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Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge




                                            Dr. Rong Hui Gao
                                            M.D. MBA
                                            G-Med Consulting
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                1
Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge


           (I) Industry Overview

           (II) Cultural Difference

           (III) Opportunities


Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                     2
Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge

                       Industry Overview

                                  - Pharmaceutical

                                  - Medical Device

                                  - Diagnostic

                                  - Medical Reform
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                      3
Industry Overview

                                     Pharmaceutical (1)

                       Bio-Medical industry – 7,782 companies in total

                             • Pharmaceutical: 5,646
                             • Medical device: 1,168
                             • Pharmaceutical machinery: 163
                             • Healthcare materials: 677



                                                               Source: CPA   4
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by
Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge

                                  Pharmaceutical (2)

                                      Pharmaceutical
                                          5,646




                    Chemical              TCM           Biologics
                     2,508                2,271            867


                                                       Source: CPA

Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                      5
Industry Overview

                                          Pharmaceutical (3)
                             •    817,000 tons chemical API;
                             •    533.18 billion tablets;
                             •    129.43 billion capsules;
                             •    28.34 billion injections;
                             •    11.7 billion infusion solution;
                             •    16.24 billion powder injections;
                             •    3rd drug consumption market globally

                    Fast market growth (24% annual growth for past 10 years)

                                                                         Source: CPA   6
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by
Industry Overview
                                           Pharmaceutical (4)
        Healthcare Industry Output 2000 to 2011

        18000        RMB 100M                                                                                            35%

                                                                                                               (€190B)
        16000                                                  29%                                             15255
                                                                                       29%                               30%
                                                                                                                26%
        14000                                                                  25%                     25%
                                                                                                       12073             25%
        12000                                                                                  22%
                                  20%
                                                19%
        10000                                                                                  9626                      20%
                                                                       17%
                                         16%
                                                                                       7914
          8000                                                                                                           15%
                                                        12%                    6157
          6000
                                                                                                                         10%
          4000
                                                2917
                                  2122   2452
                     1761                                      4211     4928                                             05%
          2000
                                                       3254

               0                                                                                                         00%
                     2000         2001   2002   2003   2004     2005   2006    2007    2008     2009   2010     2011
                                                  General Output       Year-on-year Growth Rate
                                                                                                                               7
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                                                       source: ims
Industry Overview
                                      Pharmaceutical (5)
                                  Output Breakdown (%) )
                                                权重(%
                                                            化学药品原料制造
                                                            Chemical API manufacturing


                                                API 19.9%   化学药品制剂制造
                                                            Chemical manufacturing
          Biologics10.5%
                                                            中药饮片加工
                                                            TCM decoction pieces
                                                             processing


                                                            中成药制造
                                                            TCM manufacturing


                                                            生物生化药品制造
                                                            Biologics manufacturing


                                                            卫生材料及医药用品制造
                                                            Healthcare material

                TCM 21.7%                 Chemicals 26.8%
                                                            医疗仪器设备及器械制造
                                                            Medical device &machinery



Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                               8
                                                                                source: ims
Industry Overview
                                     Pharmaceutical (6)

                  5,646 manufacturers, 13,000 distributors and 390,000 pharmacies in
                   China

                  Accounts for ¼ of international chemical API trading volume

                  Fast market growth, but a long way to go to catch up with leading
                   countries.




                                   A big man, not a strong man

Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                         9
Industry Overview
                                             Medical Device (1)
             West:8-15%               1:1          72%         70%              High

         China:5%                     1:3          7%          30%              Low




      Of GDP

                      Device:Pharma


                                  Global Market Share


                                                 Mid/High-End Market


                                                         Market Concentration
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                        10
Industry Overview
                                             Medical Device (2)
                       China medical device market (2007-2014E)
      RMB Billion
                                                                                             Comments
                                                         +13%                                • China medical device market
                                                                                               grew to RMB 120 bn (EUR
                                                                                               15bn) in 2009, taking over
                                                                                               Japan as the 2nd largest market
                                                                                               in the world
                         +20%
                                                                                             • High-end market will grow at
                                                                                               10% per year

                                                                                             • Mid to low end market will grow
                                                                                               at ~30% per year

                                                                                             • Every 8-12 years, large
                                                                                               equipment need to be replaced,
                                                                                               a significant driver for the
                                                                                               market

                                  Source: National Statistics Bureau; China Mechanic and electrical data online




Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                                                                  11
Industry Overview

                                               Medical Device (3)



               Pharma Distributors                      Hospitals               Device
                                                    Class III:1,399           Distributors
                             13,000                 Class II: 6,468
                                                                                150,000
                          D:H <2:1                    Total:7,867
                                                                               D: H >20:1




                                  Total purchase value: RMB 500bn (EUR 62bn) in 2011
                                  Average sales: less than RMB 4M (EUR 50K ) / distributor

Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                              12
Industry Overview
                                          Medical Device (4)
                                             Imports vs. Domestically med devices

