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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence
  Glyphosate Competitiveness Analysis in
                China




                                                            Researched & Prepared by:




                          Guangzhou CCM Information Science and Technology Co., Ltd
                                                             Guangzhou, P. R. China



                                      July 2008


Copyright by Guangzhou CCM Information Science and Technology Co., Ltd (P. R. China)
Any publication, distribution or copying of the content in this report is prohibited.
Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com
Tel: +86-20-3761 6606
Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com




Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com                      Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com
Tel: +86-20-3761 6606                                     Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
CCM Data & Primary Intelligence
Description:


This research is an extension of CCM's market research report on The Future of Glyphosate Industry in
China. Many talent consultants in CCM spent one year to work out this masterpiece.


Glyphosate has been in a leading position of herbicides in the world in the past few years; it is
estimated that the global consumption of glyphosate is over 600kts at present and will increase by
CAGR of over 12%.
China, now the largest production base of glyphosate technical in the world, has glyphosate capacity
accounting for more than 40% of the global total. With the output expected to reach about 280kts and
the export volume 250kts in 2008, China’s glyphosate supply and price will have great impacts on the
global market.


Since February 2007, China's glyphosate price has been surging, from the average price of about
RMB34,000/t in February to RMB42,000/t as of September 2007. However, this is far from the end of
the price rise. The price has kept soaring, from RMB58,000/t at the end of 2007 to the unbelievably
record high, RMB95,000~100,000/t as of May 2008. But in 2006, the average price was only about
RMB26,000/t.


Attracted by the huge market potential and the promising prospects of glyphosate, more and more
domestic enterprises are busy either expanding their production capacities, or setting up new
glyphosate production lines. The global production capacity of glyphosate is shifting to China and
China has become the largest production base of glyphosate technical in the world with a capacity of
304,900t/a in 2007, accounting for more than one third of the global productivity. The output and export
volume of glyphosate in China reached 187kt and 165kt respectively in 2007. It is estimated that the
total capacity of glyphosate in China will reach 630,900 tonnes to the end 2008, based on the
expanding plans of the glyphosate players in China.


Then why the production capacity of glyphosate technical is concentrating into China and where the
competitiveness of China’s glyphosate industry lies in? Whether most glyphosate producers in the
domestic market undoubtedly earn considerable profit? Where its price will go next? What will influence
China’s glyphosate industry and how this industry will develop in the future? …


In this research, CCM will give a detailed analysis on glyphosate industry in China to help the readers
understand in depth the competitiveness of China’s glyphosate industry, and to help the readers,
mainly the decision maker to decide: whether is right to invest glyphosate in China, where to pay
attention and how to access this market.


- Introduction


Because of the expanding planting of genetically modified crops and the fast growth of the agriculture
in developing countries, Glyphosate develops rapidly these years. It is estimated that the annual growth
rate of glyphosate will keep at 14% in the next few years in the world, and the global demand of



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Tel: +86-20-3761 6606                                                 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
CCM Data & Primary Intelligence
glyphosate will reach 900,000 tonnes in 2010. Attracted by the huge market potential and the promising
prospects of glyphosate, more and more domestic enterprises are busy either expanding their
production capacities, or setting up new glyphosate production lines. It is estimated that the global
production capacity of glyphosate will shift to China in the future and the gap between demand and
supply will be filled in the next two years.


The technology development is also quite rapid in China . There are two different pathways of
glyphosate production in China : aminoacetic acid (AEA) pathway and iminodiacetic acid (IDA) pathway,
about 60% of the domestic glyphosate producers take the AEA pathway and the rest 40% take the IDA
route.


AEA pathway, as a traditional pathway in China , is widely applied in China 's glyphosate production,
because of the easy availability of raw material and mature technology. Many glyphosate producers are
close to glycine manufacturers, which means lower transport costs and guaranteed glycine supply . But
the AEA pathway consumes a lot of alkali to recycle the solvent and catalyst, which increases the
equipment expenditure and utility. What's more, the product quality by this pathway is not as good as
that by IDA pathway. So in recent years, the AEA pathway is partly replaced by the IDA pathway.
However, some glyphosate producers adopting AEA pathway have innovated this pathway and made
better use of their by-products, so that the production cost can be reduced.


Although the raw material diethanolamine is mainly imported from some overseas countries and its
price is rising all the time, IDA pathway is widely applied in most newly-built glyphosate projects in
China these years, because of the comparative advantages in yield, production cost, environment
protection and investment, Recently Anhui Huaxing Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. researched and
developed a new Hydrocyanic acid-IDA-Glyphosate process, which extracts hydrocyanic acid from the
nature gas. When the production line is put into operation, the cost can be reduced by RMB3,000 per
tonne than the current level.


What is the detailed situation of the competitiveness of AEA pathway and IDA pathway? In what
aspects are they competitive? It is claimed by many people that the hydrocyanic acid process will be
widely applied and used in the domestic market, and the AEA pathway will be replaced by the IDA
pathway and the IDA pathway will be the dominant glyphosate producing pathway in the future. Is that
true? Why? If it is true, how long will the process of this substitution take? If it isn't, what are the factors
hampering this substitution? CCM will give a detail analysis in order to answer all these questions in
this report.


Although the output is growing all the time, the global price of glyphosate has been rising. One tonne of
glyphosate was priced only at RMB28,000 last year, but the price has soared to nearly RMB50,000/t at
present, that is, November 2007. The main reason for the price hike of glyphosate this year is the
current demand and supply situation. Monsanto, a world renowned company, also the largest
glyphosate producer in the world, has stopped investing in its glyphosate production capacity
expansion, and has started to buy raw materials from China for their glyphosate production. Meanwhile,
the output from the domestic glyphosate producers can not satisfy the huge demand in the overseas
market. All these factors contribute to the tense supply and high price of glyphosate.


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Tel: +86-20-3761 6606                                                     Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
CCM Data & Primary Intelligence

With the price hike of glyphosate, more and more profit has been gained by domestic glyphosate
producers. The net profit was once several times of the production cost this year, although the current
production cost is much higher than that in the past. What is the actual cost structure of glyphosate in
active producers by different pathways? How does the production cost influence domestic glyphosate
production and sales? In this report CCM will give an in-depth analysis of the production technology
and production cost in some major glyphosate producers.


In recent years, the Chinese government imposes stricter and stricter rules on the agrochemicals
industry and environment protection, and the production cost of glyphosate including raw materials,
manufacturing cost and management cost is rising all the time. These factors will inevitably contribute
much to the development of glyphosate industry in China .


Under such circumstances, it needs to find out:
- What factors influence the development of glyphosate industry, especially the price and profit of
glyphosate?
- In the future, which pathway will be the dominant route in glyphosate production in China , and why?
Will AEA pathway be replaced by IDA pathway in the future? How is the prospect of hydrocyanic acid
process?
- What is the price trend?
- During the current and future production capacity expansion by domestic producers, whether most
glyphosate producers in the domestic market undoubtedly earn considerable profit at the moment?
How do policy adjustment, production cost rising and other factors influence the development of profit
in the future? Will the profit keep stable in the next few years?
- Which producer has the largest competitive advantage in China now?
- How does the prospect of glyphosate industry in the future?
CCM will give you a professional analysis to the above questions in this benchmarking research.


