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© 2015 The Atlantic Council of the United States. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or
transmitted in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the Atlantic Council, except in the case of brief
quotations in news articles, critical articles, or reviews. Please direct inquiries to:
Atlantic Council
1030 15th Street, NW, 12th Floor
Washington, DC 20005
ISBN: 978-1-61977-993-8
This report is written and published in accordance with the Atlantic Council Policy on Intellectual Independence. The authors are
solely responsible for its analysis and recommendations. The Atlantic Council, its partners, and funders do not determine, nor do they
necessarily endorse or advocate for, any of this report’s particular conclusions.
This report is a recounting of discussions that took place at NATO YP Day 2015 among sixty participants. As such, the ideas and
conclusions presented in this report cannot be attributed to any individual participant, as they represent only a snapshot of the
opinions of all participants, which vary widely and are not all represented in this document.
April 2015
Young Professionals Day 2015 was generously supported by
NATO Allied Command Transformation.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Part 1. Event overview......................................................................................................................................4
Part 2. Discussion Outcomes: Strategic Priorities and Recommendations............................................ 5
NATO’s Strategic Perspective: Rising Challenges in the East .................................................................................................. 5
NATO’s Strategic Perspective: Rising Challenges in NATO’s South–North Africa and the Middle East.................. 7
Preparing NATO to Meet Its Ambitions...............................................................................................................................................9
Innovation as a Game Changer for the Alliance............................................................................................................................ 10
Hybrid Warfare and Its Implications for NATO...............................................................................................................................12
Part 3. Key Takeaways and Common Themes.............................................................................................14
Joint Measures within NATO.................................................................................................................................................................. 14
Adoption of Best Practices from Innovative Organizations .....................................................................................................15
Further Integration with Other International Organizations and the Private Sector......................................................15
Improved Strategic Communications.................................................................................................................................................15
ANNEX. Design Thinking and Concept Posters ........................................................................................16
“How Might We” Questions................................................................................................................................................................... 16
The Creative Matrix.................................................................................................................................................................................... 16
The Importance-Difficulty Matrix.........................................................................................................................................................17
Concept Posters and Presentations....................................................................................................................................................17
ATLANTIC COUNCIL	 4
•	 The role of innovation in the Alliance
•	 Hybrid warfare and its implications for NATO
Delegates participated in a series of dynamic activities
and visualization exercises to produce over five
hundred unique ideas, which were then honed and
developed into fifteen recommendations. These
recommendations took the form of “concept posters”
which were presented at the end of YP Day to a panel of
senior experts. A complete and detailed description of
the exercises as well as the images of each group’s
concept posters can be found in the annex (Design
Thinking and Concept Posters) of this report.
Throughout the day, participants engaged with peers
from around the world and senior thought leaders
assigned to their working groups. The day opened with
remarks from NATO-ACT Deputy Chief of Staff for
Strategic Plans and Policy, Brigadier General Matthew
L. Brand, and a keynote address from NATO Supreme
Allied Commander Transformation General Jean-Paul
Paloméros, who issued the delegates’ call-to-action—to
produce innovative ideas that advance NATO’s mission
in the evolving, modern global security environment.
PART 1. EVENT OVERVIEW
ACT Young Professionals Day (YP Day) is an annual,
solutions-oriented exercise hosted by NATO Allied
Command Transformation (ACT) alongside the NATO
Transformation Seminar (NTS). This year’s event was
hosted in partnership with the Atlantic Council in
Washington, DC, and built on the success of the
previous three YP Day events by convening sixty rising
leaders, aged thirty-five and under, from across the
NATO Alliance. The goal of YP Day 2015 was to engage
the next generation of leaders in the process of
producing creative and practical solutions to key
NATO challenges.
To facilitate the development of innovative solutions,
the Atlantic Council coordinated a full-day “Design
Thinking” exercise designed to unleash the partici-
pants’ creativity. Design Thinking is an innovative
system for generating creative solutions to complex
challenges through understanding the needs, behav-
iors, and context of relevant stakeholders. It encourages
collaboration and diverse perspectives, while offering
concrete techniques that translate innovation from an
abstract art into a linear and replicable process. More
information on the Design Thinking exercises can be
found in the annex.
Over the course of YP Day, participants utilized these
techniques, which were modified to fit the transatlantic
context. They used specialized tools to rapidly develop
and explore potential solutions to the challenges facing
NATO, with the goal of producing a list of concrete
recommendations for NATO decision-makers by the end
of the event. The event took the format of working
group discussions—all sixty participants were divided
into five groups of twelve, each tasked with a different
challenge set from the following list:
•	 Rising challenges in NATO’s east
•	 Rising challenges in NATO’s south
•	 Preparing NATO to meet its ambitions and deliver on
the promises of the 2014 Wales Summit
YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY FINAL REPORT 2015
Supreme Allied Commander Transformation General Jean-
Paul Paloméros addresses delegates.
5	 ATLANTIC COUNCIL
YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT
Recommended Actions:
1.	 Increase and adjust NATO policy and
interoperability to further cooperation
The presentation focused on spending NATO’s
money more effectively. Participants proposed a
twenty-year timeline of financial-cooperation
escalation, with joint research and development
(R&D) and technology funding in five years, target
spending areas for members in fifteen years, and
joint procurement in twenty years. Some major
challenges to this proposal were deemed to be
sovereignty concerns, protests from military
production firms, and the varying desires and
requirements of specific militaries. However, the
group determined that there were also myriad
benefits to this strategy, including saving
resources over the long run, avoiding duplication,
deployment of the best technologies, efficient
resource use, interoperability, and mission-fo-
cused investment.
The group concluded that, while profits would
remain the main driver of the military-industrial
complex, the creation of transatlantic military-in-
dustrial champions—“super-contractors,” or
transatlantic contractor associations with
enforced common standards—would account for
the scope and commonality needed for economies
of scale. This would lead to a decrease in the
number of platforms, and reduce duplication of
efforts and materials. The reduction in platforms
would make logistics easier, as fewer types of
parts would require distribution. Moreover, this
reduction in platforms would automatically
ensure interoperability between hardware. The
transatlantic military-industrial champions would
then have the capacity to channel multiple states’
R&D spending into the priorities of their clients,
while serving the interests of NATO.
A final, serious issue that NATO must face is
parochialism, which remains a major concern in
defense contracting. In order for these reforms to
succeed, there needs to be a commitment to open
bidding across the Alliance by defense contractors
for all NATO contracts. This may help to avoid
protests from the military-industrial complex and
assuage fears that large American and British
defense contractors could dominate the process.
In addition, some form of commitment that no
single company can hold more than a certain
proportion of contracts (e.g., 20-25 percent) would
stop the process from being dominated by one or
two of the largest companies.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
The exercise concluded with presentations by each
group to a panel of senior NATO officials, who provided
constructive feedback on each proposal, which was
then incorporated into this final report. The next
section of this report provides details of each groups’
recommendations.
PART 2. DISCUSSION OUTCOMES:
STRATEGIC PRIORITIES AND
RECOMMENDATIONS
NATO’s Strategic Perspective:
Rising Challenges in the East
This group focused on NATO’s strategic perspective
regarding rising challenges on its eastern flank. They
were encouraged to consider the strategic context in
which NATO operates, the political and military
implications for the Alliance, and its broader strategic
concept and political guidance.
Discussion centered largely on Ukraine and Russia and
focused simultaneously on ensuring NATO’s collective
security, defending the values of NATO countries, and
attempting to avoid military escalation. Significant
debate centered on NATO’s inherent mission and how
its response to the Ukraine crisis should depend on
whether NATO is a values-based organization or merely
a collective security alliance. After debate and analysis
with its senior mentor, the group came up with the
following.
Strategic priorities/objectives in the form of ques-
tions beginning “how might we. . .”:
•	 Pose a greater viable conventional military deterrent?
•	 Forge a consensus among NATO members of NATO
threats?
•	 Address nonconventional threats in the east?
•	 More effectively coordinate with other organizations?
The three main presentations chose to focus on
clusters of the best ideas chosen from the Impor-
tance-Difficulty Matrix. These suggestions were to
increase and adjust NATO policy and interoperability to
further cooperation, focus on areas of common interest
with Russia, and increase NATO’s military readiness
and military cooperation.
ATLANTIC COUNCIL	 6
YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT
3.	 Increase NATO’s military readiness and
military cooperation
The presentation focused on deterrence and
reassurance, and advocated a permanent rotation
of military troops. This policy would solve the
problem of western NATO members preferring a
rotational presence in Eastern Europe, whilst
eastern members want permanent deployments. It
would achieve the permanent buy-in of western
allies, along with the provision of continued
reassurance to NATO’s eastern allies. To accom-
plish this, the participants suggested easing
restrictions on the transportation of NATO troops
and equipment, and exploring multinational
funding. During this permanent rotation, national
troops would operate under the NATO command
structure, thereby increasing deterrence and
interoperability benefits, and, most importantly,
improving battle readiness.
In addition, it was decided that the Alliance should
reconsider the deployment of a ballistic-
missile-defense system in Poland and the Czech
Republic, as originally envisioned. This would
bring a degree of greater comfort, particularly to
Poland, that the Alliance will remain committed to
the defense of Eastern European members.
Further, NATO should clarify that it will not only
maintain its current tactical nuclear doctrine, but
it will also upgrade those capacities to assure
their deterrent value. This upgrade should be
clearly articulated as a response to any aggression
toward existing NATO members.
Transportation by air seemed to be the method
that would face the lowest hurdles. Therefore, the
aim would be to transport as much equipment and
as many troops as possible by air. If a participating
country does not have the necessary airlifting
capabilities, then these should be provided by
NATO for this task. Of course, some equipment—
such as explosives, heavy armored units, and
artillery—might be difficult to transport by air, so
the restrictions for transportation on the ground
would also need to be loosened for this particular
NATO permanent rotation.
The group concluded that a legislative solution
might also be possible. Pressure could be put on
national governments to pass legislation that
permits freer movement of NATO-assigned troops
through Europe. Given the current threat climate,
such legislation might be quite easy to pass. It
would also provide a strengthening function for
the Alliance, implying that member states trust
2.	 Focus on areas of common interest with Russia
The presentation stated the importance of
adhering to NATO’s original mission of collective
security for its members. A point was made that
Russia’s actions in Ukraine cannot be automati-
cally assumed to predict any future actions it
might take with an actual NATO ally; thus, the
presentation suggested that NATO avoid inter-
vening in the Ukraine crisis altogether.
When assessing the situation in Ukraine and
wider relations with Russia, the group decided
that it was important to step back and consider
the security situation more broadly. NATO has
interests in areas where Russia can play a role,
such as Iran, North Korea, and Syria. While peace
in Europe is paramount, it was concluded that
NATO must balance its desire to roll back the
Russian position in Ukraine with its desire to
prevent further escalation in Europe.
A direct conflict between NATO and Russia would
lead to greater insecurity in Europe in the near
future. Participants cited a consensus among
NATO allies that collective security only applies to
NATO members. They also pointed out that this
strategy would allow for much greater coopera-
tion opportunities between NATO and Russia,
NATO and the European Union (EU), and the EU
and Russia. The points of cooperation might
include: violent extremism, Iran, Afghanistan,
proliferation of WMDs, massive migration, trade,
and energy policy.
The group reasoned that a pullout of Ukraine
could be accomplished if NATO takes actions that
are reassuring to the existing members of NATO,
particularly with regard to military readiness and
cooperation. The key would be to maintain robust
communication within NATO and to maintain, and
in certain cases amplify, its deterrent capacity for
current members. Additionally, all efforts would
be made to avoid public relations debacles, such as
the recent one in which the American President
did not meet with the NATO Secretary General.
A pullout of Ukraine, without a robust deterrence
policy for existing members, would certainly lead
to a “loss of face.” However, the group concluded
that the key is to leave no ambiguity for Russia. If
NATO does not expand east, Russia must not move
to destabilize present NATO members. A robust
expansion of deterrent capacities to reinforce that
deal should avoid losing face, at least as it pertains
specifically to NATO.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
7	 ATLANTIC COUNCIL
YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT
•	 Ensure peaceful development and use of energy in the
eastern Mediterranean?
The three main presentations chose to focus on clusters
of the best ideas chosen from the Importance-Difficulty
Matrix. The clusters were: focus on social media as part
of a more effective communications strategy, attempt
to address local issues more effectively, cooperate with
other NATO members to increase on-the-ground
capabilities, and increase NATO’s ability to mobilize
special forces among member states.
Recommended Actions:
1.	 Focus on social media as part of a more effective
communications strategy
The presentation focused on a new umbrella
communications initiative for NATO, which
included: public diplomacy; strategic communica-
tion; partnering with local actors; identifying
young, tech-savvy local leaders to engage in social
media campaigns; and rural-outreach programs.
NATO ACT could sponsor a Young Professionals
Day for social-media leaders in NATO member
countries, such as Turkey, Germany, and Greece,
and partner countries, such as Qatar, Kuwait,
Morocco, and Tunisia. The Young Professionals
Day could be structured as an opportunity for
NATO social-media innovation that promotes
understanding of NATO’s mandate and role in the
region. The outcomes of effectively implementing
engagement with young, tech-savvy leaders in key
countries in the region would include: increasing
legitimacy with greater transparency, new local
perspectives, hampering enemy recruitment, and
expanding strategic partnerships that foster an
increased understanding and appreciation of
NATO’s mission.
An overall strategic-communication narrative is
imperative to establishing NATO’s stated goal.
Such a message should communicate the shared,
fundamental values necessary for NATO partner-
ship: the right to life, freedom of thought, freedom
of expression, freedom of the press, and freedom
of information and knowledge. However, targeted
messaging would be more effective when taking
into consideration the many cultural and regional
differences that are present in NATO’s south. A
combination of locally targeted messaging, with a
consistent overarching narrative, would present
NATO as open and transparent in its strategic
goals for the region. The goal should be “a narra-
tive to the moderate minds of the region, not to
the moderate Muslims of the region.”
