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Q3 Report 2013
Johan Molin
President & CEO

1
Financial highlights Q3 2013
 Good Growth in all parts except Europe
– Strong growth in Americas, APAC and Global Tech
– EMEA bottoming
– ESD slightly negative
– Important gains of efficiency and savings
– Preparation for new Manufacturing footprint
 Sales
12,131 MSEK
+5%
+3% organic, +3% acquired growth, -1% currency
 EBIT
Currency effect -56 MSEK
 EPS

2,090 MSEK
3.98 SEK

Forecasted tax rate 25%

2

+8%
+13%
Financial highlights Jan-Sep 2013
 Good performance in a tough market

 Sales
35,239 MSEK
+2%
+2% organic, +4% acquired growth, -4% currency
 EBIT
5,722 MSEK
Currency effect -215 MSEK

+5%

 EPS

+6%

10.76 SEK

Forecasted tax rate 25%

3
Market highlights
 Strong sales of new SE-reader
– Multi technology, virtual keys, speed of reading

 Most innovative product awards ASIS, USA
– 4 out of 10 first prices out of 600 exhibitors

 Success for Nexgen e-cylinder technology
– Several large orders for vending and parking

 Yale DDL chosen for home automation
– Broad European launch with Verisure

4
Group sales in local currencies Jan-Sep
2013
43

-3

32 +17
17 +11

2

+12

1

+4
5

+6

Share of Group sales 2013 YTD, %
Year-to-date vs previous year, %

5
Sales growth, currency adjusted
Sales MSEK

Growth, %

2013 Q3

2007

+3%

Acquired

2006

+6%

Organic

48 000
46 000
44 000
42 000
40 000
38 000
36 000
34 000
32 000
30 000
28 000
26 000

+3%

2008

Organic Growth

2009

2010

Acquired Growth

6

24
21
18
15
12
9
6
3
0
-3
-6
-9
-12
-15
2011

2012

Sales in Fixed Currencie s

2013
Operating income (EBIT), MSEK
Quarter

12-months

2 200
2 100
2 000
1 900
1 800
1 700
1 600
1 500
1 400
1 300
1 200
1 100
1 000
900
800

8 000

Run rate 7,751 MSEK (7,353) +5%

7 500
7 000
6 500
6 000
5 500
5 000
4 500
4 000
3 500

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Quarter

2011
Rolling 12-months

7

2012

2013
Operating margin (EBIT)*, %
EBIT Margin

Run rate 2013 16.3% (15.8)

17,0

Long term target range (average)

16,0
15,0
14,0
13,0
12,0
2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Quarter

2011

Rolling 12-months

*) Excluding restructuring costs.

8

2012

2013

2013 Dilution
QTD
0.1%
YTD
0.0%
Manufacturing footprint
 Status manufacturing footprint programs 2006-2011:
– 56 factories closed to date, 12 to go
– 68 factories converted to assembly, 7 to go
– 28 offices closed, 1 to go
 Personal reduction 7,084p and 451p remains

 New MFP program planned in Q4
– Closure of 30 entities
– Payback of approx. 3 years
– Cost estimate 1,000 MSEK

9
Margin highlights Q3 2013
EBIT margin 17.2% (16.7) 0.5%
+ Volume increase +2%, price +1%
+ Margin expansion 0.5%
= Organic growth
+ Manufacturing footprint
+ Capacity adjustments
- Dilution from Currency -0.2%
+ Acquisitions +0.1%

10
Acquisitions 2013


Fully active pipeline



10 acquisitions done in 2013



Annualized sales 2,300 MSEK



Added sales 5%

11
Ameristar, USA
 Turnover of 1,100 MSEK with
650 employees
 The leading US manufacturer of
perimeter security solutions
 Complements the ASSA ABLOY
offering of security solutions in
the American market
 Reinforces the market
leadership in North America
 Accretive to EPS

