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Mapping Soil and
      Ecosystem Health in                    the Land Degradation
            Africa                          Surveillance Framework
                                                    (LDSF)




                                         Tor-G. Vågen
                          World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Nairobi, KENYA

Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Land degradation has implications beyond the land




                                                              Soahany, Madagascar



Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Since landscapes are known to exhibit
     hierarchically scaled patterns,
          a desirable property of
             landscape models
     is that they simulate or predict
        patterns at different scales




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Survey Sampling
                 by a survey we mean the process of measuring characteristics of some or all members of an actual population
                                                                       -
            the purpose of which is to make quantitative generalizations about the population as a whole, or its subpopulations (or in
                                                       some cases its super-populations)




                      Probability sampling                                             Non-probability sampling

                 random           systematic            stratified          convenience         judgement         quota             snowball
                sampling           sampling             sampling            sampling            sampling       sampling            sampling

              purest form, but                        reduces sampling
               with very large                           error by first
              populations pool      simple, also        stratifying and
              tends to become    referred to as the     then applying       may be used in                   the nonprobability
                   biased        Nth name selection   random sampling      exploratory phase                     equivalent of
                                      technique                               of research                          stratified
                                                                                                                sampling. first
                                                                                                              stratification then
                                                                                                               convenience or
                                                                                                                  judgement
                                                                                                             sampling of strata



Tuesday, April 12, 2011
AfSIS Sentinel Sites
           Probability sampling approach.
           Stratified random sample of
           African landscapes.
           Built on the Land Degradation
           Surveillance Framework (LDSF).
           Unbiased sample of landscapes
           across sub-Saharan Africa.
           Initially (“phase I”) 60 sentinel
           sites and 60 alternate sites.
           Target in this phase - 60 sites
           characterized and sampled.



Tuesday, April 12, 2011
AfSIS Sentinel Sites


                                                     Site = 100      km 2

                                                      Cluster = 1 km2
                     Plot 1




                                                      Plot = 0.1 ha
                                                         Sub-plot = 0.01 ha




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
The AfSIS Objective 3 team




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
AfSIS Sentinel Site Surveys

                                                                                                                         50
                                                                                                              2011

                                                                                                                         38

20000                                                                                               2010             25

17500                                       2011                                                                     13

15000                                                                                        2009                    0
                                                                                              Sites sampled
 12500                                                           2011

 10000

   7500                              2010
                       2011
    5000
                                                          2010
    2500        2010

         2009


        Plots sampled         2009

                              NIR library          2009                        2010   2011

                                                   MIR library          2009
                                                                        Reference analysis




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
AfSIS Sentinel Sites
                          baselines at landscape scale




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
AfSIS Sentinel Site baseline information
     2000       Site averages
                                                       Kontela   Infiltration testing        2000       Average curves for areas with/
                                                                                                                                                TRUE
                                                       Chica_b                                         without root-depth restrictions          FALSE
                                                       Mbinga                                          (TRUE/FALSE)
     1500                                                                                   1500




     1000                                                                                   1000
IR




                                                                                       IR
      500                                                                                    500




        0                                                                                      0


            0         50        100          150     200                                           0          50       100          150   200

                                      Time                                                                                   Time

     2000                                                                                   2000       Average curves for areas with
                Average curves for cultivated (1)           1                                                                                   TRUE
                                                            0                                          dense woody cover (>40%)                 FALSE
                and natural/semi-natural areas (0)

     1500                                                                                   1500




     1000                                                                                   1000
IR




                                                                                       IR
      500                                                                                    500




        0                                                                                      0


            0         50        100          150     200                                           0          50       100          150   200

                                      Time                                                                                   Time

Tuesday, April 12, 2011
IR spectroscopy of soils
                                                                          Regional network of NIR
  MPA (NIR) spectrometer in Arusha
                                                                          spectral laboratories and
                                                                              spectral libraries
                                                                                                      Nairobi




  MPA (NIR) spectrometer in Bamako   Construction of IR lab in Lilongwe




          NIR training, Arusha       Field testing of new spectrometer




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
IR spectroscopy of soils
                                        Bukwaya                                                                                   Kisongo                                                               Chinyanghuku
                 1.2




