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Energy Development – Compatibility with Social Expectations,
Energy Reforms and Public Perceptions

BLACK SEA ECONOMIC FORUM
Yalta, 4-5 October 2012

                                                          Elena Rybak
About EUEA

EUEA - a non-profit
                         NGOs
Association founded in
                                      Government
Kyiv in 2009

Goals to establish :

•a solid platform for
promoting EE &RE
                         EUEA           Business
•market mechanisms
for sustainable
development
Priority Sectors

1. Energy efficiency
         buildings
         district heating
         heavy industry
         waste-to-energy
2. Bioenergy
        biogas
        biomass
3. Wind energy
4. Solar energy
5. Hydropower
6. Grid Sustainability
7. Energy Community
8. Project Financing
Members
Members
Energy Development:
                                  Stakeholders


Government          Media           NGOs           Business         Consumers


• Market          • Scandal     • Sust. dev. of • Long term        • Reliable
  transparency    • Crisis        communities     stability          Service
• Social          • problems… • Reforms         • transparency     • Security
  dialogue        But also:     • Environment • attractive invest.
• Fair rules of                                   climate
                  • Expertise                   • Prosperity of    One day…
  “the game”
                  • Information                   local              Comfort of
• Functioning                                     communities        living!!!
  legal
  framework
Cooperation will achieve results



Government          Media        NGOs        Business      Consumers




                            COOPERATION




     Meet Social            Achieve Energy     Increase Public
     Expectations              Reforms           Perceptions
Lets go on a short journey…
Germany

“Energy Turnaround” of Germany:
•   80% RE until 2050 (10% in primary
    energy consumption in 2011).
•   First with Feed in tariff legislation
•   Allocated budget amounts 1.3 bln. Euro
    for research
•   Total investments: approx. 22.9 bln.
    EUR
•   Employment in RE sector increase from
    180 thous. in 2004 to 380 thous. In 2011.
Australia


  •   RE share in electricity 20% by 2020
  •   The early "romance with renewables“
      vs. concerns about the costs (no more
      tolerance to subsidies)
  •   Average household retail energy bill of
      more than 1600 euro per annum
  •   Still, broad support of the population
  •   Lessons learnt: caution
      towards cumulative impact of policy
      interventions on retail energy prices!
Ukraine

•   Third most energy intensive country (beaten by Turkmenistan and Russia)
•   First EE talk appearing in 2006 and FiT 2009
•   Country with an average salary of less than 300 EUR
•   Smallest electricity tariffs in former Soviet Union of 3,69 dollar cents per
    kwh (vs. Russia – 7,27 dollar cent, Moldova 12,6).


               Solar FiT – close to euro 0,50 cents.
                        UAH 8 bln. Already invested in solar energy
               Perovo plant 105 MW the largest PV plant in the world at the
                time of commissioning.
Wind can bring…

Data from just 4 international developers:

•   Pipeline: 2,150 MW
•   Capital Requirement: EURO 3,310,000,000
•   Tax Payments: EURO 3,501,480,000
•   Employment:
          Temporary: 1,800
          Permanent: 395
•   Social Infrastructure: EURO 23,420,000
Ukraine

Estimates:

In order to increase efficiency by 50% (up
    to 2030) – USD 1 bln. Investments
    needed yearly (World Bank estimate)

EE in Housing stock requires USD 15
   bln. during 10-15 years. (IFC
   estimate)

Heat and power network modernization
  requires USD 12 bln. (experts
  estimate)
Reality is…

•   Totally “questionable” draft of New Energy Strategy until 2030
•   Local content requirement – key barrier for Wind and Solar
•   Biomass potential (est. 15% in the Energy Balance) - subject to “semi-
    illegal” long term contracts
•   Draft law on amendments to Tax Code – cancellation of tax benefits of RE
•   EE projects subjects to enormous corruption and bureaucracy!
                  » Years to get permissions vs. months to implement
                  » Crucial laws take years for development
•   Land, connection, changeable rules…
                                              “Investors, please come!”
Risks are too big
                  …2006 Alchevsk winter …

• 60,000 people left without heat (for 2 – 4 weeks)
• At least 206 people dead… (- 35 C)
Government HAS to deliver:

•Stability
•Legal framework
•Market Transparency
•Fair rules of the game for
everyone

         REQUIRED constructive
dialogue with civil society,
business and consumers!

         MEDIA is a tool for
public perceptions and energy
reform.
Thank You!

