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ijcrb.webs.com                                                                      SEPTEMBER 2011
   INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS                       VOL 3, NO 5


 Porter Five Forces Analysis of Pakistan Mobiles Communication Limited
                     (Mobilink): A Critical Approach

                                           Akhtar Munir
                                 Retail Sales Officer in Mobilink.
                                      Afnan Khan Saddozai
                   Management Trainee Officer in National Bank of Pakistan
                                       Dr.Bakhtiar khattak
       Chairman: Department of Business Administration, Gomal University, D,I.Khan
                                       Dr.Shumaila Hashim
              Lecturer: Dept of Bus.Administration, Gomal University, D.I.Khan.
This paper has written as a part of academic research, on the basis of data availability. The
analysis is based on researchers’ own understanding; company’s management may disagree
with it.

Abstract
This paper attempts to analyze the intensity of competition within industry for Mobilink on
the basis of Porter five forces model. Study indicates that although it is a market leader in
cellular sector in Pakistan yet it has strong rivals. Further more subscribers’ switching cost is
low. So the company is required to must consider these two factors in policy formulation. On
the other hand position of forces like suppliers and substitutes availability and potential entry
of new entrants is weak.
Key Words: Mobilink, Pakistan, Porter Analysis, Subscribers, Suppliers, Rivals
JEL Classification: F23, L25, L63, L96, N7
Introduction
Environmental scanning is the most important step in strategic management process, which is
conducted to find out all those trends and events that can influence an organizational
efficiency in both positive and negative way. Internal environmental analysis helps in finding
strengthen and weaken areas of the firm. While in external environmental scanning we
analyze external forces like economic, political, cultural, technological and competition. This
analysis helps to understand that what are the threats for an organization’s successful survival
and what are the available opportunities. Thus with the help of strength we can face threats
and opportunities help to minimize or reduce the weaknesses.

The main purpose of this research paper is to conduct Porter Five Forces analysis of
Mobilink, to find the intensity of competition with in the industry.
This study is organized as follow:
Mobilink’s profile.
Literature review
Critical analysis
Conclusion
Suggestions




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   INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS                     VOL 3, NO 5
Mobilink’s profile

Mobilink launched its operation in August 1994 after it was founded in 1990 as a joint
venture between Motorola and Saif group. Mobilink was awarded a license for mobile
communication system and services in July 1992, and commenced its operation in 1994,
becoming the first company in Pakistan to setup and operate a digital mobile network based
on GSM 900 technology. Mobilink was awarded a license for 15 years in July 1992 to
establish and operate. In July 2000, PTA indicated that Mobilink license would be renewed
on 5th July, 2007 for the further period of 15 years. PTA confirmed the following payment
schedule: US$ 14.55 million will be payable in each of July 2007, January 2008, July 2008
and January 2009; US$ 29.1 million to be payable in each of July 2009, January 2010 and
July 2010 and the balance of the fee will be paid in ten equal installments of US$14.55
million with first installment payable in July 2011(http://www.Orascomtelecom.com) On 26th
June,2006, Mobilink was granted another Azad Jamu & Kashmir and Northern areas license
for a period of 15 years (Orascom telecom, annual report,2008).

Mobilink markets its prepaid services using the Jazz trade name and its post-paid services
using the brand name Indigo. In addition to the basic voice services, Mobilink also provide its
subscribers other services like voice mail, closed user group, SMS, call waiting/holding, call
forwarding, caller’s line identification presentation, free minutes services such as MMS,
mobile banking, caller ring back tone, Jazz karaoke , comedy box and cell secure (Orascom
telecom, annual report,2008).

Table 1 shows the performance review of Mobilink.

     Table: 1     REVIEW OF MOBILINK PERFORMANCE

    Items                     2004         2005           2006         2007        2008
    Revenue                  379,484      732,594       1,017,239    1,263,901   1,207,520

    (US$, 000)
    EBITDA(US$,              212,410      292,928        406,537     554,905     491,664
    000)
    EBITDA margin              56.0         40.0             40.0      43.9        40.7
    (%)
    ARPU US$                   9.7           6.7             4.1        3.8         3.0

    (3 months)
    MOU (YTD)                  173          156              130       149         172

Source: Orascom Telecom Limited (Annual reports 2004-2008)




COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research                           705
ijcrb.webs.com                                                                         SEPTEMBER 2011
   INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS                          VOL 3, NO 5
LITERATURE REVIEW

Let we take the review of literature:

Porter (1980) gave the idea of deployment of five forces for the industry analysis. These five
forces are (1) the threats of substitute products or services (2) the threats of the entry of the
new competitors (3) the intensity of competitive rivalry (4) the bargaining power of buyers
(5) the bargaining power of suppliers. He said that these forces jointly determine the
competitive intensity of a firm with in the industry. Strength of these forces leads to lower
profitability of an organization and vice versa.

Wheelen & Hunger (2002) also considered Porter’s approach for industry analysis but he also
included sixth force i.e. relative power of other stakeholders. These include governments,
local communities, trade associations, special interest groups, unions, shareholders and
complementors.

