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3rd International Conference on Climate Services, Dec. 4-6, 2013, Montego Bay (Jamaica)

Climate Services for Farmers
> Mission Possible
Lessons from Africa and South Asia
Dr. Arame Tall
Climate Services- Scientist, Champion
a.tall@cgiar.org
2 • 3/21/11

Premise:
Information is Power

2
3 • 3/21/11

Rationale: Why do Farmers
Need Climate Services?
Access to relevant
climate information
can Empower
farmers to
anticipate and
confront climaterelated risks
and opportunities
4
Why Farmers are Not Getting
Relevant Climate Services
– On the Ground
• 3/21/11

Limited Dialogue
with End Users
to identify Needs,
build Trust !

A Multi-front challenge:
We need to work together
to overcome these
tenacious challenges to
Climate Service delivery

Inappropriate
Communication
channels to Get
the Message out
to farmers
Poor Observation
network /
Limited capacity
of NHMS to
address needs

Limited capacity of
end-users to act of
received forecasts–
Integration of CS
into development
support programs
Challenges to Scaling up
Climate Service for Farmers

5 • 3/21/11

•  Salience: tailoring content, scale, format, lead-time to farm decisionmaking
•  Legitimacy: giving farmers an effective voice in design and delivery
•  Access: providing timely access to remote rural communities with
marginal infrastructure
•  Equity: ensuring that women, poor, socially marginalized benefit
•  Integration: climate services as part of a larger package of support
18 Good Practice Cases
from Africa to South Asia

6 • 3/21/11

Delivering
tailored 5day
agro-met
advisories
for 3+ million
farmers in
India s Integra
-ted Agromet
Advisory
Service
Program

Involving farmers
through rain gages in
Mali s 30-year Agromet
advisory program

More at:
scalingup.iri.
columbia.edu
Cell-phone based
information service
delivery in Uganda
Grameen Foundation s
Community
Knowledge
Workers
Project

CYMMIT: Delivering on
Farmers Information
Needs in the IndoGangetic Plains of India

Farmer Seasonal Forecast Training in
Wote, Kenya

Kaffrine: Putting downscaled climate
forecasts into farmers hands

Lushoto:
Co-producing climate
services with farmers
7 • 3/21/11

PRE-REQUISITE 1:
FROM CLIMATE INFORMATION
TO
CLIMATE SERVICE
8 • 3/21/11

Courtesy: J. Hansen,
CCAFS/IRI
9 • 3/21/11

Everyonethe National Chain in
Building has a role to Play of
Linking Knowledge to Action
Climate Services
Fig. 1: Different
stakeholders and
roles in national
Chain of Climate
Service
Production,
Tailoring and
Communication

National Hydro-Meteorological Services
(NHMS)

Production*of*downscaled*hydro3
meteorological*forecasts
NARES (Partners)

Packaging*of*climate*information*>*From*
Climate*Information*to*a*Climate*Service*
*Production*of*Agro3Met*Advisory!
Communicators & Boundary Organizations:
- Media – Extension Services – NGOs – CBOs Other community relays

Widespread*23way*Communication*of*
climate*information*and*advisory*services!
National level End-users
(rural development planners, policy makers, seed
distributors, fertilizer industry, private sector)
Final End-users
(farmers, pastoralists, communities at risk)
Credit:(Arame(Tall,(CCAFS(
Promoting Coordinated
Framework for Climate Services
10 • 3/21/11

Global
Regional
National

10
11 • 3/21/11

PRE-REQUISITE 2:
FROM DISSEMINATION
TO
2-WAY COMMUNICATION
Communicating to Reach
‘last mile’
•  Relevant communication
channels identified to reach
most vulnerable:
12 • 3/21/11

!  SMS in local language
!  Rural radio, media professionals
!  Forecast bulletin boards in
strategic outposts across village
!  At village mosque/church
!  At water boreholes (women)
!  Community relays/boundary
organizations (NGOs, CBOs)
!  School children (vehicle)

