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Capabilities
               Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
What we do ?

           System            DynamIcs


              Policy                      System
              Design                   Description




                          Simulation

Products               Consultancy                                Training
                                                     Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
Who are we ?

• Small independent consultancy, specialising in
  Vensim/System Dynamics modelling

• Our consultant team have worked together for
  15 years

• Bases in
  – Liverpool
  – Southampton
  – Salisbury

                                      Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
Some of our clients


                                     Leading Pharmaceutical




                      Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
System Dynamics



     Skip section   Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
System Dynamics


• A modelling methodology for addressing
  complex business environments using a
  holistic systems approach.

• The core of System Dynamics is the
  understanding of the cause and effect
  relationships within the system and to
  assess the impact of change.
                                  Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
System Dynamics

• System dynamics is an approach to
  understanding the behaviour of complex
  systems over time.

• It deals with internal feedback loops and time
  delays that affect the behaviour of the entire
  system.

• What makes using system dynamics different
  from other approaches to studying complex
  systems is the use of feedback loops and stocks
  and flows.
                                       Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
Stock & Flow Diagrams


                                      Stock/Level

                 Inflow                               Outflow




 External Data            Auxiliary                                         Table




                                                    Constant



• Stock and flow diagrams are the most common first step in building
  a simulation model because they help define types of variables that
  are important in causing behaviour.

                                                                Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
Variables Types

• Stocks –                    Accumulation over time
   – Eg Money, information, people, inventory,

• Flows –                     Rate stocks change over time
   – Eg Earnings, Hiring, production rate,

• Auxiliary –                 Formulate complex rate eqns
   – Eg Desired production, Target workforce,

• Constants –                 Static inputs
   – Eg Initial stock value, Item price, delay times

• Tables –                    Nonlinear relationships
   – Eg Demand curves, pre defined dependent variable relationships

• External Data –             Real world time series
   – Eg Sales data, census data, interest rates

                                                              Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
System Delays
                              Time Delay

Decision         Implementation            Results         Consequence




• Vacancy to Recruitment

    –   Advertise
    –   Shortlist
    –   Interview
    –   Selection
    –   Notice Period



                                                     Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
Feedback
                                                            +
                                                      Revenue
• Increased Demand
                                 Profit +
                                                            +


   Higher Price                                                               Supply
                                                                                  +
                                                                     -
• Higher Price           +
                                                                Price

   Greater Supply   Marketing                 -
                                                                 +

                                            Demand
• Abundant Supply
                                            +


   Lower Price
• Lower Price
   Greater Demand
                                     Action            Consequence




                                                     Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
From Simple Models
                                                          fraction facilities ready

                         Orders in                                               Orders
                                                                                Requiring
                         Process                                                 Testing
     orders                              processing                                                   testing
                                                            target test delay
                  target process delay
start orders                                                                                   Testing
                                                                                              Capacity
                                                            test adj time
                            Processing
                             Capacity
                                                                                fraction facilities good
                                                       Orders
        proc adj time                                 Requiring                                             Awaiting
                                                       Service                  dispatching                 Activation
               target service delay
                                                                            target activation                         activating
                                                                                 delay
                                            Dispatching
                                             Capacity                                   Activating                New
                                                                                        Capacity                Customers
       dispatch adj time                      activation adj time




                                                                                                 Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview
Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview

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Ventana Systems UK Ltd Capabilities Overview

  • 1. Capabilities Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
  • 2. What we do ? System DynamIcs Policy System Design Description Simulation Products Consultancy Training Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
  • 3. Who are we ? • Small independent consultancy, specialising in Vensim/System Dynamics modelling • Our consultant team have worked together for 15 years • Bases in – Liverpool – Southampton – Salisbury Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
  • 4. Some of our clients Leading Pharmaceutical Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
  • 5. System Dynamics Skip section Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
  • 6. System Dynamics • A modelling methodology for addressing complex business environments using a holistic systems approach. • The core of System Dynamics is the understanding of the cause and effect relationships within the system and to assess the impact of change. Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
  • 7. System Dynamics • System dynamics is an approach to understanding the behaviour of complex systems over time. • It deals with internal feedback loops and time delays that affect the behaviour of the entire system. • What makes using system dynamics different from other approaches to studying complex systems is the use of feedback loops and stocks and flows. Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
  • 8. Stock & Flow Diagrams Stock/Level Inflow Outflow External Data Auxiliary Table Constant • Stock and flow diagrams are the most common first step in building a simulation model because they help define types of variables that are important in causing behaviour. Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
  • 9. Variables Types • Stocks – Accumulation over time – Eg Money, information, people, inventory, • Flows – Rate stocks change over time – Eg Earnings, Hiring, production rate, • Auxiliary – Formulate complex rate eqns – Eg Desired production, Target workforce, • Constants – Static inputs – Eg Initial stock value, Item price, delay times • Tables – Nonlinear relationships – Eg Demand curves, pre defined dependent variable relationships • External Data – Real world time series – Eg Sales data, census data, interest rates Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
  • 10. System Delays Time Delay Decision Implementation Results Consequence • Vacancy to Recruitment – Advertise – Shortlist – Interview – Selection – Notice Period Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
  • 11. Feedback + Revenue • Increased Demand Profit + +  Higher Price Supply + - • Higher Price + Price  Greater Supply Marketing - + Demand • Abundant Supply +  Lower Price • Lower Price  Greater Demand Action Consequence Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008
  • 12. From Simple Models fraction facilities ready Orders in Orders Requiring Process Testing orders processing testing target test delay target process delay start orders Testing Capacity test adj time Processing Capacity fraction facilities good Orders proc adj time Requiring Awaiting Service dispatching Activation target service delay target activation activating delay Dispatching Capacity Activating New Capacity Customers dispatch adj time activation adj time Copyright Ventana Systems UK Ltd 2008