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Chapter 12
Making Sense of
Advanced
Statistical
Procedures in
Research Articles
Measures of Association
         Among Variables
•   Hierarchical multiple regression
•   Stepwise multiple regression
•   Partial correlation
•   Reliability measures
•   Factor analysis
•   Path analysis
•   Structural equation modeling
A Brief Review of Multiple
            Regression
• Predicting scores on a criterion variable
  from two or more predictor variables
     ˆ
     Z Y = (β1 )( Z X 1 ) + (β 2 )( Z X 2 ) + (β3 )( Z X 3 )

• Overall accuracy of a prediction rule is
  called the proportion of variance accounted
  for, and is abbreviated as R2.
Hierarchical and Stepwise
       Multiple Regression
• Hierarchical multiple regression
   – Predictor variables are entered into the regression
     sequentially
• Stepwise multiple regression
   – Computer selects predictor variable that accounts for
     most variance on the criterion variable, if significant
   – Process repeats by selecting variable that accounts for
     the most additional variance, if significant, and so on
   – Used as an exploratory technique; is controversial
Hierarchical vs. Stepwise
       Multiple Regression
• Both involve adding variables sequentially and
  checking for significant improvement in the
  degree to which the model can predict scores on
  the criterion variable.
   – In hierarchical multiple regression, the order is
     determined in advance, by a theory or plan
   – In stepwise multiple regression, order is determined by
     a computer
Partial Correlation

• Measures the degree of association between
  two variables, over and above the influence
  of one or more other variables.
  – Also called holding constant, partialing out,
    adjusting for, or controlling for one or more
    variables
• Often used by researchers to sort out
  alternative explanations for relations among
  variables
Reliability

• Degree of stability or consistency of a measure
   – Test-retest reliability
       • Correlation between two administrations of the same measure
       • Problem: Taking some tests over can affect performance
   – Split-half reliability
       • Correlation between two halves of the same measure
   – Internal consistency reliability
       • Cronbach’s alpha (α)
       • Degree to which items “hang together” and assess a common
         characteristic
Factor Analysis

• Technique for determining which variables
  tend to “clump together”
  – Which variables tend to be correlated with each
    other and not with other variables
• Clump of variables is called a factor
• Degree to which variable is correlated with
  a factor is called its factor loading
Causal Modeling

• Set of techniques for testing whether a
  pattern of correlations among variables in a
  sample fits a theory of which variables are
  causing which
• Two methods of causal modeling
  – Path analysis
  – Structural equation modeling
Path Analysis

• Variables connected to
  one another with arrows
• Each arrow has a path
  coefficient
   – Indicates the degree of
     association between the two
     variables
   – Holds constant any
     variables that have arrows
     pointing to the same
     variable
Path Analysis

• Another example…
Structural Equation Modeling
• Another type of causal
  modeling
• Differs from path analysis
  in two ways
   – Allows researcher to
     compute a fit index, a
     measure of the overall fit
     between the theory and the
     set of correlations
   – Depicts relations between
     latent variables, constructs
     that combine several
     measures, rather than
     measures themselves
Structural Equation Modeling
• Another example…
Independent vs.
        Dependent Variables
• Independent variables
  – Divide groups from each other
  – Often based on random assignment
  – Analogous to predictor variables in regression
• Dependent variables
  – Represent the effect of the experimental
    procedure
  – Analogous to criterion variables in regression
Procedures that Compare
            Groups
• Analysis of covariance
• Multivariate analysis of variance
• Multivariate analysis of covariance
Analysis of Covariance

• ANCOVA
• Like an analysis of variance in which one or
  more variables (called covariates) have
  been controlled for
• Analogous to a partial correlation
Multivariate Analyses

• More than one dependent variable
• Multivariate analysis of variance
   – MANOVA
   – Like an analysis of variance with two or more
     dependent variables
• Multivariate analysis of covariance
   – MANCOVA
   – Like a multivariate analysis of variance in which one or
     more variables (covariates) have been controlled for.
Overview of Statistical
     Techniques
How to Read Results Involving
    Unfamiliar Statistical
        Techniques
• Don’t panic!
• Look for a p level
• Look for indication of degree of association
  or size of a difference
• Reference an intermediate or advanced
  statistics text
• Take more statistics courses!