Credit: Tall, CCAFS
13 • 3/21/11

Training Intermediaries to
Communicate Climate Services
at Scale

Photo: As part of a new CCAFS-World Vision collaboration, Dr. Jim
Hansen trains World Vision staff on communicating forecast
uncertainty to farmers (Same, N. Tanzania). Credit: A. Tall, CCAFS
14 • 3/21/11

PRE-REQUISITE 3:
HEED
GENDER AND EQUITY
IN DESIGN OF CLIMATE
SERVICE
Focusing on Equity in Service
Design and Delivery
15 • 3/21/11

•  Identify specific service needs
of women and underserved
groups (in terms of content,
timing and delivery channels)
•  Place specificity of needs
•  Different social norms
from village to village

PAR in Kaffrine: Woman FGD identifying
climate service needs. Credit: Tall, CCAFS

Climate Service Needs of women farmers
in Fass (Left) different from those in Dioly
(right). Credit: Tall, CCAFS
16 • 3/21/11

Giving Women an Effective
Voice in Design of Climate
Services
•  Opening Spaces for iterative
dialogue, interaction and Coproduction of climate service
•  PAR > key to success
–  involving communities (community
diaries of local CC impacts)
–  Capturing local innovation (forecast
bulletin boards, SMS language)

•  Preliminary Results of Kaffrine
gender research end project
assessment
–  Increase in access, from handful in
2011 to 100% by 2012
–  Demonstrated Usefulness of
received information, for all
products across timescales
–  Added value to traditional forecasts

Soxna Ndao, Dioly village, stating: ‘We women, need information
on when the rainy season will stop, as men plant for us later in
the season. Credit: A. Tall
17 • 3/21/11

PRE-REQUISITE 4:
BUILD FARMER CAPACITY
TO USE
CLIMATE SERVICES
18 • 3/21/11

Communicating Uncertainty
-  Didactic Games

The shorter the
time range,
the more
accurate the
forecast

Credit: Mariane DiopKane, ANACIM

⇒ (Bringing(together(forecasters(and(farmers(to(put(climate(forecasts(
at(the(service(of(communities(at(risk(from(climate=related(risks(
Credit:(Red(Cross/
(
PetLab(

Malem
Djoly

Fass
Communicating Uncertainty in
Seasonal Climate Forecasts

19 • 3/21/11

> The Pobability Distribution
Function
Farmers(discussing(what(1mm(
of(rain(means…(

Credit:(J.(Hansen,(CCAFS (
(
Credit:(Dr.(Ousmane(Ndiaye,(ANACIM
Ousmane(Ndiaye,(ANACIM
(
….To Wote, Eastern Kenya:
FarmerTrainings
20 • 3/21/11

Credit:(J.(Hansen,(IRI/CCAFS(
KPC(Rao,(ICRISAT((
21 • 3/21/11

PRE-REQUISITE 5:
DESIGN, MONITOR AND
EVALUATE SERVICE
TO ENSURE ITS RELEVANCE
Developing M&E Framework
to Evaluate Climate Services
for Farmers
22 • 3/21/11

Goal: Develop M&E protocol to identify
farmer need for climate services
and measure added-value of climate
services for farmer communities,
with guidance on:
-  Baseline collection
-  Monitoring, re-assessment
-  End project final impact assessment

•  Locally-Relevant
•  Gender responsive
3*Objectives*of*Assessment:
1.To inform design of new climate services and projects;"
2.To identify current gaps, and improve project effective and service delivery for farmers;!
3.To assess impact of provided services on farmers, and demonstrate project impact with a
dollar value (towards outcome reporting).!
Proposed M&E Framework
to Evaluate Climate Services for
Farmers

23 • 3/21/11

The image cannot be displayed. Your computer may not have enough memory to open the image, or the image may have been corrupted. Restart your computer, and then open the file again. If the red x still appears, you may have to delete the image and then insert it again.
Designing Tailored
Forecast products for Farmers
24 • 3/21/11

