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BOMBAY’S TRANSPORT
       CHALLENGES & SOLUTIONS.
                            By
                      Abhijit Mehta
                      Political And Social Analyst




Friday 8 March 2013
NO WHERE TO GO !!!
                          A solution looks elusive.

Friday 8 March 2013
SO,LETS DEFINE THE PROBLEM

Friday 8 March 2013
DEMAND

                       AND

                      SUPPLY

Friday 8 March 2013
TRAFFIC LOAD IN 2005
                              Source CTS, MMRDA




Friday 8 March 2013
TRAFFIC LOAD IN 2005
                              Source CTS, MMRDA




Friday 8 March 2013
TRAFFIC NOT LINEAR
                          ANYMORE
                             Source CTS, MMRDA


Friday 8 March 2013
Source CTS, MMRDA




                      UNDERSTANDING
                         DEMAND
Friday 8 March 2013
Source CTS, MMRDA




                      UNDERSTANDING
                         DEMAND
Friday 8 March 2013
UNDERSTANDING
                          SUPPLY
Friday 8 March 2013
UNDERSTANDING SUPPLY



                 50,000     PHPDT                      Source CTS, MMRDA



   (Per track, 12 car rake, 3 minute headway at 7 persons per
                              SqMtr)
                        PHPDT: Peak Hour Peak Direction Traffic

Friday 8 March 2013
BEST BUS SERVICE
                                Fleet: 4,680
                        Daily ridership: 4.5 million
Friday 8 March 2013
MORE AUTOS ???
                        246,458 auto rickshaws

Friday 8 March 2013
MORE TAXIS ???
                      58,000 In Greater Mumbai

Friday 8 March 2013
MORE BUSES ???
                      4,680 buses, 480,000 passengers and 400+ routes

Friday 8 March 2013
MORE

                      PRIVATE

          VEHICLES ???

Friday 8 March 2013
DO WE
                          HAVE
                          THE
                         SPACE
                           TO
                      E X PA N D ?

Friday 8 March 2013
PLANNING

Friday 8 March 2013
DELHI METRO
                       Already Over loaded.

Friday 8 March 2013
PLANNING FOR UNDER
                           CAPACITY
Friday 8 March 2013
PLANNING



                      52 %
                      Walk To Work
                         Source CTS, MMRDA


Friday 8 March 2013
PLANNING



                      100 %
                      Increase in Demand

                             Source: MRVC

Friday 8 March 2013
100,000         80,000
                 PHPDT           PHPDT




                                 175,000
                                 PHPDT


                           DEMAND
                           (Current)
Friday 8 March 2013
200,000        160,000
                 PHPDT          PHPDT




                                350,000
                                PHPDT


                           DEMAND
                            (2030)
Friday 8 March 2013
NO MORE BAND AID
                         SOLUTIONS
Friday 8 March 2013
ALTERNATE PLAN
                      Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system
Friday 8 March 2013
ALTERNATE PLAN
                      Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system




              4 Major Systems              3 Major Systems
                     on                           on
           North - South Direction       East - West Direction




Friday 8 March 2013
ALTERNATE PLAN
                      Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system




       1 Major Systems                         2 Major Systems
              on                                       on
   North - South Direction                  East - West Direction
  upto Dhanu with one hour                upto Vashi and Panvel with
  connectivity to city centre              one hour connectivity to
                                                  city centre



Friday 8 March 2013
YOU



Friday 8 March 2013
WALK


                      500 Meters




Friday 8 March 2013
Every
                      500 Meters




Friday 8 March 2013
For North - South
                          Direction


                                Every
                                2 Kms

                                Every
                                2 Kms

                                          BRTS



Friday 8 March 2013
For East - West
                         Direction


                                  Every
                                  5 Kms

                                  Every
                                  5 Kms

                                          BRTS



Friday 8 March 2013
Every
                        Every       2 Kms
                      500 Meters   North - South




                                                    BRTS



                                      Every
                                      5 Kms
                                      East - West




Friday 8 March 2013
GOAL



                       90 %
                      Use Public Transportation

Friday 8 March 2013
GOAL



                         6
                      Max Sq Meter
                        Density

Friday 8 March 2013
GOAL
                      Average speed



                       30KMS/Hr

Friday 8 March 2013
PLANNING



                      24/7
                       Availability

Friday 8 March 2013
Light Rail
Friday 8 March 2013
High Capacity Trams
Friday 8 March 2013
DOUBLE DECKER BUS

Friday 8 March 2013
DOUBLE ARTICULATED
                            BUSES
Friday 8 March 2013
DOUBLE DECKER
                      SUBURBAN TRAINS
Friday 8 March 2013
B RT S

Friday 8 March 2013
MASSIVE METRO

Friday 8 March 2013
MONO RAILS
                      To replace 5km+ travel of Rickshaws and Taxis

Friday 8 March 2013
FUNDING

Friday 8 March 2013
FINANCING
                                 A




                      SPV
                      (Special Purpose Vehicle)


Friday 8 March 2013
S PV
                      (Special Purpose Vehicle)


                      This entity will own and
                            operate all
                       public transportation
                                  in
                              Bombay


Friday 8 March 2013
S PV
                      (Special Purpose Vehicle)



                      All purchases and sales
                           by this entity
                               will be
                              tax free

                      Why Tax something that is going to benefit the
                                 general population?