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12

  • 1. Chapter 12 Making Sense of Advanced Statistical Procedures in Research Articles
  • 2. Measures of Association Among Variables • Hierarchical multiple regression • Stepwise multiple regression • Partial correlation • Reliability measures • Factor analysis • Path analysis • Structural equation modeling
  • 3. A Brief Review of Multiple Regression • Predicting scores on a criterion variable from two or more predictor variables ˆ Z Y = (β1 )( Z X 1 ) + (β 2 )( Z X 2 ) + (β3 )( Z X 3 ) • Overall accuracy of a prediction rule is called the proportion of variance accounted for, and is abbreviated as R2.
  • 4. Hierarchical and Stepwise Multiple Regression • Hierarchical multiple regression – Predictor variables are entered into the regression sequentially • Stepwise multiple regression – Computer selects predictor variable that accounts for most variance on the criterion variable, if significant – Process repeats by selecting variable that accounts for the most additional variance, if significant, and so on – Used as an exploratory technique; is controversial
  • 5. Hierarchical vs. Stepwise Multiple Regression • Both involve adding variables sequentially and checking for significant improvement in the degree to which the model can predict scores on the criterion variable. – In hierarchical multiple regression, the order is determined in advance, by a theory or plan – In stepwise multiple regression, order is determined by a computer
  • 6. Partial Correlation • Measures the degree of association between two variables, over and above the influence of one or more other variables. – Also called holding constant, partialing out, adjusting for, or controlling for one or more variables • Often used by researchers to sort out alternative explanations for relations among variables
  • 7. Reliability • Degree of stability or consistency of a measure – Test-retest reliability • Correlation between two administrations of the same measure • Problem: Taking some tests over can affect performance – Split-half reliability • Correlation between two halves of the same measure – Internal consistency reliability • Cronbach’s alpha (α) • Degree to which items “hang together” and assess a common characteristic
  • 8. Factor Analysis • Technique for determining which variables tend to “clump together” – Which variables tend to be correlated with each other and not with other variables • Clump of variables is called a factor • Degree to which variable is correlated with a factor is called its factor loading
  • 9. Causal Modeling • Set of techniques for testing whether a pattern of correlations among variables in a sample fits a theory of which variables are causing which • Two methods of causal modeling – Path analysis – Structural equation modeling
  • 10. Path Analysis • Variables connected to one another with arrows • Each arrow has a path coefficient – Indicates the degree of association between the two variables – Holds constant any variables that have arrows pointing to the same variable
  • 12. Structural Equation Modeling • Another type of causal modeling • Differs from path analysis in two ways – Allows researcher to compute a fit index, a measure of the overall fit between the theory and the set of correlations – Depicts relations between latent variables, constructs that combine several measures, rather than measures themselves
  • 13. Structural Equation Modeling • Another example…
  • 14. Independent vs. Dependent Variables • Independent variables – Divide groups from each other – Often based on random assignment – Analogous to predictor variables in regression • Dependent variables – Represent the effect of the experimental procedure – Analogous to criterion variables in regression
  • 15. Procedures that Compare Groups • Analysis of covariance • Multivariate analysis of variance • Multivariate analysis of covariance
  • 16. Analysis of Covariance • ANCOVA • Like an analysis of variance in which one or more variables (called covariates) have been controlled for • Analogous to a partial correlation
  • 17. Multivariate Analyses • More than one dependent variable • Multivariate analysis of variance – MANOVA – Like an analysis of variance with two or more dependent variables • Multivariate analysis of covariance – MANCOVA – Like a multivariate analysis of variance in which one or more variables (covariates) have been controlled for.
  • 19. How to Read Results Involving Unfamiliar Statistical Techniques • Don’t panic! • Look for a p level • Look for indication of degree of association or size of a difference • Reference an intermediate or advanced statistics text • Take more statistics courses!