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HI Senate, Primary Election
                         Sample = 1,358 Likely Voters
                      Weighted for Likelihood of Voting
                    Order of Candidate Names Randomized
                       Sampling Margin of Error = 2.7%


If the candidates were Congresswoman Mazie Hirono and former Congressman Ed
Case, who would you vote for?



                   Hirono_Case

         Hirono                             39%
         Case                               41%
         Neither                             8%
         Unsure                             12%
         Total                             100%
Hirono_Case * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
                                                    Gender
                                              Male    Female
 Hirono_Case   Hirono                            36%      41%
               Case                              46%      38%
               Neither                             8%      7%
               Unsure                            10%      14%
 Total                                         100%      100%


*
                            Gender * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation
% within Hirono_Case
                                                        Hirono_Case
                                          Hirono       Case      Neither    Unsure
 Gender    Male                               41%         48%         48%       35%
           Female                             59%         52%         52%       65%
 Total                                       100%        100%        100%      100%




                               Hirono_Case * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
                                                                 Age
                                              18-34        35-49       50-64      65+
 Hirono_Case   Hirono                             26%          35%         41%       42%
               Case                               54%          42%         38%       42%
               Neither                            10%           9%          8%        6%
               Unsure                             10%          14%         13%       10%
 Total                                           100%         100%        100%      100%


*
                               Age * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation
% within Hirono_Case
                                                             Hirono_Case
                                             Hirono        Case      Neither     Unsure
 Age       18-34                                  6%          11%         11%         7%
           35-49                                 14%          16%         20%        19%
           50-64                                 40%          35%         39%        42%
           65+                                   39%          37%         30%        32%
 Total                                          100%         100%        100%       100%
Hirono_Case * Party Crosstabulation
% within Party
                                                        Party



                                    Democrat Republican Independent         Unsure
 Hirono_Case     Hirono                 51%         19%         36%             27%
                 Case                   34%         55%         47%             31%
                 Neither                  3%        16%          7%             16%
                 Unsure                 12%         10%          9%             27%
 Total                                 100%       100%         100%            100%




*
                           Party * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation
% within Hirono_Case
                                                      Hirono_Case
                                         Hirono     Case         Neither    Unsure
 Party     Democrat                          54%       33%            14%       42%
           Republican                         8%       20%            32%       12%
           Independent                       33%       40%            35%       26%
           Unsure                             6%         7%           19%       20%
 Total                                      100%      100%           100%      100%
Hirono_Case * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
                                                            Race_Ethnicity



                                      Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed
 Hirono_Case Hirono                        34%       47%      44%     54%      20%        33%
             Case                          48%       36%      29%     30%      63%        38%
             Neither                        8%        5%        9%      6%      8%        12%
             Unsure                        10%       13%      17%     10%       9%        17%
 Total                                    100%      100%     100%    100%     100%       100%


*
                             Race_Ethnicity * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation
% within Hirono_Case
                                                              Hirono_Case
                                                 Hirono     Case     Neither    Unsure
 Race_Ethnicity    Caucasian                         35%       47%        41%       34%
                   Japanese                          28%       20%        14%       24%
                   Filipino                           9%        5%         9%       11%
                   Hawaiian                          14%        7%         8%        8%
                   Chinese                            3%        9%         6%        4%
                   Other/Mixed                       11%       12%        21%       19%
 Total                                              100%      100%      100%       100%




                  Hirono_Case * Public_Employee Crosstabulation
% within Public_Employee
                                                 Public_Employee
                                                  Yes        No
 Hirono_Case      Hirono                             49%       37%
                  Case                               34%       43%
                  Neither                             4%        8%
                  Unsure                             12%       12%
 Total                                              100%      100%
Hirono_Case * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
                                                               Education
                                                            HS     College         Grad
                                               No degree graduate Graduate        Degree
 Hirono_Case    Hirono                              30%       39%       36%           44%
                Case                                37%       38%       43%           47%
                Neither                             12%       10%        8%             3%
                Unsure                              21%       13%       13%             6%
 Total                                             100%      100%      100%          100%


