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Integrated
Watershed
Management Plan
Rio Candelaria
Denika Piggott
Amber Brant
Wabel Irshaidat
Reesha Patel
Objective of
Integrated Watershed Plan
Ø 

To investigate the Rio Candelaria watershed and
create a plan that assesses resource allocation
and recommends potential interventions
The Rio Candelaria Watershed
l 

l 

l 

The river discharges into the Terminos Lagoon in the state of
Campeche, Mexico, located at the southern end of the Gulf of
Mexico
approximate land area of 5,670 km2 (56,700 ha) covering three
municipalities (Carmen, Escarcega and Candelaria)
Geographic location:
670000-790000m E and
1950000206000m N UTM
State of
Campeche

Gulf of Mexico

5

Champoton

Carmen

Escarcega

Candelaria

State of
Tabasco
GUATEMALA
0

20,000

40,000

60,000 Meters
Integrated
Ecosystems
Management
(IEM):
-follows an
experimental
and adaptive
approach to
resource
management
Procedure for
Integrated Watershed Plan
1)  The Rio Candelaria watershed was characterized and delineated
2)  Watershed morphological features were imported into an ArcGIS map database
3)  Scale-dependent land units (systems, facets and ecozones) were identified
4)  Meteorological information was gathered to characterize the watershed’s climate

characteristics

5)  Climate information was assessed to determine length-of-growing-period (LGP) for the

area and to estimate surface runoff

6)  Elevation points were retrieved and a digital elevation model (DEM) was created
7)  Land capability was assessed and compared with current land use for each ecozone

to identify land degradation “hotspots” in the watershed area

8)  Land suitability was assessed for the ecozones to make recommendations for land

use type based on LGP, annual rainfall, mean temperature during the LGP and soil
depth
Ø 364 elevation points
taken from INEGI
software, Google Earth
(2010)
Ø Elevation points were
imported into the ArcGIS
software
Ø DEM was created by
performing geostatistical
analysis using a
semivariogram Kriging
method and interpolating
elevation points into a
predictive model
Candelaria Watershed

Stream Orders & Sub-watersheds

Sub-watershed 2
Sub-watershed 1

5

Legend
Stream Order 1

Sub-watershed 3

Stream Order 2
Stream Order 3
Sub-watersheds
0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters

Ø The Yucatan
peninsula is a highly
karstic region with high
infiltration and features
such as swallets and
cenotes (sinkholes)
Stream Morphology
Horton’s Laws of
Drainage Composition
45000

R2	
  =	
  0.9496

35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
0

1

2

3

4

Fig. 3 Law of average basin
areas

Stream	
  Order

Stream	
  order

35

Number	
  of	
  segments

Stream	
  L engths	
  (km)

40000

R2 	
  =	
  0.9977

30
25
20
15
10
5

Fig. 4 Law of stream lengths

0
0

1

2

Stream	
  order

3

4
Physical Features of the Rio
Candelaria Watershed
Candelaria Watershed

Ø The Candelaria watershed is
one of the few rivers flowing
through the highly karstic region
of the Yucatan Peninsula

Geology

5
Legend
Caliche
Recent Limestone
Quaternary Limestone
Guatemala

0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters

Ø Recent and quaternary
limestone dominate the
Candelaria watershed region with
a few scattered Caliche outcrops
Ø There are a few Caliche
horizons indicating the intensive
chemical weathering that occurs
during the rainy season followed
by rapid evaporation in the dry
season
Candelaria Watershed
Soil Types

Ø Three main soil types:
rendzina, gleysols and
vertisols

5

Legend
Gleysol
Gleysol, Gleysol,

Ø The vertisols and
gleysols are also very
clayey soils, however they
are much deeper than
rendzina

Gleysol, Vertisol,
Rendzina, Vertisol, Litosol
Solonchak, Gleysol, Rendzina
Vertisol, Rendzina,
Vertisol, Rendzina, Litosol
Guatemala