   Domestic production                   Domestic
   (more MNCs)                           (including MNCs)


   • All large MNCs have at
     least one JV with a local
     Chinese firm

                                                                     ~45%                 Imports
   • Need for a strong
     distribution/sales
                                                                                          (slowing trend)
                                                   ~55%
     network compels MNC
     companies to produce                                                                 • Many MNCs are shifting
     domestically                                                                           manufacturing to China
                                                                            Imports

   • Hospital purchase                                                                    • Local Chinese companies
     contracts favor locally                                                                are investing more in
     produced products                                                                      R&D to compete with
                                                                                            MNCs; RMB 62 bn (EUR
                                                                                            800M) stimulus package
                                                                                            from Chinese
                                                                                            government
        Source: China Market Research Group, Espicom China Medical Device Market Q42010


Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                                                 13
Industry Overview
                                            Diagnostic (1)

                                  IVD Market Trends in China ($mm)
                2500
                                                                                  2073
                2000
  Million USD




                                                                        1511
                1500
                                                                1200

                1000                                     800
                                                  600
                                    400    450
                 500        300

                   0
                           1995     1997   2000   2002   2004   2006    2009      2011

                                                                 Source: McEvoy & Farmer   14
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by
Industry Overview
                                                               Diagnostic (2)
                          Total IVD Sales ($mm)
                   2500
                                                                                                                        Segment not
                                                                                                                        covered:
                                                                                              2,073                     microbiology,
                   2000                                                                           200,0
                                                                                                                        clinical pathology,
                                                                                              111,74                    cytology
                                         1,511
                   1500                        100
     Million USD




                                              81,78
                                                                                              678,29                    Molecular Testing:
                                                                                                                        Infection Disease
                                              520,58                                              119,8                 Florescent in situ
                   1000

                                               67,9                                           317,75                    hybridization,
                                              244,25                                               88,7
                                                                                                                        microarrays,
                    500                       67,94
                                                                                                  81,08                 oncology, etc.
                                              69,05
                                                                      CAGR 13%                475,63
                                              359,64
                      0
                                              2008                                                2010

                          Routine Chemistry      Critical Chemistry
                                                 Clinical Chemistry      Urine Chemistry          Hemo,Flow
                          Coagulation            IM                      Molecular Testing        Segment not covered


Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                         Source: McEvoy & Farmer                                           15
Industry Overview
                                             Diagnostic (3)
                                  Contribution of Each Market Segment




Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                 Source: McEvoy & Farmer   16
Industry Overview

                                    Medical Reform (1)

        • Government spending over RMB 1240 bn (EUR 155bn),
        • Four of the five tasks have developed rapidly
                • Healthcare insurance
                • Grass-roots medical service system
                • Public health
                • Essential drug
        • Hospital reform has not been implemented



Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                               17
Industry Overview

                                        Medical Reform (2)

                                  Universal reimbursement coverage system

                • New Rural Cooperative Medical System

                • Medical Insurance System of Unemployed Urban Residents

                •.Medical Insurance System of Employed Urban Residents

                • Complementary Medical Insurance System

                • Commercial Medical Insurance for Public Servants


Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                             18
Industry Overview

                                        Medical Reform (3)

                                  Government continues to increase investment

            • By 2015, Government’s subsidies to rural residents’ medical insurance will
            be further increased by 50% from the level in 2012

            • Reimbursement rate will increase to 75%

            • Reimbursement cap will increase up to RMB 80,000 (EUR 10,000) per
            person p.a.




Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                            19
Fact Sheets (1)

        •     Population 1.35bn by 2010
        •     Chinese people aged 60 or above stood at 118.85 million in 2010, accounting
              for 13.26 percent of the total population
        •     Life expectancy: 74.84 years, male: 72.82 years female: 77.11 years,2012E
              (source NBS)
        •     300M emerging middle class
        •     Urbanization 45% vs. 55% 2010

        •     New cancer patients 3.12M p.a.; 2.7M patients died of cancer p.a.
        •     90m diabetics; 160m hypertensive population
        •     Obesity rate less than 5% country wide, but more than 20% in some cities
        •     80% adults do not exercise regularly

        •     Lifestyle:
               – Changing eating habits of Chinese population, more fast food and sweet
                  drinks
               – 60% male adults smoke
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                             20
Fact Sheets (2)
                         Six people are diagnosed with cancer
                              every single minute in China




                             High                     Low
                                         Mortality
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                 21
Cultural Difference

                                     Break the Cultural Wall




Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                22
Cultural Difference

                                       Culture Matters




                                     谦恭                 个性
                                    Modesty          Personality


Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                    23
Cultural Difference


                                          Face - Truth
                                    Introvert - Extrovert
                                     Follower - Creativity
                                    Practical - Interest
                                   Relationship - Credibility
                                          Work - Life




Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                 24
Opportunities




Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                   25
Opportunities
                                  Government continues to
                                    increase investment
        • China’s pharmaceutical market is expected to experience 24% of CAGR
        during 2011-2015.