- What is the aim of this research?
CCM's research on glyphosate competitiveness analysis in China offers a comprehensive guide to the
current technology situation and production cost structures of Chinese manufacturers.


1) Analyze the factors influencing the competitiveness landscape of China’s glyphosate industry, such
as supply and demand dynamics, production pathways & technology level, raw materials supply,
macro-economic situation and government policies, to understand where Chinese glyphosate
competitiveness lies.
2) Research systematically the different processes for glyphosate production and the current
production situation of the Chinese producers in an effort to understand their production cost structures,
how the different production pathways compete with each other, and how the technology will evolve.
3) Set up model for glyphosate cost in China and make comparison to different cost structures of the
major producers in China.
4) Carry out comparison between the competitiveness of AEA pathway and IDA pathway, and analyze
the competitiveness landscape of glyphosate production in China.
5) Identify the key factors influencing the price of glyphosate and the internal relationship between the


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Tel: +86-20-3761 6606                                                 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
CCM Data & Primary Intelligence
key factors. And then set up glyphosate price model.
6) Based on the work mentioned above, make a forecast on the competitiveness of China’s glyphosate
in the next five years.


-      Why to purchase the research?
1) To understand the current technology level, cost structure, price and profit in Chinese glyphosate
market.
2) To understand the competitive landscape of Chinese glyphosate producers.
3) To forecast the future development of glyphosate industry in China .
4) To help make decisions: whether is right to invest glyphosate in China ?


-      Who should buy this research?
1) Glyphosate producers paying close attention to the Chinese technology level, cost structure, price
and profit of major competitors in China ;
2) Glyphosate buyers who purchase glyphosate from Chinese manufacturers;
3) Glyphosate investors who plan to enter China to build new plants;
4) Technology suppliers who own the latest or best production and processing technology, and want to
transfer their technology to Chinese glyphosate producers;
5) Research institutes who desire to know current technology level and research status in China ;
6) Analysts and consultants trying to gain insight into China 's fast-growing market for glyphosate


If you are interested in this research:


Please Contact Us for more information about this research!


Main content:


No.           Content                                                                           Page
              Executive summary                                                                   15
              Introduction and methodology                                                        37
I             Introduction to this Work                                                           40
              Factors influencing the competitiveness landscape of China’s glyphosate
II                                                                                                42
              industry
II-1          Government policy                                                                   42
II-1.1        Promotion of genetically modified crops                                             42
II-1.2        Promotion of no-tillage land                                                        43
II-1.3        Environmental and energy policy                                                     44
II-1.4        Policy on import and export                                                         47
II-1.5        Support on some important enterprises                                               48
II-1.6        Some policies for foreign invested enterprises                                      49
II-1.7        Other unfavourable policies for glyphosate investment                               50
II-2          Economic environment for the development of glyphosate industry                     51
II-2.1        China economy continuously develops with fast growth rate                           51



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Tel: +86-20-3761 6606                                                  Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
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II-2.2       Income of Chinese peasants grows continuously and stably                         52
II-2.3       Low labor cost                                                                   54
II-2.4       More population to feed but reducing peasants and shrinking cultivated land      56
II-2.5       Serious Inflation                                                                57
II-2.6       RMB appreciation                                                                 59
II-2.7       Growth rate of export                                                            61
II-2.8       Shortage of energy and raw material                                              63
II-2.9       Great demand for bio-energy                                                      68
II-3         Situation of Chinese pesticide                                                   70
II-3.1       Output and demand of pesticide                                                   70
II-3.2       Adjustment of pesticide                                                          72
II-3.3       Competition pattern of pesticide industry in China                               73
II-3.4       Technology level and characters of pesticide industry                            76
II-3.5       Profit tendency and the reason                                                   77
II-3.6       Trend of pesticide industry                                                      77
II-3.7       Advantageous and disadvantageous factors of pesticide industry development       78
II-3.8       Major obstacles of entering pesticide industry                                   79
II-4         Crop planting situation in the world                                             80
II-4.1       Conventional crop planting situation in the world                                80
II-4.2       Planting situation of GM crops in the world                                      81
II-5         Crop planting situation in China                                                 86
II-5.1       Conventional crop planting situation in China                                    86
II-5.2       Planting situation of GM crops in China                                          88
II-6         Entry Barriers of glyphosate industry                                            91
II-6.1       Policy                                                                           91
II-6.2       Capital                                                                          92
II-6.3       Production scale                                                                 92
II-6.4       Anti-dumping and technical barrier                                               92
II-6.5       Technology                                                                       93
II-6.6       Export channel                                                                   94
II-6.7       Environment barriers                                                             95
II-6.8       No GLP lab and hard to register in other countries                               95
II-6.9       High dependence on overseas market                                               95
II-7         Supply of glyphosate in China                                                    96
II-7.1       Glyphosate technical                                                             96
II-7.2       Glyphosate formulation                                                           98
II-7.2.1     Overview of formulations species                                                 98
II-7.2.2     Introduction of special formulations                                             98
II-7.3       PMIDA                                                                           100
II-8         Demand for Chinese glyphosate                                                   104
II-8.1       Global demand for China’s glyphosate                                            104
II-8.1.1     Overview of global glyphosate production                                        104
II-8.1.2     Role of China’s glyphosate in global markets                                    104
II-8.2       Domestic demand for glyphosate                                                  107


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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence
II-8.2.1      Overview of Chinese glyphosate technical consumption                            107
II-8.2.2      Glyphosate formulations use in China                                            109
II-8.2.2.1    Regional distribution of glyphosate use in China                                109
II-8.2.2.2    Use situation of glyphosate formulations in each major crops                    110
II-8.2.2.3    Use pattern of glyphosate formulations                                          111
II-8.2.2.4    Others                                                                          112
II-9          Supply situation of glyphosate raw materials in China                           113
II-9.1        Raw materials of AEA pathway                                                    114
II-9.1.1      Glycine                                                                         114
II-9.1.1.1    Introduction                                                                    114
II-9.1.1.2    Supply situation of glycine in China                                            115
II-9.1.2      Yellow phosphorous                                                              122
II-9.1.3      Paraformaldehyde                                                                126
II-9.1.4      Dimethyl phosphite                                                              128
II-9.2        Raw materials of DEA route                                                      130
II-9.2.1      Diethanolamine                                                                  130
II-9.2.2      Formaldehyde                                                                    135
II-9.3        Raw materials of IDAN route                                                     138
II-9.3.1      IDAN                                                                            138
II-10         Production pathways & technology level                                          143
II-10.1       Summary of production, output by different pathways                             143
II-10.2       Introduction to different pathways and their levels                             147
II-10.2.1     AEA pathway                                                                     147
II-10.2.1.1 Description                                                                       147
II-10.2.1.2 Development of AEA pathway in China                                               148
II-10.2.1.3 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for AEA pathway                          151
II-10.2.1.4 Advantages and problems                                                           151
II-10.2.2     DEA route                                                                       152
II-10.2.2.1 Description                                                                       152
II-10.2.2.2 Development of DEA route in China                                                 154
II-10.2.2.3 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for DEA route                            156
II-10.2.2.4 Advantages and problems                                                           156
II-10.2.3     IDAN route                                                                      157
II-10.2.3.1 Description                                                                       157
II-10.2.3.2 Development of IDAN route in China                                                158
II-10.2.3.3 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for IDAN route                           159
II-10.2.3.4 Advantages and problems                                                           159
II-10.2.4     Comparison of different pathways                                                160
II-10.3       Glyphosate formulation producing technology                                     160
II-10.3.1     Description                                                                     160
II-10.3.2     Development of glyphosate formulation producing technology in China             161
II-10.3.3     Theoretical models for glyphosate formulations                                  163
              Other factors influencing the competitiveness landscape of China’s glyphosate
II-11                                                                                         166
              industry


