1. LSSC 2012
Who moved my risk?
Mike Burrows (@asplake)
mike@djaa.com
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
http://positiveincline.com
LSSC
12
2. “Risk
means
that
not
everything
that
can
happen
will
happen”
Elroy
Dimson
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
LSSC
12
3. Not
so
long
ago,
in
two
universes
not
so
far
away…
14/4
1 Disk Space! Board Report!
29/3 MJB 29/3
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
Increase
Disk
2 space on
ln4p516c
Monitoring
LSSC
12
ST 31/1 14/2 AB 23/1
4. Risks
specific
to
each
piece
of
work?
14/4
1 Disk Space! Board Report!
29/3 MJB 29/3
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
Increase
Disk
2 space on
ln4p516c
Monitoring
LSSC
12
ST 31/1 14/2 AB 23/1
5. No
change
in
a
week…
How
does
each
piece
of
work
look
now?
14/4
1 Disk Space! Board Report!
29/3 MJB 29/3
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
Increase
Disk
2 space on
ln4p516c
Monitoring
LSSC
12
ST 31/1 14/2 AB 23/1
6. Who
moved
my
risk?
–
The
risk
in
the
work
n Inherent,
specific
n ExpectaFons
Time
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
n
LSSC
12
7. Which
feels
the
more
comfortable?
14/4
1 Disk Space! Board Report!
29/3 MJB 29/3
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
Increase
Disk
2 space on
ln4p516c
Monitoring
LSSC
12
ST 31/1 14/2 AB 23/1
8. Where
is
the
beHer
capability?
14/4
1 Disk Space! Board Report!
29/3 MJB 29/3
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
Increase
Disk
2 space on
ln4p516c
Monitoring
LSSC
12
ST 31/1 14/ AB 23/1
2
9. Which
team
has
the
beHer
capability?
A
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
B
LSSC
12
10. Which
team
has
the
beHer
capability?
X
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
Y
LSSC
12
11. Which
team
has
the
beHer
capability?
X
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
1
Y 2
LSSC
12
12. The
ease
with
which
we
can
make
variety
explicit
is
one
of
Kanban’s
killer
features
X
Y
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
1
Y 2
LSSC
12
13. n Embrace
change
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
LSSC
12
Beck,
2000,
Extreme
Programming
Explained
14. n Embrace
change
n Embrace
variability
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
LSSC
12
(paraphrasing
with
permission)
Reinertsen,
1997
&
2009
15. n Embrace
change
n Embrace
variability
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
n Embrace
variety
LSSC
12
16. Embrace
variety:
visualise
it,
design
for
it
Standard Expedite
Respect limits Production first!
IN dd/mm - dd/mm IN dd/mm - dd/mm
dd/mm
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
Intangible Fixed Date
Keep in the mix, As per Standard;
prepare to give way Expedite if at risk
IN dd/mm - dd/mm IN dd/mm - dd/mm
LSSC
12
Rightmost, Topmost
18. Who
moved
my
risk?
–
The
risk
in
the
system
n Capability
n Variety
Resilience
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
n
LSSC
12
EffecFve
n Economic
n Humane
19. The
grim
economics
of
backlog-‐driven
development
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
LSSC
12
60:40 Pareto
20. The
grim
economics
of
backlog-‐driven
development
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Cumulative Value
LSSC
12
21. The
grim
economics
of
backlog-‐driven
development
120%
100%
80%
60%
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
40%
20%
0%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
LSSC
12
Cumulative Value Cumulative Cost
22. The
grim
economics
of
backlog-‐driven
development
120%
100%
80%
60%
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
40%
20%
0%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
LSSC
12
Cumulative Value Cumulative Cost ROI
24. n Management
!=
Grooming
n Backlog
!=
Goldmine
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
LSSC
12
25. Step
outside
the
system
The The
Known The Imagined The
Unknown Unthinkable
Noise
The The The
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
Important Work Actual
The The
LSSC
12
Possible Impossible
26. Thinking
the
unthinkable,
cross-‐funcFonally
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
08:00 08:30 09:00 09:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 16:00 16:30
LSSC
12
27. Step
outside
the
system
The The
Known The Imagined The
Unknown Unthinkable
Noise
The The The
Who
Moved
my
Risk?
Important Work Actual
The The
LSSC
12
Possible Impossible