Pearce and Robinson (2005) and Johnson and Scholes (2002) mentioned that Porter’s model
provides an easy and simple approach for industry analyses. This model also provides an
opportunity to take important decisions like whether to enter in a particular industry or to
leave it. This is also a very simple tool in the hands of strategists to determine the profitability
position of a firm.


Tomi et al (2007), studied on past, present and future of mobile service payment by using
Porter’s five competitive forces model (consumer power, merchant power, new e- payment
service, traditional payment service and competition between m-payment service providers)
and four contingency forces like social environment, commercial environment, technological
environment and legal/regulatory environment. They were in view that factors like social
environment and traditional payment service were never considered earlier in research work.
Little consideration was given to the five factors like commercial environment,
legal/regulatory environment, merchant power, new e-payment services and competition
between m-payment service providers. While highly studied factors were technological
environment and consumer power. According to them there is no clear relationship between
mobile service payments, electronic payments, traditional service payments and banking
services. Further more he also stressed that business to business commerce should also be
given more attention.

Cafferky (2005) and Goold(1997) proved that Porter’s framework of five forces is not
applicable in case of religious organization. Since instead of five forces, the force of mission,
faith and loyalty determines organizational efficiency and profitability.


Discussion/Critical Analysis
We critically analyze the performance of Mobilink by considering Porter five forces model.

1. Intensity of Competition Among Rivals
Mobilink has strong rivals in telecommunication sector of Pakistan like Telenor and U-fone.
In 1994 it had only two competitors (Paktel and Instphone) now this figure has jumped to six.
All these companies are providing similar services with the same capabilities. Although it has
enhanced its investment in last few years and working hard to expand its network (compare

COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research                             706
ijcrb.webs.com                                                                      SEPTEMBER 2011
   INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS                       VOL 3, NO 5
Mobilink’s investment and cell sites with its rivals, table 2 & 3 respectively) in far-flung
areas and to offer qualitative products yet the presence of strong competitors is a major threat
for its successful survival.



Table: 2 Total investment in Cellular Sector (US$M)
Company 2004          2004-05     2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09
Mobilink 534.0        459.0       679.0     591.0      918.74     270
Ufone       89.0      162.0       59.0       232.0     174.0      215
Zong        32.0      236.0       81.0       704.0     200.25     -
Ins         11.1      29.3        -         8.5        0.31       204
Telenor     -         259.5       352.0     761.0      564.74     374
Warid       -         198.1       155.9      422.2     479.63     167
Total       666.1     1,314.9     1,326.9   2,718.7    2,395.7    1,230
Source: Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, Annual Report, 2008, 2009.


Table:3 Cell Sites by Cellular Companies
Name           2003-04    2004-05    2005-06      2006-07      2007-08            2008-09
Mobilink       1,164      2,392      3,935        5,522        7,339              7,903
Ufone          327        808        1,094        1,644        3,471              4,893
Instaphone 211            211        211          211          211                211
Zong           248        218        872          1,163        2,328              4,688
Telenor        -          403        1,738        3255         5,017              6,088
Warid          -          505        855          1,930        3,152              4,341
Total          1,950      4,537      8,705        13,725       21,518             28,124
Source: Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, Annual Report, 2008, 2009.

To get competitive advantage Mobilink offered many strategies regarding features and price
of products. For example first time in Pakistan in Dec, 2005 it has introduced the services of
blackberry through its GPRS platform and still he is sole provider of the mentioned service in
Pakistan(Orascom telecom , annual report, 2007).

Although Mobilink is still market leader but its market share and revenue has greatly eaten by
rivals as shown in table 4 and 5 respectively.

Table 4: Market Share by Subscriber (%)
Years        Mobilink Telenor        Ufone       Warid        Instaphone         Zong
2002-03      46.0       -            23.0        -            18.0               13.0
2003-04      64.0       -            16.0        -            11.0               9.0
2004-05      56.5       6.7          21.1        6.4          2.6                6.7
2005-06      50.0       10.0         22.0        14.0         1.0                3.0
2006-07      41.0       17.0         22.0        17.0         1.0                2.0
2007-08      36.4       20.6         20.6        17.6         0.4                4.5
2008-        30.9       21.9         21.4        19.0         0.3                6.5
09,Mar.
Source: Economic Survey of Pakistan (2007-08, 2008-09),
        Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, Annual Report, 2005, 2008.

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   INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS                      VOL 3, NO 5

Table 5: Total Revenue by Operators (Rs. In Million)
Company       2004-05    2005-06     2006-07     2007-08       2008-09
Mobilink      34,456     54,065      64,654      73,936        83,271
U-Fone        8,599      16,098      21,867      27,455        40,060
Zong          2,400      3,329       2,897       2,585         8,274
Instaphone 2,693         1,539       472         260           24
Telenor       565        6,338       22,837      45,081        51,561
Warid         168        8,527       20,405      26,805        29,233
Total         48,881     89,896      133,132     182,122       212,423
Source: Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, Annual Report, 2008, 2009.

