A survey of 685 registered voters on Oahu found that 52% had a positive opinion of Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell while 35% had a negative opinion. Only 32% had a positive opinion of former mayor Mufi Hannemann, while 59% had a negative opinion. 20% said they would be very likely to vote for Hannemann if he ran for office again, while 28% said they would be very unlikely. The survey also found differences in opinions across demographic groups.
1. 1
Oahu Registered Voter Sample = 685
Margin of Error = +/- 3.7%
29% Cell Phones, 71% Landlines
--Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell?
Caldwell
Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
52%
35%
13%
100%
--Do you have a positive or negative opinion of former Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann?
Hannemann
Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
32%
59%
9%
100%
--If Mufi Hannemann were to run for a political office in the 2014 election, how likely would you
be to vote for him?
VoteHannemann
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Somewhat
unlikely
Very unlikely
Unsure
Total
20%
23%
20%
28%
9%
100%
2. 2
Demographics (Registered Voters, Oahu)
Sex
Male
Female
Refused
Total
46%
53%
0%
100%
Age
Under 50
Fifty and over
Total
31%
69%
100%
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasian
Japanese
Filipino
Hawaiian
Chinese
Hispanic
Other/Mixed
Refused
Total
30%
30%
12%
7%
7%
1%
13%
0%
100%
County_CD
Oahu_CD1
Oahu_CD2
Total
73%
27%
100%
6. 6
Demographic Crosstabs
Caldwell * Sex Crosstabulation
% within Sex
Caldwell Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Male
50%
37%
13%
100%
Sex
Female Refused
55%
31%
67%
13%
33%
100%
100%
Caldwell * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
Under Fifty and
50
over
Caldwell Positive
47%
55%
Negative
43%
30%
Unsure
10%
14%
Total
100% 100%
Caldwell * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasia Japanes
n
e
Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic
CaldwellPositive
Caldwell
49%
64% 43%
59%
49%
33%
Negative
38%
25% 43%
35%
33%
67%
Unsure
13%
11% 13%
7%
18%
0%
Total
100%
100% 100%
100% 100% 100%
Caldwell * County_CD Crosstabulation
% within County_CD
County_CD
Caldwell Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Oahu_CD1 Oahu_CD2
55%
45%
33%
39%
12%
16%
100%
100%
Other/
Mixed
45%
35%
20%
100%
7. 7
Caldwell * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Caldwell Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure
60%
57%
43%
45%
27%
32%
48%
28%
13%
10%
9%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Caldwell * Party Crosstabulation
% within Party
Party
Caldwell Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Democrat Republican Independent Unsure
65%
38%
45%
22%
23%
50%
45%
39%
13%
11%
10%
39%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Caldwell * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
Education
Caldwell Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
No
HS
College
Grad
degree graduate Graduate Some/Assoc/Voc Degree Refused
63%
50%
50%
58%
51%
52%
19%
31%
35%
29%
40%
24%
19%
19%
14%
13%
8%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Caldwell * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
Military_Family
Yes
No
Refused
Caldwell Positive
54%
53%
48%
Negative
36%
31%
24%
Unsure
10%
17%
29%
Total
100% 100%
100%
8. 8
Caldwell * Union_Family Crosstabulation
% within Union_Family
Union_Family
Yes
No
Refused
Caldwell Positive
54%
54%
32%
Negative
36%
34%
19%
Unsure
10%
12%
48%
Total
100% 100%
100%
Caldwell * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Caldwell Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Income
Under $50,000 - $100,000
$50,000 $99,999 or more Refused
50%
59%
52%
48%
39%
30%
41%
26%
11%
11%
7%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Hannemann * Sex Crosstabulation
% within Sex
Hannemann Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Sex
Male Female Refused
27%
36%
33%
63%
56%
67%
10%
8%
100%
100%
100%
Hannemann * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
Under Fifty and
50
over
Hannemann Positive
35%
30%
Negative
55%
62%
Unsure
11%
8%
Total
100% 100%
9. 9
Hannemann * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasia Japanes
Hawaiia Chines Hispani Other/
n
e
Filipino
n
e
c
Mixed
Hanneman Positive
23%
39% 33%
46%
25%
33%
21%
n
Negativ
71%
56% 51%
54%
57%
50%
61%
e
Unsure
6%
5% 16%
0%
18%
17%
18%
Total
100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Hannemann * County_CD Crosstabulation
% within County_CD
County_CD
Hannemann Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Oahu_CD1 Oahu_CD2
31%
34%
60%
59%
10%
7%
100%
100%
Hannemann * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Hannemann Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure
23%
32%
35%
34%
71%
63%
55%
45%
6%
5%
10%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Hannemann * Party Crosstabulation
% within Party
Party
Hannemann Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Democrat Republican Independent Unsure
34%
30%
24%
25%
60%
60%
66%
44%
6%
10%
10%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
10. 10
Hannemann * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
Hannemann Positive
Negative
Unsure
Total
Education
No
HS
College
Grad
degree graduate Graduate Some/Assoc/Voc Degree Refused
31%
41%
29%
32%
23%
59%
38%
50%
64%
56%
72%
23%
31%
9%
7%
12%
5%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Hannemann * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
Military_Family
Yes
No
Refused
Hannemann Positive
29%
32%
36%
Negative
63%
57%
45%
Unsure
8%
11%
18%
Total
100% 100%
100%
Hannemann * Union_Family Crosstabulation
% within Union_Family
Union_Family
Yes
No
Refused
Hannemann Positive
31%
30%
39%
Negative
66%
59%
29%
Unsure
3%
11%
32%
Total
100% 100%
100%
Hannemann * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Under $50,000 - $100,000
$50,000 $99,999 or more Refused
Hannemann Positive
32%
27%
30%
33%
Negative
62%
66%
67%
45%
Unsure
6%
7%
3%
22%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
11. 11
VoteHannemann * Sex Crosstabulation
% within Sex
Sex
Male Female Refused
VoteHannemann Very likely
17%
22%
33%
Somewhat
22%
23%
likely
Somewhat
22%
19%
33%
unlikely
Very unlikely
31%
26%
33%
Unsure
8%
10%
Total
100%
100%
100%
VoteHannemann * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
Fifty
Under and
50
over
VoteHannemann Very likely
22%
18%
Somewhat
22%
23%
likely
Somewhat
22%
20%
unlikely
Very unlikely
24%
30%
Unsure
10%
8%
Total
100% 100%
VoteHannemann * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Other/
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Mixed
Vote
Very likely
13%
22%
29%
31%
11%
0% 12%
Hannemann Somewhat
21%
26%
16%
22%
25%
40% 22%
likely
Somewhat
26%
19%
17%
7%
25%
0% 26%
unlikely
Very
35%
24%
22%
33%
20%
20% 33%
unlikely
Unsure
6%
8%
16%
7%
18%
40%
7%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100% 100%