1. Austin’s office market slows after a year of
rapid expansion
Research &
Forecast Report
AUSTIN | OFFICE
Q1 2016
Hannah Tysor Senior Marketing & Research Coordinator | Houston & Austin
After a major spike in the second half of 2015, Austin’s citywide
positive net absorption decreased in Q1 2016 to 290,047 square feet.
Three buildings totaling 321,024 square feet delivered in the first
quarter. Projects that delivered in Q1 include the fully leased
NorthShore building in the CBD, Research Park Plaza V in the
Northwest submarket, and Domain I in the North/Domain submarket.
Domain I has yet to sign a tenant. In the East submarket, there is over
350,000 square feet of proposed new construction with average rates
in the low 30s.
The citywide average rental rate increased by 0.5% from $31.12 per
square foot to $31.27 per square foot over the quarter. Class A rental
rates in Austin’s CBD decreased by 1.1% over the quarter to $44.64
per square foot from $45.14 per square foot in Q4. Overall suburban
Class A rental rates increased from $33.46 per square foot to $33.98
per square foot over the quarter.
Texas added 2,100 nonfarm jobs in February, expanding the state’s
employment for the 11th consecutive month. Austin’s unemployment
rate remains the second lowest in the state behind Amarillo. Since
Q1 2015, Austin’s unemployment rate has dropped from 3.5% to 3.1%.
Texas has seen an upward trend in the education and health services
industry for 37 consecutive months. Seven out of eleven major
industries saw growth in the first quarter across the state.
Vacancy & Availability
Austin’s citywide vacancy rate remained unchanged between
quarters at 11.2%. However, since the first quarter of 2015,
citywide vacancy has dropped 140 basis points from 12.6%.
Vacancy in the CBD remains lower than the average at 6.7%. Since
Q1 2015, vacancy in the CBD has decreased dramatically by 210
basis points. Over the quarter, overall vacancy in the CBD fell by
ten basis points.
Overall suburban vacancy remained the same over the quarter
at 12.4%. Submarkets that saw a significant decrease in vacancy
over the quarter include Central, Far Northwest, and West Central.
Summary Statistics
Austin Office Market Q1 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016
Vacancy Rate 12.6% 11.2% 11.2%
Net Absorption
(Million Square Feet)
.674 .874 .290
New Construction
(Million Square Feet)
.695 .671 .321
Under Construction
(Million Square Feet)
2.385 1.579 1.357
Class A Vacancy Rate
CBD
Suburban
10.5%
13.6%
7.5%
12.4%
6.9%
12.4%
Asking Rents
Per Square Foot Per Year
Average $29.95 $31.12 $31.27
CBD Class A $42.38 $45.14 $44.64
Suburban Class A $31.78 $33.46 $33.98
Market Indicators
Relative to prior period
Annual
Change
Quarterly
Change
Quarterly
Forecast*
VACANCY
NET ABSORPTION
NEW CONSTRUCTION
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
*Projected
2. 2 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q1 2016 | Office | Colliers International
Vacancy in the Far Northwest submarket in Class A properties dropped from
15.2% to 6.8% over the quarter.
Submarkets that experienced increases in vacancy in Q1 include Northwest,
and North/Domain. In the North/Domain submarket, Domain I, a 124,578 SF
office building, delivered in January and remains completely vacant.
Absorption, New Supply and Vacancy
Absorption & Demand
Austin’s office market posted 290,047 square feet of positive net absorption
in Q1 2016, a dramatic decrease from the second half of 2015 which saw
1,889,284 square feet of positive net absorption. A majority of the positive
net absorption in the first quarter can be attributed to the Far Northwest
submarket’s Class A office space that saw 160,581 square feet of positive net
absorption. LDR Spine USA, a medical manufacturing facility, moved into their
53,170 SF space in Aspen Lake One.
The second highest positive net absorption occurred in Class A space in the
CBD with 63,213 square feet in the first quarter, due in a large part to the
delivery of the NorthShore building where Galvanize moved into 23,592 SF of
space. NorthShore was 100% leased at completion.
Citywide Class B space saw 42,442 SF of negative net absorption in the first
quarter. Negative net absorption in Class B space occurred in the Northwest,
South, Southwest and CBD submarkets.