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
each other to transport troops across member-
state borders.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
Senior Mentor: Dr. Alina Polyakova, Associate Director, Dinu
Patriciu Eurasia Center, Atlantic Council
Rapporteur: John-Daniel Kelley, Intern, Atlantic Council
Delegates: Ms. Emma Ashford, Visiting Fellow, Defense and
Foreign Policy, Cato Institute; Mr. Thomas Desmet, Intern, Em-
bassy of Belgium; Mr. Boris Ecker, Trans-Atlantic Diplomatic
Fellow, US Department of State; Ms. Katja Gersak, Co-Found-
er, Regional Dialogue; Mr. Peter Hunya, National Security In-
tern, The McCain Institute; Mr. Shant Krikorian, Research As-
sociate, Center for Strategic International Studies; Mr. Greg
Lawson, Policy Analyst, The Buckeye Institute; Ms. Michelle
Lillie, RA/TA to Former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright,
Georgetown University; Mr. Joshua Noonan, Presidential Man-
agement Fellow, US Department of Housing and Urban De-
velopment; Ms. Sandra Ovcinikova, Legal Research Fellow,
International Bar Association; Ms. Algirde Pipikaite, Head of
International Practice, Fabiani & Company; Ms. Lenka Schrop-
ferova, Transatlantic Diplomatic Fellow, US Department of
State
NATO’s Strategic Perspective: Rising
Challenges in NATO’s South–North Africa
and the Middle East
This group focused on NATO’s strategic perspective
with rising challenges on its southern flank—North
Africa and the Middle East. It was also encouraged to
consider the strategic context in which NATO operates,
the political and military implications for the Alliance,
its strategic concept, and its political guidance.
In discussion, this group often found itself reacting to
events in the east, and concluded that events in Ukraine
and Russia were very important to how NATO should
proceed in the south. It was decided that NATO must
focus on being more proactive in the south, improving
public opinion there and using local issues and advan-
tages to address larger problems. In other words, NATO
must balance micro and macro issues in the region. An
important conclusion was that progress will stem from
a “ground-up” approach, winning the hearts and minds
of the people first. After debate and analysis with its
senior mentor, the group came up with the following.
Strategic priorities/objectives in the form of ques-
tions beginning “how might we. . .”:
•	 Demonstrate NATO’s relevance for local populations in
the MENA region?
•	 Address transnational organized crime?
•	 Ensure human security across NATO’s borders?
ATLANTIC COUNCIL	 8
YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT
group’s timeline for such a structural reform
aimed for full operationalization by 2018.  
These proposed forces would have the ability to
provide a tailored response for situations that do
not require full military force. With the concept of
war changing rapidly, the response to acts of war
must also change. For the Team NATO proposal to
can gain consensus, partner states must under-
stand that this responsibility for providing equal
protection is shared. Operationally, Team NATO
responses can be determined by the states that
are actively participating in the team at any given
time; as these are rotating terms, the consensus
will come from a smaller participating group.
While Team NATO is not meant to be south-spe-
cific, it is tailored to handle the region’s unique,
emerging threats.
Team NATO would have the ability to specialize in
combating nonstate actors and transnational
crime. Given the small size and specialized nature
of Team NATO, it would be able to serve the
interests of NATO countries without a declaration
of war. Given the proposal for shared training and
intelligence, the participants would only come
from NATO countries, and would only protect the
interests of said states. Intelligence information
must be closely held, and would serve as a way to
build stronger trust and partnerships among
NATO states.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
Senior Mentor: Dr. Lisa Aronsson, Visiting Fellow, Brent Scow-
croft Center on International Security/RUSI, Atlantic Council
Rapporteur: Miriam Thorne, Intern, Atlantic Council
Delegates: Mr. Isaac Black, Intelligence Analyst, US Depart-
ment of State; Mr. Kemp Gouldin, Sales and Marketing Direc-
tor, Sakhr Software USA, inc; Ms. Stephanie Hammond, Policy
Advisor, Conflicts and Disasters, World Vision U.S.; Mr. Jean
Heilbronn, Political Advisor, EU NAVFOR Operation Atlanta;
Ms. Teuta Ismaili, Lecturer, Indiana University in Bloomington;
Ms. Maura James, Independent Researcher; Mr. Nicklas Jans-
ler, Graduate Student, Institute of World Politics; Mr. Nikolas
Katsimpras; Lecturer, Columbia University; Ms. Carola Los Ar-
cos, Graduate Student, Georgetown University; Mr. Emre Tun-
calp, Managing Partner, Sidar Global Advisers; Ms. Amanda
Williams, Senior Analyst, Aveshka Inc.
2.	 Address local issues more effectively and
cooperate with other NATO members to
increase on-the-ground capabilities
The presentation focused on a strategic vision
for a more connected NATO community. This
included suggestions of policies centered on
collective interdependence that reinforced the
idea that individual challenges have nonlinear
repercussions throughout the Alliance. This would
result in greater resonance of NATO’s relevance
with its southern allies. It would also allow NATO
to develop and harness political capital with
emerging nontraditional partners in the Middle
East and North Africa (MENA) region. Benefits
would include further local inclusion, respect of
core values, local ownership of shared solutions,
and more open channels for proactive engage-
ment.
One example of a collectively interdependent
policy is a potential immigration policy. While
standards can be set across the Alliance that are
in line with core values, member states can also
share resources to address migration from NATO’s
south and redistribute the burden placed on
NATO’s southern border. By engaging with
member states such as Greece, Italy, and Spain,
which have established military protocol in
regards to migration, the Alliance can use immi-
gration policy to bolster goodwill within NATO’s
southern borders and strengthen defenses
without. This policy could be crafted in such a way
as to utilize NATO’s traditional military capabili-
ties, while also providing an opportunity for
targeted marketing and branding aimed at
engaging with NATO’s southern populations.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
3.	 Increase NATO’s ability to mobilize special
forces among NATO member states
The presentation focused on a new and reformed
NATO military structure, which participants
dubbed “Team NATO.” This structure features
joint training of armed forces, one common
headquarters, shared intelligence, special opera-
tions fitness (SOF) exercises, smaller active
rotational membership, and voting rights to be
determined upon active participatory status.
These teams could even be pre-deployed in
certain theaters among sympathetic states. The
detailed benefits to this structure include local
knowledge, pre-deployment, higher military tech,
responsibility sharing, and the ability for quick
and specialized responses to nonstate actors. The
9	 ATLANTIC COUNCIL
YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT
2.	 Increase NATO interoperability and expand and
intensify NATO’s strategic partnerships
The presentation focused on increasing NATO’s
nonmilitary capabilities. This included creating a
“center of excellence at NATO,” focusing on energy,
tech, and health, as well as bringing in new
partners (such as private industry), and setting up
NATO-sponsored NGOs to address specific threats
and opportunities. The results would be increased
public interest, twenty-first-century approaches,
new partners and new ideas, new audiences, and
increased efforts for a sustainable mission.
The group concluded that energy security should
be a priority for the Alliance. Several pipeline
projects are ongoing between the European Union
and Eurasia, trying to create an alternative to the
Russian South Stream project. Still, some
European countries show resistance to the strong
energy ties with Russia’s Gazprom and Lukoil. By
leveraging its political tools, such as the Enhanced
Opportunities Partnership (EOP) platform, NATO
could enhance its partnerships with countries
from Eastern Europe, Caucasus, and Central Asia,
such as Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, Azerbaijan,
Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
3.	 Address public-diplomacy concerns
The presentation focused on enhancing NATO’s
reputation and recruitment among a vast majority
of member nations’ populations. This would be
achieved in a couple of ways. The first would be to
fund an effort to produce informative documenta-
ries or films about NATO’s mission, in order to
increase interest in NATO. The second would be to
mirror the Model United Nations program that has
worked successfully over the last few decades, and
create model NATOs throughout NATO member
states. This would involve NATO speakers visiting
high schools and universities and taking NATO
students to visit NATO installations, developing
interest in the Alliance starting in primary schools
and continuing all the way up to the professional
level.
For NATO to meet its twenty-first-century chal-
lenges, it is imperative to engender a spirit of
support for the Alliance and its mission in the
citizenry. What emboldens the foundation of
NATO is the unified allegiance to a set of princi-
ples, the defense of which is absolute. Through a
concerted public diplomacy effort, an unprece-
dented understanding of NATO’s historic legacy,
Preparing NATO to Meet Its Ambitions
This group focused on NATO meeting its strategic
ambitions. Participants were encouraged to prioritize
the capabilities and corresponding investments
required to address current and future threats,
and to better leverage multinational cooperation
and partnering.
Before expanding in scope, the discussion initially
focused heavily on budget concerns. Main topics
included the overhaul of defense spending and capabili-
ties, as well as how to increase NATO interoperability,
meet the Wales Summit commitments, expand and
intensify NATO’s strategic partnerships, confront
regional threats, and address public-diplomacy
concerns. After debate and analysis with its senior
mentor, the group came up with the following.
Strategic priorities/objectives in the form of ques-
tions beginning “how might we. . .”:
•	 Simultaneously address the eastern and southern
flanks?
•	 Incentivize the 2 percent defense spending
requirement?
•	 Address nonmilitary transnational threats?
•	 Increase public support for NATO?
The three main presentations chose to focus on
clusters of the best ideas chosen from the Impor-
tance-Difficulty Matrix. The clusters were: boosting
and overhauling defense spending, increasing NATO
interoperability and expanding NATO’s strategic
partnerships, and addressing public-diplomacy
concerns.
Recommended Actions:
1.	 Overhaul defense spending and capabilities
The presentation focused on being more efficient
with NATO funds. The group suggested more
spending in less-traditional areas, such as science,
tech, and health. Participants thought that a
slightly broader definition would make it easier
for individual countries to meet their NATO
spending requirements. The benefits would
include greater EU employment, greater regional
health, and an improved industrial policy.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
ATLANTIC COUNCIL	 10
YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT
due to the volume of threats facing the Alliance, from a
range of actors in different domains. The military
superiority that NATO has gained through technolog-
ical innovation and operational coordination is no
longer sufficient to deter these actors. The group
decided that NATO’s problem isn’t in the generation of
innovative ideas, but in their implementation. The
group concluded that NATO is not a corporate entity,
and must overcome its consensus-based structure in
order to be “innovative” and “agile.” After debate and
analysis with its senior mentor, the group came up with
the following.
Strategic priorities/objectives in the form of ques-
tions beginning “how might we. . .”:
•	 Measure and improve innovation and effectiveness?
•	 Manage innovation across twenty-eight member
states?
•	 Work with partners?
•	 Promote process innovation and product innovation?
The three main presentations chose to focus on clusters
of the best ideas chosen from the Importance-Difficulty
Matrix. The clusters were: focus on increasing innova-
tion among NATO personnel and increasing
experimentation; improve the generation and actual
implementation of innovative ideas; and create an
innovative solution to counteract declines in defense
spending and lack of investment in R&D.
Recommended Actions:
1.	 Reduce NATO’s risk aversion and increase
experimentation
The presentation focused on a hypothetical
program called the “NATO Innovative People
Interchange (NIPI).” This program would feature
exchange programs between NATO, academia, and
the private sector. The goal would be to facilitate
the exchange of ideas and best practices. It would
also feature virtual conferences, “hack-a-thons,”
tech incubators, and a big-data analytics relay. The
benefits would include the creation of new
perspectives for NATO, new collaboration and idea
generation, and a deeper understanding and
appreciation for NATO from a broader base of
stakeholders.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
impact, operations, mechanisms, and purview for
the future can be realized for member states’
citizens.
Public interaction with NATO will compel Alliance
citizens to comprehend the vision and value of
NATO, which will likely result in increased
support for NATO in domestic political deci-
sion-making. This support would potentially
resolve such issues as the insufficiency of
2 percent defense contributions. Many states have
yet to meet that commitment, due not so much to
budget constraints as to a lack of political will.
With the vigorous backing of public goodwill,
NATO will thrive in its mission to meet the new
challenges it faces.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
Senior Mentor: Mr. Ian Brzezinski, Resident Senior Fellow,
Brent Scowcroft Center of International Security, Atlantic
Council
Rapporteur: Robbie Gramer, Assistant Director, Transatlantic
Security Initiative
Delegates: Mr. Suleyman Aslami, Student, Netherlands Atlan-
tic Youth; Ms. Michelle Barton, Media and Digital Communica-
tions Specialist, US Mission to NATO; Mr. Borut Blaj, Diplomat,
Embassy of Slovenia; Ms. Elena Cesca, Parliamentary Assis-
tant, Italy’s Delegation to the NATO Parliamentary Assembly;
Mr. Pavan Chima, Senior Adviser, British Diplomatic Service;
Mr. Julio Gutiérrez-Tirado, Consular Assistant, Embassy of
Spain; Mr. Ludwig Jung, Consultant, World Bank; Mr. Joseph
Moyer, MGMT Consultant, Deloitte Consulting; Mr. Nicola Na-
suti, Consultant, NATO; Ms. Mira Patel, MBA Candidate, the
Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania; Mr. Erhan Sirt,
Prime Ministry Expert, Turkish Prime Ministry; Mr. Daniel Sul-
livan, Gabr Foundation Ambassador, The Shafik Gabr Foun-
dation
Innovation as a Game Changer for the
Alliance
This group focused on “innovation as a game changer”
for the Alliance by optimizing allied reinvestment
pledges and formulating NATO’s innovation roadmap.
The group was encouraged to consider how best to use
increased investments (“2/20 pledges”) and innovation
to ensure that NATO is prepared to meet current and
future challenges.
