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                                                              Making Most Out of Economic
                                                              Downturn
                                                              5 Weeks Marketing and Sales
                                                              Action Plan
                                                              November, 2008




© 2006 Forte Consulting. All Rights Protected and Reserved.
Financial crises should be considered cycles within business world, with
      five key stages with different action priorities

                                                                                      No Crisis

             Financial Crisis
            Cycle & Priorities
                                                                                     Build Trust




                                                                                              Get Commitment         Pre-Crisis



                                          Post-Crisis                Win-Back


                                                                                                      Avoid Loss    Beginning of Crisis




                                                                                Steal from Competition
                                                                                                                   Current stages
                                                                                                                      of focus

                                                                                      Mid-Crisis

© 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved.          Forte Consultancy Group                                       2
Towards reaching crisis stages, companies need to adapt their
      marketing and sales activities to turn downturn into an opportunity


                    Area                                                                             Adaptation


                                                                     Refine targets and strategies for achieving them under new conditions
               Strategies



                                                                     Revise proposition mix based on changing customer needs and demand
             Propositions



                                                             Reallocate operational resources based on changing transactional demand
              Operations



                                                                                  Cater for channel motivation and retention
                Channels



                                                                          Closely monitor profile changes and interact with customers
              Customers

© 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved.                     Forte Consultancy Group                               3
We recommend a 5-weeks action plan to fine-tune marketing and sales
      activities as well as channels in order to make most out of an economic
      downturn

                              Week 1                                 Week 2              Week 3               Week 4                Week 5

                                                                                      This is an aggressive plan since no time should be wasted in times
                        Revising Targets and Objectives                                 of financial crisis. Companies should take a highly pragmatic
                                                                                          approach in these actions and dedicate enough resources.

                                        Analyzing Customer Value, Behavior and Risk in Downturn


                                                                                     Launching Retention Operations


                                                                     Developing Retainer Promotions and Programs


                                                                                           Attacking Weak Spots


                                                                                                 Aligning Product and Media Mix


                                                                         Motivating and Reassuring Employees


© 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved.                  Forte Consultancy Group                                                4
Revision of targets and objectives is necessary due to drastic changes in
      market risks, opportunities demand and competitive landscape


                               Action                                   Revising Targets and Objectives


                                                          Description                                              Key Tasks

               Revision of strategic objectives and key targets (e.g.
                sales volume, customer retention) assessing and                                Assessment of actualizations to date
                    forecasting impact of economic downturn
                                                                                               Analysis of downturn impact on market

                                                           Objectives                          Analysis of changing competitor practices

                                                                                               Revision of SWOT under new conditions
               Realigning organization towards new goals under
                new conditions
                                                                                               Revision of strategic priorities and objectives
               Avoiding organizational frustration due to now
                invalid targets during market distress                                         Revision of targets based on new facts

                                                                                               Reallocation of targets across organization
               Resetting focus on business areas with more
                opportunities during economic downturn



© 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved.             Forte Consultancy Group                                            5
For companies who do not have a good understanding of its customers,
      it is time for taking actions, and for those with in-depth insights,
      changing market conditions could make them obsolete


                               Action                                   Analyzing Customer Value, Behavior and Risk in Downturn


                                                          Description                                            Key Tasks

                 Modeling of customer value, segments and churn                              Downturn Customer Valuation
                risks which change due to economic downturn and                               Definition of customer value
                               require new analysis
                                                                                              Evaluation of value of all customers
                                                                                              Value change analysis
                                                           Objectives                        Downturn Customer Behavior Analysis
                                                                                              Definition of behavior important
               Understanding changing profile and preferences                                Evaluation of behavior of all customers
                of customers                                                                  Changes and migrations
                                                                                              New segments and niches identification
               Adjusting customer analytics models which
                became obsolete due to drastic changes in the                                Downturn Churn Risk Prediction
                market                                                                        Analysis of new factors and churner profiles
                                                                                              Development of predictive models
               Gaining ability to focus limited resources on the                             Evaluation of churn risk of all customers
                most valuable and high churn risk customers