Rental Rates
The citywide average rental rate increased over the quarter from $31.12 per square
foot to $31.27 per square foot. The highest rates across the Austin market in the
first quarter were in CBD Class A buildings where rental rates reached $44.64 per
square foot. Although still higher than other submarkets, Class A rates in the CBD
fell by 1.1% since Q4 2015. Rental rates were also high in the South submarket and
West Central submarket where Class A rental rates reached $39.38 per square
foot and $37.62 per square foot respectively.
Citywide Class B rental rates rose slightly in the first quarter to $25.71 per square
foot from $25.43 per square foot in Q4. Class B rates in the CBD rose by 4% over
the quarter from $35.48 per square foot to $36.91 per square foot.
Job Growth & Unemployment
(not seasonally adjusted)
UNEMPLOYMENT 1/15 1/16
AUSTIN 3.5% 3.1%
TEXAS 4.4% 4.3%
U.S. 5.8% 5.2%
JOB GROWTH
Annual
Change
# of Jobs
Added
AUSTIN 4.2% 39.8K
TEXAS 1.5% 172.7K
U.S. 2.0% 2.9M
CBD vs. Suburban
CLASS A OFFICE VACANCY
CLASS A OFFICE RENTS
3. 33 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q1 2016 | Office | Colliers International
Q1 2016 Top Office Lease Transactions
BUILDING NAME/ADDRESS SUBMARKET SF TENANT LEASE DATE
Domain 4 North/Domain 400,000 Accruent Mar-16
5800 Airport Blvd Central 75,735 Netspend Jan-16
Lamar Central West Central 69,868 Unknown Feb-16
9600 N MoPac Expy Northwest 44,712 Oracle USA, Inc.1
Feb-16
Rollingwood Center Southwest 37,883 Unknown Feb-16
Riata Corporate Center Northwest 33,557 Unknown Feb-16
Research Park Plaza Northwest 25,937 Navitus Health Solutions Jan-16
13620 Ranch Road 620 N Cedar Park 22,285 CalAtlantic Homes Mar-16
The Park at Barton Creek Southwest 21,265 Unknown Feb-16
Lakeview Plaza Northwest 19,664 2Wire, Inc.1
Jan-16
816 Congress CBD 18,660 Unknown Mar-16
Capstar Plaza West Central 17,515 Jones Lang LaSalle Feb-16
Park Centre Northwest 16,228 Xplore Technologies Mar-16
Atrium Office Centre Central 16,146 The Community Care Collaborative Feb-16
Treemont Plaza Southwest 15,287 Mattersight Corporation Mar-16
Atrium Office Centre Central 15,893 Stewart Title Company Feb-16
Monterey Tech Center Southwest 14,400 Arrive Logistics Mar-16
1705 Guadalupe St. CBD 11,210 NeighborFavor Inc., DBA “Favor” Feb-16
Scarbrough Building CBD 10,536 ClearData Mar-16
Lamar Central West Central 10,288 AcademicWorks Feb-16
Leasing Activity
Austin’s office leasing activity recorded 1,316,525 SF in Q1 2016. Major transactions this quarter included a new lease for Accruent at
Domain 4 and a renewal for Oracle USA, Inc.
1
Renewal
2
Expansion
3
Sublease
4
Pre-lease/proposed or under construction
Q1 2016 Significant Sales Transactions – (100,000 SF or greater)
BUILDING NAME SUBMARKET RBA (SF) YEAR BUILT BUYER SELLER SALE PRICE $/SF CLOSED
Parmer Office Park (6
Properties)
Northwest 257,468 1999-2001
US Real Estate
Invesment Fund, LLC
& Eurus Capital
REEF America LLC Undisclosed N/A Jan-16
9101 Burnet Rd. &
12710 Research Blvd
North/Domain
&
Northwest
124,310 1984 Valor Capital Partners
OakPoint and Haverford
Management
Undisclosed N/A Feb-16
University Park Central 206,657 2009
Lionstone
Investments
UP Austin Holdings LP $64,270,327 $311 Mar-16
316 W. 12th St. CBD 100,000 1950 Austin 316 LP
Texas State Teachers
Association
Undisclosed N/A Mar-16
Sales Activity
Austin’s office investment sales activity included four sales transactions (including two portfolio sales) with an average sale price of $294
per SF.