Based on identified user needs,
tailoring:
•  In space: Geographic Downscaling
•  In time: Seemless forecast
products across timescales:
–  Seasonal > Monthly > Dekadal >
72h > 48h > 3h > nowcasting
–  Historical Data Trends Analysis
–  Key to building trust and
empowering farmers to monitor risks
as season unfolds

•  In Content (hazards, info needed)
•  In Lead time (alert thresholds)
•  In message format, language
& delivery channel
WEATHER
HOURS

DAYS

WEEKS

MONTHS

Decision Making is local. Blended Station and
Satellite data is one way forward to downscale
climate forecasts, and enable climate forecasts
to serve local decision-making.
Courtesy: J. Hansen, CCAFS/IRI

CLIMATE
YEARS

DECADES

…
25 • 3/21/11

CCAFS OBJECTIVE:
10M farmers by 2016

equipped with tailored climate services for improved management of climate risks

http://dmu.icrisat.ac.in/CCAFS_CIS_Home.aspx
26 • 3/21/11

CCAFS Strategy to Scale Up
Climate Services for Farmers

1.  Identify Good practice
2.  Upscale Climate Services to millions of farmers
–  Promoting National Frameworks for Climate Services
–  Brokering strong partnerships between
NHMSs, Agr Research and Extension
to produce tailored agro-met advisories
–  Leveraging new ICTs, media professionals
NGOs and boundary organisations for
effective 2-way communication

3.  Build evidence base on livelihood outcomes for
farmers - making the case for Climate Services
Scaling up Climate Services
for millions of Farmers
> Mission Possible

27 • 3/21/11

• 
• 

• 

• 

Operational Climate Services for
Farmers is a multi-front challenge
Examples surveyed by CCAFS prove
however that it is Mission Possible
today to reach millions of farmers with
salient and downscaled climate
information and advisory services
relevant to support their decisionmaking under an uncertain climate.
It is time to Scale Up this approach for
many other farmers to have access and
benefit from available climate
information and advisory services.
The time is Right for Climate
Services.
For more information, contact:
Arame Tall, a.tall@cgiar.org

Photo: Women Farmers in Amtrar, Himachal
Pradesh (India), discussing how they benefit from
agromet advisories. Credit: A. Tall, CCAFS

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Pathways toward scaling up climate services for farmers Arame Tall 2013

