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Transition Town Farnham: “From oil dependency to local resilience” Wuppertal 16 March 2009
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Barack Obama
 
 
Transition Town Farnham: “From oil dependency to local resilience” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is Transition Berlin, Friedrichshain  Kreuzberg, Germany Boulder, CO Santa Cruz,  CA, USA Katoomba, Newcastle, Sydney, NSW Peterborough,  ON, Canada El Manzano,  Chile Fujino,  Japan Whanganui, Orewa,Nelson, New Zealand More than 130 ‘Official’ More than 800 ‘Thinking about it’
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Transition Farnham
Why Transition? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Climate change… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source:  Mark Lynas , ‘Six Degrees’
Climate Change Source: Professor Kevin Anderson Director of the Tyndall’s Centre’s Energy Programme UK Only Emission reduction of 9% p.a  from 2015 for 2 decades  gives 70% chance of exceeding 2  C 50% chance of exceeding 3  C Only  30% chance  of avoiding    “dangerous climate change”  ‘ Safe’ Limit: 2°C 30% chance of staying below 2°C 96m tonnes/year x 50 years =  Total  4.8bn tonnes Actual: Six years = 1.2bn tonnes 25% , one quarter,  of 50 year limit.
Climate change… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source:  Mark Lynas , ‘Six Degrees’
And Peak Oil… November 2008, “Industry Task Force on Peak Oil & Energy Security”: Arup, FirstGroup, Foster + Partners, Scottish and Southern Energy, Solarcentury, Stagecoach Group, Virgin Group, Yahoo Gap Rapid Fall Source: Peak Oil Consulting Million Barrels/Day
 
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Positive visions!
Rebuilding Community Resilience: What Transition Towns Do ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Positive visions, positive responses, An  opportunity  to remake everything
 
Rebuilding Community Resilience: What Transition Towns Do ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Positive visions, positive responses, An  opportunity  to remake everything
Housing
Housing
Housing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Energy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
“ Transition Together” Programme ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Local economy, currency, businesses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Transition Training & Consulting Surviving Transition 2 hour interactive engagement session Energy Resilience Assessment  3-5 day  diagnostic Building Resilience 1-2 day assessment & planning workshop ‘ Strategic Mentoring’ Partnership* Explore opportunities Organisational Resurgence* Unleashing your employees’  creativity Skilling up For Powerdown* Re-skilling  your workforce Plus ad hoc consulting & implementation expertise ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Challenges: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Opportunities: “ Change will not come if we wait for some other person or some other time. We are the ones we've been waiting for. We are the change that we seek.”
Lessons Learned ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
Lessons Learned ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
References Transition Towns: http://transitionculture.org/   http://www.transitiontowns.org/ Climate Change: Tyndall Centre:   http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/   Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:  http://www.ipcc.ch/   (For a clear introduction, click “The physical science basis” and then “Frequently asked questions”) Industry Task Force on Peak Oil & Energy Security: http://peakoiltaskforce.net/   Transition Town Farnham: http://transitionfarnham.wordpress.com/
BACKUPS
 
“ From oil dependency to local resilience”
Some Transition Towns in the UK Forest of Dean Liverpool South Coventry Lewes
 
 
How can we reduce the use  of oil and gas? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Peak Oil Currently burning  five  barrels of oil  for every  one  new  barrel discovered ‘ Peak Oil’
 
“Resilient” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What Transition Towns Do ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Positive visions, positive responses, An  opportunity  to remake everything
Food ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Transport ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Skilling-up for power-down ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Heart & Soul, Emotion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What Transition Towns Do ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Positive visions, positive responses, An  opportunity  to remake everything
How Climate Change Could Create and Destroy Company Value Source: Carbon Trust and McKinsey & Co. analysis, 2008
General Trends, Drivers, Impacts on Business Political: Economic/ Environmental: Social: Technological: ,[object Object],[object Object],Suppliers: Customers: Substitutes: New Entrants: Political: Economic/ Environmental: Social: Technological: Competition: Competition: Suppliers: Customers: Substitutes: New Entrants:
General Trends, Drivers, Impacts on Business Political: Economic/ Environmental: Social: Technological: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Competition: Suppliers: Customers: Substitutes: New Entrants:
“ Some time in the next 5-10 years the British economy will go through  the same change as between September 1939 and December 1940: standards of living will fall by half.”  Lord David Puttnam, April 2008
Climate Change Emission reduction of  9% p.a  from 2015 for 2 decades gives 70% chance of exceeding 2  C 50% chance of exceeding 3  C Only  30% chance  of avoiding    “dangerous climate change”  Source: Professor Kevin Anderson Director of the Tyndall’s Centre’s Energy Programme Actual: Six years: 1.2bn tonnes 25%, one quarter,  of 50 year limit. ‘ Safe’ Limit: 2°C 30% chance of staying below 2°C 96m tonnes/year x 50 years =  Total  4.8bn tonnes
 
