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Wheat
Basics – Wheat (Triticum)

•   Also called Gehun, Kanak, Gandham in Hindi, Gehun, Gahang in Marathi, Godhumalu
    in Telugu Godhi in Kannada Godumai in Tamil & Godamba in malayalam.
       Telugu,         Kannada,                                malayalam
•   Most widely grown cereal grain in the world.
•   Mild, nutty flavour and gluten (a sticky protein) makes it very popular for use in
    baked products
           products.
•   As many as 25 species recognised in the world, only 3 species namely,
    T.aestivum/vulgare (Bread wheat), T.durum (Macroni wheat) & T. dicoccum (Emmer
    wheat) commercially grown in India.
          )            yg
•   Soil & Climate – Fertile soil & temperate climate
•   Grading - Based on Protein content (9-14%), based on Kernel texture (hard, semi
    hard, soft), based on Colour (white, amber, red)
        ,     ),                 (     ,      ,    )




                                                                  www.mcxindia.com
Uses


                                      Food Products:
                                      Atta (Whole Meal), Maida (White Flour), Chapatis,
                                      Suji (Coarse Semolina), Rawa (Fine Semolina),
                                      Pasta, Bread, Biscuits, Cookies,Cracks, Noodles,
                                      Dalia, Vermicelli etc.




                                                                                    Industrial Uses:
                                                                                    Milling, Bread & Bakery,
                                                                                    Adhesives, Coatings,
         Uses of Wheat                                                              Polymers & Resins,
                                                                                       y              ,
                                                                                    Cosmetic, Paper &
                                                                                    Pharmaceuticals.




                                                     Other Uses:
                                                     Oth U
                                                     Straw & Bran as
                                                     Cattle Feed etc.

   In India, wheat consumption is manly in the form of homemade chapatis or rotis using custom milled atta,
although usage of branded packaged atta is increasing in cities.
   Protein content - < 10% - used for cakes & cookies, 9 - 12% - used for chapatis & noodles, >12% used for macroni
   P     i                      df      k        ki                 df     h    i       dl     12%    df          i
& white bread
                                                                                      www.mcxindia.com
World Area, Production of Wheat




                                  www.mcxindia.com
World Crop Calendar




                      www.mcxindia.com
Global Balance Sheet




                       www.mcxindia.com
Major Exporters




                  www.mcxindia.com
Major Exchanges

Budapest Commodity Exchange
Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT)
China Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (CZCE)
Kansas City Board of Trade (KCBT)
London International Financial Futures Exchange (LIFFE)
Minneapolis Grian Exchange (MGEX)
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (MCX)
South African Futures Exchange (SAFEX)
Sofia Commodity Exchange, Bulgaria
Sydney Futures Exchange (SFE)
Winnipeg Commodity Exchange
Zimbabwe Agricultural Commodity Exchange (ZIMACE)

                                                          www.mcxindia.com
Facts About Wheat

• India is the third largest wheat producer in the world after European Union
  – 27 & China
          China.
• Wheat is grown in Rabi season starting from October and continues till
  December end.
• Weather conditions in Haryana & Punjab plays a very vital role in
  ascertaining the final output.
                 h       l
• Area under wheat cultivation hovers in the range of 25 – 29 million
  hectares.
• Production from the last few years has been continuously good due to
  favorable weather conditions and increasing acreage.
• USDA’s prediction for India’s wheat production for 2008-09 year is 77.5
  million tonnes.
• L
  Last years production was around 78 6 Milli tonnes.
                 d i                d 78.6 Million
• The minimum support price this year was hiked to Rs1080 per quintal as
  compared to Rs 1000 previously.