  • 1. 3rd International Conference on Climate Services, Dec. 4-6, 2013, Montego Bay (Jamaica) Climate Services for Farmers > Mission Possible Lessons from Africa and South Asia Dr. Arame Tall Climate Services- Scientist, Champion a.tall@cgiar.org
  • 3. 3 • 3/21/11 Rationale: Why do Farmers Need Climate Services? Access to relevant climate information can Empower farmers to anticipate and confront climaterelated risks and opportunities
  • 4. 4 Why Farmers are Not Getting Relevant Climate Services – On the Ground • 3/21/11 Limited Dialogue with End Users to identify Needs, build Trust ! A Multi-front challenge: We need to work together to overcome these tenacious challenges to Climate Service delivery Inappropriate Communication channels to Get the Message out to farmers Poor Observation network / Limited capacity of NHMS to address needs Limited capacity of end-users to act of received forecasts– Integration of CS into development support programs
  • 5. Challenges to Scaling up Climate Service for Farmers 5 • 3/21/11 •  Salience: tailoring content, scale, format, lead-time to farm decisionmaking •  Legitimacy: giving farmers an effective voice in design and delivery •  Access: providing timely access to remote rural communities with marginal infrastructure •  Equity: ensuring that women, poor, socially marginalized benefit •  Integration: climate services as part of a larger package of support
  • 6. 18 Good Practice Cases from Africa to South Asia 6 • 3/21/11 Delivering tailored 5day agro-met advisories for 3+ million farmers in India s Integra -ted Agromet Advisory Service Program Involving farmers through rain gages in Mali s 30-year Agromet advisory program More at: scalingup.iri. columbia.edu Cell-phone based information service delivery in Uganda Grameen Foundation s Community Knowledge Workers Project CYMMIT: Delivering on Farmers Information Needs in the IndoGangetic Plains of India Farmer Seasonal Forecast Training in Wote, Kenya Kaffrine: Putting downscaled climate forecasts into farmers hands Lushoto: Co-producing climate services with farmers
  • 7. 7 • 3/21/11 PRE-REQUISITE 1: FROM CLIMATE INFORMATION TO CLIMATE SERVICE
  • 8. 8 • 3/21/11 Courtesy: J. Hansen, CCAFS/IRI
  • 9. 9 • 3/21/11 Everyonethe National Chain in Building has a role to Play of Linking Knowledge to Action Climate Services Fig. 1: Different stakeholders and roles in national Chain of Climate Service Production, Tailoring and Communication National Hydro-Meteorological Services (NHMS) Production*of*downscaled*hydro3 meteorological*forecasts NARES (Partners) Packaging*of*climate*information*>*From* Climate*Information*to*a*Climate*Service* *Production*of*Agro3Met*Advisory! Communicators & Boundary Organizations: - Media – Extension Services – NGOs – CBOs Other community relays Widespread*23way*Communication*of* climate*information*and*advisory*services! National level End-users (rural development planners, policy makers, seed distributors, fertilizer industry, private sector) Final End-users (farmers, pastoralists, communities at risk) Credit:(Arame(Tall,(CCAFS(
  • 10. Promoting Coordinated Framework for Climate Services 10 • 3/21/11 Global Regional National 10
  • 11. 11 • 3/21/11 PRE-REQUISITE 2: FROM DISSEMINATION TO 2-WAY COMMUNICATION
  • 12. Communicating to Reach ‘last mile’ •  Relevant communication channels identified to reach most vulnerable: 12 • 3/21/11 !  SMS in local language !  Rural radio, media professionals !  Forecast bulletin boards in strategic outposts across village !  At village mosque/church !  At water boreholes (women) !  Community relays/boundary organizations (NGOs, CBOs) !  School children (vehicle) Credit: Tall, CCAFS
  • 13. 13 • 3/21/11 Training Intermediaries to Communicate Climate Services at Scale Photo: As part of a new CCAFS-World Vision collaboration, Dr. Jim Hansen trains World Vision staff on communicating forecast uncertainty to farmers (Same, N. Tanzania). Credit: A. Tall, CCAFS
  • 14. 14 • 3/21/11 PRE-REQUISITE 3: HEED GENDER AND EQUITY IN DESIGN OF CLIMATE SERVICE
  • 15. Focusing on Equity in Service Design and Delivery 15 • 3/21/11 •  Identify specific service needs of women and underserved groups (in terms of content, timing and delivery channels) •  Place specificity of needs •  Different social norms from village to village PAR in Kaffrine: Woman FGD identifying climate service needs. Credit: Tall, CCAFS Climate Service Needs of women farmers in Fass (Left) different from those in Dioly (right). Credit: Tall, CCAFS