        • Fast growth disease area: anti-oncology and anti-diabetes and
        immunopotentiator

        • Fast growth pharma sectors: bio-similar, modernized TCM

        • Large scale primary care medicine

        • Strong demand for high-end devices in large cities and hospitals; basic needs
        increase for low end products


Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                           26
High income market for best-in-class products
                                  Low income market for basic needs


           2008 GDP per capita by province                                                2008 exp. per capita on healthcare (urban)
                                                                                                          by province



                                                                      Heilongjiang                                                                        Heilongjiang


                                                                           Jilin                                                                               Jilin


                                                                  Liaonin Beijin                                                                      Liaonin
                                          Inner                                                Xinjiang                       Inner                            Beijing
            Xinjiang                                              g                                                                                   g
                                          Mongolia                          g                                                 Mongolia
                                                                        Tianji                                  Gansu                                       Tianji
                            Gansu                                                                                                                           n
                                                        Hebei           n                                                                     Hebei
                                                                                                                                      Shanx
                                          Ningxia Shanx      Shandong                                                          Ningxi i             Shandong
                                                  i                                                                            a
                        Qinghai                                                                             Qinghai
                                                     Hena             Jiangsu                                                            Hena             Jiangsu
                                          Shaanxi                                                                             Shaanxi
                                                     n                                                                                   n
                                                                                Shangha                                                                             Shangha
            Tibet                                             Anhui             i             Tibet                                               Anhui             i
                                                      Hubei                                                                               Hubei
                                         Chongqing                                                                    SichuanChongqing
                                  Sichuan                               Zhejiang                                                                            Zhejiang
                                                            Jiangxi                                                                             Jiangxi
                                                     Huna                                                                                Huna
                                                     n          Fujian                                                        Guizho     n          Fujian
                                          Guizho
         > RMB 50K / y                    u                                                  > RMB 1k / y                     u
                                  Yunna                                                                               Yunna     Guangxi Guangdong
                                            Guangxi Guangdong                                                         n
                                  n
         RMB 30K – 50K / y                                                                   RMB 800 – 1k/ y

         RMB 15K – 30K / y                                                                   RMB 600 – 800 / y                     Hainan
                                               Hainan

         <RMB 15K / y                                                                        <RMB 600 / y


Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                  Source: National Statistics Bureau                                                                      27
Opportunities

                                   Concentration of cities based on current city potential
                                                                                                        Comments

                                                                                                        • Tier 1 and 2 cities are already
                                                                                                          being penetrated by large MNCs
                                                                                                          for high-end to low-end
                                    Tier 1 & 2 Cities
    Current City Potential Index




                                                                                                          products
                                    (Shanghai, Beijing,
                                    Nanjing, Xi’an, and                                                 • New government reform will
                                    others)                                                               have the greatest influence in
                                                                                                          smaller cities not heavily
                                                                                                          penetrated by MNC players

                                                                                                        • Current city potential index
                                                                                                          reflects the current opportunity
                                                NEXT STEP: Tier 3, 4 ad 5                                 that combines primary research
                                                cities                                                    with available data to project
                                                (Chaoyang, Yulin, Guilin, Zhuhai,                         the potential for a specific
                                                etc)                                                      category




                                                China Cities (from the highest potential to the lowest potential)

                     Source: IMS health analysis



Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                                                                            28
Opportunities
                                                    Growth and current sales potential in Chinese cities
                                   Smaller but high growth
                                   cities: Longnan, Yulin,
                                   Chaoyang, Ankang, Ji’an,
                                   Shuozhou

                                                    Medium Size Cities:
                                                    Changchun, Dalian, Xi’an,
                                                    Urumqi etc.
                                                                        Large Cities: Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Tianjin etc.
          Potential Growth Index




                                                                   Current City Potential Index
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                       Source: IMS health analysis                                  29
Opportunities
                                         Evolution of the healthcare provision system
                                   Current situation                                  Future situation
                                   Tertiary care providers

               • Treat all types of patients with all levels of severity,
                 large number of operations and outpatients
                                                                                            Tertiary
                                  Disproportionate number of                                 Care
                                           patients                                        Providers
                                  Secondary care providers                               • Specialized
                                                                                            hospital
                              • Include out and inpatients                          • Focus on sophisticated
                                and emergency treatment                               treatment & research

                                                                                   Secondary care providers
                                      Not fully utilized
                                                                               • Large regional hospital
                                   Primary care providers
                                                                               • Provide emergency and general
                                     • Tier 1/Community                          hospital services
                                      hospitals
                                                                                   Primary Care providers
                                        • Outpatients
                                        Low utilization                  • Through CHCs in urban areas and a 3 tier system in
                                                                           rural areas with village clinics, township centers
                                                                           and county hospitals
                                                                      • Treat mostly outpatients with small/common ailments
                                                                    • Prevention



                                                                     Source: IMS
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                                                                 30
Opportunities
                                  Sector 1. BioPharmaceuticals
        BioPharmaceutical sector is a strategic focus in 12th Five Year Plan for the Chinese
        central government, 15/25 funded projects are biopharm projects (including
        vaccines).

