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E-commerce in Russia:
Situation and perspectives

Presented by Adrien Henni – March 16, 2011


                             In association with
Contents


•  Main market trends
•  Shoppers
•  Merchants
•  Emerging models
•  Payments
•  About faberNovel




                E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011   2
Main market trends / Internet usage in Russia

      Number of monthly users 18+ in Russia                                                            • 45 m 18+ Russian
             (Monthly users in millions, with the percentage of the corresponding population)
                                                                                                         users in H2 2010
80


70
                                                                                                70M    •  70 m forecast in
                                                                                        63M     62%      2014: Strong growth
60                                                                          57M         56%              fuelled mainly by
                                                                52M         50%                          regional users as
50
                                                    45M         46%                                      well as by certain
40                                      39M          39%                                                 population categories
                            32M          34%                                                             (e.g., young users,
30
                26M          28%                                                                         40+ women)
      22M        23%
20    19%                                                                                              •  At least 20 m
10
                                                                                                         additional Russian-
                                                                                                         speaking users from
 0
      2006     2007
                                                                                                         other countries (e.g.,
     2006       2007 2008
                       2008 2009
                               200920102010
                                          2011 2011
                                                  2012 2012
                                                         2013                           2014
                                                                                       2013     2014
                                                                                                         USSR, W. Europe,
             Sources 2006-2010: FOM and Rambler (numbers at the end of each year)                        Israel, USA)
              Forecasts 2011-2014 by FaberNovel based on recognised market trends



                                          E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011   3
Main market trends / Russian e-commerce market size

 •  Russia still lags behind advanced countries:

                                                  Nb of Internet users (2010)         B2C e-commerce (2010)*

               Russia                                   45 million                     $5 to 10 billion
               France                                    43 million                        $42 billion
               USA                                      248 million                       $150 billion


 • But with 40% yearly growth*, Russia could reach the current West
 European levels in 5 years.

 •  Traditional obstacles eased progressively:
       -  More sites, a better offer, more attractive commercial approaches
       -  More site professionalism, more user trust
       -  Country-specific payment and logistics issues remain, but
          improvements are brought and new solutions offered regularly

*Varying estimates for market size and yearly growth (+30% to +60% in 2009; some important sites witnessed +100%)


                                    E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011   4
Main market trends / Regional contrasts


•  Moscow & St. Petersburg; “millionniki”;
   low-density areas = 3 completely different
   situations:

  -  Different purchasing
     capacities and habits
  -  Different expectations
     regarding both products
     and services
  -  Different payment,
     logistics, and
     delivery issues

•  Some sites strongly differentiate delivery
   tariffs; others subsidize delivery to certain
   areas; some just do not serve regions, at
   least first stage

                      E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011   5
Main market trends / Regional contrasts



                                 Monthly online spending
                                                   Books

                                                                                     Average monthly
          Electronics and household From 3,000 to
                 3,000 rubles                                    More than              spending
                 or less appliances 10,000 rubles                10,000 rubles


    Cities 1 m + and related
         Phones
                accessories


    Other cities
       or areas


      Cosmetics and perfumes



Source: FOM, March 2010



                               E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011   6
Main market trends / Regional contrasts

                              Types of purchases in %

                                                  Books


           Electronics and household                                      Tickets to events
                          appliances



         Phones and related
               accessories                                                            PCs and related equipment




                                                                               Medicine
      Cosmetics and perfumes




                                  Groceries                       Transport tickets


Source: FOM, March 2010

                              E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011   7
Contents


•  Main market trends
•  Shoppers
•  Merchants
•  Emerging models
•  Payments
•  About faberNovel




                E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011   8
Shoppers / How many are they?

•  According to some surveys, the overwhelming majority of Russian Internet
users have purchased something online at least once in their life (including
virtual goods, using any means of payment).
•  However, really active purchasers, those who buy items through e-
commerce sites on a regular basis, represent a more modest proportion:
perhaps 15% of Russian Internet users (7 million people) on a monthly
basis.


Ever made an online purchase                                   80%           36 million people
(PWC, Apr. 2009)                                                              / 45 m users end 2010

At least 1 purchase for the last 3 months                      74%           33 million people
(PWC, Apr. 2009)                                                              / 45 m users end 2010

At least 1 purchase for the last month                        15%           7 million people
(FOM, Aug. 2010)                                                              / 45 m users end 201)




                      E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011   9
Shoppers / Who are they?


