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PART B

QUESTION 1 (a)

X ~ Bin (9, 0.45)

                   9
                  C ( 0.45 ) .(0.55)5
                                   4
i) P( X = 4 ) =
                   4
               = 0.26


ii) P( X   ≥7 ) = P ( X = 7 ) +P ( X = 8 ) +P ( X = 9 )
                           9                       9                  9
                           C ( 0.45) .(0.55)2 + C ( 0.45) .(0.55)1 + C ( 0.45) .(0.55)0
                                       7                      8                9
                       =
                           7                       8                  9
                       = 0.0498


iii) P (5 ≤ X ≤ 7 ) = P (X = 5 ) + P ( X = 6 ) + P ( X = 7 )
                       9                       9                  9
                       C ( 0.45) .(0.55)4 + C ( 0.45) .(0.55)3 + C ( 0.45) .(0.55)2
                                   5                      6                7
                  =
                       5                       6                  7
                  = 0.3695


QUESTION 1 (b)

X ~ N (25, 6 2 )

                                  16 − 25
  i) P (X < 16) = P (z <                  )
                                     6
                   = P ( z < - 1.5 )

                   = 0.5 – 0.4332
                   = 0.0668


                                       22 − 25     29 − 25
  ii) P ( 22 ≤ X ≤ 29 ) = P (                  ≤z≤         )
                                          6           6
                               = P ( - 0.5 ≤ z ≤ 0.67 )
                               = 0.2486 + 0.1915
                               = 0.4401


  iii) P ( X ≥ a ) =0.1075
       P ( X < a ) =0.8925
       x − 75 a − 75 
     P        <          = 0.8925
       10         10 
           a − 75 
     P z <         = 0.8925
             10 

 From the table        P ( z < 1.24 ) = 0.8925
a − 75
               = 1.24
          10
             a = 87.4


QUESTION 2 (a)

                   3.5 
 X    ~N  40,          
                    49 

                       3.5
i)           σX =          = 0.5
                        49

                                       41 − 40
             P( X    ≥ 41 ) = P( z ≥           )
                                         0.5

                             = P(z ≥   2)
                             = 0.5 – 0.4772

                              = 0.0228



ii)          P(40.5    < X < 40.9)
                    40.5 − 41     40.9 − 41
             = P(             <z<           )
                       0.5           0.5
             = P(-1 < z < -0.2)

             = 0.3413 – 0.0793

             = 0.262



QUESTION 2 (b)

                   30
n = 150, p =
                  150

                     30
i)           p=
             ˆ          = 0.2
                    150

                        (0.2)(0.8)
             σp =
              ˆ                    = 0.0327
                           150
             margin of error
             =   ± 1.96σ p
                         ˆ
= ±1.96(0.0327)
              = ±0.0641


ii)           From table, the z-value for 95% CI = 1.96

              The 95% Confidence Interval for population mean,

              = p ± zσ p
                ˆ      ˆ

              = 0.2 ± 1.96(0.0327)
              = 0.072 ± 0.0641
              = (0.1359, 0.2641)

              95% of confidence interval for the percentage of cakes being effect with fungus is lies between 0.1359 to
              0.2641


iii)          From table, the z-value for 90% CI = 1.65

              E = 0.05
                                2
                        zs 
              n = p.q.  
                       E
                                       2
                             1.65 
              = 0.2 × 0.8 ×       
                             0.05 
              = 174.24
              The sample size needed is 174                         .



QUESTION 3(a)

σ = 1.75         n = 35 ,   x = 7.32

i.     H0 :    µ ≥    8
       H1 :    µ <     8

ii.    Since n is large, 35 >30, we use normal distribution to make the test.