Obama quotes ,[object Object]
 
 
 
 
 

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WS2_Housing_TransitionTowns_Jackson

  • 1. Transition Town Farnham: “From oil dependency to local resilience” Wuppertal 16 March 2009
  • 2.
  • 3.  
  • 4.  
  • 5.
  • 6. What is Transition Berlin, Friedrichshain Kreuzberg, Germany Boulder, CO Santa Cruz, CA, USA Katoomba, Newcastle, Sydney, NSW Peterborough, ON, Canada El Manzano, Chile Fujino, Japan Whanganui, Orewa,Nelson, New Zealand More than 130 ‘Official’ More than 800 ‘Thinking about it’
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Climate Change Source: Professor Kevin Anderson Director of the Tyndall’s Centre’s Energy Programme UK Only Emission reduction of 9% p.a from 2015 for 2 decades gives 70% chance of exceeding 2  C 50% chance of exceeding 3  C Only 30% chance of avoiding “dangerous climate change” ‘ Safe’ Limit: 2°C 30% chance of staying below 2°C 96m tonnes/year x 50 years = Total 4.8bn tonnes Actual: Six years = 1.2bn tonnes 25% , one quarter, of 50 year limit.
  • 11.
  • 12. And Peak Oil… November 2008, “Industry Task Force on Peak Oil & Energy Security”: Arup, FirstGroup, Foster + Partners, Scottish and Southern Energy, Solarcentury, Stagecoach Group, Virgin Group, Yahoo Gap Rapid Fall Source: Peak Oil Consulting Million Barrels/Day
  • 13.  
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.  
  • 17.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.  
  • 23.
  • 24.  
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.  
  • 30.
  • 31. References Transition Towns: http://transitionculture.org/ http://www.transitiontowns.org/ Climate Change: Tyndall Centre: http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: http://www.ipcc.ch/ (For a clear introduction, click “The physical science basis” and then “Frequently asked questions”) Industry Task Force on Peak Oil & Energy Security: http://peakoiltaskforce.net/ Transition Town Farnham: http://transitionfarnham.wordpress.com/
  • 33.  
  • 34. “ From oil dependency to local resilience”
  • 35. Some Transition Towns in the UK Forest of Dean Liverpool South Coventry Lewes
  • 36.  
  • 37.  
  • 38.
  • 39. Peak Oil Currently burning five barrels of oil for every one new barrel discovered ‘ Peak Oil’
  • 40.  
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48. How Climate Change Could Create and Destroy Company Value Source: Carbon Trust and McKinsey & Co. analysis, 2008
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51. “ Some time in the next 5-10 years the British economy will go through the same change as between September 1939 and December 1940: standards of living will fall by half.” Lord David Puttnam, April 2008
  • 52. Climate Change Emission reduction of 9% p.a from 2015 for 2 decades gives 70% chance of exceeding 2  C 50% chance of exceeding 3  C Only 30% chance of avoiding “dangerous climate change” Source: Professor Kevin Anderson Director of the Tyndall’s Centre’s Energy Programme Actual: Six years: 1.2bn tonnes 25%, one quarter, of 50 year limit. ‘ Safe’ Limit: 2°C 30% chance of staying below 2°C 96m tonnes/year x 50 years = Total 4.8bn tonnes
  • 53.  
  • 54.
  • 55.  
  • 56.  
  • 57.  
  • 58.  
  • 59.