A large part of the discussion focused on ways to halt
the defense-spending decline among NATO allies.
Throughout the discussion, three major types of
innovation were identified: “technical,” “process,” and
“application/operational.” The group determined that
NATO is risk averse by nature, which can hamper
innovation. Innovation is more crucial now than ever,
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Competitive pay is a requirement, along with the
pre-scouting of leading industry members and
discussions aligning these CEO-ships at NATO
with intended/planned sabbaticals of interested
parties.
The Diversity Payoff: This is an official staff-of-
ficer exchange program, reciprocated by the home
organization. The staffer exchanged from the
home organization would take up a temporary
assignmentat a new workplace. A NATO staff
officer with a similar portfolio would then be
exchanged with the home staffer, such as a World
Bank staff-level official, for a year-long tour. This
exchange is a political deliverable that also brings
expertise and innovation from the bottom up, and
could be presented at the Warsaw Summit.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
3.	 Halt the defense-spending decline among
NATO allies through creation of an “innovation
platform” and common fund
The presentation focused on creating an “innova-
tion platform” or common fund for capabilities
development. The fund would build on the Wales
Summit declaration to spend 2 percent of GDP on
defense by dedicating a subset of allied defense
dollars to a common NATO fund. The fund would
also allow additional national contributions based
on interest, similar to current Smart Defense
projects, and could also feature private funding.
The expected benefits would include the increase
of NATO-wide investments in long-term capabili-
ties building, improvement of NATO’s agility
against challenges, and development of technolog-
ical innovation. This project and its technology
outputs could be promoted by the NATO brand to
increase its attractiveness to investors and
consumers.
To create consensus for the capabilities-develop-
ment platform, NATO ACT could present the
innovation platform concept to the NAC as a
potential Warsaw Summit deliverable specifically
as a NATO common fund, to augment current
defense planning and capability development
processes and ensure that allies meet their
defense-spending commitments. Over the next
several months, this concept would be discussed,
developed, and agreed on among allies, for
inclusion in the summit declaration.
If member-state proponents of the new innovation
platform are identified early on, the concept could
also take the form of a Smart Defense proposal.
2.	 Improve process for taking innovative ideas
and actually implementing them
The presentation focused on a structural rejuve-
nation and reinvigoration of NATO leadership and
hierarchy. This would be achieved through two
separate programs. The first would be called the
“CEO Dividend.” It would involve creating NATO
“Innovation CEOs” from leading innovative
companies such as Google. The goal would be to
identify innovation gaps within NATO, where
these CEOs would have appropriate advisory
capacity to implement and suggest innovative
ideas.
The second program would be called the “Diver-
sity Payoff,” and would feature exchange
programs at the different levels between NATO,
the EU, the World Bank, and other leading interna-
tional and global organizations. This would
increase cooperation and address complex issues
by applying multiple lenses of analysis and
experience. Other potential partners could
include, but are not limited to, the Organization
for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE),
the United Nations, the Association of Southeast
Asian Nations (ASEAN), and the African Union.
The CEO Dividend: There are already short-term
positions at NATO, such as the Internship Program
and Consultants, for nationals of the twenty-eight
allies. These positions are funded for and by the
twenty-eight countries from the Common Budget.
The CEO Dividend would be a similar program,
and while top CEOs are unlikely to join, creative
mid-level managers may be able to do so. The
six-month term positions would entail a five-
month-long “embedded” program in Brussels,
where the CEOs would spend time directly in the
front offices of the Assistant Secretaries General
(ASGs), the private office of the Secretary General
and the North Atlantic Council’s (NAC) secre-
tariat, and staff-officer-level offices. This
immersion would allow bottom-up and top-down
views of NATO. National missions could also be
included, extending the five-month period with
direct funding by the mission. The CEOs would
then have a period of four weeks to reflect,
analyze, and prepare a presentation on suggested
changes, which would then be presented to the
NAC in closed sessions. The CEOs would have to go
through security clearances and sign nondisclo-
sure agreements. If the program is successful at
the political-civilian level, then it can be extended
into the military structure in the future.
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through the innovation platform.
•	 Public-private partnership with NATO would
enhance branding for affiliated corporations and
name recognition for smaller startups.
To govern private-sector investments, one could
extend the mission of the NATO Science and
Technology Organization to monitor startups and
other projects under an “innovation umbrella.” A
possible model for the implementation of this idea
could be the co-funding model, in which NATO and
private partners share the costs and risks of
investments in R&D projects from the beginning.
An alternative would be the seed-funding model,
where NATO initially supports promising tech-
nology projects for a limited amount of time, until
they have reach a developmental stage in which
they are attractive for venture capitalists or
business angels. Thus, NATO could actively push
forward and promote technologies of high rele-
vance for its fields of action.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
Senior Mentor: Dr. Daniel Y. Chiu, Deputy Director, Brent
Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council
Rapporteur: Alex Ward, Assistant Director, Brent Scowcroft
Center on International Security, Atlantic Council
Delegates: Mr. Mik Bodnar, International Cooperation Spe-
cialist, DARPA; Ms. Merah Baird, Regional Strategy Analyst,
Department of Defense–DSCA; Mr. David Fan, Assistant Vice
President, Deutsche Bank; Mr. Balazs Martonffy, PhD Candi-
date, American University; Mr. Andrew Polich, Congressional
Relations Assistant, US Institute of Peace; Mr. Diego Scarabel-
li, Intern, NATO; Mr. Richard Schmidt, Chief Engineer, Airbus
Defense and Space; Mr. Boyan Stanoev, Consultant, Inter-
national Finance Corporation, World Bank Group; Ms. Judit
Vásárhelyi–Kondor, Associate, Spitzberg Partners
Hybrid Warfare and its Implications
for NATO
This group focused on hybrid warfare and its implica-
tions for NATO. The group was encouraged to analyze
hybrid and asymmetric warfare, NATO’s capabilities,
and the utility of its partnerships.
The early discussion focused on how to best define
“hybrid.” It was determined that hybrid warfare
contained many aspects of warfare across a full
spectrum. There were several main topics discussed,
including cyber warfare, misinformation, and
preparing the battlespace using nonmilitary means in
order to create a more advantageous environment for
military action. The group decided that it takes
networks to fight networks, and that NATO should
Lead nations could outline the following advan-
tages when discussing this concept with other
allies:
•	 They would gain access to more diverse ideas
and innovations.
•	 The innovations could be shared among the
members through NATO-wide distribution of the
results of studies and concepts.
•	 Member states would not be overtaken by the
technologies of civil companies. Using this kind of
forum, members would have access of spreading
critical technologies across the Alliance.
•	 Specific research could be initiated in
interoperability and standards, which is relevant
for all members.
The implementation of the innovation platform
concept could also take the following forms:
•	 The concept could be borrowed from projects
like the International Space Station (ISS). As with
the ISS, each nation could focus on specializing in
a particular “module” or concept that is relevant
to NATO as a whole.
•	 A NATO Steering Group on innovation could
be founded—or created as a subcommittee of
the Defense Policy and Planning Committee,
Partnerships and Cooperative Security
Committee, or Conference of National
Armaments Directors—with representation that
is proportional to the amount a member spends.
In order to promote the idea of an innovation
platform to private partners or venture capital-
ists, this concept could be presented in the NATO
Industry Forum for feedback and further refine-
ment. In this process, the following aspects should
be emphasized to highlight the added value for
private partners:
•	 As NATO would be sponsoring high-risk/high-
reward startups, companies would benefit from
buying in early. The Boston Dynamics case and
Google are examples of this benefit.
•	 Venture capitalists could join in for companies
that produce dual-use goods that are also
relevant for the civil market (e.g., autonomous
cars, robots, machine learning, technologies for
protecting critical infrastructure, cybersecurity
solutions etc.). NATO could formalize its
approach to the study of dual-use technologies
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strategic communicators must study and demar-
cate audiences, identify behavioral and attitudinal
goals, design and disseminate targeted content,
and assess to what degree those goals are being
met. A common component of hybrid warfare is
the persistent dissemination of disinformation,
aimed at fomenting sympathy or weakening
opposition toward adversarial actions. Ensuring
audiences are resistant to such efforts is the
primary purpose of the friendly strategic-commu-
nications effort. Accrued credibility, associated
with an ongoing, well-executed strategic commu-
nications effort, can deter these adversarial
attempts. NATO should coordinate multinational
intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance
(ISR) efforts to infuse strong situational aware-
ness of audience behaviors and attitudes into
strategic-communications audience analysis and
assessment.
A narrative is a story explaining past events while
suggesting a particular set of future outcomes.
The narrative ultimately manifests itself in the
actions of the individuals to whom it was targeted.
The individuals can range from a separatist
fighter in eastern Ukraine to a Pashtun farmer to a
Boston voter. NATO’s narrative might aim to prime
these distinct groups, such that they will be more
receptive to specific messaging aimed at influ-
encing behaviors and attitudes relevant to specific
issues. For the above examples, respectively, these
might include inducements to abandon combat,
incentives to report illegal activities, and educa-
tion of the benefits of NATO in the United States.
While these are diverse audiences targeted with
vastly different messages, for these specific
actions to have the desired impact, NATO must
have the credibility associated with a resilient,
enduring narrative.
The narrative itself is a singular concept, with
issue- and region-specific details nesting within it.
With the speed of information diffusion in the
“information age,” attempts to compartmentalize
these conceptualizations of history and the future
will be met with a loss of credibility. NATO can add
significant value in this area by eliminating
information fratricide from member states that
might be portraying history differently from one
another and, in turn, extrapolating slightly
different futures. A coordinated strategic-commu-
nications effort at the NATO level can leverage
the diversity of NATO member states to overcome
cultural myopias inherent to a single-state
perspective.
investigate the option of combating hybrid threats with
its own hybrid capabilities. Another popular topic was
whether hybrid attacks would or should invoke
Article 5. After debate and analysis with its senior
mentor, the group came up with the following.
Strategic priorities/objectives in the form of ques-
tions beginning “how might we. . .”:
•	 close the intelligence gap between the hybrid activities
we know are happening and those we don’t, which
are already actively “preparing the battlespace” by
creating unstable environments?
•	 Deter and prevent hybrid attacks?
•	 Respond to hybrid attacks?
•	 Develop offensive hybrid capabilities?
The three main presentations chose to focus on
clusters of the best ideas chosen from the Impor-
tance-Difficulty Matrix. The clusters were: build
member unity, solidarity and consensus on what counts
as “hybrid,” address hybrid vulnerabilities in order to
command the narrative, and focus on cyber threats, as
well as enhance offensive cyber capabilities.
Recommended Actions:
1.	 Build member unity, solidarity, and consensus
on what counts as “hybrid”
The presentation focused on building a consensus
within the Alliance regarding hybrid threats.
Participants determined that a political consensus
was required first, followed by a greater integra-
tion of the Alliance’s military capabilities. They
suggested that setting up a NATO working group
on the use of hybrid warfare, both by adversaries
and NATO members, could provide a basis for
further consensus within the Alliance. The goal
was to achieve cohesion at the operational,
tactical, strategic, and political levels, which the
group concluded would be more effective in
fending off hybrid threats.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
2.	 Shore up hybrid vulnerabilities among
member nations that would allow adversaries
to “prepare the battlespace,” or create
advantageous conditions, especially in strategic
communication, education, and controlling the
public narrative
The presentation outlined central tenants of the
standing strategic-communications doctrine.
With an aim of commanding the narrative, NATO
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Needless to say, purely offensive cyber capabilities
would support NATO’s conventional forces,
empower most of the intelligence operations,
and help exploit the hybrid-warfare field as its
adversaries do. It is even easier for NATO-allied
countries to cooperate on offensive cyber capabili-
ties, as the physical requirement of redeploying
forces does not apply to cyber warriors in many
cases. However, a unified command structure for
cyber operations would be required to coordinate
the efforts and direct its operations in a timely
manner.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
Senior Mentor: Hon. Franklin D. Kramer, Atlantic Council
Board Member
Rapporteur: Daniel Bennett, Assistant Director, Millennium
Leadership Program, Atlantic Council
Delegates: Mr. Zack Bazzi, Co-Founder, TentEd; Ms. Hanne
Bursch, Program Specialist, US Institute of Peace; Mr. Sinan
Eraydin, Graduate Student, George Washington University;
Mr. John-Paul Gravelines, Graduate Student, Virginia Poly-
technic University; Ms. Whitney Grespin, Director of Interna-
tional Relations, Precision Integrated Programs; Ms. Katherine
Kranz Jordan, Master of Law and Diplomacy Candidate, the
Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University; Ms.
Lina Karklina,Research Associate, Center for European Anal-
ysis; Mr. James Kirchick, Fellow, Foreign Policy Initiative; Ms.
Sarah Lohschelder, Legal Research Associate, Public Interna-
tional Law and Policy Group; Mr. Dorin Munteanu, Research
Associate, Center for European Analysis; Mr. Camille Vaillon,
Consultant, World Bank; Mr. Damien Van Puyvelde, Assistant
Professor of Security Studies, University of Texas at El Paso
PART 3. KEY TAKEAWAYS AND
COMMON THEMES
Over the course of the event, a number of common
themes emerged from every group’s discussions and
suggestions. These themes were often developed or
explained relative to each group’s specific topic, but
they all shared similar sentiments. The most prominent
recurring themes are listed below.
Joint Measures within NATO
One extremely common theme that arose in every
group was a desire for greater cooperation between
NATO member nations. While NATO has worked
toward such a sentiment for its entire lifespan, the
delegates felt that it should focus on a few specific
areas. The first and most frequently mentioned was
increased efforts for joint procurement, which every
group felt would yield substantial practical and diplo-
matic benefits. Each group also independently stressed
Internal communications within these NATO
structures, and related national structures, must
not be neglected. The NATO narrative must be
understood from the Secretary General down to
the newest private. With the diffusion of
media-generation technology, such as social
media, nearly any NATO associate can become
an inadvertent touch-point between NATO and
its audiences. This “strategic corporal” concept
must be addressed through some measure of
coordination between NATO strategic communi-
cators and national training-and-doctrine
representatives. Representation of the NATO
narrative must be as consistent as possible, in
order to ensure its credibility.