Ø Rendzina is thin clayey
soils rich in organics
(humus) and calcium
carbonate, reflecting the
limestone parent material

0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters
Candelaria Watershed
Soil Moisture

5
Legend
8 months
9 months
Guatemala
0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters

Ø The majority of
precipitation falls between
June and October due to
the beginning of the
summer trade winds and
tropical cyclones
Candelaria Watershed
Climatic Regions

5

Ø The Rio Candelaria
basin contains a warm
sub-humid climatic
regime called tropical
monsoon
Ø Characterized by
distinctive wet and dry
seasons

Legend
Warm Humid
Warm Subhumid
Waterbody
Guatemala

0

15,000

30,000

45,000 Meters
Land Units
Ecozones
Ø 

Ecological zones (“ecozones”) are land facets that have a unique
combination of:
-climate (temperature and moisture availability)
-rock cover (geology)
-soil type
-land cover

Ø 

Ecozones are the
smallest unit
on which land
management can
be based
Identification of Ecozones
Candelaria Watershed

Ecological Zones & Land Systems

Northeast
Land System

Northwest
Land System
North
Land System

5

Central
Land System

Southeast
Land System

Legend
EcoZones
Guatemala
0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters
Climate Assessment
CAMPECHE

Candelaria Watershed
Meteorological Stations

Ø 16 meteorological stations
identified within the
watershed and surrounding
area

CHAMPOTON

5

PUSTUNICH

ulf

G

c
exi
of M

o
SABANCUY

Ø The following information
was provided from the
National Weather Service
Unit (Mexico City) for each
station from 1961-1990:

PIXOYAL

ISLA DE AGUADA

CIUDAD DEL CARMEN 2
CIUDAD DEL CARMEN 1

ESCARCEGA 1ESCARCEGA 2

SAN ISIDRO
CANDELARIA 1CANDELARIA 2

Legend
Meteorological Stations

LA ESPERANZA

•  Maximum, minimum
and average total
monthly precipitation

MONCLOVA

•  Average monthly
temperature

MIGUEL HIDALGO

Candelaria Watershed

GUATEMALA
0

15,000 30,000 45,000 Meters

•  Total monthly
Evapotranspiration Estimates
Ø 

ETo estimates were made using CropWat Version 4.3 (FAO
software)

Ø 

Air humidity %, wind speed (km/day) at 2m from sea level, and daily
sunshine hours were retrieved from two stations located in
Campeche, Campeche and Flores, Guatemala, given by ClimWat
Version 2.0 (FAO software)

Ø 

These variables were averaged and used, along with average
monthly temperature and evaporation at each weather station, in
estimates for evapotranspiration (ETo) for all 16 meteorological
stations used, using the automated Penman-Monteith equation:
Length-of-growing-period
(LGP)
Ø 
Ø 

LGP describes the time period for which climatic conditions
provide optimal plant growth in an area
The growing period is determined for a given weather station
based on the following:
Ø 

LGP begins when precipitation > ½ ETo

Ø 

LGP ends ~5 days after rainy period ends, when
precipitation < ½ ETo

Ø 

Ø 

Climographs provide comprehensive visual demonstrations of
LGP and the water balance between precipitation and
evapotranspiration
Climograph of
Candelaria
River Watershed

Average LGP for all 16 meteorological
stations = 250 days (using CropWat’s
Penman-Monteith equation)
Climographs of Rio Candelaria
Watershed
l 

Two examples of climograph data created using
information from meteorological stations:
Station I.D. Latitude

Longitude

Location

4028

2123049 m N

766408 m E

PUSTUNICH

4020

1976726 m N

726051 m E

MIGUEL HIDALGO
Fig. 1 Climograph for Station #4028, LGP = 158 days

Fig. 2 Climograph for Station #4020, LGP = 281 days
Length of Growing Period
(LGP) Assessment
Candelaria Watershed

Length of Growing Period
(LGP)