Tough competition has also declined company’s average revenue per user. Table 6 gives a
comparison of average revenue per user (ARPU) of Mobilink and its rivals.

Table 6: Cellular Mobile ARPU/m (US $)
Years      Mobilink Ufone          Zong        Instaphone Telenor Warid              Total
2006-07 3.8              2.8       3.3         2.1           4.0         2.5         3.2
2007-08 3.5              2.1       1.6         0.9           3.9         2.7         3.1
2009       3.04          2.20      1.52        0.08          2.80        1.83        2.48
Source: Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, Annual Report, 2008, 2009.
Data shows that Mobilink’s revenue, subscribers and ARPU is declining day by day because
of strong policies of competitors.
2. Bargaining Power of Buyer
Although subscribers are not concentrated, not purchase in bulk but still can easily switch for
better quality, coverage and rates. In this context subscribers’ position is strong. Company by
all means will consider the wishes of its users. From the data 2000 to 2009 we can check that
Mobilink’s subscribers has increased in each year although the rate of growth has shown
declining trend due to the presence of competitors’ services. Table 7 presents a comparison of
the number of subscribers of Mobilink with its rivals:
Table 7: Cellular Subscribers
Year Mobilink ufone               Zong        Instaphone Telenor           Warid           Total
2000 114,272           -          80,221      112,000        -             -               306,493
2001 309,272           116,711 96,623         220,000        -             -               742,606
2002 800,000           350,000 218,536 330,000               -             -               1,698,536
2003 1,115,000 550,000 319,400 420,000                       -             -               2,404,400
2004 3,215,989 801,160 470,021 535,738                       -             -               5,022,908
2005 7,469,085 2,579,10 924,486 454,147                      835,727       508,727         12,771,203
                       3
2006 17,205,555 7,487,00 1,040,50 336,696                    3,573,660 4,863,138           34,506,557
                       5          3
2007 26,466,451 14,014,0 1,024,56 333,081                    10,701,33 10,620,386          63,159,857
                       44         3                          2
2008 32,032,363 18,100,4 3,950,75 351,135                    18,125,18 15,489,858          88,019,812
                       40         8                          9
2009, 30,480,398 18,361,0 6,869,17 1,073                     22,279,44 18,718,419          96,709,585
Nov                    72         4                          9
Source:http://www.pta.gov.pk


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   INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS                         VOL 3, NO 5
 Because of high level coverage and marketing activities, it has won the market. Since
subscribers’ switching cost is low so they can easily move to the new service provider.

3. Threats from Substitutes
Presence and easy availability of substituted products is a great threat for the successful
survival of any organization since it can enforce the company to cut the price of its product.
For Mobilink’s product substituted products are fixed line and wireless. These two products
are offering by many companies like Pakistan Telecommunication Company Limited
(PTCL), National Telecommunication Corporation (NTC), World Call, Wateen, Great Bear
etc. For substituted products Mobilink has major threat from PTCL that has 3,387,495 fixed
line and 1,300,121 wireless local loop subscribers up to March, 2009(http://www.pta.gov.pk).
Mobilink has coverage area of more than 10,000 cities, towns and villages and providing
international               roaming                services              in               130
countries(http://www.mobilinkgsm.com/coverage/index.php). In 2008, Mobilink launched its
wireless broadband services under the brand name of ‘Infinity’ which offers high speed
internet as well as telephony services through VOIP(Voice for internet protocol) (Orascom
telecom, annual report, 2007) . On the other hand PTCL has 1,451 Wireless Local Loop
(WLL) cell sites and has total 135,886 Public Call Offices (PCos) out of which 121,358
Local Loop, and 14,528WLL. While, Mobilink has only 61,229 mobile PCOs up to June,
2008.(Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, annual report,2008). Importability of these
substitutes has reduced their attraction.

4. Potential Entry of New Competitors
Since current telecom companies are too much strong not only from technology and
experience view point but also involve in heavy capital investment so chances of success for
new entrants are very limited or simply no. U-fone, Warid and Telenor one by one entered in
the Market and threatened Mobilink’s market position but this was also an opportunity for
Mobilink to improve its performance. But now the market is fully saturated and there is no
room for new investors. So the company has no danger of further new entry but it has to be
focused on the existing enemies.