        • Key players:
            • Bio-similar: CP Guojian, Biomab, Simcere, and Sansheng etc.
            • CMO: BI, CP Guojian, Genor AutekBio
            • Development: T-Mab, CP Guojian, BioMab etc.

        • Potential collaboration areas:
            • Product development (clinical stage)
            • Process development (productivity and cost)
            • Quality and engineering process
            • TA: onco, autoimmune, diabetes, liver disease


Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                          31
Opportunities
                                    Sector 2. Vaccine
        The current Chinese vaccine market is about 1.2bn US dollar, with 25% growth
        rate. More than 40 manufacturers produce over 30 products.

        • Class I: HBV, BCG, polio, DPT, MMR,DPT, HAV, meningitis, Japanese
        encephalitis, areas of focus groups hemorrhagic fever vaccine, anthrax vaccine
        and leptospirosis vaccine.(covered by national immunization program)
        • Class II: Influenza, chickenpox, influenza B, haemophilus, oral rotavirus,
        pneumonia, rabies (self paid)

        • Key local players: China National Biotech Group, Sinovac, Bio Tech Pharma,
        Walvax, Innovax and Cansino

        • Potential collaboration areas:
                 • R&D capability improvement (tech platform)
                 • Product development on new products
                 • Manufacturing process upgrade
                 • Capacity
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                          32
Opportunities
                                    Sector 2. Vaccine
        Vaccine engineer center in CMC, 46,000M2,including R&D labs:
        Pre-clinical, clinical trial, Lab BL2+ for bac. and virus,
        Information system in large, sera and strains pool for trials




Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                         33
Industry Overview
                                     Sector 3. Diagnostic
        •     National 12th Five-Year Plan
               • Improve R&D capability and encourage development of innovative
                  instruments and reagents
               • Enhance international footprint
               • Support transformation of leading local companies

        •     Market continues to grow at 15-20% annually.
               • Cost $1.5/person VS $25 to $30/person in developed countries

        •     Independent Clinical Labs becomes part of IVD market.

              Key players: KingMed, Da An, Adicon, D. A. Diagnostics and Lawke (Local
              IVD manufacturing is booming, 87 in 2004, 137 in 2010).
              Potential Collaboration area: POCT



                                          Source: McEvoy & Farmer
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                         34
Opportunities
                                                  Sector 4. Stem Cell

      Unit: 100M RMB (12.5M EUR)

                                                                Stem cell technology development in China


                                                              • Large population, can provide abundant
                                                                resources for stem cells. For example, more
                                                                than 17 newborns are born in China each
                                                                year
                                                              • The process of approval for clinical use of
                                                                stem cells is much shorter. For example, the
                                                                period from animal experiments to clinical
                     China                 Growth Rate          phase I is less than 18months, whereas
                                                                USA needs about 6-8 years.
  Data Source: The world stem cell market data issued by
  SelectBiosciences




Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                                             35
Opportunities
                                   Sector 4. Stem Cell
                  Strategic Government Initiative to develop Stem Cell technology


       China’s 7 Emerging
                                                                    National New&Hi-Tech Plan:
       Industries of Strategic                                              Torch Project
       Importance:

       1.Energy Saving and
                                       Stem Cell
       Environmental Protection

       2.New Energy               •Stem Cell Clinical
                                  •Stem Cell R&D               National High Technology Research
       3.New Energy Vehicles      •Stem Cell Bank            and Development Program 863 Project
                                  •Stem Cell Cosm.
       4.Biology                  •CRO
       5.High-end Equipment
       Manufacturing

       6.Information Technology                            National Basic Research Program of China
                                                                          973 Project
       7.New Material


Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                                   36
                                                                           Source: Angecon
Opportunities
                                   Sector 4. Stem Cell

       Current Status of Stem Cell in China
       • The industry develop into: stem cell repository, therapy, cell production, cell
       bank and related services, etc.

       • The clinical market for stem cells is still in the early stage, but lacks of industry
       standard and quality control system. Some unqualified companies exploit
       opportunity to make profit and have negative effect to the industry.

