31. THE
PREDICTION
PARADOX
“Single technology paths are
highly predictable, Combinatorial
outcomes are non predictable”
Friday, July 23, 2010
32. 3-5
years
products in
development
Friday, July 23, 2010
33. 5-10
years
basic ideas
identified
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34. 10-15
years
impossible
to predict
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35. Text
“If I had asked people what
“If I had asked people what
they wanted, they would
they wanted, they would have
have said faster horses.”
said faster horses.”
Friday, July 23, 2010