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Four Priorities
       For Marketing In
      The Digital Future
Scott Townsend
January 18, 2011




                           Google Confidential and Proprietary
While we all were focused on the
Recession, consumer behavior
  changes have marched on.



                           Google Confidential and Proprietary   2
Digital Revolution in Context
                       Distribution &
Information             Commerce               Communication
       “Read”              “Buy”                 “Really Talk”




1994            1998        2000        2003     2006                     2010
Users           77M         400M        500M      1B                       1.9B
                                                  Google Confidential and Proprietary   3
Internet users worldwide
2010 1.9 B




       Mobile subscribers
2010         5B




       Digital information in the world –
       videos, photos, music, texts, etc.
2010     800 exabytes

                          Google Confidential and Proprietary   4
Internet users worldwide
2010 1.9 B

2020         5B


       Mobile subscribers
2010         5B

2020                  10 B


       Digital information in the world –
       videos, photos, music, texts, etc.
2010     800 exabytes

2020              53 zettabytes
                             Google Confidential and Proprietary   5
Transformation Of Consumers Is Taking Place




          ebay                        Farmville                          Amazon
  Selling $6B via mobile      30M people using it every day;      180 Kindle books sold for
          in 2010              an est. 800K virtual tractors       every 100 hardcovers
                                sold daily at $3.33 each




  YouTube views                  iPhone App store                      Red Cross
  Lady Gaga 95M views in          5B apps downloaded            20% ($23M) of donations for
only 4 months with 10M fans                                    Haiti in first week made via text
  (MTV audience = 500k)                                                      message
                                                                          Google Confidential and Proprietary   6
Four Priorities




 1. ZMOT: The battle will shift to “Before the store”

 2. Localization: Digital targeting will be more locally focused

 3. Mobile: Will change the shopping experience

 4. Speed: Acting fast will take on a new meaning



                                                        Google Confidential and Proprietary   7
1. ZMOT becomes the battleground




                          Google Confidential and Proprietary   8
According to P&G, shoppers make up their minds about a
product in 3 to 7 seconds, just the time it takes to note a
product on a store shelf.

This time lapse is called (by P&G) “First Moment of Truth”
and it's considered the most important marketing opportunity
for a brand.



    – 2005 WSJ article

                                                 Google Confidential and Proprietary   9
Historical Path-to-Purchase Model:

 Stimulus      1st Moment of   2nd Moment of
                    Truth           Truth:
                   (FMOT)          (SMOT)




                                     Google Confidential and Proprietary   10
NEW Path-to-Purchase Model:



 Stimulus   Zero Moment   FMOT        SMOT
              of Truth:




                      Which Effects
                         ZMOT

                                       Google Confidential and Proprietary   11
More Decisions Made Before Entering Store…


                               Where Purchase Decisions Are Made, % of Shoppers




                                      60%
                                                                                         75%
                                                                                                                         83%




Source: Longitudinal Economic Study Series, IRI Attitude Link, n = 1,000+ shoppers. CPG Purchase Decisions. IRI, 2009.   Google Confidential and Proprietary   12
The New Path To Purchase




                                                               81%

                                  81% of shoppers conduct
                                  research before they shop,
                                  typically for an hour or more.
Source: GMA, Booz & Company, and SheSpeaks Shopper Marketing 3.0 Survey; n = 3,600 respondents   Google Confidential and Proprietary   13
Online Research Forever Changed The Game




Since the recession began, 54% of consumers are spending more time
      researching products online before they buy them in a store.
                                                    Google Confidential and Proprietary   14
New Behavior Drives A Surge In Search Volume




                                                   +188%                   +288%
                                                   Reviews              Coupons




                                                   +209%                   +149%
                                                   Recipes   Local Searches

Source: Google internal tools, Jan 2007-Jan 2010

                                                              Google Confidential and Proprietary   15
Coupon Search & Use Is Up Since Recession