                                                         www.mcxindia.com
Indian Government Role in Wheat Trade

Indian Government plays a key role in deciding domestic wheat market
   sentiments.
   sentiments It is mainly involved in food management with three basic
   objectives.
• Procurement of food grains (mainly wheat and rice) from farmers at
   remunerative prices
• Distribution of food grains to the consumers particularly to the vulnerable
         b            d            h                  l l       h    l    bl
   section of the society at affordable prices
• Maintenance of food buffers for food security and price stability.
The instruments for food management are the Minimum Support Price (MSP)
   and Central Issue Price (CIP). The nodal agency which undertakes the
   procurement and distribution and storage of food grains is the Food
   Corporation of India (FCI). Punjab, Haryana, UP and MP are the major
   states which contribute to the central pool




                                                          www.mcxindia.com
Government Procurement Data




                              www.mcxindia.com
Minimum Support Price




                        www.mcxindia.com
Wheat Spot Prices - Delhi




                            www.mcxindia.com
Price Affecting Factors

 •   Role of weather (temperature, rainfall) in
     crop production is immense key months
     being January & February.
 •   Price tends to be lower as harvesting
     progresses and produce starts coming into
     the market. At the time of sowing and                                 Weather
                                                                                                Sowing




                                                          Price
     before harvesting price tends to rise in view                                      OMSS
     of tight supply situation.                                                         Rates      Central
                                                                    Logistics                       Pool
                                                                                                    Stock
 •   Changes in the minimum support prices
     (MSP).                                                                       Harvesting
                                                                        MSP
 •   Release of central pool stock and OMSS
     rates.
       t
 •   Changes in logistics prices (transportation,                               Performance
     storage, etc) affects prices at major trading
     ce te s.
     centers.
                                       Note - Wheat has a weightage of 1 % in the wholesale price index
                                                                     f 1.38%

                                                                            www.mcxindia.com
Wheat Value Chain


                        Countries       End
                                      Consumer

             Exports
                                                   Wheat Starch

   Total                                                               End
Production                 Food/        Milling       Flour          Consumer
                         Industrial
             Domestic                              Wheat Gluten
               Use

                           Feed/         End
                          Residual     Consumer




                                                  www.mcxindia.com
Indian Wheat Classification

      •   Indian Wheat is largely soft / medium hard, medium protein (9 - 12.5%), bread wheat
      •   Three species of Wheat namely (i) T. aestivum, (ii) T durum and (iii) T dicoccum
                                   namely,    T aestivum        T.              T.
          are being cultivated in the country, as per details given as under :

S.No. Species            % Share of Production Major Growing Areas
i          T. aestivum 95%                              Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana,
                                                        Rajasthan, Bihar, West Bengal,
                                                        Assam, Parts of Madhya Pradesh,
                                                        Himachal Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir
                                                                  Pradesh,

ii         T. durum      4%                             Madhya Pradesh, Maharastra,
                                                        Gujarat, Southern Rajasthan and few
                                                        locations in Punjab.
iii        T. dicoccum 1%                               Karnataka, Maharastra & Tamil Nadu



                                                                       www.mcxindia.com
Major Crop Growing States & Trading Hubs of India

                                                                                    Shahjahanpur,
                                         Khanna, Ludhiana,                          Agra, Kanpur,
                                         Malout, Abohar,
                                         M l t Ab h                                 Bareily,
                                                                                    Bareily
                                         Jalandhar, Batala,                         Lucknow, Hapur
                                         Nabha


                                  Karnal, Sirsa, Hisar,
                                  Panipat, Dabavalli,
                                  Sonipat, Kurukshetra



                                    Ganganagar,
                                    Hanumangarh, Kota
                                                                                              Kolkata

                                      Ahmedabad, Kandla
                                                                                                     Indore,
                                                                                                     Indore
                                                                          Hyderabad
                                                                                                     Moraina,Ujjain,
                                                                                                     Sihor, Itarsi,
                                      Nagpur, Sholapur,                                              Hoshangabad,
                                                              Bangalore
                                      Dhule, Khamgaon,                                               Chatarpur
                                      Aurangabad


                                                                          Chennai



                  UP, Punjab, Haryana, MP, Rajasthan, Bihar, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Karnataka, WB,
               Uttaranchal, HP & J & K - 99.5% of total Wheat production.
                  Jharkhand, Assam, Chhattisgarh, Delhi and other NE States - only about 0.5 % of
               the total Wheat production.          Source: Joint Agricultural Weather facility USDA / NOAA

                                                                           www.mcxindia.com
Marketing Season & Policy in India


 • Marketing season - begins from April (Baisakhi) every year

 • Major Policies

    -    Minimum Support Price (MSP)

    -    Central Pool Stock

    -    Open Market Sale Scheme (OMSS) – Wheat for sale in open market

    by FCI - Government Agency.