       • China has huge medical needs,
           - 240m CV patients, 92m diabetic, 40m Alzheimer's disease,14.6m
           hematological cancer patients




Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                                  37
Opportunities


                       Europe                                       China

                                                              Lack of new tech &
             Innovative tech &                              products
            products                “Bridging” Need Gaps      Lack of leading
                                                             talents
             Leading talents

                                                              Low R&D cost
             High R&D cost          • Technology Transfer    Increase VC funds
             Funding shortage       • R&D collaboration
                                                              Fast market growth
             Market growth          • Outsource
                                                              Strong gov’t support
             Strong competition     • Commercialization
                                     • Cross-border M&A




Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                       38
Opportunities

                  Align the portfolio
                  with high growth
                     opportunities                      1                           Excel on building the
                                                                                    right size, structure
                                                                                      and capabilities
                                                    Picking the
                                                  right portfolio


         Build right sales &                                                            Match local demand
        distribution model,                                                                 with value
                                                    Getting the
        the right balance of                                                             proposition and
                                                   right people,
         depth and breadth              2           leadership           3                 relationship
                                                  and executing
                                                       well
                                                                     Setting the
                                   Building the
                                                                    right pricing
                                       right
                                   commercial           4             & market
                                                                       access
                                      model
                                                                     strategies


      Source: IMS



Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                                              39
Opportunities
                                     Government Incentives

                      State Level             Provincial Level             Municipal Level



        • S&T Dev Program (€24B)         • Talent scheme              • Talent scheme
          on new drug) 12th Five year
                                         • Match fund                 • Start up fund
          plan
                                         • Innovative tech            • Subsidy for leasing or
        • Mega New Drug
                                           industrialization grant      purchasing premises/land
          Development Program (€10B)
                                         • Tax incentive on hi-tech   • Tax incentives
        • Thousand talent program
                                           companies….
          (€120)                                                      • Financing (seed/VC funds)
        • Strategic project, P863,
          P973
        • Grant for platform
          development
        • Grant for central labs

Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                                     40
Opportunities
                                  Investment Approach (1)

              • Wholly owned enterprises
                  • Site selection (location, infrastructure, labour cost, tax, incentives etc.)
                  • Recruiting and retaining talent
                  • Local partners
                  • Government relationship

              • Joint Venture
                   • Control majority of equity
                   • D.D. on potential partner’s credibility, avoid state partner
                   • Manage IP
                   • Backup plan




Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                                    41
Opportunities
                                   Investment Approach (2)

                  • Distribution
                       • Select right distributors with good experience on regulatory, hospital
                       relationship
                       • Manage Key hospitals or KOL if possible
                       • Be aware of market dynamics and informal practice

                  • Licensing
                       • Select a capable and reliable licensee
                       • Protect your IP (consult attorney with local expertise)
                       • Be aware of the market trend




Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                                   42
Opportunities
                                  Investment Approach (3)

                  • Co-Development
                      • Select a partner with good track record with MNCs or western
                      clients
                      • Local partner in healthy financial condition and strong team
                      • IP protection

                  • Acquisition
                      • Select a range of target candidates
                      • Thorough D.D…
                      • Valuation is high
                      • Retain staff




Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by                                                        43
Thank you !
                                  Contact:
                                  Dr. Rong Hui Gao
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by   gaorh@g-med.com.cn   44

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Cracking the Cultural Competence Code.pptx
 

