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1. Using our interactive population graphics, match each of the age-sex population pyramids (labeled A through F) with the appropriate description. (Points : 1) Potential Matches: 1 : a country at close to zero population growth (Norway 1992) 2 : a country with many temporary immigrant workers (Qatar 1986) 3 : a country that shows the demographic effects of World War II (Russia 1992) 4 : a country that has undergone a recent shift from high to low fertility (China 1990) 5 : a country with declining population (Italy 1991) 6 : a country with rapid population growth (Tanzania 1985) Answer : A (top left) : B (top center) : C (top right) : D (bottom left) : E (bottom center) : F (bottom right) Question 2. 2. This is the first of four questions based on the interactive India-demographics tool. These graphs allow you to visualize the future population of India, as it changes throughout the 21st Century, under a variety of scenarios regarding changing fertility rates. All the scenarios start in 2000 with the following conditions: · a total population of 1.014 billion · a total fertility rate of 3.4 · a crude birth rate of 26.4 per thousand · a crude death rate of 8.9 per thousand Based on these numbers, what was India's rate of natural increase (i.e., annual population growth excluding net migration) in 2005? Note that you don't need to actually use the linked website to answer this question, since all of the numbers you need to calculate an answer are included above. (Points : 1) 0.55% 0.95% 1.75% 2.40% 3.10% Question 3. 3. This is the second question based on the interactive India-demographics tool. One way we might establish a baseline for comparing alternative scenarios is to assume that the starting conditions persist indefinitely into the future. To do this using our tool, set the "Final Total Fertility Rate" to 3.4. You'll see from the graphs, that this effectively freezes India in the middle of its demographic transition--longer life expectancies and lower death rates than in the pre-modern era, but birth rates hovering at a relatively high 24 or 25 per thousand. If this were actually to happen, the model shows us that India would end the century with a population of more than 3.6 billion! In what year would India's population first eclipse the two billion mark, double its turn-of-the-century size? (Points : 1) 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Question 4. 4. This is the third question based on the interactive India-demographics tool. In the previous question we tested one extreme scenario: fixing India's fertility rate at present levels. The opposite extreme would involve a sudden drop in fertility to well below the modern replacement rate, as actually has happened in much of Europe and East Asia. To view this scenario, set the "Final Total Fertility Rate" to 1.5, and leave the "Years to Achieve Final TFR" at zero. You'll see from ...
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Population Dynamics Lab Report Use the following formula to complete the charts below: pf = pi * ert Where: pf = final population pi = initial population e = a physical constant whose value is 2.7183 r = rate of growth t = time (doubling time) Change the rate of growth into a decimal by dividing by 100. Use either your calculator that has an ex function or the calculator found on the following website: http://www.math.com/students/calculators/source/scientific.htm Example: pi = 5.2 X 109 (initial population of 5.2 billion people in developing countries) t = 39 years (from table 1) r = 1.8% (from table 1) r = 1.8% = 0.018 Multiply r and t 0.018 * 39 = 0.702 Pf = 5.2 * (e0.702) On calculator, enter 0.702, then INV, then ex Pf = 5.2 * (2.02) Pf = 10.49 or 10.5 X 109 Or 10.5 billion people Table 1: Growth Rates and Doubling Times for Various Countries Region Growth Rate (%) Doubling Time (years) World 1.4 50 Developed Countries 0.4 175 Developing Countries 1.8 39 Africa 2.5 28 Asia 1.6 44 United States 1.0 70 Mexico 1.7 41 Europe 0.2 350 Russia 0.3 233 Oceania 1.5 47 Exercise One: Part A: Using information from table 1, fill in the chart below and then calculate the final population for each. Part B: Using information from table 1, fill in Part B of the chart but use the developed countries’ doubling time. Region r (%) dt (years) Pi (X 109) Pf (X 109) A Developing 4.7 Developed 1.2 United States 0.303 Mexico 0.107 Africa 0.048 B Developing ** 4.7 **Use doubling time of developed countries Exercise Two: Calculate the final population for developed nations where (r) starts at 0.6 and decreases by 0.1 percent every ten years until (r) = 0.0 percent (ZPG). The final population becomes the initial population for the next ten year period. r (%) t (years) Pi (X 109) Pf (X 109) 0.6 10 1.2 0.5 10 0.4 10 0.3 10 0.2 10 0.1 10 0.0 10 Calculate the final population for developing nations where (r) starts at 2.0 percent and decreases by 0.4 percent every ten years until (r) = 0.0 percent (ZPG). Remember, the final population becomes the initial population for the next ten years. r (%) t (years) Pi (X 109) Pf (X 109) 2.0 10 4.7 1.6 10 1.2 10 0.8 10 0.4 10 0.2 10 0.0 10 Using information from exercise one, answer the following questions. 1. Which country/region (do not consider the first three lines of information) has the highest growth rate? The lowest? How do you account for this difference? 2. Why do some countries/regions have a shorter or lower doubling time? 3. What would happen to the final population of developing countries if their growth rate is maintained over a developed countries doubling time? Using information from exercise two, answer the following questions: 1. How do the final populations of developed regions and developing regions compare when zero population growth is reached? 2. Why were the growth rates used in this exercise differen.
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Does the population
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The Demographic Transition
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