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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence
II-11.1       New situation of glyphosate                                                   166
II-11.2       Marketing strategies                                                          168
II-11.3       Competitions with other herbicides and foreign glyphosate                     168
III           Analysis of major glyphosate producers in China                               171
III-1         Zhejiang Xin’an Chemical Industrial Group Co., Ltd.                           171
III-1.1       Introduction                                                                  171
III-1.2       Financials                                                                    172
III-1.3       Products                                                                      174
III-1.4       Existing capacity and expanding plan                                          175
III-1.5       Glyphosate                                                                    176
III-1.5.1     Production and market situation of glyphosate                                 176
III-1.5.2     Cost analysis of glyphosate                                                   180
III-2         Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemical Co., Ltd.                           182
III-2.1       Introduction                                                                  182
III-2.2       Financials                                                                    183
III-2.3       Products                                                                      185
III-2.4       Existing capacity and expanding plan                                          187
III-2.5       Glyphosate                                                                    187
III-2.5.1     Production and market situation of glyphosate                                 187
III-2.5.2     Cost analysis of glyphosate                                                   189
III-3         Anhui Huaxing Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.                                     192
III-3.1       Introduction                                                                  192
III-3.2       Financials                                                                    193
III-3.3       Products                                                                      195
III-3.4       Existing capacity and expanding plan                                          195
III-3.5       Glyphosate                                                                    196
III-3.5.1     Production and market situation of glyphosate                                 196
III-3.5.2     Cost analysis of glyphosate                                                   198
III-4         Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical Group Co., Ltd.                                     200
III-4.1       Introduction                                                                  200
III-4.2       Financials                                                                    201
III-4.3       Products                                                                      203
III-4.4       Existing capacity and expanding plan                                          204
III-4.5       Glyphosate                                                                    205
III-4.5.1     Production and market situation of glyphosate                                 205
III-4.5.2     Cost analysis of glyphosate                                                   208
III-5         Hubei Sanonda Co., Ltd.                                                       210
III-5.1       Introduction                                                                  210
III-5.2       Financials                                                                    211
III-5.3       Products                                                                      213
III-5.4       Existing capacity and expanding plan                                          214
III-5.5       Glyphosate                                                                    215
III-5.5.1     Production and market situation of glyphosate                                 215
III-5.5.2     Cost analysis of glyphosate                                                   216


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III-6      SWOT analysis of the five glyphosate manufactures                                 218
IV         Competitiveness landscape of glyphosate production in China                       219
IV-1       Competitiveness of AEA pathway                                                    219
IV-2       Competitiveness of IDA pathway                                                    221
IV-2.1     DEA route                                                                         221
IV-2.2     IDAN route                                                                        223
           Comparison between the competitiveness of AEA pathway and IDA pathway
IV-3                                                                                         224
           and conclusion
V          Index model for glyphosate price                                                  226
V-1        Influencing factors for glyphosate price                                          227
V-1.1      Production cost                                                                   227
V-1.2      Supply/demand situation                                                           228
V-2        Price Index model for glyphosate                                                  231
V-3        Identification                                                                    233
VI         Forecast on the competitiveness of China’s glyphosate in the next five years      235
VI-1       Research hot points                                                               235
VI-2       Development trend of pathways                                                     238
VI-3       Change trend of production cost                                                   239
VI-3.1     Change trend of some major raw materials                                          239
           - DMP                                                                             240
           - Glycine                                                                         241
           - DEA                                                                             243
           - IDAN                                                                            244
VI-3.2     Change trend of production cost                                                   245
VI-4       Change trend of supply & demand situation                                         247
           - Operation rate                                                                  247
           - Export dependence                                                               247
           - Ratio of total export to glyphosate technical export                            248
VI-5       Glyphosate price fluctuating trend                                                248
VI-6       Estimation on profit in Chinese manufacturers                                     249
VII        Conclusion and commercial opportunities                                           251
VII-1      Conclusion                                                                        251
VII-2      Commercial opportunities                                                          252


Executive summary:


The competitiveness landscape of China’s glyphosate industry is embodied on the following factors,
such as government policy, economic environment, crops planting situation, entry barriers, demand
and supply, raw materials supply and technology level.
………..


- Production pathways & technology level




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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence
There are two pathways for glyphosate production in China including IDA pathway and AEA pathway.
According to the difference of raw materials, IDA pathway can also be subdivided into two categories,
which are DEA route and IDAN route.


Because of its simple flowchart and mature technology, AEA pathway is easy to be mastered by most
companies, plus the easy availability of raw materials in China, the AEA pathway, though having been
eliminated in the international market, is still being widely used in China’s glyphosate industry. However,
the percentage of capacity and output of glyphosate by AEA pathway has been reducing all the time
these years.


Being complained for the serious pollution in the production, many large-scale glyphosate producers
adopting AEA pathway in China have spent much energy and money improving this method and have
made great progress. The main breakthroughs can be described as follows:
1. Optimizing the process and improving the yield rate.
2. Adopting continuous production process and introducing advanced equipments
3. Adopting DCS control system to realize optimized operation
4. Reclaiming the by-products such as methylene dichloride and dimethoxymethane
5. Reclaiming the raw materials
……..


IDA pathway has been developing rapidly in recent years in China for its advantages of low cost,
environmentally friendly performance and relatively not so huge investment. As of May 2008, there are
xx companies adopting the IDA pathway, among which, xx adopting DEA route and xx adopting IDAN
route. The typical companies include XXX, XXX, XXX, XXX and XXX etc.


As the supply of the raw materials DEA and IDAN are quite tense in China, the capacity enlargement of
the glyphosate producers adopting IDA pathway has been affected. However, some DEA and IDAN
producers have enlarged their capacities and output. Therefore, the tense supply of these raw
materials might be relieved in a short term. The advantages of IDA pathway will be exhibited fully in
China.
……….


