2. Four Key Points
Spanish Lookout field is relatively small (a “Drop
in the Bucket”)
Potential exists to find more oil, but the high risk
dollars are needed
We are depending on borrowing, from the bank
and shareholders, BZD$ 100 million to explore and
find more oil
Changing the tax scares the money away
Honoring the original deal will encourage the
discovery of more oil for everyone
3. FYI FACTS
Current production of 2,800 Bbl/Day
Current reserves of 10 million Bbls
Significant new Belize employer:
145 Belizean employees
400+ Belizean support jobs in other companies
4. FYI FACTS
BNE has invested BZD$ 40 million over the past
three years
BNE Personnel, over the past 20 years, BZD$ 74
million invested
We are spending BZD$ 6 million per month
BNE is spending more money than we are
making (no cash profits realized to date)
We have just drilled two dry holes for a total cost
to date of BZD$ 3.6 million
Mike Usher #6
Roaring Creek #2
5. FYI FACTS
Now to get further oil out of the ground we need
to borrow BZD$ 100 million
Standard Bank (BZD$ 60 million)
Investors (BZD$ 40 million)
Standard Bank is sending three of their people
on the 10th
of July to reassess the risk
Proposed tax changes are scaring the money
away
6. FYI FACTS
If we increase the taxes, we may not get the loan
or investor money
Certainly it will keep the oil at best at a trickle to
what it could have been
We cannot explore further if we cannot raise the
capital needed
Critical that the goal posts not be moved
It is the equivalent of killing the goose that lays
the golden eggs
7. Assumptions
The following economics are for the oil industry in Belize as a whole, not
just BNE
Economics completed on a per barrel basis
One barrel equals 42 gallons
Oil Price – 12-month average of $60/bbl (past five years price: $35/bbl)
Quality Differential (crude is new and has sulfur, which lessens the value)
Transportation Cost – Trucking of $3/bbl and Barge Costs of $7/bbl (e.g.
Barge Rental plus Cargo charges costs approximately $588,000 per month)
Overhead and Operating Cost – ($5/bbl) Production Costs for the wells and
Office General And Administrative Expenses; this is a conservative estimate
Development Capital - $4/bbl spent on the remaining development wells to
be drilled in Spanish Lookout (conservative assumption)
Exploration Cost - $10/bbl is a low and conservative estimate
To date in Belize, $250,000,000 USD have been spent searching for oil
and only 10,000,000 barrels have been found, implying an exploration
cost of $25/barrel
8. Assumptions
Royalty is calculated as ((Income After Transport) X 8.5% (7.5% GOB
Royalty + 1.0% Environmental Royalty)
For 25% Tax Case: $46 (Income after Transport) X 8.5% = $3.91
Working Interest of 10% is calculated as: (Net Profit – Royalties +
Exploration Cost the GOB will not pay for, we add this back into the GOB
share) X 10%
Under the working interest, the GOB only pays for successful
exploration. As a rule of thumb, country-wide, only 20% of the dollars
spent on exploration will result in successful wells, which means the
government will only allow us to expense 20% of the exploration cost
before their share is calculated, so we’ll add back in 80% of the
exploration cost
For 25% Tax Case: ($27 (Net profit after exploration costs) – 3.91
(Royalty) + (10 X 80% = 8) (Exploration cost on unsuccessful wells added
back in to GOB share) X 10% = 3.11
9. Assumptions
Production Sharing is calculated as (Net Profit – Royalty – Working Interest
+ Exploration Cost the GOB will not pay for) X 1.5%
Under Production Sharing, the GOB only pays for exploration on the
current license block, which industry wide will account for only 30% of
exploration dollars spent
This is because oil companies will participate in drilling on other
license blocks as much as possible, a common industry practice (joint
ventures)
For 25% Tax Case: ($27 - 3.91 (Royalty) – 3.11 (Working Interest) + ($10
X 70% = $7) (off-block exploration cost added back in to GOB share) X
1.5% = $0.40
10. Assumptions
Income Tax of 25% is calculated as (Net Profit – Royalty – Working Interest
– Production Sharing + Exploration Cost the GOB will not pay for) X 25%
Under Income Tax, the GOB only pays for exploration that produces oil
revenues. Ventures which do not meet with success do not get to charge
to the GOB any of their exploration expenses. Since this is an industry-
wide analysis, we should assume that half of the exploration conducted
cannot charge their exploration costs to the GOB
For 25% Tax Case: ($27 – 3.91 (Royalty) – 3.11 (Working Interest) – 0.40
(Production Sharing) + ($10 X 50% = 5) (Unexpensable exploration cost))
X 25% = $6.14
11. Assumptions
The following economics were
computed based on industry-wide
figures for the entire Belizean oil
industry, not just BNE
This is because the income tax law
will apply to all oil companies in
Belize, not just BNE
12. GOB Share – 25% Tax
$ USD/Bbl
Oil Price (NYMEX) 60.00$ 12-month avg.