China: life sciences industry overview and opportunities, Gao Ronghui

  • 1. Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge Dr. Rong Hui Gao M.D. MBA G-Med Consulting Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 1
  • 2. Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge (I) Industry Overview (II) Cultural Difference (III) Opportunities Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 2
  • 3. Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge Industry Overview - Pharmaceutical - Medical Device - Diagnostic - Medical Reform Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 3
  • 4. Industry Overview Pharmaceutical (1) Bio-Medical industry – 7,782 companies in total • Pharmaceutical: 5,646 • Medical device: 1,168 • Pharmaceutical machinery: 163 • Healthcare materials: 677 Source: CPA 4 Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by
  • 5. Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge Pharmaceutical (2) Pharmaceutical 5,646 Chemical TCM Biologics 2,508 2,271 867 Source: CPA Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 5
  • 6. Industry Overview Pharmaceutical (3) • 817,000 tons chemical API; • 533.18 billion tablets; • 129.43 billion capsules; • 28.34 billion injections; • 11.7 billion infusion solution; • 16.24 billion powder injections; • 3rd drug consumption market globally Fast market growth (24% annual growth for past 10 years) Source: CPA 6 Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by
  • 7. Industry Overview Pharmaceutical (4) Healthcare Industry Output 2000 to 2011 18000 RMB 100M 35% (€190B) 16000 29% 15255 29% 30% 26% 14000 25% 25% 12073 25% 12000 22% 20% 19% 10000 9626 20% 17% 16% 7914 8000 15% 12% 6157 6000 10% 4000 2917 2122 2452 1761 4211 4928 05% 2000 3254 0 00% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 General Output Year-on-year Growth Rate 7 Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by source: ims
  • 8. Industry Overview Pharmaceutical (5) Output Breakdown (%) ) 权重(% 化学药品原料制造 Chemical API manufacturing API 19.9% 化学药品制剂制造 Chemical manufacturing Biologics10.5% 中药饮片加工 TCM decoction pieces processing 中成药制造 TCM manufacturing 生物生化药品制造 Biologics manufacturing 卫生材料及医药用品制造 Healthcare material TCM 21.7% Chemicals 26.8% 医疗仪器设备及器械制造 Medical device &machinery Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 8 source: ims
  • 9. Industry Overview Pharmaceutical (6)  5,646 manufacturers, 13,000 distributors and 390,000 pharmacies in China  Accounts for ¼ of international chemical API trading volume  Fast market growth, but a long way to go to catch up with leading countries. A big man, not a strong man Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 9
  • 10. Industry Overview Medical Device (1) West:8-15% 1:1 72% 70% High China:5% 1:3 7% 30% Low Of GDP Device:Pharma Global Market Share Mid/High-End Market Market Concentration Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 10
  • 11. Industry Overview Medical Device (2) China medical device market (2007-2014E) RMB Billion Comments +13% • China medical device market grew to RMB 120 bn (EUR 15bn) in 2009, taking over Japan as the 2nd largest market in the world +20% • High-end market will grow at 10% per year • Mid to low end market will grow at ~30% per year • Every 8-12 years, large equipment need to be replaced, a significant driver for the market Source: National Statistics Bureau; China Mechanic and electrical data online Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 11
  • 12. Industry Overview Medical Device (3) Pharma Distributors Hospitals Device Class III:1,399 Distributors 13,000 Class II: 6,468 150,000 D:H <2:1 Total:7,867 D: H >20:1 Total purchase value: RMB 500bn (EUR 62bn) in 2011 Average sales: less than RMB 4M (EUR 50K ) / distributor Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 12
  • 13. Industry Overview Medical Device (4) Imports vs. Domestically med devices Domestic production Domestic (more MNCs) (including MNCs) • All large MNCs have at least one JV with a local Chinese firm ~45% Imports • Need for a strong distribution/sales (slowing trend) ~55% network compels MNC companies to produce • Many MNCs are shifting domestically manufacturing to China Imports • Hospital purchase • Local Chinese companies contracts favor locally are investing more in produced products R&D to compete with MNCs; RMB 62 bn (EUR 800M) stimulus package from Chinese government Source: China Market Research Group, Espicom China Medical Device Market Q42010 Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 13
  • 14. Industry Overview Diagnostic (1) IVD Market Trends in China ($mm) 2500 2073 2000 Million USD 1511 1500 1200 1000 800 600 400 450 500 300 0 1995 1997 2000 2002 2004 2006 2009 2011 Source: McEvoy & Farmer 14 Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by
  • 15. Industry Overview Diagnostic (2) Total IVD Sales ($mm) 2500 Segment not covered: 2,073 microbiology, 2000 200,0 clinical pathology, 111,74 cytology 1,511 1500 100 Million USD 81,78 678,29 Molecular Testing: Infection Disease 520,58 119,8 Florescent in situ 1000 67,9 317,75 hybridization, 244,25 88,7 microarrays, 500 67,94 81,08 oncology, etc. 69,05 CAGR 13% 475,63 359,64 0 2008 2010 Routine Chemistry Critical Chemistry Clinical Chemistry Urine Chemistry Hemo,Flow Coagulation IM Molecular Testing Segment not covered Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by Source: McEvoy & Farmer 15
  • 16. Industry Overview Diagnostic (3) Contribution of Each Market Segment Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by Source: McEvoy & Farmer 16
  • 17. Industry Overview Medical Reform (1) • Government spending over RMB 1240 bn (EUR 155bn), • Four of the five tasks have developed rapidly • Healthcare insurance • Grass-roots medical service system • Public health • Essential drug • Hospital reform has not been implemented Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 17
  • 18. Industry Overview Medical Reform (2) Universal reimbursement coverage system • New Rural Cooperative Medical System • Medical Insurance System of Unemployed Urban Residents •.Medical Insurance System of Employed Urban Residents • Complementary Medical Insurance System • Commercial Medical Insurance for Public Servants Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 18