                                       Among                    Among                 Choose, but
                                       Internet                 online                 don’t buy
                                        users                  shoppers                 online


                           Males


                   Under 34 years


                Higher education


Revenues higher than average


Cities of 1 million + inhabitants


 Source: FOM, March 2010




                            E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 10
Shoppers / What do they buy?


    Most demanded goods by Russian online shoppers




                                                         Source: FOM, March 2010




              E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 11
Contents


•  Main market trends
•  Shoppers
•  Merchants
•  Emerging models
•  Payments
•  About faberNovel




                E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 12
Merchants / Typologies

     Pure players                 Distance selling                           Offline players




Certain segments dominated                                              Depending on the sector,
 by strong players; others         Fast-growing share                  some big retailers have built
 under professionalization           of online sales                     thriving online activities;
     and consolidation                                                  others just starting or still
                                                                                  absent
                        E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 13
Merchants / From amateur to state-of-the-art websites

       Early 2010: the children’s goods segment was
            dominated by such sites as follows:




               E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 14
Merchants / From amateur to state-of-the-art websites

  Early 2011: several new sites match international standards




                E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 15
Merchants / The weakness of international pure players

     Online stores                         Classifieds                          Private shopping
                                                                                      clubs




                                                                              KupiVIP: Absolute leader,
 Ozon.ru: Absolute leader,                                                      founded in late 2008
      founded 1998                     Slando (2.6M ads),
                                    Avito (2.5M), and IRR.ru:
                                       the market’s giants




 Amazon.com: No Russian              eBay: Russian version
  version, but many orders        launched only in March 2010
come from Russia directly or         (15,000 classifieds in 6                  Big Western players still
          indirectly                        months)                                   absent

                             E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 16
Merchants / Leading segments



                                              Approx. nb of daily orders   Monthly turnover (in rub.)

Clothes and shoes                                       14,000                   1.4 billion
Group buying                                            10,000                ± 200 million
Household appliances                                    10,000                   3.2 billion
Grocery                                                  8,000                ± 650 million
Computers & related equipment                            8,000                   2.8 billion
Children’s goods                                         7,000                  900 million
Furniture                                                1,500                  900 million
                                     Source: InSales, early 2011




                    E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 17
Contents


•  Main market trends
•  Shoppers
•  Merchants
•  Emerging models
•  Payments
•  About faberNovel




                E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 18
Emerging models / Private shopping clubs

                                                                  KupiVip.ru
                                                                  •  Launched late 2008
                                                                  •  Inspired by Vente-privee.com
                                                                  •  Absolute leader, over 3m
                                                                  registered users




                       Ostrovok.ru
              •  Launched late 2010
   •  Inspired by VoyagePrive.com




                       E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 19
Emerging models / Group buying

                   Groupon.ru
      •  Darberry.ru, copycat of
      Groupon.com, launched
                      early 2010
•  Acquired by Groupon.com
                   in Aug. 2010
     •  Now the market leader,
    claims 80% market share




                                                                          KupiBonus.ru
                                                                          •  One of the challengers,
                                                                          launched mid 2010
                                                                          •  Specializes in health and beauty

                                   E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 20
Emerging models / “Scandinavian auctions”


                                                                          Gagen.ru

                                                                          •  Based on a
                                                                          lowest-unique-bid
                                                                          auction principle,
                                                                          this system mixes
                                                                          e-commerce with
                                                                          money and
                                                                          chance games.

                                                                          •  The site gained
                                                                          strong popularity
                                                                          in 2010.

                                                                          •  Lucky users can
                                                                          purchase items
                                                                          with a discount of
                                                                          up to a 99%.
                                                                          discount.