                                x−µ   7.32 − 8
                                    =
       Test statistic, z =       σ     1.75            = - 2.2988
                                  n      35

iii.   At   α = 0.05 , we reject H0 if     z < -1.65

       Since - 1.65 > -2.29 , we reject H0

       We conclude that there is no evidence that the effective rate of broadband networking for High-Speed Company
       production of electronic is at least 8.
QUESTION 3(b)

                     24
n= 505 ,       p=
               ˆ        = 0.0475
                    505

              24
i.     p=
       ˆ         = 0.0475
             505

ii.    H0 : p = 0.35
       H1 : p ≠ 0.35

iii.   Since np > 5 and nq > 5 , we use normal distribution to make the test .

                              p − p 0.0475 − 0.35
                              ˆ
                                   =
       Test statistic , z =     pq    0.35 × 0.65            = -14.25

                                 n       505
       At   α = 0.01   , we reject H0 if z < -2.58 or z > 2.58

       Since -2.58 > -14.25 , we reject H0. We conclude that the proportion of the safety rate of the building is not equal
       0.35



QUESTION 4(a)

i.     Independent variable: Driving Experience (years)


ii. Scatter diagram
     Label x -axis
     Label y -axis
     Title
     Diagram




iii.
∑ x = 1396
               2



        ∑ x = 90
        n=8
        ∑ y = 29642
               2



        ∑ y = 474
        ∑ xy = 4739

                             n∑ xy − ∑ x ∑ y
        r=
                   n x2 − ( x ) 2  n y 2 − (
                    ∑       ∑  ∑             ∑ y) 
                                                    2

                                                   
                                                      
                       8 ( 4739 ) − 90 ( 474 )
        =
              8 ( 1396 ) − 902  8 ( 29642 ) − 4742 
                                                   
            = −0.7679
       There is a negative correlation between the variables.

QUESTION 4(b)

i.     There is a strong positive correlation between cost and age.

ii.
              n∑ xy − ∑ x ∑ y
        b=
               n∑ x 2 − ( ∑ x )
                                  2



                      6 ( 3100 ) − 49 ( 325 )
                    =
                           6 ( 481) − 492
                    = 5.515

       a = y − bx
               = 54.17 − 5.515 ( 8.17 )
               = 9.112
       Regression line: y = 9.112 + 5.515 x

iii.   0.96862 = 0.9382 .

       93.82% of the total variation in Cost is explained by Age and another 6.18% is
       explained by another factors.


iv.
               y = 9.112 + 5.515 x
               ˆ
                   = 9.112 + 5.515 ( 16 )
                   = 97.35
QMT202/SET2