                                                                                                 1.2




                                                                                                                                                                                    1.2
                 1.0




                                                                                                 1.0




                                                                                                                                                                                    1.0
                 0.8




                                                                                                 0.8




                                                                                                                                                                                    0.8
    Absorbance




                                                                       Absorbance




                                                                                                                                                                       Absorbance
                 0.6




                                                                                                 0.6




                                                                                                                                                                                    0.6
                 0.4




                                                                                                 0.4




                                                                                                                                                                                    0.4
                 0.2




                                                                                                 0.2




                                                                                                                                                                                    0.2
                 0.0




                                                                                                 0.0




                                                                                                                                                                                    0.0
                       4000   5000         6000          7000   8000                                         4000     5000           6000            7000     8000                        4000   5000         6000          7000   8000

                                     Wavelength (1/cm)                                                                         Wavelength (1/cm)                                                        Wavelength (1/cm)



                                       Kiberashi                                                                                   Pandambili                                                               Mbinga
                 1.2




                                                                                                       1.2




                                                                                                                                                                                    1.2
                 1.0




                                                                                                       1.0




                                                                                                                                                                                    1.0
                 0.8




                                                                                                       0.8




                                                                                                                                                                                    0.8
    Absorbance




                                                                                    Absorbance




                                                                                                                                                                       Absorbance
                 0.6




                                                                                                       0.6




                                                                                                                                                                                    0.6
                 0.4




                                                                                                       0.4




                                                                                                                                                                                    0.4
                 0.2




                                                                                                       0.2




                                                                                                                                                                                    0.2
                 0.0




                                                                                                       0.0




                                                                                                                                                                                    0.0
                       4000   5000         6000          7000   8000                                           4000     5000           6000            7000     8000                      4000   5000         6000          7000   8000

                                     Wavelength (1/cm)                                                                           Wavelength (1/cm)                                                      Wavelength (1/cm)




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
IR spectroscopy
                     has a wide range of applications, not limited to soils
                                                                              Baboon
                                                                              10
                                                                              Black Rhino
                                                                              10
                                                                              Buffalo
                                                                              11
                                                                              Bush buck
                                                                              12
                                                                              Cape Hare
                                                                              10
                                                                              Elephant
                                                                              17
                                                                              Giant Forest
                                                                              Hog
                                                                              10
                                                                              Hyena
                                                                              5
                                                                              Leopard
                                                                              2
                                                                              Mongoose
                                                                              15
                                                                              Reedbuck
                                                                              10
                                                                              Suni
                                                                              2
                                                                              Unknown
                                                                              3
                                                                              Warthog
                                                                              17
                                                                              Water buck
                                                                              9
                                                                              Zebra
                                                                              12

                                                                              Partner: KWS
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
AfSIS database structure




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Soil analyses (Nairobi)




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Scientific workflows
                                                                     Scalability.                            Parallel execution on
                                                                                                             multi-core systems
                                                                     Simple extensibility via
                                                                     a well-defined API for                   Command line version
                                                                     plugin extensions                       for "headless" batch
                                                                                                             executions
                                                                     R integration
                                                                     Mining of NIR and MIR spectral data
                                                                     Classification
                                                                     Clustering
             Processing and development of models from MIR spectra
                                                                     Predictive models
                                                                     Meta workflows (e.g. cross validation)
                                                                     Data preprocessing
                                                                     Databases (data management)
                                                                     Reporting
                                                                     Cluster execution




                               Data management
                                                                                         Sentinel site baselines

Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Development of prediction models for soil organic
             carbon (SOC) using scientific workflows and R




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Mapping soil carbon




                           Ol Lentille and Kipsing, northern Laikipia, Kenya
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Developing carbon baselines for Mt Kenya




                                                        Partners:
                                                        KEFRI and KWS


Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Classification models for predicting land degradation
         risk factors based on NIR/MIR spectral libraries




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Clustering of soil spectra for development of
                               indices of soil condition




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Mapping soil condition




                               Sasumua watershed, South Kinangop, Kenya
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Automated reporting on soil properties
                             soil chemical and physical reference values




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Documentation of AfSIS / LDSF methods and
                       guidelines for implementation




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Documentation of AfSIS / LDSF methods and
                       guidelines for implementation
                                                      “Toolkits”




   sentinel site randomization / modeling / ++

Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Processing of satellite imagery


    GLS 2000                              GLS 2005
                                          and later imagery




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Filled DEM            Slope     Hydrology