                                                        www.mcxindia.com
Marketing Channel in India

                                      Producer (Farmer)



                                      Marketable Surplus


                                                Shopkeepers / Moneylenders /
             Primary Wholesale Market
                   y
                                                      Itinerant Traders



            Buyer’s Commission Agent               Seller’s Commission Agent
                 (Pucca Arhatia)                        (Kutcha Arhatia)




            Terminal Market Wholesaler                      Government




                Millers / Retailers
                                                           Fair Price Shops



                                         Consumers
                                                                        Source:- http://www.agmarknet.nic.in

                                                                              www.mcxindia.com
Interstate Movement of Wheat


                Despatches of Wheat from One State to Other States
 Sl. No.   Feeder State     Receiving States
 1         Punjab & Haryana Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Delhi, Gujarat, Karnataka, Kerela,
                            Maharashtra, Orissa, Rajasthan, TN, WB
                               h     h                 h
 2         UP               Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Karnataka, Kerela, Maharashtra,
                            Orissa, Punjab, Rajasthan, TN, WB, NE Region
 3         WB                Bihar, Gujarat, Orissa, UP, Punjab, Delhi, NE Region
 4         Delhi             Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Gujarat, Kerela, Maharashtra,
                             Orissa, TN, NE region
 5         MP                Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Kerela, TN, Delhi




                                                              Source:- DGCIS, Kolkata
                                                                   www.mcxindia.com
Why Futures in Wheat


• Wheat spot market is well developed in India that is a precondition for
   any commodity to be successful in Future trading.



• Market has well developed breadth and depth with the presence of
   general consumer to wheat based industries that includes Wheat
   flourmills, Biscuits manufacturers etc.



• Price Volatility is poised to increase in view of increasing consumption
   and consumption pattern for wheat.


                                                        www.mcxindia.com
Wheat Futures @ MCX – Some Facts

• Wheat, shows stable price movement, making it perfect for low risk

   stable return among commodities portfolio.


• Trading Unit: 10 MTs


• Price Quotation: Rs. per Qtl.


• Tick Size: 10 Paise


• Profit/Loss with change in one tick size: Rs. 10/-


• Profit/Loss with change in price/unit by Re. 1: Rs. 100
                                                        www.mcxindia.com
Wheat Futures – The Participants - Hedgers

•   Hedgers – Can use futures as protection or insurance, against unfavourable price
    moves. Hedgers can protect themselves by taking an opposite position in the
    futures market to their exposed position in cash commodity.

•   Benefits of MCX futures are –

     • Establish purchase and/or sales prices in advance of physical transactions

     • Offer fixed forward pricing to customers

     • Lock-in profit margins

     • Establish a minimum selling price while maintaining the ability to participate in
        increasing prices
                   prices.

     • Establish a maximum purchase price while maintaining the ability to
        participate in decreasing prices.


                                                                  www.mcxindia.com
Wheat Futures – The Participants - Speculators

• Speculators – Speculators trade to capitalise on potential profit
  opportunities generated by a fluctuating market and by doing so so,
  accept risk that hedgers wish to avoid. Speculators play a vital role in
  futures trading by providing market liquidity, which allows hedgers to
  buy and sell the contracts they desire at current market prices.
  Speculators attempt to buy low and sell high, or sell high and buy low.