The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
3.	 Focus on the cyber threat and enhance offensive
cyber capabilities
The presentation focused on developing NATO’s
cyber capabilities. Participants divided their
suggestions into two groups: defensive cyber and
offensive cyber. In defensive cyber, they decided
that NATO needed to maintain command-and-con-
trol infrastructure, support member nations in
developing cyber defenses, and offer logistical and
intelligence support to partners. In offensive
cyber, they stated that NATO needed to advance
signals-intelligence (SIGINT) operations, assert
control over intangible actors, and link cyberat-
tacks with kinetic repercussions, but NATO must
also achieve strategic goals without declaring war.
Furthermore, the group advocated interaction and
engagement with hacker communities.
Developing cyber capabilities beyond merely
defensive applications is recommended for any
force willing to have a stable and continuous
presence in cyberspace. Deploying countermea-
sures during defensive cyber operations requires
at least some degree of cyber-offensive expertise,
and helps the management of risks throughout the
cyber incident. Mitigation strategies benefit from
the “hack-back” principle, and work hand-in-hand
with offense, as well as defense, operations. It is
also very important to keep in mind that cyber
adversaries are calculating their costs and gains,
and making a feasibility analysis before they
decide to launch an attack. Cyber offensive
capabilities would contribute to the deterrence
factor, and would help keep less-sophisticated,
high-volume attacks at bay.
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the importance of joint asset ownership, and greater
efforts to increase interoperability.
Adoption of Best Practices from Innovative
Organizations
Each group stressed the numerous benefits for NATO in
interacting with and acquiring best practices from
innovative organizations. The suggestions for
achieving this goal differed from group to group, but
each agreed that NATO should seek out experts from
such organizations. It was thought that the inclusion of
innovative practices and thinking from outside the
traditional NATO community would be necessary for
NATO to address unconventional threats.
Further Integration with Other International
Organizations and the Private Sector
Many groups decided that NATO should focus on
greater cooperation with other international organiza-
tions which it overlaps with ideologically, politically,
geographically, or simply in terms of its goals and
functions, as well as with industrial and financial
actors in the private sector. Such coordination would
reduce duplication of efforts and materials, and allow
for greater resource pooling and allocation. Some
candidates for cooperation included the European
Union, the United Nations, the African Union, OSCE, and
ASEAN. The infusion of private-sector interests and
investments would increase NATO’s capacity to invest
in new technologies and expand its current military
capabilities, while allowing NATO to establish common
standards across producers, which would enhance
interoperability. Potential private-sector partners
included companies from the military-industrial sector
and venture capitalists.
Improved Strategic Communications
Early on in their discussions, every group decided that
NATO needs to aggressively develop its strategic-com-
munication capabilities. It is important for NATO to
effectively disseminate a compelling narrative that is
capable of forging stronger relationships within the
NATO Alliance but also without, with partner nations
and unaffiliated populations. Strategic communications
were also identified as a critical tool to overcome the
hybrid-warfare challenge and keep NATO relevant.
Specifically, delegates identified improved social-media
capabilities as a low-cost way to achieve a wide variety
of outcomes, including controlling the narrative and
pursuing public diplomacy both inside of and outside of
the Alliance’s borders.
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priorities or objectives that NATO should set in order to
address the assigned challenge. Senior mentors were
instructed to inform the group’s debate, but not to
impose their own viewpoints or judge which strategic
priorities were the “best” or “correct.” Ultimately, the
goal of YP Day was to capture the opinions of the
participants.
Participants were asked to phrase their proposed
strategic priorities and objectives in the form of “how
might we. . .” (HMW) or “how might NATO. . .” questions.
This phrasing was chosen because of its effectiveness
for launching solutions-oriented discussions. HMW
questions encourage a wider range of ideas and facili-
tate creative, out-of-the-box thinking. Further details
on the power of HMW statements can be found in the
Harvard Business Review article titled “The Secret
Phrase Top Innovators Use.” The phrasing instruction
was also intended to produce outputs from the first
session that could easily be uniformly plugged into the
exercises planned for the rest of the day.
The Creative Matrix
Following the HMW discussions, participants transi-
tioned into a series of Design Thinking modules known
as the “Creative Matrix” and the “Importance-Difficulty
Matrix.” These exercises were led by Joshua Marcuse
and Zvika Krieger, professional facilitators who were
trained by the LUMA Institute, a global education
company that is among the leading instructors of
human-centered design, and who have led workshops
for government employees in the national-security and
foreign-policy sectors.
ANNEX. DESIGN THINKING AND
CONCEPT POSTERS
This section describes in greater detail the method-
ology used throughout the YP Day event—Design
Thinking—which yielded the results captured in this
report. Design Thinking is used by many Fortune 500
companies and is taught at top business schools as a
cutting-edge tool for strategy and management. A
number of government agencies, including the US
Department of State and the Department of Defense,
are at the vanguard of applying these tools to develop
policy solutions. More details on Design Thinking can
be found on the website of the LUMA Institute, a
professional design thinking education organization.
The Design Thinking process used in YP Day includes
the following four exercises:
•	 producing “how might we” questions;
•	 the Creative Matrix;
•	 the Importance-Difficulty Matrix; and
•	 concept posters and final presentations.
“How Might We” Questions
The first part of the exercise consisted of working
group discussions featuring senior thought leaders as
“senior mentors” for each group. During this session,
each group was tasked with generating four strategic
Delegates discuss the positioning of ideas along the
Importance-Difficulty Matrix.
Senior mentor, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow Ian Brzez-
inski, participates in the “Preparing NATO to Meet Its
Ambitions” working-group discussion.
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The Importance-Difficulty Matrix
The second module, the “Importance-Difficulty Matrix,”
utilized the outputs from the Creative Matrix. Each
delegate was asked to pick an idea, other than their
own, that they considered the best from the heavily
populated creative matrices. These ideas were then
used to populate a second matrix that plotted impor-
tance along one axis and difficulty along the other.
Through this process, delegates prioritized and evalu-
ated each idea based on its potential impact and the
cost of implementation. By the end of this exercise, the
delegates had ranked each idea and grouped them into
thematic clusters.
Concept Posters and Presentations
The final exercise consisted of developing a “concept
poster.” The goal of this module is to flesh out the
clusters of top ideas, using both textual and visual
tools, and produce a substantive proposal for the final
presentation. Each topic group split up into several
smaller “poster groups” to address one of the clusters
of ideas generated by the Importance-Difficulty Matrix.
After finishing the posters, each group presented its
recommendations to a panel featuring: NATO-ACT
Deputy Chief of Staff for Strategic Plans and Policy,
Brigadier General Matthew Brand; Deputy Chairman of
the NATO Military Committee, Lieutenant General Mark
Commander Transformation of NATO; Political Advisor
to the Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and
Supreme Allied Commander Transformation, Ambas-
sador Karen B. Stewart. The distinguished panel gave
each group feedback regarding their ideas and made
suggestions for improvement.
In the weeks immediately after the event concluded, the
Atlantic Council worked with the delegates to trans-
The first module was the “Creative Matrix,” which aims
to democratize the idea-creation process while also
rapidly generating a great number of new and different
ideas. For YP Day, these ideas were based on NATO’s
unique capabilities and the specific strategic priorities
set for each group.
The groups created interactive matrices by arranging
four HMW questions on the Y axis of the matrix, and a
row of predetermined NATO “enablers” on the X axis.
The result was a chart with twenty-four boxes, which
each delegate was instructed to populate with ideas
written on Post-it notes. The assigned enablers, which
reflected tools in NATO’s “toolbox,” were:
•	 public diplomacy;
•	 resources and funding;
•	 technology;
•	 weapons/military capabilities;
•	 political tools; and
•	 “wild card,” covering enablers that may not be
included in the five previous categories.
By the end of the Creative Matrix module, the groups
had generated more than five hundred different ideas
for how NATO might accomplish the strategic priorities
generated in the earlier session.
Delegates present their concept posters to the panel.
YP Day participants populate the Creative Matrix, mounted
on the wall, with Post-it notes.
ATLANTIC COUNCIL	 18
YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT
Lieutenant General Mark O. Schissler, Ambassador Karen
B. Stewart, and Brigadier General Matthew L. Brand pro-
vide feedback to presenting delegates.
form their posters and the panel’s feedback into this
report, which also highlights key takeaways from the
event. The following portion of the report covers the
strategic priorities and objectives produced by each
group, as well as their top ideas for achieving
those objectives.
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NATO’s Strategic Perspective:
Rising Challenges in the East
Poster from NATO’s East Group recommending to spend
NATO’s money more effectively.
Poster from NATO’s East Group recommending that the
Alliance focuses on deterrence and reassurance.
Poster from NATO’s East Group recommending that NATO
focuses on common interests with Russia.
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NATO’s Strategic Perspective: Rising Challenges in NATO’s South–
North Africa and the Middle East
Poster from NATO’s Ambitions Group recommending
an increased focus on NATO’s nonmilitary
capabilities.
Poster from NATO’s Ambitions Group recommending
an overhaul of defense spending and capabilities.
Poster from NATO’s Ambitions Group recommending
that the Alliance focuses on its public-diplomacy
concerns.
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Poster from NATO’s South Group recommanding a new
outreach strategy.
Poster from NATO’s South Group recommending a
strategic vision for a more connected NATO community.
Poster from NATO’s South Group recommending a new
and reformed NATO military structure.
Preparing NATO to Meet Its Ambitions
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Poster from NATO’s Innovation Group recommending a
new innovative program for the Alliance.
Poster from NATO’s Innovation Group recommending
a structural rejuvenation and reinvigoration of NATO
leadership and hierarchy.
Poster from NATO’s Innovation Group recommending the
creation of a new innovation platform.
Innovation as a Game Changer for the Alliance
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Hybrid Warfare and its Implications for NATO
Poster from Hybrid Warfare Group recommending an
increased focus on member consensus and solidarity.
Poster from Hybrid Warfare Group recommending
an increased focus on the Alliance’s Strategic
Communications.
Poster from Hybrid Warfare Group recommending
increased development of NATO’s cyber capabilities.
CHAIRMAN
*Jon M. Huntsman, Jr.
INTERNATIONAL
ADVISORY BOARD
Brent Scowcroft
PRESIDENT AND CEO
*Frederick Kempe
EXECUTIVE VICE
CHAIRS
*Adrienne Arsht
*Stephen J. Hadley
VICE CHAIRS
*Robert J. Abernethy
*Richard Edelman
*C. Boyden Gray
*George Lund
*Virginia A. Mulberger
*W. DeVier Pierson
*John Studzinski
TREASURER
*Brian C. McK. Henderson
SECRETARY
*Walter B. Slocombe
DIRECTORS
Stephane Abrial
Odeh Aburdene
Peter Ackerman
Timothy D. Adams
John Allen
Michael Andersson
Michael Ansari
Richard L. Armitage
David D. Aufhauser
Elizabeth F. Bagley
Peter Bass
*Rafic Bizri
*Thomas L. Blair
Francis Bouchard
Myron Brilliant
Esther Brimmer
*R. Nicholas Burns
*Richard R. Burt
Michael Calvey
James E. Cartwright
John E. Chapoton
Ahmed Charai
Sandra Charles
George Chopivsky
Wesley K. Clark
David W. Craig
*Ralph D. Crosby, Jr.
Nelson Cunningham
Ivo H. Daalder
Gregory R. Dahlberg
*Paula J. Dobriansky
Christopher J. Dodd
Conrado Dornier
Patrick J. Durkin
Thomas J. Edelman
Thomas J. Egan, Jr.
*Stuart E. Eizenstat
Thomas R. Eldridge
Julie Finley
Lawrence P. Fisher, II
Alan H. Fleischmann
Michèle Flournoy
*Ronald M. Freeman
Laurie Fulton
*Robert S. Gelbard
Thomas Glocer
*Sherri W. Goodman
Mikael Hagström
Ian Hague
John D. Harris II
Frank Haun
Michael V. Hayden
Annette Heuser
*Karl Hopkins
Robert Hormats
*Mary L. Howell
Robert E. Hunter
Wolfgang Ischinger
Reuben Jeffery, III
Robert Jeffrey
*James L. Jones, Jr.
George A. Joulwan
Lawrence S. Kanarek
Stephen R. Kappes
Maria Pica Karp
Francis J. Kelly, Jr.
Zalmay M. Khalilzad
Robert M. Kimmitt
Henry A. Kissinger
Franklin D. Kramer
Philip Lader
*Richard L. Lawson
*Jan M. Lodal
Jane Holl Lute
William J. Lynn
Izzat Majeed
Wendy W. Makins
Mian M. Mansha
William E. Mayer
Allan McArtor
Eric D.K. Melby
Franklin C. Miller
James N. Miller
*Judith A. Miller
*Alexander V. Mirtchev
Obie L. Moore
*George E. Moose
Georgette Mosbacher
Steve C. Nicandros
Thomas R. Nides
Franco Nuschese
Joseph S. Nye
Sean O’Keefe
Hilda Ochoa-Brillembourg
Ahmet Oren
*Ana Palacio
Carlos Pascual
Thomas R. Pickering
Daniel B. Poneman
Daniel M. Price
*Andrew Prozes
Arnold L. Punaro
*Kirk A. Radke
Teresa M. Ressel
Charles O. Rossotti
Stanley O. Roth
Robert Rowland
Harry Sachinis
William O. Schmieder
John P. Schmitz
Brent Scowcroft
Alan J. Spence
James Stavridis
Richard J.A. Steele
*Paula Stern
Robert J. Stevens
John S. Tanner
*Ellen O. Tauscher
Karen Tramontano
Clyde C. Tuggle
Paul Twomey
Melanne Verveer
Enzo Viscusi
Charles F. Wald
Jay Walker
Michael F. Walsh
Mark R. Warner
David A. Wilson
Maciej Witucki
Mary C. Yates
Dov S. Zakheim
HONORARY
DIRECTORS
David C. Acheson
Madeleine K. Albright
James A. Baker, III
Harold Brown
Frank C. Carlucci, III
Robert M. Gates
Michael G. Mullen
Leon E. Panetta
William J. Perry
Colin L. Powell
Condoleezza Rice
Edward L. Rowny
George P. Shultz
John W. Warner
William H. Webster
*Executive Committee
Members
List as of April 14, 2015
Atlantic Council Board of Directors
The Atlantic Council is a nonpartisan organization that ­promotes constructive US leadership and
engagement in ­international ­affairs based on the central role of the Atlantic community in ­meeting
today’s global ­challenges.
