Climate Change and the Philippines

Climate Change and the Philippines ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Emmanuel Anglo, Ph.D. Associate Professor Department of Environmental Science Ateneo de Manila University Head, Regional Climate Systems Manila Observatory

Reviewing the Science ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

GW, Clouds and Water Vapor CO 2 LEVELS RISE TEMPERATURES RISE EVAPORATION FROM THE OCEANS INCREASES WATER VAPOR IN THE ATMOSPHERE INCREASES WATER VAPOR, BEING A GREENHOUSE GAS, ABSORBS OUTGOING INFRARED RADIATION MORE CLOUDS MEANS LESS RADIATION REACHING THE SURFACE LESS RADIATION MEANS LESS WARMING TEMPERATURES FALL ! ,[object Object],[object Object],MORE WATER VAPOR MEANS MORE CLOUDS Red: Positive Feedback Blue: Negative Feedback ?

Climate Change and the Philippines ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Sea level rise: 1950 to 1990 Yanagi and Akaki 1994

Impacts of a 1-m rise in sea level Perez et al. 1999

CRU-UEA Climate model results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Mactan Island, Cebu Cebu-Mactan

Northeast MManila Manila Bay-Laguna Lake

Climate Change and the Philippines ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Trends in Regional Surface Temperatures ,[object Object],[object Object],Trends in number of hot days and warm nights (inset). Large symbols indicate where p  0.05. From Manton et al. 2000.

Tropical Cyclones (TCs) and Global Warming: Quick Facts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Western Pacific Typhoon Tracks (1945-2003)

Mean monthly and annual tropical cyclone frequency maps for the Western Pacific (1945-2003)

Geographic Trends in Tropical Cyclones ,[object Object],[object Object],Annual increase in number of TCs. Shading indicates where p  0.01. (From Anglo 2005).

What is causing this rise? Western Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) and Annual Tropical Cyclones ,[object Object]

Stronger Typhoons? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

The Philippines, as seen in Global Climate Change Studies ,[object Object],Recent NASA study: Global tropical rainfall is increasing, but what about the Philippines? Jun-Jul-Aug rainfall total

Changes in Regional Rainfall Extremes, 1961 to 1998 (Manton et al 2001) ,[object Object],Change in the frequency of days with rain Change in the proportion of total annual rainfall contributed by heavy rain

Changes in Mean Annual Rainfall over the Philippines ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Difference in mean annual rainfall, 1976-2000 minus 1951-1975. ENSO events based on Multivariate ENSO Index (Wolter and Timlin 1998) NORMAL EL NINO LA NINA ALL YEARS

Downstream Effects of a Changing Philippine Climate Making a Bad Situation Worse ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Marine resources : coral reef bleaching  loss of fisheries

Summary of 1994 RP Emissions 1990 Total (ADB 1994): 81.9 x 10 3 tons Waste 7% Agriculture 33% Industry 11% Energy 49% 100.8 Total 7.1 Waste 10.6 Industry 33.1 Agriculture 50.0 Energy CO 2 Emissions (10 3 tons) Sector

Where We Stand and What it Means CO 2 Emissions per Capita (tons) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Planting Trees? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

What to Do? Beg for CDM Funds ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Final Notes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Climate Change and the Philippines

Recommended

Recommended

More Related Content

What's hot

What's hot (20)

Viewers also liked

Viewers also liked (20)

Similar to Climate Change and the Philippines

Similar to Climate Change and the Philippines (20)

More from Alex Casiple

More from Alex Casiple (9)

Recently uploaded

Recently uploaded (20)

Climate Change and the Philippines