  • 16. 16 • 3/21/11 Giving Women an Effective Voice in Design of Climate Services •  Opening Spaces for iterative dialogue, interaction and Coproduction of climate service •  PAR > key to success –  involving communities (community diaries of local CC impacts) –  Capturing local innovation (forecast bulletin boards, SMS language) •  Preliminary Results of Kaffrine gender research end project assessment –  Increase in access, from handful in 2011 to 100% by 2012 –  Demonstrated Usefulness of received information, for all products across timescales –  Added value to traditional forecasts Soxna Ndao, Dioly village, stating: ‘We women, need information on when the rainy season will stop, as men plant for us later in the season. Credit: A. Tall
  • 17. 17 • 3/21/11 PRE-REQUISITE 4: BUILD FARMER CAPACITY TO USE CLIMATE SERVICES
  • 18. 18 • 3/21/11 Communicating Uncertainty -  Didactic Games The shorter the time range, the more accurate the forecast Credit: Mariane DiopKane, ANACIM ⇒ (Bringing(together(forecasters(and(farmers(to(put(climate(forecasts( at(the(service(of(communities(at(risk(from(climate=related(risks( Credit:(Red(Cross/ ( PetLab( Malem Djoly Fass
  • 19. Communicating Uncertainty in Seasonal Climate Forecasts 19 • 3/21/11 > The Pobability Distribution Function Farmers(discussing(what(1mm( of(rain(means…( Credit:(J.(Hansen,(CCAFS ( ( Credit:(Dr.(Ousmane(Ndiaye,(ANACIM Ousmane(Ndiaye,(ANACIM (
  • 20. ….To Wote, Eastern Kenya: FarmerTrainings 20 • 3/21/11 Credit:(J.(Hansen,(IRI/CCAFS( KPC(Rao,(ICRISAT((
  • 21. 21 • 3/21/11 PRE-REQUISITE 5: DESIGN, MONITOR AND EVALUATE SERVICE TO ENSURE ITS RELEVANCE
  • 22. Developing M&E Framework to Evaluate Climate Services for Farmers 22 • 3/21/11 Goal: Develop M&E protocol to identify farmer need for climate services and measure added-value of climate services for farmer communities, with guidance on: -  Baseline collection -  Monitoring, re-assessment -  End project final impact assessment •  Locally-Relevant •  Gender responsive 3*Objectives*of*Assessment: 1.To inform design of new climate services and projects;" 2.To identify current gaps, and improve project effective and service delivery for farmers;! 3.To assess impact of provided services on farmers, and demonstrate project impact with a dollar value (towards outcome reporting).!
  • 23. Proposed M&E Framework to Evaluate Climate Services for Farmers 23 • 3/21/11 The image cannot be displayed. Your computer may not have enough memory to open the image, or the image may have been corrupted. Restart your computer, and then open the file again. If the red x still appears, you may have to delete the image and then insert it again.
  • 24. Designing Tailored Forecast products for Farmers 24 • 3/21/11 Based on identified user needs, tailoring: •  In space: Geographic Downscaling •  In time: Seemless forecast products across timescales: –  Seasonal > Monthly > Dekadal > 72h > 48h > 3h > nowcasting –  Historical Data Trends Analysis –  Key to building trust and empowering farmers to monitor risks as season unfolds •  In Content (hazards, info needed) •  In Lead time (alert thresholds) •  In message format, language & delivery channel WEATHER HOURS DAYS WEEKS MONTHS Decision Making is local. Blended Station and Satellite data is one way forward to downscale climate forecasts, and enable climate forecasts to serve local decision-making. Courtesy: J. Hansen, CCAFS/IRI CLIMATE YEARS DECADES …
  • 25. 25 • 3/21/11 CCAFS OBJECTIVE: 10M farmers by 2016 equipped with tailored climate services for improved management of climate risks http://dmu.icrisat.ac.in/CCAFS_CIS_Home.aspx
  • 26. 26 • 3/21/11 CCAFS Strategy to Scale Up Climate Services for Farmers 1.  Identify Good practice 2.  Upscale Climate Services to millions of farmers –  Promoting National Frameworks for Climate Services –  Brokering strong partnerships between NHMSs, Agr Research and Extension to produce tailored agro-met advisories –  Leveraging new ICTs, media professionals NGOs and boundary organisations for effective 2-way communication 3.  Build evidence base on livelihood outcomes for farmers - making the case for Climate Services
  • 27. Scaling up Climate Services for millions of Farmers > Mission Possible 27 • 3/21/11 •  •  •  •  Operational Climate Services for Farmers is a multi-front challenge Examples surveyed by CCAFS prove however that it is Mission Possible today to reach millions of farmers with salient and downscaled climate information and advisory services relevant to support their decisionmaking under an uncertain climate. It is time to Scale Up this approach for many other farmers to have access and benefit from available climate information and advisory services. The time is Right for Climate Services. For more information, contact: Arame Tall, a.tall@cgiar.org Photo: Women Farmers in Amtrar, Himachal Pradesh (India), discussing how they benefit from agromet advisories. Credit: A. Tall, CCAFS