© 2015 The Atlantic Council of the United States. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be
reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the Atlantic
Council, except in the case of brief quotations in news articles, critical articles, or reviews. Please direct
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Yp day-2015-report-webversion

  • 1.
  • 2. © 2015 The Atlantic Council of the United States. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the Atlantic Council, except in the case of brief quotations in news articles, critical articles, or reviews. Please direct inquiries to: Atlantic Council 1030 15th Street, NW, 12th Floor Washington, DC 20005 ISBN: 978-1-61977-993-8 This report is written and published in accordance with the Atlantic Council Policy on Intellectual Independence. The authors are solely responsible for its analysis and recommendations. The Atlantic Council, its partners, and funders do not determine, nor do they necessarily endorse or advocate for, any of this report’s particular conclusions. This report is a recounting of discussions that took place at NATO YP Day 2015 among sixty participants. As such, the ideas and conclusions presented in this report cannot be attributed to any individual participant, as they represent only a snapshot of the opinions of all participants, which vary widely and are not all represented in this document. April 2015 Young Professionals Day 2015 was generously supported by NATO Allied Command Transformation.
  • 3. TABLE OF CONTENTS Part 1. Event overview......................................................................................................................................4 Part 2. Discussion Outcomes: Strategic Priorities and Recommendations............................................ 5 NATO’s Strategic Perspective: Rising Challenges in the East .................................................................................................. 5 NATO’s Strategic Perspective: Rising Challenges in NATO’s South–North Africa and the Middle East.................. 7 Preparing NATO to Meet Its Ambitions...............................................................................................................................................9 Innovation as a Game Changer for the Alliance............................................................................................................................ 10 Hybrid Warfare and Its Implications for NATO...............................................................................................................................12 Part 3. Key Takeaways and Common Themes.............................................................................................14 Joint Measures within NATO.................................................................................................................................................................. 14 Adoption of Best Practices from Innovative Organizations .....................................................................................................15 Further Integration with Other International Organizations and the Private Sector......................................................15 Improved Strategic Communications.................................................................................................................................................15 ANNEX. Design Thinking and Concept Posters ........................................................................................16 “How Might We” Questions................................................................................................................................................................... 16 The Creative Matrix.................................................................................................................................................................................... 16 The Importance-Difficulty Matrix.........................................................................................................................................................17 Concept Posters and Presentations....................................................................................................................................................17
  • 4. ATLANTIC COUNCIL 4 • The role of innovation in the Alliance • Hybrid warfare and its implications for NATO Delegates participated in a series of dynamic activities and visualization exercises to produce over five hundred unique ideas, which were then honed and developed into fifteen recommendations. These recommendations took the form of “concept posters” which were presented at the end of YP Day to a panel of senior experts. A complete and detailed description of the exercises as well as the images of each group’s concept posters can be found in the annex (Design Thinking and Concept Posters) of this report. Throughout the day, participants engaged with peers from around the world and senior thought leaders assigned to their working groups. The day opened with remarks from NATO-ACT Deputy Chief of Staff for Strategic Plans and Policy, Brigadier General Matthew L. Brand, and a keynote address from NATO Supreme Allied Commander Transformation General Jean-Paul Paloméros, who issued the delegates’ call-to-action—to produce innovative ideas that advance NATO’s mission in the evolving, modern global security environment. PART 1. EVENT OVERVIEW ACT Young Professionals Day (YP Day) is an annual, solutions-oriented exercise hosted by NATO Allied Command Transformation (ACT) alongside the NATO Transformation Seminar (NTS). This year’s event was hosted in partnership with the Atlantic Council in Washington, DC, and built on the success of the previous three YP Day events by convening sixty rising leaders, aged thirty-five and under, from across the NATO Alliance. The goal of YP Day 2015 was to engage the next generation of leaders in the process of producing creative and practical solutions to key NATO challenges. To facilitate the development of innovative solutions, the Atlantic Council coordinated a full-day “Design Thinking” exercise designed to unleash the partici- pants’ creativity. Design Thinking is an innovative system for generating creative solutions to complex challenges through understanding the needs, behav- iors, and context of relevant stakeholders. It encourages collaboration and diverse perspectives, while offering concrete techniques that translate innovation from an abstract art into a linear and replicable process. More information on the Design Thinking exercises can be found in the annex. Over the course of YP Day, participants utilized these techniques, which were modified to fit the transatlantic context. They used specialized tools to rapidly develop and explore potential solutions to the challenges facing NATO, with the goal of producing a list of concrete recommendations for NATO decision-makers by the end of the event. The event took the format of working group discussions—all sixty participants were divided into five groups of twelve, each tasked with a different challenge set from the following list: • Rising challenges in NATO’s east • Rising challenges in NATO’s south • Preparing NATO to meet its ambitions and deliver on the promises of the 2014 Wales Summit YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY FINAL REPORT 2015 Supreme Allied Commander Transformation General Jean- Paul Paloméros addresses delegates.
  • 5. 5 ATLANTIC COUNCIL YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT Recommended Actions: 1. Increase and adjust NATO policy and interoperability to further cooperation The presentation focused on spending NATO’s money more effectively. Participants proposed a twenty-year timeline of financial-cooperation escalation, with joint research and development (R&D) and technology funding in five years, target spending areas for members in fifteen years, and joint procurement in twenty years. Some major challenges to this proposal were deemed to be sovereignty concerns, protests from military production firms, and the varying desires and requirements of specific militaries. However, the group determined that there were also myriad benefits to this strategy, including saving resources over the long run, avoiding duplication, deployment of the best technologies, efficient resource use, interoperability, and mission-fo- cused investment. The group concluded that, while profits would remain the main driver of the military-industrial complex, the creation of transatlantic military-in- dustrial champions—“super-contractors,” or transatlantic contractor associations with enforced common standards—would account for the scope and commonality needed for economies of scale. This would lead to a decrease in the number of platforms, and reduce duplication of efforts and materials. The reduction in platforms would make logistics easier, as fewer types of parts would require distribution. Moreover, this reduction in platforms would automatically ensure interoperability between hardware. The transatlantic military-industrial champions would then have the capacity to channel multiple states’ R&D spending into the priorities of their clients, while serving the interests of NATO. A final, serious issue that NATO must face is parochialism, which remains a major concern in defense contracting. In order for these reforms to succeed, there needs to be a commitment to open bidding across the Alliance by defense contractors for all NATO contracts. This may help to avoid protests from the military-industrial complex and assuage fears that large American and British defense contractors could dominate the process. In addition, some form of commitment that no single company can hold more than a certain proportion of contracts (e.g., 20-25 percent) would stop the process from being dominated by one or two of the largest companies. The poster for this group can be found in the annex. The exercise concluded with presentations by each group to a panel of senior NATO officials, who provided constructive feedback on each proposal, which was then incorporated into this final report. The next section of this report provides details of each groups’ recommendations. PART 2. DISCUSSION OUTCOMES: STRATEGIC PRIORITIES AND RECOMMENDATIONS NATO’s Strategic Perspective: Rising Challenges in the East This group focused on NATO’s strategic perspective regarding rising challenges on its eastern flank. They were encouraged to consider the strategic context in which NATO operates, the political and military implications for the Alliance, and its broader strategic concept and political guidance. Discussion centered largely on Ukraine and Russia and focused simultaneously on ensuring NATO’s collective security, defending the values of NATO countries, and attempting to avoid military escalation. Significant debate centered on NATO’s inherent mission and how its response to the Ukraine crisis should depend on whether NATO is a values-based organization or merely a collective security alliance. After debate and analysis with its senior mentor, the group came up with the following. Strategic priorities/objectives in the form of ques- tions beginning “how might we. . .”: • Pose a greater viable conventional military deterrent? • Forge a consensus among NATO members of NATO threats? • Address nonconventional threats in the east? • More effectively coordinate with other organizations? The three main presentations chose to focus on clusters of the best ideas chosen from the Impor- tance-Difficulty Matrix. These suggestions were to increase and adjust NATO policy and interoperability to further cooperation, focus on areas of common interest with Russia, and increase NATO’s military readiness and military cooperation.
  • 6. ATLANTIC COUNCIL 6 YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT 3. Increase NATO’s military readiness and military cooperation The presentation focused on deterrence and reassurance, and advocated a permanent rotation of military troops. This policy would solve the problem of western NATO members preferring a rotational presence in Eastern Europe, whilst eastern members want permanent deployments. It would achieve the permanent buy-in of western allies, along with the provision of continued reassurance to NATO’s eastern allies. To accom- plish this, the participants suggested easing restrictions on the transportation of NATO troops and equipment, and exploring multinational funding. During this permanent rotation, national troops would operate under the NATO command structure, thereby increasing deterrence and interoperability benefits, and, most importantly, improving battle readiness. In addition, it was decided that the Alliance should reconsider the deployment of a ballistic- missile-defense system in Poland and the Czech Republic, as originally envisioned. This would bring a degree of greater comfort, particularly to Poland, that the Alliance will remain committed to the defense of Eastern European members. Further, NATO should clarify that it will not only maintain its current tactical nuclear doctrine, but it will also upgrade those capacities to assure their deterrent value. This upgrade should be clearly articulated as a response to any aggression toward existing NATO members. Transportation by air seemed to be the method that would face the lowest hurdles. Therefore, the aim would be to transport as much equipment and as many troops as possible by air. If a participating country does not have the necessary airlifting capabilities, then these should be provided by NATO for this task. Of course, some equipment— such as explosives, heavy armored units, and artillery—might be difficult to transport by air, so the restrictions for transportation on the ground would also need to be loosened for this particular NATO permanent rotation. The group concluded that a legislative solution might also be possible. Pressure could be put on national governments to pass legislation that permits freer movement of NATO-assigned troops through Europe. Given the current threat climate, such legislation might be quite easy to pass. It would also provide a strengthening function for the Alliance, implying that member states trust 2. Focus on areas of common interest with Russia The presentation stated the importance of adhering to NATO’s original mission of collective security for its members. A point was made that Russia’s actions in Ukraine cannot be automati- cally assumed to predict any future actions it might take with an actual NATO ally; thus, the presentation suggested that NATO avoid inter- vening in the Ukraine crisis altogether. When assessing the situation in Ukraine and wider relations with Russia, the group decided that it was important to step back and consider the security situation more broadly. NATO has interests in areas where Russia can play a role, such as Iran, North Korea, and Syria. While peace in Europe is paramount, it was concluded that NATO must balance its desire to roll back the Russian position in Ukraine with its desire to prevent further escalation in Europe. A direct conflict between NATO and Russia would lead to greater insecurity in Europe in the near future. Participants cited a consensus among NATO allies that collective security only applies to NATO members. They also pointed out that this strategy would allow for much greater coopera- tion opportunities between NATO and Russia, NATO and the European Union (EU), and the EU and Russia. The points of cooperation might include: violent extremism, Iran, Afghanistan, proliferation of WMDs, massive migration, trade, and energy policy. The group reasoned that a pullout of Ukraine could be accomplished if NATO takes actions that are reassuring to the existing members of NATO, particularly with regard to military readiness and cooperation. The key would be to maintain robust communication within NATO and to maintain, and in certain cases amplify, its deterrent capacity for current members. Additionally, all efforts would be made to avoid public relations debacles, such as the recent one in which the American President did not meet with the NATO Secretary General. A pullout of Ukraine, without a robust deterrence policy for existing members, would certainly lead to a “loss of face.” However, the group concluded that the key is to leave no ambiguity for Russia. If NATO does not expand east, Russia must not move to destabilize present NATO members. A robust expansion of deterrent capacities to reinforce that deal should avoid losing face, at least as it pertains specifically to NATO. The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
  • 7. 7 ATLANTIC COUNCIL YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT • Ensure peaceful development and use of energy in the eastern Mediterranean? The three main presentations chose to focus on clusters of the best ideas chosen from the Importance-Difficulty Matrix. The clusters were: focus on social media as part of a more effective communications strategy, attempt to address local issues more effectively, cooperate with other NATO members to increase on-the-ground capabilities, and increase NATO’s ability to mobilize special forces among member states. Recommended Actions: 1. Focus on social media as part of a more effective communications strategy The presentation focused on a new umbrella communications initiative for NATO, which included: public diplomacy; strategic communica- tion; partnering with local actors; identifying young, tech-savvy local leaders to engage in social media campaigns; and rural-outreach programs. NATO ACT could sponsor a Young Professionals Day for social-media leaders in NATO member countries, such as Turkey, Germany, and Greece, and partner countries, such as Qatar, Kuwait, Morocco, and Tunisia. The Young Professionals Day could be structured as an opportunity for NATO social-media innovation that promotes understanding of NATO’s mandate and role in the region. The outcomes of effectively implementing engagement with young, tech-savvy leaders in key countries in the region would include: increasing legitimacy with greater transparency, new local perspectives, hampering enemy recruitment, and expanding strategic partnerships that foster an increased understanding and appreciation of NATO’s mission. An overall strategic-communication narrative is imperative to establishing NATO’s stated goal. Such a message should communicate the shared, fundamental values necessary for NATO partner- ship: the right to life, freedom of thought, freedom of expression, freedom of the press, and freedom of information and knowledge. However, targeted messaging would be more effective when taking into consideration the many cultural and regional differences that are present in NATO’s south. A combination of locally targeted messaging, with a consistent overarching narrative, would present NATO as open and transparent in its strategic goals for the region. The goal should be “a narra- tive to the moderate minds of the region, not to the moderate Muslims of the region.” The poster for this group can be found in the annex. each other to transport troops across member- state borders. The poster for this group can be found in the annex. Senior Mentor: Dr. Alina Polyakova, Associate Director, Dinu Patriciu Eurasia Center, Atlantic Council Rapporteur: John-Daniel Kelley, Intern, Atlantic Council Delegates: Ms. Emma Ashford, Visiting Fellow, Defense and Foreign Policy, Cato Institute; Mr. Thomas Desmet, Intern, Em- bassy of Belgium; Mr. Boris Ecker, Trans-Atlantic Diplomatic Fellow, US Department of State; Ms. Katja Gersak, Co-Found- er, Regional Dialogue; Mr. Peter Hunya, National Security In- tern, The McCain Institute; Mr. Shant Krikorian, Research As- sociate, Center for Strategic International Studies; Mr. Greg Lawson, Policy Analyst, The Buckeye Institute; Ms. Michelle Lillie, RA/TA to Former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, Georgetown University; Mr. Joshua Noonan, Presidential Man- agement Fellow, US Department of Housing and Urban De- velopment; Ms. Sandra Ovcinikova, Legal Research Fellow, International Bar Association; Ms. Algirde Pipikaite, Head of International Practice, Fabiani & Company; Ms. Lenka Schrop- ferova, Transatlantic Diplomatic Fellow, US Department of State NATO’s Strategic Perspective: Rising Challenges in NATO’s South–North Africa and the Middle East This group focused on NATO’s strategic perspective with rising challenges on its southern flank—North Africa and the Middle East. It was also encouraged to consider the strategic context in which NATO operates, the political and military implications for the Alliance, its strategic concept, and its political guidance. In discussion, this group often found itself reacting to events in the east, and concluded that events in Ukraine and Russia were very important to how NATO should proceed in the south. It was decided that NATO must focus on being more proactive in the south, improving public opinion there and using local issues and advan- tages to address larger problems. In other words, NATO must balance micro and macro issues in the region. An important conclusion was that progress will stem from a “ground-up” approach, winning the hearts and minds of the people first. After debate and analysis with its senior mentor, the group came up with the following. Strategic priorities/objectives in the form of ques- tions beginning “how might we. . .”: • Demonstrate NATO’s relevance for local populations in the MENA region? • Address transnational organized crime? • Ensure human security across NATO’s borders?