                                                                                                                  Coupons




The number of digital coupon events increased by 60% Y/Y


  Source: Catapult Marketing study conducted by Forrester Research as cited in PROMO, December 10, 2009   Google Confidential and Proprietary   16
  Marx, a Kantar Media solution
Consumers Are More Discerning Than Ever


83%                     rely on trusted places like user ratings or product review sites
                        (buyers read 4 to 7 reviews before feeling comfortable with a purchase)




Source: Google Touchpoints Consumer Survey, 01/09. “Online Consumer Reviews Significantly Impact Consumer Purchasing Decisions,” Opinion Research Corporation, 06/08




                                                                                                                                      Google Confidential and Proprietary   17
Google Confidential and Proprietary   18
Google Confidential and Proprietary   19
Google Confidential and Proprietary   20
Which Is Good News For Shopper Marketers!




                                                                                                              +20%
                                                                                                             Searchers Spend




Source: MarketingVox : Search Affects CPG Brand Building, Offline & Online Sales. Oct 2007.                         Google Confidential and Proprietary   21
http://www.marketingvox.com/study-search-vital-for-cpg-brand-building-and-both-offline-online-sales-033942
Search Works
  Sales Lift in Brand                                        Sales Lift in Product                                         Sales Lift in
   Only Campaign                                               Only Campaign                                             Coupon Campaign




                                                                           Private Label
                                                                           Test Brand

Source: White-labeled Search and Display Match Market Study for Ready-To-Eat Cereal Advertiser, August 2010, Sales in volume..   Google Confidential and Proprietary   22
Life versus control (dark – no search). All results significant at 90% or greater.
The Sheer Volume Is Staggering




                                             Annual Query Volume
                               recipes              153,200,000
                               weight loss           54,540,000
                               soap                  26,970,000
                               shampoo               15,820,000
                               deodorant              3,569,000
                               mayonnaise             1,475,500
                               pasta sauce            1,292,000




Source: Google Keyword Tool, US only.                              Google Confidential and Proprietary   23
Owning The Digital Shelf




                           Google Confidential and Proprietary   24
Leverage Digital End Caps




                            Google Confidential and Proprietary   25
Product Ratings Will Help Win ZMOT




                                     Google Confidential and Proprietary   26
Promote Specific SKU’s Outside Of Circular




                                    Google Confidential and Proprietary   27
McDonald’s Leverages ZMOT For New Smoothies




                                 Google Confidential and Proprietary   28
2. Localization




                  Google Confidential and Proprietary   29
Digital Enables Precision Targeting



        Region                                             City         Radius   Custom




*Marketer is responsible for translating ads into selected languages.
                                                                                 Google Confidential and Proprietary   30
Location Extensions Will Help Win ZMOT




                                                 272 8TH AVE, NEW YORK, NY




                           Address appears
                        as the 5th line of ad text




                                                     Google Confidential and Proprietary   31
Drive Traffic With Google Maps




                                 Google Confidential and Proprietary   32
Geo-Target Coupon Distribution




                                 Google Confidential and Proprietary   33
Think About The Local Community




                                  Google Confidential and Proprietary   34
3. Mobile




            Google Confidential and Proprietary   35
The Mobile Audience Is Significant Today


      314M                    Population of US


      239M                    Online Population


      134M                    Mobile Web & App Population




1)    US Census 2010
2)    Internet WorldStats, June ‘10
3)    Includes active smartphone, mobile Internet device (iPod touches & iPads) and feature
      phone devices on mobile web or apps. Source: comScore, CTIA, analyst reports            Google Confidential and Proprietary   36
Mobile Becoming Just As Prevalent As Desktop
                    Global Mobile vs. Desktop Internet Population, 2007-2015
                                Mobile Internet Users      Desktop Internet Users
          2000


          1600


 Global
Internet 1200
 Users
 (MM)
          800


           400


              0
                    2007      2008       2009   2010    2011   2012    2013        2014             2015

Source: Morgan Stanley Research, April 2010                                   Google Confidential and Proprietary   37
Mobile Search Is Exploding
                                                                                                             Droid X