Bargaining Power of Suppliers
Mobilink takes no services from employment agencies for its human resource. It gives
advertisement in newspapers or use employees’ references for new appointments.
For Mobilink various physical goods suppliers’ are following:

M-Link is a Luxembourg based subsidiary that provides gateway services for Orascom
Telecom operations in Pakistan. It interconnects the traffic with international carriers, in and
out of the Pakistan based on price and delivery capabilities for final delivery around the
world. M-link acts as control centre for all satellites operations and interactions with all of the
various international carrier networks. OTH owns 100% share of M-Link.Orascom owns
100% and 51% of Med Cables and TWA (Trans World Associates) respectively. These two
subsidiaries operate undersea fiber optic cables to carry international voice and data traffic
between two of its most significant markets and international telecommunication hubs in
Europe and the Middle East. The undersea cable will connect respectively Algeria and
Pakistan with France and United Arab Emirates. Alcatel Submarine networks and Tyco
Telecommunications have supplied the infrastructure for the two subsidiaries. Ring
Distribution provides GSM (Global System for Mobiles) operators with a range of services
including retail franchise, product customization, logistics, supply chain management and

COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research                            709
ijcrb.webs.com                                                                    SEPTEMBER 2011
   INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS                     VOL 3, NO 5
customer care and service centre. Ring is the distributor of handsets and is responsible for
procurement SIM (Subscribers Identification Module) and scratch cards for Orascom
Telecom subsidiaries. Orascom Telecom holds 99% of the share of Ring. Oraslnvest is 100%
owned by Orascom Telecom that operates under the name of MobiServe and Servitec in six
countries like Pakistan, Egypt,Algeria,UAE ,Tunisia and Bangladesh. MobiServe provides
various services like telecommunication infrastructure, telecom components’ manufacturing,
telecom engineering, satellite service, civil constructions and facility management. Servitec’s
services include digital printing and enveloping, delivery, cash collection, CD burning,
investigation, packaging and call center outsourcing(Orascom telecom , annual report,2007).

Motorola entered in an agreement with Mobilink to deploy a WiMAX (Worldwide
Interoperability for Microwave Access, a technology that allows broad band access))
802.16e-2005 access network for the operator in the country. According to an agreement,
Motorola will design, plan, deploy and optimize a WiMAX network for Mobilink, deliver
integration and support services as well as indoor and outdoor customer premises equipments
(CPE) units to enable faster adaptation of the operator’s WiMAX offerings. This network will
enable Mobilink to extend its current services beyond data and cellular offering to high speed
broadband and VoIP services for fixed line residential and business subscribers (the NEWS,
2007). Since Orascom Telecom has followed the strategy of backward integration so its
subsidiaries has no danger or uncertainty from suppliers.



Conclusion
There are so many studies in the world on the application of Porter five forces model but very
little work has done on telecom sector especially in Pakistan. So this study was chosen under
same consideration. This research work deals with the application of Porter five forces model
in case of Mobilink.

Analysis indicates that although to meet competition Mobilink is struggling hard but the
presence of strong rivals has greatly cut its market share. While formulating different
strategies it has to be careful from substituted goods as well from its subscribers, since
although Mobilink is following market penetration, market development and product
development strategies but still through media subscribers’ awareness is high about various
companies’ packages. Mobilink has no threats or uncertainties from suppliers since almost all
suppliers are owned by parent company itself. Adoption of this backward integration strategy
makes the power of suppliers weak.

We can analyze the position of Mobilink by rating each competitive force as high, medium or
low in strength.




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   INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS                     VOL 3, NO 5
Forces                High                        Medium             Low
Rivalry among             •
competitors
Threats from new                                                         •
entrants
Threats from                                          •
substitutes
Power of suppliers                                                       •
Power of buyers           •
Source: Researchers’ analysis

Thus from above discussion we conclude that the presence of rivals and power of buyers are
the main areas that need company’s management serious attention.

Suggestions

Following suggestions may be offered to help the company to maintain its current status:

    1. Company may follow the strategy of horizontal integration by taking the decision of
       merger or acquisition with any of its one or two rivals. In this way not only skill and
       assets of company will enhance but its strength in the market in terms of market share
       will also improve.
    2. In order to avoid the danger of substituted services, company may offer fixed line
       services at attractive packages especially in those areas where PTCL is unable to offer
       the mentioned service.
    3. Company should offer special packages for students/ education sector since they are
       the main service users.




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   INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS               VOL 3, NO 5
References

About Orascom telecom (2006). Available at http://www.orascomtelecom.com.

Area Coverage- Mobilink. Available at http://www.mobilinkgsm.com/coverage/index.php,
Jan, 07, 2010

Cafferky.E.M. (2005), The Porter Five Forces Industry Analysis Framework for Religious
Non-profits: A Conceptual Analysis. 25th Annual CBFA Conference, Point Loma Nazarene
University

Goold,M.(1997),Institutional Advantage: A Way into Strategic Management in not –for-
Profit Organization. Long Range Planning, 30(2). pp:291-293.

Johnson.G and Scholes.K. (2002), Exploring Corporate Strategy, 6th edition, Harlow,
Financial Times, Prentice Hall.

Motorola Mobilinks Accord (The NEWS, Dec6, 2007).

Orascom telecom. Annual Report, 2007,p:28.

Orascom telecom. Annual Report, 2008,p#16.

Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, Annual Report, 2008. pp:59-60.

Pearce.J and Robinson. R. (2005) , Strategic Management , 9th edition, McGraw Hill , New
York, NY,

Porter .M.E (1980). Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries and
Competitors, New York: Free press.p.3.