              E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 21
Emerging models / Social commerce

                                                           Emegamall. This provider organizes
                                                           merchants’ sales at different online
                                                           marketplaces and on social
                                                           networks




      “Cool Discount”
 (Klassnye skidki), the
       social commerce
project of Odnoklassniki


                           E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 22
Contents


•  Main market trends
•  Shoppers
•  Merchants
•  Emerging models
•  Payments
•  About faberNovel




                E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 23
Payments / Payment means used in e-commerce

                                                                                       •  Banking cards are
                                                                                       used, on average, for
                                                                                       20% of online
                                                                                       purchases but are
                                                                                       widely used in certain
                                                                                       segments or products
                                                                                       (e.g., train or plane
                                                                                       tickets)
                                                                                       • Cash on delivery
                                                                                       represents the main
                                                                                       payment means for
                                                                                       such leading e-
                                                                                       commerce sites as
                                                                                       KupiVIP.ru and Ozon.ru
     Cash on




                                     Banking card




                                                                    currencies
                Paid at the Post
                   offfice upon
                      reception




                                                    Bank transfer



                                                                    Electronic




                                                                                 SMS
     delivery




                             Source: Rumetrika, July 2010


                                   E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 24
Payments / Remaining issues

At first glance, Russia counts plenty of payment means. Still, many
problems are left unresolved:
           •  Users still lack trust. This is why banking cards are little used for
              online payments and C.O.D. is widely used in e-commerce. The lack of
              trust can also affect SMS payments due to a number of swindling offers.
           •  Alternative solutions for online payments complicate user
              experience. Using electronic currencies requires several, sometimes
              uneasy, steps. Offline terminals are user friendly but interrupt the online
              buying experience.
           •  Users and/or merchants are often charged with significant fees.
              Fees are unreasonably high with telephone-based payment means;
              they can be significant with offline terminals and electronic currencies.
           •  Pre-authorized, recurring payments are possible only in
              fragmented cases and are still used very rarely. This complicates the
              business model of several industries.
           •  Merchants have to aggregate a great number of payment solutions,
              leading to complex processes or to the necessity of paying for additional
              aggregation services.

                       E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 25
Contents


•  Main market trends
•  Shoppers
•  Merchants
•  Emerging models
•  Payments
•  About faberNovel




                E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 26
About Fabernovel

•  Founded in 2003, faberNovel is an innovation agency specializing in
  Internet, mobile and other innovative projects. The company builds on
  emerging technologies, methodologies and practices to create advanced
  products and high value-added services. It has offices in Paris, San
  Francisco, Moscow and Ho Chi Minh City.

•  In Russia, faberNovel offers strategic and operational assistance to
  companies seeking to seize opportunities in Russia’s fast-growing Internet
  and mobile markets:
    -  Strategy consulting & market analysis,
    -  Digital services and product setup or localization, including cultural, marketing, payment
       and other e-commerce related issues
    -  Commercial and / or technological partnerships with Western and Russian players,
    -  Advice on M&A, JV and fund raising.


•  faberNovel’s international team combines the necessary talents and
  passion to turn their clients’ ideas into successful projects!

                          E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 27
faberNovel France
                                     17, rue du faubourg du Temple, 75010 Paris

                                                        faberNovel Inc., USA
                           1436A Howard Street, San Francisco, 94103 CA USA

                                                             faberNovel Russia
3rd Monetchikovskiy per. 17, stroenie 2, Moscow 115054 – Tel. : +7 909 639 80 82

                                                        www.fabernovel.com



                                                                                   28
This presentation was prepared in association with East-West Digital News,
    the first comprehensive English-language online resource dedicated
                          to Russian IT industries.


Site contents: Daily news – Expert analysis – Market data – In-depth studies –
   Industry events… and a variety of professional business tools designed to
 improve business communication between Russian and international market
                            participants at all levels.

                              www.ewdn.com

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E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives

