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Brian Butler’s lectures Part #1 Welcome  (to Spain, to Catalonia, to the EU, to FORUM-NEXUS!)
Brian David Butler Professor of international finance and global entrepreneurship with Forum-Nexus Study Abroad.  Guest lecturer with the  IQS Business School  of the Ramon Llull University in Barcelona, and the  Catholic University of Milan .  Previously, Brian taught finance, economics and global trade courses at  Thunderbird’s Global MBA  program in Miami, and worked as a research analyst with the  Columbia Business School  in New York City. Brian currently lives in Recife, Brazil where he is teaching classes on “Global Entrepreneurship” at the university FBV. A global citizen, Brian was born in Canada, raised in Switzerland (where he attended international British school), educated through university in the U.S., started his career with a Japanese company, moved to New York to work as an analyst, married a Brazilian, and has traveled extensively in Latin America, Asia, Europe and North America.  [email_address] LinkedIn/briandbutler Skype: briandbutler
Brian Butler is a specialist in international economic analysis, and is founder of the prestigious “GloboTrends“ ( www.globotrends.com ) online economics site, which has been featured as syndicated content on Nouriel Roubini’s RGE Monitor, Emerginvest.com, Business Week Exchange, Wikinvest.com, and other leading news outlets.  http:// globotrends.pbworks.com /  ,  http:// blog.globotrends.com /
Online
Online  http://www.roubini.com/author/brian_butler
Find my slides: ,[object Object]
Course Objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Course Objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Required books ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Book : Martin Wolf, “Fixing Global Finance” Martin Wolf is  chief economics commentator  at the Financial Times (online FT.com)
Assigned Readings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Expectations: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Questions: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How related?? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Course Objectives ,[object Object],[object Object]
Course Objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Grading ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Question – why do you think “international IQ” is important for a class on international finance?
Grading More than just a “monkey with a calculator”?
Need to understand… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Themes – 3 dangers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Borrowing $$ abroad in foreign currency = RISKY
Topics to cover - macro ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Topics to cover - trading ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Topics to cover - Countries ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Team Project ,[object Object]
Homework (part1) … while in Spain…  ,[object Object],[object Object]
Homework (part2) … while in Spain…  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
International Finance Intro…
Questions: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Dr. Kishore Dash, January 20, 2007
International Finance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is “international finance”? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is “international finance”? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
International Financial Markets 1. 2. 3. Foreign Exchange Market Domestic Financial Markets in Other Countries— Short-Term Domestic Financial Markets in Other Countries— Long-Term Deposits, Cash, Forwards, Futures T-Bills, Deposits, Commercial Paper, Money Market Funds Bonds, Stocks, ADRs, Deposits, CMOs Banks, Companies,  Brokers Banks, Companies, Brokers Banks, Companies, Brokers MARKET INSTRUMENTS PARTICIPANTS
International Financial Markets  (cont.) 4. 5. 6. 7. Euro-Currency  Market Euro-Bond Market International  Monetary System (IMF) The Real Sector Deposits, Euro CP Euroloans Eurobonds, Floating Rate Notes, Euro-Equities SDRs, $US, [Gold], Position in the Fund Banks, Clients Investment Banks Companies, Brokers Central Banks, The Fund Goods & Services Consumers & Firms MARKET INSTRUMENTS PARTICIPANTS
Why Study “International Finance”?
Why? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why Finance matters: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Core of our class: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What are the benefits of “International Finance”?
Benefits of Global Finance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Benefits of Global Finance ,[object Object],source:  http://www.economist.com/printedition/displayStory.cfm?Story_ID=12957709
What are the dangers of “International Finance”?
Dangers  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Independent thinkers needed The importance of thinking independently – don’t follow the “herd”
Be careful of “expert” predictions http://bucks.blogs.nytimes.com/tag/asset-allocation/
Challenge to students… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Failure of “economic forecasting” profession ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Resource:  http://www.roubini.com/
Mis-diagnosis of the problem ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
As late as 2008, the IMF forecasted growth in 2009
Failure of “economic forecasting”  profession ,[object Object]
Repeat challenge to students: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impossible to Predict ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CURRENCIES currencies
Currency  Do you know these symbols?  Their approximate value in (in terms of dollars)? How has that value changed over the past 5-10 years?
