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Seriously mixed methods

  Do they risk non-response and attrition?


  Ben Anderson
  Chimera, University of Essex
The Menu
•   Why bother?
•   The background
•   The panel and its methods
•   Who dropped out (and why)
•   What can we learn?




               www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Multiple methods - why bother?
• Data Triangulation:
     • Different data on the same individuals
     • Different instruments and methods (qual, quant,
       administrative)
     • Cross-confirmation and validation
• Respondents lie, they forget and they don’t
  care
     • Multiple methods can unravel some of this
     • Different views - different insights

• Patterns (what?) and explanations (why?)
                    www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Other reasons
• Interaction of research modes (and
  researchers!)
     • Leads to insights & innovation
• Multiple methods = 'real life' methods
• Increasingly valued in policy & evaluation
  research
     • ‘rounded view’




                  www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
But
• Such methods may
      • Increase respondent burden
      • Increase fears of privacy and surveillance
• Or conversely
      • Develop stronger relationships between
        researchers and respondents
      • Increase respondent ‘attachment’




                  www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
An example: BT’s Digital Living project

                                          Quantitative
                                      Phone call records

                                 PC/Internet usage logs

                                                  Surveys

                                          Time-use diaries
           Interviews

           Shadowing & Observation

           Digital Ethnography                     Rich contextual
          Qualitative                                  picture

                www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
GB Longitudinal Panel
Dec 1998                     Dec 1999            Dec 2000
     • GB surveys (2500 individuals in 999 hh)

       • Call record capture (635 of 999 hh)
       • Internet logs (16 of 999 hh)

       • ‘Long conversations’ (37 of 999 hh)


 Wave 1                      Wave 2              Wave 3


• Qualified random sample (clustered)
• Wave 1 interviews = CAPI
• Wave 2 & 3 = CATI

                       www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Wave 1 process
• Conduct face to face survey (HoL)




                                                                     up to 6 months
   •   Leave time-use diary
   •   Obtain permission to collect call records
   •   Obtain permission to re-contact for next survey and
       ethnography
   •   Implement call record capture
• Decide ethnographic sample frame (ICT rich/poor;
  income rich/poor)
   •   Select households from eligible pool (requires survey data)
   •   Approach households for interview (via survey agency)
   •   Interview and arrange re-interviews/shadowing etc
• Decide logging sample frame (anyone with Win95!)
   •   Select households from eligible pool (requires survey data)
   •   Approach households
   •   Send disk (self-installer)
                      www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Added complexities...
• Wave 1 bias
     • 100% of households to have a telephone
     • 50% to have a personal computer
• Boost sample at wave 2
     • Original address file, random selection
     • To maintain sample size
     • CATI
• Overall a rare if not unique beast!

                  www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Wave 2 & 3 process
• Attempt re-contact




                                                                     up to 3 months
• Conduct CATI survey
     • Post out time-use diary
     • Check permission to collect call records
     • Obtain permission to re-contact for next survey and follow-
       up interviews
•   Boost sample (wave 2 only)
     •   recruit & interview as Wave 1




                       www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Response rates (individuals)
• Cross- sectional      Undefined
                        Survey plus diary
                                              Wave 1

                                                1093 42%
                                                         Wave 2
                                                              6
                                                            649 25%
                                                                    Wave 3
                                                                        10
                                                                       723 30%

     • (unweighted)     Survey only
                        Non-response
                                                 668 26%
                                                 273 10%
                                                            918 36%
                                                            391 15%
                                                                       840 35%
                                                                       321 13%
                        Children's diary         163         82         73
                        No children's diary      125        220        208
                        Child under 9            286        289        231