  • 1. E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives Presented by Adrien Henni – March 16, 2011 In association with
  • 2. Contents •  Main market trends •  Shoppers •  Merchants •  Emerging models •  Payments •  About faberNovel E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 2
  • 3. Main market trends / Internet usage in Russia Number of monthly users 18+ in Russia • 45 m 18+ Russian (Monthly users in millions, with the percentage of the corresponding population) users in H2 2010 80 70 70M •  70 m forecast in 63M 62% 2014: Strong growth 60 57M 56% fuelled mainly by 52M 50% regional users as 50 45M 46% well as by certain 40 39M 39% population categories 32M 34% (e.g., young users, 30 26M 28% 40+ women) 22M 23% 20 19% •  At least 20 m 10 additional Russian- speaking users from 0 2006 2007 other countries (e.g., 2006 2007 2008 2008 2009 200920102010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2014 2013 2014 USSR, W. Europe, Sources 2006-2010: FOM and Rambler (numbers at the end of each year) Israel, USA) Forecasts 2011-2014 by FaberNovel based on recognised market trends E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 3
  • 4. Main market trends / Russian e-commerce market size •  Russia still lags behind advanced countries: Nb of Internet users (2010) B2C e-commerce (2010)* Russia 45 million $5 to 10 billion France 43 million $42 billion USA 248 million $150 billion • But with 40% yearly growth*, Russia could reach the current West European levels in 5 years. •  Traditional obstacles eased progressively: -  More sites, a better offer, more attractive commercial approaches -  More site professionalism, more user trust -  Country-specific payment and logistics issues remain, but improvements are brought and new solutions offered regularly *Varying estimates for market size and yearly growth (+30% to +60% in 2009; some important sites witnessed +100%) E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 4
  • 5. Main market trends / Regional contrasts •  Moscow & St. Petersburg; “millionniki”; low-density areas = 3 completely different situations: -  Different purchasing capacities and habits -  Different expectations regarding both products and services -  Different payment, logistics, and delivery issues •  Some sites strongly differentiate delivery tariffs; others subsidize delivery to certain areas; some just do not serve regions, at least first stage E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 5
  • 6. Main market trends / Regional contrasts Monthly online spending Books Average monthly Electronics and household From 3,000 to 3,000 rubles More than spending or less appliances 10,000 rubles 10,000 rubles Cities 1 m + and related Phones accessories Other cities or areas Cosmetics and perfumes Source: FOM, March 2010 E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 6
  • 7. Main market trends / Regional contrasts Types of purchases in % Books Electronics and household Tickets to events appliances Phones and related accessories PCs and related equipment Medicine Cosmetics and perfumes Groceries Transport tickets Source: FOM, March 2010 E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 7
  • 8. Contents •  Main market trends •  Shoppers •  Merchants •  Emerging models •  Payments •  About faberNovel E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 8
  • 9. Shoppers / How many are they? •  According to some surveys, the overwhelming majority of Russian Internet users have purchased something online at least once in their life (including virtual goods, using any means of payment). •  However, really active purchasers, those who buy items through e- commerce sites on a regular basis, represent a more modest proportion: perhaps 15% of Russian Internet users (7 million people) on a monthly basis. Ever made an online purchase 80% 36 million people (PWC, Apr. 2009) / 45 m users end 2010 At least 1 purchase for the last 3 months 74% 33 million people (PWC, Apr. 2009) / 45 m users end 2010 At least 1 purchase for the last month 15% 7 million people (FOM, Aug. 2010) / 45 m users end 201) E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 9
  • 10. Shoppers / Who are they? Among Among Choose, but Internet online don’t buy users shoppers online Males Under 34 years Higher education Revenues higher than average Cities of 1 million + inhabitants Source: FOM, March 2010 E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 10
  • 11. Shoppers / What do they buy? Most demanded goods by Russian online shoppers Source: FOM, March 2010 E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 11
  • 12. Contents •  Main market trends •  Shoppers •  Merchants •  Emerging models •  Payments •  About faberNovel E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 12
  • 13. Merchants / Typologies Pure players Distance selling Offline players Certain segments dominated Depending on the sector, by strong players; others Fast-growing share some big retailers have built under professionalization of online sales thriving online activities; and consolidation others just starting or still absent E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 13
  • 14. Merchants / From amateur to state-of-the-art websites Early 2010: the children’s goods segment was dominated by such sites as follows: E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 14
  • 15. Merchants / From amateur to state-of-the-art websites Early 2011: several new sites match international standards E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 15
  • 16. Merchants / The weakness of international pure players Online stores Classifieds Private shopping clubs KupiVIP: Absolute leader, Ozon.ru: Absolute leader, founded in late 2008 founded 1998 Slando (2.6M ads), Avito (2.5M), and IRR.ru: the market’s giants Amazon.com: No Russian eBay: Russian version version, but many orders launched only in March 2010 come from Russia directly or (15,000 classifieds in 6 Big Western players still indirectly months) absent E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 16