  • 19. Industry Overview Medical Reform (3) Government continues to increase investment • By 2015, Government’s subsidies to rural residents’ medical insurance will be further increased by 50% from the level in 2012 • Reimbursement rate will increase to 75% • Reimbursement cap will increase up to RMB 80,000 (EUR 10,000) per person p.a. Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 19
  • 20. Fact Sheets (1) • Population 1.35bn by 2010 • Chinese people aged 60 or above stood at 118.85 million in 2010, accounting for 13.26 percent of the total population • Life expectancy: 74.84 years, male: 72.82 years female: 77.11 years,2012E (source NBS) • 300M emerging middle class • Urbanization 45% vs. 55% 2010 • New cancer patients 3.12M p.a.; 2.7M patients died of cancer p.a. • 90m diabetics; 160m hypertensive population • Obesity rate less than 5% country wide, but more than 20% in some cities • 80% adults do not exercise regularly • Lifestyle: – Changing eating habits of Chinese population, more fast food and sweet drinks – 60% male adults smoke Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 20
  • 21. Fact Sheets (2) Six people are diagnosed with cancer every single minute in China High Low Mortality Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 21
  • 22. Cultural Difference Break the Cultural Wall Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 22
  • 23. Cultural Difference Culture Matters 谦恭 个性 Modesty Personality Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 23
  • 24. Cultural Difference Face - Truth Introvert - Extrovert Follower - Creativity Practical - Interest Relationship - Credibility Work - Life Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 24
  • 26. Opportunities Government continues to increase investment • China’s pharmaceutical market is expected to experience 24% of CAGR during 2011-2015. • Fast growth disease area: anti-oncology and anti-diabetes and immunopotentiator • Fast growth pharma sectors: bio-similar, modernized TCM • Large scale primary care medicine • Strong demand for high-end devices in large cities and hospitals; basic needs increase for low end products Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 26
  • 27. High income market for best-in-class products Low income market for basic needs 2008 GDP per capita by province 2008 exp. per capita on healthcare (urban) by province Heilongjiang Heilongjiang Jilin Jilin Liaonin Beijin Liaonin Inner Xinjiang Inner Beijing Xinjiang g g Mongolia g Mongolia Tianji Gansu Tianji Gansu n Hebei n Hebei Shanx Ningxia Shanx Shandong Ningxi i Shandong i a Qinghai Qinghai Hena Jiangsu Hena Jiangsu Shaanxi Shaanxi n n Shangha Shangha Tibet Anhui i Tibet Anhui i Hubei Hubei Chongqing SichuanChongqing Sichuan Zhejiang Zhejiang Jiangxi Jiangxi Huna Huna n Fujian Guizho n Fujian Guizho > RMB 50K / y u > RMB 1k / y u Yunna Yunna Guangxi Guangdong Guangxi Guangdong n n RMB 30K – 50K / y RMB 800 – 1k/ y RMB 15K – 30K / y RMB 600 – 800 / y Hainan Hainan <RMB 15K / y <RMB 600 / y Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by Source: National Statistics Bureau 27
  • 28. Opportunities Concentration of cities based on current city potential Comments • Tier 1 and 2 cities are already being penetrated by large MNCs for high-end to low-end Tier 1 & 2 Cities Current City Potential Index products (Shanghai, Beijing, Nanjing, Xi’an, and • New government reform will others) have the greatest influence in smaller cities not heavily penetrated by MNC players • Current city potential index reflects the current opportunity NEXT STEP: Tier 3, 4 ad 5 that combines primary research cities with available data to project (Chaoyang, Yulin, Guilin, Zhuhai, the potential for a specific etc) category China Cities (from the highest potential to the lowest potential) Source: IMS health analysis Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 28
  • 29. Opportunities Growth and current sales potential in Chinese cities Smaller but high growth cities: Longnan, Yulin, Chaoyang, Ankang, Ji’an, Shuozhou Medium Size Cities: Changchun, Dalian, Xi’an, Urumqi etc. Large Cities: Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Tianjin etc. Potential Growth Index Current City Potential Index Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by Source: IMS health analysis 29
  • 30. Opportunities Evolution of the healthcare provision system Current situation Future situation Tertiary care providers • Treat all types of patients with all levels of severity, large number of operations and outpatients Tertiary Disproportionate number of Care patients Providers Secondary care providers • Specialized hospital • Include out and inpatients • Focus on sophisticated and emergency treatment treatment & research Secondary care providers Not fully utilized • Large regional hospital Primary care providers • Provide emergency and general • Tier 1/Community hospital services hospitals Primary Care providers • Outpatients Low utilization • Through CHCs in urban areas and a 3 tier system in rural areas with village clinics, township centers and county hospitals • Treat mostly outpatients with small/common ailments • Prevention Source: IMS Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 30
  • 31. Opportunities Sector 1. BioPharmaceuticals BioPharmaceutical sector is a strategic focus in 12th Five Year Plan for the Chinese central government, 15/25 funded projects are biopharm projects (including vaccines). • Key players: • Bio-similar: CP Guojian, Biomab, Simcere, and Sansheng etc. • CMO: BI, CP Guojian, Genor AutekBio • Development: T-Mab, CP Guojian, BioMab etc. • Potential collaboration areas: • Product development (clinical stage) • Process development (productivity and cost) • Quality and engineering process • TA: onco, autoimmune, diabetes, liver disease Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 31