  • 8. ATLANTIC COUNCIL 8 YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT group’s timeline for such a structural reform aimed for full operationalization by 2018.   These proposed forces would have the ability to provide a tailored response for situations that do not require full military force. With the concept of war changing rapidly, the response to acts of war must also change. For the Team NATO proposal to can gain consensus, partner states must under- stand that this responsibility for providing equal protection is shared. Operationally, Team NATO responses can be determined by the states that are actively participating in the team at any given time; as these are rotating terms, the consensus will come from a smaller participating group. While Team NATO is not meant to be south-spe- cific, it is tailored to handle the region’s unique, emerging threats. Team NATO would have the ability to specialize in combating nonstate actors and transnational crime. Given the small size and specialized nature of Team NATO, it would be able to serve the interests of NATO countries without a declaration of war. Given the proposal for shared training and intelligence, the participants would only come from NATO countries, and would only protect the interests of said states. Intelligence information must be closely held, and would serve as a way to build stronger trust and partnerships among NATO states. The poster for this group can be found in the annex. Senior Mentor: Dr. Lisa Aronsson, Visiting Fellow, Brent Scow- croft Center on International Security/RUSI, Atlantic Council Rapporteur: Miriam Thorne, Intern, Atlantic Council Delegates: Mr. Isaac Black, Intelligence Analyst, US Depart- ment of State; Mr. Kemp Gouldin, Sales and Marketing Direc- tor, Sakhr Software USA, inc; Ms. Stephanie Hammond, Policy Advisor, Conflicts and Disasters, World Vision U.S.; Mr. Jean Heilbronn, Political Advisor, EU NAVFOR Operation Atlanta; Ms. Teuta Ismaili, Lecturer, Indiana University in Bloomington; Ms. Maura James, Independent Researcher; Mr. Nicklas Jans- ler, Graduate Student, Institute of World Politics; Mr. Nikolas Katsimpras; Lecturer, Columbia University; Ms. Carola Los Ar- cos, Graduate Student, Georgetown University; Mr. Emre Tun- calp, Managing Partner, Sidar Global Advisers; Ms. Amanda Williams, Senior Analyst, Aveshka Inc. 2. Address local issues more effectively and cooperate with other NATO members to increase on-the-ground capabilities The presentation focused on a strategic vision for a more connected NATO community. This included suggestions of policies centered on collective interdependence that reinforced the idea that individual challenges have nonlinear repercussions throughout the Alliance. This would result in greater resonance of NATO’s relevance with its southern allies. It would also allow NATO to develop and harness political capital with emerging nontraditional partners in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. Benefits would include further local inclusion, respect of core values, local ownership of shared solutions, and more open channels for proactive engage- ment. One example of a collectively interdependent policy is a potential immigration policy. While standards can be set across the Alliance that are in line with core values, member states can also share resources to address migration from NATO’s south and redistribute the burden placed on NATO’s southern border. By engaging with member states such as Greece, Italy, and Spain, which have established military protocol in regards to migration, the Alliance can use immi- gration policy to bolster goodwill within NATO’s southern borders and strengthen defenses without. This policy could be crafted in such a way as to utilize NATO’s traditional military capabili- ties, while also providing an opportunity for targeted marketing and branding aimed at engaging with NATO’s southern populations. The poster for this group can be found in the annex. 3. Increase NATO’s ability to mobilize special forces among NATO member states The presentation focused on a new and reformed NATO military structure, which participants dubbed “Team NATO.” This structure features joint training of armed forces, one common headquarters, shared intelligence, special opera- tions fitness (SOF) exercises, smaller active rotational membership, and voting rights to be determined upon active participatory status. These teams could even be pre-deployed in certain theaters among sympathetic states. The detailed benefits to this structure include local knowledge, pre-deployment, higher military tech, responsibility sharing, and the ability for quick and specialized responses to nonstate actors. The
  • 9. 9 ATLANTIC COUNCIL YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT 2. Increase NATO interoperability and expand and intensify NATO’s strategic partnerships The presentation focused on increasing NATO’s nonmilitary capabilities. This included creating a “center of excellence at NATO,” focusing on energy, tech, and health, as well as bringing in new partners (such as private industry), and setting up NATO-sponsored NGOs to address specific threats and opportunities. The results would be increased public interest, twenty-first-century approaches, new partners and new ideas, new audiences, and increased efforts for a sustainable mission. The group concluded that energy security should be a priority for the Alliance. Several pipeline projects are ongoing between the European Union and Eurasia, trying to create an alternative to the Russian South Stream project. Still, some European countries show resistance to the strong energy ties with Russia’s Gazprom and Lukoil. By leveraging its political tools, such as the Enhanced Opportunities Partnership (EOP) platform, NATO could enhance its partnerships with countries from Eastern Europe, Caucasus, and Central Asia, such as Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. The poster for this group can be found in the annex. 3. Address public-diplomacy concerns The presentation focused on enhancing NATO’s reputation and recruitment among a vast majority of member nations’ populations. This would be achieved in a couple of ways. The first would be to fund an effort to produce informative documenta- ries or films about NATO’s mission, in order to increase interest in NATO. The second would be to mirror the Model United Nations program that has worked successfully over the last few decades, and create model NATOs throughout NATO member states. This would involve NATO speakers visiting high schools and universities and taking NATO students to visit NATO installations, developing interest in the Alliance starting in primary schools and continuing all the way up to the professional level. For NATO to meet its twenty-first-century chal- lenges, it is imperative to engender a spirit of support for the Alliance and its mission in the citizenry. What emboldens the foundation of NATO is the unified allegiance to a set of princi- ples, the defense of which is absolute. Through a concerted public diplomacy effort, an unprece- dented understanding of NATO’s historic legacy, Preparing NATO to Meet Its Ambitions This group focused on NATO meeting its strategic ambitions. Participants were encouraged to prioritize the capabilities and corresponding investments required to address current and future threats, and to better leverage multinational cooperation and partnering. Before expanding in scope, the discussion initially focused heavily on budget concerns. Main topics included the overhaul of defense spending and capabili- ties, as well as how to increase NATO interoperability, meet the Wales Summit commitments, expand and intensify NATO’s strategic partnerships, confront regional threats, and address public-diplomacy concerns. After debate and analysis with its senior mentor, the group came up with the following. Strategic priorities/objectives in the form of ques- tions beginning “how might we. . .”: • Simultaneously address the eastern and southern flanks? • Incentivize the 2 percent defense spending requirement? • Address nonmilitary transnational threats? • Increase public support for NATO? The three main presentations chose to focus on clusters of the best ideas chosen from the Impor- tance-Difficulty Matrix. The clusters were: boosting and overhauling defense spending, increasing NATO interoperability and expanding NATO’s strategic partnerships, and addressing public-diplomacy concerns. Recommended Actions: 1. Overhaul defense spending and capabilities The presentation focused on being more efficient with NATO funds. The group suggested more spending in less-traditional areas, such as science, tech, and health. Participants thought that a slightly broader definition would make it easier for individual countries to meet their NATO spending requirements. The benefits would include greater EU employment, greater regional health, and an improved industrial policy. The poster for this group can be found in the annex.
  • 10. ATLANTIC COUNCIL 10 YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT due to the volume of threats facing the Alliance, from a range of actors in different domains. The military superiority that NATO has gained through technolog- ical innovation and operational coordination is no longer sufficient to deter these actors. The group decided that NATO’s problem isn’t in the generation of innovative ideas, but in their implementation. The group concluded that NATO is not a corporate entity, and must overcome its consensus-based structure in order to be “innovative” and “agile.” After debate and analysis with its senior mentor, the group came up with the following. Strategic priorities/objectives in the form of ques- tions beginning “how might we. . .”: • Measure and improve innovation and effectiveness? • Manage innovation across twenty-eight member states? • Work with partners? • Promote process innovation and product innovation? The three main presentations chose to focus on clusters of the best ideas chosen from the Importance-Difficulty Matrix. The clusters were: focus on increasing innova- tion among NATO personnel and increasing experimentation; improve the generation and actual implementation of innovative ideas; and create an innovative solution to counteract declines in defense spending and lack of investment in R&D. Recommended Actions: 1. Reduce NATO’s risk aversion and increase experimentation The presentation focused on a hypothetical program called the “NATO Innovative People Interchange (NIPI).” This program would feature exchange programs between NATO, academia, and the private sector. The goal would be to facilitate the exchange of ideas and best practices. It would also feature virtual conferences, “hack-a-thons,” tech incubators, and a big-data analytics relay. The benefits would include the creation of new perspectives for NATO, new collaboration and idea generation, and a deeper understanding and appreciation for NATO from a broader base of stakeholders. The poster for this group can be found in the annex. impact, operations, mechanisms, and purview for the future can be realized for member states’ citizens. Public interaction with NATO will compel Alliance citizens to comprehend the vision and value of NATO, which will likely result in increased support for NATO in domestic political deci- sion-making. This support would potentially resolve such issues as the insufficiency of 2 percent defense contributions. Many states have yet to meet that commitment, due not so much to budget constraints as to a lack of political will. With the vigorous backing of public goodwill, NATO will thrive in its mission to meet the new challenges it faces. The poster for this group can be found in the annex. Senior Mentor: Mr. Ian Brzezinski, Resident Senior Fellow, Brent Scowcroft Center of International Security, Atlantic Council Rapporteur: Robbie Gramer, Assistant Director, Transatlantic Security Initiative Delegates: Mr. Suleyman Aslami, Student, Netherlands Atlan- tic Youth; Ms. Michelle Barton, Media and Digital Communica- tions Specialist, US Mission to NATO; Mr. Borut Blaj, Diplomat, Embassy of Slovenia; Ms. Elena Cesca, Parliamentary Assis- tant, Italy’s Delegation to the NATO Parliamentary Assembly; Mr. Pavan Chima, Senior Adviser, British Diplomatic Service; Mr. Julio Gutiérrez-Tirado, Consular Assistant, Embassy of Spain; Mr. Ludwig Jung, Consultant, World Bank; Mr. Joseph Moyer, MGMT Consultant, Deloitte Consulting; Mr. Nicola Na- suti, Consultant, NATO; Ms. Mira Patel, MBA Candidate, the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania; Mr. Erhan Sirt, Prime Ministry Expert, Turkish Prime Ministry; Mr. Daniel Sul- livan, Gabr Foundation Ambassador, The Shafik Gabr Foun- dation Innovation as a Game Changer for the Alliance This group focused on “innovation as a game changer” for the Alliance by optimizing allied reinvestment pledges and formulating NATO’s innovation roadmap. The group was encouraged to consider how best to use increased investments (“2/20 pledges”) and innovation to ensure that NATO is prepared to meet current and future challenges. A large part of the discussion focused on ways to halt the defense-spending decline among NATO allies. Throughout the discussion, three major types of innovation were identified: “technical,” “process,” and “application/operational.” The group determined that NATO is risk averse by nature, which can hamper innovation. Innovation is more crucial now than ever,
  • 11. 11 ATLANTIC COUNCIL YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT Competitive pay is a requirement, along with the pre-scouting of leading industry members and discussions aligning these CEO-ships at NATO with intended/planned sabbaticals of interested parties. The Diversity Payoff: This is an official staff-of- ficer exchange program, reciprocated by the home organization. The staffer exchanged from the home organization would take up a temporary assignmentat a new workplace. A NATO staff officer with a similar portfolio would then be exchanged with the home staffer, such as a World Bank staff-level official, for a year-long tour. This exchange is a political deliverable that also brings expertise and innovation from the bottom up, and could be presented at the Warsaw Summit. The poster for this group can be found in the annex. 3. Halt the defense-spending decline among NATO allies through creation of an “innovation platform” and common fund The presentation focused on creating an “innova- tion platform” or common fund for capabilities development. The fund would build on the Wales Summit declaration to spend 2 percent of GDP on defense by dedicating a subset of allied defense dollars to a common NATO fund. The fund would also allow additional national contributions based on interest, similar to current Smart Defense projects, and could also feature private funding. The expected benefits would include the increase of NATO-wide investments in long-term capabili- ties building, improvement of NATO’s agility against challenges, and development of technolog- ical innovation. This project and its technology outputs could be promoted by the NATO brand to increase its attractiveness to investors and consumers. To create consensus for the capabilities-develop- ment platform, NATO ACT could present the innovation platform concept to the NAC as a potential Warsaw Summit deliverable specifically as a NATO common fund, to augment current defense planning and capability development processes and ensure that allies meet their defense-spending commitments. Over the next several months, this concept would be discussed, developed, and agreed on among allies, for inclusion in the summit declaration. If member-state proponents of the new innovation platform are identified early on, the concept could also take the form of a Smart Defense proposal. 2. Improve process for taking innovative ideas and actually implementing them The presentation focused on a structural rejuve- nation and reinvigoration of NATO leadership and hierarchy. This would be achieved through two separate programs. The first would be called the “CEO Dividend.” It would involve creating NATO “Innovation CEOs” from leading innovative companies such as Google. The goal would be to identify innovation gaps within NATO, where these CEOs would have appropriate advisory capacity to implement and suggest innovative ideas. The second program would be called the “Diver- sity Payoff,” and would feature exchange programs at the different levels between NATO, the EU, the World Bank, and other leading interna- tional and global organizations. This would increase cooperation and address complex issues by applying multiple lenses of analysis and experience. Other potential partners could include, but are not limited to, the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), the United Nations, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), and the African Union. The CEO Dividend: There are already short-term positions at NATO, such as the Internship Program and Consultants, for nationals of the twenty-eight allies. These positions are funded for and by the twenty-eight countries from the Common Budget. The CEO Dividend would be a similar program, and while top CEOs are unlikely to join, creative mid-level managers may be able to do so. The six-month term positions would entail a five- month-long “embedded” program in Brussels, where the CEOs would spend time directly in the front offices of the Assistant Secretaries General (ASGs), the private office of the Secretary General and the North Atlantic Council’s (NAC) secre- tariat, and staff-officer-level offices. This immersion would allow bottom-up and top-down views of NATO. National missions could also be included, extending the five-month period with direct funding by the mission. The CEOs would then have a period of four weeks to reflect, analyze, and prepare a presentation on suggested changes, which would then be presented to the NAC in closed sessions. The CEOs would have to go through security clearances and sign nondisclo- sure agreements. If the program is successful at the political-civilian level, then it can be extended into the military structure in the future.