Elena Rybak
Director, European-Ukrainian Energy Agency

elena.rybak@euea-energyagency.org

www.euea-energyagency.org

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Bsef2012 session5 energy_efficiency_rybak

  • 1. Energy Development – Compatibility with Social Expectations, Energy Reforms and Public Perceptions BLACK SEA ECONOMIC FORUM Yalta, 4-5 October 2012 Elena Rybak
  • 2. About EUEA EUEA - a non-profit NGOs Association founded in Government Kyiv in 2009 Goals to establish : •a solid platform for promoting EE &RE EUEA Business •market mechanisms for sustainable development
  • 3. Priority Sectors 1. Energy efficiency  buildings  district heating  heavy industry  waste-to-energy 2. Bioenergy  biogas  biomass 3. Wind energy 4. Solar energy 5. Hydropower 6. Grid Sustainability 7. Energy Community 8. Project Financing
  • 6. Energy Development: Stakeholders Government Media NGOs Business Consumers • Market • Scandal • Sust. dev. of • Long term • Reliable transparency • Crisis communities stability Service • Social • problems… • Reforms • transparency • Security dialogue But also: • Environment • attractive invest. • Fair rules of climate • Expertise • Prosperity of One day… “the game” • Information local Comfort of • Functioning communities living!!! legal framework
  • 7. Cooperation will achieve results Government Media NGOs Business Consumers COOPERATION Meet Social Achieve Energy Increase Public Expectations Reforms Perceptions
  • 8. Lets go on a short journey…
  • 9. Germany “Energy Turnaround” of Germany: • 80% RE until 2050 (10% in primary energy consumption in 2011). • First with Feed in tariff legislation • Allocated budget amounts 1.3 bln. Euro for research • Total investments: approx. 22.9 bln. EUR • Employment in RE sector increase from 180 thous. in 2004 to 380 thous. In 2011.
  • 10. Australia • RE share in electricity 20% by 2020 • The early "romance with renewables“ vs. concerns about the costs (no more tolerance to subsidies) • Average household retail energy bill of more than 1600 euro per annum • Still, broad support of the population • Lessons learnt: caution towards cumulative impact of policy interventions on retail energy prices!
  • 11. Ukraine • Third most energy intensive country (beaten by Turkmenistan and Russia) • First EE talk appearing in 2006 and FiT 2009 • Country with an average salary of less than 300 EUR • Smallest electricity tariffs in former Soviet Union of 3,69 dollar cents per kwh (vs. Russia – 7,27 dollar cent, Moldova 12,6).  Solar FiT – close to euro 0,50 cents. UAH 8 bln. Already invested in solar energy  Perovo plant 105 MW the largest PV plant in the world at the time of commissioning.
  • 12. Wind can bring… Data from just 4 international developers: • Pipeline: 2,150 MW • Capital Requirement: EURO 3,310,000,000 • Tax Payments: EURO 3,501,480,000 • Employment: Temporary: 1,800 Permanent: 395 • Social Infrastructure: EURO 23,420,000
  • 13. Ukraine Estimates: In order to increase efficiency by 50% (up to 2030) – USD 1 bln. Investments needed yearly (World Bank estimate) EE in Housing stock requires USD 15 bln. during 10-15 years. (IFC estimate) Heat and power network modernization requires USD 12 bln. (experts estimate)
  • 14. Reality is… • Totally “questionable” draft of New Energy Strategy until 2030 • Local content requirement – key barrier for Wind and Solar • Biomass potential (est. 15% in the Energy Balance) - subject to “semi- illegal” long term contracts • Draft law on amendments to Tax Code – cancellation of tax benefits of RE • EE projects subjects to enormous corruption and bureaucracy! » Years to get permissions vs. months to implement » Crucial laws take years for development • Land, connection, changeable rules… “Investors, please come!”
  • 15. Risks are too big …2006 Alchevsk winter … • 60,000 people left without heat (for 2 – 4 weeks) • At least 206 people dead… (- 35 C)
  • 16. Government HAS to deliver: •Stability •Legal framework •Market Transparency •Fair rules of the game for everyone REQUIRED constructive dialogue with civil society, business and consumers! MEDIA is a tool for public perceptions and energy reform.
  • 17. Thank You! Elena Rybak Director, European-Ukrainian Energy Agency elena.rybak@euea-energyagency.org www.euea-energyagency.org