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QMT202/SET2

  • 1. PART B QUESTION 1 (a) X ~ Bin (9, 0.45) 9 C ( 0.45 ) .(0.55)5 4 i) P( X = 4 ) = 4 = 0.26 ii) P( X ≥7 ) = P ( X = 7 ) +P ( X = 8 ) +P ( X = 9 ) 9 9 9 C ( 0.45) .(0.55)2 + C ( 0.45) .(0.55)1 + C ( 0.45) .(0.55)0 7 8 9 = 7 8 9 = 0.0498 iii) P (5 ≤ X ≤ 7 ) = P (X = 5 ) + P ( X = 6 ) + P ( X = 7 ) 9 9 9 C ( 0.45) .(0.55)4 + C ( 0.45) .(0.55)3 + C ( 0.45) .(0.55)2 5 6 7 = 5 6 7 = 0.3695 QUESTION 1 (b) X ~ N (25, 6 2 ) 16 − 25 i) P (X < 16) = P (z < ) 6 = P ( z < - 1.5 ) = 0.5 – 0.4332 = 0.0668 22 − 25 29 − 25 ii) P ( 22 ≤ X ≤ 29 ) = P ( ≤z≤ ) 6 6 = P ( - 0.5 ≤ z ≤ 0.67 ) = 0.2486 + 0.1915 = 0.4401 iii) P ( X ≥ a ) =0.1075 P ( X < a ) =0.8925  x − 75 a − 75  P <  = 0.8925  10 10   a − 75  P z <  = 0.8925  10  From the table P ( z < 1.24 ) = 0.8925
  • 2. a − 75 = 1.24 10 a = 87.4 QUESTION 2 (a)  3.5  X ~N  40,   49  3.5 i) σX = = 0.5 49 41 − 40 P( X ≥ 41 ) = P( z ≥ ) 0.5 = P(z ≥ 2) = 0.5 – 0.4772 = 0.0228 ii) P(40.5 < X < 40.9) 40.5 − 41 40.9 − 41 = P( <z< ) 0.5 0.5 = P(-1 < z < -0.2) = 0.3413 – 0.0793 = 0.262 QUESTION 2 (b) 30 n = 150, p = 150 30 i) p= ˆ = 0.2 150 (0.2)(0.8) σp = ˆ = 0.0327 150 margin of error = ± 1.96σ p ˆ
  • 3. = ±1.96(0.0327) = ±0.0641 ii) From table, the z-value for 95% CI = 1.96 The 95% Confidence Interval for population mean, = p ± zσ p ˆ ˆ = 0.2 ± 1.96(0.0327) = 0.072 ± 0.0641 = (0.1359, 0.2641) 95% of confidence interval for the percentage of cakes being effect with fungus is lies between 0.1359 to 0.2641 iii) From table, the z-value for 90% CI = 1.65 E = 0.05 2  zs  n = p.q.   E 2  1.65  = 0.2 × 0.8 ×    0.05  = 174.24 The sample size needed is 174 . QUESTION 3(a) σ = 1.75 n = 35 , x = 7.32 i. H0 : µ ≥ 8 H1 : µ < 8 ii. Since n is large, 35 >30, we use normal distribution to make the test. x−µ 7.32 − 8 = Test statistic, z = σ 1.75 = - 2.2988 n 35 iii. At α = 0.05 , we reject H0 if z < -1.65 Since - 1.65 > -2.29 , we reject H0 We conclude that there is no evidence that the effective rate of broadband networking for High-Speed Company production of electronic is at least 8.
  • 4. QUESTION 3(b) 24 n= 505 , p= ˆ = 0.0475 505 24 i. p= ˆ = 0.0475 505 ii. H0 : p = 0.35 H1 : p ≠ 0.35 iii. Since np > 5 and nq > 5 , we use normal distribution to make the test . p − p 0.0475 − 0.35 ˆ = Test statistic , z = pq 0.35 × 0.65 = -14.25 n 505 At α = 0.01 , we reject H0 if z < -2.58 or z > 2.58 Since -2.58 > -14.25 , we reject H0. We conclude that the proportion of the safety rate of the building is not equal 0.35 QUESTION 4(a) i. Independent variable: Driving Experience (years) ii. Scatter diagram Label x -axis Label y -axis Title Diagram iii.
  • 5. ∑ x = 1396 2 ∑ x = 90 n=8 ∑ y = 29642 2 ∑ y = 474 ∑ xy = 4739 n∑ xy − ∑ x ∑ y r= n x2 − ( x ) 2  n y 2 − (  ∑ ∑  ∑ ∑ y)  2     8 ( 4739 ) − 90 ( 474 ) = 8 ( 1396 ) − 902  8 ( 29642 ) − 4742     = −0.7679 There is a negative correlation between the variables. QUESTION 4(b) i. There is a strong positive correlation between cost and age. ii. n∑ xy − ∑ x ∑ y b= n∑ x 2 − ( ∑ x ) 2 6 ( 3100 ) − 49 ( 325 ) = 6 ( 481) − 492 = 5.515 a = y − bx = 54.17 − 5.515 ( 8.17 ) = 9.112 Regression line: y = 9.112 + 5.515 x iii. 0.96862 = 0.9382 . 93.82% of the total variation in Cost is explained by Age and another 6.18% is explained by another factors. iv. y = 9.112 + 5.515 x ˆ = 9.112 + 5.515 ( 16 ) = 97.35