8. Look to the Future
Planted area: Corn, wheat, and soybeans
Million acres
100
90 Corn
80
Soybeans
70
60
Wheat
50
40
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Source: USDA Agricultural Projections to Projections to
USDA Agricultural 2016, February 2007. 2016
Economic Research Service, USDA.
D. R. Keeney
9. Corn/Soybean and Perennial
Nitrate-N Concentrations in Tile
Drain
25
Tile drainage system
20
U of MN - Lamberton
Gyles Randall, 2003
15
mg/L
Midpoint
10 of range
5
0
Corn/Bean Perennials
D. R. Keeney
12. Cumulative annual nitrate-N load of drainage
water for 2002-2005
90
81.1
80
Control
70
Annual nitrate-N load (kg/ha)
Rye Cover Crop
60
50.8
50 47.2
40.4
40
33.9 34.4
30
23.0 19.8
20
11.2 11.1
10
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 Avg.
Kaspar et al., JEQ 36:1503-1511
13. Cropping System Impacts on Drainage
Water Quality and Quantity
Dr. Matt Helmers, Dr. Xiaobo Zhou, and
Carl Pederson
14. ISU South Reynoldson Farm
Boone County, IA
Comparison of Biofuel Systems
(COBS)
Each of the 24 plots is 90 ft x 200 ft
Photo by T. Schultz
August 2009
21. Iowa Daily Erosion Project
Estimates daily soil erosion, runoff and
soil moisture for the state of Iowa
Daily estimations since 2002
Published in Jan/Feb 2006 Journal of the
Soil and Water Conservation Society
Served on the web at
http://wepp.mesonet.agron.iastate.edu
Parameterizes WEPP erosion model with
radar rainfall, climate stations, and NRI
22. Simulated crops
Eight scenarios based on ISU research
Residue Cover
Rotation Tillage Abbreviation
Removal Crop
NRI NRI No No NRI
Corn/Soy Min-till No No CS-MT
Cont. Corn Min-till Yes No CC-MTRR
Corn/Soy No-till No No CS-NT
Cont. Corn No-till No No CC-NT
Cont. Corn No-till Yes No CC-NTRR
Cont. Corn No-till Yes Yes CC-NTRRCC
Switchgrass No-till Yes No Sw-NTRR
23. NEXRAD – Aug 22, 2007
Statewide mean precipitation: 1.56 in.
34. Thoughts to Ponder
Corn grain ethanol
N applications likely unchanged
P applications likely unchanged
Water quality impacts likely unchanged
Cover crop management good for system
35. Thoughts to Ponder (II)
Cellulosic - conversion of corn stalks
Likely greater water quality challenges than
current ag systems
Opportunities with cover crops to improve WQ
Sediment/Phosphorus issues increase
Cellulosic – conversion of perennials
Favorable WQ opportunities
• Surface
• Subsurface