Character of CCM' Report:


The aim of this report is to provide powerful assistance to the strategy group and the management
team in making correct decision as how to penetrate the ever-increasing China market and how to
catch the maximum commercial opportunities. The report is formulated independently by CCM’s
professional market researchers, based on the first-hand and primary data which are analyzed by
scientific methodology, confirmed with both manufacturers/end users/traders and legal authorities, and
presented in a logic way.


Sample pages:




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II-10.2.1.2 Development of AEA pathway in China


After several years’ development, AEA pathway has made great progress in operation process
and equipment, the technology has become mature and the quality of the product also has
become quite stable. The main breakthroughs can be described as follows:
……….

Table II-10.2.1.2-1 Comparison between continuous hydrolysis process and batch hydrolysis
process in Nantong Jiangshan
                                                                            Style of reactors
                       Item
                                                        Batch hydrolysis process    Continuous hydrolysis process

Annual output/tonne                                                     XXXXXX                           XXXXXX

Reactor number                                                                 X                                X

Operator number                                                               XX                              XX

Production efficiency of each reactor /(t/ a)                          XXXXXXX                             XXXXX

Productivity per worker (t/ a)                                            XXXXX                               XX



II-10.2.1.3 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for AEA pathway


……….

Table II-10.2.1.3-1 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for AEA pathway in May 2008
                                            Unit consumption           Unit price of May. 2008      Unit Cost(RMB/t
              Raw materials
                                                (t/t glyphosate)         (RMB/t glyphosate)           glyphosate)

 1    Glycine(Industrial grade)                                XXXXX                35,000.00               XXXXXXXXX

 2    Paraformaldehyde (37%)                                   XXXXX                  8,730.00               XXXXXXXX

 3    Triethylamine (99.5%)                                    XXXXX                13,000.00                XXXXXXXX

 4    Methanol (95%)                                           XXXXX                  4,000.00               XXXXXXXX

 5    Dimethyl ester                                           XXXXX                40,000.00               XXXXXXXXX

 6    Hydrochloric acid (30%)                                  XXXXX                   750.00                   XXXXXX

      Total                                                                                                 XXXXXXXXX

……….
II-10.2.4 Comparison of different routes


Table II-10.2.4-1 Comparison of different routes
                                                                                            Developin      Typical
 Routes            Strong points           Shortcomings             Current situation
                                                                                             g trend      company

                 XXXXXXXXXXXXXX         XXXXXXXXXXXXXX          XXXXX                      XXXXXXX       XXXXXX
                 XXXXXXXXXXXXXX         XXXXXXXXXXXX            XXXXXXXXXXXX               XXXXXXX       XXXXX
   AEA
                 XXXXXXXXXXXXXX                                 XXXXXXXXXXXX               XXX           XXXXXXX
 pathway
                 XXXXXXXXXXXXXX                                 XXXXXXXXXXXX               XXXXXX        XXXX
                 XXXXXXX                                        XXXXX

                 XXXXXXXXXXXXXX         XXXXXXXXXXXXXX          XXXXXXXXXXXX               XXX           XXXXXXX
                 XXXXXXXXXXXXXX         XXXXXXXXXXXXX           XXXXXXXXXXXX               XXXXXXX       XXXXXXX
                 XXXXXXXXXXXXXX         XXXXXXXXXXXXXX          XXXXXXXXXX                 XXXX          XXXXXXX
DEA route
                 XXXXXXXXXXXXXX         XXXXXXXXXXXX X                                                   XXXXXX
                 XXXXXX                 XXXXXXX



                 XXXXXXXXXXXXXX         XXXXXXXXXXXXXX          XXXXXXXXXXXX               XXXX          XXXX
  IDAN           XXXXXXXXXXXXXX         XXXXXXXXXXXXXX          XXXXXX                     XXXXXXX       XXXXXXX
  route          XXXXXXXXX              XXXXXXXXXX              XXXXXXXXXXXX               XXXXXX        XXXXXX
                                                                XXXXXXXX                                 XXXXXXX



Based on the above discussion, we conclude that the AEA pathway is still competitive in China.
But as the supply of DEA and IDAN becomes sufficient and their quality is as good as that from
some overseas countries, the IDA route is sure to have a larger market share in the future.


II-10.3.3 Theoretical models for glyphosate formulations


……….


Table II-10.3.3-1 Raw materials consumption of 10% glyphosate-ammonium
Raw materials                      Unit consumption(t/t)            Price(RMB/t)                 Unit Cost(RMB/t)
                   (1)
Mother liquid(4%)                                              X                          400                   XXX

Additive                                                   XXXX                          8,000                      XX
                                                              XXX
Glyphosate technical(95%)                              XXXX                             90,000               XXXXX
           (3)
Ammonia                                                     XXX                           800                       XX

Total                                                                                                        XXXXX
II-11.2 Marketing strategies

Table II-11.2-1 Marketing strategies of Chinese glyphosate industry
       Strategy                                                    Content
Focus on export           XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Promoting Brand           XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
                          XXXXXXX
Promoting         high
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
content
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
formulation
Cooperation               XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Perfecting sales
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
network
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
                          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
OEM                       XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


III-1.5.2 Cost analysis of glyphosate

-      Production cost

Table III-1.5.2-1 Estimation on raw material costs of glyphosate in XXXXXX in May 2008
                                                           Unit                              Unit Cost
                                                                         Price (RMB/t)
                                                     consumption (t/t)                   (RMB/t glyphosate)
                         Glycine(Industrial grade)                XXXX       XXXXXXXXX          XXXXXXXXX

                         Paraformaldehyde (96%)                   XXXX        XXXXXXXX           XXXXXXXX
    Raw materials
                         Triethylamine (99.5%)                    XXXX       XXXXXXXXX           XXXXXXXX
        cost
                         Methanol (95%)                           XXXX        XXXXXXXX           XXXXXXXX

                         Dimethyl ester                           XXXX       XXXXXXXXX          XXXXXXXXX

                         Hydrochloric acid (31%)                  XXXX          XXXXXX              XXXXXX

                         Total                                                                  XXXXXXXXX
Table III-1.5.2-2 Estimation on manufacturing cost of glyphosate in XXXXXX in May 2008
No                              Item                                    Unit Cost (RMB / t glyphosate)

    1 Raw materials cost                                                            XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

    2 Utilities                                                                   XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

    3 Labour                                                                    XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

    4 Package                                                                   XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

    5 Maintenance                                                               XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

    6 Depreciation                                                              XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

        Total                                                                      XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX



Table III-1.5.2-3 Estimation on management costs of glyphosate in XXXXXX in May 2008
No.                                    Item                                   Unit Cost (RMB /t glyphosate)

    1     Salary cost of management staffs and other auxiliary staffs          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

    2     Materials cost for management                                         XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

    3     Interest on loan                                                     XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

    4     Transportation cost                                                  XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

    5     Amortisation of intangible asset                                     XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

    6     Distribution cost                                                    XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

    7     Cost for three-waste treatment                                       XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

          Total                                                                 XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX



Table III-1.5.2-4 Estimation on production costs of glyphosate in XXXXXX in May 2008
                                                                             In 2008
No                       Item                                   Unit Cost (RMB / t glyphosate)