5

Legend
235 - 253 days
254 - 266 days
267 - 280 days
281 - 293 days
Guatemala

0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters

Ø  Length-of-growing-period
(LGP) was assessed for the
entire watershed area using
climatic interpolation of LGP
values given by all 16
meteorological stations within
and around the watershed
Ø  Geostatistical analysis was
done using semivariogram
Kriging method on the ArcGIS
software to create a predictive
model for LGP values in the
watershed
Maximum Runoff in the
Watershed
Ø 

Used to determine anticipated volumes of
flow through the stream network system. This
helps to prepare for such events as floods
and droughts.
Calculating Surface Runoff:
IDF curves
Concentration Time:
Ø 
Tc=0.02 x (L1.15/H0.385)
Ø  Rainfall Intensity
Ø  Runoff Coefficient
Ø  Maximum Runoff:
Ø 
Qmax = 0.028CiA
Ø  Average Runoff:
Vm= A.C.Pm
Ø 
Land Utilization in
Campeche
Ø 

Land utilization types (LUTs):
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 

rice
vegetables
livestock
backyard poultry
livestock
fisheries
backyard agro-forestry
plantation agro-forestry
beans
corn
sugar cane
sorghum

Criteria used to determine the
LUTs:
§ the products market orientation
§ capital intensity
§ labour intensity
§ power source
§ level of mechanization
§ size of the farm enterprise
§ land tenure
§ infrastructure requirements
§ inputs
§ current management practices
Current Land Use in Watershed
Candelaria Watershed
Current Land Use

Ø Forest clearing has also
occurred for the creation of
cattle grazing land

5

Legend
Cultivated Grassland
Forested Area
Seasonal Agriculture
Urban Areas
0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters

Ø Land-use changes are
likely causing increased
runoff and storm flow into
the Rio Candelaria stream
network
Capability Classification
Class identified for each
ecozone based on:
1) 
2) 
3) 
4) 
5) 
6) 
7) 
8) 

slope
flood risk
drainage
surface texture
surface coarse
fragments
surface stoniness
rockiness
soil depth

Maximum limitation
considered for capability
class in each ecozone
(the limitation with the
highest class value)
Land Capability
Candelaria Watershed
Land Capability

5

Legend
Cultivation (Limited)

Ø The Rio Candelaria
Watershed is generally
suboptimal for agricultural
land use because of its
karstic characteristics and
high flood risk, which is a key
limitation for many crops

Cultivation (Moderate)
Cultivation (Rice only)
Forestry
Grazing (Moderate)
Wildlife
Guatemala

0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters
Candelaria Watershed
HOTSPOTS

“Hotspots” are:

5
Legend
Hotspot
Potential Hotspot
Sustainable
Guatemala
0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters

Ø areas where
current land use
exceeds its
capability
Ø units for
management
and land use
intervention
Land Suitability
Classification
Class identified for
each ecozone
based on:
1) 
2) 
3) 
4) 

Length-of-growingperiod (LGP)
annual rainfall
mean temperature
during the LGP
soil depth

Maximum limitation
considered for
suitability class in
each ecozone
(highest class
value)
Land Suitability for
Livestock Grazing
Candelaria Watershed
Land Suitability
LIVESTOCK GRAZING

5
Legend
Suitable (S1)
Not Suitable (N2)
Guatemala
0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters

Ø Livestock grazing
suitability determined for
each ecozone based on
land suitability for African
star grass growth
Land Suitability for
Agricultural Crops
Ø 

Crops assessed:
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 
Ø 

Rice
Banana
Sorghum
Maize
Coconut
Dry beans
Squash
Sugarcane

• The upper portions of the
watershed basin are limited to
small-scale traditional
sustenance farming, with maize
being the most important crop
Candelaria Watershed

Candelaria Watershed

Land Suitability
RICE

Land Suitability
SORGHUM

5

5

Legend

Legend

Suitable (S1)