Less: Quality Differential (4.00)
Less: Transportation Cost (10.00) Trucking and barge.
Income after Transport 46.00
Less: Overhead and Operating (5.00) Production and Office.
Operating Margin (Income) 41.00
Less: Development Capital (4.00) Development Wells.
Less: Exploration Cost (10.00) Likely to be Higher.
Net Profit (per bbl) 27.00$
$USD/Bbl % Net Profit
Royalties (8.5%) - Gross Interest 3.91$ 14%
(net of transport and quality differential)
Working Interest (10%) 3.11 12%
(GOB pays successful exploration only - 20% of exploration)
Production Sharing Interest (1.5%) 0.40 1%
(GOB pays exploration on current block only - 30% of expl. cost)
Income Tax (25%) 6.14 23%
(GOB pays revenue producing exploration only - 50% of expl. cost)
Total Government Cash Inflows 13.57$ 50%
13. GOB Share – 40% Tax
$ USD/Bbl
Oil Price (NYMEX) 60.00$ 12-month avg.
Less: Quality Differential (4.00)
Less: Transportation Cost (10.00) Trucking and barge.
Income after Transport 46.00
Less: Overhead and Operating (5.00) Production and Office.
Operating Margin (Income) 41.00
Less: Development Capital (4.00) Development Wells.
Less: Exploration Cost (10.00) Likely to be Higher.
Net Profit (per bbl) 27.00$
$USD/Bbl % Net Profit
Royalties (8.5%) - Gross Interest 3.91$ 14%
(net of transport and quality differential)
Working Interest (10%) 3.11 12%
(GOB pays successful exploration only - 20% of exploration)
Production Sharing Interest (1.5%) 0.40 1%
(GOB pays exploration on current block only - 30% of expl. cost)
Income Tax (40%) 9.83 36%
(GOB pays revenue producing exploration only - 50% of expl. cost)
Total Government Cash Inflows 17.25$ 64%
14. Exploration Costs
Higher Exploration Costs, more money spent on
exploration in Belize, means a higher share for
the Government of Belize.
The next few slides illustrate this conclusion.
15. GOB Share - $10 Expl.
$ USD/Bbl
Oil Price (NYMEX) 60.00$ 12-month avg.
Less: Quality Differential (4.00)
Less: Transportation Cost (10.00) Trucking and barge.
Income after Transport 46.00
Less: Overhead and Operating (5.00) Production and Office.
Operating Margin (Income) 41.00
Less: Development Capital (4.00) Development Wells.
Less: Exploration Cost (10.00) Likely to be Higher.