12
Mercor, Poland
 Turnover of 370 MSEK with
550 employees
 Leading Polish manufacturer of
security and fire doors
 Offers complete door opening
solutions
 Will significantly reinforce the
market position in Eastern
Europe
 Accretive to EPS

13
Xinmao, China
 Turnover of 190 MSEK with 360
employees
 Market leader in Heilongjiang of
fire rated & security doors
 Supply of total hardware package
& installation
 Good synergies on products and
market coverage
 Accretive to EPS

14
Huasheng, China
 Turnover of 210 MSEK with 460
employees
 Market leader in Shandong of fire
rated & security doors
 Supply of total hardware package
& installation
 Good synergies on products and
market coverage
 Accretive to EPS

15
Division - EMEA


Bottoming with slight growth



SALES
share of
Group total %

Growth in Scandinavia, Finland, Germany, Italy,
Africa and Eastern Europe



Stable in the UK



Decline in France, Holland, Iberia and Israel



27

JPM factory France closed



EBIT %

Operating margin (EBIT)

19
18

= Organic 1%

17

- Material cost

16

+ Footprint savings

14

15
13

= SG&A

16

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013
Division - Americas


Strong growth in AHW, Electromechanical, Residential
and South America



Growth in Doors and High security



Slightly negative in Mexico and Canada



Continued investments in R&D and front end



Operating margin (EBIT)

SALES
share of
Group total %

21

EBIT %
22

+ Organic +7%

21

+ Material cost

20
19

+ Efficiency improvement

18

- R&D and front end

18

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013
Division - Asia Pacific


Strong growth in Australia, New Zealand and Korea



Good growth in China



Decline in South East Asia



SALES
share of
Group total %

Profit improvement coming from overall volume
growth and cost control in China

14

EBIT %



Operating margin (EBIT)

17

= Organic +6%

13

15
11

+ Material cost

9
7

+ Efficiency in China
-

5

Mix & cost pressure

20

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013
Division - Global Technologies


HID
–

Good growth of Access control and Secure Issuance

–

Strong growth in Project sales

–

Negative in Government ID and stable in IDT

–



SALES
share of
Group total %

Strong profit improvement

14

Hospitality
–

Good growth from the renovation market

–

Solid profit development
EBIT %



20
19
18
17
16
15
14
13

Operating margin (EBIT)
+ Organic +7%
+ Good cost control
+ All parts doing well on margin

22

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013
Division - Entrance Systems
SALES
share of
Group total %



Europe weak while Americas & Asia are growing



Stable sales in Door automatics and Industrial doors



Negative sales of High speed doors and dockings



Continued decline in Ditec due to weak southern
Europe



Sales +9% and EBIT +10%

24

EBIT %
19
18
17
16
15
14
13
12

 Operating margin (EBIT)
-

Organic -1%

-

Dilution & currency -0.4%

-

Good product cost reductions

-

Strong efficiency improvements

24

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013
Q3 Report 2013
Carolina Dybeck Happe
CFO

26
Financial highlights Q3 2013
3rd Quarter

Nine months

MSEK

2012

2013

Change

Sales

11,545

12,131

5%

Whereof
Organic growth
Acquired growth

2012

2013

34,380

35,239

+3%
+3%

FX-differences

-133

Change

+2%
+2%
+4%

-1%

-1,021

-4%

Operating income (EBIT)
EBIT-margin (%)