                                       Satellite images and other
                                           spatial covariates



                              Aspect          Specific       Wetness
                                            catchment        Index
                                                 area




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Mapping land cover / vegetation



                                                   Thematic layers;
                                                   • De-vegetation to enhance soil
                                                     background signal
                                                   • Soil adjusted vegetation index
                                                   • Terrain corrections
                                                   • Forest index calculations
                                                   • Water index calculations
                                                   • Automatic generation of water masks
                                                   • Automatic cloud masking

                                                   Statistically derived;
                                                   • Tree density




                          Terrain-corrected vegetation index (GRUVI) map
                                           Kwadihombo - north of Morogoro, Tanzania
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Mapping land cover and land use
                                                            Tanzania
                                                             p(Cultivated)




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Modeling land degradation risk factors
                                 and crop performance




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Modeling land degradation risk factors
                                                     and crop performance

                                             Co-locating trials at cluster level             Relating maps to crop performance




                                                                                                        Kiberashi Sentinel Site, Tanzania
                     Percent of Total




                                        10


                                         5


                                         0

                                                 1000   1100      1200         1300   1400

                                                               Elevation (m)

Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Modeling land degradation risk factors
                                 and crop performance




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Modeling land degradation risk
        factors and crop growth response           Presence / absence of trees




                   Presence / absence of erosion




                                                   Presence / absence of
                                                   root-depth restrictions




    Kiberashi sentinel site (Tanzania)
    Thuchila sentinel site (Malawi)
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Mapping eroded landscapes
                           Kiberashi sentinel site (Tanzania)
                               1987 (left); 2006 (right)




Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Mapping eroded landscapes




                                                 Yij ! Bernoulli(pij)
                                                 logit(pij) = µ+xij!+Vi
                                                 Vi ! iid N(0,"2)
                                                 Yij indicates presence/absence of
                                                 for example erosion in the ith site
                                                 and the jth cluster




                                          Mt. Meru / Arusha / Moshi, Tanzania
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
ASANTE!
                          (thank you!)




Tuesday, April 12, 2011

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Mapping Soil and Ecosystem Health in Africa