Sources: CoStar and Real Capital Analytics
*Part of a portfolio
4. 4 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q1 2016 | Office | Colliers International
Austin Office Market Summary (CBD, Suburban, & Overall)
INVENTORY DIRECT VACANCY
SUBLEASE
VACANCY
VACANCY VACANCY RATE (%)
NET ABSORPTION
(SF)
RENTAL
RATE
CLASS
# OF
BLDGS.
TOTAL (SF) (SF)
RATE
(%)
(SF)
RATE
(%)
TOTAL
(SF)
Q1-2016 Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Q4-2015
AVG
($/SF)
CBD
A 27 6,804,010 456,220 6.7% 14,667 0.2% 470,887 6.9% 7.5% 63,213 148,599 $44.64
B 31 2,322,311 131,980 5.7% 4,650 0.2% 136,630 5.9% 4.3% -35,671 -11,255 $36.91
C 9 470,243 22,000 4.7% 14800 3.1% 36,800 7.8% 8.4% 2,469 7,231 $25.33
Total 67 9,596,564 610,200 6.4% 34,117 0.4% 644,317 6.7% 6.8% 30,011 144,575 $42.56
SUBURBAN
A 172 20,170,503 2,186,303 10.8% 327,464 1.6% 2,513,767 12.5% 12.5% 263,272 716,778 $33.98
B 315 15,735,784 1,999,494 12.7% 136,544 0.9% 2,136,038 13.6% 13.5% -6,771 -19,794 $24.85
C 55 2,857,430 140,928 4.9% 0 0.0% 140,928 4.9% 5.1% 3,535 33,075 $18.49
Total 542 38,763,717 4,326,725 11.2% 464,008 1.2% 4,790,733 12.4% 12.4% 260,036 730,059 $29.56
OVERALL
A 199 26,974,513 2,642,523 9.8% 342,131 1.3% 2,984,654 11.1% 11.2% 326,485 865,377 $35.86
B 346 18,058,095 2,131,474 11.8% 141,194 0.8% 2,272,668 12.6% 12.4% -42,442 -31,049 $25.71
C 64 3,327,673 162,928 4.9% 14,800 0.4% 177,728 5.3% 5.5% 6,004 40,306 $19.03
Total 609 48,360,281 4,936,925 10.2% 498,125 1.0% 5,435,050 11.2% 11.2% 290,047 874,634 $31.27
INVENTORY
DIRECT
VACANCY
SUBLEASE
VACANCY
VACANCY VACANCY RATE (%) NET ABSORPTION (SF)
RENTAL
RATE
CLASS
# OF
BLDGS.
TOTAL (SF) (SF)
RATE
(%)
(SF)
RATE
(%)
TOTAL
(SF)
Q1-2016 Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Q4-2015
AVG
($/SF)
CEDAR PARK
A 4 439,046 217,729 49.6% 0 0.0% 217,729 49.6% 49.6% 0 3,766 $26.80
B 3 142,622 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 $27.20
Total 7 581,668 217,729 37.4% 0 0.0% 217,729 37.4% 37.4% 0 3,766 $26.80
CENTRAL
A 3 474,288 45,888 9.7% 0 0.0% 45,888 9.7% 15.6% 28,169 7,678 $33.01
B 34 1,901,761 186,932 9.8% 2,337 0.1% 189,269 10.0% 10.4% 9,077 12,890 $24.15
C 16 939,288 17,219 1.8% 0 0.0% 17,219 1.8% 2.8% 8,906 875 $19.58
Total 53 3,315,337 250,039 7.5% 2,337 0.1% 252,376 7.6% 9.0% 46,152 21,443 $24.72
EAST
A 2 104,821 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 -
B 12 1,021,495 450,666 44.1% 0 0.0% 450,666 44.1% 44.2% 1,279 292 $19.62
C 4 149,025 29,050 19.5% 0 0.0% 29,050 19.5% 19.5% 0 0 $19.98
Total 18 1,275,341 479,716 37.6% 0 0.0% 479,716 37.6% 37.7% 1,279 292 $19.64
FAR NORTHEAST
B 1 23,408 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 -
Total 1 23,408 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 -
FAR NORTHWEST
A 12 1,918,051 83,483 4.4% 47,877 2.5% 131,360 6.8% 15.2% 160,581 -11,664 $30.76
B 9 347,418 22,898 6.6% 0 0.0% 22,898 6.6% 8.8% 7,693 2,163 $26.43
C 1 21,964 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 20.0% 4,400 -4,400 _
Total 22 2,287,433 106,381 4.7% 47,877 2.1% 154,258 6.7% 14.3% 172,674 -13,901 $29.37
Austin Suburban Office Market Summary
6. 6 Austin Research & Forecast Report | Q1 2016 | Office | Colliers International
Office Development Pipeline
1.35 million square feet of office space was under construction during Q1 2016. Three buildings totaling 321,024 square feet delivered in
Q1 including Domain I, a 5-story office building with ground level retail in the North/Domain submarket. Domain 11, a proposed 400,000
SF building, got the green light to begin construction.