                        Total sample size       2608      2555             2406



                                          Interviews           Diaries
• Longitudinal           (Always a child)
                         Never
                                               697
                                               462       13%
                                                                    697
                                                                   1415       39%
                         Wave 1 only           511       14%        480       13%
     • (unweighted)      Wave 2 only           136        4%        106        3%
                         Wave 3 only           197        5%        214        6%
                         Waves 1 and 2         224        6%        172        5%
                         Waves 2 and 3         365       10%          68       2%
                         Waves 1 and 3         159        4%        138        4%
                         Waves 1, 2 and 3      842       23%        303        8%




                 www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
What do we want to know?
• Did the three experimental ‘treatments’
  cause non-response?
• To keep it simple:
     • Consider w1 to w2 and w1 to w3 effects only
     • Ignore boost sample
     • Focus on
        – refusal and non-contact in responding households
          (excludes movers)
        – Non-contact (non-responding households)
        – Attrition


                  www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Pathways
 W1                      W2                  W3



                                    79%                 Interviewed in all waves
                                              48%
 W1 interviewees




                   61%



                                 12%
                                               12%      ‘Non-response’ w3

                                                        ‘Non-response’ w2

                   35%                        25%
                                  72%                   Attrition after w1

                              www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Wave 1 to wave 2 effects
• Comparison of response rates

                              No call Yes, call          Difference               Difference
                              records records               (call     Difference (instrumen
 Wave 2 outcome                  %       %      Total % records)        (qual)     tation)
 Interview                       39.43   48.01     43.83        8.58        -0.44       10.43
 Refusal                         14.06   15.36     14.72          1.3       -9.10      -10.97
 No contact in a responding
 hh                              2.83      1.35     2.07       -1.48        1.65       -2.26
 No hh response                 23.96     15.36    19.56        -8.6      -11.47       -7.41
 Other                          19.72     19.93    19.82        0.21       19.36       10.21

 N                               1273      1335                               52          51
 Chi sq                                                     43.26***     16.96**      10.71*




• % of w1 interviewees


                                www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Wave 1 to wave 3 effects
• Comparison of response rates
                                                               Difference              Difference
                               No call  Yes, call                 (call    Difference (instrument
Wave 3 outcome               records % records %     Total %    records)     (qual)      ation)
Interview                         77.89     78.59        78.28        0.70       -6.42        -4.83
Refusal                            5.58       6.09        5.87        0.51       -1.79        -2.53
No contact in a responding
hh                                 2.99       1.88        2.36       -1.11        1.71         4.49
No hh response                    11.75      10.78       11.21       -0.97        8.84         1.70
Other                              1.79       2.66        2.28        0.87       -2.33         1.17

Total                              502        640                                  24            29
Chi sq                                                              2.778        2.61          2.94




• % of w1 and w2 interviewees


                                    www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Comparison

                                        • Wave 1-2




 • Wave 1-3


              www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Multivariate analysis
• Logistic approach
  – P(x) at t = control variables/known effects +
    treatments
  – Where X is
     •   Refusal at t (responding hh)
     •   Non-contact at t (responding hh)
     •   Non-contact at t (non-responding hh)
     •   Attrition


                   www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Known effects
• Based on Lynn et al (2005)
                         Refuse               Non-contact       In HoL?
     Age           Elderly             Elderly & Young             Y
     Income        Lower               Higher and/or employed      Y
     Gender                            Men                         Y
     Education     Less                                            Y
     Composition   singles             singles                     Y
     Culture       Ethnic minorities                               Y
     Mobility      High mobility       High mobility               N
     Location      Urban               Urban                       N



• In addition:
   – Technophobia (‘resonance’)
   – MRS code (AB, C1, C2, D,E) as proxy for wealth
                          www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
W2 results
Variable         w2 refusal w2 non-contact    w2 non-contact
                            (ind)             (hh)
Age                 -0.017*          -0.062**         -0.043***
MRS Code           0.257**              0.158           0.225**
Gender (female)   -0.582**            -1.428*           -0.258*
Qualification         0.095            -0.208             -0.048
level
Single person        -0.821                                0.399
Ethnic minority      -0.505                                0.125
Technophobia          0.028             0.164              0.049
Call records          0.079            -0.735             -0.351
Qualitative          -0.875             1.831             -0.793
Internet logging     -0.678                               -1.163
Constant          -1.961**             -1.527             -0.565

Pseudo r sq           0.044                0.128                 0.08
Chi sq             38.56854             20.49012             70.00324
N                      1172                  881                 1243