                           Reasons for          Reasons for SELLING
                           BUYING futures       futures contracts
                           contracts
           Hedgers         To lock in a price   To lock in a price
                           and thereby          and thereby obtain
                           obtain               p
                                                protection against
                                                             g
                           protection           declining prices
                           against rising
                           prices
           Speculators     To profit from       To profit from
                           rising prices        declining prices
                                                                     www.mcxindia.com
Wheat Futures – The Participants – Arbitragers

• Arbitrage take advantage of price discrepancies between similar
   commodities in different markets.

• Carrying charge + cost of receiving delivery + storage charges + cost of
   making d li
     ki   delivery + price of wheat i th cash market i l
                       i    f h t in the    h    k t is lower th
                                                              than th
                                                                   the
   price of a futures contract, then an arbitrage opportunity exists for
   company ABC to purchase wheat in the cash market and sell wheat in the
      p y    C    p
   futures market.Instead of buying an offsetting contract to fulfill its futures
   obligation, company ABC will make delivery of the actual wheat.

• Arbitragers in the consumable commodity markets ensure the price
   discrepancy between the cash market and the futures market, or the
   basis, tends to
   b i t d t narrow.
                                                            www.mcxindia.com
Thank You

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Wheat Basics and Uses

  • 2. Basics – Wheat (Triticum) • Also called Gehun, Kanak, Gandham in Hindi, Gehun, Gahang in Marathi, Godhumalu in Telugu Godhi in Kannada Godumai in Tamil & Godamba in malayalam. Telugu, Kannada, malayalam • Most widely grown cereal grain in the world. • Mild, nutty flavour and gluten (a sticky protein) makes it very popular for use in baked products products. • As many as 25 species recognised in the world, only 3 species namely, T.aestivum/vulgare (Bread wheat), T.durum (Macroni wheat) & T. dicoccum (Emmer wheat) commercially grown in India. ) yg • Soil & Climate – Fertile soil & temperate climate • Grading - Based on Protein content (9-14%), based on Kernel texture (hard, semi hard, soft), based on Colour (white, amber, red) , ), ( , , ) www.mcxindia.com
  • 3. Uses Food Products: Atta (Whole Meal), Maida (White Flour), Chapatis, Suji (Coarse Semolina), Rawa (Fine Semolina), Pasta, Bread, Biscuits, Cookies,Cracks, Noodles, Dalia, Vermicelli etc. Industrial Uses: Milling, Bread & Bakery, Adhesives, Coatings, Uses of Wheat Polymers & Resins, y , Cosmetic, Paper & Pharmaceuticals. Other Uses: Oth U Straw & Bran as Cattle Feed etc. In India, wheat consumption is manly in the form of homemade chapatis or rotis using custom milled atta, although usage of branded packaged atta is increasing in cities. Protein content - < 10% - used for cakes & cookies, 9 - 12% - used for chapatis & noodles, >12% used for macroni P i df k ki df h i dl 12% df i & white bread www.mcxindia.com
  • 4. World Area, Production of Wheat www.mcxindia.com
  • 5. World Crop Calendar www.mcxindia.com
  • 6. Global Balance Sheet www.mcxindia.com
  • 7. Major Exporters www.mcxindia.com
  • 8. Major Exchanges Budapest Commodity Exchange Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) China Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (CZCE) Kansas City Board of Trade (KCBT) London International Financial Futures Exchange (LIFFE) Minneapolis Grian Exchange (MGEX) Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (MCX) South African Futures Exchange (SAFEX) Sofia Commodity Exchange, Bulgaria Sydney Futures Exchange (SFE) Winnipeg Commodity Exchange Zimbabwe Agricultural Commodity Exchange (ZIMACE) www.mcxindia.com