BUILDING NAME ADDRESS SUBMARKET SF
PRE-
LEASED
DEVELOPER
EST.
DELIVERY
Domain 5 11305 Alterra Pky North/Domain 74,804 0.0% Endeavor Real Estate Group Apr-16
5th & Colorado 201 W 5th St CBD 179,846 26.8% Lincoln Property Company Jun-16
2700 La Frontera Blvd 2700 La Frontera Blvd Round Rock 97,941 89.3% Unknown Jun-16
9811 Vikki Terrace 9811 Vikki Terrace Southwest 22,000 64.10% Unknown Jul-16
411 W Main St 411 W Main St Round Rock 33,634 14.0% 411 Partners, LLC Jul-16
Presidio I 11900 W Parmer Ln Round Rock 24,000 50.0% Riverside Resources Aug-16
Pioneer Bank Building 623 W 38th St Central 46,000 62.3% Pioneer Bank Sep-16
317 Grace Ln 317 Grace Ln Southwest 87,748 2.5% Equitable Commercial Realty Dec-16
Green Water Treatment Plant 500 W 2nd St CBD 500,512 41.2% Trammel Crow Co Jan-17
Domain 8 11601 Alterra Parkway North/Domain 291,058 0.0% Endeavor Real Estate Group Feb-17
QUOTED GROSS RENTAL RATES FOR EXISTING TOP PERFORMING OFFICE BUILDINGS
BUILDING NAME ADDRESS SUBMARKET RBA (SF)
YEAR
BUILT
%
LEASED
AVAIL.
SF
RENT
($/SF)
OWNER
Frost Bank Tower 401 Congress Ave. CBD 535,078 2003 98.50% 7,944 $56.97 CalSTRS
One Eleven 111 Congress Ave. CBD 518,385 1985 90.20% 98,046 $55.31 Parkway Properties, Inc
One American Center 600 Congress Ave. CBD 503,951 1984 97.40% 13,187 $48.91 CalSTRS
301 Congress 301 Congress Ave. CBD 418,338 1986 88.60% 75,877 $52.46 National Office Partners, LP
100 Congress 100 Congress Ave. CBD 411,536 1987 97.70% 27,991 $55.52 Metlife, Inc.
7700 W Parmer Ln -
Bldg. B
7700 W Parmer Ln - Bldg. B Far Northwest 350,000 1999 90.60% 31,500 $38.20 Unknown
7700 W. Parmer Ln -
Bldg. C
7700 W. Parmer Ln. - Bldg.
C
Far Northwest 282,000 1999 91.80% 23,693 $39.57 Unknown
Two Barton Skyway 1601 S MoPac Southwest 195,639 2000 97.10% 5,639 $32.10 University Federal Credit
Union
Lamar Central 3800 N Lamar Blvd. CBD 168,752 2015 85.9% 93,654 $52.71 Lamar Village Shopping
Center
Note: Avail. SF includes direct and sublet space as well as any future available space listed.
Source: CoStar Property