Moderately Suitable (S2)

Moderately Suitable (S2)

Marginally Suitable (S3)

Not Suitable (N2)

Not Suitable (N2)

Guatemala

Guatemala
0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters

0

10,000

30,000 Meters

Candelaria Watershed

Candelaria Watershed

Land Suitability
DRY BEANS

Land Suitability
MAIZE

5

5

Legend

20,000

Legend

Moderately Suitable (S2)
Marginally Suitable (S3)

Marginally Suitable (S3)

Not Suitable (N2)

Not Suitable (N2)

Guatemala

Guatemala
0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters

0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters
Candelaria Watershed

Land Suitability
OPTIMAL AGRICULTURAL
CROP

5

Legend
Rice
Rice or Sorghum
Sorghum
Not Suitable
Guatemala
0

10,000

20,000

30,000 Meters
Landsat Satellite Photographs
of Land Use Change
Colour Composite April, 1990
Colour Composite Jan, 2000
Colour Composite Jan
2005
Land Use Change: 15 Years
1990

2000

2005
Normalized Difference
Vegetation Index (NDVI)
1990

2000

Ø Reflected

2005

light from vegetation reflects higher
infrared radiation than visible light radiation,
allowing satellite imagery to estimate land cover
Conclusions and
Recommendations
Ø 

The Nature Conservancy, in its 2003 proposal to the
United States Agency for International Development
(USAID) stated that, for the state of Campeche:
“Urbanization, poor wastewater management,
industrialization, alteration of the hydrologic regime,
agricultural and cattle production, petroleum extraction
and fishing are likely to be the most important issues,
all related to economic drivers in the protected area
and the basins surrounding it.”
Decision-making and
Conflict Resolution
Ø 

Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP)
Ø 
Ø 

Ø 

Ø 

Resolution for competing land use demands
Stakeholder participation integral part of conflict resolution
and decision making
Qualitative and quantitative factors are considered in
decision-making process
Alternatives for land use operation are meaningfully
weighed according to their influences on a given tract of
land
Analytical Hierarchy Process
(AHP)
1.  Identifying
Alternatives
(Brainstorming)
2. Determine Pros
and Cons of
Alternatives
3. Generate and
Structure
Objectives
4. Generate Expert
Choice Model
5. Evaluate Expert
Choice Model
Recommendations for Rio
Candelaria Watershed
Ø 

Ø 

Using capability and suitability of the land
located inside the watershed, it is recommended
that livestock grazing, rice cultivation and
sorghum cultivation take primary roles in land
utilization
It is recommended that land utilization in the
watershed operate for the purpose of
sustenance

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Presentation for Rio Candelaria Integrated Watershed Management Plan