                                                                                                   Sprint Evo
                                                                                      HTC
                                                                                   Incredible

                                                                      Android Nexus One


                                                                    Moto Droid & Eris


                                                               iPhone 3GS

                                                 Blackberry Storm

                                                Android G1

                                                                                Palm Pre
                                           iPhone 3G

                   iPhone

                                                                                                               2010

Edge                                      3G                                                                          4G



Source: Google Internal and Third Party                                                 Google Confidential and Proprietary   38
•  During Holiday ’09, 10% of all shoppers
   took pictures of products in-store

   •  In 2010 1 in 3 online shoppers used a
   mobile device to browse e-commerce sites




Source: Morgan Stanley                Google Confidential and Proprietary   39
Engage Consumers: Anywhere – Anytime

                                             Watch Video
  Searching
                   Home      Work




Browse Internet
                                                Use Apps




                  Shopping   Commuting

                                         Google Confidential and Proprietary   40
Consumer Mobile Intents


     Where can I buy
     something?


     Can I buy it on my
     phone?


     What are others
     charging for it?

                          Google Confidential and Proprietary   41
The Winning Brands & Retailers will
       optimize for Mobile




                             Google Confidential and Proprietary   42
Mobile Do’s


 •  Look in the Mirror

 •  Think National with Local Intent

 •  Link messaging to other platforms

 •  Address mobile users directly with valuable
    offers



                                        Google Confidential and Proprietary   43
4. Speed




           Google Confidential and Proprietary   44
Leverage Insights To Move At New Speeds




                                  Google Confidential and Proprietary   45
General Mills Informed Product Decisions




   www.target.com/chex Try Gluten Free Chex cereal. Available at Target!




                                                                           Google Confidential and Proprietary   46
Concept Was A Huge Success!




                              Google Confidential and Proprietary   47
Take Advantage
     of the
 Unexpected…
 Good or Bad




      Google Confidential and Proprietary   48
Amplify Assets Fast & Creatively




                                   Google Confidential and Proprietary   49
Speed Beats Perfection!




                          Google Confidential and Proprietary   50
Be Opportunistic And Move Fast!
Miracle Whip Airs on TV       Colbert Responds          Kraft Immediately Joins in
                                                            on Fun via Search




Drove to Facebook and     Accelerated Brand Interest     And Received Positive
   YouTube Homes                                       Feedback From Consumers




                                                               Google Confidential and Proprietary   51
Thank You!

Scott Townsend
January 18, 2011




                       Google Confidential and Proprietary

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AMA Oregon Google Presentation