*
                                Education * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation
% within Hirono_Case
                                                             Hirono_Case
                                                Hirono     Case       Neither     Unsure
 Education   No degree                               3%        3%           5%         6%
             HS graduate                            36%       33%          49%        39%
             College Graduate                       35%       38%          38%        43%
             Grad Degree                            26%       26%           8%        13%
 Total                                             100%      100%         100%       100%




                           Hirono_Case * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
                                                           Income

                                               50k or less 50-100k      100k+
 Hirono_Case    Hirono                                42%       35%         38%
                Case                                  36%       43%         54%
                Neither                                 9%       8%          3%
                Unsure                                13%       13%          6%
 Total                                              100%       100%        100%


*
                                 Income * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation
% within Hirono_Case
                                                             Hirono_Case
                                                Hirono     Case       Neither     Unsure
 Income      50k or less                            45%       35%          48%        45%
             50-100k                                35%       39%          44%        44%
             100k+                                  20%       26%           8%        10%
 Total                                             100%      100%         100%       100%
Hirono_Case * County Crosstabulation
% within County
                                                                     County
                                                   Oahu        Maui       Hawaii      Kauai
 Hirono_Case     Hirono                               35%         46%        49%         42%
                 Case                                 46%         30%        31%         30%
                 Neither                               7%           5%       10%          6%
                 Unsure                               11%         19%        10%         22%
 Total                                               100%        100%       100%        100%




*
                                  County * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation
% within Hirono_Case
                                                                Hirono_Case
                                                 Hirono       Case        Neither    Unsure
 County     Oahu                                     63%         78%           69%       62%
            Maui                                      11%          7%           6%       15%
            Hawaii                                   19%         11%           21%       13%
            Kauai                                      6%          4%           5%       10%
 Total                                              100%        100%          100%      100%




             Hirono_Case * Congressional District Crosstabulation
% within Congressional District
                                                 Congressional District
                                                     1           2
 Hirono_Case     Hirono                                34%         43%
                 Case                                  46%         38%
                 Neither                                8%          7%
                 Unsure                                13%         12%
 Total                                                100%        100%


*
                           Congressional District * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation
% within Hirono_Case
                                                                 Hirono_Case
                                                  Hirono       Case       Neither    Unsure
 Congressional    1                                   37%         47%          46%       45%
 District         2                                   63%         53%          54%       55%
 Total                                               100%        100%         100%      100%
Hirono_Case * County_CD Crosstabulation
% within County_CD
                                                          County_CD

                                      Oahu CD1 Oahu CD2      Maui       Hawaii     Kauai
 Hirono_Case Hirono                        34%      39%        46%         49%        42%
             Case                          46%      47%        30%         31%        30%
             Neither                        8%       6%          5%        10%         6%
             Unsure                        13%       8%        19%         10%        22%
 Total                                    100%     100%       100%        100%       100%




*
                        County_CD * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation
% within Hirono_Case
                                                     Hirono_Case
                                        Hirono     Case      Neither     Unsure
 County_CD   Oahu CD1                       37%       47%         46%        45%
             Oahu CD2                       26%       31%         23%        17%
             Maui                            11%        7%         6%        15%
             Hawaii                         19%       11%         21%        13%
             Kauai                            6%        4%         5%        10%
 Total                                     100%      100%        100%       100%
Hirono_Case * Obama Crosstabulation
% within Obama
                                                           Obama




                                     Approve   Approve Disapprove Disapprove
                                     strongly somewhat somewhat    strongly   Unsure
Hirono_Case Hirono                        54%       42%       21%          6%     27%
            Case                          33%       39%       50%        72%       7%
            Neither                        3%        6%       14%        19%       7%
            Unsure                        11%       13%       15%          3%     58%
Total                                    100%      100%      100%       100%     100%




