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Climate variability and change or multiple stressors? Farmer perceptions regarding threats to livelihoods in Zimbabwe and Zambia Chipo Plaxedes Mubaya 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
Outline  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
[object Object],3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
Context  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
[object Object],3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
Aim ,[object Object],3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
Objectives of the study ,[object Object],[object Object],3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
[object Object],3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
Approach to the study 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
Findings  3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
Significant changes in weather patterns over a five year period by district 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium Zimbabwe  Zambia   Precipitation  More unpredictable- 1995 More unpredictable-  late 1980s Droughts (3 seasons between 1990 & 2010) Higher incidence & intensity of dry spells Excessive rains (2 seasons  after 2000) Heavy rains and floods (2 consecutive seasons 2006/7, 2008/9 Shorter rain seasons Temperature  Hotter than before Hotter than before Shift in highest temperature periods Warmer winters than before Prolonged winters
Farmer perceptions of three seasons by district 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
Perceptions regarding causes  3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium Causes of CC & V Monze % Sinazongwe % Lupane % Lower Gweru % Natural causes 34 35 24 31 Deforestation 33 17 5 14 Believe its god's will/ nature, cultural beliefs 3 7 45 27 Does not know 30 41 26 28
Stressors  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
Zambia  3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium Stressor  Food insecurity Loss of income Insecure livelihoods Total Rank Erratic rainfall 20 10 18 48 1 Lack of capital 10 20 15 45 2 Drying up of water sources  12 14 13 39 3 Few dams 10 15 8 33 4 Shortage of draught power 15 10 7 32 5 Lack of knowledge 9 12 10 31 6 Non- functional dip tanks 6 4 10 20 7
Zimbabwe  3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium Stressor  Loss of crop yield  Loss of income  Insecure livelihood  Total  Rank  Climate variability (Erratic rains, frost, drought)  18  16  16  50  1  Shortage of drugs in clinics  16  16  16  48  2  Late supply of inputs  14  16  14  44  3  Lack of transport to  market produce and bad roads  10  18  12  40  4  HIV and AIDS  10  10  14  34  5  Lack of draught power  12  10  6  28  6
Changes in farming systems by district over a five year period 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
[object Object],3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
[object Object],3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium

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Mubaya: Climate variability and change or multiple stressors? Farmer perceptions regarding threats to livelihoods in Zimbabwe and Zambia

  • 1. Climate variability and change or multiple stressors? Farmer perceptions regarding threats to livelihoods in Zimbabwe and Zambia Chipo Plaxedes Mubaya 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
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  • 12. Approach to the study 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
  • 14. Findings 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
  • 15. Significant changes in weather patterns over a five year period by district 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
  • 16. 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium Zimbabwe Zambia Precipitation More unpredictable- 1995 More unpredictable- late 1980s Droughts (3 seasons between 1990 & 2010) Higher incidence & intensity of dry spells Excessive rains (2 seasons after 2000) Heavy rains and floods (2 consecutive seasons 2006/7, 2008/9 Shorter rain seasons Temperature Hotter than before Hotter than before Shift in highest temperature periods Warmer winters than before Prolonged winters
  • 17. Farmer perceptions of three seasons by district 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
  • 18. Perceptions regarding causes 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium Causes of CC & V Monze % Sinazongwe % Lupane % Lower Gweru % Natural causes 34 35 24 31 Deforestation 33 17 5 14 Believe its god's will/ nature, cultural beliefs 3 7 45 27 Does not know 30 41 26 28
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  • 20. Zambia 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium Stressor Food insecurity Loss of income Insecure livelihoods Total Rank Erratic rainfall 20 10 18 48 1 Lack of capital 10 20 15 45 2 Drying up of water sources 12 14 13 39 3 Few dams 10 15 8 33 4 Shortage of draught power 15 10 7 32 5 Lack of knowledge 9 12 10 31 6 Non- functional dip tanks 6 4 10 20 7
  • 21. Zimbabwe 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium Stressor Loss of crop yield Loss of income Insecure livelihood Total Rank Climate variability (Erratic rains, frost, drought) 18 16 16 50 1 Shortage of drugs in clinics 16 16 16 48 2 Late supply of inputs 14 16 14 44 3 Lack of transport to market produce and bad roads 10 18 12 40 4 HIV and AIDS 10 10 14 34 5 Lack of draught power 12 10 6 28 6
  • 22. Changes in farming systems by district over a five year period 3/11/2011 Climate change Symposium
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