  • 1. Four Priorities For Marketing In The Digital Future Scott Townsend January 18, 2011 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 2. While we all were focused on the Recession, consumer behavior changes have marched on. Google Confidential and Proprietary 2
  • 3. Digital Revolution in Context Distribution & Information Commerce Communication “Read” “Buy” “Really Talk” 1994 1998 2000 2003 2006 2010 Users 77M 400M 500M 1B 1.9B Google Confidential and Proprietary 3
  • 4. Internet users worldwide 2010 1.9 B Mobile subscribers 2010 5B Digital information in the world – videos, photos, music, texts, etc. 2010 800 exabytes Google Confidential and Proprietary 4
  • 5. Internet users worldwide 2010 1.9 B 2020 5B Mobile subscribers 2010 5B 2020 10 B Digital information in the world – videos, photos, music, texts, etc. 2010 800 exabytes 2020 53 zettabytes Google Confidential and Proprietary 5
  • 6. Transformation Of Consumers Is Taking Place ebay Farmville Amazon Selling $6B via mobile 30M people using it every day; 180 Kindle books sold for in 2010 an est. 800K virtual tractors every 100 hardcovers sold daily at $3.33 each YouTube views iPhone App store Red Cross Lady Gaga 95M views in 5B apps downloaded 20% ($23M) of donations for only 4 months with 10M fans Haiti in first week made via text (MTV audience = 500k) message Google Confidential and Proprietary 6
  • 7. Four Priorities 1. ZMOT: The battle will shift to “Before the store” 2. Localization: Digital targeting will be more locally focused 3. Mobile: Will change the shopping experience 4. Speed: Acting fast will take on a new meaning Google Confidential and Proprietary 7
  • 8. 1. ZMOT becomes the battleground Google Confidential and Proprietary 8
  • 9. According to P&G, shoppers make up their minds about a product in 3 to 7 seconds, just the time it takes to note a product on a store shelf. This time lapse is called (by P&G) “First Moment of Truth” and it's considered the most important marketing opportunity for a brand. – 2005 WSJ article Google Confidential and Proprietary 9
  • 10. Historical Path-to-Purchase Model: Stimulus 1st Moment of 2nd Moment of Truth Truth: (FMOT) (SMOT) Google Confidential and Proprietary 10
  • 11. NEW Path-to-Purchase Model: Stimulus Zero Moment FMOT SMOT of Truth: Which Effects ZMOT Google Confidential and Proprietary 11
  • 12. More Decisions Made Before Entering Store… Where Purchase Decisions Are Made, % of Shoppers 60% 75% 83% Source: Longitudinal Economic Study Series, IRI Attitude Link, n = 1,000+ shoppers. CPG Purchase Decisions. IRI, 2009. Google Confidential and Proprietary 12
  • 13. The New Path To Purchase 81% 81% of shoppers conduct research before they shop, typically for an hour or more. Source: GMA, Booz & Company, and SheSpeaks Shopper Marketing 3.0 Survey; n = 3,600 respondents Google Confidential and Proprietary 13
  • 14. Online Research Forever Changed The Game Since the recession began, 54% of consumers are spending more time researching products online before they buy them in a store. Google Confidential and Proprietary 14
  • 15. New Behavior Drives A Surge In Search Volume +188% +288% Reviews Coupons +209% +149% Recipes Local Searches Source: Google internal tools, Jan 2007-Jan 2010 Google Confidential and Proprietary 15
  • 16. Coupon Search & Use Is Up Since Recession Coupons The number of digital coupon events increased by 60% Y/Y Source: Catapult Marketing study conducted by Forrester Research as cited in PROMO, December 10, 2009 Google Confidential and Proprietary 16 Marx, a Kantar Media solution
  • 17. Consumers Are More Discerning Than Ever 83% rely on trusted places like user ratings or product review sites (buyers read 4 to 7 reviews before feeling comfortable with a purchase) Source: Google Touchpoints Consumer Survey, 01/09. “Online Consumer Reviews Significantly Impact Consumer Purchasing Decisions,” Opinion Research Corporation, 06/08 Google Confidential and Proprietary 17
  • 18. Google Confidential and Proprietary 18
  • 19. Google Confidential and Proprietary 19
  • 20. Google Confidential and Proprietary 20
  • 21. Which Is Good News For Shopper Marketers! +20% Searchers Spend Source: MarketingVox : Search Affects CPG Brand Building, Offline & Online Sales. Oct 2007. Google Confidential and Proprietary 21 http://www.marketingvox.com/study-search-vital-for-cpg-brand-building-and-both-offline-online-sales-033942