  •    logit, cluster (household identifier) [stata], values = b

                                      www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
W3 results
                   w3        w3 non-contact   w3 non-contact
                   refusal   (ind)            (hh)
Age                    -0.02           -0.034         -0.026**
MRS Code               -0.06           -0.187           -0.181
Gender                -0.431            0.215           -0.149
(female)
Qualification          0.052                  0.14                -0.016
level
Single person        -0.175                                        0.206
Ethnic minority       0.429               1.810**                  0.459
Technophobia          0.032                -0.162                 -0.039
Call records          0.445                  -0.39                -0.001
Qualitative          -0.125                 0.782                  0.936
Internet logging     -0.243                 1.234                  0.326
Constant            -1.737*                -0.778                  0.298

Pseudo r sq           0.022                 0.106                  0.035
Chi sq             12.18588               34.6003               19.14218
N                       880                   747                    932




•   logit, cluster (household identifier) [stata], values = b

                                   www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Comparison




•   Statistically significant results only
•   logit, cluster (household identifier) [stata]


                                         www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Attrition
    Variable                           b
    Age                             -0.052***
    MRS Code                            0.175*
    Gender (female)                 -0.446***
    Qualification level                  0.004
    Single person                        0.005
    Ethnic minority                     -0.122
    Call records                        -0.313
    Qualitative                          0.055
    Internet logging                    -1.566
    Technophobia                        0.064*
    Region (North)
        yorkshire & humberside        1.310**
                   east midlands        0.357
                      east anglia       0.866
       south east (excl. london)       1.089*
                      south west        0.893       •   Added region
                  west midlands         0.516
                      north west        0.713
                           wales        0.802
                        scotland        0.656
                                                    •   Call records variable ‘nearly’
                  greater london      1.322**           significant (p = 0.066)
    Constant                           -0.403
    Pseudo r sq                          0.12
    Chi sq                           110.2714
    N                                    1190

•   logit, cluster (household identifier) [stata]

                                    www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Conclusions I
• Multi-method projects give you ‘better’ data
• And ‘better’ results (see elsewhere)
• But
     • They are resource hungry (researcher and respondent
       time/load)
     • They are complex to manage and analyse
     • You have to be multi-disciplinary/multi-skilled
     • All the usual qual/quant bickering takes place
• All of which are good reasons to do them


                   www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Conclusions II
• Disappointingly:
     • Qualitative interviews did not help prevent non-response
       or attrition
• BUT encouragingly
     • None of the ‘treatments’ were associated with non-
       response or attrition
• So overall we should do this more often!




                    www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Get the data
• All 3 waves of the survey
     • UK Data Archive SN = 4607
     • Free to UK Data Archive subscribers for non-commercial
       research
• Held at Chimera (may be in UKDA
  eventually):
     • Qualitative transcripts
     • Call records (disclosure issues)
     • Internet usage logs



                   www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
Thank you


• benander@essex.ac.uk




            www.essex.ac.uk/chimera

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Non-response and attrition in a multi-method longitudinal household panel survey