© 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved.            Forte Consultancy Group                                         6
Retention and win-back operations are already critical for any business,
      but with increasing churn risk, they become vital during an economic
      downturn


                               Action                                   Launching Retention Operations


                                                          Description                                            Key Tasks


                     Developing and launching operations to retain
                      customers requesting or is expected to churn

                                                                                              Re-active retention offer development

                                                           Objectives                         Retention processes design

               Decreasing amount of customers lost during                                    Retention organization set-up
                downturn with effective offers and operations
                                                                                              Information needs definition for future win-back
               Sustaining relations with customers during
                economic downturn, who can create further                                     Workaround systems development
                value afterwards

               Preparing for future win-back, collecting the right
                information from churners


© 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved.            Forte Consultancy Group                                             7
Tailored promotions and programs increase ability to retain customers
      during downturn, serving their changing needs and expectations


                               Action                                   Developing Retainer Promotions and Programs


                                                          Description                                             Key Tasks


              Designing and developing promotions and marketing
              programs to retain high risk and valuable customers
                                                                                              Assessment of churn factors and customer needs

                                                                                              Definition of key guidelines for offers
                                                           Objectives
                                                                                              Design of campaign offers for retention
               Decreasing risk of churn providing better value
                for money during downturn                                                     Design of long-term commitment programs

               Building long term customer commitment                                        Design of offers addressing financial distress
                ensuring long-time revenue stream
                                                                                              Development and targeted launch of offers
               Addressing challenges customers facing with
                during downturn to serve changing needs and
                increase loyalty


© 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved.            Forte Consultancy Group                                           8
Economic downturn creates challenges for all players in the market,
      which create opportunities to attack competitors less prepared or
      trusted


                               Action                                   Attacking Weak Spots


                                                          Description                                            Key Tasks

                   Developing propositions and communications in
                   order to acquire customers from competition by                             Analysis of competitor weaknesses
                             leveraging their weaknesses
                                                                                              Development of offensive crisis strategies

                                                           Objectives                         Design of offensive value propositions

               Growing size of customer portfolio for immediate                              Development and launch of propositions
                and future customer value
                                                                                              Identification of weaker competitor customers
               Increasing market share with targeted messages
                and communications                                                            Identification of customers lost to weaker earlier

               Decreasing power of competitors during                                        Targeted communications to identified customers
                economic downturn to benefit during and
                afterwards


© 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved.            Forte Consultancy Group                                               9
As demand shifts towards more affordable products, companies need to
      realign their product investments while increasing efficiency of media
      mix used for their promotion


                               Action                                   Aligning Product and Media Mix


                                                          Description                                            Key Tasks

                  Revisiting product portfolio across channels and                           Product Mix
                  media utilized to ensure alignment with changing                            Prioritization of products for new market needs
                    customer needs and budgetary constraints
                                                                                              Readjustment of channel inventory (if applicable)
                                                                                              Realignment of product marketing for priorities
                                                           Objectives
                                                                                              Minor revisions on products (if necessary)
               Creating better and faster response rates using                               Quick new product launches (if necessary)
                less media budget
                                                                                             Media mix
               Decreasing cost of inventory and increasing                                   Media investment and impact analysis
                shelf-space effectiveness as well as return from
                product investments                                                           Reallocation of media budget based on insights
                                                                                              Restructuring of media & communications plan
               Aligning product portfolio with the changing
                                                                                              Refinement of marketing messages
                market demand and customer needs


© 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved.            Forte Consultancy Group                                              10
Economic downturn has substantial impact on lives of employees as
      well, with possible implications for their motivation, which can effect
      quality of service if not handled effectively


                               Action                                   Motivating and Reassuring Employees


                                                          Description                                             Key Tasks


                Communicating effectively with employees in order
                  to avoid possible fears and loss of motivation                              Understanding of employee moral and needs