    1 Manufacturing cost                                                                         XXXXXXXXXXXX

    2 Management costs                                                                         XXXXXXXXXXXXX
          Total                                                                                  XXXXXXXXXXXX



-       Profit

Table III-1.5.2-5 Profit estimation of glyphosate in XXXXXX in May 2008
            Item                   RMB/t glyphosate                                Remark
1.Total income                                               XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
                                                             XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Price                           XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Other income                                     XXXXXX      XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
2.Expense                                                    XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Total production costs                        XXXXXXXX

Taxes                                                        XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
                                       XXXXXXXXXXXXXX        XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
3.Gross profit                           XXXXXXXXXXXX        XXXXXXXXXXXXXX

4.Profit tax                            XXXXXXXXXXXXX        XXX XXXXXXXXXXXX

5.Profit after tax                       XXXXXXXXXXXX        XXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX
IV-3 Comparison between the competitiveness of AEA pathway and IDA pathway and
              conclusion


              Table IV-3-1 Competitiveness comparison between the AEA pathway and IDA pathway
                                                                              Raw material
           Route                 Process              Theoretical cost                       Current application      Bottleneck
                                                                                  supply
                         XXXXXXXXXXXXX
                         XXXXXXXXXXXXX                XXXXXXXXXX           XXXXXXXXXXXX      XXXXXXXXXXXXXX        XXXXXXXXXXXXX
        AEA pathway
                         XXXXXXXXXXXXX                XXXXXXXXX            XXXXXX            XXXXXXXXXXX           XXXXXXXXX
                         XXXXXXX

                         XXXXXXXXXXXXX                                                                             XXXXXXXXXXXXX
                         XXXXXXX                                                                                   XXXXXXXXXXXXX
                         XXXXXXXXXXXXX                XXXXXXXXXXX          XXXXXXXXXXXX      XXXXXXXXXXXXXX        XXXXXXXXXXXXX
         DEA route
                         XXXXXXXXXXXXX                XXXXXXXX             XXXXXXXX          XXXXXXXXXXXX          XXXXXXXXXXXXX
                         XXXXXXXXXXXXX                                                                             XXXXXXXXXXXXX
                         XXXXXXXXXXX                                                                               XXXXX

                         XXXXXXXXXXXXX                                                                             XXXXXXXXXXXXX
                                                      XXXXXXXXXXX                            XXXXXXXXXXXXXX
        IDAN route       XXXXXXXXXXXXX                                     XXXXXXXXXXXX                            XXXXXXX
                                                      XXXXXXXXXXX                            XXXXXXXXXXXX
                         XXXXXXXXXX                                                                                XXXXXXXXXXX




              Figure V-1 Price model of glyphosate technical

                                                          Price Model

                      Production cost of each route
                                                                    Production cost
                          Output of each route

                                        Capacity
                                                                                                       Price
                                                                                                                           Output
                                         Output
Input
                                         Import
                                                                Demand & Supply intensity
                                         Export

                                    Market Demand

                                       Accidents

                                         Others



              All the original data in this segment are mainly sourced from CCM’s database and custom’s
              data……….

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Glyphosate competitiveness analysis in china