  • 12. ATLANTIC COUNCIL 12 YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT through the innovation platform. • Public-private partnership with NATO would enhance branding for affiliated corporations and name recognition for smaller startups. To govern private-sector investments, one could extend the mission of the NATO Science and Technology Organization to monitor startups and other projects under an “innovation umbrella.” A possible model for the implementation of this idea could be the co-funding model, in which NATO and private partners share the costs and risks of investments in R&D projects from the beginning. An alternative would be the seed-funding model, where NATO initially supports promising tech- nology projects for a limited amount of time, until they have reach a developmental stage in which they are attractive for venture capitalists or business angels. Thus, NATO could actively push forward and promote technologies of high rele- vance for its fields of action. The poster for this group can be found in the annex. Senior Mentor: Dr. Daniel Y. Chiu, Deputy Director, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council Rapporteur: Alex Ward, Assistant Director, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council Delegates: Mr. Mik Bodnar, International Cooperation Spe- cialist, DARPA; Ms. Merah Baird, Regional Strategy Analyst, Department of Defense–DSCA; Mr. David Fan, Assistant Vice President, Deutsche Bank; Mr. Balazs Martonffy, PhD Candi- date, American University; Mr. Andrew Polich, Congressional Relations Assistant, US Institute of Peace; Mr. Diego Scarabel- li, Intern, NATO; Mr. Richard Schmidt, Chief Engineer, Airbus Defense and Space; Mr. Boyan Stanoev, Consultant, Inter- national Finance Corporation, World Bank Group; Ms. Judit Vásárhelyi–Kondor, Associate, Spitzberg Partners Hybrid Warfare and its Implications for NATO This group focused on hybrid warfare and its implica- tions for NATO. The group was encouraged to analyze hybrid and asymmetric warfare, NATO’s capabilities, and the utility of its partnerships. The early discussion focused on how to best define “hybrid.” It was determined that hybrid warfare contained many aspects of warfare across a full spectrum. There were several main topics discussed, including cyber warfare, misinformation, and preparing the battlespace using nonmilitary means in order to create a more advantageous environment for military action. The group decided that it takes networks to fight networks, and that NATO should Lead nations could outline the following advan- tages when discussing this concept with other allies: • They would gain access to more diverse ideas and innovations. • The innovations could be shared among the members through NATO-wide distribution of the results of studies and concepts. • Member states would not be overtaken by the technologies of civil companies. Using this kind of forum, members would have access of spreading critical technologies across the Alliance. • Specific research could be initiated in interoperability and standards, which is relevant for all members. The implementation of the innovation platform concept could also take the following forms: • The concept could be borrowed from projects like the International Space Station (ISS). As with the ISS, each nation could focus on specializing in a particular “module” or concept that is relevant to NATO as a whole. • A NATO Steering Group on innovation could be founded—or created as a subcommittee of the Defense Policy and Planning Committee, Partnerships and Cooperative Security Committee, or Conference of National Armaments Directors—with representation that is proportional to the amount a member spends. In order to promote the idea of an innovation platform to private partners or venture capital- ists, this concept could be presented in the NATO Industry Forum for feedback and further refine- ment. In this process, the following aspects should be emphasized to highlight the added value for private partners: • As NATO would be sponsoring high-risk/high- reward startups, companies would benefit from buying in early. The Boston Dynamics case and Google are examples of this benefit. • Venture capitalists could join in for companies that produce dual-use goods that are also relevant for the civil market (e.g., autonomous cars, robots, machine learning, technologies for protecting critical infrastructure, cybersecurity solutions etc.). NATO could formalize its approach to the study of dual-use technologies
  • 13. 13 ATLANTIC COUNCIL YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT strategic communicators must study and demar- cate audiences, identify behavioral and attitudinal goals, design and disseminate targeted content, and assess to what degree those goals are being met. A common component of hybrid warfare is the persistent dissemination of disinformation, aimed at fomenting sympathy or weakening opposition toward adversarial actions. Ensuring audiences are resistant to such efforts is the primary purpose of the friendly strategic-commu- nications effort. Accrued credibility, associated with an ongoing, well-executed strategic commu- nications effort, can deter these adversarial attempts. NATO should coordinate multinational intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) efforts to infuse strong situational aware- ness of audience behaviors and attitudes into strategic-communications audience analysis and assessment. A narrative is a story explaining past events while suggesting a particular set of future outcomes. The narrative ultimately manifests itself in the actions of the individuals to whom it was targeted. The individuals can range from a separatist fighter in eastern Ukraine to a Pashtun farmer to a Boston voter. NATO’s narrative might aim to prime these distinct groups, such that they will be more receptive to specific messaging aimed at influ- encing behaviors and attitudes relevant to specific issues. For the above examples, respectively, these might include inducements to abandon combat, incentives to report illegal activities, and educa- tion of the benefits of NATO in the United States. While these are diverse audiences targeted with vastly different messages, for these specific actions to have the desired impact, NATO must have the credibility associated with a resilient, enduring narrative. The narrative itself is a singular concept, with issue- and region-specific details nesting within it. With the speed of information diffusion in the “information age,” attempts to compartmentalize these conceptualizations of history and the future will be met with a loss of credibility. NATO can add significant value in this area by eliminating information fratricide from member states that might be portraying history differently from one another and, in turn, extrapolating slightly different futures. A coordinated strategic-commu- nications effort at the NATO level can leverage the diversity of NATO member states to overcome cultural myopias inherent to a single-state perspective. investigate the option of combating hybrid threats with its own hybrid capabilities. Another popular topic was whether hybrid attacks would or should invoke Article 5. After debate and analysis with its senior mentor, the group came up with the following. Strategic priorities/objectives in the form of ques- tions beginning “how might we. . .”: • close the intelligence gap between the hybrid activities we know are happening and those we don’t, which are already actively “preparing the battlespace” by creating unstable environments? • Deter and prevent hybrid attacks? • Respond to hybrid attacks? • Develop offensive hybrid capabilities? The three main presentations chose to focus on clusters of the best ideas chosen from the Impor- tance-Difficulty Matrix. The clusters were: build member unity, solidarity and consensus on what counts as “hybrid,” address hybrid vulnerabilities in order to command the narrative, and focus on cyber threats, as well as enhance offensive cyber capabilities. Recommended Actions: 1. Build member unity, solidarity, and consensus on what counts as “hybrid” The presentation focused on building a consensus within the Alliance regarding hybrid threats. Participants determined that a political consensus was required first, followed by a greater integra- tion of the Alliance’s military capabilities. They suggested that setting up a NATO working group on the use of hybrid warfare, both by adversaries and NATO members, could provide a basis for further consensus within the Alliance. The goal was to achieve cohesion at the operational, tactical, strategic, and political levels, which the group concluded would be more effective in fending off hybrid threats. The poster for this group can be found in the annex. 2. Shore up hybrid vulnerabilities among member nations that would allow adversaries to “prepare the battlespace,” or create advantageous conditions, especially in strategic communication, education, and controlling the public narrative The presentation outlined central tenants of the standing strategic-communications doctrine. With an aim of commanding the narrative, NATO
  • 14. ATLANTIC COUNCIL 14 YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT Needless to say, purely offensive cyber capabilities would support NATO’s conventional forces, empower most of the intelligence operations, and help exploit the hybrid-warfare field as its adversaries do. It is even easier for NATO-allied countries to cooperate on offensive cyber capabili- ties, as the physical requirement of redeploying forces does not apply to cyber warriors in many cases. However, a unified command structure for cyber operations would be required to coordinate the efforts and direct its operations in a timely manner. The poster for this group can be found in the annex. Senior Mentor: Hon. Franklin D. Kramer, Atlantic Council Board Member Rapporteur: Daniel Bennett, Assistant Director, Millennium Leadership Program, Atlantic Council Delegates: Mr. Zack Bazzi, Co-Founder, TentEd; Ms. Hanne Bursch, Program Specialist, US Institute of Peace; Mr. Sinan Eraydin, Graduate Student, George Washington University; Mr. John-Paul Gravelines, Graduate Student, Virginia Poly- technic University; Ms. Whitney Grespin, Director of Interna- tional Relations, Precision Integrated Programs; Ms. Katherine Kranz Jordan, Master of Law and Diplomacy Candidate, the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University; Ms. Lina Karklina,Research Associate, Center for European Anal- ysis; Mr. James Kirchick, Fellow, Foreign Policy Initiative; Ms. Sarah Lohschelder, Legal Research Associate, Public Interna- tional Law and Policy Group; Mr. Dorin Munteanu, Research Associate, Center for European Analysis; Mr. Camille Vaillon, Consultant, World Bank; Mr. Damien Van Puyvelde, Assistant Professor of Security Studies, University of Texas at El Paso PART 3. KEY TAKEAWAYS AND COMMON THEMES Over the course of the event, a number of common themes emerged from every group’s discussions and suggestions. These themes were often developed or explained relative to each group’s specific topic, but they all shared similar sentiments. The most prominent recurring themes are listed below. Joint Measures within NATO One extremely common theme that arose in every group was a desire for greater cooperation between NATO member nations. While NATO has worked toward such a sentiment for its entire lifespan, the delegates felt that it should focus on a few specific areas. The first and most frequently mentioned was increased efforts for joint procurement, which every group felt would yield substantial practical and diplo- matic benefits. Each group also independently stressed Internal communications within these NATO structures, and related national structures, must not be neglected. The NATO narrative must be understood from the Secretary General down to the newest private. With the diffusion of media-generation technology, such as social media, nearly any NATO associate can become an inadvertent touch-point between NATO and its audiences. This “strategic corporal” concept must be addressed through some measure of coordination between NATO strategic communi- cators and national training-and-doctrine representatives. Representation of the NATO narrative must be as consistent as possible, in order to ensure its credibility. The poster for this group can be found in the annex. 3. Focus on the cyber threat and enhance offensive cyber capabilities The presentation focused on developing NATO’s cyber capabilities. Participants divided their suggestions into two groups: defensive cyber and offensive cyber. In defensive cyber, they decided that NATO needed to maintain command-and-con- trol infrastructure, support member nations in developing cyber defenses, and offer logistical and intelligence support to partners. In offensive cyber, they stated that NATO needed to advance signals-intelligence (SIGINT) operations, assert control over intangible actors, and link cyberat- tacks with kinetic repercussions, but NATO must also achieve strategic goals without declaring war. Furthermore, the group advocated interaction and engagement with hacker communities. Developing cyber capabilities beyond merely defensive applications is recommended for any force willing to have a stable and continuous presence in cyberspace. Deploying countermea- sures during defensive cyber operations requires at least some degree of cyber-offensive expertise, and helps the management of risks throughout the cyber incident. Mitigation strategies benefit from the “hack-back” principle, and work hand-in-hand with offense, as well as defense, operations. It is also very important to keep in mind that cyber adversaries are calculating their costs and gains, and making a feasibility analysis before they decide to launch an attack. Cyber offensive capabilities would contribute to the deterrence factor, and would help keep less-sophisticated, high-volume attacks at bay.