  • 22. Search Works Sales Lift in Brand Sales Lift in Product Sales Lift in Only Campaign Only Campaign Coupon Campaign Private Label Test Brand Source: White-labeled Search and Display Match Market Study for Ready-To-Eat Cereal Advertiser, August 2010, Sales in volume.. Google Confidential and Proprietary 22 Life versus control (dark – no search). All results significant at 90% or greater.
  • 23. The Sheer Volume Is Staggering Annual Query Volume recipes 153,200,000 weight loss 54,540,000 soap 26,970,000 shampoo 15,820,000 deodorant 3,569,000 mayonnaise 1,475,500 pasta sauce 1,292,000 Source: Google Keyword Tool, US only. Google Confidential and Proprietary 23
  • 24. Owning The Digital Shelf Google Confidential and Proprietary 24
  • 25. Leverage Digital End Caps Google Confidential and Proprietary 25
  • 26. Product Ratings Will Help Win ZMOT Google Confidential and Proprietary 26
  • 27. Promote Specific SKU’s Outside Of Circular Google Confidential and Proprietary 27
  • 28. McDonald’s Leverages ZMOT For New Smoothies Google Confidential and Proprietary 28
  • 29. 2. Localization Google Confidential and Proprietary 29
  • 30. Digital Enables Precision Targeting Region City Radius Custom *Marketer is responsible for translating ads into selected languages. Google Confidential and Proprietary 30
  • 31. Location Extensions Will Help Win ZMOT 272 8TH AVE, NEW YORK, NY Address appears as the 5th line of ad text Google Confidential and Proprietary 31
  • 32. Drive Traffic With Google Maps Google Confidential and Proprietary 32
  • 33. Geo-Target Coupon Distribution Google Confidential and Proprietary 33
  • 34. Think About The Local Community Google Confidential and Proprietary 34
  • 35. 3. Mobile Google Confidential and Proprietary 35
  • 36. The Mobile Audience Is Significant Today 314M Population of US 239M Online Population 134M Mobile Web & App Population 1)  US Census 2010 2)  Internet WorldStats, June ‘10 3)  Includes active smartphone, mobile Internet device (iPod touches & iPads) and feature phone devices on mobile web or apps. Source: comScore, CTIA, analyst reports Google Confidential and Proprietary 36
  • 37. Mobile Becoming Just As Prevalent As Desktop Global Mobile vs. Desktop Internet Population, 2007-2015 Mobile Internet Users Desktop Internet Users 2000 1600 Global Internet 1200 Users (MM) 800 400 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Morgan Stanley Research, April 2010 Google Confidential and Proprietary 37
  • 38. Mobile Search Is Exploding Droid X Sprint Evo HTC Incredible Android Nexus One Moto Droid & Eris iPhone 3GS Blackberry Storm Android G1 Palm Pre iPhone 3G iPhone
 2010 Edge 3G 4G Source: Google Internal and Third Party Google Confidential and Proprietary 38
  • 39. •  During Holiday ’09, 10% of all shoppers took pictures of products in-store •  In 2010 1 in 3 online shoppers used a mobile device to browse e-commerce sites Source: Morgan Stanley Google Confidential and Proprietary 39
  • 40. Engage Consumers: Anywhere – Anytime Watch Video Searching Home Work Browse Internet Use Apps Shopping Commuting Google Confidential and Proprietary 40
  • 41. Consumer Mobile Intents Where can I buy something? Can I buy it on my phone? What are others charging for it? Google Confidential and Proprietary 41
  • 42. The Winning Brands & Retailers will optimize for Mobile Google Confidential and Proprietary 42
  • 43. Mobile Do’s •  Look in the Mirror •  Think National with Local Intent •  Link messaging to other platforms •  Address mobile users directly with valuable offers Google Confidential and Proprietary 43
  • 44. 4. Speed Google Confidential and Proprietary 44
  • 45. Leverage Insights To Move At New Speeds Google Confidential and Proprietary 45
  • 46. General Mills Informed Product Decisions www.target.com/chex Try Gluten Free Chex cereal. Available at Target! Google Confidential and Proprietary 46
  • 47. Concept Was A Huge Success! Google Confidential and Proprietary 47
  • 48. Take Advantage of the Unexpected… Good or Bad Google Confidential and Proprietary 48
  • 49. Amplify Assets Fast & Creatively Google Confidential and Proprietary 49
  • 50. Speed Beats Perfection! Google Confidential and Proprietary 50
  • 51. Be Opportunistic And Move Fast! Miracle Whip Airs on TV Colbert Responds Kraft Immediately Joins in on Fun via Search Drove to Facebook and Accelerated Brand Interest And Received Positive YouTube Homes Feedback From Consumers Google Confidential and Proprietary 51
  • 52. Thank You! Scott Townsend January 18, 2011 Google Confidential and Proprietary