rate is currently 8.5%. 4,000 INR Crore INFLATION 9.47% 9.34% 2,000 0 • The Department of Industrial Policy and 2005 - 06 2006 - 07 2007 - 08 2008 - 09 2009 - 10 2010 - 11 April - Oct 2011 TREASURy BOND RATE 7.19% 8.39% Promotion (DIPP) recorded FDI inflow for the FIxED DEPOSIT (= 1yEAR) 8.50% 9.25% period April to October, 2011 in Housing & Real Estate at INR 2,130 crores; which is FOREIGN ExCHANGE 2/3rd in volume as compared to years 2008- 130 BsE sensex & Realty Index INR - USD 45.02 54.96 09 and 2009-10. The Housing and 120 INR- EURO 59.12 71.52 Construction contribution to the total FDI has 110 also reduced to 2.31% compared to 7% in the 100 previous financial year. 90 80 RETuRN ON AlTERNATIVE INVEsTMENTs • In 4Q 2011, Indian Rupee (INR) depriciated 70 further by approximately 10% against the US 1-Aug-11 7-Aug-11 13-Aug-11 19-Aug-11 25-Aug-11 31-Aug-11 6-Sep-11 12-Sep-11 18-Sep-11 24-Sep-11 30-Sep-11 6-Oct-11 12-Oct-11 18-Oct-11 24-Oct-11 30-Oct-11 5-Nov-11 11-Nov-11 17-Nov-11 23-Nov-11 29-Nov-11 5-Dec-11 11-Dec-11 17-Dec-11 23-Dec-11 29-Dec-11 Dec-10 Dec-11 YoY % Dollar to close at INRs 54.40 to 1.00 USD on Change 29th December 2011. The INR also weakened * Rebase to 100 Note: As of 1st August 2011 BSE Sensex Realty Index GOLD 20,496 28,041 36.81% against the Euro dropping by approximately 5% to close the quarter at INRs INR 70.99 to 115 Exchange Rates SILVER 45,346 51,168 12.84% 1.00 Euro. 110 EQUITy (BSE 105 • Qualified Foreign Investor (QFIs) can now SENSEx) 20,389 15,836 -22.33% 100 directly invest in the Indian Equity Market. The 95 REALTy INDEx 2,856 1,497 -47.57% investment limit has been aggregated to 5 and 10% for individual and QFIs of their paid up 90 capital of the Indian company that they 85 1-Aug-11 7-Aug-11 13-Aug-11 19-Aug-11 25-Aug-11 6-Sep-11 12-Sep-11 18-Sep-11 24-Sep-11 30-Sep-11 6-Oct-11 12-Oct-11 18-Oct-11 24-Oct-11 30-Oct-11 5-Nov-11 11-Nov-11 17-Nov-11 23-Nov-11 29-Nov-11 5-Dec-11 11-Dec-11 17-Dec-11 23-Dec-11 29-Dec-11 establish in India. US$ Euro * Rebase to 100 Note: As of 1st August 2011 Source: Colliers International India Research www.colliers.com
  • 3. THE KNOWLEDGE | 4Q 2011 | Office | MUMbai MuMBAI AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs • During 4Q 2011, more than 10.5 million sq ft of grade “A” office space was available for Most Navi Mumbai 7% Goregoan / JVLR 8% kalina 1% of this available stock was concentrated in Powai 5% Andheri, Lower Parel and Thane in the form Worli / Prabhadevi 1% Thane / LBS 21% of IT / ITeS office space. Malad 5% • No major new projects / phases of projects CBD 1% were completed this quarter in Mumbai. Increased cost of construction due to high Lower Parel 22% inflation and interest rates has delayed the Andheri East 24% delivery of many under construction projects BkC 5% by a few quarters. No new projects were launched during 4Q 2011. MUMBAI • Demand for commercial properties was 4Q 2011 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE’B’ restrained as occupiers were cautious about RENTAl VAluEs committing to occupy real estate space, due to CITY OffICE BAROMETER the uncertainty in the economic scenario. 300 Transaction volumes thus decreased. 250 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 200 • In a recent transaction, HDIL was reported to INR Per Sq ft Per Month 150 VACANCY have sold a 15.5-acre land parcel located at 100 Turbhe. ABsORpTION 50 0 • Rental values for grade ‘A’ office space CBD Andheri East BkC Lower Parel Malad Navi Mumbai Powai Worli/Prabhdevi Goregaon / JVLR kalina Thane / LBS Andheri East (IT) Lower Parel (IT) Malad (IT) Navi Mumbai (IT) Powai (IT) Goregaon / JVLR (IT) Thane / LBS (IT) CONsTRuCTION remained stable in almost all the SBD RENTAl VAluE locations. However, CBD and few peripheral markets such as Navi Mumbai, Thane and Grade A Grade B Goregaon observed marginal downward pressures on rentals in the range of 2 to 5%. GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE • Going forward rental values are expected to pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND remain under pressure due to prevailing 245 economic sentiment and lesser demand. 