Friday 8 March 2013
S PV
                      (Special Purpose Vehicle)

                      This cuts the over all costs
                                  by




Friday 8 March 2013
                      20%
S PV
                      (Special Purpose Vehicle)


                      A special tax free bond
                               up-to
                             200,000
                           per person



Friday 8 March 2013
S PV
                      (Special Purpose Vehicle)

                       A special tax free bond
                                up-to
                       2,000,000 OR 40% Tax
                               Liability
                                  for
                      Small & Medium Business


Friday 8 March 2013
S PV
                      (Special Purpose Vehicle)

                      A special tax free bond
                               up-to
                              25% of
                         Taxable Income
                                 for
                          Major Business


Friday 8 March 2013
S PV
                       (Special Purpose Vehicle)



                      Donation to this entity will
                       be considered as part of
                           2% CSR activity




Friday 8 March 2013
ALL MAJOR TRANSIT
                        Transit Oriented Development

Friday 8 March 2013
S PV
                      (Special Purpose Vehicle)

                                T-O-D
                       will compensate for all
                            revenue deficit
                                 from
                        fare box revenues.
                       (Operations and Maintenance)

                             Thru this model In theory
                            Public Transport can be free.


Friday 8 March 2013
S PV
                      (Special Purpose Vehicle)

                            Dis-investment of

                                20%
                        thru Proposed IPO in first

                           3-5 yrs.
                              of operations



Friday 8 March 2013
S PV
                      (Special Purpose Vehicle)

                         Dis-investment of next

                               30%
                             after another

                             5 yrs.
                             of operations



Friday 8 March 2013
IMPLEMENTATION

                      11/2Year
                      Planning

Friday 8 March 2013
IMPLEMENTATION

                          5
                        Years
                      Executing

Friday 8 March 2013
WE CANNOT KEEPING

                           SOLVING

                      YESTERDAY'S PROBLEM

                          TOMORROW
Friday 8 March 2013
WE NEED TO THINK




                         BIG
Friday 8 March 2013
WE NEED TO PLAN FOR



        Tomorrow
Friday 8 March 2013
MUMBAI TRANSPORT
                      OF THE PEOPLE

