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The 2011 Horizon Report
  Key Emerging Technologies
    Alan Levine • cogdogblog.com




                 cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by WanderingtheWorld (www.LostManProject.com):
                                            http://flickr.com/photos/chrisschoenbohm/5104367911/



    cogdogblog.com/stuff/astd11
2011 Horizon Report (ASTD Presentation)
2011 Horizon Report (ASTD Presentation)
cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by kk+: http://flickr.com/photos/kk/4983299/
Predicting is about
certainty, and
forecasting is about
appreciating
uncertainty.
Forecasting gives a
context for decision
makers to act in the
face of uncertainty. In
the business world
uncertainty is our
friend, because
uncertainty is
opportunity.
The Horizon Report
horizon.nmc.org
2011 Horizon Report (ASTD Presentation)
cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by Lady Pain (Marta Manso):
                                                                http://flickr.com/photos/ladypain/178384326/




cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by sd:
    http://flickr.com/photos/sd/7746599/                       cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by kev/null:
                                                                http://flickr.com/photos/kurioso/153495196/
cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by wili_hybrid: http://flickr.com/photos/wili/284074954/
cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by
                                                                                                       cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by Jartweb:
     eMotionblogster karolien taverniers: http://
                                                                                                      http://flickr.com/photos/jartweb/1472346841/
flickr.com/photos/emotionblogster/16298316/


                                                     cc licensed ( BY ) flickr photo by chefranden:
                                                            http://flickr.com/photos/chefranden/
                                                                                      5515093813/




                                            Three Horizons
cc licensed ( BY SD ) flickr photo by Neil T: http://flickr.com/photos/neilt/79065838/




moving along
cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by freshwater2006: http://flickr.com/photos/freshwater2006/693945631/




Horizon Process
Open Wiki
horizon.wiki.nmc.org
Topics
voting
Short List
http://horizon.wiki.nmc.org/2011+Short+List
www.nmc.org/publications/2011-horizon-report
2011 Horizon Report (ASTD Presentation)
Trends

•Abundance
•Expectations
•Collaborative
•The Cloud
Challenges
•Digital Media Literacy
•Evaluation Metrics
•Competition to
 Tradition
•Keeping Pace
cc licensed ( BY NC ND ) flickr photo by kxlly: http://flickr.com/photos/kxlly/349894433/




One Year or Less
ONE YEAR OR LESS:


Electronic Books
ONE YEAR OR LESS:


Mobiles
eBooks?



                                                                        mobiles?




            cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by dogfaceboy: http://flickr.com/photos/dogfaceboy/355798876//




Where is that unevenly distributed future?
cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by ronnie44052: http://flickr.com/photos/ronnie44052/2574261551/




Two to Three Years
TWO TO THREE YEARS:


Augmented Reality



      superstructing
                  superstructing




                 www.iftf.org                  Institute for the Future
                 Technology Horizons Program   124 University Avenue, 2nd Floor
                 February, 2009 | SR-1221      Palo Alto, CA 94301
TWO TO THREE YEARS:
                              i ng & De ve l o pme n t
                      Tra i n
Game-Based Learning
Augmented Reality?




                                Games?




             cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by diluvium: http://flickr.com/photos/diluvium/165722011/




Where is that unevenly distributed future?
cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by blueforce4116: http://flickr.com/photos/blueforce4116/1398244602/




Four to Five Years
FOUR TO FIVE YEARS:


Gesture-Based Computing
FOUR TO FIVE YEARS:


Learning Analytics
Gesture-Based Computing?