Net Profit (per bbl) 27.00$
$USD/Bbl % Net Profit
Royalties (8.5%) - Gross Interest 3.91$ 14%
(net of transport and quality differential)
Working Interest (10%) 3.11 12%
(GOB pays successful exploration only - 20% of exploration)
Production Sharing Interest (1.5%) 0.40 1%
(GOB pays exploration on current block only - 30% of expl. cost)
Income Tax (25%) 6.14 23%
(GOB pays revenue producing exploration only - 50% of expl. cost)
Total Government Cash Inflows 13.57$ 50%
16. GOB Share - $12 Expl.
$ USD/Bbl
Oil Price (NYMEX) 60.00$ 12-month avg.
Less: Quality Differential (4.00)
Less: Transportation Cost (10.00) Trucking and barge.
Income after Transport 46.00
Less: Overhead and Operating (5.00) Production and Office.
Operating Margin (Income) 41.00
Less: Development Capital (4.00) Development Wells.
Less: Exploration Cost (12.00) Likely to be Higher.
Net Profit (per bbl) 25.00$
$USD/Bbl % Net Profit
Royalties (8.5%) - Gross Interest 3.91$ 16%
(net of transport and quality differential)
Working Interest (10%) 3.07 12%
(GOB pays successful exploration only - 20% of exploration)
Production Sharing Interest (1.5%) 0.40 2%
(GOB pays exploration on current block only - 30% of expl. cost)
Income Tax (25%) 5.91 24%
(GOB pays revenue producing exploration only - 50% of expl. cost)
Total Government Cash Inflows 13.28$ 53%
17. GOB Share - $15 Expl.
$ USD/Bbl
Oil Price (NYMEX) 60.00$ 12-month avg.
Less: Quality Differential (4.00)
Less: Transportation Cost (10.00) Trucking and barge.
Income after Transport 46.00
Less: Overhead and Operating (5.00) Production and Office.
Operating Margin (Income) 41.00
Less: Development Capital (4.00) Development Wells.
Less: Exploration Cost (15.00) Likely to be Higher.
Net Profit (per bbl) 22.00$
$USD/Bbl % Net Profit
Royalties (8.5%) - Gross Interest 3.91$ 18%
(net of transport and quality differential)
Working Interest (10%) 3.01 14%
(GOB pays successful exploration only - 20% of exploration)
Production Sharing Interest (1.5%) 0.38 2%
(GOB pays exploration on current block only - 30% of expl. cost)
Income Tax (25%) 5.55 25%
(GOB pays revenue producing exploration only - 50% of expl. cost)
Total Government Cash Inflows 12.85$ 58%
18. Future
At 25% income tax and $10 in exploratory
spending, the GOB receives half of net profits (a
50/50 deal)
The more dollars spent in exploration means a
higher share for the GOB
To ensure we receive the bank loan and investor
capital, we must keep the income tax rate at an
economically manageable 25%
This is critical to keeping the fledgling oil
industry alive in Belize
19. Four Key Points
Spanish Lookout field is relatively small (a “Drop
in the Bucket”)
Potential exists to find more oil, but the high risk
dollars are needed
We are depending on borrowing, from the bank
and shareholders, $100 BZ million to explore and
find more oil
Changing the deal scares the money away
Honoring the original deal will encourage the
discovery of more oil for everyone
Presentation 3Economic and Business Perspectives on BNE in BelizeAlex Cranberg, Belize Natural Energy Ltd.Like Susan said today, a lot of Belizeans think BNE ismaking large sums of money already which is far fromthe truth and so we need to educate them about this.
http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/rwtcA.htm
Presentation 3Economic and Business Perspectives on BNE in BelizeAlex Cranberg, Belize Natural Energy Ltd.Like Susan said today, a lot of Belizeans think BNE ismaking large sums of money already which is far fromthe truth and so we need to educate them about this.
http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/rwtcA.htm
http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/rwtcA.htm
Presentation 3Economic and Business Perspectives on BNE in BelizeAlex Cranberg, Belize Natural Energy Ltd.Like Susan said today, a lot of Belizeans think BNE ismaking large sums of money already which is far fromthe truth and so we need to educate them about this.