  • 15. 15 ATLANTIC COUNCIL YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT the importance of joint asset ownership, and greater efforts to increase interoperability. Adoption of Best Practices from Innovative Organizations Each group stressed the numerous benefits for NATO in interacting with and acquiring best practices from innovative organizations. The suggestions for achieving this goal differed from group to group, but each agreed that NATO should seek out experts from such organizations. It was thought that the inclusion of innovative practices and thinking from outside the traditional NATO community would be necessary for NATO to address unconventional threats. Further Integration with Other International Organizations and the Private Sector Many groups decided that NATO should focus on greater cooperation with other international organiza- tions which it overlaps with ideologically, politically, geographically, or simply in terms of its goals and functions, as well as with industrial and financial actors in the private sector. Such coordination would reduce duplication of efforts and materials, and allow for greater resource pooling and allocation. Some candidates for cooperation included the European Union, the United Nations, the African Union, OSCE, and ASEAN. The infusion of private-sector interests and investments would increase NATO’s capacity to invest in new technologies and expand its current military capabilities, while allowing NATO to establish common standards across producers, which would enhance interoperability. Potential private-sector partners included companies from the military-industrial sector and venture capitalists. Improved Strategic Communications Early on in their discussions, every group decided that NATO needs to aggressively develop its strategic-com- munication capabilities. It is important for NATO to effectively disseminate a compelling narrative that is capable of forging stronger relationships within the NATO Alliance but also without, with partner nations and unaffiliated populations. Strategic communications were also identified as a critical tool to overcome the hybrid-warfare challenge and keep NATO relevant. Specifically, delegates identified improved social-media capabilities as a low-cost way to achieve a wide variety of outcomes, including controlling the narrative and pursuing public diplomacy both inside of and outside of the Alliance’s borders.
  • 16. ATLANTIC COUNCIL 16 YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT priorities or objectives that NATO should set in order to address the assigned challenge. Senior mentors were instructed to inform the group’s debate, but not to impose their own viewpoints or judge which strategic priorities were the “best” or “correct.” Ultimately, the goal of YP Day was to capture the opinions of the participants. Participants were asked to phrase their proposed strategic priorities and objectives in the form of “how might we. . .” (HMW) or “how might NATO. . .” questions. This phrasing was chosen because of its effectiveness for launching solutions-oriented discussions. HMW questions encourage a wider range of ideas and facili- tate creative, out-of-the-box thinking. Further details on the power of HMW statements can be found in the Harvard Business Review article titled “The Secret Phrase Top Innovators Use.” The phrasing instruction was also intended to produce outputs from the first session that could easily be uniformly plugged into the exercises planned for the rest of the day. The Creative Matrix Following the HMW discussions, participants transi- tioned into a series of Design Thinking modules known as the “Creative Matrix” and the “Importance-Difficulty Matrix.” These exercises were led by Joshua Marcuse and Zvika Krieger, professional facilitators who were trained by the LUMA Institute, a global education company that is among the leading instructors of human-centered design, and who have led workshops for government employees in the national-security and foreign-policy sectors. ANNEX. DESIGN THINKING AND CONCEPT POSTERS This section describes in greater detail the method- ology used throughout the YP Day event—Design Thinking—which yielded the results captured in this report. Design Thinking is used by many Fortune 500 companies and is taught at top business schools as a cutting-edge tool for strategy and management. A number of government agencies, including the US Department of State and the Department of Defense, are at the vanguard of applying these tools to develop policy solutions. More details on Design Thinking can be found on the website of the LUMA Institute, a professional design thinking education organization. The Design Thinking process used in YP Day includes the following four exercises: • producing “how might we” questions; • the Creative Matrix; • the Importance-Difficulty Matrix; and • concept posters and final presentations. “How Might We” Questions The first part of the exercise consisted of working group discussions featuring senior thought leaders as “senior mentors” for each group. During this session, each group was tasked with generating four strategic Delegates discuss the positioning of ideas along the Importance-Difficulty Matrix. Senior mentor, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow Ian Brzez- inski, participates in the “Preparing NATO to Meet Its Ambitions” working-group discussion.
  • 17. 17 ATLANTIC COUNCIL YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT The Importance-Difficulty Matrix The second module, the “Importance-Difficulty Matrix,” utilized the outputs from the Creative Matrix. Each delegate was asked to pick an idea, other than their own, that they considered the best from the heavily populated creative matrices. These ideas were then used to populate a second matrix that plotted impor- tance along one axis and difficulty along the other. Through this process, delegates prioritized and evalu- ated each idea based on its potential impact and the cost of implementation. By the end of this exercise, the delegates had ranked each idea and grouped them into thematic clusters. Concept Posters and Presentations The final exercise consisted of developing a “concept poster.” The goal of this module is to flesh out the clusters of top ideas, using both textual and visual tools, and produce a substantive proposal for the final presentation. Each topic group split up into several smaller “poster groups” to address one of the clusters of ideas generated by the Importance-Difficulty Matrix. After finishing the posters, each group presented its recommendations to a panel featuring: NATO-ACT Deputy Chief of Staff for Strategic Plans and Policy, Brigadier General Matthew Brand; Deputy Chairman of the NATO Military Committee, Lieutenant General Mark Commander Transformation of NATO; Political Advisor to the Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and Supreme Allied Commander Transformation, Ambas- sador Karen B. Stewart. The distinguished panel gave each group feedback regarding their ideas and made suggestions for improvement. In the weeks immediately after the event concluded, the Atlantic Council worked with the delegates to trans- The first module was the “Creative Matrix,” which aims to democratize the idea-creation process while also rapidly generating a great number of new and different ideas. For YP Day, these ideas were based on NATO’s unique capabilities and the specific strategic priorities set for each group. The groups created interactive matrices by arranging four HMW questions on the Y axis of the matrix, and a row of predetermined NATO “enablers” on the X axis. The result was a chart with twenty-four boxes, which each delegate was instructed to populate with ideas written on Post-it notes. The assigned enablers, which reflected tools in NATO’s “toolbox,” were: • public diplomacy; • resources and funding; • technology; • weapons/military capabilities; • political tools; and • “wild card,” covering enablers that may not be included in the five previous categories. By the end of the Creative Matrix module, the groups had generated more than five hundred different ideas for how NATO might accomplish the strategic priorities generated in the earlier session. Delegates present their concept posters to the panel. YP Day participants populate the Creative Matrix, mounted on the wall, with Post-it notes.
  • 18. ATLANTIC COUNCIL 18 YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT Lieutenant General Mark O. Schissler, Ambassador Karen B. Stewart, and Brigadier General Matthew L. Brand pro- vide feedback to presenting delegates. form their posters and the panel’s feedback into this report, which also highlights key takeaways from the event. The following portion of the report covers the strategic priorities and objectives produced by each group, as well as their top ideas for achieving those objectives.
  • 19. 19 ATLANTIC COUNCIL YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT NATO’s Strategic Perspective: Rising Challenges in the East Poster from NATO’s East Group recommending to spend NATO’s money more effectively. Poster from NATO’s East Group recommending that the Alliance focuses on deterrence and reassurance. Poster from NATO’s East Group recommending that NATO focuses on common interests with Russia.
  • 20. ATLANTIC COUNCIL 20 YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT NATO’s Strategic Perspective: Rising Challenges in NATO’s South– North Africa and the Middle East Poster from NATO’s Ambitions Group recommending an increased focus on NATO’s nonmilitary capabilities. Poster from NATO’s Ambitions Group recommending an overhaul of defense spending and capabilities. Poster from NATO’s Ambitions Group recommending that the Alliance focuses on its public-diplomacy concerns.
  • 21. 21 ATLANTIC COUNCIL YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT Poster from NATO’s South Group recommanding a new outreach strategy. Poster from NATO’s South Group recommending a strategic vision for a more connected NATO community. Poster from NATO’s South Group recommending a new and reformed NATO military structure. Preparing NATO to Meet Its Ambitions
  • 22. ATLANTIC COUNCIL 22 YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT Poster from NATO’s Innovation Group recommending a new innovative program for the Alliance. Poster from NATO’s Innovation Group recommending a structural rejuvenation and reinvigoration of NATO leadership and hierarchy. Poster from NATO’s Innovation Group recommending the creation of a new innovation platform. Innovation as a Game Changer for the Alliance
  • 23. 23 ATLANTIC COUNCIL YOUNG PROFESSIONALS DAY 2015 FINAL REPORT Hybrid Warfare and its Implications for NATO Poster from Hybrid Warfare Group recommending an increased focus on member consensus and solidarity. Poster from Hybrid Warfare Group recommending an increased focus on the Alliance’s Strategic Communications. Poster from Hybrid Warfare Group recommending increased development of NATO’s cyber capabilities.
  • 24. CHAIRMAN *Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. INTERNATIONAL ADVISORY BOARD Brent Scowcroft PRESIDENT AND CEO *Frederick Kempe EXECUTIVE VICE CHAIRS *Adrienne Arsht *Stephen J. Hadley VICE CHAIRS *Robert J. Abernethy *Richard Edelman *C. Boyden Gray *George Lund *Virginia A. Mulberger *W. DeVier Pierson *John Studzinski TREASURER *Brian C. McK. Henderson SECRETARY *Walter B. Slocombe DIRECTORS Stephane Abrial Odeh Aburdene Peter Ackerman Timothy D. Adams John Allen Michael Andersson Michael Ansari Richard L. Armitage David D. Aufhauser Elizabeth F. Bagley Peter Bass *Rafic Bizri *Thomas L. Blair Francis Bouchard Myron Brilliant Esther Brimmer *R. Nicholas Burns *Richard R. Burt Michael Calvey James E. Cartwright John E. Chapoton Ahmed Charai Sandra Charles George Chopivsky Wesley K. Clark David W. Craig *Ralph D. Crosby, Jr. Nelson Cunningham Ivo H. Daalder Gregory R. Dahlberg *Paula J. Dobriansky Christopher J. Dodd Conrado Dornier Patrick J. Durkin Thomas J. Edelman Thomas J. Egan, Jr. *Stuart E. Eizenstat Thomas R. Eldridge Julie Finley Lawrence P. Fisher, II Alan H. Fleischmann Michèle Flournoy *Ronald M. Freeman Laurie Fulton *Robert S. Gelbard Thomas Glocer *Sherri W. Goodman Mikael Hagström Ian Hague John D. Harris II Frank Haun Michael V. Hayden Annette Heuser *Karl Hopkins Robert Hormats *Mary L. Howell Robert E. Hunter Wolfgang Ischinger Reuben Jeffery, III Robert Jeffrey *James L. Jones, Jr. George A. Joulwan Lawrence S. Kanarek Stephen R. Kappes Maria Pica Karp Francis J. Kelly, Jr. Zalmay M. Khalilzad Robert M. Kimmitt Henry A. Kissinger Franklin D. Kramer Philip Lader *Richard L. Lawson *Jan M. Lodal Jane Holl Lute William J. Lynn Izzat Majeed Wendy W. Makins Mian M. Mansha William E. Mayer Allan McArtor Eric D.K. Melby Franklin C. Miller James N. Miller *Judith A. Miller *Alexander V. Mirtchev Obie L. Moore *George E. Moose Georgette Mosbacher Steve C. Nicandros Thomas R. Nides Franco Nuschese Joseph S. Nye Sean O’Keefe Hilda Ochoa-Brillembourg Ahmet Oren *Ana Palacio Carlos Pascual Thomas R. Pickering Daniel B. Poneman Daniel M. Price *Andrew Prozes Arnold L. Punaro *Kirk A. Radke Teresa M. Ressel Charles O. Rossotti Stanley O. Roth Robert Rowland Harry Sachinis William O. Schmieder John P. Schmitz Brent Scowcroft Alan J. Spence James Stavridis Richard J.A. Steele *Paula Stern Robert J. Stevens John S. Tanner *Ellen O. Tauscher Karen Tramontano Clyde C. Tuggle Paul Twomey Melanne Verveer Enzo Viscusi Charles F. Wald Jay Walker Michael F. Walsh Mark R. Warner David A. Wilson Maciej Witucki Mary C. Yates Dov S. Zakheim HONORARY DIRECTORS David C. Acheson Madeleine K. Albright James A. Baker, III Harold Brown Frank C. Carlucci, III Robert M. Gates Michael G. Mullen Leon E. Panetta William J. Perry Colin L. Powell Condoleezza Rice Edward L. Rowny George P. Shultz John W. Warner William H. Webster *Executive Committee Members List as of April 14, 2015 Atlantic Council Board of Directors
  • 25. The Atlantic Council is a nonpartisan organization that ­promotes constructive US leadership and engagement in ­international ­affairs based on the central role of the Atlantic community in ­meeting today’s global ­challenges. © 2015 The Atlantic Council of the United States. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the Atlantic Council, except in the case of brief quotations in news articles, critical articles, or reviews. Please direct inquiries to: Atlantic Council 1030 15th Street, NW, 12th Floor, Washington, DC 20005 (202) 463-7226, www.AtlanticCouncil.org