420 Forecast 370 210 • The State Government has hiked the ready 320 175 reckoner rates by 5 to 25% in various areas 270 INR per Sq ft per Month 220 140 with effect from 1 Jan 2012. 170 105 120 INR per Sq ft per Month 70 70 20 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 35 4Q2011 0 CBD Andheri East Malad BkC 3Q2009 4Q2010 2Q2008 4Q2008 2Q2009 4Q2009 2Q2012 4Q2012 3Q2008 3Q2012 2Q2010 1Q2008 1Q2009 3Q2010 2Q2011 1Q2012 4Q2011 3Q2011 1Q2010 1Q2011 Lower Parel Navi Mumbai Powai Worli / Prabhadevi Goregaon kalina Thane / LBS / JVLR MARKET TRANsACTIONs CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA LOCATION TRANSACTION TyPE (SQ. FT.) Dow Chemical Godrej IT Park 55,000 Vikhroli Lease E Clinical Works Boomerang 75,000 Andheri Lease Franklin Templeton India Bulls Financial Centre 40,000 Lower Parel Lease L’Oreal India Mighty Majestic 80,000 Chembur Lease Vodafone One India Bull 50,000 Lower Parel Lease Source: Colliers International India Research COllIERs INTERNATIONAl | p. 3
  • 4. THE KNOWLEDGE | 4Q 2011 | Office | DeLhi DElhI AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs • In 4Q 2011 approximately 1.2 million sq. ft. of grade ‘A’ office space was available for Connaught Place 2% sale/lease. Most of this available stock was Nehru Place 10% concentrated in suburban business districts such as Jasola and Saket. Saket 29% • A mixed use project in CBD, “Capitol Point” developed by DLF Ltd was completed this quarter, adding about 0.07 million sq ft Jasola 59% of grade ‘A’ office space to Delhi’s total inventory. • In this quarter the National Buildings Construction Corporation Ltd (NBCC) launched DELHI a commercial project “NBCC Plaza” at Okhla, 4Q 2011 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE’B’ and Parsavnath Group started construction of RENTAl VAluEs a commercial grade ‘A’ project in Connaught CITY OffICE BAROMETER Place along kasturba Gandhi Marg. 400 350 300 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 • Amid global and domestic economic 250 uncertainties, moderate demand was observed 200 VACANCY in all of the micro-markets. A minor correction INR per Sq Ft per Month 150 in the range of 1 to 2% was observed in rental 100 ABsORpTION values of grade ‘A’ office space across all of 50 CONsTRuCTION the micro-markets. 0 Nehru Place Jasola Saket Netaji Subhash Place Connaught RENTAl VAluE • Looking forward, demand is likely to witness Grade A Grade B moderate growth, however, owing to limited grade ‘A’ supply the rentals are expected to remain largely stable across all the micro markets. GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND • The Delhi cabinet has hiked the circle rates 280 for the second time this year. The rates has 450 245 Forecast been revised from 100 to 250% in areas 400 210 falling under various categories. Earlier this 350 year in February 2011, the circle rates were 300 175 250 140 increased upto 100%. The increase in circle 200 INR per Sq ft per Month 105 rates resulted in very limited activity in resale 150 INR per Sq ft per Month 70 commercial markets as the margins went 100 35 down significantly due to higher capital gain 50 0 tax and stamp duty. 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2008 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2009 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2010 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 0 4Q2012 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012 2Q2008 Nehru Place Jasola Cannaught Saket place Netaji Subhash MARKET TRANsACTIONs CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA LOCATION TRANSACTION TyPE (SQ. FT.) Birla Sun Life Aggarwal Tower 10,000 Rajendra Place Lease HRD Vijaya Building 24,000 Connaught Place Lease L&T DCM Building 19,000 Connaught Place Lease Red Hat Copia 8,000 Jasola Lease Wipro Mohan Cooperative 60,000 Mohan Cooperative Lease Source: Colliers International India Research p. 4 | COllIERs INTERNATIONAl