                                                                                              Identification of target internal audience

                                                           Objectives                         Definition of key messages to be communicated

                                                                                              Preparation of internal communications plan
               Ensuring retention of high performing employees
                during economic downturn
                                                                                              Development of communications materials
               Minimizing risk of decreased service quality due
                to demoralized customer facing employees                                      Definition of responsibilities for motivation

                                                                                              Execution of communications activities
               Decreasing risk of negative word of mouth within
                organization on unfounded grounds



© 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved.            Forte Consultancy Group                                          11
Companies need a special financial crisis management task force for
      these adaptation activities in sales and marketing areas


                                                                     Action                                Key Parties to be Involved
           Revising Targets and Objectives                                                        Strategic Planning, Marketing, Sales

           Analyzing Customer Value, Behavior and Risk in Downturn                                Business Intelligence, Marketing

           Launching Retention and Win-Back Operations                                            Marketing, Channels, IT

           Developing Retainer Promotions and Programs                                            Marketing

           Attacking the Weaker                                                                   Marketing, Sales

           Aligning Product and Media Mix                                                         Marketing, Merchandising (if applicable)

           Motivating and Reassuring Employees                                                    Human Resources, Channels


        Forte can assist you in this adaptation process, allocating experts in each of these activities
                        and collaborating with your internal resources in execution.
       Please contact info@forteconsultancy.com for more information on these activities and how
                                         we can provide our support.
© 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved.            Forte Consultancy Group                                        12
Forte Consultancy Group is a fact-driven consulting company, with
      consultants specializing in customer strategies and actions with
      extensive experience in loyalty programs


                                                                     Global Experience of Team



                                                                                     Turkey Office

                                                                                                 UAE Office




                         Forte Consultancy Group provides its functional expertise to companies across
                       industries, including authorities in different industries as subject matter experts in
                                                             its projects.


© 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved.    Forte Consultancy Group                   13
Forte can provide end to end solutions during adaptation, with fact-
      based and executable designs, which aim balanced impact in both short
      and long term
                                                                      “We value short term accelerated benefits while
                                                                           heading towards full impact results”




                                                                                                                         “We talk the language
             “We create solutions
                                                                                          Balanced                         of analysis, we
              to be implemented,
                                                                                           Impact                        measure success with
               we engage for it”
                                                                                                                              numbers”

                                                                            Design for                        Data
                                                                            Execution                        Driven




               Voice of the Market                                   Voice of the Customer       Voice of the Business   Voice of the Employee
© 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved.                 Forte Consultancy Group                                       14
The information contained in this document, much of which is confidential to Forte     Forte Consultancy Group | Istanbul Office
Consultancy Group, is for the sole use of the intended recipients. No part of this
document may be reproduced in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical,
                                                                                           Dereboyu Sok. Sun Plaza Kat:13
                                                                                            Maslak, Istanbul - Turkey
photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of Forte
Consultancy Group.
                                                                                       @    info@forteconsultancy.com

                                                                                           +90 212 366 02 66

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Making Most Out of Economic Downturn Action Plan