1,932
16.7

2,090
17.2

+8%

5,471
15.9

5,722
16.2

+5%

Operating cash flow

1,967

2,175

+11%

3,885

4,262

+10%

3.53

3.98

+13%

10.18

10.76

+6%

EPS (SEK)*

*) excluding non comparable items

27
Bridge Analysis – Jul-Sep 2013

MSEK

2012

Organic

Currency

Acq/Div

Jul-Sep

2013
Jul-Sep

3%
Revenues
EBIT
%

-1%

3%

5%

11,545

362

-133

358

12,131

1,932

136

-56

78

2,090

16.7%

37.5%

41.9%

21.8%

17.2%

0.6%

-0.2%

0.1%

Dilution / Accretion

28
P&L – Components as % of sales
2012
Q3

2013

2013

Q3 excluding
acquisitions

Q3

 Direct material

35.1%

34.9%

35.2%

 Conversion costs

25.0%

25.0%

24.9%

 Gross Margin

39.9%

40.1%

39.9%

 S, G & A

23.2%

23.0%

22.7%

 EBIT

16.7%

17.1%

17.2%

29
Operating cash flow, MSEK
Quarter

12 months

3 500

8 000
7 500

3 000

7 000
2 500

6 500

2 000

6 000
5 500

1 500

5 000

1 000

4 500
4 000

500

3 500

0

3 000
2006

2007

2008

Quarter

2009

2010

Cash Rolling 12-months

30

2011

2012

2013

EBT Rolling 12 months
Gearing % and net debt MSEK
Gearing

Net Debt

30 000

120

Debt/Equity
63 (72)

25 000

100

20 000

80

15 000

60

10 000

40

5 000

20

0

0
2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Net debt
*) 2006-2011 Not restated for changed pension accounting principles.

31

2011
Gearing

2012

2013

Net debt/EBITDA
2.0 (2.1)
Earnings per share, SEK
12-months

Quarter SEK

15,00

4,00

14,00

3,50

13,00

3,00

12,00

2,50

11,00

2,00

10,00
9,00

1,50

8,00

1,00

7,00

0,50

6,00

0,00

5,00

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Quarter

2011

Rolling 12-months

*) Excluding restructuring costs.

**) 2006-2011 Not restated for changed pension accounting principles.

32

2012

2013
Q3 Report 2013
Johan Molin
President & CEO

33
Conclusions Q3 2013


Good growth in all parts except Europe



Strong growth in Americas, APAC and Global Tech



EMEA bottoming and ESD slightly negative



Strong efficiency improvements supports profit



Preparation for new Manufacturing Footprint



Strong cash flow and record EBIT of 2,090 MSEK +8%

34
Q&A
35

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Q3 2013 ASSA ABLOY investors presentation 28 october