                      Learning Analytics?



                 flickr photo by Jon Pawley: http://www.flickr.com/photos/jon_pawley/8697122/




Where is that unevenly distributed future?
cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by Marina Cast.: http://flickr.com/photos/marinacast/3878053449/




How to Participate
wp.nmc.org/horizon2011/
on.fb.me/horizon-project
delicious.com/tag/hz11
go.nmc.org/horizon-board
navigator.nmc.org
The 2011 Horizon Report
  Key Emerging Technologies
    Alan Levine • cogdogblog.com




                 cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by WanderingtheWorld (www.LostManProject.com):
                                            http://flickr.com/photos/chrisschoenbohm/5104367911/



    cogdogblog.com/stuff/astd11

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2011 Horizon Report (ASTD Presentation)

  • 1. The 2011 Horizon Report Key Emerging Technologies Alan Levine • cogdogblog.com cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by WanderingtheWorld (www.LostManProject.com): http://flickr.com/photos/chrisschoenbohm/5104367911/ cogdogblog.com/stuff/astd11
  • 4. cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by kk+: http://flickr.com/photos/kk/4983299/
  • 5. Predicting is about certainty, and forecasting is about appreciating uncertainty. Forecasting gives a context for decision makers to act in the face of uncertainty. In the business world uncertainty is our friend, because uncertainty is opportunity.
  • 8. cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by Lady Pain (Marta Manso): http://flickr.com/photos/ladypain/178384326/ cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by sd: http://flickr.com/photos/sd/7746599/ cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by kev/null: http://flickr.com/photos/kurioso/153495196/
  • 9. cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by wili_hybrid: http://flickr.com/photos/wili/284074954/
  • 10. cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by cc licensed ( BY NC SD ) flickr photo by Jartweb: eMotionblogster karolien taverniers: http:// http://flickr.com/photos/jartweb/1472346841/ flickr.com/photos/emotionblogster/16298316/ cc licensed ( BY ) flickr photo by chefranden: http://flickr.com/photos/chefranden/ 5515093813/ Three Horizons
  • 11. cc licensed ( BY SD ) flickr photo by Neil T: http://flickr.com/photos/neilt/79065838/ moving along
  • 12. cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by freshwater2006: http://flickr.com/photos/freshwater2006/693945631/ Horizon Process
  • 20. Challenges •Digital Media Literacy •Evaluation Metrics •Competition to Tradition •Keeping Pace
  • 21. cc licensed ( BY NC ND ) flickr photo by kxlly: http://flickr.com/photos/kxlly/349894433/ One Year or Less
  • 22. ONE YEAR OR LESS: Electronic Books
  • 23. ONE YEAR OR LESS: Mobiles
  • 24. eBooks? mobiles? cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by dogfaceboy: http://flickr.com/photos/dogfaceboy/355798876// Where is that unevenly distributed future?
  • 25. cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by ronnie44052: http://flickr.com/photos/ronnie44052/2574261551/ Two to Three Years
  • 26. TWO TO THREE YEARS: Augmented Reality superstructing superstructing www.iftf.org Institute for the Future Technology Horizons Program 124 University Avenue, 2nd Floor February, 2009 | SR-1221 Palo Alto, CA 94301
  • 27. TWO TO THREE YEARS: i ng & De ve l o pme n t Tra i n Game-Based Learning
  • 28. Augmented Reality? Games? cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by diluvium: http://flickr.com/photos/diluvium/165722011/ Where is that unevenly distributed future?
  • 29. cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by blueforce4116: http://flickr.com/photos/blueforce4116/1398244602/ Four to Five Years
  • 30. FOUR TO FIVE YEARS: Gesture-Based Computing
  • 31. FOUR TO FIVE YEARS: Learning Analytics
  • 32. Gesture-Based Computing? Learning Analytics? flickr photo by Jon Pawley: http://www.flickr.com/photos/jon_pawley/8697122/ Where is that unevenly distributed future?
  • 33. cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by Marina Cast.: http://flickr.com/photos/marinacast/3878053449/ How to Participate
  • 39. The 2011 Horizon Report Key Emerging Technologies Alan Levine • cogdogblog.com cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by WanderingtheWorld (www.LostManProject.com): http://flickr.com/photos/chrisschoenbohm/5104367911/ cogdogblog.com/stuff/astd11