  • 1. Viewpoint Making Most Out of Economic Downturn 5 Weeks Marketing and Sales Action Plan November, 2008 © 2006 Forte Consulting. All Rights Protected and Reserved.
  • 2. Financial crises should be considered cycles within business world, with five key stages with different action priorities No Crisis Financial Crisis Cycle & Priorities Build Trust Get Commitment Pre-Crisis Post-Crisis Win-Back Avoid Loss Beginning of Crisis Steal from Competition Current stages of focus Mid-Crisis © 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved. Forte Consultancy Group 2
  • 3. Towards reaching crisis stages, companies need to adapt their marketing and sales activities to turn downturn into an opportunity Area Adaptation Refine targets and strategies for achieving them under new conditions Strategies Revise proposition mix based on changing customer needs and demand Propositions Reallocate operational resources based on changing transactional demand Operations Cater for channel motivation and retention Channels Closely monitor profile changes and interact with customers Customers © 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved. Forte Consultancy Group 3
  • 4. We recommend a 5-weeks action plan to fine-tune marketing and sales activities as well as channels in order to make most out of an economic downturn Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 This is an aggressive plan since no time should be wasted in times Revising Targets and Objectives of financial crisis. Companies should take a highly pragmatic approach in these actions and dedicate enough resources. Analyzing Customer Value, Behavior and Risk in Downturn Launching Retention Operations Developing Retainer Promotions and Programs Attacking Weak Spots Aligning Product and Media Mix Motivating and Reassuring Employees © 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved. Forte Consultancy Group 4
  • 5. Revision of targets and objectives is necessary due to drastic changes in market risks, opportunities demand and competitive landscape Action Revising Targets and Objectives Description Key Tasks Revision of strategic objectives and key targets (e.g. sales volume, customer retention) assessing and  Assessment of actualizations to date forecasting impact of economic downturn  Analysis of downturn impact on market Objectives  Analysis of changing competitor practices  Revision of SWOT under new conditions  Realigning organization towards new goals under new conditions  Revision of strategic priorities and objectives  Avoiding organizational frustration due to now invalid targets during market distress  Revision of targets based on new facts  Reallocation of targets across organization  Resetting focus on business areas with more opportunities during economic downturn © 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved. Forte Consultancy Group 5
  • 6. For companies who do not have a good understanding of its customers, it is time for taking actions, and for those with in-depth insights, changing market conditions could make them obsolete Action Analyzing Customer Value, Behavior and Risk in Downturn Description Key Tasks Modeling of customer value, segments and churn Downturn Customer Valuation risks which change due to economic downturn and  Definition of customer value require new analysis  Evaluation of value of all customers  Value change analysis Objectives Downturn Customer Behavior Analysis  Definition of behavior important  Understanding changing profile and preferences  Evaluation of behavior of all customers of customers  Changes and migrations  New segments and niches identification  Adjusting customer analytics models which became obsolete due to drastic changes in the Downturn Churn Risk Prediction market  Analysis of new factors and churner profiles  Development of predictive models  Gaining ability to focus limited resources on the  Evaluation of churn risk of all customers most valuable and high churn risk customers © 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved. Forte Consultancy Group 6
  • 7. Retention and win-back operations are already critical for any business, but with increasing churn risk, they become vital during an economic downturn Action Launching Retention Operations Description Key Tasks Developing and launching operations to retain customers requesting or is expected to churn  Re-active retention offer development Objectives  Retention processes design  Decreasing amount of customers lost during  Retention organization set-up downturn with effective offers and operations  Information needs definition for future win-back  Sustaining relations with customers during economic downturn, who can create further  Workaround systems development value afterwards  Preparing for future win-back, collecting the right information from churners © 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved. Forte Consultancy Group 7
  • 8. Tailored promotions and programs increase ability to retain customers during downturn, serving their changing needs and expectations Action Developing Retainer Promotions and Programs Description Key Tasks Designing and developing promotions and marketing programs to retain high risk and valuable customers  Assessment of churn factors and customer needs  Definition of key guidelines for offers Objectives  Design of campaign offers for retention  Decreasing risk of churn providing better value for money during downturn  Design of long-term commitment programs  Building long term customer commitment  Design of offers addressing financial distress ensuring long-time revenue stream  Development and targeted launch of offers  Addressing challenges customers facing with during downturn to serve changing needs and increase loyalty © 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved. Forte Consultancy Group 8