                      BY THE PEOPLE

                      FOR THE PEOPLE

Friday 8 March 2013
THANK YOU




                      Abhijit Mehta
                       www.abhijitmehta.com
Friday 8 March 2013

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Mumbai Transportation Plan

  • 1. BOMBAY’S TRANSPORT CHALLENGES & SOLUTIONS. By Abhijit Mehta Political And Social Analyst Friday 8 March 2013
  • 2. NO WHERE TO GO !!! A solution looks elusive. Friday 8 March 2013
  • 3. SO,LETS DEFINE THE PROBLEM Friday 8 March 2013
  • 4. DEMAND AND SUPPLY Friday 8 March 2013
  • 5. TRAFFIC LOAD IN 2005 Source CTS, MMRDA Friday 8 March 2013
  • 6. TRAFFIC LOAD IN 2005 Source CTS, MMRDA Friday 8 March 2013
  • 7. TRAFFIC NOT LINEAR ANYMORE Source CTS, MMRDA Friday 8 March 2013
  • 8. Source CTS, MMRDA UNDERSTANDING DEMAND Friday 8 March 2013
  • 9. Source CTS, MMRDA UNDERSTANDING DEMAND Friday 8 March 2013
  • 10. UNDERSTANDING SUPPLY Friday 8 March 2013
  • 11. UNDERSTANDING SUPPLY 50,000 PHPDT Source CTS, MMRDA (Per track, 12 car rake, 3 minute headway at 7 persons per SqMtr) PHPDT: Peak Hour Peak Direction Traffic Friday 8 March 2013
  • 12. BEST BUS SERVICE Fleet: 4,680 Daily ridership: 4.5 million Friday 8 March 2013
  • 13. MORE AUTOS ??? 246,458 auto rickshaws Friday 8 March 2013
  • 14. MORE TAXIS ??? 58,000 In Greater Mumbai Friday 8 March 2013
  • 15. MORE BUSES ??? 4,680 buses, 480,000 passengers and 400+ routes Friday 8 March 2013
  • 16. MORE PRIVATE VEHICLES ??? Friday 8 March 2013
  • 17. DO WE HAVE THE SPACE TO E X PA N D ? Friday 8 March 2013
  • 19. DELHI METRO Already Over loaded. Friday 8 March 2013
  • 20. PLANNING FOR UNDER CAPACITY Friday 8 March 2013
  • 21. PLANNING 52 % Walk To Work Source CTS, MMRDA Friday 8 March 2013
  • 22. PLANNING 100 % Increase in Demand Source: MRVC Friday 8 March 2013
  • 23. 100,000 80,000 PHPDT PHPDT 175,000 PHPDT DEMAND (Current) Friday 8 March 2013
  • 24. 200,000 160,000 PHPDT PHPDT 350,000 PHPDT DEMAND (2030) Friday 8 March 2013
  • 25. NO MORE BAND AID SOLUTIONS Friday 8 March 2013
  • 26. ALTERNATE PLAN Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system Friday 8 March 2013
  • 27. ALTERNATE PLAN Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system 4 Major Systems 3 Major Systems on on North - South Direction East - West Direction Friday 8 March 2013
  • 28. ALTERNATE PLAN Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system 1 Major Systems 2 Major Systems on on North - South Direction East - West Direction upto Dhanu with one hour upto Vashi and Panvel with connectivity to city centre one hour connectivity to city centre Friday 8 March 2013
  • 30. WALK 500 Meters Friday 8 March 2013
  • 31. Every 500 Meters Friday 8 March 2013
  • 32. For North - South Direction Every 2 Kms Every 2 Kms BRTS Friday 8 March 2013
  • 33. For East - West Direction Every 5 Kms Every 5 Kms BRTS Friday 8 March 2013
  • 34. Every Every 2 Kms 500 Meters North - South BRTS Every 5 Kms East - West Friday 8 March 2013
  • 35. GOAL 90 % Use Public Transportation Friday 8 March 2013
  • 36. GOAL 6 Max Sq Meter Density Friday 8 March 2013
  • 37. GOAL Average speed 30KMS/Hr Friday 8 March 2013
  • 38. PLANNING 24/7 Availability Friday 8 March 2013
  • 39. Light Rail Friday 8 March 2013
  • 41. DOUBLE DECKER BUS Friday 8 March 2013
  • 42. DOUBLE ARTICULATED BUSES Friday 8 March 2013
  • 43. DOUBLE DECKER SUBURBAN TRAINS Friday 8 March 2013
  • 44. B RT S Friday 8 March 2013
  • 46. MONO RAILS To replace 5km+ travel of Rickshaws and Taxis Friday 8 March 2013
  • 48. FINANCING A SPV (Special Purpose Vehicle) Friday 8 March 2013
  • 49. S PV (Special Purpose Vehicle) This entity will own and operate all public transportation in Bombay Friday 8 March 2013
  • 50. S PV (Special Purpose Vehicle) All purchases and sales by this entity will be tax free Why Tax something that is going to benefit the general population? Friday 8 March 2013
  • 51. S PV (Special Purpose Vehicle) This cuts the over all costs by Friday 8 March 2013 20%
  • 52. S PV (Special Purpose Vehicle) A special tax free bond up-to 200,000 per person Friday 8 March 2013
  • 53. S PV (Special Purpose Vehicle) A special tax free bond up-to 2,000,000 OR 40% Tax Liability for Small & Medium Business Friday 8 March 2013
  • 54. S PV (Special Purpose Vehicle) A special tax free bond up-to 25% of Taxable Income for Major Business Friday 8 March 2013
  • 55. S PV (Special Purpose Vehicle) Donation to this entity will be considered as part of 2% CSR activity Friday 8 March 2013
  • 56. ALL MAJOR TRANSIT Transit Oriented Development Friday 8 March 2013
  • 57. S PV (Special Purpose Vehicle) T-O-D will compensate for all revenue deficit from fare box revenues. (Operations and Maintenance) Thru this model In theory Public Transport can be free. Friday 8 March 2013
  • 58. S PV (Special Purpose Vehicle) Dis-investment of 20% thru Proposed IPO in first 3-5 yrs. of operations Friday 8 March 2013
  • 59. S PV (Special Purpose Vehicle) Dis-investment of next 30% after another 5 yrs. of operations Friday 8 March 2013
  • 60. IMPLEMENTATION 11/2Year Planning Friday 8 March 2013
  • 61. IMPLEMENTATION 5 Years Executing Friday 8 March 2013
  • 62. WE CANNOT KEEPING SOLVING YESTERDAY'S PROBLEM TOMORROW Friday 8 March 2013
  • 63. WE NEED TO THINK BIG Friday 8 March 2013
  • 64. WE NEED TO PLAN FOR Tomorrow Friday 8 March 2013
  • 65. MUMBAI TRANSPORT OF THE PEOPLE BY THE PEOPLE FOR THE PEOPLE Friday 8 March 2013
  • 66. THANK YOU Abhijit Mehta www.abhijitmehta.com Friday 8 March 2013