  • 17. Merchants / Leading segments Approx. nb of daily orders Monthly turnover (in rub.) Clothes and shoes 14,000 1.4 billion Group buying 10,000 ± 200 million Household appliances 10,000 3.2 billion Grocery 8,000 ± 650 million Computers & related equipment 8,000 2.8 billion Children’s goods 7,000 900 million Furniture 1,500 900 million Source: InSales, early 2011 E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 17
  • 18. Contents •  Main market trends •  Shoppers •  Merchants •  Emerging models •  Payments •  About faberNovel E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 18
  • 19. Emerging models / Private shopping clubs KupiVip.ru •  Launched late 2008 •  Inspired by Vente-privee.com •  Absolute leader, over 3m registered users Ostrovok.ru •  Launched late 2010 •  Inspired by VoyagePrive.com E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 19
  • 20. Emerging models / Group buying Groupon.ru •  Darberry.ru, copycat of Groupon.com, launched early 2010 •  Acquired by Groupon.com in Aug. 2010 •  Now the market leader, claims 80% market share KupiBonus.ru •  One of the challengers, launched mid 2010 •  Specializes in health and beauty E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 20
  • 21. Emerging models / “Scandinavian auctions” Gagen.ru •  Based on a lowest-unique-bid auction principle, this system mixes e-commerce with money and chance games. •  The site gained strong popularity in 2010. •  Lucky users can purchase items with a discount of up to a 99%. discount. E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 21
  • 22. Emerging models / Social commerce Emegamall. This provider organizes merchants’ sales at different online marketplaces and on social networks “Cool Discount” (Klassnye skidki), the social commerce project of Odnoklassniki E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 22
  • 23. Contents •  Main market trends •  Shoppers •  Merchants •  Emerging models •  Payments •  About faberNovel E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 23
  • 24. Payments / Payment means used in e-commerce •  Banking cards are used, on average, for 20% of online purchases but are widely used in certain segments or products (e.g., train or plane tickets) • Cash on delivery represents the main payment means for such leading e- commerce sites as KupiVIP.ru and Ozon.ru Cash on Banking card currencies Paid at the Post offfice upon reception Bank transfer Electronic SMS delivery Source: Rumetrika, July 2010 E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 24
  • 25. Payments / Remaining issues At first glance, Russia counts plenty of payment means. Still, many problems are left unresolved: •  Users still lack trust. This is why banking cards are little used for online payments and C.O.D. is widely used in e-commerce. The lack of trust can also affect SMS payments due to a number of swindling offers. •  Alternative solutions for online payments complicate user experience. Using electronic currencies requires several, sometimes uneasy, steps. Offline terminals are user friendly but interrupt the online buying experience. •  Users and/or merchants are often charged with significant fees. Fees are unreasonably high with telephone-based payment means; they can be significant with offline terminals and electronic currencies. •  Pre-authorized, recurring payments are possible only in fragmented cases and are still used very rarely. This complicates the business model of several industries. •  Merchants have to aggregate a great number of payment solutions, leading to complex processes or to the necessity of paying for additional aggregation services. E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 25
  • 26. Contents •  Main market trends •  Shoppers •  Merchants •  Emerging models •  Payments •  About faberNovel E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 26
  • 27. About Fabernovel •  Founded in 2003, faberNovel is an innovation agency specializing in Internet, mobile and other innovative projects. The company builds on emerging technologies, methodologies and practices to create advanced products and high value-added services. It has offices in Paris, San Francisco, Moscow and Ho Chi Minh City. •  In Russia, faberNovel offers strategic and operational assistance to companies seeking to seize opportunities in Russia’s fast-growing Internet and mobile markets: -  Strategy consulting & market analysis, -  Digital services and product setup or localization, including cultural, marketing, payment and other e-commerce related issues -  Commercial and / or technological partnerships with Western and Russian players, -  Advice on M&A, JV and fund raising. •  faberNovel’s international team combines the necessary talents and passion to turn their clients’ ideas into successful projects! E-commerce in Russia: Situation and perspectives – A report by faberNovel, March 2011 27
  • 28. faberNovel France 17, rue du faubourg du Temple, 75010 Paris faberNovel Inc., USA 1436A Howard Street, San Francisco, 94103 CA USA faberNovel Russia 3rd Monetchikovskiy per. 17, stroenie 2, Moscow 115054 – Tel. : +7 909 639 80 82 www.fabernovel.com 28
  • 29. This presentation was prepared in association with East-West Digital News, the first comprehensive English-language online resource dedicated to Russian IT industries. Site contents: Daily news – Expert analysis – Market data – In-depth studies – Industry events… and a variety of professional business tools designed to improve business communication between Russian and international market participants at all levels. www.ewdn.com