  • 9. Facts About Wheat • India is the third largest wheat producer in the world after European Union – 27 & China China. • Wheat is grown in Rabi season starting from October and continues till December end. • Weather conditions in Haryana & Punjab plays a very vital role in ascertaining the final output. h l • Area under wheat cultivation hovers in the range of 25 – 29 million hectares. • Production from the last few years has been continuously good due to favorable weather conditions and increasing acreage. • USDA’s prediction for India’s wheat production for 2008-09 year is 77.5 million tonnes. • L Last years production was around 78 6 Milli tonnes. d i d 78.6 Million • The minimum support price this year was hiked to Rs1080 per quintal as compared to Rs 1000 previously. www.mcxindia.com
  • 10. Indian Government Role in Wheat Trade Indian Government plays a key role in deciding domestic wheat market sentiments. sentiments It is mainly involved in food management with three basic objectives. • Procurement of food grains (mainly wheat and rice) from farmers at remunerative prices • Distribution of food grains to the consumers particularly to the vulnerable b d h l l h l bl section of the society at affordable prices • Maintenance of food buffers for food security and price stability. The instruments for food management are the Minimum Support Price (MSP) and Central Issue Price (CIP). The nodal agency which undertakes the procurement and distribution and storage of food grains is the Food Corporation of India (FCI). Punjab, Haryana, UP and MP are the major states which contribute to the central pool www.mcxindia.com
  • 11. Government Procurement Data www.mcxindia.com
  • 12. Minimum Support Price www.mcxindia.com
  • 13. Wheat Spot Prices - Delhi www.mcxindia.com
  • 14. Price Affecting Factors • Role of weather (temperature, rainfall) in crop production is immense key months being January & February. • Price tends to be lower as harvesting progresses and produce starts coming into the market. At the time of sowing and Weather Sowing Price before harvesting price tends to rise in view OMSS of tight supply situation. Rates Central Logistics Pool Stock • Changes in the minimum support prices (MSP). Harvesting MSP • Release of central pool stock and OMSS rates. t • Changes in logistics prices (transportation, Performance storage, etc) affects prices at major trading ce te s. centers. Note - Wheat has a weightage of 1 % in the wholesale price index f 1.38% www.mcxindia.com
  • 15. Wheat Value Chain Countries End Consumer Exports Wheat Starch Total End Production Food/ Milling Flour Consumer Industrial Domestic Wheat Gluten Use Feed/ End Residual Consumer www.mcxindia.com
  • 16. Indian Wheat Classification • Indian Wheat is largely soft / medium hard, medium protein (9 - 12.5%), bread wheat • Three species of Wheat namely (i) T. aestivum, (ii) T durum and (iii) T dicoccum namely, T aestivum T. T. are being cultivated in the country, as per details given as under : S.No. Species % Share of Production Major Growing Areas i T. aestivum 95% Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Bihar, West Bengal, Assam, Parts of Madhya Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Pradesh, ii T. durum 4% Madhya Pradesh, Maharastra, Gujarat, Southern Rajasthan and few locations in Punjab. iii T. dicoccum 1% Karnataka, Maharastra & Tamil Nadu www.mcxindia.com
  • 17. Major Crop Growing States & Trading Hubs of India Shahjahanpur, Khanna, Ludhiana, Agra, Kanpur, Malout, Abohar, M l t Ab h Bareily, Bareily Jalandhar, Batala, Lucknow, Hapur Nabha Karnal, Sirsa, Hisar, Panipat, Dabavalli, Sonipat, Kurukshetra Ganganagar, Hanumangarh, Kota Kolkata Ahmedabad, Kandla Indore, Indore Hyderabad Moraina,Ujjain, Sihor, Itarsi, Nagpur, Sholapur, Hoshangabad, Bangalore Dhule, Khamgaon, Chatarpur Aurangabad Chennai UP, Punjab, Haryana, MP, Rajasthan, Bihar, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Karnataka, WB, Uttaranchal, HP & J & K - 99.5% of total Wheat production. Jharkhand, Assam, Chhattisgarh, Delhi and other NE States - only about 0.5 % of the total Wheat production. Source: Joint Agricultural Weather facility USDA / NOAA www.mcxindia.com
  • 18. Marketing Season & Policy in India • Marketing season - begins from April (Baisakhi) every year • Major Policies - Minimum Support Price (MSP) - Central Pool Stock - Open Market Sale Scheme (OMSS) – Wheat for sale in open market by FCI - Government Agency. www.mcxindia.com