                            Obama * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation
% within Hirono_Case
                                                       Hirono_Case
                                           Hirono     Case      Neither    Unsure
Obama     Approve strongly                     61%       35%         15%       38%
          Approve somewhat                     29%       25%         22%       28%
          Disapprove somewhat                   5%       11%         17%       11%
          Disapprove strongly                   3%       28%         42%        4%
          Unsure                                3%         1%         4%       19%
Total                                         100%      100%        100%      100%
Lingle_Case * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation
% within Hirono_Case
                                                         Hirono_Case
                                            Hirono     Case      Neither    Unsure
Lingle_Case     Case                            53%       58%          3%       43%
                Lingle                          20%       40%         81%       13%
                Neither                         23%        1%         15%        2%
                Unsure                           5%        2%          1%       42%
Total                                          100%      100%        100%      100%




                          Lingle_Hirono * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation
% within Hirono_Case
                                                         Hirono_Case
                                            Hirono     Case      Neither    Unsure
Lingle_Hirono   Hirono                          86%       27%          6%       44%
                Lingle                          12%       59%         82%       14%
                Neither                          1%        9%          9%        2%
                Unsure                           1%        4%          3%       40%
Total                                          100%      100%        100%      100%
*
                         Party * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
                                                   Age
                                  18-34      35-49       50-64     65+
 Party     Democrat                   51%        35%         39%      41%
           Republican                 13%        16%         14%      17%
           Independent                22%        39%         38%      34%
           Unsure                     13%        10%          9%       7%
 Total                               100%       100%        100%     100%

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Civil beat january 2012 u.s. senate primary toplines and crosstabs