Telecom Indicators. Available at http://www.pta.gov.pk

Tomi.D, Mallat,N, Ondrus.J, Zmijewska.A. (2007), Past , Present and Future of Mobile
Payment Research: A literature Review. Electronic Commerce Research and Applications.
Available at http://www. Sciencedirect.com.
Wheelen.L.Thomas & HungerD.J.(2002), Strategic Management and Business
Policy:Concepts,8th Edition,Published by Pearson Education, India.




COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research                  712

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  • 1. ijcrb.webs.com SEPTEMBER 2011 INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS VOL 3, NO 5 Porter Five Forces Analysis of Pakistan Mobiles Communication Limited (Mobilink): A Critical Approach Akhtar Munir Retail Sales Officer in Mobilink. Afnan Khan Saddozai Management Trainee Officer in National Bank of Pakistan Dr.Bakhtiar khattak Chairman: Department of Business Administration, Gomal University, D,I.Khan Dr.Shumaila Hashim Lecturer: Dept of Bus.Administration, Gomal University, D.I.Khan. This paper has written as a part of academic research, on the basis of data availability. The analysis is based on researchers’ own understanding; company’s management may disagree with it. Abstract This paper attempts to analyze the intensity of competition within industry for Mobilink on the basis of Porter five forces model. Study indicates that although it is a market leader in cellular sector in Pakistan yet it has strong rivals. Further more subscribers’ switching cost is low. So the company is required to must consider these two factors in policy formulation. On the other hand position of forces like suppliers and substitutes availability and potential entry of new entrants is weak. Key Words: Mobilink, Pakistan, Porter Analysis, Subscribers, Suppliers, Rivals JEL Classification: F23, L25, L63, L96, N7 Introduction Environmental scanning is the most important step in strategic management process, which is conducted to find out all those trends and events that can influence an organizational efficiency in both positive and negative way. Internal environmental analysis helps in finding strengthen and weaken areas of the firm. While in external environmental scanning we analyze external forces like economic, political, cultural, technological and competition. This analysis helps to understand that what are the threats for an organization’s successful survival and what are the available opportunities. Thus with the help of strength we can face threats and opportunities help to minimize or reduce the weaknesses. The main purpose of this research paper is to conduct Porter Five Forces analysis of Mobilink, to find the intensity of competition with in the industry. This study is organized as follow: Mobilink’s profile. Literature review Critical analysis Conclusion Suggestions COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research 704
  • 2. ijcrb.webs.com SEPTEMBER 2011 INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS VOL 3, NO 5 Mobilink’s profile Mobilink launched its operation in August 1994 after it was founded in 1990 as a joint venture between Motorola and Saif group. Mobilink was awarded a license for mobile communication system and services in July 1992, and commenced its operation in 1994, becoming the first company in Pakistan to setup and operate a digital mobile network based on GSM 900 technology. Mobilink was awarded a license for 15 years in July 1992 to establish and operate. In July 2000, PTA indicated that Mobilink license would be renewed on 5th July, 2007 for the further period of 15 years. PTA confirmed the following payment schedule: US$ 14.55 million will be payable in each of July 2007, January 2008, July 2008 and January 2009; US$ 29.1 million to be payable in each of July 2009, January 2010 and July 2010 and the balance of the fee will be paid in ten equal installments of US$14.55 million with first installment payable in July 2011(http://www.Orascomtelecom.com) On 26th June,2006, Mobilink was granted another Azad Jamu & Kashmir and Northern areas license for a period of 15 years (Orascom telecom, annual report,2008). Mobilink markets its prepaid services using the Jazz trade name and its post-paid services using the brand name Indigo. In addition to the basic voice services, Mobilink also provide its subscribers other services like voice mail, closed user group, SMS, call waiting/holding, call forwarding, caller’s line identification presentation, free minutes services such as MMS, mobile banking, caller ring back tone, Jazz karaoke , comedy box and cell secure (Orascom telecom, annual report,2008). Table 1 shows the performance review of Mobilink. Table: 1 REVIEW OF MOBILINK PERFORMANCE Items 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Revenue 379,484 732,594 1,017,239 1,263,901 1,207,520 (US$, 000) EBITDA(US$, 212,410 292,928 406,537 554,905 491,664 000) EBITDA margin 56.0 40.0 40.0 43.9 40.7 (%) ARPU US$ 9.7 6.7 4.1 3.8 3.0 (3 months) MOU (YTD) 173 156 130 149 172 Source: Orascom Telecom Limited (Annual reports 2004-2008) COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research 705