  • 1. Mapping Soil and Ecosystem Health in the Land Degradation Africa Surveillance Framework (LDSF) Tor-G. Vågen World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Nairobi, KENYA Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 2. Land degradation has implications beyond the land Soahany, Madagascar Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 3. Since landscapes are known to exhibit hierarchically scaled patterns, a desirable property of landscape models is that they simulate or predict patterns at different scales Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 4. Survey Sampling by a survey we mean the process of measuring characteristics of some or all members of an actual population - the purpose of which is to make quantitative generalizations about the population as a whole, or its subpopulations (or in some cases its super-populations) Probability sampling Non-probability sampling random systematic stratified convenience judgement quota snowball sampling sampling sampling sampling sampling sampling sampling purest form, but reduces sampling with very large error by first populations pool simple, also stratifying and tends to become referred to as the then applying may be used in the nonprobability biased Nth name selection random sampling exploratory phase equivalent of technique of research stratified sampling. first stratification then convenience or judgement sampling of strata Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 5. AfSIS Sentinel Sites Probability sampling approach. Stratified random sample of African landscapes. Built on the Land Degradation Surveillance Framework (LDSF). Unbiased sample of landscapes across sub-Saharan Africa. Initially (“phase I”) 60 sentinel sites and 60 alternate sites. Target in this phase - 60 sites characterized and sampled. Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 6. AfSIS Sentinel Sites Site = 100 km 2 Cluster = 1 km2 Plot 1 Plot = 0.1 ha Sub-plot = 0.01 ha Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 7. The AfSIS Objective 3 team Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 8. AfSIS Sentinel Site Surveys 50 2011 38 20000 2010 25 17500 2011 13 15000 2009 0 Sites sampled 12500 2011 10000 7500 2010 2011 5000 2010 2500 2010 2009 Plots sampled 2009 NIR library 2009 2010 2011 MIR library 2009 Reference analysis Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 9. AfSIS Sentinel Sites baselines at landscape scale Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 10. AfSIS Sentinel Site baseline information 2000 Site averages Kontela Infiltration testing 2000 Average curves for areas with/ TRUE Chica_b without root-depth restrictions FALSE Mbinga (TRUE/FALSE) 1500 1500 1000 1000 IR IR 500 500 0 0 0 50 100 150 200 0 50 100 150 200 Time Time 2000 2000 Average curves for areas with Average curves for cultivated (1) 1 TRUE 0 dense woody cover (>40%) FALSE and natural/semi-natural areas (0) 1500 1500 1000 1000 IR IR 500 500 0 0 0 50 100 150 200 0 50 100 150 200 Time Time Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 11. IR spectroscopy of soils Regional network of NIR MPA (NIR) spectrometer in Arusha spectral laboratories and spectral libraries Nairobi MPA (NIR) spectrometer in Bamako Construction of IR lab in Lilongwe NIR training, Arusha Field testing of new spectrometer Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 12. IR spectroscopy of soils Bukwaya Kisongo Chinyanghuku 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 Absorbance Absorbance Absorbance 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 Wavelength (1/cm) Wavelength (1/cm) Wavelength (1/cm) Kiberashi Pandambili Mbinga 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 Absorbance Absorbance Absorbance 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 Wavelength (1/cm) Wavelength (1/cm) Wavelength (1/cm) Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 13. IR spectroscopy has a wide range of applications, not limited to soils Baboon 10 Black Rhino 10 Buffalo 11 Bush buck 12 Cape Hare 10 Elephant 17 Giant Forest Hog 10 Hyena 5 Leopard 2 Mongoose 15 Reedbuck 10 Suni 2 Unknown 3 Warthog 17 Water buck 9 Zebra 12 Partner: KWS Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 16. Scientific workflows Scalability. Parallel execution on multi-core systems Simple extensibility via a well-defined API for Command line version plugin extensions for "headless" batch executions R integration Mining of NIR and MIR spectral data Classification Clustering Processing and development of models from MIR spectra Predictive models Meta workflows (e.g. cross validation) Data preprocessing Databases (data management) Reporting Cluster execution Data management Sentinel site baselines Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 17. Development of prediction models for soil organic carbon (SOC) using scientific workflows and R Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 18. Mapping soil carbon Ol Lentille and Kipsing, northern Laikipia, Kenya Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 19. Developing carbon baselines for Mt Kenya Partners: KEFRI and KWS Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 20. Classification models for predicting land degradation risk factors based on NIR/MIR spectral libraries Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 21. Clustering of soil spectra for development of indices of soil condition Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 22. Mapping soil condition Sasumua watershed, South Kinangop, Kenya Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 23. Automated reporting on soil properties soil chemical and physical reference values Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 24. Documentation of AfSIS / LDSF methods and guidelines for implementation Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 25. Documentation of AfSIS / LDSF methods and guidelines for implementation “Toolkits” sentinel site randomization / modeling / ++ Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 26. Processing of satellite imagery GLS 2000 GLS 2005 and later imagery Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 27. Filled DEM Slope Hydrology Satellite images and other spatial covariates Aspect Specific Wetness catchment Index area Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 28. Mapping land cover / vegetation Thematic layers; • De-vegetation to enhance soil background signal • Soil adjusted vegetation index • Terrain corrections • Forest index calculations • Water index calculations • Automatic generation of water masks • Automatic cloud masking Statistically derived; • Tree density Terrain-corrected vegetation index (GRUVI) map Kwadihombo - north of Morogoro, Tanzania Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 29. Mapping land cover and land use Tanzania p(Cultivated) Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 30. Modeling land degradation risk factors and crop performance Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 31. Modeling land degradation risk factors and crop performance Co-locating trials at cluster level Relating maps to crop performance Kiberashi Sentinel Site, Tanzania Percent of Total 10 5 0 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 Elevation (m) Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 32. Modeling land degradation risk factors and crop performance Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 33. Modeling land degradation risk factors and crop growth response Presence / absence of trees Presence / absence of erosion Presence / absence of root-depth restrictions Kiberashi sentinel site (Tanzania) Thuchila sentinel site (Malawi) Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 34. Mapping eroded landscapes Kiberashi sentinel site (Tanzania) 1987 (left); 2006 (right) Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 35. Mapping eroded landscapes Yij ! Bernoulli(pij) logit(pij) = µ+xij!+Vi Vi ! iid N(0,"2) Yij indicates presence/absence of for example erosion in the ith site and the jth cluster Mt. Meru / Arusha / Moshi, Tanzania Tuesday, April 12, 2011
  • 36. ASANTE! (thank you!) Tuesday, April 12, 2011