  • 1. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence Glyphosate Competitiveness Analysis in China Researched & Prepared by: Guangzhou CCM Information Science and Technology Co., Ltd Guangzhou, P. R. China July 2008 Copyright by Guangzhou CCM Information Science and Technology Co., Ltd (P. R. China) Any publication, distribution or copying of the content in this report is prohibited. Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968 Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 2. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence Description: This research is an extension of CCM's market research report on The Future of Glyphosate Industry in China. Many talent consultants in CCM spent one year to work out this masterpiece. Glyphosate has been in a leading position of herbicides in the world in the past few years; it is estimated that the global consumption of glyphosate is over 600kts at present and will increase by CAGR of over 12%. China, now the largest production base of glyphosate technical in the world, has glyphosate capacity accounting for more than 40% of the global total. With the output expected to reach about 280kts and the export volume 250kts in 2008, China’s glyphosate supply and price will have great impacts on the global market. Since February 2007, China's glyphosate price has been surging, from the average price of about RMB34,000/t in February to RMB42,000/t as of September 2007. However, this is far from the end of the price rise. The price has kept soaring, from RMB58,000/t at the end of 2007 to the unbelievably record high, RMB95,000~100,000/t as of May 2008. But in 2006, the average price was only about RMB26,000/t. Attracted by the huge market potential and the promising prospects of glyphosate, more and more domestic enterprises are busy either expanding their production capacities, or setting up new glyphosate production lines. The global production capacity of glyphosate is shifting to China and China has become the largest production base of glyphosate technical in the world with a capacity of 304,900t/a in 2007, accounting for more than one third of the global productivity. The output and export volume of glyphosate in China reached 187kt and 165kt respectively in 2007. It is estimated that the total capacity of glyphosate in China will reach 630,900 tonnes to the end 2008, based on the expanding plans of the glyphosate players in China. Then why the production capacity of glyphosate technical is concentrating into China and where the competitiveness of China’s glyphosate industry lies in? Whether most glyphosate producers in the domestic market undoubtedly earn considerable profit? Where its price will go next? What will influence China’s glyphosate industry and how this industry will develop in the future? … In this research, CCM will give a detailed analysis on glyphosate industry in China to help the readers understand in depth the competitiveness of China’s glyphosate industry, and to help the readers, mainly the decision maker to decide: whether is right to invest glyphosate in China, where to pay attention and how to access this market. - Introduction Because of the expanding planting of genetically modified crops and the fast growth of the agriculture in developing countries, Glyphosate develops rapidly these years. It is estimated that the annual growth rate of glyphosate will keep at 14% in the next few years in the world, and the global demand of Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 3. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence glyphosate will reach 900,000 tonnes in 2010. Attracted by the huge market potential and the promising prospects of glyphosate, more and more domestic enterprises are busy either expanding their production capacities, or setting up new glyphosate production lines. It is estimated that the global production capacity of glyphosate will shift to China in the future and the gap between demand and supply will be filled in the next two years. The technology development is also quite rapid in China . There are two different pathways of glyphosate production in China : aminoacetic acid (AEA) pathway and iminodiacetic acid (IDA) pathway, about 60% of the domestic glyphosate producers take the AEA pathway and the rest 40% take the IDA route. AEA pathway, as a traditional pathway in China , is widely applied in China 's glyphosate production, because of the easy availability of raw material and mature technology. Many glyphosate producers are close to glycine manufacturers, which means lower transport costs and guaranteed glycine supply . But the AEA pathway consumes a lot of alkali to recycle the solvent and catalyst, which increases the equipment expenditure and utility. What's more, the product quality by this pathway is not as good as that by IDA pathway. So in recent years, the AEA pathway is partly replaced by the IDA pathway. However, some glyphosate producers adopting AEA pathway have innovated this pathway and made better use of their by-products, so that the production cost can be reduced. Although the raw material diethanolamine is mainly imported from some overseas countries and its price is rising all the time, IDA pathway is widely applied in most newly-built glyphosate projects in China these years, because of the comparative advantages in yield, production cost, environment protection and investment, Recently Anhui Huaxing Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. researched and developed a new Hydrocyanic acid-IDA-Glyphosate process, which extracts hydrocyanic acid from the nature gas. When the production line is put into operation, the cost can be reduced by RMB3,000 per tonne than the current level. What is the detailed situation of the competitiveness of AEA pathway and IDA pathway? In what aspects are they competitive? It is claimed by many people that the hydrocyanic acid process will be widely applied and used in the domestic market, and the AEA pathway will be replaced by the IDA pathway and the IDA pathway will be the dominant glyphosate producing pathway in the future. Is that true? Why? If it is true, how long will the process of this substitution take? If it isn't, what are the factors hampering this substitution? CCM will give a detail analysis in order to answer all these questions in this report. Although the output is growing all the time, the global price of glyphosate has been rising. One tonne of glyphosate was priced only at RMB28,000 last year, but the price has soared to nearly RMB50,000/t at present, that is, November 2007. The main reason for the price hike of glyphosate this year is the current demand and supply situation. Monsanto, a world renowned company, also the largest glyphosate producer in the world, has stopped investing in its glyphosate production capacity expansion, and has started to buy raw materials from China for their glyphosate production. Meanwhile, the output from the domestic glyphosate producers can not satisfy the huge demand in the overseas market. All these factors contribute to the tense supply and high price of glyphosate. Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 4. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence With the price hike of glyphosate, more and more profit has been gained by domestic glyphosate producers. The net profit was once several times of the production cost this year, although the current production cost is much higher than that in the past. What is the actual cost structure of glyphosate in active producers by different pathways? How does the production cost influence domestic glyphosate production and sales? In this report CCM will give an in-depth analysis of the production technology and production cost in some major glyphosate producers. In recent years, the Chinese government imposes stricter and stricter rules on the agrochemicals industry and environment protection, and the production cost of glyphosate including raw materials, manufacturing cost and management cost is rising all the time. These factors will inevitably contribute much to the development of glyphosate industry in China . Under such circumstances, it needs to find out: - What factors influence the development of glyphosate industry, especially the price and profit of glyphosate? - In the future, which pathway will be the dominant route in glyphosate production in China , and why? Will AEA pathway be replaced by IDA pathway in the future? How is the prospect of hydrocyanic acid process? - What is the price trend? - During the current and future production capacity expansion by domestic producers, whether most glyphosate producers in the domestic market undoubtedly earn considerable profit at the moment? How do policy adjustment, production cost rising and other factors influence the development of profit in the future? Will the profit keep stable in the next few years? - Which producer has the largest competitive advantage in China now? - How does the prospect of glyphosate industry in the future? CCM will give you a professional analysis to the above questions in this benchmarking research. - What is the aim of this research? CCM's research on glyphosate competitiveness analysis in China offers a comprehensive guide to the current technology situation and production cost structures of Chinese manufacturers. 1) Analyze the factors influencing the competitiveness landscape of China’s glyphosate industry, such as supply and demand dynamics, production pathways & technology level, raw materials supply, macro-economic situation and government policies, to understand where Chinese glyphosate competitiveness lies. 2) Research systematically the different processes for glyphosate production and the current production situation of the Chinese producers in an effort to understand their production cost structures, how the different production pathways compete with each other, and how the technology will evolve. 3) Set up model for glyphosate cost in China and make comparison to different cost structures of the major producers in China. 