  • 3. ijcrb.webs.com SEPTEMBER 2011 INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS VOL 3, NO 5 LITERATURE REVIEW Let we take the review of literature: Porter (1980) gave the idea of deployment of five forces for the industry analysis. These five forces are (1) the threats of substitute products or services (2) the threats of the entry of the new competitors (3) the intensity of competitive rivalry (4) the bargaining power of buyers (5) the bargaining power of suppliers. He said that these forces jointly determine the competitive intensity of a firm with in the industry. Strength of these forces leads to lower profitability of an organization and vice versa. Wheelen & Hunger (2002) also considered Porter’s approach for industry analysis but he also included sixth force i.e. relative power of other stakeholders. These include governments, local communities, trade associations, special interest groups, unions, shareholders and complementors. Pearce and Robinson (2005) and Johnson and Scholes (2002) mentioned that Porter’s model provides an easy and simple approach for industry analyses. This model also provides an opportunity to take important decisions like whether to enter in a particular industry or to leave it. This is also a very simple tool in the hands of strategists to determine the profitability position of a firm. Tomi et al (2007), studied on past, present and future of mobile service payment by using Porter’s five competitive forces model (consumer power, merchant power, new e- payment service, traditional payment service and competition between m-payment service providers) and four contingency forces like social environment, commercial environment, technological environment and legal/regulatory environment. They were in view that factors like social environment and traditional payment service were never considered earlier in research work. Little consideration was given to the five factors like commercial environment, legal/regulatory environment, merchant power, new e-payment services and competition between m-payment service providers. While highly studied factors were technological environment and consumer power. According to them there is no clear relationship between mobile service payments, electronic payments, traditional service payments and banking services. Further more he also stressed that business to business commerce should also be given more attention. Cafferky (2005) and Goold(1997) proved that Porter’s framework of five forces is not applicable in case of religious organization. Since instead of five forces, the force of mission, faith and loyalty determines organizational efficiency and profitability. Discussion/Critical Analysis We critically analyze the performance of Mobilink by considering Porter five forces model. 1. Intensity of Competition Among Rivals Mobilink has strong rivals in telecommunication sector of Pakistan like Telenor and U-fone. In 1994 it had only two competitors (Paktel and Instphone) now this figure has jumped to six. All these companies are providing similar services with the same capabilities. Although it has enhanced its investment in last few years and working hard to expand its network (compare COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research 706
  • 4. ijcrb.webs.com SEPTEMBER 2011 INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS VOL 3, NO 5 Mobilink’s investment and cell sites with its rivals, table 2 & 3 respectively) in far-flung areas and to offer qualitative products yet the presence of strong competitors is a major threat for its successful survival. Table: 2 Total investment in Cellular Sector (US$M) Company 2004 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 Mobilink 534.0 459.0 679.0 591.0 918.74 270 Ufone 89.0 162.0 59.0 232.0 174.0 215 Zong 32.0 236.0 81.0 704.0 200.25 - Ins 11.1 29.3 - 8.5 0.31 204 Telenor - 259.5 352.0 761.0 564.74 374 Warid - 198.1 155.9 422.2 479.63 167 Total 666.1 1,314.9 1,326.9 2,718.7 2,395.7 1,230 Source: Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, Annual Report, 2008, 2009. Table:3 Cell Sites by Cellular Companies Name 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 Mobilink 1,164 2,392 3,935 5,522 7,339 7,903 Ufone 327 808 1,094 1,644 3,471 4,893 Instaphone 211 211 211 211 211 211 Zong 248 218 872 1,163 2,328 4,688 Telenor - 403 1,738 3255 5,017 6,088 Warid - 505 855 1,930 3,152 4,341 Total 1,950 4,537 8,705 13,725 21,518 28,124 Source: Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, Annual Report, 2008, 2009. To get competitive advantage Mobilink offered many strategies regarding features and price of products. For example first time in Pakistan in Dec, 2005 it has introduced the services of blackberry through its GPRS platform and still he is sole provider of the mentioned service in Pakistan(Orascom telecom , annual report, 2007). Although Mobilink is still market leader but its market share and revenue has greatly eaten by rivals as shown in table 4 and 5 respectively. Table 4: Market Share by Subscriber (%) Years Mobilink Telenor Ufone Warid Instaphone Zong 2002-03 46.0 - 23.0 - 18.0 13.0 2003-04 64.0 - 16.0 - 11.0 9.0 2004-05 56.5 6.7 21.1 6.4 2.6 6.7 2005-06 50.0 10.0 22.0 14.0 1.0 3.0 2006-07 41.0 17.0 22.0 17.0 1.0 2.0 2007-08 36.4 20.6 20.6 17.6 0.4 4.5 2008- 30.9 21.9 21.4 19.0 0.3 6.5 09,Mar. Source: Economic Survey of Pakistan (2007-08, 2008-09), Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, Annual Report, 2005, 2008. COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research 707