  • 1. Integrated Watershed Management Plan Rio Candelaria Denika Piggott Amber Brant Wabel Irshaidat Reesha Patel
  • 2. Objective of Integrated Watershed Plan Ø  To investigate the Rio Candelaria watershed and create a plan that assesses resource allocation and recommends potential interventions
  • 3. The Rio Candelaria Watershed l  l  l  The river discharges into the Terminos Lagoon in the state of Campeche, Mexico, located at the southern end of the Gulf of Mexico approximate land area of 5,670 km2 (56,700 ha) covering three municipalities (Carmen, Escarcega and Candelaria) Geographic location: 670000-790000m E and 1950000206000m N UTM State of Campeche Gulf of Mexico 5 Champoton Carmen Escarcega Candelaria State of Tabasco GUATEMALA 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 Meters
  • 5. Procedure for Integrated Watershed Plan 1)  The Rio Candelaria watershed was characterized and delineated 2)  Watershed morphological features were imported into an ArcGIS map database 3)  Scale-dependent land units (systems, facets and ecozones) were identified 4)  Meteorological information was gathered to characterize the watershed’s climate characteristics 5)  Climate information was assessed to determine length-of-growing-period (LGP) for the area and to estimate surface runoff 6)  Elevation points were retrieved and a digital elevation model (DEM) was created 7)  Land capability was assessed and compared with current land use for each ecozone to identify land degradation “hotspots” in the watershed area 8)  Land suitability was assessed for the ecozones to make recommendations for land use type based on LGP, annual rainfall, mean temperature during the LGP and soil depth
  • 6. Ø 364 elevation points taken from INEGI software, Google Earth (2010) Ø Elevation points were imported into the ArcGIS software Ø DEM was created by performing geostatistical analysis using a semivariogram Kriging method and interpolating elevation points into a predictive model
  • 7. Candelaria Watershed Stream Orders & Sub-watersheds Sub-watershed 2 Sub-watershed 1 5 Legend Stream Order 1 Sub-watershed 3 Stream Order 2 Stream Order 3 Sub-watersheds 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters Ø The Yucatan peninsula is a highly karstic region with high infiltration and features such as swallets and cenotes (sinkholes)
  • 9. Horton’s Laws of Drainage Composition 45000 R2  =  0.9496 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 0 1 2 3 4 Fig. 3 Law of average basin areas Stream  Order Stream  order 35 Number  of  segments Stream  L engths  (km) 40000 R2  =  0.9977 30 25 20 15 10 5 Fig. 4 Law of stream lengths 0 0 1 2 Stream  order 3 4
  • 10. Physical Features of the Rio Candelaria Watershed Candelaria Watershed Ø The Candelaria watershed is one of the few rivers flowing through the highly karstic region of the Yucatan Peninsula Geology 5 Legend Caliche Recent Limestone Quaternary Limestone Guatemala 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters Ø Recent and quaternary limestone dominate the Candelaria watershed region with a few scattered Caliche outcrops Ø There are a few Caliche horizons indicating the intensive chemical weathering that occurs during the rainy season followed by rapid evaporation in the dry season
  • 11. Candelaria Watershed Soil Types Ø Three main soil types: rendzina, gleysols and vertisols 5 Legend Gleysol Gleysol, Gleysol, Ø The vertisols and gleysols are also very clayey soils, however they are much deeper than rendzina Gleysol, Vertisol, Rendzina, Vertisol, Litosol Solonchak, Gleysol, Rendzina Vertisol, Rendzina, Vertisol, Rendzina, Litosol Guatemala Ø Rendzina is thin clayey soils rich in organics (humus) and calcium carbonate, reflecting the limestone parent material 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters
  • 12. Candelaria Watershed Soil Moisture 5 Legend 8 months 9 months Guatemala 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters Ø The majority of precipitation falls between June and October due to the beginning of the summer trade winds and tropical cyclones
  • 13. Candelaria Watershed Climatic Regions 5 Ø The Rio Candelaria basin contains a warm sub-humid climatic regime called tropical monsoon Ø Characterized by distinctive wet and dry seasons Legend Warm Humid Warm Subhumid Waterbody Guatemala 0 15,000 30,000 45,000 Meters
  • 15. Ecozones Ø  Ecological zones (“ecozones”) are land facets that have a unique combination of: -climate (temperature and moisture availability) -rock cover (geology) -soil type -land cover Ø  Ecozones are the smallest unit on which land management can be based