4) Carry out comparison between the competitiveness of AEA pathway and IDA pathway, and analyze the competitiveness landscape of glyphosate production in China. 5) Identify the key factors influencing the price of glyphosate and the internal relationship between the Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 5. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence key factors. And then set up glyphosate price model. 6) Based on the work mentioned above, make a forecast on the competitiveness of China’s glyphosate in the next five years. - Why to purchase the research? 1) To understand the current technology level, cost structure, price and profit in Chinese glyphosate market. 2) To understand the competitive landscape of Chinese glyphosate producers. 3) To forecast the future development of glyphosate industry in China . 4) To help make decisions: whether is right to invest glyphosate in China ? - Who should buy this research? 1) Glyphosate producers paying close attention to the Chinese technology level, cost structure, price and profit of major competitors in China ; 2) Glyphosate buyers who purchase glyphosate from Chinese manufacturers; 3) Glyphosate investors who plan to enter China to build new plants; 4) Technology suppliers who own the latest or best production and processing technology, and want to transfer their technology to Chinese glyphosate producers; 5) Research institutes who desire to know current technology level and research status in China ; 6) Analysts and consultants trying to gain insight into China 's fast-growing market for glyphosate If you are interested in this research: Please Contact Us for more information about this research! Main content: No. Content Page Executive summary 15 Introduction and methodology 37 I Introduction to this Work 40 Factors influencing the competitiveness landscape of China’s glyphosate II 42 industry II-1 Government policy 42 II-1.1 Promotion of genetically modified crops 42 II-1.2 Promotion of no-tillage land 43 II-1.3 Environmental and energy policy 44 II-1.4 Policy on import and export 47 II-1.5 Support on some important enterprises 48 II-1.6 Some policies for foreign invested enterprises 49 II-1.7 Other unfavourable policies for glyphosate investment 50 II-2 Economic environment for the development of glyphosate industry 51 II-2.1 China economy continuously develops with fast growth rate 51 Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 6. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence II-2.2 Income of Chinese peasants grows continuously and stably 52 II-2.3 Low labor cost 54 II-2.4 More population to feed but reducing peasants and shrinking cultivated land 56 II-2.5 Serious Inflation 57 II-2.6 RMB appreciation 59 II-2.7 Growth rate of export 61 II-2.8 Shortage of energy and raw material 63 II-2.9 Great demand for bio-energy 68 II-3 Situation of Chinese pesticide 70 II-3.1 Output and demand of pesticide 70 II-3.2 Adjustment of pesticide 72 II-3.3 Competition pattern of pesticide industry in China 73 II-3.4 Technology level and characters of pesticide industry 76 II-3.5 Profit tendency and the reason 77 II-3.6 Trend of pesticide industry 77 II-3.7 Advantageous and disadvantageous factors of pesticide industry development 78 II-3.8 Major obstacles of entering pesticide industry 79 II-4 Crop planting situation in the world 80 II-4.1 Conventional crop planting situation in the world 80 II-4.2 Planting situation of GM crops in the world 81 II-5 Crop planting situation in China 86 II-5.1 Conventional crop planting situation in China 86 II-5.2 Planting situation of GM crops in China 88 II-6 Entry Barriers of glyphosate industry 91 II-6.1 Policy 91 II-6.2 Capital 92 II-6.3 Production scale 92 II-6.4 Anti-dumping and technical barrier 92 II-6.5 Technology 93 II-6.6 Export channel 94 II-6.7 Environment barriers 95 II-6.8 No GLP lab and hard to register in other countries 95 II-6.9 High dependence on overseas market 95 II-7 Supply of glyphosate in China 96 II-7.1 Glyphosate technical 96 II-7.2 Glyphosate formulation 98 II-7.2.1 Overview of formulations species 98 II-7.2.2 Introduction of special formulations 98 II-7.3 PMIDA 100 II-8 Demand for Chinese glyphosate 104 II-8.1 Global demand for China’s glyphosate 104 II-8.1.1 Overview of global glyphosate production 104 II-8.1.2 Role of China’s glyphosate in global markets 104 II-8.2 Domestic demand for glyphosate 107 Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 7. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence II-8.2.1 Overview of Chinese glyphosate technical consumption 107 II-8.2.2 Glyphosate formulations use in China 109 II-8.2.2.1 Regional distribution of glyphosate use in China 109 II-8.2.2.2 Use situation of glyphosate formulations in each major crops 110 II-8.2.2.3 Use pattern of glyphosate formulations 111 II-8.2.2.4 Others 112 II-9 Supply situation of glyphosate raw materials in China 113 II-9.1 Raw materials of AEA pathway 114 II-9.1.1 Glycine 114 II-9.1.1.1 Introduction 114 II-9.1.1.2 Supply situation of glycine in China 115 II-9.1.2 Yellow phosphorous 122 II-9.1.3 Paraformaldehyde 126 II-9.1.4 Dimethyl phosphite 128 II-9.2 Raw materials of DEA route 130 II-9.2.1 Diethanolamine 130 II-9.2.2 Formaldehyde 135 II-9.3 Raw materials of IDAN route 138 II-9.3.1 IDAN 138 II-10 Production pathways & technology level 143 II-10.1 Summary of production, output by different pathways 143 II-10.2 Introduction to different pathways and their levels 147 II-10.2.1 AEA pathway 147 II-10.2.1.1 Description 147 II-10.2.1.2 Development of AEA pathway in China 148 II-10.2.1.3 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for AEA pathway 151 II-10.2.1.4 Advantages and problems 151 II-10.2.2 DEA route 152 II-10.2.2.1 Description 152 II-10.2.2.2 Development of DEA route in China 154 II-10.2.2.3 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for DEA route 156 II-10.2.2.4 Advantages and problems 156 II-10.2.3 IDAN route 157 II-10.2.3.1 Description 157 II-10.2.3.2 Development of IDAN route in China 158 II-10.2.3.3 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for IDAN route 159 II-10.2.3.4 Advantages and problems 159 II-10.2.4 Comparison of different pathways 160 II-10.3 Glyphosate formulation producing technology 160 II-10.3.1 Description 160 II-10.3.2 Development of glyphosate formulation producing technology in China 161 II-10.3.3 Theoretical models for glyphosate formulations 163 Other factors influencing the competitiveness landscape of China’s glyphosate II-11 166 industry Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 8. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence II-11.1 New situation of glyphosate 166 II-11.2 Marketing strategies 168 II-11.3 Competitions with other herbicides and foreign glyphosate 168 III Analysis of major glyphosate producers in China 171 III-1 Zhejiang Xin’an Chemical Industrial Group Co., Ltd. 171 III-1.1 Introduction 171 III-1.2 Financials 172 III-1.3 Products 174 III-1.4 Existing capacity and expanding plan 175 III-1.5 Glyphosate 176 III-1.5.1 Production and market situation of glyphosate 176 III-1.5.2 Cost analysis of glyphosate 180 III-2 Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemical Co., Ltd. 182 III-2.1 Introduction 182 III-2.2 Financials 183 III-2.3 Products 185 III-2.4 Existing capacity and expanding plan 187 III-2.5 Glyphosate 187 III-2.5.1 Production and market situation of glyphosate 187 III-2.5.2 Cost analysis of glyphosate 189 III-3 Anhui Huaxing Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. 192 III-3.1 Introduction 192 III-3.2 Financials 193 III-3.3 Products 195 III-3.4 Existing capacity and expanding plan 195 III-3.5 Glyphosate 196 III-3.5.1 Production and market situation of glyphosate 196 III-3.5.2 Cost analysis of glyphosate 198 III-4 Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical Group Co., Ltd. 200 III-4.1 Introduction 200 III-4.2 Financials 201 III-4.3 Products 203 III-4.4 Existing capacity and expanding plan 204 III-4.5 Glyphosate 205 III-4.5.1 Production and market situation of glyphosate 205 III-4.5.2 Cost analysis of glyphosate 208 III-5 Hubei Sanonda Co., Ltd. 210 III-5.1 Introduction 210 III-5.2 Financials 211 III-5.3 Products 213 III-5.4 Existing capacity and expanding plan 214 III-5.5 Glyphosate 215 III-5.5.1 Production and market situation of glyphosate 215 III-5.5.2 Cost analysis of glyphosate 216 Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 9. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence III-6 SWOT analysis of the five glyphosate manufactures 218 IV Competitiveness landscape of glyphosate production in China 219 IV-1 Competitiveness of AEA pathway 219 IV-2 Competitiveness of IDA pathway 221 IV-2.1 DEA route 221 IV-2.2 IDAN route 223 Comparison between the competitiveness of AEA pathway and IDA pathway IV-3 224 and conclusion V Index model for glyphosate price 226 V-1 Influencing factors for glyphosate price 227 V-1.1 Production cost 227 V-1.2 Supply/demand situation 228 V-2 Price Index model for glyphosate 231 V-3 Identification 233 VI Forecast on the competitiveness of China’s glyphosate in the next five years 235 VI-1 Research hot points 235 VI-2 Development trend of pathways 238 VI-3 Change trend of production cost 239 VI-3.1 Change trend of some major raw materials 239 - DMP 240 - Glycine 241 - DEA 243 - IDAN 244 VI-3.2 Change trend of production cost 245 VI-4 Change trend of supply & demand situation 247 - Operation rate 247 - Export dependence 247 - Ratio of total export to glyphosate technical export 248 VI-5 Glyphosate price fluctuating trend 248 VI-6 Estimation on profit in Chinese manufacturers 249 VII Conclusion and commercial opportunities 251 VII-1 Conclusion 251 VII-2 Commercial opportunities 252 Executive summary: The competitiveness landscape of China’s glyphosate industry is embodied on the following factors, such as government policy, economic environment, crops planting situation, entry barriers, demand and supply, raw materials supply and technology level. ……….. - Production pathways & technology level Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 10. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence There are two pathways for glyphosate production in China including IDA pathway and AEA pathway. According to the difference of raw materials, IDA pathway can also be subdivided into two categories, which are DEA route and IDAN route. Because of its simple flowchart and mature technology, AEA pathway is easy to be mastered by most companies, plus the easy availability of raw materials in China, the AEA pathway, though having been eliminated in the international market, is still being widely used in China’s glyphosate industry. However, the percentage of capacity and output of glyphosate by AEA pathway has been reducing all the time these years. Being complained for the serious pollution in the production, many large-scale glyphosate producers adopting AEA pathway in China have spent much energy and money improving this method and have made great progress. The main breakthroughs can be described as follows: 1. Optimizing the process and improving the yield rate. 2. Adopting continuous production process and introducing advanced equipments 3. Adopting DCS control system to realize optimized operation 4. Reclaiming the by-products such as methylene dichloride and dimethoxymethane 5. Reclaiming the raw materials …….. IDA pathway has been developing rapidly in recent years in China for its advantages of low cost, environmentally friendly performance and relatively not so huge investment. As of May 2008, there are xx companies adopting the IDA pathway, among which, xx adopting DEA route and xx adopting IDAN route. The typical companies include XXX, XXX, XXX, XXX and XXX etc. As the supply of the raw materials DEA and IDAN are quite tense in China, the capacity enlargement of the glyphosate producers adopting IDA pathway has been affected. However, some DEA and IDAN producers have enlarged their capacities and output. Therefore, the tense supply of these raw materials might be relieved in a short term. The advantages of IDA pathway will be exhibited fully in China. ………. Character of CCM' Report: The aim of this report is to provide powerful assistance to the strategy group and the management team in making correct decision as how to penetrate the ever-increasing China market and how to catch the maximum commercial opportunities. The report is formulated independently by CCM’s professional market researchers, based on the first-hand and primary data which are analyzed by scientific methodology, confirmed with both manufacturers/end users/traders and legal authorities, and presented in a logic way. Sample pages: Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 11. II-10.2.1.2 Development of AEA pathway in China After several years’ development, AEA pathway has made great progress in operation process and equipment, the technology has become mature and the quality of the product also has become quite stable. The main breakthroughs can be described as follows: ………. Table II-10.2.1.2-1 Comparison between continuous hydrolysis process and batch hydrolysis process in Nantong Jiangshan Style of reactors Item Batch hydrolysis process Continuous hydrolysis process Annual output/tonne XXXXXX XXXXXX Reactor number X X Operator number XX XX Production efficiency of each reactor /(t/ a) XXXXXXX XXXXX Productivity per worker (t/ a) XXXXX XX II-10.2.1.3 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for AEA pathway ………. Table II-10.2.1.3-1 Theoretical consumption of raw materials for AEA pathway in May 2008 Unit consumption Unit price of May. 2008 Unit Cost(RMB/t Raw materials (t/t glyphosate) (RMB/t glyphosate) glyphosate) 1 Glycine(Industrial grade) XXXXX 35,000.00 XXXXXXXXX 2 Paraformaldehyde (37%) XXXXX 8,730.00 XXXXXXXX 3 Triethylamine (99.5%) XXXXX 13,000.00 XXXXXXXX 4 Methanol (95%) XXXXX 4,000.00 XXXXXXXX 5 Dimethyl ester XXXXX 40,000.00 XXXXXXXXX 6 Hydrochloric acid (30%) XXXXX 750.00 XXXXXX Total XXXXXXXXX ……….
  • 12. II-10.2.4 Comparison of different routes Table II-10.2.4-1 Comparison of different routes Developin Typical Routes Strong points Shortcomings Current situation g trend company XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXX XXXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXX XXXXX AEA XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX XXX XXXXXXX pathway XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXX XXXX XXXXXXX XXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX XXX XXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXX XXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX XXXX XXXXXXX DEA route XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX X XXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX XXXX XXXX IDAN XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXXX XXXXXXX route XXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXXXX XXXXXXX Based on the above discussion, we conclude that the AEA pathway is still competitive in China. But as the supply of DEA and IDAN becomes sufficient and their quality is as good as that from some overseas countries, the IDA route is sure to have a larger market share in the future. II-10.3.3 Theoretical models for glyphosate formulations ………. Table II-10.3.3-1 Raw materials consumption of 10% glyphosate-ammonium Raw materials Unit consumption(t/t) Price(RMB/t) Unit Cost(RMB/t) (1) Mother liquid(4%) X 400 XXX Additive XXXX 8,000 XX XXX Glyphosate technical(95%) XXXX 90,000 XXXXX (3) Ammonia XXX 800 XX Total XXXXX
  • 13. II-11.2 Marketing strategies Table II-11.2-1 Marketing strategies of Chinese glyphosate industry Strategy Content Focus on export XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Promoting Brand XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXX Promoting high XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX content XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX formulation Cooperation XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Perfecting sales XXXXXXXXXXXXXXX network XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX OEM XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX III-1.5.2 Cost analysis of glyphosate - Production cost Table III-1.5.2-1 Estimation on raw material costs of glyphosate in XXXXXX in May 2008 Unit Unit Cost Price (RMB/t) consumption (t/t) (RMB/t glyphosate) Glycine(Industrial grade) XXXX XXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXX Paraformaldehyde (96%) XXXX XXXXXXXX XXXXXXXX Raw materials Triethylamine (99.5%) XXXX XXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXX cost Methanol (95%) XXXX XXXXXXXX XXXXXXXX Dimethyl ester XXXX XXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXX Hydrochloric acid (31%) XXXX XXXXXX XXXXXX Total XXXXXXXXX
  • 14. Table III-1.5.2-2 Estimation on manufacturing cost of glyphosate in XXXXXX in May 2008 No Item Unit Cost (RMB / t glyphosate) 1 Raw materials cost XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX 2 Utilities XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX 3 Labour XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX 4 Package XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX 5 Maintenance XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX 6 Depreciation XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Total XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Table III-1.5.2-3 Estimation on management costs of glyphosate in XXXXXX in May 2008 No. Item Unit Cost (RMB /t glyphosate) 1 Salary cost of management staffs and other auxiliary staffs XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX 2 Materials cost for management XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX 3 Interest on loan XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX 4 Transportation cost XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX 5 Amortisation of intangible asset XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX 6 Distribution cost XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX 7 Cost for three-waste treatment XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Total XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Table III-1.5.2-4 Estimation on production costs of glyphosate in XXXXXX in May 2008 In 2008 No Item Unit Cost (RMB / t glyphosate) 1 Manufacturing cost XXXXXXXXXXXX 2 Management costs XXXXXXXXXXXXX Total XXXXXXXXXXXX - Profit Table III-1.5.2-5 Profit estimation of glyphosate in XXXXXX in May 2008 Item RMB/t glyphosate Remark 1.Total income XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Price XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Other income XXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX 2.Expense XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Total production costs XXXXXXXX Taxes XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX 3.Gross profit XXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX 4.Profit tax XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXX XXXXXXXXXXXX 5.Profit after tax XXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX
  • 15. IV-3 Comparison between the competitiveness of AEA pathway and IDA pathway and conclusion Table IV-3-1 Competitiveness comparison between the AEA pathway and IDA pathway Raw material Route Process Theoretical cost Current application Bottleneck supply XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX AEA pathway XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXX XXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX DEA route XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXX XXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXX XXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXXXX IDAN route XXXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXXX Figure V-1 Price model of glyphosate technical Price Model Production cost of each route Production cost Output of each route Capacity Price Output Output Input Import Demand & Supply intensity Export Market Demand Accidents Others All the original data in this segment are mainly sourced from CCM’s database and custom’s data……….