  • 1. Q3 Report 2013 Johan Molin President & CEO 1
  • 2. Financial highlights Q3 2013  Good Growth in all parts except Europe – Strong growth in Americas, APAC and Global Tech – EMEA bottoming – ESD slightly negative – Important gains of efficiency and savings – Preparation for new Manufacturing footprint  Sales 12,131 MSEK +5% +3% organic, +3% acquired growth, -1% currency  EBIT Currency effect -56 MSEK  EPS 2,090 MSEK 3.98 SEK Forecasted tax rate 25% 2 +8% +13%
  • 3. Financial highlights Jan-Sep 2013  Good performance in a tough market  Sales 35,239 MSEK +2% +2% organic, +4% acquired growth, -4% currency  EBIT 5,722 MSEK Currency effect -215 MSEK +5%  EPS +6% 10.76 SEK Forecasted tax rate 25% 3
  • 4. Market highlights  Strong sales of new SE-reader – Multi technology, virtual keys, speed of reading  Most innovative product awards ASIS, USA – 4 out of 10 first prices out of 600 exhibitors  Success for Nexgen e-cylinder technology – Several large orders for vending and parking  Yale DDL chosen for home automation – Broad European launch with Verisure 4
  • 5. Group sales in local currencies Jan-Sep 2013 43 -3 32 +17 17 +11 2 +12 1 +4 5 +6 Share of Group sales 2013 YTD, % Year-to-date vs previous year, % 5
  • 6. Sales growth, currency adjusted Sales MSEK Growth, % 2013 Q3 2007 +3% Acquired 2006 +6% Organic 48 000 46 000 44 000 42 000 40 000 38 000 36 000 34 000 32 000 30 000 28 000 26 000 +3% 2008 Organic Growth 2009 2010 Acquired Growth 6 24 21 18 15 12 9 6 3 0 -3 -6 -9 -12 -15 2011 2012 Sales in Fixed Currencie s 2013
  • 7. Operating income (EBIT), MSEK Quarter 12-months 2 200 2 100 2 000 1 900 1 800 1 700 1 600 1 500 1 400 1 300 1 200 1 100 1 000 900 800 8 000 Run rate 7,751 MSEK (7,353) +5% 7 500 7 000 6 500 6 000 5 500 5 000 4 500 4 000 3 500 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Quarter 2011 Rolling 12-months 7 2012 2013
  • 8. Operating margin (EBIT)*, % EBIT Margin Run rate 2013 16.3% (15.8) 17,0 Long term target range (average) 16,0 15,0 14,0 13,0 12,0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Quarter 2011 Rolling 12-months *) Excluding restructuring costs. 8 2012 2013 2013 Dilution QTD 0.1% YTD 0.0%
  • 9. Manufacturing footprint  Status manufacturing footprint programs 2006-2011: – 56 factories closed to date, 12 to go – 68 factories converted to assembly, 7 to go – 28 offices closed, 1 to go  Personal reduction 7,084p and 451p remains  New MFP program planned in Q4 – Closure of 30 entities – Payback of approx. 3 years – Cost estimate 1,000 MSEK 9
  • 10. Margin highlights Q3 2013 EBIT margin 17.2% (16.7) 0.5% + Volume increase +2%, price +1% + Margin expansion 0.5% = Organic growth + Manufacturing footprint + Capacity adjustments - Dilution from Currency -0.2% + Acquisitions +0.1% 10
  • 11. Acquisitions 2013  Fully active pipeline  10 acquisitions done in 2013  Annualized sales 2,300 MSEK  Added sales 5% 11
  • 12. Ameristar, USA  Turnover of 1,100 MSEK with 650 employees  The leading US manufacturer of perimeter security solutions  Complements the ASSA ABLOY offering of security solutions in the American market  Reinforces the market leadership in North America  Accretive to EPS 12
  • 13. Mercor, Poland  Turnover of 370 MSEK with 550 employees  Leading Polish manufacturer of security and fire doors  Offers complete door opening solutions  Will significantly reinforce the market position in Eastern Europe  Accretive to EPS 13
  • 14. Xinmao, China  Turnover of 190 MSEK with 360 employees  Market leader in Heilongjiang of fire rated & security doors  Supply of total hardware package & installation  Good synergies on products and market coverage  Accretive to EPS 14
  • 15. Huasheng, China  Turnover of 210 MSEK with 460 employees  Market leader in Shandong of fire rated & security doors  Supply of total hardware package & installation  Good synergies on products and market coverage  Accretive to EPS 15
  • 16. Division - EMEA  Bottoming with slight growth  SALES share of Group total % Growth in Scandinavia, Finland, Germany, Italy, Africa and Eastern Europe  Stable in the UK  Decline in France, Holland, Iberia and Israel  27 JPM factory France closed  EBIT % Operating margin (EBIT) 19 18 = Organic 1% 17 - Material cost 16 + Footprint savings 14 15 13 = SG&A 16 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