Currencies: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Global travel… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Group assignment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Group assignment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Core of our class: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Currency basics: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Homework (part1) … while in Spain…  ,[object Object],[object Object]
Homework (part2) … while in Spain…  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Part 1 forum nexus finance class summer 2011

  • 1. Brian Butler’s lectures Part #1 Welcome (to Spain, to Catalonia, to the EU, to FORUM-NEXUS!)
  • 2. Brian David Butler Professor of international finance and global entrepreneurship with Forum-Nexus Study Abroad. Guest lecturer with the IQS Business School of the Ramon Llull University in Barcelona, and the Catholic University of Milan . Previously, Brian taught finance, economics and global trade courses at Thunderbird’s Global MBA program in Miami, and worked as a research analyst with the Columbia Business School in New York City. Brian currently lives in Recife, Brazil where he is teaching classes on “Global Entrepreneurship” at the university FBV. A global citizen, Brian was born in Canada, raised in Switzerland (where he attended international British school), educated through university in the U.S., started his career with a Japanese company, moved to New York to work as an analyst, married a Brazilian, and has traveled extensively in Latin America, Asia, Europe and North America. [email_address] LinkedIn/briandbutler Skype: briandbutler
  • 3. Brian Butler is a specialist in international economic analysis, and is founder of the prestigious “GloboTrends“ ( www.globotrends.com ) online economics site, which has been featured as syndicated content on Nouriel Roubini’s RGE Monitor, Emerginvest.com, Business Week Exchange, Wikinvest.com, and other leading news outlets. http:// globotrends.pbworks.com / , http:// blog.globotrends.com /
  • 6.
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  • 10. Book : Martin Wolf, “Fixing Global Finance” Martin Wolf is chief economics commentator at the Financial Times (online FT.com)
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  • 18. Grading More than just a “monkey with a calculator”?
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. Borrowing $$ abroad in foreign currency = RISKY
  • 22.
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  • 29.
  • 30. Dr. Kishore Dash, January 20, 2007
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  • 34. International Financial Markets 1. 2. 3. Foreign Exchange Market Domestic Financial Markets in Other Countries— Short-Term Domestic Financial Markets in Other Countries— Long-Term Deposits, Cash, Forwards, Futures T-Bills, Deposits, Commercial Paper, Money Market Funds Bonds, Stocks, ADRs, Deposits, CMOs Banks, Companies, Brokers Banks, Companies, Brokers Banks, Companies, Brokers MARKET INSTRUMENTS PARTICIPANTS
  • 35. International Financial Markets (cont.) 4. 5. 6. 7. Euro-Currency Market Euro-Bond Market International Monetary System (IMF) The Real Sector Deposits, Euro CP Euroloans Eurobonds, Floating Rate Notes, Euro-Equities SDRs, $US, [Gold], Position in the Fund Banks, Clients Investment Banks Companies, Brokers Central Banks, The Fund Goods & Services Consumers & Firms MARKET INSTRUMENTS PARTICIPANTS
  • 37.
  • 38.
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  • 40. What are the benefits of “International Finance”?
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43. What are the dangers of “International Finance”?
  • 44.
  • 45. Independent thinkers needed The importance of thinking independently – don’t follow the “herd”
  • 46. Be careful of “expert” predictions http://bucks.blogs.nytimes.com/tag/asset-allocation/
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  • 50.
  • 51. As late as 2008, the IMF forecasted growth in 2009
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  • 56. Currency Do you know these symbols? Their approximate value in (in terms of dollars)? How has that value changed over the past 5-10 years?
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Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Book – assign reading
  2. Conversation with peter – “expensive in Brazil” … vs 3.5 a few years ago