  • 16. Identification of Ecozones Candelaria Watershed Ecological Zones & Land Systems Northeast Land System Northwest Land System North Land System 5 Central Land System Southeast Land System Legend EcoZones Guatemala 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters
  • 17. Climate Assessment CAMPECHE Candelaria Watershed Meteorological Stations Ø 16 meteorological stations identified within the watershed and surrounding area CHAMPOTON 5 PUSTUNICH ulf G c exi of M o SABANCUY Ø The following information was provided from the National Weather Service Unit (Mexico City) for each station from 1961-1990: PIXOYAL ISLA DE AGUADA CIUDAD DEL CARMEN 2 CIUDAD DEL CARMEN 1 ESCARCEGA 1ESCARCEGA 2 SAN ISIDRO CANDELARIA 1CANDELARIA 2 Legend Meteorological Stations LA ESPERANZA •  Maximum, minimum and average total monthly precipitation MONCLOVA •  Average monthly temperature MIGUEL HIDALGO Candelaria Watershed GUATEMALA 0 15,000 30,000 45,000 Meters •  Total monthly
  • 18. Evapotranspiration Estimates Ø  ETo estimates were made using CropWat Version 4.3 (FAO software) Ø  Air humidity %, wind speed (km/day) at 2m from sea level, and daily sunshine hours were retrieved from two stations located in Campeche, Campeche and Flores, Guatemala, given by ClimWat Version 2.0 (FAO software) Ø  These variables were averaged and used, along with average monthly temperature and evaporation at each weather station, in estimates for evapotranspiration (ETo) for all 16 meteorological stations used, using the automated Penman-Monteith equation:
  • 19. Length-of-growing-period (LGP) Ø  Ø  LGP describes the time period for which climatic conditions provide optimal plant growth in an area The growing period is determined for a given weather station based on the following: Ø  LGP begins when precipitation > ½ ETo Ø  LGP ends ~5 days after rainy period ends, when precipitation < ½ ETo Ø  Ø  Climographs provide comprehensive visual demonstrations of LGP and the water balance between precipitation and evapotranspiration
  • 20. Climograph of Candelaria River Watershed Average LGP for all 16 meteorological stations = 250 days (using CropWat’s Penman-Monteith equation)
  • 21. Climographs of Rio Candelaria Watershed l  Two examples of climograph data created using information from meteorological stations: Station I.D. Latitude Longitude Location 4028 2123049 m N 766408 m E PUSTUNICH 4020 1976726 m N 726051 m E MIGUEL HIDALGO
  • 22. Fig. 1 Climograph for Station #4028, LGP = 158 days Fig. 2 Climograph for Station #4020, LGP = 281 days
  • 23. Length of Growing Period (LGP) Assessment Candelaria Watershed Length of Growing Period (LGP) 5 Legend 235 - 253 days 254 - 266 days 267 - 280 days 281 - 293 days Guatemala 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters Ø  Length-of-growing-period (LGP) was assessed for the entire watershed area using climatic interpolation of LGP values given by all 16 meteorological stations within and around the watershed Ø  Geostatistical analysis was done using semivariogram Kriging method on the ArcGIS software to create a predictive model for LGP values in the watershed
  • 24. Maximum Runoff in the Watershed Ø  Used to determine anticipated volumes of flow through the stream network system. This helps to prepare for such events as floods and droughts.
  • 26. Concentration Time: Ø  Tc=0.02 x (L1.15/H0.385) Ø  Rainfall Intensity Ø  Runoff Coefficient Ø  Maximum Runoff: Ø  Qmax = 0.028CiA Ø  Average Runoff: Vm= A.C.Pm Ø 
  • 27. Land Utilization in Campeche Ø  Land utilization types (LUTs): Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  rice vegetables livestock backyard poultry livestock fisheries backyard agro-forestry plantation agro-forestry beans corn sugar cane sorghum Criteria used to determine the LUTs: § the products market orientation § capital intensity § labour intensity § power source § level of mechanization § size of the farm enterprise § land tenure § infrastructure requirements § inputs § current management practices
  • 28. Current Land Use in Watershed Candelaria Watershed Current Land Use Ø Forest clearing has also occurred for the creation of cattle grazing land 5 Legend Cultivated Grassland Forested Area Seasonal Agriculture Urban Areas 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters Ø Land-use changes are likely causing increased runoff and storm flow into the Rio Candelaria stream network