  • 9. Economic downturn creates challenges for all players in the market, which create opportunities to attack competitors less prepared or trusted Action Attacking Weak Spots Description Key Tasks Developing propositions and communications in order to acquire customers from competition by  Analysis of competitor weaknesses leveraging their weaknesses  Development of offensive crisis strategies Objectives  Design of offensive value propositions  Growing size of customer portfolio for immediate  Development and launch of propositions and future customer value  Identification of weaker competitor customers  Increasing market share with targeted messages and communications  Identification of customers lost to weaker earlier  Decreasing power of competitors during  Targeted communications to identified customers economic downturn to benefit during and afterwards © 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved. Forte Consultancy Group 9
  • 10. As demand shifts towards more affordable products, companies need to realign their product investments while increasing efficiency of media mix used for their promotion Action Aligning Product and Media Mix Description Key Tasks Revisiting product portfolio across channels and Product Mix media utilized to ensure alignment with changing  Prioritization of products for new market needs customer needs and budgetary constraints  Readjustment of channel inventory (if applicable)  Realignment of product marketing for priorities Objectives  Minor revisions on products (if necessary)  Creating better and faster response rates using  Quick new product launches (if necessary) less media budget Media mix  Decreasing cost of inventory and increasing  Media investment and impact analysis shelf-space effectiveness as well as return from product investments  Reallocation of media budget based on insights  Restructuring of media & communications plan  Aligning product portfolio with the changing  Refinement of marketing messages market demand and customer needs © 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved. Forte Consultancy Group 10
  • 11. Economic downturn has substantial impact on lives of employees as well, with possible implications for their motivation, which can effect quality of service if not handled effectively Action Motivating and Reassuring Employees Description Key Tasks Communicating effectively with employees in order to avoid possible fears and loss of motivation  Understanding of employee moral and needs  Identification of target internal audience Objectives  Definition of key messages to be communicated  Preparation of internal communications plan  Ensuring retention of high performing employees during economic downturn  Development of communications materials  Minimizing risk of decreased service quality due to demoralized customer facing employees  Definition of responsibilities for motivation  Execution of communications activities  Decreasing risk of negative word of mouth within organization on unfounded grounds © 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved. Forte Consultancy Group 11
  • 12. Companies need a special financial crisis management task force for these adaptation activities in sales and marketing areas Action Key Parties to be Involved Revising Targets and Objectives Strategic Planning, Marketing, Sales Analyzing Customer Value, Behavior and Risk in Downturn Business Intelligence, Marketing Launching Retention and Win-Back Operations Marketing, Channels, IT Developing Retainer Promotions and Programs Marketing Attacking the Weaker Marketing, Sales Aligning Product and Media Mix Marketing, Merchandising (if applicable) Motivating and Reassuring Employees Human Resources, Channels Forte can assist you in this adaptation process, allocating experts in each of these activities and collaborating with your internal resources in execution. Please contact info@forteconsultancy.com for more information on these activities and how we can provide our support. © 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved. Forte Consultancy Group 12
  • 13. Forte Consultancy Group is a fact-driven consulting company, with consultants specializing in customer strategies and actions with extensive experience in loyalty programs Global Experience of Team Turkey Office UAE Office Forte Consultancy Group provides its functional expertise to companies across industries, including authorities in different industries as subject matter experts in its projects. © 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved. Forte Consultancy Group 13
  • 14. Forte can provide end to end solutions during adaptation, with fact- based and executable designs, which aim balanced impact in both short and long term “We value short term accelerated benefits while heading towards full impact results” “We talk the language “We create solutions Balanced of analysis, we to be implemented, Impact measure success with we engage for it” numbers” Design for Data Execution Driven Voice of the Market Voice of the Customer Voice of the Business Voice of the Employee © 2008 Forte Consultancy Group. All Rights Protected and Reserved. Forte Consultancy Group 14
  • 15. The information contained in this document, much of which is confidential to Forte Forte Consultancy Group | Istanbul Office Consultancy Group, is for the sole use of the intended recipients. No part of this document may be reproduced in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical,  Dereboyu Sok. Sun Plaza Kat:13 Maslak, Istanbul - Turkey photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of Forte Consultancy Group. @ info@forteconsultancy.com  +90 212 366 02 66