  • 19. Marketing Channel in India Producer (Farmer) Marketable Surplus Shopkeepers / Moneylenders / Primary Wholesale Market y Itinerant Traders Buyer’s Commission Agent Seller’s Commission Agent (Pucca Arhatia) (Kutcha Arhatia) Terminal Market Wholesaler Government Millers / Retailers Fair Price Shops Consumers Source:- http://www.agmarknet.nic.in www.mcxindia.com
  • 20. Interstate Movement of Wheat Despatches of Wheat from One State to Other States Sl. No. Feeder State Receiving States 1 Punjab & Haryana Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Delhi, Gujarat, Karnataka, Kerela, Maharashtra, Orissa, Rajasthan, TN, WB h h h 2 UP Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Karnataka, Kerela, Maharashtra, Orissa, Punjab, Rajasthan, TN, WB, NE Region 3 WB Bihar, Gujarat, Orissa, UP, Punjab, Delhi, NE Region 4 Delhi Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Gujarat, Kerela, Maharashtra, Orissa, TN, NE region 5 MP Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Kerela, TN, Delhi Source:- DGCIS, Kolkata www.mcxindia.com
  • 21. Why Futures in Wheat • Wheat spot market is well developed in India that is a precondition for any commodity to be successful in Future trading. • Market has well developed breadth and depth with the presence of general consumer to wheat based industries that includes Wheat flourmills, Biscuits manufacturers etc. • Price Volatility is poised to increase in view of increasing consumption and consumption pattern for wheat. www.mcxindia.com
  • 22. Wheat Futures @ MCX – Some Facts • Wheat, shows stable price movement, making it perfect for low risk stable return among commodities portfolio. • Trading Unit: 10 MTs • Price Quotation: Rs. per Qtl. • Tick Size: 10 Paise • Profit/Loss with change in one tick size: Rs. 10/- • Profit/Loss with change in price/unit by Re. 1: Rs. 100 www.mcxindia.com
  • 23. Wheat Futures – The Participants - Hedgers • Hedgers – Can use futures as protection or insurance, against unfavourable price moves. Hedgers can protect themselves by taking an opposite position in the futures market to their exposed position in cash commodity. • Benefits of MCX futures are – • Establish purchase and/or sales prices in advance of physical transactions • Offer fixed forward pricing to customers • Lock-in profit margins • Establish a minimum selling price while maintaining the ability to participate in increasing prices prices. • Establish a maximum purchase price while maintaining the ability to participate in decreasing prices. www.mcxindia.com
  • 24. Wheat Futures – The Participants - Speculators • Speculators – Speculators trade to capitalise on potential profit opportunities generated by a fluctuating market and by doing so so, accept risk that hedgers wish to avoid. Speculators play a vital role in futures trading by providing market liquidity, which allows hedgers to buy and sell the contracts they desire at current market prices. Speculators attempt to buy low and sell high, or sell high and buy low. Reasons for Reasons for SELLING BUYING futures futures contracts contracts Hedgers To lock in a price To lock in a price and thereby and thereby obtain obtain p protection against g protection declining prices against rising prices Speculators To profit from To profit from rising prices declining prices www.mcxindia.com
  • 25. Wheat Futures – The Participants – Arbitragers • Arbitrage take advantage of price discrepancies between similar commodities in different markets. • Carrying charge + cost of receiving delivery + storage charges + cost of making d li ki delivery + price of wheat i th cash market i l i f h t in the h k t is lower th than th the price of a futures contract, then an arbitrage opportunity exists for company ABC to purchase wheat in the cash market and sell wheat in the p y C p futures market.Instead of buying an offsetting contract to fulfill its futures obligation, company ABC will make delivery of the actual wheat. • Arbitragers in the consumable commodity markets ensure the price discrepancy between the cash market and the futures market, or the basis, tends to b i t d t narrow. www.mcxindia.com