  • 17. Division - Americas  Strong growth in AHW, Electromechanical, Residential and South America  Growth in Doors and High security  Slightly negative in Mexico and Canada  Continued investments in R&D and front end  Operating margin (EBIT) SALES share of Group total % 21 EBIT % 22 + Organic +7% 21 + Material cost 20 19 + Efficiency improvement 18 - R&D and front end 18 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
  • 18. Division - Asia Pacific  Strong growth in Australia, New Zealand and Korea  Good growth in China  Decline in South East Asia  SALES share of Group total % Profit improvement coming from overall volume growth and cost control in China 14 EBIT %  Operating margin (EBIT) 17 = Organic +6% 13 15 11 + Material cost 9 7 + Efficiency in China - 5 Mix & cost pressure 20 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
  • 19. Division - Global Technologies  HID – Good growth of Access control and Secure Issuance – Strong growth in Project sales – Negative in Government ID and stable in IDT –  SALES share of Group total % Strong profit improvement 14 Hospitality – Good growth from the renovation market – Solid profit development EBIT %  20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 Operating margin (EBIT) + Organic +7% + Good cost control + All parts doing well on margin 22 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
  • 20. Division - Entrance Systems SALES share of Group total %  Europe weak while Americas & Asia are growing  Stable sales in Door automatics and Industrial doors  Negative sales of High speed doors and dockings  Continued decline in Ditec due to weak southern Europe  Sales +9% and EBIT +10% 24 EBIT % 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12  Operating margin (EBIT) - Organic -1% - Dilution & currency -0.4% - Good product cost reductions - Strong efficiency improvements 24 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
  • 21. Q3 Report 2013 Carolina Dybeck Happe CFO 26
  • 22. Financial highlights Q3 2013 3rd Quarter Nine months MSEK 2012 2013 Change Sales 11,545 12,131 5% Whereof Organic growth Acquired growth 2012 2013 34,380 35,239 +3% +3% FX-differences -133 Change +2% +2% +4% -1% -1,021 -4% Operating income (EBIT) EBIT-margin (%) 1,932 16.7 2,090 17.2 +8% 5,471 15.9 5,722 16.2 +5% Operating cash flow 1,967 2,175 +11% 3,885 4,262 +10% 3.53 3.98 +13% 10.18 10.76 +6% EPS (SEK)* *) excluding non comparable items 27
  • 23. Bridge Analysis – Jul-Sep 2013 MSEK 2012 Organic Currency Acq/Div Jul-Sep 2013 Jul-Sep 3% Revenues EBIT % -1% 3% 5% 11,545 362 -133 358 12,131 1,932 136 -56 78 2,090 16.7% 37.5% 41.9% 21.8% 17.2% 0.6% -0.2% 0.1% Dilution / Accretion 28
  • 24. P&L – Components as % of sales 2012 Q3 2013 2013 Q3 excluding acquisitions Q3  Direct material 35.1% 34.9% 35.2%  Conversion costs 25.0% 25.0% 24.9%  Gross Margin 39.9% 40.1% 39.9%  S, G & A 23.2% 23.0% 22.7%  EBIT 16.7% 17.1% 17.2% 29
  • 25. Operating cash flow, MSEK Quarter 12 months 3 500 8 000 7 500 3 000 7 000 2 500 6 500 2 000 6 000 5 500 1 500 5 000 1 000 4 500 4 000 500 3 500 0 3 000 2006 2007 2008 Quarter 2009 2010 Cash Rolling 12-months 30 2011 2012 2013 EBT Rolling 12 months
  • 26. Gearing % and net debt MSEK Gearing Net Debt 30 000 120 Debt/Equity 63 (72) 25 000 100 20 000 80 15 000 60 10 000 40 5 000 20 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Net debt *) 2006-2011 Not restated for changed pension accounting principles. 31 2011 Gearing 2012 2013 Net debt/EBITDA 2.0 (2.1)
  • 27. Earnings per share, SEK 12-months Quarter SEK 15,00 4,00 14,00 3,50 13,00 3,00 12,00 2,50 11,00 2,00 10,00 9,00 1,50 8,00 1,00 7,00 0,50 6,00 0,00 5,00 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Quarter 2011 Rolling 12-months *) Excluding restructuring costs. **) 2006-2011 Not restated for changed pension accounting principles. 32 2012 2013
  • 28. Q3 Report 2013 Johan Molin President & CEO 33
  • 29. Conclusions Q3 2013  Good growth in all parts except Europe  Strong growth in Americas, APAC and Global Tech  EMEA bottoming and ESD slightly negative  Strong efficiency improvements supports profit  Preparation for new Manufacturing Footprint  Strong cash flow and record EBIT of 2,090 MSEK +8% 34