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Predictive	Analytics	World	London|	Oct	12,	2016	|	Arif	Wider	&	Christian	Deger
Predictive	Analytics	for	Vehicle	Price	Prediction
Delivered	Continuously	at	AutoScout24
Dr.	Arif	Wider
Senior	Consultant/Developer
awider@thoughtworks.com
@arifwider
Christian	Deger
Chief	Architect
cdeger@autoscout24.com
@cdeger
PL
S
RUS
UA
RO
CZ
D
NL
B
F
A
HR
I
E
BG
TR
18countries
2.4m+cars &	motos
10m+users per
month
The task: A consumer-facing data product
5Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
The task: A consumer-facing data product
6Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
The task: A consumer-facing data product
7Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
The prediction model: Random forest
8
Volkswagen GolfCar listings of
last two years
Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
How to turn an R-based prediction model
into a high-performance web application?
9
?
Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
How to turn an R-based prediction model
into a high-performance web application?
10Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
How to turn an R-based prediction model
into a high-performance web application?
11Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
How to turn an R-based prediction model
into a high-performance web application?
12
à Continuous Delivery!
Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
Application	code in	
one	repository	per	
service.
CI
Deployment	package
as	artifact.
CD
Deliver	package	to	
servers
Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
Typical delivery pipeline
Continuous delivery pipelines
14
Prediction Model Pipeline
Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
Continuous delivery pipelines
15
Prediction Model Pipeline
Web Application Pipeline
Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
The price for CD: Extensive model validation
16Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
The price for CD: Extensive model validation
17Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
Lessons learned
18
§ Form cross-functional teams of
data scientists & software engineers!
§ Set up usage reporting early to improve your
data product in a data-driven way.
§ Generating gigabytes of Java code
is a challenge for the JVM
à Use the G1 garbage collector
à Do extensive warm-ups
àTurn off Tiered Compilation
Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
Conclusions
19
§ Continuous Delivery allows us to bring prediction
model changes live very quickly.
§ Only extensive automated end-to-end tests provide
confidence to deploy to production automatically.
§ Java code generation allows for very low response
times and excellent scalability for high loads but
requires plenty of memory.
Predictive Analytics World London 2016 Predictive Analytics Delivered Continuously – A. Wider & C. Deger
Thank you!
Questions?
– Arif	Wider	&	Christian	Deger –

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