  • 5. ijcrb.webs.com SEPTEMBER 2011 INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS VOL 3, NO 5 Table 5: Total Revenue by Operators (Rs. In Million) Company 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 Mobilink 34,456 54,065 64,654 73,936 83,271 U-Fone 8,599 16,098 21,867 27,455 40,060 Zong 2,400 3,329 2,897 2,585 8,274 Instaphone 2,693 1,539 472 260 24 Telenor 565 6,338 22,837 45,081 51,561 Warid 168 8,527 20,405 26,805 29,233 Total 48,881 89,896 133,132 182,122 212,423 Source: Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, Annual Report, 2008, 2009. Tough competition has also declined company’s average revenue per user. Table 6 gives a comparison of average revenue per user (ARPU) of Mobilink and its rivals. Table 6: Cellular Mobile ARPU/m (US $) Years Mobilink Ufone Zong Instaphone Telenor Warid Total 2006-07 3.8 2.8 3.3 2.1 4.0 2.5 3.2 2007-08 3.5 2.1 1.6 0.9 3.9 2.7 3.1 2009 3.04 2.20 1.52 0.08 2.80 1.83 2.48 Source: Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, Annual Report, 2008, 2009. Data shows that Mobilink’s revenue, subscribers and ARPU is declining day by day because of strong policies of competitors. 2. Bargaining Power of Buyer Although subscribers are not concentrated, not purchase in bulk but still can easily switch for better quality, coverage and rates. In this context subscribers’ position is strong. Company by all means will consider the wishes of its users. From the data 2000 to 2009 we can check that Mobilink’s subscribers has increased in each year although the rate of growth has shown declining trend due to the presence of competitors’ services. Table 7 presents a comparison of the number of subscribers of Mobilink with its rivals: Table 7: Cellular Subscribers Year Mobilink ufone Zong Instaphone Telenor Warid Total 2000 114,272 - 80,221 112,000 - - 306,493 2001 309,272 116,711 96,623 220,000 - - 742,606 2002 800,000 350,000 218,536 330,000 - - 1,698,536 2003 1,115,000 550,000 319,400 420,000 - - 2,404,400 2004 3,215,989 801,160 470,021 535,738 - - 5,022,908 2005 7,469,085 2,579,10 924,486 454,147 835,727 508,727 12,771,203 3 2006 17,205,555 7,487,00 1,040,50 336,696 3,573,660 4,863,138 34,506,557 5 3 2007 26,466,451 14,014,0 1,024,56 333,081 10,701,33 10,620,386 63,159,857 44 3 2 2008 32,032,363 18,100,4 3,950,75 351,135 18,125,18 15,489,858 88,019,812 40 8 9 2009, 30,480,398 18,361,0 6,869,17 1,073 22,279,44 18,718,419 96,709,585 Nov 72 4 9 Source:http://www.pta.gov.pk COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research 708
  • 6. ijcrb.webs.com SEPTEMBER 2011 INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS VOL 3, NO 5 Because of high level coverage and marketing activities, it has won the market. Since subscribers’ switching cost is low so they can easily move to the new service provider. 3. Threats from Substitutes Presence and easy availability of substituted products is a great threat for the successful survival of any organization since it can enforce the company to cut the price of its product. For Mobilink’s product substituted products are fixed line and wireless. These two products are offering by many companies like Pakistan Telecommunication Company Limited (PTCL), National Telecommunication Corporation (NTC), World Call, Wateen, Great Bear etc. For substituted products Mobilink has major threat from PTCL that has 3,387,495 fixed line and 1,300,121 wireless local loop subscribers up to March, 2009(http://www.pta.gov.pk). Mobilink has coverage area of more than 10,000 cities, towns and villages and providing international roaming services in 130 countries(http://www.mobilinkgsm.com/coverage/index.php). In 2008, Mobilink launched its wireless broadband services under the brand name of ‘Infinity’ which offers high speed internet as well as telephony services through VOIP(Voice for internet protocol) (Orascom telecom, annual report, 2007) . On the other hand PTCL has 1,451 Wireless Local Loop (WLL) cell sites and has total 135,886 Public Call Offices (PCos) out of which 121,358 Local Loop, and 14,528WLL. While, Mobilink has only 61,229 mobile PCOs up to June, 2008.(Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, annual report,2008). Importability of these substitutes has reduced their attraction. 4. Potential Entry of New Competitors Since current telecom companies are too much strong not only from technology and experience view point but also involve in heavy capital investment so chances of success for new entrants are very limited or simply no. U-fone, Warid and Telenor one by one entered in the Market and threatened Mobilink’s market position but this was also an opportunity for Mobilink to improve its performance. But now the market is fully saturated and there is no room for new investors. So the company has no danger of further new entry but it has to be focused on the existing enemies. Bargaining Power of Suppliers Mobilink takes no services from employment agencies for its human resource. It gives advertisement in newspapers or use employees’ references for new appointments. For Mobilink various physical goods suppliers’ are following: M-Link is a Luxembourg based subsidiary that provides gateway services for Orascom Telecom operations in Pakistan. It interconnects the traffic with international carriers, in and out of the Pakistan based on price and delivery capabilities for final delivery around the world. M-link acts as control centre for all satellites operations and interactions with all of the various international carrier networks. OTH owns 100% share of M-Link.Orascom owns 100% and 51% of Med Cables and TWA (Trans World Associates) respectively. These two subsidiaries operate undersea fiber optic cables to carry international voice and data traffic between two of its most significant markets and international telecommunication hubs in Europe and the Middle East. The undersea cable will connect respectively Algeria and Pakistan with France and United Arab Emirates. Alcatel Submarine networks and Tyco Telecommunications have supplied the infrastructure for the two subsidiaries. Ring Distribution provides GSM (Global System for Mobiles) operators with a range of services including retail franchise, product customization, logistics, supply chain management and COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research 709