  • 1. Seriously mixed methods Do they risk non-response and attrition? Ben Anderson Chimera, University of Essex
  • 2. The Menu • Why bother? • The background • The panel and its methods • Who dropped out (and why) • What can we learn? www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 3. Multiple methods - why bother? • Data Triangulation: • Different data on the same individuals • Different instruments and methods (qual, quant, administrative) • Cross-confirmation and validation • Respondents lie, they forget and they don’t care • Multiple methods can unravel some of this • Different views - different insights • Patterns (what?) and explanations (why?) www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 4. Other reasons • Interaction of research modes (and researchers!) • Leads to insights & innovation • Multiple methods = 'real life' methods • Increasingly valued in policy & evaluation research • ‘rounded view’ www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 5. But • Such methods may • Increase respondent burden • Increase fears of privacy and surveillance • Or conversely • Develop stronger relationships between researchers and respondents • Increase respondent ‘attachment’ www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 6. An example: BT’s Digital Living project Quantitative Phone call records PC/Internet usage logs Surveys Time-use diaries Interviews Shadowing & Observation Digital Ethnography Rich contextual Qualitative picture www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 7. GB Longitudinal Panel Dec 1998 Dec 1999 Dec 2000 • GB surveys (2500 individuals in 999 hh) • Call record capture (635 of 999 hh) • Internet logs (16 of 999 hh) • ‘Long conversations’ (37 of 999 hh) Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 • Qualified random sample (clustered) • Wave 1 interviews = CAPI • Wave 2 & 3 = CATI www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 8. Wave 1 process • Conduct face to face survey (HoL) up to 6 months • Leave time-use diary • Obtain permission to collect call records • Obtain permission to re-contact for next survey and ethnography • Implement call record capture • Decide ethnographic sample frame (ICT rich/poor; income rich/poor) • Select households from eligible pool (requires survey data) • Approach households for interview (via survey agency) • Interview and arrange re-interviews/shadowing etc • Decide logging sample frame (anyone with Win95!) • Select households from eligible pool (requires survey data) • Approach households • Send disk (self-installer) www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 9. Added complexities... • Wave 1 bias • 100% of households to have a telephone • 50% to have a personal computer • Boost sample at wave 2 • Original address file, random selection • To maintain sample size • CATI • Overall a rare if not unique beast! www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 10. Wave 2 & 3 process • Attempt re-contact up to 3 months • Conduct CATI survey • Post out time-use diary • Check permission to collect call records • Obtain permission to re-contact for next survey and follow- up interviews • Boost sample (wave 2 only) • recruit & interview as Wave 1 www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 11. Response rates (individuals) • Cross- sectional Undefined Survey plus diary Wave 1 1093 42% Wave 2 6 649 25% Wave 3 10 723 30% • (unweighted) Survey only Non-response 668 26% 273 10% 918 36% 391 15% 840 35% 321 13% Children's diary 163 82 73 No children's diary 125 220 208 Child under 9 286 289 231 Total sample size 2608 2555 2406 Interviews Diaries • Longitudinal (Always a child) Never 697 462 13% 697 1415 39% Wave 1 only 511 14% 480 13% • (unweighted) Wave 2 only 136 4% 106 3% Wave 3 only 197 5% 214 6% Waves 1 and 2 224 6% 172 5% Waves 2 and 3 365 10% 68 2% Waves 1 and 3 159 4% 138 4% Waves 1, 2 and 3 842 23% 303 8% www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 12. What do we want to know? • Did the three experimental ‘treatments’ cause non-response? • To keep it simple: • Consider w1 to w2 and w1 to w3 effects only • Ignore boost sample • Focus on – refusal and non-contact in responding households (excludes movers) – Non-contact (non-responding households) – Attrition www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 13. Pathways W1 W2 W3 79% Interviewed in all waves 48% W1 interviewees 61% 12% 12% ‘Non-response’ w3 ‘Non-response’ w2 35% 25% 72% Attrition after w1 www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 14. Wave 1 to wave 2 effects • Comparison of response rates No call Yes, call Difference Difference records records (call Difference (instrumen Wave 2 outcome % % Total % records) (qual) tation) Interview 39.43 48.01 43.83 8.58 -0.44 10.43 Refusal 14.06 15.36 14.72 1.3 -9.10 -10.97 