  • 32. Opportunities Sector 2. Vaccine The current Chinese vaccine market is about 1.2bn US dollar, with 25% growth rate. More than 40 manufacturers produce over 30 products. • Class I: HBV, BCG, polio, DPT, MMR,DPT, HAV, meningitis, Japanese encephalitis, areas of focus groups hemorrhagic fever vaccine, anthrax vaccine and leptospirosis vaccine.(covered by national immunization program) • Class II: Influenza, chickenpox, influenza B, haemophilus, oral rotavirus, pneumonia, rabies (self paid) • Key local players: China National Biotech Group, Sinovac, Bio Tech Pharma, Walvax, Innovax and Cansino • Potential collaboration areas: • R&D capability improvement (tech platform) • Product development on new products • Manufacturing process upgrade • Capacity Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 32
  • 33. Opportunities Sector 2. Vaccine Vaccine engineer center in CMC, 46,000M2,including R&D labs: Pre-clinical, clinical trial, Lab BL2+ for bac. and virus, Information system in large, sera and strains pool for trials Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 33
  • 34. Industry Overview Sector 3. Diagnostic • National 12th Five-Year Plan • Improve R&D capability and encourage development of innovative instruments and reagents • Enhance international footprint • Support transformation of leading local companies • Market continues to grow at 15-20% annually. • Cost $1.5/person VS $25 to $30/person in developed countries • Independent Clinical Labs becomes part of IVD market. Key players: KingMed, Da An, Adicon, D. A. Diagnostics and Lawke (Local IVD manufacturing is booming, 87 in 2004, 137 in 2010). Potential Collaboration area: POCT Source: McEvoy & Farmer Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 34
  • 35. Opportunities Sector 4. Stem Cell Unit: 100M RMB (12.5M EUR) Stem cell technology development in China • Large population, can provide abundant resources for stem cells. For example, more than 17 newborns are born in China each year • The process of approval for clinical use of stem cells is much shorter. For example, the period from animal experiments to clinical China Growth Rate phase I is less than 18months, whereas USA needs about 6-8 years. Data Source: The world stem cell market data issued by SelectBiosciences Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 35
  • 36. Opportunities Sector 4. Stem Cell Strategic Government Initiative to develop Stem Cell technology China’s 7 Emerging National New&Hi-Tech Plan: Industries of Strategic Torch Project Importance: 1.Energy Saving and Stem Cell Environmental Protection 2.New Energy •Stem Cell Clinical •Stem Cell R&D National High Technology Research 3.New Energy Vehicles •Stem Cell Bank and Development Program 863 Project •Stem Cell Cosm. 4.Biology •CRO 5.High-end Equipment Manufacturing 6.Information Technology National Basic Research Program of China 973 Project 7.New Material Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 36 Source: Angecon
  • 37. Opportunities Sector 4. Stem Cell Current Status of Stem Cell in China • The industry develop into: stem cell repository, therapy, cell production, cell bank and related services, etc. • The clinical market for stem cells is still in the early stage, but lacks of industry standard and quality control system. Some unqualified companies exploit opportunity to make profit and have negative effect to the industry. • China has huge medical needs, - 240m CV patients, 92m diabetic, 40m Alzheimer's disease,14.6m hematological cancer patients Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 37
  • 38. Opportunities Europe China  Lack of new tech &  Innovative tech & products products “Bridging” Need Gaps  Lack of leading talents  Leading talents  Low R&D cost  High R&D cost • Technology Transfer  Increase VC funds  Funding shortage • R&D collaboration  Fast market growth  Market growth • Outsource  Strong gov’t support  Strong competition • Commercialization • Cross-border M&A Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 38
  • 39. Opportunities Align the portfolio with high growth opportunities 1 Excel on building the right size, structure and capabilities Picking the right portfolio Build right sales & Match local demand distribution model, with value Getting the the right balance of proposition and right people, depth and breadth 2 leadership 3 relationship and executing well Setting the Building the right pricing right commercial 4 & market access model strategies Source: IMS Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 39
  • 40. Opportunities Government Incentives State Level Provincial Level Municipal Level • S&T Dev Program (€24B) • Talent scheme • Talent scheme on new drug) 12th Five year • Match fund • Start up fund plan • Innovative tech • Subsidy for leasing or • Mega New Drug industrialization grant purchasing premises/land Development Program (€10B) • Tax incentive on hi-tech • Tax incentives • Thousand talent program companies…. (€120) • Financing (seed/VC funds) • Strategic project, P863, P973 • Grant for platform development • Grant for central labs Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 40
  • 41. Opportunities Investment Approach (1) • Wholly owned enterprises • Site selection (location, infrastructure, labour cost, tax, incentives etc.) • Recruiting and retaining talent • Local partners • Government relationship • Joint Venture • Control majority of equity • D.D. on potential partner’s credibility, avoid state partner • Manage IP • Backup plan Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 41
  • 42. Opportunities Investment Approach (2) • Distribution • Select right distributors with good experience on regulatory, hospital relationship • Manage Key hospitals or KOL if possible • Be aware of market dynamics and informal practice • Licensing • Select a capable and reliable licensee • Protect your IP (consult attorney with local expertise) • Be aware of the market trend Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 42
  • 43. Opportunities Investment Approach (3) • Co-Development • Select a partner with good track record with MNCs or western clients • Local partner in healthy financial condition and strong team • IP protection • Acquisition • Select a range of target candidates • Thorough D.D… • Valuation is high • Retain staff Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 43
  • 44. Thank you ! Contact: Dr. Rong Hui Gao Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by gaorh@g-med.com.cn 44