  • 1. HI Senate, Primary Election Sample = 1,358 Likely Voters Weighted for Likelihood of Voting Order of Candidate Names Randomized Sampling Margin of Error = 2.7% If the candidates were Congresswoman Mazie Hirono and former Congressman Ed Case, who would you vote for? Hirono_Case Hirono 39% Case 41% Neither 8% Unsure 12% Total 100%
  • 2. Hirono_Case * Gender Crosstabulation % within Gender Gender Male Female Hirono_Case Hirono 36% 41% Case 46% 38% Neither 8% 7% Unsure 10% 14% Total 100% 100% * Gender * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation % within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Gender Male 41% 48% 48% 35% Female 59% 52% 52% 65% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Hirono_Case * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Hirono_Case Hirono 26% 35% 41% 42% Case 54% 42% 38% 42% Neither 10% 9% 8% 6% Unsure 10% 14% 13% 10% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% * Age * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation % within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Age 18-34 6% 11% 11% 7% 35-49 14% 16% 20% 19% 50-64 40% 35% 39% 42% 65+ 39% 37% 30% 32% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 3. Hirono_Case * Party Crosstabulation % within Party Party Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Hirono_Case Hirono 51% 19% 36% 27% Case 34% 55% 47% 31% Neither 3% 16% 7% 16% Unsure 12% 10% 9% 27% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% * Party * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation % within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Party Democrat 54% 33% 14% 42% Republican 8% 20% 32% 12% Independent 33% 40% 35% 26% Unsure 6% 7% 19% 20% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 4. Hirono_Case * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Other/Mixed Hirono_Case Hirono 34% 47% 44% 54% 20% 33% Case 48% 36% 29% 30% 63% 38% Neither 8% 5% 9% 6% 8% 12% Unsure 10% 13% 17% 10% 9% 17% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% * Race_Ethnicity * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation % within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Race_Ethnicity Caucasian 35% 47% 41% 34% Japanese 28% 20% 14% 24% Filipino 9% 5% 9% 11% Hawaiian 14% 7% 8% 8% Chinese 3% 9% 6% 4% Other/Mixed 11% 12% 21% 19% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Hirono_Case * Public_Employee Crosstabulation % within Public_Employee Public_Employee Yes No Hirono_Case Hirono 49% 37% Case 34% 43% Neither 4% 8% Unsure 12% 12% Total 100% 100%
  • 5. Hirono_Case * Education Crosstabulation % within Education Education HS College Grad No degree graduate Graduate Degree Hirono_Case Hirono 30% 39% 36% 44% Case 37% 38% 43% 47% Neither 12% 10% 8% 3% Unsure 21% 13% 13% 6% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% * Education * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation % within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Education No degree 3% 3% 5% 6% HS graduate 36% 33% 49% 39% College Graduate 35% 38% 38% 43% Grad Degree 26% 26% 8% 13% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Hirono_Case * Income Crosstabulation % within Income Income 50k or less 50-100k 100k+ Hirono_Case Hirono 42% 35% 38% Case 36% 43% 54% Neither 9% 8% 3% Unsure 13% 13% 6% Total 100% 100% 100% * Income * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation % within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Income 50k or less 45% 35% 48% 45% 50-100k 35% 39% 44% 44% 100k+ 20% 26% 8% 10% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 6. Hirono_Case * County Crosstabulation % within County County Oahu Maui Hawaii Kauai Hirono_Case Hirono 35% 46% 49% 42% Case 46% 30% 31% 30% Neither 7% 5% 10% 6% Unsure 11% 19% 10% 22% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% * County * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation % within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure County Oahu 63% 78% 69% 62% Maui 11% 7% 6% 15% Hawaii 19% 11% 21% 13% Kauai 6% 4% 5% 10% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Hirono_Case * Congressional District Crosstabulation % within Congressional District Congressional District 1 2 Hirono_Case Hirono 34% 43% Case 46% 38% Neither 8% 7% Unsure 13% 12% Total 100% 100% * Congressional District * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation % within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Congressional 1 37% 47% 46% 45% District 2 63% 53% 54% 55% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 7. Hirono_Case * County_CD Crosstabulation % within County_CD County_CD Oahu CD1 Oahu CD2 Maui Hawaii Kauai Hirono_Case Hirono 34% 39% 46% 49% 42% Case 46% 47% 30% 31% 30% Neither 8% 6% 5% 10% 6% Unsure 13% 8% 19% 10% 22% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% * County_CD * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation % within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure County_CD Oahu CD1 37% 47% 46% 45% Oahu CD2 26% 31% 23% 17% Maui 11% 7% 6% 15% Hawaii 19% 11% 21% 13% Kauai 6% 4% 5% 10% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 8. Hirono_Case * Obama Crosstabulation % within Obama Obama Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove strongly somewhat somewhat strongly Unsure Hirono_Case Hirono 54% 42% 21% 6% 27% Case 33% 39% 50% 72% 7% Neither 3% 6% 14% 19% 7% Unsure 11% 13% 15% 3% 58% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Obama * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation % within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Obama Approve strongly 61% 35% 15% 38% Approve somewhat 29% 25% 22% 28% Disapprove somewhat 5% 11% 17% 11% Disapprove strongly 3% 28% 42% 4% Unsure 3% 1% 4% 19% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 9. Lingle_Case * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation % within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Lingle_Case Case 53% 58% 3% 43% Lingle 20% 40% 81% 13% Neither 23% 1% 15% 2% Unsure 5% 2% 1% 42% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Lingle_Hirono * Hirono_Case Crosstabulation % within Hirono_Case Hirono_Case Hirono Case Neither Unsure Lingle_Hirono Hirono 86% 27% 6% 44% Lingle 12% 59% 82% 14% Neither 1% 9% 9% 2% Unsure 1% 4% 3% 40% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 10. * Party * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Party Democrat 51% 35% 39% 41% Republican 13% 16% 14% 17% Independent 22% 39% 38% 34% Unsure 13% 10% 9% 7% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%