  • 7. ijcrb.webs.com SEPTEMBER 2011 INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS VOL 3, NO 5 customer care and service centre. Ring is the distributor of handsets and is responsible for procurement SIM (Subscribers Identification Module) and scratch cards for Orascom Telecom subsidiaries. Orascom Telecom holds 99% of the share of Ring. Oraslnvest is 100% owned by Orascom Telecom that operates under the name of MobiServe and Servitec in six countries like Pakistan, Egypt,Algeria,UAE ,Tunisia and Bangladesh. MobiServe provides various services like telecommunication infrastructure, telecom components’ manufacturing, telecom engineering, satellite service, civil constructions and facility management. Servitec’s services include digital printing and enveloping, delivery, cash collection, CD burning, investigation, packaging and call center outsourcing(Orascom telecom , annual report,2007). Motorola entered in an agreement with Mobilink to deploy a WiMAX (Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access, a technology that allows broad band access)) 802.16e-2005 access network for the operator in the country. According to an agreement, Motorola will design, plan, deploy and optimize a WiMAX network for Mobilink, deliver integration and support services as well as indoor and outdoor customer premises equipments (CPE) units to enable faster adaptation of the operator’s WiMAX offerings. This network will enable Mobilink to extend its current services beyond data and cellular offering to high speed broadband and VoIP services for fixed line residential and business subscribers (the NEWS, 2007). Since Orascom Telecom has followed the strategy of backward integration so its subsidiaries has no danger or uncertainty from suppliers. Conclusion There are so many studies in the world on the application of Porter five forces model but very little work has done on telecom sector especially in Pakistan. So this study was chosen under same consideration. This research work deals with the application of Porter five forces model in case of Mobilink. Analysis indicates that although to meet competition Mobilink is struggling hard but the presence of strong rivals has greatly cut its market share. While formulating different strategies it has to be careful from substituted goods as well from its subscribers, since although Mobilink is following market penetration, market development and product development strategies but still through media subscribers’ awareness is high about various companies’ packages. Mobilink has no threats or uncertainties from suppliers since almost all suppliers are owned by parent company itself. Adoption of this backward integration strategy makes the power of suppliers weak. We can analyze the position of Mobilink by rating each competitive force as high, medium or low in strength. COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research 710
  • 8. ijcrb.webs.com SEPTEMBER 2011 INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS VOL 3, NO 5 Forces High Medium Low Rivalry among • competitors Threats from new • entrants Threats from • substitutes Power of suppliers • Power of buyers • Source: Researchers’ analysis Thus from above discussion we conclude that the presence of rivals and power of buyers are the main areas that need company’s management serious attention. Suggestions Following suggestions may be offered to help the company to maintain its current status: 1. Company may follow the strategy of horizontal integration by taking the decision of merger or acquisition with any of its one or two rivals. In this way not only skill and assets of company will enhance but its strength in the market in terms of market share will also improve. 2. In order to avoid the danger of substituted services, company may offer fixed line services at attractive packages especially in those areas where PTCL is unable to offer the mentioned service. 3. Company should offer special packages for students/ education sector since they are the main service users. COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research 711
  • 9. ijcrb.webs.com SEPTEMBER 2011 INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS VOL 3, NO 5 References About Orascom telecom (2006). Available at http://www.orascomtelecom.com. Area Coverage- Mobilink. Available at http://www.mobilinkgsm.com/coverage/index.php, Jan, 07, 2010 Cafferky.E.M. (2005), The Porter Five Forces Industry Analysis Framework for Religious Non-profits: A Conceptual Analysis. 25th Annual CBFA Conference, Point Loma Nazarene University Goold,M.(1997),Institutional Advantage: A Way into Strategic Management in not –for- Profit Organization. Long Range Planning, 30(2). pp:291-293. Johnson.G and Scholes.K. (2002), Exploring Corporate Strategy, 6th edition, Harlow, Financial Times, Prentice Hall. Motorola Mobilinks Accord (The NEWS, Dec6, 2007). Orascom telecom. Annual Report, 2007,p:28. Orascom telecom. Annual Report, 2008,p#16. Pakistan Telecommunication Authority, Annual Report, 2008. pp:59-60. Pearce.J and Robinson. R. (2005) , Strategic Management , 9th edition, McGraw Hill , New York, NY, Porter .M.E (1980). Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors, New York: Free press.p.3. Telecom Indicators. Available at http://www.pta.gov.pk Tomi.D, Mallat,N, Ondrus.J, Zmijewska.A. (2007), Past , Present and Future of Mobile Payment Research: A literature Review. Electronic Commerce Research and Applications. Available at http://www. Sciencedirect.com. Wheelen.L.Thomas & HungerD.J.(2002), Strategic Management and Business Policy:Concepts,8th Edition,Published by Pearson Education, India. COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute of Interdisciplinary Business Research 712