  • 29. Capability Classification Class identified for each ecozone based on: 1)  2)  3)  4)  5)  6)  7)  8)  slope flood risk drainage surface texture surface coarse fragments surface stoniness rockiness soil depth Maximum limitation considered for capability class in each ecozone (the limitation with the highest class value)
  • 30. Land Capability Candelaria Watershed Land Capability 5 Legend Cultivation (Limited) Ø The Rio Candelaria Watershed is generally suboptimal for agricultural land use because of its karstic characteristics and high flood risk, which is a key limitation for many crops Cultivation (Moderate) Cultivation (Rice only) Forestry Grazing (Moderate) Wildlife Guatemala 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters
  • 31. Candelaria Watershed HOTSPOTS “Hotspots” are: 5 Legend Hotspot Potential Hotspot Sustainable Guatemala 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters Ø areas where current land use exceeds its capability Ø units for management and land use intervention
  • 32. Land Suitability Classification Class identified for each ecozone based on: 1)  2)  3)  4)  Length-of-growingperiod (LGP) annual rainfall mean temperature during the LGP soil depth Maximum limitation considered for suitability class in each ecozone (highest class value)
  • 33. Land Suitability for Livestock Grazing Candelaria Watershed Land Suitability LIVESTOCK GRAZING 5 Legend Suitable (S1) Not Suitable (N2) Guatemala 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters Ø Livestock grazing suitability determined for each ecozone based on land suitability for African star grass growth
  • 34. Land Suitability for Agricultural Crops Ø  Crops assessed: Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Rice Banana Sorghum Maize Coconut Dry beans Squash Sugarcane • The upper portions of the watershed basin are limited to small-scale traditional sustenance farming, with maize being the most important crop
  • 35. Candelaria Watershed Candelaria Watershed Land Suitability RICE Land Suitability SORGHUM 5 5 Legend Legend Suitable (S1) Moderately Suitable (S2) Moderately Suitable (S2) Marginally Suitable (S3) Not Suitable (N2) Not Suitable (N2) Guatemala Guatemala 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters 0 10,000 30,000 Meters Candelaria Watershed Candelaria Watershed Land Suitability DRY BEANS Land Suitability MAIZE 5 5 Legend 20,000 Legend Moderately Suitable (S2) Marginally Suitable (S3) Marginally Suitable (S3) Not Suitable (N2) Not Suitable (N2) Guatemala Guatemala 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters
  • 36. Candelaria Watershed Land Suitability OPTIMAL AGRICULTURAL CROP 5 Legend Rice Rice or Sorghum Sorghum Not Suitable Guatemala 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Meters
  • 37. Landsat Satellite Photographs of Land Use Change Colour Composite April, 1990
  • 40. Land Use Change: 15 Years 1990 2000 2005
  • 41. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) 1990 2000 Ø Reflected 2005 light from vegetation reflects higher infrared radiation than visible light radiation, allowing satellite imagery to estimate land cover
  • 42. Conclusions and Recommendations Ø  The Nature Conservancy, in its 2003 proposal to the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) stated that, for the state of Campeche: “Urbanization, poor wastewater management, industrialization, alteration of the hydrologic regime, agricultural and cattle production, petroleum extraction and fishing are likely to be the most important issues, all related to economic drivers in the protected area and the basins surrounding it.”
  • 43. Decision-making and Conflict Resolution Ø  Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) Ø  Ø  Ø  Ø  Resolution for competing land use demands Stakeholder participation integral part of conflict resolution and decision making Qualitative and quantitative factors are considered in decision-making process Alternatives for land use operation are meaningfully weighed according to their influences on a given tract of land
  • 44. Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) 1.  Identifying Alternatives (Brainstorming) 2. Determine Pros and Cons of Alternatives 3. Generate and Structure Objectives 4. Generate Expert Choice Model 5. Evaluate Expert Choice Model
  • 45. Recommendations for Rio Candelaria Watershed Ø  Ø  Using capability and suitability of the land located inside the watershed, it is recommended that livestock grazing, rice cultivation and sorghum cultivation take primary roles in land utilization It is recommended that land utilization in the watershed operate for the purpose of sustenance