No contact in a responding hh 2.83 1.35 2.07 -1.48 1.65 -2.26 No hh response 23.96 15.36 19.56 -8.6 -11.47 -7.41 Other 19.72 19.93 19.82 0.21 19.36 10.21 N 1273 1335 52 51 Chi sq 43.26*** 16.96** 10.71* • % of w1 interviewees www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 15. Wave 1 to wave 3 effects • Comparison of response rates Difference Difference No call Yes, call (call Difference (instrument Wave 3 outcome records % records % Total % records) (qual) ation) Interview 77.89 78.59 78.28 0.70 -6.42 -4.83 Refusal 5.58 6.09 5.87 0.51 -1.79 -2.53 No contact in a responding hh 2.99 1.88 2.36 -1.11 1.71 4.49 No hh response 11.75 10.78 11.21 -0.97 8.84 1.70 Other 1.79 2.66 2.28 0.87 -2.33 1.17 Total 502 640 24 29 Chi sq 2.778 2.61 2.94 • % of w1 and w2 interviewees www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 16. Comparison • Wave 1-2 • Wave 1-3 www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 17. Multivariate analysis • Logistic approach – P(x) at t = control variables/known effects + treatments – Where X is • Refusal at t (responding hh) • Non-contact at t (responding hh) • Non-contact at t (non-responding hh) • Attrition www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 18. Known effects • Based on Lynn et al (2005) Refuse Non-contact In HoL? Age Elderly Elderly & Young Y Income Lower Higher and/or employed Y Gender Men Y Education Less Y Composition singles singles Y Culture Ethnic minorities Y Mobility High mobility High mobility N Location Urban Urban N • In addition: – Technophobia (‘resonance’) – MRS code (AB, C1, C2, D,E) as proxy for wealth www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 19. W2 results Variable w2 refusal w2 non-contact w2 non-contact (ind) (hh) Age -0.017* -0.062** -0.043*** MRS Code 0.257** 0.158 0.225** Gender (female) -0.582** -1.428* -0.258* Qualification 0.095 -0.208 -0.048 level Single person -0.821 0.399 Ethnic minority -0.505 0.125 Technophobia 0.028 0.164 0.049 Call records 0.079 -0.735 -0.351 Qualitative -0.875 1.831 -0.793 Internet logging -0.678 -1.163 Constant -1.961** -1.527 -0.565 Pseudo r sq 0.044 0.128 0.08 Chi sq 38.56854 20.49012 70.00324 N 1172 881 1243 • logit, cluster (household identifier) [stata], values = b www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 20. W3 results w3 w3 non-contact w3 non-contact refusal (ind) (hh) Age -0.02 -0.034 -0.026** MRS Code -0.06 -0.187 -0.181 Gender -0.431 0.215 -0.149 (female) Qualification 0.052 0.14 -0.016 level Single person -0.175 0.206 Ethnic minority 0.429 1.810** 0.459 Technophobia 0.032 -0.162 -0.039 Call records 0.445 -0.39 -0.001 Qualitative -0.125 0.782 0.936 Internet logging -0.243 1.234 0.326 Constant -1.737* -0.778 0.298 Pseudo r sq 0.022 0.106 0.035 Chi sq 12.18588 34.6003 19.14218 N 880 747 932 • logit, cluster (household identifier) [stata], values = b www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 21. Comparison • Statistically significant results only • logit, cluster (household identifier) [stata] www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 22. Attrition Variable b Age -0.052*** MRS Code 0.175* Gender (female) -0.446*** Qualification level 0.004 Single person 0.005 Ethnic minority -0.122 Call records -0.313 Qualitative 0.055 Internet logging -1.566 Technophobia 0.064* Region (North) yorkshire & humberside 1.310** east midlands 0.357 east anglia 0.866 south east (excl. london) 1.089* south west 0.893 • Added region west midlands 0.516 north west 0.713 wales 0.802 scotland 0.656 • Call records variable ‘nearly’ greater london 1.322** significant (p = 0.066) Constant -0.403 Pseudo r sq 0.12 Chi sq 110.2714 N 1190 • logit, cluster (household identifier) [stata] www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 23. Conclusions I • Multi-method projects give you ‘better’ data • And ‘better’ results (see elsewhere) • But • They are resource hungry (researcher and respondent time/load) • They are complex to manage and analyse • You have to be multi-disciplinary/multi-skilled • All the usual qual/quant bickering takes place • All of which are good reasons to do them www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 24. Conclusions II • Disappointingly: • Qualitative interviews did not help prevent non-response or attrition • BUT encouragingly • None of the ‘treatments’ were associated with non- response or attrition • So overall we should do this more often! www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 25. Get the data • All 3 waves of the survey • UK Data Archive SN = 4607 • Free to UK Data Archive subscribers for non-commercial research • Held at Chimera (may be in UKDA eventually): • Qualitative transcripts • Call records (disclosure issues) • Internet usage logs www.essex.ac.uk/chimera
  • 26. Thank you • benander@essex.ac.uk www.essex.ac.uk/chimera